Truth in Telecoms, Robert Vis Part 2

Telecom Application Development Summit
26 Aug 202428:28

Summary

TLDRIn this discussion, the speaker delves into the challenges faced by messaging companies like Twilio, where traditional revenue models have been upended by carriers demanding a share of profits. The conversation touches on the impact of the Campaign Registry and the diminishing value proposition of messaging platforms. The speaker also shares insights on market manipulations, the future of RCS with Google and Apple, and the inevitable industry consolidation. They express a personal vendetta against certain industry players and predict a significant shift towards direct carrier agreements, rendering traditional messaging companies obsolete.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The messaging industry, particularly companies like Twilio, has faced challenges due to carriers charging for messages, which has negatively impacted their business model.
  • 💸 Companies that have made significant profits in the messaging industry have done so at a time when the market was more favorable, and some have since cashed out.
  • 🚫 The establishment of the campaign registry by carriers in 2020 has further complicated the messaging business model by allowing carriers to charge for messages, thus reducing profitability.
  • 🌐 The messaging industry is global, with different regions having different dynamics, and some companies have had to navigate complex relationships with carriers and other industry players.
  • 💰 Some messaging companies have resorted to stock buybacks to inflate their stock prices, as seen with Twilio's $1.2 billion buyback in Q2 of a specific year.
  • 📈 The speaker predicts a consolidation in the messaging industry, with larger companies potentially absorbing smaller ones, despite their current profitability.
  • 🛑 The rise of RCS (Rich Communication Services) and the involvement of tech giants like Google and Apple may render traditional SMS and messaging platforms obsolete.
  • 🏆 The speaker expresses a desire to build a brand in the US market, recognizing the potential for growth and the opportunity to differentiate from European markets.
  • 💬 There is a significant focus on the future of messaging, with discussions about the role of technology, security, and the impact of fraudulent activities on the industry's reputation.
  • ⚖️ Legal actions and disputes are mentioned as a part of the landscape, with some companies facing lawsuits and others navigating complex legal environments.

Q & A

  • What was the initial business model issue for companies like Twilio?

    -The initial issue was that companies like Twilio were charging customers per message, which was still cheaper than Europe, but the carriers eventually started charging them for the messages, significantly altering the business model.

  • What is the significance of the Campaign Registry in the messaging industry?

    -The Campaign Registry was created by carriers under the guise of stopping spam, but it enabled them to charge for messages, which started a couple of years ago and has been a significant change in the industry.

  • Why did the speaker mention CCH and their stock situation?

    -CCH is mentioned as an example of a company that has a large number of outstanding shares, which makes the stock price struggle to increase due to the sheer volume, illustrating the challenges in the market.

  • What did the speaker suggest about the future of messaging companies and their profitability?

    -The speaker suggested that many messaging companies have already made their money and the industry is moving towards a point where traditional messaging companies may not be as profitable due to changes in technology and market dynamics.

  • Why did the speaker mention an activist investor's role in Twilio?

    -The speaker mentioned activist investors in Twilio to illustrate how they are trying to inflate the stock price through buybacks, indicating the struggles and tactics used in the market.

  • What is the speaker's view on the role of violence in business?

    -The speaker is anti-violence and prefers to compete and 'torture' in business rather than through physical means, indicating a preference for legal and strategic competition.

  • What is the significance of the speaker's decision to leave the Netherlands?

    -Leaving the Netherlands was a significant move for the speaker as it was a big deal in their home country, and it signifies a transition to building a brand in the US market.

  • Why does the speaker believe there is no future in the European market for their company?

    -The speaker believes there is no future in the European market because of the saturation and the challenges in making significant profits there, suggesting a shift towards the US market.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the role of RCS and the campaign registry in the future of messaging?

    -The speaker believes that the campaign registry and the need for intermediaries will become obsolete as RCS and direct connections with carriers and tech giants like Apple and Google become more prevalent.

  • Why is the speaker critical of certain practices in the messaging industry?

    -The speaker is critical because they see certain practices, like robotic account creation and kickbacks, as harmful to the industry's long-term health and trustworthiness.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Decline of Messaging Companies' Business Model

The speaker discusses the downfall of messaging companies like Twilio, which initially profited from sending messages and charging customers per message. However, the business model was disrupted when carriers started to charge for messages, leading to a decline in profitability. The speaker also touches on the broader impact on tech companies during this period and the shift to a new campaign registry that allowed carriers to charge for messages, further affecting the industry.

05:03

🏝️ Market Saturation and Entrepreneurial Exits

The paragraph delves into the market saturation and the strategic exits of entrepreneurs who made money and are now enjoying their earnings. It mentions the challenges faced by companies like Cinch, which have a large number of outstanding shares making their stock price struggle to increase. The speaker also discusses their own market observations and investments, as well as the competitive landscape and the strategies of companies like Thoron and Cinch in the messaging space.

10:04

🤝 The Shift in Messaging Industry Dynamics

This section covers the changing dynamics within the messaging industry, including the influence of organizations like MEF and the impact of carriers' decisions on the industry's structure. The speaker recounts personal experiences with industry figures and companies, highlighting the often tumultuous relationships and the strategic moves made by businesses to secure their positions, such as cashing out or going public.

15:06

🚫 The Erosion of Trust in SMS and the Rise of RCS

The speaker addresses the erosion of trust in SMS due to fraud and the rise of Rich Communication Services (RCS) as a potential solution. They discuss the challenges faced by legitimate companies in the messaging space and the role of carriers in the value chain. The paragraph also touches on the speaker's views on the future of messaging technologies and the potential impact of RCS on the industry.

20:09

📲 The Future of Messaging in the Age of RCS and Big Tech

The focus here is on the future of messaging with the advent of RCS and the involvement of tech giants like Google and Apple. The speaker speculates on the potential obsolescence of the campaign registry and the role of aggregators in the face of direct connections to these tech platforms. They also discuss the implications for companies like Cinch and the broader industry, suggesting a shift towards application-side value creation.

25:10

💼 Industry Consolidation and the Role of Established Organizations

In this final paragraph, the speaker predicts industry consolidation and the potential disappearance of certain business models. They emphasize the importance of respected organizations like the GSMA and ITU in the telecom sector and reflect on the speaker's own company's strategy and the broader market trends, including the challenges faced by companies like Cinch and the impact of Wall Street's perceptions on the industry.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Twilio

Twilio is a cloud communications platform that enables software developers to programmatically make and receive phone calls, send and receive text messages, and perform other communication functions. In the video, Twilio is mentioned in the context of being a company that charges customers for sending messages, which was still cheaper than Europe, indicating its role in the messaging industry and its pricing model.

💡Campaign Registry

The Campaign Registry is a system established by mobile carriers to combat spam and unwanted messages. It allows carriers to charge a fee for each message sent, which is mentioned in the script as a way for carriers to gain a revenue share from messaging services. The registry is portrayed as a significant factor that affected the business models of messaging companies.

💡Messaging Monopolies

The term 'Messaging Monopolies' refers to the dominance of certain players in the messaging industry, potentially leading to unfair market practices. The script mentions a report on messaging monopolies, suggesting an analysis of how a few companies control a large portion of the messaging market, impacting competition and pricing.

💡Stock Buybacks

Stock buybacks are when a company purchases its own shares from the market, typically to increase the value of remaining shares or to make use of cash reserves. The video discusses Twilio's buybacks as a strategy to inflate the stock price, indicating the company's efforts to manage its market valuation.

💡SMS Spoofing

SMS spoofing is the act of sending SMS messages with a fake sender ID. It's a form of identity theft used in scams and fraud. The script touches on this issue, expressing concerns about the security of SMS messaging and the potential for misuse, which is a significant concern for the industry.

💡RCS (Rich Communication Services)

RCS is a communication protocol aimed at enhancing the traditional SMS with features like group chats, read receipts, and better multimedia support. The video discusses RCS in the context of its potential to revolutionize messaging and its collaboration with Apple, suggesting a shift in the messaging landscape towards more advanced and integrated services.

💡Aggregator

In the context of the video, an aggregator refers to a company that consolidates various communication channels or services. The discussion implies that the role of aggregators might be diminishing as direct connections between carriers and platforms like Google and Apple become more prevalent.

💡Interoperability

Interoperability is the ability of different systems or components to work together. The video mentions the importance of interoperability in the context of RCS and its potential to work across different platforms and carriers, indicating a move towards more unified and seamless communication services.

💡Anti-competitive

Anti-competitive practices are actions that unfairly limit competition in a market. The script refers to potential anti-competitive behavior within the messaging industry, suggesting that some companies may be engaging in practices that hinder fair competition and market access.

💡Regulators

Regulators are government agencies responsible for overseeing and ensuring fair practices within industries. The video mentions regulators in the context of the messaging industry, implying that there may be a need for oversight and regulation to ensure fair practices and protect consumers.

Highlights

Twilio and similar companies initially profited from sending messages and charging customers per message, which was cheaper than European rates.

The business model for messaging companies was disrupted when carriers started charging for messages, significantly impacting the industry.

The carriers created the campaign registry in 2020 under anti-spam guidelines, which allowed them to charge for messages, further changing the landscape for messaging companies.

Some messaging companies have already made significant profits, while others like Cinch are struggling due to the market saturation and the number of outstanding shares.

Twilio conducted a $1.2 billion buyback in Q2 to appease activist investors, highlighting the stock's struggle despite such efforts.

The interviewee suggests that the messaging industry is moving towards consolidation, with larger players like Salesforce and Cisco potentially taking the lead.

The interviewee criticizes the Campaign Registry and its association with what they view as fraudulent practices in the messaging industry.

There's a prediction that the industry will shift rapidly with the adoption of RCS and direct integration with tech giants like Google and Apple, making current messaging platforms obsolete.

The interviewee expresses a desire to build a brand in the US, recognizing the potential for growth and the need to separate personal identity from the company brand.

The discussion touches on the challenges of making money in Europe compared to the US, suggesting a strategic move towards the latter for business expansion.

The interviewee shares personal anecdotes about dealing with industry players, including a confrontation with a competitor that led to a deeper involvement in the industry's politics.

The conversation hints at potential legal actions against certain players in the messaging industry, indicating a highly competitive and litigious environment.

The interviewee discusses the importance of creating value for customers rather than focusing solely on short-term financial gains, emphasizing long-term business strategy.

There's a mention of the potential for RCS to revolutionize the messaging industry by providing a direct channel between brands and customers, bypassing traditional SMS.

The interview concludes with a discussion on the future of the messaging industry, with a focus on the need for innovation and adaptation to new technologies like RCS.

Transcripts

play00:00

essentially companies like twio being

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paid to send messages and charging their

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customers you know 809 whatever it was

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per message which by the way was still

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significantly cheaper than Europe but

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like free is free um and then I think

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what turned for them and they were sort

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of double unlucky um one markets turned

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it wasn't just twio I mean you know they

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were worth 70 billion where many other

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companies were worth a gazillion dollars

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that that uh in in that time frame so

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they H so they had that uh downside and

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the carriers finally got smart and we're

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like hey why are we not getting you know

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any any of this rep share of this of

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this message from this brand and they

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started charging um too and that those

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two things killed the business model but

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that that only started in 2020 the

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carriers created the campaign registry

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and you should go read Allen's messaging

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monopolies report they started the

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campaign registry under the guidelines

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of wanting to stop spam but what they

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enabled is now the ability to charge a

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half a penny and up to a penny uh per

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message through this [ __ ]

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registration process through you know an

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entity called The Campaign registry so

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that didn't really start till a couple

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of years ago what my angle is all of

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these guys in messaging all anybody's

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already made their money youve either

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made your money and you're sitting on a

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beach like the guys at CCH and they have

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900 million outstanding shares you want

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to know why their stock could never go

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up not because of you or twillo or

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anybody else because there's a billion

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shares it's like a penny stock right so

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I study the markets I watch the markets

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and that's what I play and that's what I

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watch you can't buy cinch because

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there's too many shares it's like Wolf

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of Wall Street [ __ ] it you can't it

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can't it can't go up right why is twio

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doing twio did a 1.2 billion dollars in

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Buybacks in Q2 and this year alone and

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they did it because the activist

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investors are trying to inflate it

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didn't even work yeah if they didn't do

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the BuyBacks the stock would be 35 right

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now right so what I'm say to you is you

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got out right there's winners and

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there's losers and you know the Cinch

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guys they work very closely with thoron

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I I remember when Meo uh Meo started

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giving him all kinds of problems and

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this is when I first did a deal with

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Thorson and they literally s me to go

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like torture this kid so I met this kid

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andreao and they thought I guess they

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thought I was a thug because I kind of

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talk like one but I'm antiviolence I I

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would rather sue you for like a hundred

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years and torture you in business then I

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just don't I can't even watch UFC

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fighting because to me it's inhuman um

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I'm going to go meet this kid and these

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day was so angry with this guy on on

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what he did what he was doing to them

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but it was just trivial [ __ ] so they

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had their little cabal going those guys

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but CCH cashed out Jeff lawon bought the

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on he cashed out you cashed in for CCH

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they're trying to do they're trying to

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do an IPO I mean to poor infit they're

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trying to do an IPO right now because

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they got $800 million from JP Morgan sub

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one Equity they're forced it's the only

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way they're getting their money but at

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point I think the point of my first

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question is you answered it when you saw

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this coming and now you're heading to

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the big leagues and you're really going

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to the big leag you're talking about

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Salesforce you're talking about Cisco

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now merging and by the way they all have

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directs by the way infobus got directs

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right now right Cisco's got directs I

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mean and I know you're working through

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cin but you don't don't view that

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because you're giving it away I'm just

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trying to

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understand uh on your angle on on what

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you're doing I guess I guess it's kind

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of too early for me to ask you that

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question but one more thing before we go

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when you decided to leave the

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Netherlands it was a big deal right it

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was a big deal in your country right and

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your brand is huge over there and then I

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see you on X and I'm saying to myself

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and I listen to you talk because you

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separate your own identity from your

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country your company you know a lot of

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people do that uh and smart

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entrepreneurs SM CEOs I'm a fan of of of

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real leaders like you are um when are

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you gonna start building your brand in

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the US like really building it because

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you're gonna they're gonna love you over

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here because you're never going to make

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money in

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Europe I mean people I mean I have I I I

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thank you for all the compliments but I

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have I have so much like okay let me let

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me go back one if you don't mind let me

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go back on on one uh

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day make your make your podcast longer I

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I think that look whether it's campaign

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registry or

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uh like what is what is that mobile

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economic for MEF and me meth was a porn

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was a porn site right where the guys got

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together Allan writes a story about them

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meth was started long time ago but

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gerchman got involved with meth to stop

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Meo and those guys he didn't know what

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to do so they

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started no gersman is a chairman of meth

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all right me's now involved they let

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they let they let Meo in and look I know

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Andrea I went to go play golf with this

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kid I played four days of golf with this

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guy Andrea I didn't know him but I knew

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him from The Voice days because I come

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from voice he used to be a call Trad so

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a buddy of mine said look this guy Andre

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is a good guy he's just a hustler and he

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just out hustled the [ __ ] out of those

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guys and created a business however

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anybody wants to look at it he's just

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making money he'll never be sold he'll

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never go public he's just making money

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but youo meth meth is just an organized

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crime family uh where you pay and you

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get your messages across that's all it

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is and and and and look it's okay

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there's nothing wrong with it it's it's

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a catering hall where you go to and you

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pay the catering guy to get a voice but

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this is my point but this is my this is

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this is my point so we've never been a

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member of all these of all these

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[ __ ] organizations

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and you had this whole time period when

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like they forced carriers that if you

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want wanted to if you wanted to send

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across a like it was crazy you would in

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order there was like so like we were

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asked to be founding member of be we

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denied and like and nobody could ever

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explain to me what their so what their

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sole purpose was combat fraud I was like

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yeah but the frauds there are on your

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board so like that's kind of crazy like

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so we never so so so we we never we we

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never and U so so we never participated

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but there was this time and it worked

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out because I don't know if there's

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still relevant but like it at the time

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five years ago this was wild you had

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like you could not get a car connection

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without being a member of MEF and like

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we had to fight hard in order to

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basically be like hey hold on I'm a m of

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G I didn't know this this is pretty bad

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that's that's that's what that's what

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look that's what they did that's what

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the guys C did the guys as C smart these

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boys are smart they cash out they made

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their money they kick back money back to

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soft bank and said here sorry we robbed

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you here take your money back and now

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they got a$2 billion company they did

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what they did but Memphis still the same

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way I mean they did a hit piece on my

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CEO who was the former Chief counsel

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head of cyber security for the United

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States Coast Guard you don't get a

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higher security clearance and they hire

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this this this fat Misfit from commrisk

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who they just hired back to write a hit

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piece on this guy I mean this is the

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kind of trivial stuff we loved it I

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don't know if you're sure thear they

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pick ited his event because they

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wouldn't let a woman on the board

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there's a lot of stuff that you need to

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know but I think I want to see you

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succeed and I want to understand how

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you're going to navigate in the US and

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also build a brand I think if you can

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build your brand because there's nobody

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Who's Got a Brand in the industry Jeff

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laon went on TV and live oh I love you

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I'm GNA give money to the homeless I do

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this well as he was robbing the [ __ ] out

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of you never talking about how he was

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ever gonna make money for his show or

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how his company was ever going to be

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profitable so I view you as a breath of

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fresh air and look I just want to buy I

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want to buy in on the IPO to be honest

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with you I think I you have to be doing

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an IPO at some point and you can't tell

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me you're going to do this Europe you

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just can't we will never IPO in Europe

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but

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like my and that will never happen but

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like uh for many for many I mean by the

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way I mean look at all the I mean I

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don't know if you can follow me or next

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you see the crazy [ __ ] going on right

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now where like they're arresting

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founders of platforms I mean look I

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don't I'm not I don't we don't know

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exactly why he was arrested so let's

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start there pav the founder of telegram

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so provided that the information that we

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do know is true this is because you

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wouldn't play ball this is the most wild

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we over here in the US no he was

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arrested you either play ball look

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Google just made an assassination

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attempt disappear on their search and

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said yeah we met it we messed up so look

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it it just it's just a world we live in

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Robert but you're still safe over here

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no matter how crazy people think it is

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right or left it's all the same they all

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end up working it out together in the US

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but that guy's got a problem he's

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screwed yeah yeah he does have it seems

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like he has a real he he just he just

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hired Quin Emanuel a lawyer who just got

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off he was elon's lawyer he was also um

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Alec Baldwin's lawyer the guy that shot

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the guy in the movie Set they hired uh

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his name is Alex I forget his name is

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but Quin Emanuel one of my attorneys um

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his wife is a partner there I mean he's

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gonna fight this thing all the way

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through but he's gonna have to play

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ballert it's very simple yeah but it's

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it's crazy it's crazy it's like it's

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like the most the like the most wild

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things are happening at the moment so

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like on your on your point on United

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States and on your point on the future

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of the company I mean

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one this is a long haul game I think the

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problem that people have in this

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industry is that they're too short

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minded and they're too focused on money

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and not focused on creating value for

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customers yeah and and telecoms allowed

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that because there's a significant

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amount of money whether you're on let's

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say you know if you divide the industry

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into like sort of like three buckets you

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have like red bucket which are all the

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frauders and all those guys and uh then

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you have sort of like the gry line

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bucket that are like kind ofish kind of

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not like you you know just depends

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whether it's Monday or Tuesday and then

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you have the uh sort of like people that

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are trying to stay on the right right

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right side of the line I think between

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all of them the problem is 90% of the

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industry is between red and gray and

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there's only very maybe even 95 or 99 so

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it's there's only very few people that

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are that are trying to sort of like stay

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there and if you want to be on that side

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then you need a l then this is a long ha

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game because what you're actually

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breaking through is interconnectedness

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of

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like so many different Legacy agreements

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and industries and people that is the

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reason why you should just take

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tinch because I tell you why because you

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could buy you can get it for a price

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that it would shock you but there's

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nothing but there's nothing that tinch

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has that I want I think they have the

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they have a connectivity platform we

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have more I have more I have more

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connections than tinch I have a better

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platform than ttin you definitely don't

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you definitely don't have a better

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platform than you don't not not on

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messaging connectivities not even close

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sorry

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sorry I can't

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stand look got got German 24 hours seven

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humping his own he humps it himself but

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but he doesn't make but if if he had if

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it was so great it would make more money

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like no it doesn't make more money

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because he doesn't want to make more

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money all he wants to to him it's a

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shrine to himself he doesn't care he's

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not interested building I think think I

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think no but I I look I'll be I'll be

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honest before they hate me but like I'm

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also serious I think I'm not what I'm

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not saying I don't think tinch is

play11:42

interesting for us because honestly like

play11:44

with due respect to tinch I think I have

play11:46

a better platform but like and I have

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more connectivity than than tinch Etc

play11:49

that said that said tinch has unique

play11:52

assets that are uniquely positioned for

play11:55

the markets that's why you know we're a

play11:56

customer they're a customer etc etc so

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there's nothing wrong wrong with tinch I

play12:00

think they're great they're a great

play12:01

company there's a lotong with TCH I'm

play12:03

just trying to sell it to you because

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you're my last chance IED to sell it I'm

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not a buyer the other thing is like it's

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like I I it's just like what like you

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know these days I mean they could give

play12:13

it to me for free that's fine but like

play12:15

you know I'd be happy I know I know I'm

play12:16

serious like I'm I'm happy to take I you

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didn't hear my conversation we were

play12:22

willing to take stock in a company that

play12:24

was getting bought I said free I said

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free not stock I'm not giving stock

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either no stock is

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paper you you can give stock look kch

play12:34

has got value to it it's definitely

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value 600 million in cash for spark post

play12:39

because I didn't want to give away any

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stock yeah I don't give I'm not a St I'm

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not a stock Giver um that's why I still

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control the company that's why I still

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so like fair enough it's it's no but but

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I think T has unique assets I think a

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good buyer for a company like tinac and

play12:54

by the way many messaging companies out

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there no there's going to be no fire

play12:57

because there's going to be litigation

play12:58

coming out and that's doing business

play13:00

with them that is a partner of them I'm

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going after them too they owe me9

play13:03

million point blank blank Point Blank

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hey now first you try to sell me

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something and then you're gonna sue me

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you my last chance you you were my last

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chance to sell it so at the end of the

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day me and th are not gonna get along

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I'm not gonna make a deal with him I

play13:18

would rather burn the money that he's

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trying to offer me which is pennies

play13:22

compared to what he owes me I saved him

play13:25

him and his his little sidekick there uh

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they basically were fire from their

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company I enabled them to do a

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management buyout I gave these guys

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everything and then they screwed me so

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this is personal and cpio partners the

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fund that owes them they're also run a

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company called wire which competes with

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M telegram so they're a PE group out of

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Germany that I hate more than I can I I

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don't hate dorsy because I understand

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the animal right he's just a disgusting

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lunatic and he he's not a good guy but

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the guys that cpio partners are the most

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treacherous PE group and you know pees

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right these guys threw out Allan Durk of

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wire so you know I was gonna I was gonna

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do a post on them and start going after

play14:08

them hey why don't you tell us what

play14:09

happened what you did with the guy from

play14:10

telegram CIO because they play that game

play14:12

too because they're they're a

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competitor of telegram but they're a

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competitor of telegram on a corporate

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level with governments which is kind of

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amazing how a private Equity Group

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treacherous cpio Partners so cpio

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Partners is in there we're gonna start

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sooning I'm gonna file a RICO suit on

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them that I'm calling it out right here

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and Rico's a bad word right Rico you

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know Rico means r icio that not good it

play14:37

was developed for organized crime they

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organized crime I used to I used to look

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I used to watch Miami Vice so I know so

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look I don't really care anymore you

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were their last chance to be honest with

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you we're gonna hit the mat I don't care

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dorson just tried to have me arrested in

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Germany he said he's got a judgment to

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put me in jail in Germany for a LinkedIn

play14:59

post so this is how much of a lunatic he

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is um and then he had a

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lawyer but these Fe but like I I you

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know what I think I you know what I

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think I honestly I think

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like the the problem is

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that even with this is this is my honest

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you're going to get my you're gonna get

play15:23

my Dutch bluntness now like go for it

play15:26

with the even with the best intentions

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I'm assume best intentions I I hear

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everything that you're saying uh I'm

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going to assume that people are

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reasonable people and whatever agreement

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they made with you that they that they

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have some uh uh dignity to um um to do

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that I think the problem now is whatever

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the past is there just is it's one of

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those things there just isn't there

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there there isn't a world where where

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it's there's also no like the problem

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about m&a also right now is that like

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there's no like why in an if you're

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somebody crazy like me that's saying the

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whole industry is dead um right you

play16:07

basically get the CEO from Vox solution

play16:10

called me by the way had an hour

play16:12

conversation with that guy he's really

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smart he kind of pinned the whole AI ke

play16:16

on the aggregators and Enterprise large

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Enterprise which is really an

play16:21

interesting conversation you should have

play16:22

a conversation with that guy he's

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smarter than people think this is the

play16:26

CEO of Vox but look you're right right

play16:29

it's over but but he's but he's but but

play16:32

he's right of course everybody knows

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this robotic robotic autom robotic

play16:37

accounts creation okay so AIT explains

play16:39

yeah in like a in like a heartbeat it uh

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it's very simple it's basically robotic

play16:45

account creation on big Brands generates

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SMS traffic the SMS traffic somewhere in

play16:51

the chain in the value chain gets a

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kickback from a carrier there is no way

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that it otherwise works right because at

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some point like people are not doing it

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for fun so like you know there there's

play17:01

money to be made so the only way this

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works is that at the end you have a

play17:04

carrier the carrier has to give some

play17:05

sort of rev share on that messaging and

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if you generate enough robotic accounts

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then essentially you will make M you you

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will you will make money and there's

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almost no way to stop it

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because there's like we we we like so so

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you so it's like you you just you you

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kind of can't get out of it what it will

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do is and this is what they don't I mean

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they don't give a [ __ ] because they're

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the ones they're making all the money at

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the moment and but like the what people

play17:33

don't understand is that what they're

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really doing is killing the industry

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because it's like this is why if people

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think legitimate companies are in this

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space like there's no like there's no

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benefit to a company like ours or cinch

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or any of you know any of the legitimate

play17:48

PLO or like any of these platforms have

play17:51

no benefit to this because essentially

play17:53

the more that this happens the more

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distrust there comes to to SMS and you

play17:57

already have the whole thing on SMS

play17:58

where you like you know you can spoof

play18:00

the you can basically intercept the

play18:02

message if you're close enough to the to

play18:04

the poll and like do that so it always

play18:07

had it always had that negative uh

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thought already but the benefit of it

play18:10

was that it was fast and it always

play18:12

worked so people misunderstand they go

play18:14

OHS is so unsafe it's so unsafe but if

play18:16

you know anything about security

play18:18

security is not about risk exclusion

play18:20

it's about risk management because

play18:21

nothing is 100% secure what'sapp is like

play18:24

you know so like look there there's

play18:26

products there are products that are

play18:27

coming out on the identity side that

play18:29

would make the whole please don't start

play18:32

talking about please don't start talking

play18:34

me to me about this one company I I I

play18:36

not a company it's not a company you

play18:38

don't even know about [ __ ] there's a

play18:40

company you don't know about and I'll

play18:42

tell you Offline that just raised is

play18:44

doing a huge raise and they've got

play18:46

identity down to the Sim level to where

play18:49

because some some companies look for the

play18:51

mobile phone if you're using a mobile

play18:53

phone they have no way of De of knowing

play18:55

if you have a signal aot if you think

play18:57

you have three bars and they know what

play18:58

three bars is it means nothing because

play18:59

they don't test networks down to the the

play19:02

handset this company's been reverse

play19:04

engineering it down to the handset and

play19:06

has been testing with four of the five

play19:09

biggest operators in the world four the

play19:11

five biggest mobile operators in the

play19:12

world are launching with this I'll tell

play19:14

Will you hate me if I'm critical will

play19:16

you hate me if I'm critical that doesn't

play19:19

matter to me because I don't own I don't

play19:21

okay so so this is so this is my view on

play19:23

all these companies it's like I've heard

play19:26

a thousand companies come up with with a

play19:28

thousand different ways to do this the

play19:31

problem is it's not about the solution

play19:33

it's not that's not that's not

play19:34

irrelevant Brands don't give a [ __ ]

play19:36

you're going to get completely different

play19:37

Technologies we talking the banks care

play19:41

but yeah but they don't but but not but

play19:43

not really because we have litigation

play19:45

there there's there hearings going on

play19:47

right now Australia is trying to say the

play19:50

banks don't owe the money they're trying

play19:51

to screw people out of 2.8 billion in

play19:53

the US there's legislation right now is

play19:55

coming on and they're G sols

play20:00

the banks are gonna be liable and if the

play20:02

banks are liable for the tens of

play20:05

billions you're G to see Solutions yes

play20:08

but not but not on a Telo level and the

play20:11

reason is because not onco level is just

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one level one aspect of it it's just s

play20:16

swap it's all it is it solves s swap it

play20:19

solves the ability to know if that's

play20:21

actually you on the handset that did the

play20:23

transaction it's just one RCS but R RCS

play20:26

solves that problem WhatsApp solves that

play20:28

problem Pass Key solves that problem not

play20:30

entirely and I one more question on you

play20:33

because look you're a lot smarter than

play20:34

me you know this I I know this business

play20:36

by accident so let me ask you a question

play20:39

how do you see RCS and Google and apple

play20:42

and and and coming in between the US

play20:44

with the campaign registry so right now

play20:46

you're in the US you want to get a

play20:48

campaign uh you got to register with the

play20:50

campaign registry what happens because

play20:53

when I tried to buy the camp no there is

play20:56

no Campa I'm saying I tried to buy the

play20:57

campaign registry right right and I

play20:59

don't know if you know this year I put

play21:00

public we did press releases we went

play21:03

after those criminals in Clair in Italy

play21:04

they got away with Robin Millions

play21:06

doesn't matter now bottom line is I I

play21:09

met a senior guy at executive he wanted

play21:10

to join our board because he told me

play21:12

Google was gonna buy it the minute they

play21:13

merg and do this thing with Apple so

play21:17

apple and R RCS and apple come together

play21:20

where do you see the campaign registry

play21:23

why do you need

play21:24

it you don't

play21:27

exactly hey you don't no they're trying

play21:30

to sell it right now for 200 plus

play21:31

million dollar oh no right the industry

play21:33

will what this is this is what's going

play21:35

to happen one day one day they're all

play21:38

going to wake up like get their get

play21:40

their sleep out of their eyes it could

play21:41

be like this and like holy [ __ ] [ __ ]

play21:44

what happened and the industry will have

play21:45

moved from left to right overnight yeah

play21:49

yep there is no need there's no need

play21:51

there's no need for hubs there's no need

play21:53

for SMS there's no need for these things

play21:55

aren't necessary anymore if you if you

play21:58

are a preapproved or approved brand by

play22:01

Apple or by Google or by the carrier and

play22:04

they will probably do like if if you're

play22:06

there is no there is no they're

play22:08

bypassing all this technology I mean In

play22:10

fairness to Google and I've been one of

play22:12

I've been one of the biggest critical

play22:13

people on on RCS they all hated me for a

play22:15

long time because I never never wanted

play22:17

to invest in it even though we have all

play22:19

this Omni Channel stuff but I will give

play22:20

it to them I will give it to them and my

play22:23

reason was actually very simple it's not

play22:24

that I didn't believe in the tech the

play22:26

tech was always really good but I but

play22:28

you need to distribution in order to

play22:29

make the tech work so I didn't believe

play22:30

in the distribution and without the

play22:31

distribution you you you're not you're

play22:33

not able to make the tech uh work with

play22:35

the in with the interoperability with

play22:37

apple you now have distribution so all

play22:40

the carriers are playing ball every

play22:42

single one of them in the most difficult

play22:43

I mean uh us and I'll give you an

play22:45

example us and cinch are the only two

play22:48

companies in the world that are directly

play22:50

connected to all the Singaporean care uh

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carriers and you might think why is

play22:53

Singapore so important all people don't

play22:55

know is that Singapore has the highest

play22:56

amount of messages per person uh in the

play22:59

world so it has actually very low

play23:00

penetration in terms of amounts of

play23:02

people but it has extremely high amount

play23:05

amount of messages so it's not actually

play23:06

a small country um uh that that people

play23:09

think no it's a very it's a very

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important country altoe with uh uh money

play23:14

between China and the US yeah but let

play23:16

Rob finish let Robert finish so so in so

play23:19

so what so what you're now getting is

play23:21

that all the carriers are gonna are

play23:22

going to play ball and you see it in

play23:23

Europe you see it in Asia you see it in

play23:24

the unit in United States it'll take a

play23:26

little bit a while because RCS only work

play23:28

on latest phones and updated Etc but

play23:30

it's a but it's a but at the end of the

play23:32

day like it's just it's a it's a sliding

play23:34

scale right like every month every

play23:36

quarter it will just go up and up and up

play23:37

and up and the industry will move and

play23:39

the interesting thing is if you go back

play23:40

to our pricing strategy this is why

play23:42

we're giving it away for free because

play23:44

there is no more money the money is gone

play23:47

what's going to happen is that carers

play23:50

why do you need me you need me as an

play23:52

abstraction layer across many different

play23:54

channels that's what an aggregator would

play23:56

say yeah so first you need exraction

play23:58

layer across all the carriers around the

play24:00

world well that industry is gone because

play24:02

now you just have one connection to

play24:03

Google and like you're you're you're

play24:05

done so so that's so that's a sort of

play24:06

Industry too then you have okay but now

play24:08

you have multiple channels just three

play24:09

fies WhatsApp other other channels great

play24:12

but that's not really a high margin

play24:13

business right because like now again

play24:15

you're in like a compressing uh

play24:16

compressing margin uh business in order

play24:19

to do this so this business doesn't

play24:21

exist and people will not realize it it

play24:24

just doesn't exist so what we did is we

play24:26

moved on to the application side with

play24:28

all the experience that we have because

play24:30

I do think that like being in this

play24:31

industry and understanding all the

play24:33

channels and all the complexity and all

play24:34

the different like if you a file has to

play24:36

be compressed on this channel to this

play24:38

file size but on that one on that one

play24:40

and you know there's so if you're a

play24:41

brand you care about that stuff a lot

play24:44

and security and and all that sort of

play24:46

stuff so but it's about what you do with

play24:48

a channel that's where the value is it's

play24:50

where the value for us as a company is

play24:51

the value for the brand is the value

play24:54

Downstream in all of these like

play24:56

different connections that was really

play24:58

great business and I still love it to

play24:59

death and I I don't want the industry to

play25:01

die but it will die there is no industry

play25:04

left and people need to start realizing

play25:06

this that there is no indry left and

play25:07

whatever like all these other companies

play25:09

W Street wall Street's already wall

play25:11

Street's realized that already they're

play25:13

done wet of course but this is because

play25:16

every industry analyst like also like I

play25:18

don't I don't get a lot of views but

play25:19

every industry Analyst at least reads

play25:21

what I say and like it's but it's also

play25:23

logical they they don't needed it up

play25:25

because if they actually heard you and

play25:26

understood you the big play here and the

play25:29

podcast should read short everybody

play25:32

which is what I did nine months ago and

play25:34

I had IND is going all day long on a

play25:36

free what do I think it's all short one

play25:38

big short on a I I still be careful

play25:41

about that like on a free cash flow

play25:43

basis I would say that where they're

play25:44

valued right now I don't think is like

play25:46

they're not crazy overvalued because

play25:49

it's it's it's the value right now I you

play25:52

have cash in the bank it's where are

play25:53

they going so you took a look you take a

play25:55

look oh yeah you take a five so it's

play25:59

it's a threee short long is what I'm

play26:01

saying and and and they got a CFO in

play26:03

there right now who a b en counter who

play26:05

spent years working with Jeff emlet who

play26:07

destroyed our greatest country in

play26:09

company America GI what I'm on the

play26:13

record I do not give investment

play26:17

advice I am not an investment advisor

play26:21

I'm not an investment advisor either but

play26:23

look the writing's on the wall um the

play26:25

whole industry is a short so you're

play26:27

saying you and

play26:29

cinch see this com what is cinch gonna

play26:32

do I can't bad question I hope I hope I

play26:36

I hope they one day I mean I definitely

play26:38

hope one day I hope one day when you log

play26:40

into if I was a cinch customer and I had

play26:42

to go to that login screen and see 30

play26:44

different brands to choose from to log

play26:45

in for because nobody ever uh like

play26:48

brought all the platforms together I

play26:49

would just be like maybe they should

play26:50

focus their first sorry I don't mean to

play26:53

jab I don't I don't mean to jab them

play26:55

look they don't care they made their

play26:56

money you have to understand some these

play26:58

guys made their money they hired they

play27:00

they they they I I think I think what's

play27:03

going to happen which is not something

play27:05

that I would like but I think this is

play27:07

what's going to happen my prediction

play27:08

would be at some point these companies

play27:10

are going to consolidate and it won't be

play27:12

us I will guarantee you that I will go

play27:14

into record and say I'm not buying any

play27:16

of them I'm definitely not consolidating

play27:18

with them Ian I don't have the I don't

play27:19

have the money I don't I'm never giving

play27:20

them any of my share like this will

play27:21

never happen but like so I so I won't be

play27:23

the one but I think if you're a large

play27:26

public company or still a private

play27:27

company

play27:28

um I think what will happen is you will

play27:30

consolidate into and they will create a

play27:32

big group and there's some

play27:33

anti-competitive there so I think the

play27:35

problem I think the anti competitors at

play27:37

meth when they wouldn't let you get

play27:39

agreements that type mean I mean like I

play27:42

mean like actual Regulators yeah not

play27:44

fake ones it's funny how me is sitting

play27:46

here telling us what to do in the US

play27:48

isn't that amazing except they got

play27:49

thrown out of the CTI event they thought

play27:51

they were the gsma and the gsma has been

play27:54

quite a bit of years but the gsma but if

play27:56

you talk about look do leg organizations

play27:58

in the world that we've always been a

play28:00

member of and that I think are very very

play28:02

respectful is gsma and itu right

play28:04

numbering organization on the it side

play28:07

and the gsma these are respectable

play28:09

Telecom organizations that understand

play28:11

Telco that don't go with the wave

play28:12

they're not like they to like do

play28:14

anything they also make their money and

play28:16

they they charge you a lot and like it's

play28:18

okay but they're respectful they're

play28:20

respectable or uh respectable

play28:21

organizations everybody around one more

play28:24

question so er just this is like these

play28:26

Awards sorry one more thing

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