Editors Take | Massive Surge in Mid-Small Caps! Get the Full Strategy from Anil Singhvi!

Zee Business
30 Aug 202405:53

Summary

TLDRThe script discusses the day's market action, highlighting a strong start and subsequent buying activity. It emphasizes the impressive performance of mid-cap stocks and the significant action in index stocks. The speaker also notes the potential of the banking sector and provides insights on stock movements, suggesting buying opportunities in dips. The summary also touches on the possibility of the Nifty index setting a new record, the importance of hedging in long positions, and the strategy for short positions, advising caution until clear signals emerge.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The market was expected to be in a buying mood, with some down action, but the show is now heading towards a positive trend.
  • 💼 Mid-cap stocks are showing good action, indicating a healthy market environment for investors.
  • 🏦 The banking sector is attempting to strengthen, which is a positive sign for the overall market sentiment.
  • 📊 The Nifty index has crossed the 51,400 level, which is a significant recovery point from the previous 49,650 level.
  • 📉 Despite some fluctuations, the market seems to be in a strong position with no significant doubts about its current momentum.
  • 🚀 The market is trying to maintain its pace, with an attempt to capture the momentum for a change in the market trend.
  • 📉 There is a mention of a slight dip in the FMCG sector, but it is not considered a major concern for the overall market.
  • 💊 The pharmaceutical sector is showing signs of a strong comeback, with good momentum expected in the coming days.
  • 🍬 The sugar sector is also gaining momentum, indicating a favorable time for investors to consider this sector.
  • 📊 The script emphasizes the importance of maintaining a strategy with a focus on mid-cap and small-cap stocks, which have been hit hard but are now showing signs of recovery.
  • ⚠️ The speaker advises caution in taking short positions, suggesting that signals for short selling have not yet appeared, and recommends maintaining long positions with proper hedging and stop-loss strategies.

Q & A

  • What was the general mood in the market as described in the script?

    -The general mood in the market was initially described as needing to pick up the mood, but later in the script, it is mentioned that there was a good action in the mid-cap stocks and indices.

  • What does the speaker suggest about the stocks and indices after 11:00 AM?

    -The speaker indicates that there was action in the stocks and indices until 11:00 AM, but after that, the action seemed to have stopped, and they were waiting for it to resume.

  • What is the speaker's view on the performance of mid-cap stocks?

    -The speaker views the performance of mid-cap stocks positively, mentioning that there is good action in them.

  • What does the speaker say about the bank index and its attempt to strengthen?

    -The speaker notes that the bank index is trying to strengthen, which they consider a good sign, as it indicates the potential for the bank index to lead the market if it closes well.

  • What is the speaker's advice regarding the purchase of stocks?

    -The speaker advises to purchase stocks with a strategy that involves buying on dips and suggests specific levels for buying, such as 25200 and 25150 for Nifty.

  • What is the significance of the bank index crossing the level of 51400 according to the speaker?

    -The speaker highlights that the bank index crossing the level of 51400 is significant as it shows a recovery from a previous high of 5144 during a recovery phase.

  • What does the speaker suggest about the leadership in the market?

    -The speaker suggests that if two banks enter the leadership in the market, it would be a positive sign, and the market would become more exciting.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the range of Nifty for the last day of the week?

    -The speaker believes that the range of Nifty for the last day of the week is limited, with a range of 50-60 points, and they provide specific levels to watch for potential trading opportunities.

  • What does the speaker say about the pharmaceutical sector and its recent performance?

    -The speaker mentions that the pharmaceutical sector has shown good momentum recently, with some stocks showing strong performance.

  • What is the speaker's strategy for trading in sugar stocks?

    -The speaker suggests that sugar stocks are in a good position and that the momentum is favorable. They advise to have a clear strategy and stop-loss in place for trading in sugar stocks.

  • What is the speaker's advice on short selling in the market?

    -The speaker advises against short selling until a specific signal appears, which is when Nifty goes below 850. They suggest waiting for a clear signal before considering short positions.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Stock Market Action and Strategy

The script discusses the day's stock market activity, highlighting a somewhat sluggish start with a hint of action. It emphasizes the return to good buying opportunities and the positive movement in mid-cap stocks and indices. The speaker mentions the significant action in specific stocks and the overall market mood, suggesting no doubts about the market's direction. The focus then shifts to banking stocks, particularly the attempt of a bank index to strengthen, which is seen as a positive sign. The speaker also discusses the potential for further upward movement in the market, suggesting that if the bank index closes well, it could lead to increased leadership and momentum, especially if two banks enter the leadership. The summary also touches on the narrow trading range of the Nifty 50 and the expectation of a strong close, which would indicate a good start after the weekend.

05:01

🤔 Market Fear and Position Management

In the second paragraph, the speaker addresses the fear that market participants often feel and how it can be beneficial to acknowledge this fear upfront. The advice given is to either avoid trading or to trade conservatively to manage risk. The speaker suggests having a simple formula for when to take short positions and emphasizes the importance of acting on signals when they appear. The paragraph also covers the idea of hedging long positions and maintaining a trail stop loss to protect profits. The speaker concludes by sharing their view on the current market situation, encouraging a cautious yet strategic approach to trading.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Market Mood

The term 'Market Mood' refers to the general sentiment or attitude of investors towards the stock market at a particular time. In the script, the speaker mentions 'मूड लेना' which translates to 'taking the mood', indicating that the market was expected to be positive initially but then experienced a downturn, as seen with the phrase 'थ्रू द डे थोड़ा डल एक्शन' suggesting some selling pressure or bearish sentiment.

💡Stocks

Stocks are shares in the ownership of a company. The script discusses 'स्टॉक्स', indicating the focus on individual company shares and their performance within the market. The speaker mentions 'अच्छा एक्शन है' in relation to stocks, suggesting that there is positive movement or buying activity in certain stocks.

💡Index

An index is a statistical measure of changes in a representative group of securities, often used to describe the performance of the market or a segment of it. The script refers to 'इंडेक्स पे', which implies that the speaker is discussing the performance of a stock market index, likely the Nifty 50, which is a key index in the Indian stock market.

💡Mid Caps

Mid-cap stocks are those of companies that fall in the middle in terms of market capitalization, between small-cap and large-cap companies. The script mentions 'मिड कैप्स', indicating that the speaker is discussing this category of stocks, which are often seen as a balance between the stability of large caps and the growth potential of small caps.

💡Nifty

Nifty is a stock market index for the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. The script uses 'बैंक निफ्टी' and 'बैंक निफ्टी में', which suggests that the speaker is discussing the performance of banking stocks within the Nifty index, highlighting the significance of banking sector performance in the overall market index.

💡Leadership

In the context of the stock market, 'leadership' often refers to the stocks or sectors that are driving the market's direction. The script mentions 'लीडरशिप' in relation to 'बैंक निफ्टी', indicating that the speaker is discussing the potential for banking stocks to lead the market, which would be a significant factor in the overall market trend.

💡Range

A range in stock market terminology refers to the price range within which a security or index is trading. The script discusses 'रेंज', specifically mentioning '50 60 पॉइंट' and '100 पॉइंट की रेंज', which suggests that the speaker is analyzing the trading range of the Nifty index, providing insight into the volatility and potential trading opportunities.

💡Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a stock chart that tend to be areas where the price may stop and reverse. The script uses 'सपोर्ट' and 'रेसिस्टेंस' to describe price levels that the market is testing. The speaker mentions '5125 51 150' as a support level, indicating a price point where the market may find buying interest and potentially bounce back.

💡Sector

A sector in the stock market refers to a group of companies that operate in the same industry or have similar characteristics. The script mentions 'बड़ा सेक्टर', which implies that the speaker is discussing a significant industry group within the market, possibly banking, and its potential impact on the overall market performance.

💡Strategy

In the context of the stock market, a strategy refers to a plan or approach for trading or investing. The script discusses 'रणनीति', indicating that the speaker is providing advice on how to navigate the market, such as buying on dips, setting stop losses, and maintaining positions, which are all part of a broader trading strategy.

Highlights

Market mood was initially positive with some bullish action, but it slowed down as the day progressed.

Good buying opportunities were observed in stocks, especially in mid-cap stocks.

Banks are trying to show strength, which is a positive sign for the market.

Nifty is expected to show strength after a good start, but the range is limited.

The market is focusing more on mid-cap and small-cap stocks rather than large-cap stocks.

Banks are expected to lead the market if they show strong support levels.

Nifty has crossed the level of 51400 after a long time, indicating a potential recovery.

Life Insurance has shown a good performance, and the market is waiting for it to lead further.

IT and Pharma sectors are expected to show strength, with Pharma showing a good pace in the market.

Sugar shares are expected to perform well, and there is a good time starting for sugar shares.

The strategy is to buy on dips and hold long positions with proper stop-loss management.

Short selling signals are not yet clear, and it's advised to wait for clear signals before shorting.

The market is expected to make a new record, aiming for a continuous 12th trading session high.

The range for Nifty is very tight, with a focus on trading within a small range.

The market is expected to show strength if it closes well, which could lead to a more significant uptrend.

The support level for Nifty is strong, and it's not expected to break easily.

The market is advised to be cautious and to hedge long positions to protect profits.

Transcripts

play00:00

बाजार पर ही मूड लेना था वैसे आज देखें तो

play00:03

थ्रू द डे थोड़ा डल एक्शन ही होते हुए

play00:05

दिखाए बट अब हम शो में जा रहे हैं तो हमने

play00:06

अच्छी खरीदारी एक बार फिर से लौटते हुई

play00:08

देखिए है और स्टॉक्स में इंडेक्स पे तो

play00:10

अच्छा एक्शन है ही मिड कैप्स में अच्छा

play00:12

एक्शन है बट जो स्टॉक्स में एक्शन आ रहा

play00:13

है वो जबरदस्त दिख रहा है सर आज बिलकुल

play00:16

दीप जब तक हम बैठे थे 11:00 बजे तक शो में

play00:18

तब तक एक्शन था वापस बीच में बंद हुआ अब

play00:20

वापस हम आए तोस हमारा इंतजार था बस नहीं

play00:23

एक्शन बढ़िया होता हुआ दिख रहा है इसमें

play00:24

कोई डाउट ही नहीं है और फिर से रफ्तार

play00:27

पकड़ने की कोशिश कर रहे फॉर अ चेंज एक

play00:29

अच्छी बात माफ कीजिएगा एक अच्छी बात जो

play00:32

दिख रही है वो यह है दप की बैंक निफ्टी

play00:35

मजबूत होने की कोशिश कर रहा है ये एक

play00:37

बढ़िया बात है क्योंकि सी अल्टीमेटली क्या

play00:39

है अब आप 25000 के ऊपर टिक गए लाइफ आई बना

play00:44

दिया कई सारे स्टॉक चल भी गए अब आपको आगे

play00:48

बढ़ाने के लिए कुछ तो चाहिए फॉर एग्जांपल

play00:50

अब तक आपको लाय का सहारा था लाय की एजीएम

play00:53

हो गई बोनस भी आ गयाला आज थोड़ा ढीला हो

play00:55

गया आप देख सकते हैं एक डेढ़ दो पर नीचे

play00:57

है तो अब

play01:00

हो गया एफएमसीजी शेयर भी लाइफ आई बनाने के

play01:02

बाद रुके हैं आईटी फार्मा चलो ठीक है अलग

play01:04

चाल में व अभी मजबूत है अब कोई बड़ा

play01:07

सेक्टर आपको और चाहिए हम वो बड़ा सेक्टर

play01:11

बैंक तैयार हो रहे हैं अच्छा दिख रहा है

play01:13

अब आज बैंक ने लंबे समय बाद 51400 का लेवल

play01:16

पार किया है 51400 इस पूरी रिकवरी में 49

play01:20

650 से जो रिकवरी थ उसमें 5144 हाई थाम आज

play01:24

उसके ऊपर निकल के टिकने की कोशिश कर रहे

play01:26

हैं इसलिए आपको याद होगा मैं बार-बार

play01:27

बोलता था 51 350 के ऊपर बंद होंगे तो हम

play01:30

लाइफ आई की तरफ बढ़ेंगे लाइफ थोड़ा सा

play01:33

मैंने उसको बढ़ाया 51 500 के आसपास का

play01:35

किया है सो आई थिंक उस तरफ बैंक निफ्टी अब

play01:38

जो है ना आपको संकेत दे रहा है कि अगर आज

play01:40

ढंग की क्लोजिंग बैंक निफ्टी ने दे दी तो

play01:42

बैंक निफ्टी ये कह देगा कि भाई अब मैं

play01:44

लीडरशिप ले लूंगा हम और बैंक निफ्टी

play01:46

लीडरशिप लेगा नहीं लेगा ये पता कैसे चलेगा

play01:48

कैसे ये पता चलेगा दो ही चीजों से

play01:58

hdfcfund.com अ से लीडरशिप में दो बैंक आ

play02:01

जाए अगर लीडरशिप में तो काम हो गया ना तो

play02:03

मजा आएगा तो इसलिए अभी तक क्या है जो तेजी

play02:05

बन रही है बैंक निफ्टी में इन दोनों की

play02:07

लीडरशिप से नहीं है खाली एचडीएफसी की

play02:10

लीडरशिप से सो ओवरऑल मुझे लग रहा है दीप

play02:12

के अगर आज एक अच्छी क्लोजिंग मिल जाए तो

play02:14

मजा आ जाए तो आज की जो एडिटर्स है उसमें

play02:18

सिंपल सी चीज है कि मजबूत शुरुआत के बाद

play02:19

अी बिल्कुल सीमित दायरे में आप देखिए

play02:21

हफ्ते के आखिरी दिन क्या रेंज है आपकी

play02:23

निफ्टी पर 50 60 पॉइंट

play02:25

की कुछ भी नहीं सुबह सुबह वो 258 तो यही

play02:29

खुले थे उसके बाद 250 के ऊपर आप गए नहीं

play02:32

200 के नीचे गए नहीं पूरी 50 पॉइंट की

play02:34

रेंज बैंक निफ्टी देखिए 100 पॉइंट की रेंज

play02:36

है मुश्किल से नीचे में 51 300 दिख रहा है

play02:38

ऊपर में 51 466 दिख रहा 150 पॉइंट की मान

play02:41

लो 400 के आसपास ही ट्रेड करते हुए दिख है

play02:44

सो बहुत ही छोटी रेंज है आज दिग्गजों से

play02:46

फोकस शिफ्ट ह हटकर मिडकैप स्मल कैप शरो

play02:49

में भी आया कल ऐसी इनकी पिटाई हुई जैसे कि

play02:51

अब इनको किसी को कोई लेना नहीं चाहता और

play02:54

ये टॉप बनाने के संकेत दे रहे लेकिन देखिए

play02:56

एक ही दिन में किसे घूम केकी वापस मजबूत

play02:58

हो जा सो आई थिंक ल ल कोई चिंता वाली बात

play03:00

है नहीं लगातार 12 दिन चढ़कर आज निफ्टी

play03:03

रिकॉर्ड बनाने की पूरी कोशिश करेगा और

play03:05

इतिहास में पहली बार ऐसा होगा 2007 के बाद

play03:09

जब निफ्टी लगातार 12 ट्रेडिंग सेशन हर

play03:11

इशान में बंद हो हम कमाल है ना सो आज इसकी

play03:15

पूरी उम्मीद है ऐसे में आपको बायोन डिप्स

play03:18

की रणनीति के साथ रहना है गिरावट में

play03:19

खरीददारी करनी है और कहां खरीददारी करनी

play03:21

है अगर आज ये लेवल मिले चांस कम है मिले

play03:24

तो ठीक नहीं मिले तो आपका क्या लेके गया

play03:26

25050 2150 थोड़ा दूर हो गया लेकिन रेंज

play03:30

और बहुत अग्रेसिव है तो 25 20000 पे

play03:31

एंट्री करें आज की लो पे नहीं तो 2550 25

play03:34

150 अगर मिलेगा यहां खरीददारी का मौका

play03:36

होगा बैंक निफ्टी 5125 51 150 अब आज के

play03:40

लिए बहुत मजबूत सपोर्ट बन गया जो आसानी से

play03:42

नहीं टूटेगा ऊपर में 25200 के ऊपर अगर आज

play03:45

हम बंद हो जाते हैं जो कि चांस दिख रहे

play03:47

हैं निफ्टी के अभी तक तो तो मजबूती और

play03:49

बढ़ेगी और बैंक ् अगर 50 51500 के ऊपर आज

play03:52

बंद होता है तो तेजी और बढ़ेगी और अच्छी

play03:54

तेजी बनेगी बैंक निफ्टी फिर लीडरशिप में आ

play03:56

जाएगा फिर निफ्टी से बेहतर प्रदर्शन करना

play03:58

बैंक निफ्टी शुरू कर देगा अगर आज 51 500

play04:00

के ऊपर आज बंद हो जाते हैं तो ये दिखता है

play04:03

मिटके फार्मा शेरों में खरीददारी के

play04:05

बढ़िया मौके आज फार्मा फिर से बढ़िया तेजी

play04:07

में आता हु दिखा फार्मा शेर में एक दो

play04:08

दिनों से ज्यादा ये फार्मा है ना पुराने

play04:10

पीएसयू जैसे हो गए है ना जो एक दिन रुकते

play04:13

थे तीन वापस ऐसे भागते थे पूछो मत

play04:15

सिमिलरली मिटके फार्मा में अच्छी तेजी के

play04:17

मुख है शुगर शेयर आज अपने बढ़िया चल रहे

play04:19

हैं शुगर प हमने बहुत बोल लिया और शुगर

play04:21

शेर की तेजी द मैं बता दूं ये एक दिन की

play04:23

नहीं है ऐसा नहीं कि खाली आज खबर आई है

play04:26

शुगर शरो में रहेगी तेजी अब ये धीरे-धीरे

play04:28

ये वापस मार्केट के फेवर में आने लगेंगे

play04:31

और बायोन डिप्स हो जाएगा करेक्शन में इनको

play04:34

खरीदा जाएगा शुगर शेरों के लिए अच्छा समय

play04:36

शुरू हो रहा है क्या बात है हां तो यहां

play04:38

तेजी होगी अभी इस लाइफ हाई पर आपकी

play04:42

स्ट्रेटेजी क्लियर होनी चाहिए और वो ये

play04:44

अपना स्टॉप लॉस जो भी आपको समझ में आए

play04:46

पकड़ के रखें और तेजी की पोजीशन को बनाए

play04:49

रखें और जो लोग शॉर्ट करना चाहते हैं वो

play04:53

थोड़ा घूम के आ

play04:55

जाए अभी तक शॉर्ट के संकेत आए नहीं आए सर

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अभी तक कोई ऐसा आज भी हमने क्या कहा जब तक

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850 ना तो शॉर्ट करने का सोचो भी मत सॉरी

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950 तो ऊपर में शॉर्ट करके क्या बना सकते

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हो आप बताओ हार्डली ठीक है ना आज तो

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बिल्कुल ही नहीं आज तो खैर लॉन्ग करके भी

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नहीं बना पा रहे हैं स्टॉक स्पेसिफिक ही

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ज्यादा है सो अपने सिंपल से एक फॉर्मूला

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रखना जब शॉर्ट का सिग्नल आएगा तो शॉर्ट भी

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करो कौन मना करता है आए सिग्नल तो करो ठीक

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है जब तक ना आए तब तक लॉन्ग करो हम ठीक है

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और लॉन्ग करने में अगर आपको डर लगता है जो

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कि लगना चाहिए हमेशा हम मार्केट आपको डरा

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है उससे बढ़िया है कि आप पहले ही डर जाए ह

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और अगर आप पहले डरेंगे तो क्या करेंगे या

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तो सौदा नहीं करेंगे हम या करेंगे तो कम

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करेंगे और अगर बड़ा किया तो आप होजिन

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करेंगे तीनों ही केस बढ़िया है तीनों ही

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बढ़िया है क्या प्रॉब्लम है तो तीनों केस

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में अच्छा है तो इसलिए आप अपनी लॉन्ग

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पोजीशन पे थोड़ी हेजिंग थोड़ी जिस तरह से

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आप रखना चाहे वो रखें और बने रहे ट्रेल

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करते चलिए स्टॉप लॉस को ताकि प्रॉफिट

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प्रोटेक्ट होते रहे ठीक है चलिए तो ये है

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इस समय अनल जी की राय

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