Du Plessis vs Adesanya Predictions | UFC 305 Perth | UFC Bet With Me

Free Picks PickDawgz
14 Aug 202426:16

Summary

TLDRIn this MMA locker room discussion, the host breaks down UFC 305, highlighting the main event featuring Israel Adesanya defending his middleweight title against Robert Whittaker. The analysis covers fight predictions, betting odds, and personal insights on various matches, including underdogs and favorites, while engaging viewers to share their bets and thoughts on the upcoming fights.

Takeaways

  • 🥊 The main event of UFC 305 features a title fight between the champion Drus (Duplicity) and Israel Adesanya, highlighting a battle for the African title.
  • 📈 The speaker discusses their betting record from the previous week, mentioning a 7-3 success rate and reflecting on missed bets and regrets.
  • 🤼‍♂️ The first fight discussed is between Stuart Nickel and Jesús Aguilar, where the speaker bets against the favorite Nickel, predicting Aguilar to win by taking advantage of Nickel's potential to gas out.
  • 💥 Keenan Song is favored against Ricky Glenn, with the speaker predicting a KO victory for Song and suggesting a bet on the fight not going the distance.
  • 🤷‍♂️ Tom Nolan is a significant favorite against Alex Reyes, and the speaker advises against betting on this fight due to the high odds against the underdog.
  • 🦘 Australian fighter Jack Jenkins is expected to win by leg kick KO against Herbert Burns, capitalizing on Burns' previous leg injury.
  • 🤝 Casey O'Neal is favored against Lana Santos, with the speaker praising O'Neal's versatility and improvement, predicting a third-round finish.
  • 🇧🇷 Australian fighter Josh Kula is expected to win by KO against Brazilian Ricardo Ramos, who has shown a tendency to quit in previous fights.
  • 👊 The speaker predicts a victory for V. Walker over Junior Tofa, emphasizing the importance of takedowns in this wrestler versus striker match.
  • 🏆 Carlos Prus is a heavy favorite in his fight, and the speaker has already placed a bet on him, expecting a possible early round knockout.
  • 🥇 Jairzinho Rozenstruik is picked to win by knockout against Tai Tuivasa, who has been on a losing streak and may not last long in the fight.

Q & A

  • What is the main event of UFC 305 discussed in the script?

    -The main event of UFC 305 is a fight between Jesus Duplicity, who is defending his belt, and Israel Adesanya, which is highlighted as a significant battle for the title of the first African Champion in UFC.

  • What was the record of the predictions made in the previous week according to the script?

    -The predictions for the previous week resulted in a 7 and 3 record, which the speaker initially states as a great job but then corrects himself, expressing a desire to do better and aim for an undefeated record.

  • Which fighter did the speaker mention as having a good job in wrestling and submissions but facing a tough opponent in Jesus Anglin?

    -The speaker refers to Stuart Nickel, who is making his UFC debut and is known for his wrestling and submissions, but is facing a tough opponent in Jesus Anglin, who has a record of multiple wins by submissions.

  • What is the speaker's prediction for the fight between Stuart Nickel and Jesus Anglin?

    -The speaker goes against the favorite, Stuart Nickel, and predicts Jesus Anglin to win as an underdog. The speaker also suggests betting on the over two and a half rounds for the fight.

  • What was the speaker's opinion on the fight between Keenan Song and Ricky Glenn?

    -The speaker believes Keenan Song will win by KO and prefers the fight not to go the distance, suggesting a bet on the under two and a half rounds.

  • What is the speaker's view on Tom Nolan's odds and the potential bet for his fight?

    -The speaker considers Tom Nolan's odds of minus 1200 to be too high and suggests not to put it in a parlay. Instead, the speaker recommends betting on the under one and a half rounds for the fight.

  • Which fighter did the speaker predict to win by a leg kick KO and why?

    -The speaker predicts Jack Jenkins to win by a leg kick KO against Herbert Burns, based on Burns' previous issues with leg injuries and Jenkins' strength in leg kicks.

  • What is the significance of the fight between Junior Tofa and Vitor Walker according to the script?

    -The fight is significant because both Junior Tofa and Vitor Walker are younger brothers of well-known UFC fighters, making it a battle of the siblings.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the main event fighters' chances and their potential impact on the middleweight rankings?

    -The speaker believes that if Israel Adesanya wins, it will cement his status as one of the best middleweights of all time. However, if he loses to Jesus Duplicity, it might tarnish his record and start a downward trend in his career.

  • What bet does the speaker recommend for the main event between Jesus Duplicity and Israel Adesanya?

    -The speaker recommends betting on the fight not to go the distance, suggesting the under four and a half rounds, as they believe there is an underlying beef between the fighters that could lead to an early finish.

Outlines

00:00

🥊 UFC 305 Preview and Betting Predictions

The paragraph discusses the upcoming UFC 305 event, focusing on the main event featuring Israel Adesanya defending his belt against Robert Whittaker. It highlights the significance of the fight as a battle for the African title, with both fighters having strong ties to Africa. The speaker also reviews their betting performance from the previous week, mentioning a 7-3 record and discussing specific bets and outcomes, including misses on Quang Lee and Gregori. The paragraph sets the stage for a detailed breakdown of the fights and bets for UFC 305.

05:02

🤼‍♂️ Breakdown of Early UFC 305 Fights and Betting Odds

This section delves into the specifics of several early fights on the UFC 305 card. It starts with the match-up between Stuart Nickel making his UFC debut and Jesus Aguilar, discussing Nickel's wrestling and submission skills and Aguilar's tendency to seek submissions. The speaker goes against the favorite Nickel, picking Aguilar as an underdog. The paragraph continues with the fight between Keenan Song and Ricky Glenn, where Song is favored due to his explosive power despite Glenn's move to a new weight class. Other fights discussed include Tom Nolan versus Alex Reyes, where Nolan is a significant favorite, and the Australian versus Brazil match between Jack Jenkins and Herbert Burns, with a focus on leg kicks as a potential path to victory for Jenkins.

10:02

🏆 In-Depth Analysis of UFC 305's Middleweight Championship

The speaker provides an in-depth analysis of the middleweight championship fight between Jesus 'JZ' Cavalcante and Israel Adesanya. They discuss Cavalcante's undefeated record in the UFC and his striking ability, while Adesanya is portrayed as a favorite with a history of early-round knockouts. The speaker also touches on the significance of the fight for both fighters' legacies, with Adesanya potentially cementing his status as one of the best middleweights of all time with a win.

15:02

🤺 Predictions for Additional UFC 305 Bouts and Betting Angles

This part of the script covers additional fights on the UFC 305 card, including the co-main event featuring Jared Cannonier against Tai Tuivasa. The speaker predicts a knockout win for Cannonier, who is favored due to his striking skills. Other fights mentioned include Casey O'Neal versus Lana Santos, with O'Neal favored for her overall skills, and Josh Jorn versus Ricardo Ramos, where the speaker predicts a KO win for Jorn. The paragraph also includes predictions for the underdog and favorite fighters, along with the speaker's personal betting preferences.

20:03

🥋 UFC 305 Main Event: Adesanya vs. Whittaker Betting Insights

The final paragraph focuses on the main event of UFC 305, the middleweight championship between Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker. The speaker discusses the odds, with Adesanya initially favored but the odds shifting towards Whittaker as the underdog. The speaker shares their history of betting on Whittaker, highlighting his past victories and their confidence in his abilities. They predict a possible early-round finish for Whittaker, given Adesanya's struggles with takedowns and Whittaker's explosive fighting style.

25:03

📊 Final UFC 305 Betting Picks and Fan Engagement

In the concluding paragraph, the speaker summarizes their final picks for UFC 305, including predictions for fights not going the distance and specific bets they plan to make. They express their excitement for the event and invite fans to share their thoughts and bets in the comments. The speaker also reflects on the difficulty of choosing sides between two favored fighters, likening it to supporting two sports teams, and ends with a call to action for fans to engage with the content.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡UFC

UFC stands for the Ultimate Fighting Championship, which is the premier mixed martial arts (MMA) organization in the world. It is central to the video's theme as the script discusses various fights and fighters within the organization. For example, the script mentions 'UFC 305' which is a specific event where multiple fights took place.

💡Main Event

In the context of MMA and the UFC, the 'Main Event' refers to the final and most anticipated fight of an event, usually featuring top-ranked fighters. In the script, 'Main Event' is used to highlight the fight between Jesus Duplicity and Israel Adesanya for the middleweight championship.

💡Fighter

A 'Fighter' in this context is an individual participating in a combat sport, specifically MMA. The video script frequently discusses various fighters, their records, and their fighting styles, such as 'Stuart Nickel' and 'Jesus Aguilar'.

💡Betting Odds

Betting odds are used in sports wagering to quantify the probability of an event happening and to set the payout for bets. The script mentions odds like 'minus 170' or 'plus 115', which are used to express the likelihood of a fighter winning a match and the potential returns for a bet.

💡Debut

A 'Debut' in the context of sports and MMA refers to a fighter's first appearance or fight in a particular organization or event. The script notes that Stuart Nickel is making his UFC debut, indicating it's his first fight in the UFC.

💡Submission

A 'Submission' in MMA is when a fighter forces their opponent to concede defeat to avoid injury, typically through a chokehold or joint lock. The script mentions Jesus Aguilar as being good at submissions, with several wins by this method.

💡Takedown

A 'Takedown' is a wrestling term used in MMA to describe the act of bringing an opponent to the ground. The script discusses fighters pushing for takedowns as part of their strategy, such as Jesus Aguilar in his fight.

💡Knockout (KO)

A 'Knockout' or 'KO' is a term used in combat sports to denote a victory caused by incapacitating the opponent with a strike, leading to them being unable to continue. The script predicts several fights to end in knockouts, such as Keenan Song winning by KO.

💡Parlay

A 'Parlay' in betting is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers for a higher payout if all the outcomes are correct. The script mentions making a parlay, indicating a strategy to combine multiple bets for potentially greater returns.

💡Underdog

An 'Underdog' is a term used to describe a competitor thought to have a lower probability of winning a contest. In the script, fighters like Israel Adesanya are mentioned as being underdogs in certain fights, which influences the betting odds.

💡Title Shot

A 'Title Shot' refers to a fight for a championship belt or title in a combat sport. The script discusses fighters aiming for a title shot, such as Steve Ray, who is looking to get back into contention for a championship opportunity.

💡Ground and Pound

Ground and Pound is a fighting strategy where a fighter takes their opponent to the ground and strikes them while they are down. The script suggests that fighters like Steve ERS might employ this strategy to win their fights.

💡Beef

In the context of the script, 'beef' refers to a personal rivalry or animosity between fighters, which can add intensity to a match. The main event between Jesus Duplicity and Israel Adesanya is mentioned to have an underlying beef.

Highlights

UFC 305 headlined by Israel Adesanya defending his belt against Robert Whittaker.

The fight is a battle for the title of the first African Champion in UFC.

Last week's betting record was 7 and 3, aiming for an undefeated week.

Sergey Spivak was correctly predicted to win, but Quang Lee and Gregori were not.

Stuart Nicker is favored in his UFC debut against Jesus Aguilar, who is known for submissions.

The underdog Jesus Aguilar is picked to win the first fight of the night.

Keenan Song is favored against Ricky Glenn, with a prediction for a KO win.

Tom Nolan is a significant favorite against Alex Reyes, predicted to win inside the distance.

Jack Jenkins is predicted to win by leg kick KO against Herbert Burns.

Casey O'Neal is picked to win against Lana Santos, with a hometown advantage.

Joshua Culaba is predicted to win by KO against Ricardo Ramos, despite being an underdog.

Junior Tafa is set to fight Vartan Tsarukyan, with the latter being favored due to wrestling skills.

Carlos Prust is a heavy favorite against Jingling, predicted to win by KO or decision.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is picked to win by KO against Tai Tuivasa, who is on a losing streak.

Martz Gamrot is favored to win by submission against Dan Hooker, with a prediction for an early finish.

Steve Mann is predicted to win against Kai Kara-France, with a potential early finish.

Israel Adesanya is favored to win the main event against Robert Whittaker, with an emphasis on striking.

Transcripts

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MMA locker room here with pic dogs UFC

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bet with me we're back and we're about

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to be going over UFC 305 headlin by drus

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duplicity defending his belt against

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Israel aisna and what seems to be like

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the battle for the fight of Africa both

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fighters from Africa one claims that

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he's the first going to be the that he's

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the first African Champion fighting the

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other guy that was already from Africa

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who's already been Champion oh man a lot

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to talk about but hey man that's just

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the main event we got a lot of bets and

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a lot of predictions to get out too and

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hey man last week we did a great job I

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mean we went seven and three great job

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my bad let me take that back we did good

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they ain't good enough I want to do

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great this week I'm trying to go

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undefeated we got a lot of fights to

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talk about seven and three we came

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through with Sergey SPAC like we know we

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would we missed out on the dog shot on

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Quang Lee um and then we missed out on

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uh uh gregori I gave him out in the

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parlay and man he had the guy shaking

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rattling on shaking feet and then he got

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subbed out man and gassed out but that's

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MMA you can't call them all you can't

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win them all but would you guys win last

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week on UFC what was you guys's best bet

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and what was the bet you just regret man

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cuz uh yeah I wi this all said and done

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we was able to hit some round props too

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that we liked as well um so this week we

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got a lot of fights to talk about so

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let's go ahead and get it started man

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all right the first match up man we got

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Stuart nicker taking on Jesus agular

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Stuart is going to be making his UFC

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debut he's a two to one favorite on the

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books 8 and0 okay uh you know he's good

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at wrestling he's good at submissions

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but the guy that he's facing Jesus ZW

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he's like two and one in the UFC I want

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to say or maybe even three and one in

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the UFC uh made his debut on the

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contender series uh he's a small guy

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right but he loves to get submissions

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man he has about seven wins by

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submissions and they're all by the same

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way too last fight out um he was able to

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get the win in a fight to where the

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judges and everybody he kind of thought

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they was going to go the other way but

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he was able to keep going with the

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takedowns uh on the feet he's not going

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to be there but he's going to be the guy

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that's pushing for those takedowns when

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it's all said and done um I think

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steuart nickel does have a better path

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to Victory just based off of Jesu as

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agilar kind of seems like if he doesn't

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sub you you know he might just gas out

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but when it's all said and done man I

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got to trust my eyes and my eye test is

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going with Jesus agular in this one man

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give me the dog shot in this one man um

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I steuart nickel is good but you got to

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kind of pass the test yet and I'll be

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honest man um yes the easy thing would

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be to to pick steuart nickel and say

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he's going to win by this and that but

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me I think the best bet is the over two

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and a half in here and if I'm going to

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take the shot on the first fight of the

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night I'm probably going to be picking

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the dog to win I'm not getting to the

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window though on this fight cuz I'm not

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I'm not overly convinced on neither of

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these Fighters enough second fight on a

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card we got Keenan song taking on Ricky

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Glenn Keenan song man he opened up like

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a minus 170 FV now he's down to a minus

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160 some things that people got to know

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Ricky Glenn is stepping up to this

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weight class man this is going to be his

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first fight time fighting at uh

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welterweight last time out he showed up

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and I think he got knocked out real

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quick in the fight before that I think

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he got knocked out real quick man he's

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one of those guys about who's been

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fighting for the UFC for a long time and

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he really hasn't been good um and he

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only fights like every like random 10

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months or something like you know and

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then he pops up on the scene takes a

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loss I think it's going to be his last

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fight in his contract Kenan song He's a

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guy he has explosive power in his hands

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okay um and he if he gets you hurt the

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thing is he doesn't have that finish

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ability to go just follow up uh let's

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him be learn against Ian Garett he hit

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Ian Garrett with a power shot and didn't

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go for the finish and what happened he

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ended up getting

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finished in this one I try to stay off

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this fight card okay this was the one

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fight that I was like I'm not g to not

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going to try to bet it I'm not going to

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do anything but then later on I start

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seeing there's a path to victory for

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Keenan song in this one I like the

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favorite in this one and um I think he

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wins by KO um and I like fight not to go

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the distance so I like the under two and

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a half as well um and um well yeah I I

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like Keenan song in this one uh let it

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be known I think I'm getting to the

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window with Keenan song too um if it

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could drop a little bit to that minus

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150 price range I'm really there but

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even at that minus 160 65 kind of

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looking at it man cuz um for one Ricky

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Glenn I think is just a fade right now

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he's just the guy that you know comes

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into the fights and you know the he's

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not the B he's not the aide on it so I

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don't think that but then ah man we got

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more fights to talk about let me not

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spend too much time on this one man next

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fight on Tom Nolan is back seven and one

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taking on Alex Reyes man all right man

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Tom Nolan Australian fighter out here

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let's talk about the gambling ODS for

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what but he's minus 1200 what are you

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going to do with it nothing don't put it

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in a parlay don't do nothing take the

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under one and a half it's like minus 300

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I think that's the thing that's probably

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getting hit in here man um but I do like

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Tom Nolan the win inside the distance

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his opponent is Alex Reyes 13 and4 the

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brother of Dominic Reyes okay um he made

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his scene in the MMA scene a couple of

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years back had some health issues and

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you know he just made his way back uh

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recently I want to say last year came

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out and didn't look good in that fight

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um in this one too it's kind of like

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they're feeding him to the wolves in

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this one but as a minus

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1200 a man you you never know what can

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happen on there but I do think Tom Nan

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wins inside the distance I'll say first

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round finish uh wins by KO next fight

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taking place man Aussie Aussie Aussie we

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got Jack Jenkins 12 and3 taking on

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Herbert Burns 11 and5 we got Australia

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versus Brazil on this one Jack jenss

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open up like a minus 500 I think he's

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way higher than that right now all right

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the thing that he's going to do great in

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this fight is going to be leg kicks okay

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I remember seeing Herbert Burns hurt

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before you know uh with like well just

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hurt he hurt his leg before and had to

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limp out the cage with his big brother

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and stuff I think that's going to be the

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path of victory in this one man look

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listen hear me out I think Jack Jenkins

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is going to win by uh a a standing a leg

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kick KO I think he's going to be kicking

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the legs on Herbert burn so much where

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he's going to be hopping and skipping

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and jumping like he's playing hopscotch

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and just be like ref I don't want no

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more you know um so I think Jack jenin

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is going to win by KO yeah let kick KO

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that is Jose Aldo style uh Jonathan

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Martinez style you know what I mean um I

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like Jack Jenkins a lot minus 550 I did

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get to a window with the uh parlay with

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them in there though that's yeah I I

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like him a lot in this spot Herbert

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Burns though brother Gilbert Burns right

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cardio issue cardio factors man once he

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gets past that minute Mark you he just

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looks for a way out his striking is not

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there yes he's good at you Jitsu yes if

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he gets you down yeah he can he can

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grapple he can get you in some holdes

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and stuff but in this one I think Jack

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jenin is going to come out there and

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just put on a clinic out there fighting

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in his hometown too man I wouldn't be

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surprised like I said he wins by that KO

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um it's going to be a nice plus money

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price tag too I want to say in that uh

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round two if you get him to win by KO um

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the theme on some of these fights man

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you got a lot of Brazilian Fighters and

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the other half of course you got the

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Aussie fighter so so far we already have

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three Australian fighters on the card

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the first fighter was Australian uh the

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200 the 208 favorite uh and then we had

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Tom Nolan Jack Jenkins that's three all

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right let's keep it going man let's go

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this fight right here is going to be a

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good one we got Casey O'Neal taking on

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Lana Santos Casey O'Neal was supposed to

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be taking on another opponent T Teresa

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Blazer she pulled out now steps in Lana

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Santos Lana Santos is coming off of a

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win against Marga agapova by submission

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in her last time out probably about you

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know less than like a month and a half

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ago or two months ago now she's flying

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out to Australia to take on Casey O'Neal

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guess who's the favorite she is um she's

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a minus 135 favorite in a she's good at

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grappling you know she's good at ju

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zitsu and stuff but I like Casey O'Neal

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in this spot I think she's the overall

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better fighter I think her striking is

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better I think her wrestling better I

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think her cardio is better and I think

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she might be able to give a a round

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three finished by grounding pound man

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look um I think too she's been switching

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up her training regiments you know I've

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seen her training at fight ready gym for

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a little bit I've seen her training at

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other gyms and other coaches too um and

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that's what you want to see at a young

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fighter at this you know stages you know

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taking strides and you know improving at

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at those levels and stuff and here she's

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going to have her hometown behind her

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out there in Australia so you know I

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think the crowd's going to get her hyped

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out I mean she they've been waiting for

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Casey onne to fight in Australia for the

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longest uh she was booked uh uh earlier

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on in her career and I I forget what

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happened she either got hurt or the

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opponent got hurt but yes so she's

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finally fighting at home right now and I

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think she's going to feel at home man I

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think some people forgot and I think

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she's going to remember him who the king

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is man I like Casey O'Neal and this one

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to win uh let it be known and if you

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guys want to see some more information

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on Casey O'Neil you guys can check out

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an interview I did with her uh probably

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about a year year ago uh on MMA locker

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room just type it up in YouTube MMA

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locker room interviews Casey O'Neil she

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doesn't do a lot of media with a lot of

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people I'm one of the one people she did

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do interview with regardless of that

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none of that has this in mind with this

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bet or with this pick man like if she

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opened up like a minus 220 favorite then

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then story would be different you guys

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are you guys are tripping minus I mean

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plus money on Casey O'Neal I really like

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her in this spot all right man I think

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she gets back on top too next fight

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taking place Josh kulal taking on

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Ricardo Ramos man we got Aussie versus

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Brazil in this one Ricardo Ramos 16 and5

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man jiujitsu player you know nice

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spinning elbows uh you know spinning

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back fits flying knees explosive fighter

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in the first round that's what he's

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known for one well he's also known for

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he's known for quitting looking for a

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way out that's what he did in his last

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timeout

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man Joshua kulaba he's going to have the

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hometown crowd behind him man only three

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losses you know and he's good at

play10:18

striking and he's explosive he's fast I

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think he's going to win by KO in this

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one he opened up a minus 155 came all

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the way down to a minus 135 I hopped in

play10:27

at that price tag man I like him in this

play10:29

one I I'm familiar with Ricardo Ramos a

play10:31

lot made money with him a lot you know

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stayed off him recently and stuff but

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just because you can't trust him and you

play10:37

don't know what you're going to get out

play10:38

of him but in this part I will say

play10:40

Joshua kaball if he gives his backup

play10:43

Carter Romas that's all he needs he

play10:44

he'll get it and sub them just like that

play10:47

the the level of jiujitsu and top tier

play10:50

from Ricardo Ramos from the weakness of

play10:53

takedowns to Kola ball big disparity

play10:57

okay on that but when if it gets past

play11:00

that first round you going to see kou

play11:02

ball putting on a game a clinic out

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there you going to see Ricardo ramose

play11:05

kind of looking like he's huffing and

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puffing if this stays on the feet we're

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going to be at a striker Delight both

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these guys like to strike too um I don't

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think this one's going the whole

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distance as well so if you guys want a

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little value spot I don't think fights

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Going the Distance in this one as well I

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like Joshua kabar in this one um I just

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I just can't get to the window where

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recardo Ramos right now you know I I I

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just can't you know what what he's been

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putting forward in his last couple of

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fights it's nothing I want to back right

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now you know so you got you got to show

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me something and speaking about showing

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me something man show me some likes show

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me your comments show me who you guys

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are betting on right now man cuz we're

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we're just getting started on the early

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prelims on UFC 305 we got more fights to

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talk about okay let's see if we got some

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dogs barking for you guys all right man

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next fight taking place you got Junior

play11:50

tofa taking on varta Walker Junior tofa

play11:52

is the younger brother Justin tofa look

play11:55

Junior tofa last fight out stepped in

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for his big Big Brother Justin TAA to

play12:01

fight Maro deas Del Lima and um you know

play12:04

he just got his ass whooped with leg

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kicks it wasn't a good look at all he

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should have just stayed at home and said

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hey big bro I ain't I ain't taking that

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one for you um and that's was his last

play12:15

fight vter Walker his last fight he made

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his UFC debut a big favorite whoa wait I

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got guess I got to mention vter Walker

play12:23

is the younger brother of Johnny Walker

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UFC fighter so we have two younger

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brothers of Fighters UFC fighters

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fighting each other wow the fights of

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the brothers I don't even think nobody

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even noticed that on this whole

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prediction card oh wow all right now

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let's get down to it vter Walker he

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opened up a minus 220 favor in his last

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fight out right against uh Lucas

play12:45

brasy yeah I had him down with takedowns

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and stuff but he didn't look good and he

play12:49

lost the fight and he didn't close he he

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didn't look nothing like it he should

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have against Brey he had people saying

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yeah Brey you know ain't that bad he

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actually is just Walker ain't that good

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in this one you got wrestler versus

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Striker the power versus the grappler if

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Walter Walker gets John Junior TOA down

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to the ground I don't think he's going

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to be able to get up but I don't think

play13:10

he's going to be keep going ground and

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pound because he didn't do that in the

play13:13

first fight against Brey if Junior T

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catches Walker a couple of times he can

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knock him out the b nods open him up at

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a pick them now you got one fighter

play13:22

looking as the favorite and here I got

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to go with the wrestler unfortunately

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man I think Walter Walker might just be

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able to get get the takedowns on junior

play13:30

tofa junior tofa only has five wins and

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two losses and you know you're not

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really around a cage like that too much

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and you know people that struggle with

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take Downs once you get taken down you

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just kind of quit after three or four

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times and you can't get up it's a mental

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thing to where you check out and you

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know man I can never get up in in the

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gym and practice why am I going to be

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able to get up now in the cage so with

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that being said I pick V Walker I ain't

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betting on none of these guys man I

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could even see a case with Junior TAA

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could knock him out you know but I I

play14:02

don't know I don't think Junior TAA is

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that that just knockout type of artist

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that you know people might put on him

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just because of his big brother that

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type of thing so I'm going with VAR

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Walker in this pick um good Lord if you

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guys are betting it though if you guys

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are more convicted on it let me know and

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you guys can convince me let me know man

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cuz this fight's a low price tag you

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know and those of the fights I love to

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attack and price and get on but I just

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can't get to the window on this one man

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weing about getting to the window I

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can't on this one next fight out we got

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the bad guy Carlos prus 19-6 taking on

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Jen Ling uh Carlos Prest man this guy

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open up a minus 260 favorite he's all

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the way up to like a minus three to one

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favorite on the books out here genuine

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took some time off he was dealing with

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some surgery some backs uh stuff like

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that that's why he came uh it took some

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time off caros proce been knocking

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people out in his first couple of fights

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in the UFC he's been as advertised man

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in this one I I got to the window with

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him straight it is what it is uh you got

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to lay the chalk to talk sometime um now

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he's all the way up to a minus 3 to one

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favorite in there I think he's G to be

play15:09

able to get the job done maybe by

play15:14

decision or even second round kale but

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he usually knocks out all of his

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opponents in the early first rounds you

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know but um jingling he really hasn't

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been put out but that don't mean nothing

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you could always get them lights put out

play15:26

so I like all those practice in this one

play15:28

man um

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yeah I got him earlier at that price tag

play15:31

at minus 260 now he's a minus 3 to one

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favorite uh yeah CV closing line value

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all that stuff it don't matter if you

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fight or lose just know that too all

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right let's keep it going next fight

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taking place man we got some big boys

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this one's man this was going to be a

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good one jar Rosen strke taking on uh

play15:48

Tai to aasa J Rosen stru 14 and five

play15:51

taking on Tai to aasa 14- 7 J R truck

play15:54

opened up at a minus 190 until like Aus

play15:58

220 or something like that out there on

play15:59

the books do what you guys want with it

play16:01

so in this one I like J Zeno R and

play16:04

struck man to get the job done I think

play16:06

he's going to be able to just go out

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there man and put a pace on uh

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tasa sorry man uh but

play16:14

but it it probably made me cough because

play16:17

that don't even make sense put a pace on

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to aasa no he's just GNA knock him out

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man just catch him you don't got to put

play16:24

a pace on him uh both these guys like to

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stand around Swang and bang and toas has

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been on a four fight losing streak don't

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even know why he's in the UFC still man

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uh but I just think that you know they

play16:35

they like the way that he fights he's

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entertaining he a he's a crowd favorite

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he drinks beer out of his shoe stuff

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like that I get it you know um but

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before those four losses I guess he has

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some okay

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wins some people are going to get tell

play16:52

you that Tai toas is live in the spot he

play16:55

is everybody's live it's a fight it's a

play16:57

heavyweight fight anything can

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but I ain't telling you that I'm telling

play17:00

you I like J and Rosen struck if you

play17:02

guys are looking for solid leg for a

play17:04

parlay piece I think Rosen struck will

play17:07

be that right there and I don't think

play17:08

this one see in round three I know it's

play17:11

going to be chocked as well and uh with

play17:13

that being said I could even see the

play17:14

under one and a half yeah I like the

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under one and a half as as the most

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solid bet in here if you guys just want

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to bet an under uh bet the under in this

play17:22

one p with something else that you guys

play17:24

like it let's get money the under one

play17:26

and a half in this the under one and a

play17:28

half and the Tom Nolan fight meet me out

play17:30

the window and let's get paid all right

play17:32

man jar rer truck though man biggie boy

play17:34

I think he's going to come out here and

play17:36

put on a big knockout in Australia

play17:39

that's going to have everybody looking

play17:41

at him like man you just knocked out my

play17:43

dude I can see jareno Rosen stru picking

play17:45

up his own shoe pouring beer in it and

play17:49

drinking it out shoy style in Australia

play17:51

perf doing what tasa does and then tasa

play17:55

getting up off the floor I he's Knocked

play17:56

Up and joying him pouring up his shoe to

play17:58

like hey forget it man putting his hand

play18:00

around him on the cage like it's all

play18:02

right man I got knocked out let's both

play18:03

drink out of a shoe Rosen stru if you

play18:06

seeing this make it happen dude let's

play18:08

make it happen biggie boy season though

play18:10

man I was there to watch him fight Chris

play18:12

dark is live man and he knocked him out

play18:14

he had Chris do is running in the cage

play18:16

roosen was running after him and just

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man I'll never forget it man had a minus

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172 uh I learned my lesson though man I

play18:24

better get some once in my life never

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again I like jeno rosan struck the win

play18:28

let's go ahead and get it done next

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fight taking place my ts gamr taking on

play18:32

Dan hooker my ts gamr um he was one of

play18:35

the fighters that you know was making my

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top uh five lightweights of the world

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and you know he ranked pretty high on

play18:42

that one um 24 and2 taking on Dan hooker

play18:46

he's a minus 3 to one favorite now I

play18:48

played him straight when he opened up

play18:50

out of minus 220 uh it was two bets that

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I made on this card and it was those it

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was pris at 250 and it was uh gamr at

play18:57

220 or 260 for us proudest it was all

play18:59

right I laid the chalk real quick

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earlier on you know just because of the

play19:04

opponents and stuff and the path to

play19:06

Victory I think gam Rock just wins at a

play19:08

90% clip in here Dan hooker ain't going

play19:11

to be able to stop the takedowns man but

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he's been putting on some markable wins

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man and you can't can't down hook you

play19:18

can't count them out you can't but you

play19:20

can against a smart fighter like gamr

play19:22

who knows hey I need to get this job

play19:24

done and I got multiple paths to do it I

play19:26

think he wins by submission man I like

play19:28

Martz CamRock to win inside the distance

play19:31

plus 300 um nice value on it too cuz he

play19:34

usually wins by decision a lot of people

play19:36

like the over two and a

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half I think uh Em motion's going to be

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running High and um yeah I like Martz

play19:43

gam to win inside plus 300 let's go and

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after this I think he's fighting for

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that belt next all right next fight

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taking place we got a good one man I

play19:52

mean a good one Co event time Steve ERS

play19:55

taking on Kai car FR Steve ERS open up

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ay 210 now he's all the way down to a

play20:01

minus

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135us

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150 okay Kai car France he's going to be

play20:07

fighting in Australia right but Steve

play20:09

ERS is going to be fighting in Perth

play20:11

Australia in his backyard he's going to

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have the hometown crowds cheering for

play20:15

him both these Fighters will though

play20:16

because they're both fan favorites right

play20:18

Steve ERS is coming off and just

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fighting for the title against Alexander

play20:21

panoo okay have panta in the spot no no

play20:25

questions to ask pantos won Steve ers

play20:28

man I think he can make this a boring

play20:31

fight and just take K car friends down a

play20:33

couple of times you know what I mean and

play20:34

win by ground and pound if not he can

play20:36

catch him too but K car France is live

play20:39

man I like the way that he fights he's

play20:40

an explosive fighter in here I don't

play20:43

think this one's going the distance

play20:44

that's a little value play on there the

play20:46

I think the MMA Community is torn on

play20:47

this one you can see that's why the line

play20:49

came down from a minus 210 to a minus

play20:51

150 i parlayed r straight you know what

play20:54

I mean at a minus 210 price earlier on

play20:57

you know um and I did uh play him when

play20:59

he straight when he came down at that

play21:01

minus 155 I did a parlay with uh Steve

play21:04

ERS and Jer roosen strke earlier on when

play21:06

he was at that minus 190 price tag uh I

play21:09

like him in this spot I think he wins

play21:11

Kai call France a lot of people going to

play21:13

be betting on him in here he has he he's

play21:15

explosive in that first round man he can

play21:17

catch anybody out there too um but this

play21:20

is the thing Steve ERS fights smart

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articulate you know what I mean

play21:24

intelligent like I think he has I think

play21:27

he has this MMA game figured out like

play21:29

the back of his hand you know what I

play21:30

mean I wouldn't be surprised if Steve

play21:32

ver wins uh first round second round you

play21:34

know and then uh the crowd's going crazy

play21:36

again then he gets back on that mic and

play21:38

says give me another title shot you know

play21:41

it is what it is I think Steve ERS gets

play21:43

it done also man we got a UFC Survivor

play21:46

pool he's my Survivor pool pick too so

play21:49

let's go man heray bring it home Main

play21:52

Event time oh man we got a good one man

play21:55

we got jisus duplicity taking on Israel

play21:57

out Ofna for the middleweight

play21:59

Championship five round fight what needs

play22:01

to be mentioned this UFC pay-per-view

play22:04

card well the UFC 305 it starts at 5:30

play22:08

a.m. Australia time okay so these

play22:10

Fighters are going to be fighting real

play22:12

early in the morning out there it's

play22:14

going to be regular time for us out here

play22:15

in the States but it's going to be real

play22:16

early for them all right man let's just

play22:20

talk about the BET and the odds man

play22:22

Israel adna opened up a minus 125

play22:24

favorite got all the way up to a minus

play22:26

135us 140 came back down now now he's

play22:30

like a minus 110 drus got up to a plus

play22:33

115 I want to

play22:35

say jisus dupli undefeated in the UFC on

play22:40

what 7-0 or 8- 0 after he went 6- 0 he

play22:44

got the chance to fight for his title

play22:46

against Sean Strickland got the belt

play22:48

drusy has only been an underdog once and

play22:51

that was against Robert Whitaker we bet

play22:52

him in there and he won I bet him inside

play22:55

the distance too we doubled up I've been

play22:57

betting on this guy since he came into

play22:59

the UFC and I've been backing him went

play23:02

to see him fight live against Darren t

play23:04

at UFC 289 or 282 I forget man anath and

play23:08

Yan BLT was the main event Cen him fight

play23:11

Darren t had him at minus 170 against

play23:13

Darren t had him also to win by

play23:15

submission he beat the breaks off Darr

play23:18

till he must have hit that guy like 53

play23:19

times unanswered in the first round and

play23:22

he didn't even answer back one by

play23:24

submission made money with him never

play23:27

lost with him he's becoming one of my

play23:30

like fan favorites of the new generation

play23:32

of Fighters and I like the way that he

play23:34

fights too you know what I mean um but

play23:37

that being said here's where atna I made

play23:39

money with him a long time ago and been

play23:42

making money with him he's one of the

play23:44

guys that I would bet straight minus 240

play23:46

minus whatever he hasn't lost for me

play23:48

then you know lost against Yan bla it's

play23:50

okay cool I ain't mad you know one loss

play23:53

lost against Alex Pera H whatever I'm

play23:56

not even mad you only lost me two two

play23:58

times in my whole time never bought bet

play24:00

on you every single fight just bet on

play24:02

you and I you know most of the time

play24:04

right I didn't bet on him against Sean

play24:06

Strickland I actually had a little play

play24:08

on Shan Strickland plus that 475 um just

play24:11

because I thought that value was just

play24:12

stupid I ain't doing nothing with Izzy

play24:13

minus 700 I thought he would win inside

play24:15

the distance but you know that's it um

play24:18

so in this one I got to go with DDP man

play24:22

I like both these Fighters but I think

play24:24

DDP has more pass the victory he can use

play24:26

the wrestling and the takedowns that's

play24:27

something adna struggles with he's an

play24:30

explosive fighter that's going to come

play24:32

forward that's something that adna

play24:33

struggles with both these guys are

play24:37

improving it seems like in their career

play24:39

right but it seems like at this point

play24:41

DDP is fighting with a little bit more

play24:43

confidence you know once you become

play24:45

Championship material you go out there

play24:47

and you fight like that too no love lost

play24:50

man like I think Israel out a signed is

play24:52

like one of the best middleweights of

play24:54

all time if he can win this fight

play24:57

against DDP I think that's going to

play24:59

cement him there to where it's like oh

play25:00

yeah he is there but if he loses against

play25:03

DDP kind of tarnishes everything to

play25:05

where you start looking at him like oh

play25:06

now you're starting to lose you know at

play25:08

this point in your career when you find

play25:09

other people you know you start going

play25:11

down that Anderson Sila type of route

play25:13

and stuff you know hopefully not I guess

play25:16

you know cuz I'm a israela fan but I'm

play25:19

aisus duplicity better and Backer and

play25:21

he's one of my guys and Israel Des

play25:23

signing is one of my guys man it's like

play25:25

it's like if you got two teams which I

play25:27

do so it's it's like me seeing the

play25:29

Atlanta Braves playing the New York

play25:31

Yankees or it's like me seeing the

play25:33

Jacksonville Jaguars playing the Atlanta

play25:35

Falcons it's one team I've been way more

play25:37

of a fan of in this one Whatever man I

play25:41

like fighting not to go the distance I

play25:42

like the under four and a half the under

play25:43

four and a half is a minus 125 and I

play25:46

really like fighting not to go the

play25:47

distance man these guys got underlying

play25:49

beef uh and you know I think it's going

play25:51

to play out like that too on the feet I

play25:53

wouldn't be surprised if it ends early

play25:55

okay uh I like jisus dupy in the spot

play25:58

and um the money's coming in on them too

play26:01

uh hopefully let me know what you guys

play26:02

are betting on on this whole card and

play26:04

you know I'll see you guys next week MMA

play26:06

locker room here UFC bet with me we

play26:09

beating up all the books smash the like

play26:11

button hit the comments for me

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