The Stock Market Crash EXPLAINED

Michael Knowles
6 Aug 202404:13

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the economic turmoil following the Dow Jones and NASDAQ's significant fall, attributing it to a weak jobs report and signs of recession. It criticizes the Biden-Harris administration for their perceived incompetence, questioning who should be held accountable for the downturn. The script suggests that the lack of clear leadership and responsibility within the administration is a distinguishing feature, leaving the public uncertain about who to blame for the current economic challenges.

Takeaways

  • 🗓️ One week ago, Joe Biden expressed his desire for his legacy to be defined by securing the economy.
  • 📉 The Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 all experienced significant declines, with the S&P 500 having its worst day in two years.
  • 😮 Financial analysts were surprised by the market downturn, but political analysts were not, suggesting a disconnect in expectations.
  • 🤔 The script questions who to blame for the economic turmoil, with the looming war in the Middle East and social disorder at home mentioned as factors.
  • 👴 It's suggested that President Biden is not considered the driving force behind the administration, leading to confusion about responsibility.
  • 📊 A weak jobs report with only 114,000 jobs added in July, well below the expected 175,000, contributed to the market's negative reaction.
  • 💰 Decelerating wage growth, with the weakest annual rate in over three years, was highlighted as another sign of economic weakness.
  • 📈 Job openings fell in June to the second-lowest level since March 2021, indicating a potential recession.
  • 🤷‍♂️ The speaker expresses uncertainty about who to blame for the administration's failures, describing the leadership as 'cartoonishly incompetent'.
  • 🎯 The speaker implies that focusing blame on Biden might be politically irrelevant and could distract from scrutinizing Kamala Harris, the Vice President.
  • 🔗 Kamala Harris has been assigned tasks such as addressing the border situation and improving rural internet access, but the speaker questions her effectiveness in these roles.

Q & A

  • What did Joe Biden express as his desired legacy one week ago?

    -Joe Biden told a reporter that he wants his legacy to be associated with securing the economy.

  • What happened to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 on the day following Biden's statement about his legacy?

    -The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell over a thousand points, the NASDAQ dropped by nearly 3.5%, and the S&P 500 had its worst day in two years after its worst start to any month in 22 years.

  • How did financial analysts and political analysts react to the stock market's performance?

    -Financial analysts were shocked by the stock market's performance, while political analysts were not, suggesting they might have expected such an outcome.

  • What is the speaker's approach to interpreting Joe Biden's statements?

    -The speaker suggests interpreting Joe Biden's statements by assuming the opposite of what he says, based on his track record.

  • Who does the speaker believe should be blamed for the economic turmoil mentioned in the script?

    -The speaker finds it unclear who to blame for the economic turmoil, questioning whether it should be Biden, Harris, or someone else within the administration.

  • What was the reason given for the stock market's decline according to the script?

    -The stock market decline was ostensibly due to a weak jobs report that fell short of expectations.

  • What were the figures from the jobs report that contributed to the perception of a weak economy?

    -Employers added only 114,000 jobs in July, which was significantly below the expected 175,000, and wage growth continued to decelerate, marking the weakest annual rate in over three years.

  • What additional report indicated a potential economic downturn?

    -A report showing that job openings fell in June to the second-lowest level since March 2021 suggested signs of a recession.

  • What is the speaker's opinion on the Democrats' situation regarding the economy?

    -The speaker believes it should be a tough moment for Democrats as they are the incumbent party dealing with a weak economy, and there is confusion over who to blame within the administration.

  • Why does the speaker believe it might be politically irrelevant to blame Joe Biden for the current state of the economy?

    -The speaker thinks blaming Joe Biden might be irrelevant because his actions and statements seem to have little impact on the current situation, and there's a perception that he might not be fully engaged or 'awake' to the issues.

  • What task was Kamala Harris assigned by Joe Biden in 2021, and how did the speaker evaluate her performance on that task?

    -Kamala Harris was assigned the task of getting rural Americans connected to high-speed internet. The speaker evaluates her performance as negligent and incompetent, stating she did not connect a single American to high-speed internet.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Stock Market Tumult and Presidential Legacy

This paragraph discusses the recent significant drop in major U.S. stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, and S&P 500, which has left financial analysts shocked and political analysts questioning who to blame for the economic turmoil. The speaker suggests that the blame might be attributed to the Biden administration, particularly President Joe Biden, but notes the peculiarity of the situation where the President seems politically irrelevant and Vice President Kamala Harris, despite being the VP and the 2024 nominee, appears to be inactive in addressing the issues. The paragraph also touches on the weak jobs report and decelerating wage growth as indicators of a possible recession, questioning the competency and responsibility of the current administration.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Legacy

Legacy refers to the lasting impact or the reputation that someone leaves behind, often associated with their achievements or the effects of their actions. In the video's context, it is about Joe Biden's desire for his legacy, which is contrasted with the current state of the economy. The script mentions Biden's statement about his legacy in relation to the economy, highlighting the disconnect between his aspirations and the perceived reality.

💡Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 30 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. It is often used as a barometer of the U.S. economy. In the script, the DJIA's fall is mentioned to illustrate the economic downturn, indicating a significant drop in stock values which is a key indicator of market health.

💡NASDAQ

NASDAQ is an abbreviation for the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations, and it is also the name of a major stock exchange platform where technology and biotechnology companies are heavily represented. The script notes a significant drop in the NASDAQ, which is used to emphasize the breadth of the market decline beyond just the DJIA.

💡S&P 500

The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index of 500 leading companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges, covering approximately 80% of the market value of all stocks traded in the U.S. The script mentions the S&P 500's poor performance as part of the overall negative market trends, indicating a widespread economic concern.

💡Financial Analysts

Financial analysts are professionals who evaluate investments and provide insights into the performance of various financial instruments. In the video, the shock of financial analysts to the market's performance is used to underscore the unexpected nature of the economic downturn.

💡Economic Turmoil

Economic turmoil refers to a period of great uncertainty, instability, or difficulty in the economy, often marked by significant market fluctuations. The script discusses various factors contributing to economic turmoil, such as the stock market's performance and political instability, to highlight the challenges faced by the current administration.

💡Recession

A recession is a period of negative economic growth that lasts for at least two consecutive quarters, indicating a decline in economic activity. The script uses indicators such as job reports and wage growth to suggest that the economy may be entering a recession, which is central to the discussion of economic health.

💡Job Report

A job report is a statistical summary of employment levels, including the number of jobs added or lost, and other employment-related data. In the script, a weak job report is cited as a reason for the stock market's decline, with the actual number of jobs added falling short of expectations.

💡Wage Growth

Wage growth refers to the increase in average wages over time, which is an important measure of economic health and individual prosperity. The script mentions the deceleration of wage growth, indicating a potential problem in the labor market and contributing to the overall negative economic sentiment.

💡Job Openings

Job openings refer to the number of vacant positions in the labor market. The script notes a decrease in job openings, suggesting a tightening job market and potentially signaling a slowdown in economic growth.

💡Incompetence

Incompetence refers to a lack of ability or skill to perform a task successfully. The script uses the term to describe the perceived performance of the Biden administration, suggesting that their actions or lack thereof are contributing to the current economic challenges.

💡Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris is the Vice President of the United States, and as such, she holds a significant position in the government. The script discusses her role and the tasks she has been assigned, questioning her effectiveness and contribution to the administration's handling of various issues, including the economy and infrastructure projects.

Highlights

Joe Biden expressed his desire for his legacy to be defined by the economy.

Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, and S&P 500 suffered significant losses.

Financial analysts were shocked by the market's performance, while political analysts were not surprised.

The speaker suggests assuming the opposite of what Joe Biden says for clarity.

There is confusion over who to blame for the economic turmoil.

The speaker questions the perceived role and impact of Kamala Harris as Vice President.

The stock market's decline was attributed to a weak jobs report.

Employers added fewer jobs than expected in July, indicating economic weakness.

Wage growth has decelerated to the weakest annual rate in over three years.

Job openings fell in June to the second-lowest level since March 2021.

The speaker expresses skepticism about the current state of the economy.

The Democrats face a challenging situation as the incumbent party dealing with economic issues.

The speaker finds it politically irrelevant to blame Joe Biden, suggesting a lack of impact.

The focus should not be solely on Joe Biden to avoid overlooking Kamala Harris.

Kamala Harris has been assigned tasks as Vice President but has shown negligence or incompetence.

The speaker highlights the lack of clear leadership and accountability in the current administration.

The speaker ends with a call to action for viewers to subscribe to the Michael Knowles YouTube channel.

Transcripts

play00:00

exactly one week ago today Joe Biden

play00:02

told a reporter what he wants his legacy

play00:04

to be Mr President what do you want your

play00:07

legacy

play00:09

to SEC the

play00:12

economy yesterday the Dow Jones

play00:14

Industrial Average fell over a th points

play00:17

the NASDAQ cratered by nearly 3 and a

play00:19

half% and the S&P 500 suffered its worst

play00:22

day in two years following its worst

play00:24

start to any month in 22

play00:26

years Financial analysts were shocked

play00:29

political an ists were not I'm not great

play00:32

at interpreting market reports but I

play00:35

know how to interpret Joe Biden whatever

play00:37

he says assume the opposite that much is

play00:41

clear what's not clear is who exactly

play00:44

we're supposed to

play00:46

blame that is the strangest part of the

play00:49

economic turmoil the looming war in the

play00:51

Middle East the social disorder at home

play00:54

Etc ordinarily we would blame the

play00:57

president but no one really considers

play00:59

Biden to be the president anymore I

play01:02

would blame kamla Harris she's the VP

play01:04

after all she's the nominee in

play01:06

2024 but she doesn't really seem to do

play01:08

much at the White House so who is it

play01:12

this is perhaps the distinguishing

play01:14

feature of the Biden Harris

play01:16

Administration our leaders are so

play01:18

cartoonishly incompetent it is not even

play01:21

clear who to blame for their failures

play01:25

why did the stock market get creamed

play01:28

yesterday ostensibly it was because of a

play01:32

weak jobs report so there was this jobs

play01:35

report that came out on Friday that fell

play01:37

way short of

play01:39

expectations uh employers added only

play01:42

114,000 jobs in July economists were

play01:46

were expecting something like 175,000

play01:49

jobs so that's that's a huge

play01:50

underperformance on top of that wage

play01:53

growth measured by average hourly

play01:55

earnings continued to decelerate this is

play01:59

the weakest annual rate in 3 years more

play02:02

than three years there was another

play02:04

report that came out earlier this week

play02:07

that showed job openings fell in June to

play02:09

the second lowest level since March of

play02:12

2021 three years ago all of this taken

play02:16

together is a sign multiple signs of

play02:20

recession uh I'm not terribly surprised

play02:23

by this in part because Biden said the

play02:24

economy was doing great so I knew that

play02:26

that the opposite would be true but also

play02:28

because it just seemed like the Market

play02:30

was not reflecting the fundamentals of

play02:33

the economy the fundamentals of the

play02:34

economy seem kind of weak right now and

play02:38

eventually reality will reassert itself

play02:41

really it it should be a really tough

play02:44

moment for the Democrats to deal with

play02:46

this you know the Democrats are the

play02:48

incumbent party Joe Biden is the

play02:50

incumbent president and yet there's this

play02:53

weird situation where do we really blame

play02:56

Biden we do in in the sense that he's a

play02:57

total failed president but does anyone

play02:59

think he's even awake right now probably

play03:01

not he's an out running for re-election

play03:03

I don't even care to blame Joe Biden

play03:05

it's politically irrelevant to me if we

play03:07

can if we blame Joe Biden in a way it's

play03:08

kind of bad if we blame Joe Biden

play03:10

because if we direct all of our ey at

play03:13

Joe Biden we're going to take our ey off

play03:14

of kamla Harris and then maybe she'll

play03:16

skate into the White House and then the

play03:17

question is do you blame kamla Harris

play03:19

she's the VP right she's the second in

play03:21

command but nobody thinks she's doing

play03:23

anything at the White House the couple

play03:25

of tasks she's been assigned as vice

play03:27

president she's completely ignored

play03:30

being the the borders are she didn't she

play03:32

didn't have anything to do with anything

play03:34

she was put in charge of uh getting

play03:36

rural Americans connected to highspeed

play03:38

Internet remember when Joe Biden in 2021

play03:40

gave her that task at the State of the

play03:41

Union she didn't do that she didn't

play03:43

connect one single American to highspeed

play03:45

internet so you can say okay she's

play03:47

negligent she's incompetent sure but do

play03:49

you blame her I don't know I just don't

play03:50

know who's in charge this has never

play03:53

happened before certainly in my lifetime

play03:55

I think probably for many lifetimes

play03:59

things are failing and yet we can't

play04:01

really point to someone in the

play04:03

government and say it's you you know

play04:04

you're you're the problem that was a

play04:07

good clip man now ring that Bell

play04:10

subscribe to the Michael NS YouTube

play04:11

channel see you next time

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相关标签
Economic LegacyStock MarketPolitical AnalysisLeadership CrisisRecession SignsJob ReportWage GrowthMarket FundamentalsBiden AdministrationHarris RoleElection 2024
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