KRYPTO: Warum das erst der ANFANG ist [5 Gründe die ihr JETZT wissen müsst]

Summary

In this video, Natalie discusses Bitcoin's surge above $105,000 despite fears of a potential World War and market sell-offs. She highlights the bullish trends in the crypto market and explains why she believes the worst is behind us. Focusing on technical analysis, she touches on Bitcoin's price movements, Ethereum's potential, and the broader financial landscape, including interest rate expectations and the Fed's recent changes. Natalie also emphasizes the importance of staying informed on developments, showcasing the volatility and opportunities in the market. She encourages viewers to engage with the content and stay updated through her social media.

Takeaways

• 😀 Bitcoin is currently trading above $105,000, despite global fears of a third world war and market sell-offs.
• 😀 The speaker highlights that, contrary to market expectations, the situation hasn't escalated into further conflict, offering a good opportunity for buying.
• 😀 In yesterday's video, the speaker discussed the possibility of a buying opportunity, even in the face of geopolitical tensions, which was confirmed by Bitcoin's rise in value.
• 😀 Despite fears of war, the attack on the US base by Iran was a symbolic move, as it was preceded by a warning, suggesting no desire for further escalation.
• 😀 Bitcoin has seen significant price movement, rising from under $99,400 to $106,000, but is facing resistance at current levels, with the speaker cautious about further price action.
• 😀 The speaker recommends considering hedging strategies for those looking to reduce risk, such as opening short positions on Ethereum.
• 😀 Ethereum has broken down below its recent range and is testing resistance from below, but there is potential for a bounce, depending on how it reacts.
• 😀 Traditional markets, like the S&P 500, are performing well and approaching new all-time highs, which could spill over into the crypto market soon.
• 😀 The global money supply (M2) chart remains intact, suggesting that Bitcoin could continue to rise following the recent correction.
• 😀 Key geopolitical events, such as the Fed's potential interest rate cuts and changes in banking regulations (like the Supplementary Leverage Ratio), could inject new liquidity into the market and support further upward movement in crypto prices.

Q & A

What is the main reason Bitcoin is trading above $105,000 despite market expectations of a third world war and a sell-off?

Bitcoin is trading above $105,000 due to a combination of factors, including the belief that the market had already priced in the worst-case scenario, geopolitical tensions, and market resilience. The video's creator explains that their analysis indicated Bitcoin's strong potential for growth despite negative news.

Why did the video creator believe the third world war scenario was unlikely?

The creator believed the third world war scenario was unlikely because of historical patterns where similar geopolitical tensions did not lead to widespread conflict. They also highlighted that the attack by Iran was more of a symbolic move rather than a serious escalation, and this helped alleviate market fears.

What is the significance of the $106,000 resistance level for Bitcoin?

The $106,000 level is a key resistance point for Bitcoin. The video creator suggested that it would be crucial to see how Bitcoin reacts to this level—whether it can break through sustainably or face a rejection, which would influence the next steps for the market.

How did the video creator interpret Iran's attack on a US base in Qatar?

The creator interpreted the attack as a PR stunt by Iran. Despite the attack, it was revealed that Iran had warned the US and Qatar in advance, suggesting that it was more about saving face than escalating tensions. This helped prevent further conflict and reassured the markets.

What is the connection between Bitcoin's price movements and the global M2 money supply?

Bitcoin's price movements closely follow the global M2 money supply, which reflects the total money supply in the economy. The creator pointed out that, historically, Bitcoin has aligned well with the M2 chart, and after the recent correction, a continued upward trend could be expected if M2 remains stable.

What was the significance of the S&P 500 reaching a new all-time high?

The S&P 500's performance is seen as an indicator of broader market health. Since the traditional markets are performing well, the video creator suggested that this could eventually spill over into the cryptocurrency markets, boosting the potential for crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum to rise.

What impact did the potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve have on the market?

The potential interest rate cut is seen as a positive development for the market. If inflation remains under control, the Fed could cut rates as early as July. This would inject more liquidity into the market, benefiting both traditional assets and cryptocurrencies by reducing borrowing costs and supporting asset prices.

What is the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) and why is it important?

The Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) determines the amount of equity that banks must hold relative to their debt risk. The upcoming changes to the SLR would allow banks to buy government bonds even if they have less capital, which could lead to more liquidity entering the market, further supporting asset prices, including cryptocurrencies.

How will changes in banking regulations affect crypto companies in the US?

The changes in banking regulations, particularly the removal of reputational risk as a factor in banking supervision, will make it easier for crypto companies to operate in the US. This will allow them to access banking services more freely and may foster further growth in the crypto industry.

What is the video creator's outlook on the short-term and long-term future of Bitcoin and the crypto market?

In the short term, the creator expects volatility, especially with Bitcoin testing key resistance levels. However, in the long term, the creator remains bullish, citing the positive macroeconomic factors, such as potential interest rate cuts and liquidity injections, that could drive continued upward movement in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.