Total KIA REVEALED - But It is NOT That Simple - Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update
Summary
TLDRThe video script discusses sensitive military matters, focusing on the significant losses of the Vagner PMC in Ukraine, with over 20,000 records of deceased fighters between January and August 2023. It delves into the financial implications, the recruitment of African fighters, and the comparison of losses between Russian and Ukrainian forces. The script also covers the strategic importance of the Battle of Bakhmut, the use of unmanned vehicles, and the current state of various front lines, highlighting the challenges and the need for a more in-depth analysis of the situation.
Takeaways
- 📊 The script discusses sensitive topics including losses and claims in the ongoing conflict, with a focus on the damage to an S-57 in Russia and the confirmation of a second one being damaged.
- 🔍 It provides an in-depth analysis of the Vagner PMC's losses in Ukraine, including details from documents obtained by the BBC Russian service, which list payments to the relatives of deceased fighters.
- 💵 The documents reveal that over 20,000 Vagner PMC fighters were killed between January and August 2023, with the PMC spending over 108 billion rubles (1.2 billion USD) on payments to relatives.
- 👥 The majority of the fighters killed were reportedly prisoners, highlighting the use of prison recruits in the conflict, with 87% of the deceased being prisoners rather than original PMC members.
- 🗺️ The script also reviews the situation on various fronts, including changes and movements along the front line, with some areas experiencing shifts and others remaining stagnant.
- 📉 There is mention of a report by Media Zone that estimates 54,000 Russian casualties, a number that could be significantly lower than the actual figure, with Ukraine claiming a much higher number of 520,000.
- 🌐 The discussion includes the analysis of open-source data to estimate losses on both sides, with the UA Losses project providing a comparison of Ukrainian and Russian armed forces' losses.
- 📈 The script touches on the strategic aspects of the conflict, such as the purpose of the Battle of Bakhmut being to inflict casualties on the opposing side, with claims of 50,000 to 70,000 AFU casualties by the Russian side.
- 📝 It mentions the Ukrainian MOD's report of intensified Russian efforts to recruit fighters from African countries, offering financial incentives and the promise of a Russian passport.
- 🚁 The script includes claims of Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully striking Russian S-400 and S-300 air defense systems, though visual confirmation is pending.
- 🛰️ There is a mention of potential use of older Soviet-era vehicles in new ways, such as remote-controlled tanks or as VBIEDs (Vehicle-Borne IEDs), indicating innovative tactics on the battlefield.
Q & A
What is the main topic discussed in the video script?
-The main topic discussed in the video script is the analysis of military losses, particularly focusing on the Vagner PMC's losses in Ukraine, the conflict's impact on both Russian and Ukrainian forces, and the strategic movements along the front lines.
What does the script mention about the Vagner PMC's financial spending on payments to the relatives of deceased fighters?
-The script mentions that Vagner PMC spent over 108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on payments to the relatives of deceased fighters, excluding most salaries and injury compensation, between January 22 and August 2023.
How many records of killed fighters does the document obtained by Mediaone BBC Russian service contain?
-The document contains over 20,000 records of those killed.
What was the percentage of Vagner PMC fighters that were prisoners according to the script?
-According to the script, almost 90% of the Vagner PMC fighters were prisoners.
What does the script suggest about the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces?
-The script suggests that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have also suffered significant losses, with some sources estimating the number of killed to be around 51,000 to 54,000, though this number could be subject to variation.
What is the significance of the number 195,000 mentioned in the script?
-The number 195,000 refers to the total number of men reported to have been killed during the Battle of Bakhmut, including both prisoners and professional fighters from Vagner PMC.
What does the script indicate about the recruitment of foreign fighters by Russia?
-The script indicates that Russia has intensified its attempts to recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine, particularly focusing on Central African countries, offering a sign-up bonus and monthly pay, along with the promise of a Russian passport.
What is the reported issue with Russia's air defense systems as mentioned in the script?
-The script mentions that Russia's air defense systems are having problems, especially in protecting air bases with high-end equipment, and there have been incidents of slow-moving drones getting into airfields with modern planes.
What is the script's commentary on the situation in the northern front of Ukraine?
-The script suggests that the situation in the northern front is not indicative of a major offensive by Ukraine, but rather a one-way fire mission, with the focus on hitting airfields and air defense systems.
What does the script reveal about the internal issues within the Ukrainian military?
-The script reveals internal issues such as lack of coordination, inexperienced soldiers fleeing, and inadequate defenses, which have led to significant losses and the quick collapse of certain front lines.
Outlines
📊 Analysis of PMC Wagner's Casualties and Financial Implications
This paragraph delves into the financial and human costs of PMC Wagner's operations in Ukraine. It discusses the recent revelation of documents detailing payments made to the families of deceased fighters, amounting to over 20,000 records between January and August 2023. The expenditures are substantial, with over 108 billion rubles spent on such payments, excluding salaries and injury compensation. The paragraph also touches on the high percentage of prisoners among the PMC's ranks, the high casualty rates, and the comparison of these figures with claims made by both Russian and Ukrainian forces. It highlights the significant financial compensation offered to the families of fallen soldiers, which may incentivize recruitment despite the risks.
🔢 Detailed Breakdown of PMC Wagner's Battle Losses and Financial Compensation
The second paragraph provides a detailed examination of the losses sustained by PMC Wagner during the Battle of Bakhmut, emphasizing the disparity in losses between prisoners and regular mercenaries. It outlines the financial compensation structure, where relatives of deceased fighters receive a substantial sum as stipulated by contract. The paragraph also discusses the Battle of Bakhmut's timeline, the number of personnel killed, and the daily average of casualties. It further explores the claims of Ukrainian MOD regarding the number of Russian casualties and compares them with the numbers reported by Media Zone and BBC, noting the potential discrepancies and the complexity of verifying such figures.
🌐 Examination of Ukrainian and Russian Casualty Reports
This paragraph scrutinizes the reported casualty figures from both Ukrainian and Russian sources, highlighting the challenges in verifying the authenticity of these numbers. It discusses the UA Losses project, which estimates Ukrainian losses based on open-source data, and compares these with the Russian casualty figures. The paragraph also considers the potential underreporting of Ukrainian soldier deaths near Bakhmut and the implications of these findings. Additionally, it touches on the involvement of other units in the battle alongside PMC Wagner and the broader context of the conflict.
💡 Discussion on the Recruitment of Foreign Fighters and Strategic Shifts
The fourth paragraph shifts focus to the recruitment of foreign fighters by Russia, particularly from Central African countries, as a response to significant battlefield losses. It outlines the financial incentives offered to attract recruits and the potential impact on Russia's domestic situation. The paragraph also discusses the strategic implications of these recruitment efforts, including the possibility of avoiding further mobilizations within Russia and the potential for a global recruitment campaign to sustain offensive activities.
🗺️ Geopolitical Analysis of Military Movements and Frontline Changes
This paragraph provides an in-depth analysis of military movements and changes along the frontline, with a focus on the strategic significance of various regions. It discusses the potential reasons behind the movements, such as drawing troops away from key areas to weaken defenses. The paragraph also examines specific incidents, such as the Sumy strike, and evaluates their impact on the overall military situation. It includes insights from on-the-ground sources and considers the implications of these movements for the broader conflict.
🛡️ Assessment of Military Tactics and Preparedness in the Ongoing Conflict
The sixth paragraph offers a critical assessment of military tactics and preparedness, highlighting instances of incompetence and the resulting losses. It discusses the lack of coordination between units, the failure of defenses, and the consequences of poor planning. The paragraph also addresses the public release of information regarding these issues, emphasizing the need for accountability and the importance of learning from these events to prevent future losses.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Vagner PMC
💡Buck Moot
💡Casualty figures
💡Dog tags
💡Mercenaries
💡Combat payments
💡Recruitment of Africans
💡Air defense systems
💡Front line
💡Deep State
💡S-57
Highlights
Discussion of sensitive topics including losses, claims, and confirmations related to the S57 incident in Russia.
Analysis of clearer images from the S57 incident and confirmation of a second one being damaged.
Examination of media Zone BBC's methods for estimating Russian war casualties, with a current estimate of 54,000 killed.
Contrasting Ukraine's claim of 520,000 Russian casualties with media Zone BBC's figures.
Revelation of Vagner PMC's documents detailing payments to relatives of deceased fighters, indicating over 20,000 records of those killed.
The significant financial expenditure by Vagner PMC, amounting to over 108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on payments to the deceased's families.
Insights into the recruitment of prisoners by Vagner PMC, with 87% of the fighters being prisoners rather than professional PMC members.
Daily losses of over 200 men for Vagner PMC during the Battle of Bakhmut, highlighting the intensity of the conflict.
Comparison of the losses between Vagner PMC and the Armed Forces of Ukraine, suggesting a close number but with potential discrepancies.
Reports of Russia's attempts to recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine, with financial incentives and promises of a Russian passport.
Discussion on the use of older Soviet-era vehicles by Russia, possibly as remote-controlled tanks or VBIEDs.
Analysis of the front line stagnation and the potential for new tactics involving unmanned vehicles.
Claims of the Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully striking Russian S400 and S300 air defense systems in Crimea.
Reports of issues within the Ukrainian military, including unit rotations, lack of coordination, and fleeing soldiers.
Evidence of the Ukrainian military's internal critique of its own defensive failures and the need for accountability.
Updates on the condition of an S57 reportedly damaged, with speculation on the extent of the damage.
Consideration of the implications of slow-moving drones penetrating Russian air defenses and the potential for improvement.
Transcripts
G Legends I hope that you're having a
fantastic day and so far a fantastic
week now today as always we have a lot
to go over and some very sensitive
things to go over as well as we're going
to be talking about losses some claims
some confirmations and all of this as
well we will look at more and clearer
images that have come out of that s57
that has been damaged or destroyed in
Russia and then confirmation of a second
one being damaged as well off Russian
sources we'll talk at length about that
we need to look at some footage of some
strikes and also some like unmanned
vehicles and of course we'll look at the
maps and I've been sent some information
off someone on the ground talking about
movements and how they see things and
what is happening all up and down the
front line as we do have some changes
and some areas not changing of which we
thought would be but where I want to
start is the article that's come out
today and little bits and pieces getting
quoted but like we go over here we go
over everything because it is very
complex Nuance need to be added but
we're going to go over the article
talking about Vagner PMC losses in
Ukraine and there are some interesting
bits in this and also losses that are
being as well reported from Ukraine too
and we'll compare all this we'll talk at
length about it now if you want to come
and join the discussion over this and
more uh come and join the telegram
anyway let's start then right here now
we talk about media Zone BBC a lot as
well what they do they go through these
orbitar social media posts all these
different uh ways to try and crack down
how many Russians have actually been
killed in the war now I'll show you this
later as well but this is their most
recent one is about
54,000 have actually been killed now
they do say and it's worth saying that
not there's a lot of Mia and as well not
every thing is going to be publicly
available too so this number they do say
could be dramatically lower than what it
uh than what they say but we need to
remind you that as well Ukraine on the
on the 10th so uh yesterday is claiming
that this number is
520,000 some 10 times more greater than
this but let's look over what has
happened today mediaone BBC Russian
service have obtained access to part of
Vagner pmc's documents that describe
payments of relatives of deceased
Fighters they contain over 20,000
records of those killed between Jane 22
and August 2023 now you'll know Vagner
mostly from the Battle of buck moot
during this period the PMC spent over
108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on
such payments excluding most salaries
and injury compensation this is a hell
of a lot of money we're confident these
documents are genuine we cross reference
them with our list of the deceased most
Fighters died in the buck mut meat
grinder remember both Russia and Ukraine
were claiming that they were killing so
many of the enemy that this is why they
are holding in Buck Moot and way said of
the time I don't think either side is
lying I think both sides are telling the
truth but the losses are massive over
195,000 men 17,000 of them were
prisoners pardoned by Vladimir Putin now
we spoke to a couple of guys working
around that area and they were telling
us at the time in an interview that went
viral and people hated it whatever that
a lot of the guys are killing are not
your um pre Vagner PMC Fighters yes
they've got the badges on but these guys
have been recruited from prison whatever
sent in and then the more professionals
are coming through and this shows us
that 87% almost 90% were prisoners here
not the original Vagner PMC and what
they were being used for the original
better guys with ex backgrounds in the
military what we used for like
operations either behind the line or
deep in once they' figured out where the
machine guns and stuff were firing with
then the prisoners so that goes right
into what we reported at the time
on the bloodiest days PMC lost over 200
men per day with a maximum of 213
significantly less than being than what
was being reported at the time thanks to
the numbering system for dog tags we
were able to establish how many
prisoners in total went to war for
prosan at least 48,000 4,380 were
identified uh their prisons so 37% of
these who went were killed according to
my numbers that I'm looking at in this
but we will add a few more things as we
then go
and the late Yi progan he said some
20,000 troops from Russia's Wagner
mercenary were killed in the months long
battle for control now what it's looking
like and we know progan ended up being
killed that this number that he says
being confirmed by this today now a year
on is looking pretty bloody close now
let's continue on here the document came
into possession recorded the
dispersement of money to relative of
deceased V Fighters This data both
prisoners and regular mercenaries so
this is what we're talking about that
the prisoners took far far larger uh
numbers of losses than the regular
mercenaries here with of course a lot
more experience and how that was being
used in the fight Fe deceased we know
the dog tag number full name call sign
date of death uh and two amounts now the
first usually smaller likely pertain to
salary errors at the time of death while
the second was made 5 million rubbles or
$55,000 payment stipulated in the
contract with Vagner PMC for death in
combat this is a hell of a lot of money
in anywhere to be honest but especially
in Russia this is a lot a lot of money
and this is why you know people may
really be you know inclined to go and
join something like this at the time
that's a lot a lot of money
significantly less than May than maybe
it was being then reported now we'll go
over a few things at the end of the date
of Battle of buck mood was also disputed
prosan claimed that Vagner took control
of May 20 Ukraine acknowledge is
captured 10 days later that was when the
whole bmot hold thing was going on we
decided to take the day Vagner lost one
person in June the 6th so basically in
the middle thus the battle back lasted
327 days during this time Vagner lost
19547 Personnel killed 177,000 of whom
were prisoners and 2,000 were free
mercenaries so about this then 60 uh
sorry about 60 per day were then getting
killed so
let's roll back then to a day of which
just any random day and have a look here
now what we do need to say is people are
getting killed all up and down the front
line yes the hardest fighting was in
Buck mot but the fighting was everywhere
so then let's skip to then the 7th of
March now this is from the Ukrainian mod
liquidated Personnel saying
1,60 now we come to the 7th of March
here by their numbers remember this is
just Vagner this is just in Buck mot at
the time but the there was
204 men killed now remember this area is
going to have the most losses but yes
there's going to be others up and down
the front line that this number here
looks like we would say it looks
exaggerated or it looks to include
wounded as well in the front line which
is what we probably think this most
likely is but you can go and have a look
over this full article if you would like
but average of 60 but increases and
decreases here and you can see these
graphs and you can draw along this at to
see
where it was and this is the key dates
of losses and the men that you can see
but you can see significantly less than
maybe was being reported at the time
through this and I'll let you guys go
through that if you would then wish but
we need to look at we've looked at some
losses we need to look over some other
losses as I there's an article in here I
haven't actually found that an interview
with dolgov progan explained the point
of the Buckman M grinder was to kill as
many Ukrainian soldiers as possible this
was the same uh point given by the
Ukrainian command as well to kill as
many Russians as possible the ratio is
um is as this is from prosan we
destroyed 50,000 AFU FS approximately
it's difficult to calculate this
precisely 50 to 70,000 have injuries
from the AFU I have three times fewer
killed which lines up typically to
wounded to killed is about three times
maybe 3.2 approximately half of many
wounded so this is a then a Russian
claim here but we want to look at this
the anonymous UA losses project talles
Ukraine losses based on open source data
we've already used their data to compare
the losses of the
Armed Force of Ukraine and the Russian
armed forces the time we the we verified
the database and deemed it genuine so
they're saying this the UA loss project
works on the same Principle as media own
BBC's tally of losses searching for
publicly available obituaries it is not
correct to compare the full database of
losses and obituaries but there are no
other sources of information AFU losses
in the public domain there are none
other there maybe some comments here and
there but other than that no so let's
actually let's then look at this so
this is Media Zone BBC that have put
this together of this four uh 54,000
Russians killed in Ukraine but then
let's have a look at this one of then UA
losses that they have deemed genuine now
I can't speak for how genuine this is
but media Zone BBC is deeming this
genuine that they're saying deaths
recorded here at
51,2 45 and as you can see these numbers
are within a few thousand of each other
now again these numbers could be
significantly different to what he's
looking on here some are claiming
upwards of 10 times different I've seen
claims by other Russian sources claiming
this number should have another bloody
zero in it but again the the claims here
but these are confirmed may be
significantly different but how much
different are like let's say they both
have the same amount of um of like
difference well this paint a problem
with Russia with a much larger
population and what we're been taught
about these Grinders so this is very
interesting but again I can't speak to
how genuine these numbers are will we
ever get real proper numbers God I
really don't know but I thought that was
very very interesting to then look at
here now the UA losses killing bakut
4,800 bakut whose death is unknown 630
the total killed on all fronts in this
period for UA losses was 6 so you can
see significantly less in these areas
which is typical of a defending Force
but it is very very interesting to look
at those numbers it is unlikely that
uoss sees only 10% of aites which means
there are no 50,000 Ukrainian soldiers
killed near Buck mut so again what
they're saying is is putting back to
what prosan said here that there's
unlikely UK only sees 10% so that it's
saying that pran's claim here unlike his
claim of his own was overestimated which
um blah blah it should also be taken
into account that not only Vagner
participated in the battle bmud but
armor units and they also suffered
losses that's something very interesting
in this two this is focusing on Vagner
we know vdv we know other units were
there probably didn't get hit as hard as
Wagner but still very interesting to
then look at this now let's look at that
last one here the 108 billion this is
rubles in death money according to
contracts uh Fighters relatives would
received 5 billion rubles
$55,000 plus 3 300,000 R sorry 3,300 for
a funeral or that could be not taken and
taken for a funeral by Vagner itself uh
prus lists information of last salary
payments for some Fighters that could
amount up to $166,000 we know that some
of these more professional fighters here
like your career Vagner guys were paid
very well we know this for a fact this
could like these salaries were high even
on Western standards that's why a lot of
people went across to poach out of other
units as well but this is very
interesting a lot higher than a lot
expected and we know Money Talks
regardless in the world UK mod then put
out this today 28th of May Ukraine
defense intelligence the GU reported
that Russia has intensified attempts to
recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine
particular these recruitments focus on
Central African countries of Randa
Burundi Congo and Uganda Russian
reportedly offering a sign up bonus of
$2,000 monthly pay of 2200 and the
promise of a Russian passport remember
these is large numbers when we take into
account you know other areas the globe
this recruitment campaign is likely to
replace Russian Battlefield losses which
are significant and to sustain offensive
activity in multiple axes across the
front with Russia's finite pool of
convict recruitment likely culminated
Russia is likely expanding its
recruitment across the global South to
avoid additional mobilizations within
Russia itself as well as being
domestically unpopular for Russian
President Putin and Russian government
the previous mobilization for war
resulted in record labor shortage and
exodus of skilled workers doctors it
professionals but you got to remember
these pools this money this say Vagner
PMC of $50,000 if you're killed this
will entice a hell a hell of a lot of
people and I thought these were very
interesting especially when we compare
these losses here now that this is not
painting a great picture but again we we
don't know but they in their own thing
said that it is unlikely that UA losses
only sees 10% so it may be you know
closer to that figure so again with
losses it's going to take a lot of time
but again this is you know information
that can't be ignored coming out now
let's have a look what do you guys want
to see you want to do maps or aircraft
or let's look at strikes this will be a
lot lot quicker so uh there are claims
of general staff reported at night
Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully
Struck One Russian S400 uh near here as
well as two s3000s in here this is down
in Crimea there are fires graphs showing
this fires but no visual confirmation
yet that those were hit but we do know
Russian air defense is having some
problems especially protecting things
like air bases with your high-end level
stuff there now this video this could be
fake this be very easy to fake but also
could be real it could be [ __ ] easy
to do as well that we do see then this
here looks like a remote control then
t72 tank and I actually reckon we'll see
more and more of this as we know one
thing Russia's got lots of are older
vehicles Soviet era stuff could these be
used to get into positions or to take
men out of things maybe not to drive
around and Fire stuff but used as even
something like a VB IED I don't know
it's very interesting to say I think
we'll see more and more of that as we
know the front line for a long time now
has been very very stagnant now we will
go over the map some information I've
been sent so here we have Ukraine the
capital of keev of course the red areas
occupied since 22 the purple since 2014
the green areas Russia has been at one
point and has either been pushed out of
all withdraw some are you need to know
is H belgrad Sumi KK and some claims and
some pushes and stuff around here but
let's look at what I was then sent uh
I'd still go with my original
perceptions uh that hariv is a sideline
to pull troops from elsewhere to weaken
the defense of shiv y so to pull Russian
sold s pull Ukrainian soldiers from
chasa up into here and what we have seen
is this front line has basically stopped
if not Russia sorry Ukraine is making
some ground in here but in the same time
the first areas of chasar did start
falling so that is off someone I know
their trusted guy after this I'm sure
will interview with me and you guys will
like this but then I asked for like well
can you share with me as far as open so
this is over just got in absolutely
bollocked a local area is getting a lot
of coverage but the reality is it's
nothing in terms of what anyone would
call an offensive the sum Chen strike
was not much more than a one-way fire
mission so this is talking about up in
the north as home Village is empty of
people and still held by Ukraine as of
now this is about 15 hours old sh and
after it it is their focus Russia by
there strategically the strik scen of
late airfields air defense systems and
the movements of ad is more telling uh
to what is being shaped so what is being
shaped in the battlefield for Ukraine as
far as hitting airfields hitting air
defense systems as well we know shaping
of Battlefield then both ways in this
but it's interesting to talk about up in
the north was not much more than a
oneway fire mission and getting a lot of
coverage is nothing what terms of of an
offensive that talking about in har
world to try and draw troops now again
someone trusted who's there working have
met there um so let's look at the North
and then look at some other maps and
some GE locations as well so sui oblast
in here and it's we come down into this
rivka and this is where then we know
there was some level of Crossing I know
zinsky said it's under control there's
no one's here but again we know there
was something if not fires but then we
have some gated stuff as well so gated
to just here this accent I think library
or something the building here let's see
no it may not tell me but anyway
official building here we then actually
have a jaoc photograph so if we have
there we're talking to thear down in
here we have a photograph of this now we
were speaking of this certain group prev
this and we see this now one thing I
will say looking at gear you can see
things like active air defense with uh
the mounts onto helmets these these
lights these lights are not cheap I
forgot what brand they are we I I didn't
buy one of these cuz it was too bloody
expensive when I was in the military
better plate carriers can- on weapons at
weapon that these are probably better
trained or better kitted out troops than
your average guy you need to look at
things like these better boots things
little bits and I think they're lowers
little bits and pieces like that it
tells a lot about who crossed what they
may be doing there as well so yeah we
need to take more into account of just
then this now we'll talk about some
other areas before we go into some so no
changes around involved chance we know a
lot of claims of what Ukraine is doing
here holding in place to wear down the
Russians or pushing them back or
whatever but well we just don't know
according to my friend it it's not a
main area of effort he's still to draw
away and you know that's more where I
believe and then we see shivar that we
did see this advancement into the center
of shashar over the last couple of days
and now we see out from ivanovski we
then see then this change here then
today as well now we'll push down now
I'm actually going to just skip this
area we'll come back to it no changes
down through M Ina CR RKA these areas
but urani we then see a Russian change
here pushing back into ground of which
they lost during Ukraine's 23 counter
offensive and we get this video pop up
here of a Russian fla flag being other I
said flag a Russian flag being flown in
Star mski now this is then gated to
then here so Northern outskirts between
these two roads which is basically where
then if you look at here where the grz a
so right about here probably should have
been pushed up a little bit more on the
red there but we know some change here
that Russia did have then a level of
advancement here as well then we have
the Noel reports map in here then
showing this now he's showing very
similar maybe some more well definitely
some more around urani here as well if
we look at where this Waterway is
running so it is interesting to see the
changes in maps moving through here but
still similar we know there was
definitely a Russian advancement then on
this front now we're going to do a bit
of reading on deep state has been
calling some stuff out so we come into
then aiva now we can see omansky there's
a Russian Northern push here now this is
putting a lot of pressure in whatever
defenses are going to be in here we may
see this area of open ground then
further close up in here depending on
those Ive as well as out from Sol a
western push from Russia here as well
you as you can see this puts a lot of
pressure you don't need to be a military
minded person to see the pressure this
would put on here expanding said area
now we need to talk about this sort of
OT atne front up in here and deep state
has done a right up on this and I
thought this was very interesting and
we'll go over it now this is actually
showing you a little bit further back so
this is osar and this is osar just here
so it's showing these orig
defensive lines through here areas like
stov Bachi areas like this so stov Bachi
stov bchi here now I'm going to leave
this one up I'm going to disappear and
then let's read through what then deep
States so Ukrainian source with you know
into the mod as was said um collect
information about difficult events in
April this year screenshot shows the
allocation of the 115th defensive line
so purple let's start with the
background the Brigade replaced the 2 OB
uh om R sorry and the 71 o EBR the
rotation took place on March this and
already on the 29th brigades left the
site during January March the positions
were actively strengthened and were
handed over in Fairly good condition
this confirmed by the fighters of
various battalions of the 115th uh there
were joint shifts in two days there was
absolutely no fault of the predecessors
so there was a shift there new guys
moved in on the right was the 47th uh
and on their left was the
btg of the 20 third including the dowes
which had been the least involved in
recent month that precisely why they did
not go with the main force of the 23rd
the false thesis was thrown into the
mass media and that the 47th allegedly
passed the lane to the 115th and during
the transfer the enemy broke through the
defense this is not true it seems that
some officer through his connections
decided to shift the blame to mura the
fighters the 115th themselves claim that
the 47th in the form of Bradley and the
23rd in the form of artillery mortars
constantly helped when the enemy stormed
them but how this happened is unknown
since there was no interaction in other
cases even within the Brigade as uh as
an example one battalion um constantly
fired at two bat um because it thought
the enemy was there now let's move on to
the chronology so there's obviously some
massive connection issues in here of
exactly what happened as we saw this
fell these defensive lines and units
here very quickly now the first problem
started with the first and third
battalions approximately April on the
left at the Direction H Junction sorry
and the 23rd on a farm here sat here
commanded by the former deputy people of
viru this unit fled endangering the
flank of the Third Battalion so it was a
unit then flee out of here um actions
were taken to restore positions by the
soldiers of the 115th but the support of
the tank that fired one time there was
no reconnaissance and planning of
assault actions on the map the result
was the seventh company which carried
out these actions lost many soldiers
wounded and lost combat capability so
this was a mess of Defense in here it
wasn't properly repaired and the
rotation of guys didn't obviously work
in here as well and that combin arms to
combine with artillery and tanks and
whatever that restore here tank that
fired one time on the morning of April
1st Russians attacked the positions
between the railways Bama andich with
the forces of infant one infantry two
tanks and these uh the the enemy broke
through the junction between the first
and second battal the main part of the
OS boys killed or captured in the
evening the boxes with the landing party
went to the Garden company T and broke
through the flank of the second
Battalion which stood above stov and did
not leave its position so then we need
to look at this the second Battalion
above stapo didn't then leave so above
stapo in here so stapo above in here now
hope hope you keep it along but the
fible companies which were sitting in
the St so realwood um simply ran away or
went into failure as they consisted of
re units and limited use 15 units of the
enemy sat in the landmark all day
neither artillery or kamakazi could do
anything to them the forces of means and
support of the Third Battalion also fled
although the fighters of the Battalion
itself continue to whole part of here
until replaced so we know inexperienced
soldiers have been fleeing in here and
we're hearing some more of this coming
out as well platoon Commander second
Battalion with five soldiers went to dig
in single-handedly to stop their
advancement their fate is still unknown
on April 10th Vanguard of podar was at
here D the anir occurred the entire rear
of the second Battalion in one of the
conversations about the situation left
of the Battalion phrase who knows where
the first Battalion happened the enemy
was already at the substation of os and
occupied part of the private sector
Russians were already in the high-rise
buildings near the factory and shot cars
and tried to drive through the crossing
the defense of O actually did not take
place the trenches around the village
are not H sorry the trenches around the
village are only a parody and they were
not suitable for defense the 115th did
not plan to defend it of course Scouts
in the otu and attacking aircraft of an
unknown unit visited the village but the
village was mostly empty the absence of
significant destruction as of April 22nd
is confirmation the bulk of the artill
strikes have already been carried out by
the Defense Forces to stop enemy Advance
interesting are the numbers of losses
and one of the battalions where the dead
X and the missing are 24 times the bulk
of the latter actually died so you can
see the problems that are arising then
in this conclusion fighters of thebr and
the first line accept the battle and tri
to save the situation while significant
part was captured or Die the brigades
reserves were not ready and there was no
interactual preparation of battles was
also at low level failure the front
unjustified losses theault previous
submissions is absent and the neighbors
are minimal the entire Village ofy was
lost with minimal fighting and its
defenses were not ready and there was no
one to defend it the fighters of the
first line are probably stood the last
stood to the last of course the Brigade
could not worthily confront a stronger
and more numerous enemy to task this
public is to shed a light on those
events showing who is uh and in this
situation the administrative resources
in form of a brigade page will by no
means save because there must be
responsibility for the lives so that it
never happens again people will say this
is this is Ukraine releasing this
themselves it is especially worth
considering that this is not the first
skeleton in the closet soes viani Sina
were also there incompetent and criminal
decisions will not be covered by dead
soldiers as the Brigade media tried to
do pouncing on our the Brigade Commander
was removed from his post in April and
now there is a change in person talking
about how this front fell back
incredibly quickly a lot of guys off
their lives due to incompetence and
things not being built up and by many
many people just ignoring this the most
Pro Ukrainian people just ignore this
happening and people getting killed
because of it if you call it out
apparently work for Putin it's [ __ ]
ridiculous and I think the propagandists
on these platforms need to bloody say
something yeah they need to be [ __ ]
called out too so we have a better
update of this image of this s57 being
reportedly damaged here now how much
damage again we have no idea you can see
then the painted one here but
interestingly of the s57 sitting out in
the open this is the only one with
anything sort of over it now is this a
drone cage is this the start of
something for um to put something over
this as far as a um cover we don't know
but probably a drone cage this would
have been the one that I would have gone
for and it has you know you can see that
these have slightly missed there doesn't
seem to be too much um [ __ ] sitting
around so we don't know how much damage
but it could be major due to just
shrapnel but again we don't really know
but how the [ __ ] these got in well
Russia has obviously a huge problem with
spag like anti-air guns to take out slow
moving drones that there's no excuse for
a slow moving drone to get into an
Airfield with your most modern planes at
it but we do know there's a lot more
success with high-end fast things rather
than slow this should be something that
could be fixed I think I don't know
anyway new photos here this is from F
bomber in order to get up uh in order
not to get up twice I will say that two
s7s were damaged the second received
minor damage uh which will repaired on
the spot I've already written about the
first one they will not think whether
they expedient to restore it or not as
aircraft is really a prototype and it's
a little use for combat operations these
aircraft these are still not in like
full production capacity as well because
a lot of countries pulled out of these
too we know that there still somewhat of
a prototype we don't know how involved
they actually are of the three uavs that
attacked the aerodome all three flew for
what reasons the air defense did not
work I will not right the major deal
with the reasons of how it happened
anyway the arcs above the aircraft are
an unfinished hanger which I don't know
when they started building it and then
abandon it uh just like many other
airfields perhaps the same thr shelters
that accelerated Pace began to build in
2021 not done so wait for the next
arrival stck up and shell casings and
fake specialists in advance so obviously
calling out that there are major major
being had there and we can see there's
major problems all up and down front
line and I'm glad deep State actually
call out what actually happened here and
the major major problems and can this be
fixed on other than areas actually we
missed a small tiny movement in klish
kka just as I was zooming out there
Legends I hope that you're having a
fantastic day I hope you're looking
after yourself I'll speak to you very
very soon if you'd like to support me
links down below but I'll see you
tomorrow thank you bye-bye
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