DV Lottery Greencard | Does early DS260 submission help high case numbers?
Summary
TLDRDV抽選プログラムの早期DS-260提出に関する誤解について説明します。早期提出が高いケース番号の面接日程を改善するという誤解がありますが、それは事実ではありません。面接の対象になるにはビザ・ブリテンに掲載される番号以下である必要があります。早期提出のメリットは低いケース番号の場合のみ有効であり、高いケース番号では提出が早くても遅くても結果に影響しません。さらに、早期提出は将来の非移民ビザ申請において不利になる可能性もあります。ケース番号が高い場合、DS-260の提出を遅らせるか避けるべきです。
Takeaways
- 🔄 DS-260の早期提出は、選挙された移民ビザのチャンスを改善するものではありません。
- 📉 移民ビザ面談を受けるためには、あなたのケースナンバーがビザ公報に発表された数値よりも低い必要があります。
- 🤔 早期提出による面談の優先順位の変更はありません。ケースナンバーが有効でない限り、面談の機会は得られません。
- 📈 ビザ公報に記載された数値があなたのケースナンバーを下回るまで、ビザの有効化は遅延します。
- 🎯 ビザ公報があなたのケースナンバーを有効にした場合、提出時期は面談のスケジュールに影響を与えません。
- 👉 移民ビザのケースナンバーが非常に高い場合、DS-260の早期提出は利益をもたらさない可能性があります。
- 🚫 ビザ公報があなたのケースナンバーを有効にしない限り、DS-260の提出は無駄です。
- 💡 移民ビザの希望者が移民意図を示したことが、将来の非移民ビザ申請に影響を与える可能性があるため注意が必要です。
- 📅 ビザ公報が発行されるまで、DS-260の提出時期は最終的な移民ビザのプロセスに影響を与えません。
- 📝 移民ビザのケースナンバーが低い場合、DS-260の早期提出は面接の遅延を招く可能性があるため注意が必要です。
- 📢 信頼できる情報源にのみ従い、自分のケースを管理するようにしてください。
Q & A
DVローターリーで早期提出のds260とは何ですか?
-DVローターリーで早期提出のds260とは、DVローターリーの当選者が選考を受けるために、早くds260フォームを提出することを指します。
早期提出がインタビューの優先順位に影響を与えるとなぜ人々は考えていますか?
-人々は早期提出により、彼らのケースナンバーが低い場合でもインタビューの前に位置づけられる可能性があると誤解している可能性がありますが、実際にはケースナンバーがインタビューに適格になるまでインタビューは行われません。
インタビューに適格になるためにはどのような条件が必要ですか?
-インタビューに適格になるためには、あなたのケースナンバーがビザ・バレットに発表された当該月のナンバーよりも低くなければなりません。
ビザ・バレットとは何ですか?
-ビザ・バレットは、米国のビザ配分に関する情報、特にDVローターリーのケースナンバーの進展状況を提供する月刊の公報です。
なぜ高ケースナンバーを持つ人が早期提出するのに利点がないのですか?
-高ケースナンバーを持つ場合、彼らのケースナンバーが適格になることがないため、早期提出してもインタビューの優先順位に影響を与えることはありません。
ケースナンバーが適格になると仮定した場合、早期提出と遅延提出の違いは何ですか?
-ケースナンバーが適格になると仮定しても、ds260が処理されるまでには時間がかかるため、早期提出と遅延提出のどちらがインタビューのスケジュールに影響を与えるかは一概に言えません。
ds260の提出が遅れた場合、どのような影響が考えられますか?
-ds260の提出が遅れていると、ケースナンバーが適格であるにもかかわらず、インタビューのスケジュールが遅れる可能性があります。
移民の意図を表明するために早期にds260を提出する可能性がある場合、どのようなリスクがありますか?
-移民の意図を早期に表明することは、将来の非移民ビザ申請において、移民の意図があると思われる可能性があり、ビザ申請を難しくさせる可能性があります。
なぜ高ケースナンバーを持つ人はds260を提出しないことを検討すべきなのですか?
-高ケースナンバーを持つ場合、彼らのケースナンバーが適格になることがない可能性が高いため、ds260の提出は無駄であり、将来のビザ申請に影響を与える可能性があります。
DVローターリーの当選者がどのように彼らのケースを管理すべきですか?
-DVローターリーの当選者は、彼らのケースナンバーがどの程度の位置にあるかを理解し、それに応じてds260の提出時期を計画すべきです。また、正確な情報を得るために信頼できる情報源に頼ることが重要です。
なぜビザ申請プロセスでの情報は重要なのですか?
-ビザ申請プロセスでの情報は、申請者が適切なステップを踏むことができ、申請プロセスを円滑に進めることができるようにするため非常に重要です。
Outlines
📄 DV Lotteryの早期提出と影響について
この段落では、DV Lotteryの早期提出に関する誤解を解くために話されています。DV Lotteryで当選した後、早期にDS260を提出することが勧められているとされていますが、その理由について人々は混乱しているとされています。実際、ケースナンバーが非常に高い場合でも、早期提出によって面接の機会が早く訪れるわけではありません。面接を受けるには、ケースナンバーがビザ・バレットに発表された数値よりも低い必要があります。政府の誤りによる早期の面接スケジュール設定は非常に稀であり、その後もそのケースは遅延することになります。また、ケースナンバーが決してカレントにならない場合、DS260の早期提出は全く意味がありません。しかし、ケースナンバーがカレントになった場合、その時点での状況について2つのシナリオが説明されています。
🗓 DS260の提出時期と面接の関係性
DS260の早期提出と遅延提出のどちらが有利かについて説明されています。早期提出は、ケースナンバーが非常に高い場合に意味がなく、実際には逆に非移民ビザの申請に不利な場合があると指摘されています。DS260は移民ビザの申請書であり、それが提出されてもケースナンバーがカレントにならない場合、将来の非移民ビザ申請に移民意図を証明する必要がある場合、その提出が困難を招く可能性があります。また、低いケースナンバーを持つ場合や中程度のケースナンバーを持つ場合は、DS260を比較的早期に提出することが推奨されていますが、高いケースナンバーを持つ場合は早期提出の利点はなく、逆に遅延提出が推奨されているとされています。
📢 正しい情報に基づく判断を
最後に、人々がDV Lotteryのプロセスに関する正しい情報を得ることが重要であると強調されています。7月または8月にかけて、選択された人数に関するより多くの情報が得られるため、その情報を待ってからDS260を提出することが勧められています。また、チャンネルへの登録や動画への賛同を呼びかけ、良い情報を持つことがグリーンカード獲得プロセスに役立つとアドバイスしています。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡DS-260
💡DV Lottery
💡Case Number
💡Visa Bulletin
💡Current
💡Immigrant Intent
💡Non-immigrant Visa
💡Processing Time
💡Interview Schedule
💡AV Status
Highlights
Addressing confusion about early submission of the DS-260 form.
Submitting DS-260 early does not improve interview chances if your case number is high.
Interview eligibility is determined by case number and Visa bulletin status, not submission time.
Rare instances of early interviews due to government errors are exceptions.
Even if processed early, high case numbers need to wait until their number is current.
Example of EU case number 39,000 to illustrate waiting for Visa bulletin updates.
Case processing time for DS-260 can vary but will be completed before the interview month if submitted on time.
Both early and late DS-260 filers in the same high case number range will have the same interview opportunities.
Order of interviews is based on numerical order of case numbers, not filing date.
The AV status queue is populated based on processing status and case number, not filing time.
Filing DS-260 early with a high case number has no advantage and could be a disadvantage.
Declaring immigration intent through DS-260 could affect future non-immigrant visa applications.
Non-immigrant visa applications may be scrutinized if DS-260 shows prior immigration intent.
Advice to wait until July or August to file DS-260 for high case numbers to better understand selection numbers.
Emphasizing that good information and smart handling of the process are crucial for DV Lottery success.
Transcripts
hi everyone Brit Simon here so um let me
address a question I'm getting
frequently where I think people are
little bit confused about early
submission of the ds260 and what
positive impacts it can have to your
case um so when we become DV lottery
winners one of the urges is to file the
ds260 early um and some people seem to
assume that even though they've got a
very very high case number because they
filed early um that is somehow going to
give them an improvement in their
chances so later they will get
interviewed before their number gets
current or something like that right the
reality is that's not true at all um you
cannot be interviewed in the DV Lottery
process unless your number is eligible
for an interview and being eligible for
an interview means your case number has
to be below the number that is published
in the Visa bulletin for a for any given
month now there have been a tiny number
of cases where the government screwed up
and scheduled some interviews early for
people uh but we're talking a tiny
number of cases and those people were
later held up um while their number
became current right so in general let's
say you're sitting there with a DV
Lottery case number of let's say EU
39,000 as I have a had a question this
morning um and you've submitted your
ds260 very early and let's say it gets
processed immediately let's say it were
you know somehow you get the fastest
possible processing because you are one
of the earliest people to submit your
ds260 does that mean you have uh a
better chance of uh getting an interview
well no if your case number never
becomes current um then it will make no
difference at all you'll never be able
to get uh an interview right but if your
case number does get current let me sort
of describe two scenarios for that case
number EU
39,000 um to try and sort of explain
that right and I'm just picking on EU
39,000 and and don't get fixated about
EU 39,000 I'm just saying that that is a
case number that I already know to be
very high uh in the case number ranges
because we're seeing EU numbers are
generally going to be below 41,000 it
looks like 41,000 is going to be about
the highest case number based on the
survey uh results that we have already
so
39,000 39 XXX or whatever just under
40,000 we know that's going to be a very
high case number so you will wait all
year while the Visa buletin uh moves up
and up and up but let's say by some
miracle that case number does become
current let's say in the final month of
the year and let's imagine there's two
casee numbers at exactly that same uh
number range both in the 39,000 to
40,000 range right one of those cases
filed
early um and uh and was processed very
early right they filed immediately you
know May May 9th or whatever May 6th uh
they filed immediately and uh and their
case uh is processed very early the
other person that with that same case
number Waits until December to file
their
ds260 um but their cases need both those
cases won't become current until let's
say uh July let's say they finally get
current in the final be Visa bulletin
for DB 2025 July of 2025 right not July
of 2024 July of 25 right so a year from
now over a year from now right so one of
the cases files immediately and the
other Case Files the ds260 in December
of this year uh or January or even
February or even March right of next
year in
2025 because that ds260 will be
processed before July as long as they
file it by March April maybe even May
that's how late that person could file
right if you think about how long it
would take because there's going to be
no backlog at that time so as soon as
they submit their ds260 they ds260 will
be processed and if it's an EU case very
simple to process uh you know some
someone with a boring job living uh his
his or her life in I don't know Germany
or something and has always lived there
right no complicated travel history
nothing that would slow down the
processing of the ds260 case right if
they file let's say let's say they file
as late as May um then that case will be
processed prior to the a bulletin that
makes their case current the final Visa
bulletin let's say they're becoming
current in in
July for a September interview remember
the July Visa butin or the Visa butin
that's published in July concerns the
the final interviews for September of 25
right so as long as those two cases are
both processed before the July Visa
bulletin is published then both of them
are in The Identical position it doesn't
make any difference at all that one
filed early and the other filed very
late there is no Advantage for either of
those cases uh in that scenario right
literally none and then the order in
which they are given an interview for
that month of September is based on
their numerical order uh on the case
number not to do with the day they file
the uh the case and that happens because
of a thing called AV um status and the
cues pertaining to AV status and the
rules for being ordered is at the point
that the AV status Q is populated each
month and I have a video that that
explains this very well but um at the
point that that avq is being filled up
each
month the cases will only make it into
the avq if they are processed that's a
yes no question are they processed or
they not processed um and if they are
processed it doesn't matter how long
they've been processed for and how long
they've been waiting um and whether the
case number is current that's the only
two things that matter so were you
processed in time and are you current
right and then as you're being added to
that avq all of the cases that are being
added to that avq are ordered in their
numerical order according to the case
number so there is absolutely no
advantage to a high case number who is
filed very early versus a high case
number who is filed very late absolutely
no difference whatsoever okay so um
that's the reality and I'm hoping that
that's clarifying things for some of the
people here um who think that there is
some sort of race to file the
ds260 now on the other hand if you have
a lowcase number and you file your ds260
late then it could delay your uh your
interview because your case number would
be current but your ds260 is not
processed yet and so for some people
with lowercase numbers or even mid-range
numbers they should be filing their
their ds260 fairly early right but if
you've got a high case number there's no
advantage to filing early and in fact
there can be a disadvantage of filing
because if you uh if your case number is
so high that you never become current
then the finding of the ds260 declares
immigration intent or intent uh intent
desire on your on your part to immigrate
to the USA so if you never become
current and therefore you never get the
green card right then you may need to
apply for non-immigrant visas in the
future and those non-immigrant visas may
have to consider whether you have
immigrant intent whether you are trying
to immigrate to America and in that case
the fact that you filed a ds260 which is
an application for an immigrant Visa
that uh that filing of that ds260 which
was not useful to you at all because you
never became current that filing of the
ds260 can make your non-immigrant visa
application a little bit more difficult
for some of uh some of the Visa types
not all of them but some of them right
um now it doesn't make it impossible to
get a non-immigrant Visa um but it can
make it a little bit more difficult you
have in a non-immigrant Visa for some of
the non-immigrant Visas you have to
demonstrate that you uh will comply by
the rules and that you will return home
uh at the end of your Visa validity
period if not before and that you won't
try and overstay right and so in that
case the fact that you have shown
intention to try and immigrate to
America previous vious ly could make the
uh conser officer a little bit more
concerned a little bit more suspicious
that maybe you'll try and stay in
America um beyond the terms of your uh
of your uh Visa okay and so that
immigrant intent which is how we term it
can cause uh some difficulties later for
those future non-immigrant Vis or
applications so be a little bit careful
right there's no advantage to filing
quickly for a very high case number and
and for some high case numbers there
could be a
disadvantage okay so if your case number
is so high that that you're never going
to get uh current then you know it's a
sad fact that some of you should
probably not even be fing your ds260 at
all okay um now we will know more about
case numbers um in July and August of
this year we'll know more about case
numbers because we'll actually know more
about the number of selected people
um so in that case uh just hang on for a
little bit and wait until after July or
August to file your ds260 it will make
no difference to your uh to your case in
in any way because at least by then
you'll know the numbers and if you've
got a high case number you're going to
have to wait for a long time anyway
right so um so there you go try and not
freak out about any of this uh don't
start listening to people that don't
know what the hell they're talking about
um and um and just be a little bit sort
of smart in the way that you're uh
handling your own case Okay um okay I
think that's probably all I wanted to
cover with you today again let me just
uh let me just ask you one more time um
please do subscribe to my channel give
me a thumbs up by the way if you like
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and so that's helpful and subscribe to
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way of getting the Green Card okay
because good information in this process
is uh is very important okay all right
everybody thank you for joining me
thanks then bye-bye
[Music]
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