BAGAIMANA DUNIA MENANGGUNG INFLASI DOLAR ?! PRABOWO KAWAL 8000T APBN DARI INFLASI !!- Mardigu Wowiek

Summary

The transcript discusses Indonesia's economic growth challenges, focusing on the feasibility of achieving an 8% growth target set by Prabowo, which contrasts with the IMF's projection of 5%. The key issue lies in Indonesia's limited financial resources, with the country's currency circulation being far too small to fuel the desired economic expansion. The discussion highlights the need for increased government spending and ways to raise the national budget (APBN). Drawing parallels with the U.S. 2008 financial crisis, it explores solutions involving money printing and strategic investments to address Indonesia's financial and economic needs.

Takeaways

• 😀 Prabowo aims for 8% economic growth in Indonesia, which requires a significant increase in the state budget (APBN).
• 😀 The IMF is skeptical about Prabowo's target, predicting a more modest 5% growth for Indonesia from 2024-2029.
• 😀 The key challenge to achieving the 8% growth is the limited financial capacity of the state, as the country has insufficient funds to stimulate economic growth.
• 😀 Indonesia's money supply, measured by the money in circulation (kartal), is far too low to support a strong economy.
• 😀 Currently, Indonesia's money supply is about Rp954.4 trillion, which is considered very small relative to the country's needs.
• 😀 The APBN, while planned to be Rp3,600 trillion in 2025, is not backed by real, available money and could be insufficient even for the predicted 5% growth.
• 😀 To reach the 8% growth target, Indonesia would need around Rp7,000-8,000 trillion, which is a considerable financial challenge.
• 😀 The transcript draws a comparison to the U.S. response to the 2008 financial crisis, where the U.S. printed money to solve its financial problems.
• 😀 The U.S. strategy involved printing $2 trillion and circulating it through the financial system, ensuring it was used to pay off debts across multiple institutions.
• 😀 The U.S. method of printing money worked by providing underlying projects in other countries, including Indonesia, to prevent inflation and stabilize the economy.
• 😀 The transcript suggests that Indonesia should explore similar financial strategies, but cautions about the risks of inflation and stresses the need for productive economic projects to back new money printing.

Q & A

What is Prabowo's target for Indonesia's economic growth?

Prabowo aims for Indonesia's economy to grow by 8%, which is part of his grand economic design.

How does the IMF view Prabowo's economic growth target?

The IMF is skeptical of Prabowo's target, predicting that Indonesia's economic growth will only reach around 5% from 2024 to 2029.

What is the core issue that affects Indonesia's economic growth, according to the script?

The core issue affecting Indonesia's economic growth is the country's financial situation, particularly the insufficient amount of money available for economic expansion.

What is the current amount of money in circulation in Indonesia?

Currently, the amount of money in circulation in Indonesia, in the form of currency issued by the government, is about Rp954.4 trillion, which is considered very small compared to the nation's needs.

Why is the total national expenditure of Rp3,600 trillion for 2025 misleading?

The total national expenditure of Rp3,600 trillion is a projected budget, not actual available funds. It represents planned spending, but the actual money may not be there.

How much money does Indonesia actually need to achieve an 8% economic growth rate?

Indonesia would need between Rp7,000 trillion and Rp8,000 trillion to achieve an 8% economic growth rate.

What is the proposed solution for Indonesia to increase its economic capacity?

The proposed solution is to increase the amount of money in circulation by doubling the current value of the APBN (state budget) and boosting the average money held by Indonesians.

How did the United States deal with its financial crisis in 2008-2009?

During the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the United States printed USD 2 trillion to resolve its financial issues, primarily related to the subprime mortgage crisis.

What is the mechanism of money circulation explained using the U.S. example?

The U.S. printed USD 2 trillion and distributed it through a chain of loans between financial institutions (A, B, C, D, E), allowing the money to circulate and pay off debts within the system.

What lesson can Indonesia learn from the U.S. approach to dealing with financial crises?

Indonesia can learn that while printing money is one approach to addressing a financial crisis, it requires careful management to avoid inflation, and ideally, should be backed by productive economic projects to prevent devaluation of the currency.