Sam Altmans Stunning Prediction Is Deeper Than You Think
Summary
TLDRSam Altman's recent blog post, 'The Intelligence Age,' predicts a future where AI will revolutionize sectors like healthcare, education, and software development. Altman suggests AI will become as transformative as past technologies, enabling personalized tutoring, advanced healthcare, and software creation. He also acknowledges potential labor market disruptions but remains optimistic about AI's ability to amplify human creativity and utility.
Takeaways
- 🔮 Sam Altman's recent blog post, 'The Intelligence Age', suggests that AI will bring about transformative changes akin to 'magic' within the next few decades.
- 📚 AI advancements are already impacting sectors like legal and medical advice, with technology reading documents and providing consultations.
- 🚀 Altman's 2021 blog post, 'Mo's Law for Everything', has shown remarkable accuracy in predicting current technological trends.
- 💡 Society's collective intelligence is surpassing individual intelligence, leading to an acceleration of technological progress.
- 🌐 The internet and smartphones have revolutionized communication and information access, setting a precedent for future AI-driven transformations.
- 🤖 Future AI agents are expected to act as personal experts across various fields, enabling the creation of almost anything imaginable.
- 👨🎓 AI tutors will provide personalized education in any subject and language, making quality education accessible and affordable.
- 🏥 Personal healthcare agents will offer tailored medical advice, potentially reducing medical errors and enhancing patient outcomes.
- 🛠️ AI is quietly revolutionizing software development, with agents capable of building personalized software solutions.
- 💰 The economic impact of AI is expected to be significant, with the potential to create new job categories and reshape existing ones.
- ⏳ Altman predicts that superintelligence could be achieved within a few thousand days, emphasizing the rapid pace of AI development.
Q & A
What did Sam Altman predict in his 2021 blog post titled 'Mo's law for everything'?
-Sam Altman predicted that within the next five years, computer programs capable of thinking would be able to read legal documents and give medical advice, which is consistent with current advancements in AI technology.
What is the significance of the blog post 'The Intelligence Age' mentioned in the script?
-The blog post 'The Intelligence Age' is significant because it provides insights into the future of AI and suggests that in the coming decades, AI will enable us to do things that would have seemed like magic to previous generations.
How does Sam Altman view the progress of AI in relation to societal capabilities?
-Sam Altman views AI as an acceleration of societal capabilities, stating that society itself is a form of advanced intelligence. He suggests that each generation builds upon the advancements of the previous one, leading to exponential progress.
What does Sam Altman foresee AI agents being able to do in the future?
-Sam Altman foresees AI agents becoming capable of forming personal AI teams of virtual experts in different areas, working together to create almost anything we can imagine.
What is the potential impact of AI on education according to the script?
-AI has the potential to revolutionize education by providing personalized instruction in any subject, in any language, at any pace needed, making high-quality tutoring accessible to almost anyone.
How does the script suggest AI will change healthcare?
-The script suggests that AI will change healthcare by providing personalized healthcare agents that coordinate with doctors, analyze medical histories, and provide personalized health care advice, potentially reducing medical errors.
What is the potential economic impact of AI in software development as mentioned in the script?
-AI has the potential to significantly impact the software development industry by creating AI agents that can build personalized software, which could lead to a shift in the economy and change how software is developed and utilized.
What does Sam Altman believe is the most important factor in the advancement of AI?
-Sam Altman believes that the most important factor in the advancement of AI is the discovery that deep learning works and gets predictably better with scale, leading to dedicated increases in resources.
What are the potential downsides of AI that Sam Altman acknowledges in the script?
-Sam Altman acknowledges that AI can cause significant changes in labor markets, both positively and negatively, and that most jobs will change more quickly than people think. He emphasizes the need to maximize AI's benefits while minimizing its harm.
How does the script address concerns about the speed of AI development?
-The script addresses concerns about the speed of AI development by suggesting that while AI advancements may seem rapid, they are part of a historical trend of accelerating technological progress, and society will adapt to these changes.
Outlines
🔮 Predicting the Future Impact of AI
The paragraph discusses a recent blog post by Sam Altman, highlighting its importance and accuracy in predicting future AI advancements. It references an earlier blog post from 2021 titled 'Mo's Law for Everything,' which predicted AI capabilities like reading legal documents and giving medical advice, which are now becoming a reality. The new blog post, 'The Intelligence Age,' suggests that in the coming decades, AI will enable us to perform tasks that seem like magic, accelerating technological progress and societal capabilities. It emphasizes the exponential growth of AI, with each generation building upon the last to create a smarter society.
🚀 Accelerating Technological Advancements
This section of the script delves into the transformative impact of AI on various sectors, including education and healthcare. It predicts personalized virtual tutors for any subject and language, making personalized learning accessible and affordable. The script also envisions AI agents revolutionizing software development, creating personalized software solutions. The potential for AI to reduce medical errors and provide personalized healthcare is also discussed, highlighting the significant improvements in quality and affordability that AI could bring to these fields.
🤖 AI Agents and Software Development
The paragraph showcases the capabilities of AI in software development through a demonstration of an AI agent creating an app for local landmarks. It emphasizes the transparency of the AI's process, allowing users to understand and learn from the AI's actions. The script suggests that AI will enable individuals to create personalized software solutions, potentially leading to significant economic shifts. It also touches on the early days of such technology and speculates on its future development, hinting at a future where AI could make complex software development tasks more accessible.
🌐 The Impending Era of Superintelligence
This section discusses the imminent arrival of superintelligence, as suggested by Sam Altman's blog post. It contemplates the timeline for the development of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and superintelligence, suggesting that AGI might be achieved by 2026 or 2027. The paragraph also reflects on the acceleration of AI progress, dismissing claims that AI development is slowing down. It highlights the importance of deep learning and the dedication of increasing resources to it, as the key to unlocking the potential of AI.
🛰️ The Consequences of Superintelligence
The paragraph explores the profound implications of superintelligence, including its potential to solve complex problems like climate change and to establish space colonies. It also speculates on the possibility of discovering all of physics, which could lead to unprecedented technological advancements. The script acknowledges the potential downsides of such technology, particularly in labor markets, but suggests that AI will allow humans to amplify their abilities and focus on creative and positive endeavors.
🏗️ Transitioning to an AI-Driven Economy
In this final paragraph, the script addresses the changes AI will bring to the job market, suggesting that while many jobs will be affected, people will find new ways to be productive and useful. It touches on the need to prepare for this transition and the potential for AI to create a more prosperous world. The paragraph also raises questions about the shift in perspective regarding AI safety and the potential motivations behind current narratives around AI's impact on society and the economy.
📢 Conclusion and Call to Action
The concluding part of the script invites the audience to share their thoughts on the discussed topics and acknowledges the creator's inability to produce a video due to a voice issue. It leaves the audience with a promise to meet again in the next video, suggesting an ongoing dialogue and exploration of AI's impact on the future.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡AI
💡Mo's Law for Everything
💡The Intelligence Age
💡AGI
💡Superintelligence
💡Personal AI
💡Software Development
💡Healthcare
💡Lifelong Learning
💡Economic Impact
💡AI Safety
Highlights
Sam Altman's recent blog post is crucial for predicting the future of AI.
Altman's 2021 blog post 'Mo's law for everything' accurately predicted AI advancements.
AI is now integrated into legal and medical advice, as predicted.
The new blog post titled 'The Intelligence Age' outlines the future of AI.
In a few decades, AI will enable us to do things that seem like magic.
AI is accelerating societal capabilities beyond genetic evolution.
Each generation benefits from the advancements of the previous, leading to exponential progress.
AI will enable us to work with virtual experts in various fields.
AI agents are predicted to become mainstream, offering personalized services.
OpenAI's internal document leak suggests a focus on tracking AI progress.
AI will provide personalized virtual tutors for any subject and language.
AI in healthcare is expected to reduce medical errors significantly.
AI's ability to create personalized software will revolutionize the economy.
Repet AI agent demonstrated creating an app from scratch,预示着AI在软件开发中的应用潜力。
Altman suggests superintelligence could be achieved within a few thousand days.
AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) might be achieved by early 2026 or 2027.
Deep learning's success and scalability are driving AI progress.
AI's impact on labor markets will be significant but most jobs will evolve slowly.
AI will amplify human abilities, leading to an expanding world of opportunities.
Transcripts
so today Sam mman dropped another blog
post that most people are probably going
to overlook but it's hard to grasp just
how important this blog post is and the
key things that he said that will guide
us in actually predicting where the
future is now before diving into the
blog post I want to remind you all of
another blog post Sam mman wrote in 2021
titled Mo's law for everything and the
reason I'm bringing up this one called
mors law for everything is because this
blog post if we take a look back to the
time that it was made and take a look at
the things that are going on in today's
society it is remarkably accurate in its
prediction one of the thing that he
actually said that we can take a look at
was that he stated that in the next 5
years computer programs that can think
will read legal documents and give
medical advice and this is essentially
what we are seeing right now documents
and programs and all these kinds of
things are actually happening on a
day-to-day basis a medical advice from
systems like opening eyes1 and Google's
medical models are slowly being
integrated into wider Society so when we
take a look at the fact that saman's
previous blog post from March 16th of
2021 and it's been remarkably accurate
so far we can take a look at this new
one titled the intelligence age which
was only published just yesterday and
truly understand where the future of AI
is headed now I think in order to truly
grasp what's going on here we need to
take a look at the first sent and he
said here okay and try not to get too
excited but he says in the next couple
of decades we will be able to do things
that would have seemed like magic okay
and Magic to our grandparents and the
reason I think that that is so
fascinating is because when we truly
take a look at the previous iterations
of Technology when we think about how
crazy it is that we have planes that can
fly we have fighter jets that can fly,
2,000 mph doing Sonic booms we've got
technology like AI currently that can
write things completely from scratch
we've got TVs iPhones Holograms drones
we've got all these kinds of incredible
Technologies landing on the moon
Starling I mean the list goes on and on
the internet and smartphones have
literally changed how we communicate and
access information and some people in
the early 20th century couldn't have
even dreamed or even imagined this kind
of technology and if we think about this
our grandparents are probably Amazed by
the kinds of technologies that are
around right now which means that when
we get older we're probably going to
have our minds blown by the technology
that's probably being developed at that
time now he says that of course this
phenomenon is not new but it will be
newly accelerated essentially referring
to the fact that every company right now
is really trying to invest billions and
billions of dollars into their AI
infrastructure in order to get a piece
of that AGI Pi it continues on to state
that people have become dramatically
more capable over time we can already
accomplish things now that our
predecessors would have believed to be
impossible we are more capable not
because of genetic change but because we
benefit from the infrastructure of
society being way smarter and more
capable than any one of us in an
important sense Society is itself a form
of advanced intelligence our
grandparents and the generations that
came before them built and achieved
great things and of course all of those
things we can build on top of for the
Next Generation that basically
accelerates the Next Generation which is
why technological progress it kind of
goes like this in a graph kind of just
like
uh goes like this because uh each
generation you know sets the stone for
the next one and it's like uh I guess
you could say exponential progress in a
sense so he says right here that the
story of progress will continue and our
children will be able to do things that
we can't and it won't happen all at once
but soon we will be able to work with an
AI that helps us accomplish much more
than we ever could without AI eventually
we can have a personal AI team full of
virtual experts in different areas
working together to create almost
anything we can imagine so this is where
we get into another prediction
surrounding AI agents and what they're
going to be able to do for us and I
might as well not really say prediction
they're essentially creating these
products so I'm pretty sure that they
know what's in the pipeline when you
think about it this isn't a blog post by
some futurist this is a blog post by the
guy who's at the head of the frontier
Labs so when he says a team full of
virtual experts in different areas
working together to create almost
anything we can imagine this sounds
rather accurate as this actually refers
to the leaked open AI internal document
which they are using to track AI
progress if we take a look at this we
can see that it was only recently that
we had reasoners which are the human
level problem solving with the
strawberry model and of course the next
big thing and I think that AI still
isn't in the mainstream yet because we
don't have this I think that this is
going to be the magical moment when we
actually have like an insane level of
individuals that really really start to
get what AI is able to do and I think
once we actually have that broadscale um
area where we see that okay individuals
are now starting to realize that AI is
out there and it's performing things on
our behalf that's when the acceleration
is going to be truly incredible because
it's quite like we're doubling SLT
tripling the population of individuals
that are working effectively and working
non-stop 24/7 then of course this is
where he says our children will have
virtual tutors who can provide
personalized instruction in any subject
in any language at whatever Pace they
need and I think this is one of the
things that is widely underestimated
because not only are students going to
be able to learn a lot more personalized
learning is I think in many cases a lot
more effective because you can learn at
your own speed at your own pace you've
got one-on-one with someone that can you
know explain Concepts to you but I think
the fact that you know previously it was
only certain individuals that could
afford private shors but now we're going
to get to an age where pretty much
anyone is going to be able to afford
their own private shoor perhaps just for
$20 a month and they're going to be able
to absorb as much knowledge as they want
from pretty much any subject if you
haven't already realized AI can break
down complex Concepts and explain them
to you in a way that is really easy to
understand you can talk to it as many
times as you want and it's not going to
get upset it's not going to get
frustrated it's not going to get tired
it's going to be 100% completely
understanding now I was thinking about
this quite a lot and I was like okay
this is actually pretty cool but we also
need to think about the fact that like
this isn't just for children we're not
just going to have personalized tutors
just for kids for those of you guys who
are in The Working World in the business
world you guys actually now have tutors
that pretty much understand most
advanced concepts and you're going to be
able to use those tutors to perhaps
Advance your career Advance your
business and Advance your side hustle
Prov provided you have the motivation to
engage in lifelong learning I think you
know previously of course you know
you've always had to read a book or you
know engage in certain educational
traditional methods but I think this
kind of you know learning is going to
truly open up a new area for individuals
that learn in a different kind of way
and I think this is you know really
really exciting especially for those who
want to move further on in life then of
course it continues to state that we can
imagine similar ideas for healthcare and
the ability to create any kind of
software somewhere can imagine
so I think this first sentence right
here is probably one of the most
important ones if you didn't know in the
UK alone and I think in America it's
around two there's 200,000 deaths
annually in U in the US OFA um where
there are just medical errors and you
can see that there are you know more
than 200 million medication errors in
the NHS per year which is you know
researchers have realized which is
pretty insane when you think about it
and we think about like how traditional
you know Healthcare systems are I think
once everyone has access to a personal
Healthcare agent that's able to you know
coordinate with their doctors look at
all of their vitals understand all of
their medical history and really look at
their health care in a personalized way
in you know many different reasoning
ways you know looking at 10,000
different outcomes for this person I
think it's just going to be absolutely
insane the type of medical health care
that you get and I think I think the
craziest thing about this is that this
is not even going to be that expensive I
think it's going to be really
comprehensive and over time I think it's
just going to become remarkably cheap
and even when we look at the most recent
models they've been excelling on
Healthcare benchmarks so it's no doubt
that this thing of you know ideas with
AI for healthcare it's truly going to be
better and of course this is one of the
more positive things to come from AI now
one of the things that we also have here
as well is the ability to create
software someone can imagine like any
kind of software someone can imagine and
much more and this is something that
people might not realize is slowly
happening but there is a quiet
Revolution going on in the software
development space and this isn't a video
about software developers are dead or
gone or this no no no this is just a
small tidbit where I'm referring to the
fact that there are companies out there
building you know these kind of AI
agents that are going to be able to
build software that is quite
personalized and I think this is going
to be one of the largest shakes up the
economy has seen because AI is able to
create personalized software that is
able to do many internal tasks for you
so I'm wondering is this going to the
SAS economy I mean there's many
different implications for this because
not only does it allow individuals to
become more effective because they're
able to develop their own pieces of
software for personal per purposes but
this is just something that's pretty
crazy now take a look at this repli AI
agent because I was supposed to cover
this but I unfortunately didn't get to
but this is you know an AI agent that's
able to literally do everything for you
from start to finish all the way up
until deployment and if we think about
the fact that this is the early days how
is this kind of Technology you go to be
10 years from now this is actually a
prompt from a Ted AI talk I gave about
10 months ago about agents we didn't
have the product back then but now let's
test the real product with the same with
the same prompt make an app of local
landmarks based on my location the agent
uh presented me with a plan this plan is
fully editable um I just want to add the
ability to search one of the cool things
about the progress pane is that you can
learn what it's doing so we don't want
this ever to be uh sort of obscuring uh
what the agent is doing it should be
fully transparent this could also be a
great way to learn how to build things
because the agent is sort of explaining
itself as it's doing it that's the app
see that's exactly the kind of landmarks
I would expect to see in Foster City
where we are recording this from it's
awesome and so here you can give it
feedback you can iterate with it you can
give it more features but I'll just say
yes it looks great cuz it works it's
exactly what I asked for and now the
agent will move to the next step and the
next step uh is adding search we spent a
lot of time uh building the plumbing for
this a lot of what the agent is doing is
actually doing the same kind of actions
that you would do in the IDE it's
editing the code in a similar way that
you would edit it it's installing
depencies using the same tools that we
exposed to users so all the UI that you
see in in the repet you know and love uh
is exposed to the agent so the agent is
sort of a multiplier user in the same
same environment we're about to deploy
to the cloud and when we deploy this app
there's there's no difference between
what we built here you don't have to
configure a server you don't have to do
any of you don't have to configure a
database all of that is configured for
you when I had this idea I had it when I
was traveling uh and that happened on my
phone and actually I can start the
project on my phone I actually finish
the project on my pH my phone as well
anytime you have an idea it doesn't have
to be this fleeting idea you can just
you can just put it into repet and it
start making it for you and then you
know we got this initial prototype but I
can also go and browse the code myself
uh I can use uh you know repats llms or
you can use your favorite llm the code
is all yours it's there um and um uh and
you can continue using the agent you can
switch to repet AI you can do whatever
you want with it you have full authority
over the code that the agent just uh
just created and there you have it uh
repet agent uh created a repple
configured the python environment
install dependencies wrote the code all
in two minutes and we got an app running
that we were able to deploy to the cloud
and now anyone can use it so this is a
repet agent it's available in Early
Access uh and would love your feedback
thank you that is one of the things I
always want to you know reiterate is
that you know when you see and it looks
pretty bad remember how bad mid Journey
was remember how bad these images were
remember how bad videos were I mean when
we take a look at how crazy this kind of
you know acceleration is we have to
truly understand that okay this isn't
slowing down now he says here that with
these new abilities we can have shared
prosperity to a degree that seems
unimaginable in today's future I mean in
the future and everyone's lives can be
better than anyone's life is now
Prosperity alone doesn't make people
people happy there are plenty of
miserable rich people but it would
meaningfully improve the lives of people
around the world here is one narrow way
to look at human history after thousands
of years of compounding scientific
discovery and technological progress we
have figured out how to melt sand add
some impurities and arrange it with
astonishing Precision at extraordinarily
tiny scale into computer chips run
energy through it and end up with
systems of creating increasingly capable
artificial intelligence now this
statement here is one of the funniest
statements ever because there is a video
from someone on YouTube and I think
everyone should watch this to understand
how crazy technology is it's a video
that basically shows you how to get like
a CPU um completely from scratch it's
pretty funny I'm only going to play the
first 10 seconds2 seconds of the clip
but it's a video that I think is so
important because when we see how
technological innovations can push the
boundaries of what we even thought is
possible we kind of need to think about
where we even came from and it's quite
hard to Fathom so um yeah now here's the
next thing okay it says this may turn
out to be the most consequential fact
about history so far so if you've been
you know half asleep through this video
please just pay attention to this part
because I would say that this is
probably the most important statement
okay Sam mman says that it is possible
and I didn't mean to do that that we
will have super intelligence in a few
thousand days now of course he you know
caveats it by saying it may take longer
but I'm confident we will get there this
statement is absolutely insane it is
possible we will have super intelligence
within a few thousand days now the first
implication for this statement that I
immediately thought about is I didn't
even think about super intelligence I
was like hold on that means that AGI is
most certainly coming a lot sooner than
we think people and critics have always
dismissed AI as some kind of distant
pipe dream but this statement actually
puts AGI in a new light if they are
talking okay broadly about super
intelligence which on the AI scale
actually comes a lot further after AGI
it means that AGI is almost certain or
probably already achieved which actually
leads me to think that we could get AGI
by early 2026 or early 2027 which is not
that far away which is only you know 2
years away which is pretty insane to
think about and I think this also means
that acceleration like I said before
isn't slowing down if you remember a few
months ago we did get a few articles
that they was stating that look AI is
slowing down deep learning hting a wall
yada yada yada and I think I actually
made a video with stating that look AI
progress is not slowing down at all like
you guys have it wrong and I try to
explain to you all that just because
we're not seeing a thousand new models
every single day it doesn't mean that AI
is slowing down these people are making
remarkable discoveries internally and
this is just truly accelerating the
entire AI progress and you have to
understand that things are only going to
get faster from here on out open AI
kicked off the race to AGI and it's only
a matter of time before the world is
inevitably changed now after I I thought
that okay look AGI is clearly within the
next one to two years because if they
are broadly talking about super
intelligence is clearly here we have to
think that okay that means that they
certainly did see something okay and
that leads us back to the infamous quote
what did Ilia SATA see now ilas satk has
a new company called you know safe
superintelligence and I think that that
means that this state
now holds a lot more weight the
statement that super intelligence is
Within Reach is it like Echoes now it
feels a lot more uh I guess you could
say pronounced because Sam Alman is
stating that look we're only going to
have it in a few thousand days which
means that ilaser probably has
identified the path whether it be this
reinforcement learning with Chain of
Thought or you know that qar thing I
think that showed them that all they
need is more compute and then they will
probably get there there's a million
videos on deep Dives and stuff and I'll
leave a link down to all of that stuff
but I think it's quite important to
understand that right now the
bottlenecks aren't really in actually
figuring out how the technology works
but just getting the energy and the
compute to actually you know power this
kind of stuff which is quite crazy and
when we think about the super
intelligence I always like to refer to
the you know document situational
awareness which is where it says it's
strikingly plausible that we'd go from
AGI to Super intelligence very quickly
perhaps in one year and I think think
that uh this kind of statement is not to
be messed around with because this is of
course from a former open AI employee
and I think this graph where you see
that of course we have an automated AI
researcher and then over time things
start to exponentially increase with of
course science technology robots
military Edge GDP all of these things
are just going to completely explode I
think that the future is just it's
actually you know so unpredictable that
it's incredible I mean it's it's just
you know incredible and the worst thing
about this is that I remember so many
individuals were stating that oh this
guy all he did was draw a few straight
lines on a graph and now he's claiming
that he knows the future I mean the
thing is is that when we actually take a
look at who Leopold Ashen brener is he's
someone that's not some random person he
is someone that literally worked on the
front lines for aligning super
intelligent AI with the legendary Ilia
SATA at open AI so if we aren't
listening to people like him on the
future of AI who is it that we're going
to be listening to I mean I I I truly
don't understand and the crazy thing
about this is that across the consensus
in terms of predictions for future
developments and you know inflection
points and turning points it's a
consistent 2027 to 2030 that we get this
you know future world that's going to be
drastically different than the one we
are in now now what's crazy about this
is that he then says how did we get to
the doorstep of the next leap in
prosperity in three words deep learning
worked in 15 words deep learning worked
got predictably better with scale and we
dedicated increase ing resources to it
so I think this one is really cool
because of course we can see that he's
speaking about of course the technology
which showed us that look all we need is
more data better algorithms more
computes more scale and we can do
incredible things he says that's really
it humanist discovered an algorithm that
could truly learn any distribution of
data or really the underlying rules that
produce any distribution of the to a
shocking degree of precision the more
comput and data available the better it
gets at helping people solve hard
problems and I find that no matter how
much time I spend thinking about this I
can never really internalize how
consequential this is now for me the
super intelligence thing it wasn't the
craziest thing this was the craziest
thing for me um was that he said
although it will happen incrementally
astounding triumphs fixing the climate
establishing a space colony and the
discovery of all physics eventually will
become common place I don't think people
truly understand
what this statement mean the discovery
of all physics will be eventually become
common place guys do you remember what
happened once we discovered a few laws
of physics we were able to like fly guys
like that's insane like sometimes I
still see planes and I'm still like this
thing makes no sense you know it would
look like magic to people you know 200
years ago look like absolute like our
phones and stuff like that so once we're
able to figure out you know a few things
there's only a few like bottlenecks and
like once we you know discover them like
they just it just remarkably changes how
the future is in terms of the entire
fields that we're going to be in the
entire you know the way the world works
I mean like if you try to explain
current Society to someone 250 years ago
it's like it's it's it's quite hard you
know to Fathom the smartphone the
internet the connectedness the travel
the I mean I don't know my mind's
getting kind of blown by like trying to
explain all of this but I think the
discovery of all physics I mean I can
truly understand how it happens I mean I
think once you have an automated AI
researcher that's able to truly like get
all the context from every single
research paper and just research in
certain areas 24/7 and we're able to
just duplicate that like a million
different times we're going to be able
to condense you know years of scientific
research down to you know pretty much a
few years or even a few months once the
compute becomes available so I think
it's going to be really incredible to
see that kind of progress happening in
our lifetime now of course there is no
good without bad and samman talks about
here he says as we've seen with other
Technologies there will also be
downsides and we need to start working
now to maximize ai's benefits while
minimizing its harm as one example we
expect that this technology can cause
significant change in labor markets good
or bad and in the coming years but most
jobs will change more slowly than people
think and I have no fear that we'll run
out of things to do even if they don't
look like real jobs to us today people
have an innate desire to create and to
be useful to each other and AI will
allow us to amplify our own abilities
like never before as a society we will
be back in an expanding world and we can
once again Focus on playing positive
some games now I think it's always good
to talk about you know bad things that
are going to happen of course the job
market is going to be pretty insane once
AI you know eats around like I think you
know it's going to affect like 60% of
all jobs around the world and I think
it's going to be quite kind there going
to be a weird period where people just
don't have a job like you know a lot of
people and it's going to be like really
weird the economy is definitely going to
change is something that I talk about in
my community how you can you know most
certainly take advantage of this
transition because it's definitely going
to be a transition period and you know
there's going to be some winners and
some losers and I think I would a lot
rather be on the winner side and if
you're in AI um you're definitely early
like you're you're really early I think
the only time you're going to be late to
this place is if you are um you know
only you know taking action in the next
two to three years because once we get
agents the general public is going to
truly understand what AI is able to do
so I think that that is of course
something to discuss but what was crazy
okay and I saw this on Twitter and once
again I'm not like an AI safety person
but I do think this is kind of
interesting and I think it I I think
it's worth while to be mentioned okay
someone um you know referenced the fact
that Sam alman's blog from 2015 is a
little bit different to the one from
2024 samman says that development of
superhuman M machine intelligence is
probably the greatest step to the
continued existence of su of humanity
and then in 2024 he says this technology
can cause a significant change in labor
markets good and bad but most jobs will
change you know more than people think
okay so this this you know tweet is
basically saying that look before he was
tweeting about super intelligence now he
was stating that it was dangerous and
now he's stating that this is a good
thing that his company's there I think
either it's one or two things I think
either one we have the sense that you
know maybe they've solved the
interpretability problem which is where
they truly understand what's going on in
AI I'm not so sure of that because I
think that that's quite hard and that
would require incredible breakthroughs I
don't think that it's you know possible
I just think that it's really hard
especially with something that's smarter
than you or I think it's the second
issue which is probably more reasonable
is that they might just be avoid voiding
this kind of you know AI safety thing
because they are raising money again at
a huge valuation so I think they're
trying to avoid anything that could
reduce that valuation and you know scare
off investors and I mean um if you've
seen the recent funding round it's been
absolutely incredible open air has been
flooded with investors um and they've
had to put in like $250 million minimum
you can see here it says investors pile
into open AI 6 billion funding round in
unprecedented bet so this is really
incredible like I can't like I mean I'm
not going to Li guys if I had that kind
of money I certainly would be piling it
into open AI because they are about to
eat like you know just billions and
trillions of dollars uh so I think it's
going to be incredible so with that
being said let me know what you think
about this document I know I I was going
to make a video on this yesterday but
unfortunately my voice just disappeared
so if you guys did enjoy the video I
will see you all in the next one
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