Bitcoin's Path To Global Dominance with Cory Klippsten

Swan Bitcoin
2 Mar 202408:12

Summary

TLDRThe speakers enthusiastically discuss their optimistic vision for how Bitcoin and blockchain technology will profoundly improve global commerce and human cooperation. They foresee Bitcoin becoming a widely used medium of exchange and unit of account over the next 10-15 years. This will incentivize innovations that make cross-border transactions faster, cheaper, and more accessible. The speakers believe these technological advancements, combined with Bitcoin's ability to prevent wealth confiscation, will gradually shift behaviors towards more consensual, voluntary and peaceful economic interactions.

Takeaways

  • 😊 Bitcoin as a store of value protects the downside and provides exit opportunities from tyranny
  • 😎 Once Bitcoin's price dramatically increases, innovation in Bitcoin-based services will follow
  • 🤔 Today Bitcoin is not the best tool for most medium of exchange use cases
  • 😞 Bitcoin as a unitary account is still early and terrible
  • 🔥 The shift to Bitcoin could happen suddenly once critical mass is reached
  • 🌟 Bitcoin represents the start of the 'suddenly' after centuries of gradual progress
  • 🎉 Borderless, decentralized technologies are making the world more connected
  • 🙌 Voluntary exchange and consensus becomes more profitable without confiscation
  • ☮️ Bitcoin disincentivizes violence by making it less profitable
  • 🚀 We may be at the starting point of a major shift upwards for humanity

Q & A

  • What does the speaker believe will happen when the price of Bitcoin reaches $1 million per coin?

    -The speaker believes that when Bitcoin's price hits $1 million, more people will have most of their net worth in Bitcoin. This will drive market demand for products and services that allow people to easily spend their Bitcoin, rather than selling it first. This demand will spur innovation and cost reductions to better facilitate Bitcoin payments and commerce.

  • How does the speaker summarize his views on what Bitcoin will lead to?

    -The speaker summarizes that he sees Bitcoin being an incredible coordinating force and mechanism for commerce that leads to greater peace than we've had before. He is very optimistic about the positive impacts Bitcoin could have on the world.

  • Why does the speaker believe Bitcoin protects the downside for humanity?

    -The speaker believes Bitcoin's properties as a store of value can protect humanity from severe economic downsides. It provides an exit opportunity and check on the power of those who would abuse state-controlled fiat money.

  • What does the speaker see as the main limitations of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange currently?

    -The speaker acknowledges Bitcoin is not yet the best tool for most medium of exchange/payments use cases today. Limited adoption and infrastructure make it difficult and expensive to use Bitcoin for payments and remittances relative to other options in most situations currently.

  • How does the speaker explain the potential for a sudden increase in Bitcoin adoption?

    -The speaker uses an analogy of technological progress throughout history, with extended flat periods followed by sudden exponential growth. He believes we may just now be hitting the exponential part of Bitcoin adoption, so what has seemed gradual could soon accelerate dramatically.

  • What innovations does the speaker cite that make cross-border interactions much easier now?

    -The speaker cites recent innovations like video conferencing, social media alternatives, zaps and lens protocol making peer-to-peer cross-border interactions much more seamless than ever before.

  • How does the speaker believe Bitcoin could make violence less profitable?

    -Since Bitcoin exists solely in a user's head, the speaker believes it moves the incentives away from violence. If someone is killed, their Bitcoin is lost forever. This makes violence less profitable than consensual, voluntary trade.

  • What does the speaker foresee as the endpoint for Bitcoin and humanity?

    -The speaker believes humanity is at the starting point of a gradual then sudden advancement to the next level, facilitated by Bitcoin and related technologies lowering barriers and enabling more open, voluntary exchange between people globally.

  • What does the speaker mean when he talks about the prophecy of Bitcoin?

    -He seems to be referring to his belief that as Bitcoin adoption increases, it will make violence and coercion less beneficial than peaceful, voluntary trade between individuals. This will be enabled by Bitcoin's decentralized nature.

  • How long does the speaker believe it will take for full global adoption of Bitcoin?

    -The speaker estimates it will likely take around 80 years from Bitcoin's creation for it to reach full global saturation, due to it being a technological revolution that transforms societies gradually over generations.

Outlines

00:00

😊 Optimism about Bitcoin's potential to improve commerce and peace

The speaker is optimistic about Bitcoin's potential as a coordinating mechanism for commerce that could lead to greater peace. As a store of value, Bitcoin protects against tyranny and downside risks. As a medium of exchange, once more people have substantial net worth in Bitcoin, they will be more likely to spend it, fueling investment and innovation in services for the Bitcoin market.

05:03

🚀 Bitcoin adoption could happen suddenly after gradual build up

The speaker argues that Bitcoin adoption could happen suddenly after a long period of gradual progress, likening it to other technological revolutions that had a gradually then suddenly effect. Recent innovations enabling global communication and borderless transactions set the stage for this sudden shift once people realize the benefits of consensual, voluntary interactions.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and payment system that uses cryptography and a distributed ledger called the blockchain to verify transactions. The speaker believes Bitcoin has the potential to become a universal coordinating mechanism and medium of exchange that leads to more global commerce and peace by limiting the power of centralized authorities to abuse state-controlled currencies.

💡store of value

The idea that Bitcoin can protect against inflation and economic crisis by being a long-term means to preserve wealth. The speaker argues Bitcoin is the best tool for this job given its decentralized nature and capped supply.

💡medium of exchange

Using a currency to intermediate the exchange of goods and services, i.e. buying and selling. While the speaker believes Bitcoin will excel here in the future, he admits today there are better options for payments and remittances in most cases.

💡circularity

The concept of an economic system that keeps capital and purchasing power circulating locally rather than leaked out. Bitcoin enthusiasts are trying to create circular Bitcoin economies but have yet to gain significant traction.

💡gradually, then suddenly

The idea that a trend or system change happens slowly at first and then rapidly accelerates. The speaker applies this to Bitcoin/blockchain tech as an extension of previous innovations that may spark dramatic social progress.

💡shelling point

A focal point that people converge on for coordination in the absence of communication. The speaker argues Bitcoin's lack of physical nature moves the shelling point away from violence over property.

💡obsolete borders

The speaker argues innovations like Bitcoin, social media, and communication tools make geographic borders and associated obstacles increasingly irrelevant over time.

💡voluntary exchange

Transactions that happen willingly between parties rather than due to coercion. The speaker believes Bitcoin enables more of this by limiting seizure risk and making violence less profitable.

💡technological revolution

Fundamental shifts in technological infrastructure that transform economics and society, like the printing press or internet. The speaker positions Bitcoin as the next wave of this.

💡unitive accounting

Tracking units of account over time. The speaker notes almost nothing, including alternative cryptocurrencies, is priced in Bitcoin demonstrating its very early stage as a monetary unit.

Highlights

Bitcoin protects humanity's downside by being a store of value and exit opportunity from tyranny

Markets develop when there are venture-scale returns available from serving customer demand

As a store of value, Bitcoin is the best technology today, but not yet as a medium of exchange

Innovation in payments will happen when market demands to spend Bitcoin, not before

By 2035 most goods and services could be priced in satoshis globally

Bitcoin adoption has a long timeline, perhaps 80 years from start to full saturation

Technological progress happens gradually then suddenly - Bitcoin could be the 'suddenly'

Recent innovations like video calls make borders obsolete - a matter of time before voluntary exchange is seen as better

Bitcoin enables violence to become less profitable - it moves the shelling point away from aggression

We may be at the starting point of the 'gradually then suddenly' arc for humanity to reach the next level

Once it's harder to seize Bitcoins, economic interaction becomes more consensual and voluntary

There will be demand to spend Bitcoin once enough wealth is stored on the network

Timing innovation in payments perfectly requires starting after Bitcoin's rise but benefiting from previous work

Hobbyists are pushing Bitcoin payments now, but demand doesn't support it becoming widespread yet

The ability to exit abusive monetary regimes empowers people economically

Transcripts

play00:00

what are you most optimistic about with

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the idea that Bitcoin is is going to

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ramp up what what do you think is going

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to change in the world for the better

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when that happens I mean we this is this

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is the stuff we've been talking about

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for years right

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um so we get to wax philosophical a

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little bit I mean I I've

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always sort of summarized My Views which

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are obviously like cliff notes of cliff

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notes of every body else's views from

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the hive mind but you know I just see

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this being this incredible

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coordinating force and mechanism for for

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Commerce that leads to

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peace to a greater degree than we've had

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before right so I think I I I'm really

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bullish on what happens I mean so you

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protect the downside for Humanity by

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having Bitcoin as a store of value and

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being an exit opportunity and a check on

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the tyranny of those who would abuse the

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money frener so like that's kind of like

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I always think about life in general and

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business and Bitcoin and everything

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about preventing dramatic moves to the

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downside and then maximizing the number

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and quality of your call options for

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good good upside right

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and so I feel like the store of value

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thing kind of protects the downside and

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then a lot of The Upside uh is store

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value Rel but it's also medium of

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exchange related so it's like once

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Bitcoin hits a million dollars a coin

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and there are a lot more people with you

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know substantially all of their net

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worth in Bitcoin that's essentially what

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they have to spend and if it's easier to

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just spend it than it is to sell it and

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then spend the Fiat then they'll just

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spend the Bitcoin and that's it's demand

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from the market that causes investment

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in products and services to serve that

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market and so this is why the bcers were

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all just wrong just basic economics and

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you know sorry a little bit of B schol

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doesn't hurt sometimes like or however

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you want to learn it but learn that that

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that markets generally develop when

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there are Venture scale returns

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available for investment in those

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products and services and that means

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that there has to be demand in the

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market for that thing and so it's always

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going to be kind of a hobbyist thing or

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a uh you know a zealot Bitcoin psychos

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you know trying to create Circ circular

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economies or whatever until number goes

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up dramatically and this is

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because whereas Bitcoin as a store as a

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technology for store of value

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objectively if you understand it it's

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the best tool for the job in the world

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today if you understand all of the

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different ways that you can do medium of

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exchange or remittance or whatever there

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are

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some limited areas where today Bitcoin

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is the best tool for the job but most of

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the time it's not but it will be when

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the market demands to spend Bitcoin and

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a ton of innovation happens and costs

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come down and we and we'll keep working

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along the way because of the hobbyists

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and because of the people like wanting

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to be early and wanting to be first when

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the market comes someone will get that

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perfectly and time it perfectly and

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maybe it's some of the lightling

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companies that exist today but it might

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be somebody that starts in

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2026 that starts with a bunch of money

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and a clean cap table and benefits from

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standing on the shoulders of giants that

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have been swinging at this thing for

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eight years or nine years and that's

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that's the set of companies that make it

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but we have to be honest with ourselves

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like it's not like Sergey at bit rale is

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a bad bitcoiner it's that he has a

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medium of exchange business like he

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loves Bitcoin he'd much prefer to use

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only Bitcoin and only oper Bitcoin but

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Bitcoin is not the best tool for the job

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in all cases

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for remittance and payments so how is

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Bitcoin doing as a unitive account in

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your in your VI it's it's terrible like

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nothing is really priced in Bitcoin

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except

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Bitcoin even shitcoins aren't priced in

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Bitcoin anymore um and that will follow

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after people want to use it for medium

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exchange so you know I I think I had a

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pretty aggressive timeline that I I'm

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not moving off of it yet I've been

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saying for a long time four years now

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that I thought by 2035 uh most goods and

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services around the world would be

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priced in

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SATs like not only SATs it'll be like

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SATs in Euros SATs in dollars SATs in

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Yen SATs like you know just like the

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Dual price tag at the you know dutyfree

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at the airport or something or in a

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tourist town I don't know we'll see

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things have to move faster than they are

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now to hit 2035 for most things being

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priced in SS they're not moving they're

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not moving fast enough for that to to

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happen by 2035 in my view but uh you

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know I like what's the rush too like

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this whole this whole thing is going to

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be it's going to be 80 years from start

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to full saturation anyway because it's a

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technological Revolution not a damn tech

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product yeah uh so on a linear uh

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timeline that everything you say is true

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but then you have the gradually done

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suddenly effect this is not priced in

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here right it priced into your argument

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I mean it's always been suddenly that's

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the thing I think it's it's gradually

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than suddenly because it's like what

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this really is is like a series of

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technological revolutions harnessing

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power printing press telecommunications

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and like none of like Bitcoin couldn't

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exist without all of these things

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happening before maybe Bitcoin is the

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suddenly and the suddenly is like the

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the the the we've been growing like this

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as a species and advancing and we just

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started up the scurve a little bit with

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the harnessing of power and fossil fuels

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and the invention of microchips and the

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internet and like maybe we're just

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actually all this advancement that we

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thought was going like this the last 200

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years was actually still the the flat

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part of the scurve and Bitcoin is the

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suddenly I love that I love that picture

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because that's how I feel about this

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thing and I think like now with you know

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us three sitting here on a video call

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and you're on the other side of the

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Atlantic uh as this wouldn't have been

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possible 10 years ago let alone like

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five years ago like preco video

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conferencing wasn't the thing not not at

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all in the like people use it now like

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always it it just wasn't very common

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preo and and this is just a couple of

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years back and you social media is

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getting better and better and you have

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Noster as an alternative and all this

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stuff uh with uh ways of reaching and

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doing things cross borders that just

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weren't possible before and on top of

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that you have zaps and and you know Len

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URLs and all of these beautiful

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inventions that really make every single

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border on Earth completely Obsolete and

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just a thing of the past already yeah uh

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and so so it's just a matter of time

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before people figure out that you know

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doing things consensually and

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voluntarily and

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with is not only better for you and the

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person you're dealing with but better

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for everyone else and more profitable

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and when you can't take someone's

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Bitcoins because they're in their heads

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and if you kill them they're lost then

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you move the shelling point to violence

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and violence becomes less profitable and

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this is this is the prophecy here like

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this is how this plays out I I truly

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believe that that we're we're actually

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at the the starting point of the

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gradually then suddenly for Humanity and

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to to reach Next Level that

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that's yeah a beautiful

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picture