Absolutely Massive: This Next Wave Is 10x Bigger Than BlackRock - Cathie Wood & Matt Hougan
Summary
TLDRIn a recent interview, ARK Invest CEO Cathy Wood reaffirmed her bull case prediction of Bitcoin reaching $1.5 million by 2027. She believes the massive institutional demand for Bitcoin, evidenced by the successful launch of spot BTC ETFs like ARK's, makes this target likely. Wood expects an even bigger explosion in demand once major brokerages approve and offer these ETFs. Other experts like Bitwise's CEO concur, predicting over $100k per BTC by 2024. With limited supply but growing interest, they argue too much capital is chasing too few coins, necessitating a surge in Bitcoin's price discovery.
Takeaways
- ๐ฒ Cathy Wood predicts a massive 23% price explosion for Bitcoin in the next 36 months
- ๐ The spot Bitcoin ETFs have been very successful so far
- ๐ฅ Cathy expects an even bigger explosion when major brokerages approve the ETFs
- ๐ Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley are considering offering spot Bitcoin ETFs soon
- ๐ This is evidence of the success of the bitcoin products launched just 2 months ago
- ๐ Cathy predicts super exponential growth from converging technologies in the next 5-10 years
- ๐ Unlike the dotcom bubble, today's innovations have been developing for over 30 years already
- ๐ฆ People are scared of another tech bubble and sticking to benchmarks, missing the opportunity
- ๐ก The building blocks for today's innovations were planted during the dotcom bubble era
- ๐ฐ Other experts also predict $100k+ bitcoin prices when wirehouses fully embrace the ETFs
Q & A
What is Cathy Wood's prediction for the price of Bitcoin in the next 3 years?
-Cathy Wood is predicting a massive 23% price explosion for Bitcoin within the next 36 months.
What is the current status of spot Bitcoin ETF offerings from major wirehouses?
-Major wirehouses like Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo have begun offering spot Bitcoin ETFs to selected clients with brokerage accounts, on request or unsolicited basis. These firms are making an abrupt U-turn to offer these products within 2 months of their launch.
How successful have the recently launched spot Bitcoin ETFs been?
-The spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen great success so far. For example, ARKB Bitcoin ETF by Cathy Wood's firm has $2.03 billion in assets and $1.56 billion in flow, making it the 3rd largest Bitcoin ETF by total flow in assets.
Why does Cathy Wood expect an explosion in demand when wirehouses start offering spot Bitcoin ETFs?
-Cathy explains that wirehouses dominate the customer base for her firm. So when they start offering spot Bitcoin ETFs to their large clientele, it will lead to a huge explosion in demand.
What is Cathy Wood's comparison between current innovations and the early 1900s?
-Cathy explains that the last time we had multiple innovation platforms evolving simultaneously like today was in the early 1900s, which transformed societies. She sees today's innovations as being like that but on steroids.
Why does Matt Hougan predict the next wave of institutional interest will push Bitcoin price over $100K?
-Matt argues the current interest has largely been from retail, hedge funds and independent financial advisors. With wirehouses entering soon, we'll see huge institutional capital driving more demand than supply, pushing prices over $100K.
What was the seed sown in the dotcom bubble that is leading to current innovations as per Cathy?
-Cathy argues that the technologies spearheading current innovations were first developed in the dotcom bubble era of 1990s. They have been maturing for over 20 years now and are ready for primetime adoption.
What does Cathy mean when she says innovations today are exponential but also 'super exponential'?
-She means we'll not only see exponential growth rates of 15-25% as seen during dotcom bubble, but due to convergence of multiple technologies we'll see even faster super exponential growth rates in future.
Why does Cathy say investors are 'running for the hills' and benchmark hugging today?
-Because of bad experiences in dotcom bubble and 2008 financial crisis, investors are scared of hype cycles in new technologies. So they are moving investments to benchmark assets perceived as safe.
What lead to the dotcom bubble bursting as per Cathy and how is it different from today?
-In dotcom bubble, too much capital chased few opportunities too soon when the technologies were not ready. Today these technologies have had 20+ years to mature and are ready for mass adoption.
Outlines
๐ Cathy Wood Predicts $1.5 Million Bitcoin Price by 2027
Cathy Wood gave a bull case prediction of $1.5 million for Bitcoin by 2027 at a Singularity University conference. She believes there is still time for that target as only 3 years have passed. The increasing institutional demand and Bitcoin's fixed supply of 21 million makes the high prediction likely.
๐ Long-term Bitcoin Holders Not Selling Despite Price Rises
Typically long-term Bitcoin holders sell when prices rise sharply but that has reversed recently. Cathy believes it's because they know institutions need to buy and prices will rise further. She expects an explosion when major brokerages add Bitcoin ETFs.
๐ Super Exponential Growth Coming in Innovations
Cathy believes innovations across technologies will bring super exponential growth in the next 5-10 years. Unlike the dotcom bubble, the groundwork has been laid over decades so innovations are ready for prime time. She criticizes benchmarks for hindering necessary transformations.
Mindmap
Keywords
๐กBitcoin ETF
๐กinstitutional investors
๐กwirehouses
๐ก$1.5 million price prediction
๐กprice discovery
๐กdigital assets
๐กrules-based monetary system
๐กon-chain analytics
๐กdisruptive innovation
๐กsuper exponential growth
Highlights
Kathy gave a bull case of $1.5 million for Bitcoin in 2027
Kathy believes there is still time for Bitcoin's price to climb that high
Kathy is predicting a massive 23% price explosion for Bitcoin within the next 36 months
When wirehouses like Morgan Stanley allow Bitcoin, there will be an explosion
Bitcoin is the first global private, digital, decentralized, rules-based monetary system
Institutions own nothing in this new asset class, they have to consider it
Merrill Lynch and Wells Fargo offering Bitcoin ETFs to selected clients
Morgan Stanley considering adding Bitcoin ETFs
Major wirehouses adding Bitcoin ETFs soon due to client pressure
Next wave of institutional capital will push Bitcoin price over $100K-
Bitcoin supply-demand imbalance is off the hook, too much demand
Bitcoin could surpass $200K before year end
The seeds for everything happening now were sown 20 years ago
We are ready for prime time with these innovations, unlike the 1990s
People are scared and hugging benchmarks, running for the hills
Transcripts
our bull casee was $1.5 million in 5
years so that would have been 2027 we
still have
time and we still think that's going to
be right um if you just look at the
institutional push into Bitcoin this new
asset class they have to consider it
there are 19.6 million Bitcoin out there
right now and the highest it will ever
goes 21 million uh well okay there's
real scarcity value and what what is
going to happen the price increase for
every institutional dollar pushing in
now is going to be much higher than it
was last year two years ago Kathy Wood
is the founder CEO and CIO of Arc invest
an investment management firm that
manages several actively managed exchang
traded funds based on disruptive
innovation Cathy and her investment
management firm are heavily invested in
Bitcoin and with the resounding success
of the spot Bitcoin ETFs the American
investor says she has become even more
bullish on the leading crypto asset
while attending a conference hosted by
Singularity University a few years ago
Cathy gave a bull case of $1.5 million
for Bitcoin in
2027 we are only about 3 years away from
that yet Cathy believes there is still a
lot of time for bit coin's price to
climb that high during her latest
interview with Peter D amandes a popular
American marketer entrepreneur and the
co-founder and executive chairman of
Singularity University Kathy explains
that the massive explosion in the demand
for Bitcoin thre the spot Bitcoin ETFs
makes it almost a certainty that prices
will get much higher in the coming years
Cathy is predicting a massive
23% price explosion for the leading
cryptocurrency within the next 36 months
during her discussion with Peter Kathy
also talks about the success of her
firm's AR KB Bitcoin ETF one of the spot
Bitcoin ETFs approved by the US
Securities and Exchange Commission in
January with the exception of gbtc AR
rkb is the third Bitcoin ETF by total
flow in assets with $ 2.03 eight billion
in assets and 1.56 3 billion in flow
according to recent data from bitmex
research though the ETFs have so far
being very successful Kathy says they
are about to get bigger as soon as an
important category of Brokers begins
offering them to their clients we will
now bring you clips from Cathy's
interview but before we do please take a
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your ETF it's done very well you're
number three now number three you know
this was David against gath and you know
uh so this is a a a a very nice win for
us now we're not finished and in fact in
our business what's interesting is the
wirehouses which dominate our customers
so Morgan Stanley all the advisers at
these warehouses Morgan Stanley UBS Mar
L at BFA Wells Fargo not one of them has
approved Bitcoin on its platform that
hasn't even happened yet and those are
our primary clients when that happens
wait until you see explosion this is not
just a
technology um it's a new asset class
right and beyond that it's a global
monetary system you know it is the first
Global uh private meaning no government
oversight digital and
decentralized rules-based that's the
most important word here rules-based
monetary system in history it's a big
idea it's you know we're going to get uh
into if these institutions really want
to own it what I found fascinating
recently just learned it this morning is
uh typically when you go through a price
move a bitcoin price move to the upside
you usually see long-term holders which
is a metric we monitor it's an onchain
analy analytics metric um and it means
people who have not moved or wallets
that have not moved their Bitcoin in 155
days or more yes well normally when you
go through a price move to the upside a
very nice one like we've seen in the
last year that tends to start moving
down and it did that true to form but it
has reversed in recent days because what
we learned is uh
gbtc sold some of its Bitcoin so that
was those wallets hadn't been changed in
a long time right now that is done at
least for the time being now that is
done and um it's going back up again as
the price goes up that's highly unusual
and I think it is because um the
long-term holder saying why would I sell
now when I know all these
institutions which own nothing own
nothing in this realm in this new asset
class they have to consider it because
it is a new asset class Kathy is
gleefully looking forward to when
wirehouses associated with big names
like Merill Lynch Morgan Stanley and
Wells Fargo will begin to offer these
spot Bitcoin ETFs she believes that
would be truly gamechanging for AR KB
other Bitcoin ETFs and the underlying
crypto asset fortunately that moment
might be sooner than we imagined
according to recent reports from
Bloomberg Merill Lynch the investment
arm of Bank of America and Wells Fargo's
wealth management unit have begun
offering access to the spot Bitcoin ETFs
to selected clients according to the
report which cited sources familiar with
the m
such clients must have brokerage
accounts and specifically request the
Bitcoin ETFs UBS group is also
reportedly offering some of the approved
spot Bitcoin ETFs to certain wealth
management clients with brokerage
accounts on an unsolicited basis the
Bloomberg report also revealed that
Morgan Stanley is considering adding
spot Bitcoin ETFs to its platform these
firms making an Abrupt U-turn less than
2 months after launch is just another
evidence of how successful the
bitcoin-based products have been let's
get back to Kathy's interview as she
speaks further about the coming
exponential growth in disruptive
Innovations in the financial
world uh exponential that concept the
last time investors heard it was during
the teeken Telecom bubble and for them
that end ended badly now they just don't
believe it they don't believe it's
possible to sustain growth rates at 15
20 25% plus per year but what we think
is going to happen is not exponential
growth but super exponential growth as
we get the
convergence between among Technologies
out there we think in the next 5 to 10
years uh you will not recognize the
world as we know it today when we're
trying to help people understand the
same thing again not just investors but
anybody um we often say the last time we
had multiple Innovation platforms
evolving at the same time was in the
early 1900s late 1800s early
1900s and and absolutely right that's
what you know got everyone off the farms
and uh into the new world right uh this
is the same but it's on steroid people
are scared and uh they are hugging
benchmarks because they don't want to go
through another Tekken Telecom bust they
don't want to go through another
Financial meltdown
people are talking about you know uh
another te another technology hype cycle
here so these are trigger words for them
right now so here's the irony here's the
irony in the late 90s I was there in the
late 90s the this idea of the internet
captured the Investor's imagination and
they started valuing companies on on
number of eyeballs potentially in 10 to
20 years to much Capital chased too few
opportunities too soon and it ended
badly the Technologies weren't ready and
they were too expensive so but what
people what what people do not
understand is the seeds for everything
Happening Now were swn during the the 20
years that ended in the teeken Telecom
bubble they've been germinating for 25
30 years we are ready for prime time and
unlike the late 9s
they're they're running away they're
running for the hills what are the hills
their benchmarks it's ridiculous
meanwhile kathywood is not the only one
excited about wirehouses offering spot
Bitcoin ETFs to their clients earlier
this week senior Bloomberg ETF analyst
Eric balchunis revealed that wirehouse
platforms are seriously looking at
adding the ETFs soon because of the
massive pressure from their clients in
an interview with CNBC on Thursday
bitwise CEO Matt hugan also talked about
an even bigger wave of institutional
demand once major wirehouses begin to
offer Bitcoin ETFs he said I think
there's an even bigger wave coming in a
few months as we start to see the major
wirehouses turn on the bitwise CEO
explained that the first wave of Bitcoin
ETF interest has largely been from
retail hedge funds and independent
financial
advisors so we're going to see the next
wave of institutional Capital coming he
added this is a new era of price
Discovery hugan also talked about
bitcoin's Supply demand imbalance
describing it as off the hook he added
that there's too much demand and not
enough Supply as such the next wave of
institutional interest would push
bitcoin's price substantially higher
possibly even surpassing bit wise's
initial $80,000 2024 prediction to hit
anywhere between $ 100,000 to
$200,000 or even higher before year end
what are your thoughts on Cathy and Matt
hugan super bullish prediction for
Bitcoin in 2024 and Beyond please drop
your comments and observations in the
comment section below also ensure you
like this video subscribe to the channel
and turn on post notifications for more
videos like this thanks for
watching
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