Why Norway is Becoming the World's Richest Country

RealLifeLore
7 Feb 202444:29

Summary

TLDRNorway is a geographic anomaly - despite having little arable land, harsh terrain, and a sparse population, it has been wealthy for centuries due to its expansive coastline and lush forests. After discovering offshore oil and gas in the late 1960s, Norway employed forward-thinking policies like state ownership, foreign partnerships, and its massive sovereign wealth fund to avoid typical 'petrostate' problems. Now, with some of the world's largest oil, gas, and emerging mineral reserves combined with immense renewable energy potential, Norway is positioned to remain a European and global energy superpower while diversifying into a broader economic giant.

Takeaways

  • 😲 Norway has a massive coastline and rugged terrain, making travel by land difficult but travel by sea easy
  • 🤑 Norway was already quite wealthy before discovering oil due to industries like lumber, hydroelectric power and shipping
  • 💡 Norway took a pragmatic, long-term approach to foreign investment in natural resources like hydropower and later oil/gas
  • 🌳 Norway's oil wealth did not lead to authoritarianism or inequality due to existing decentralized wealth/power and cooperative ownership
  • 📈 Norway set up a sovereign wealth fund in 1990 to invest oil profits abroad, shielding itself from overreliance and price drops
  • ⚡️ Norway uses ample renewable energy to meet domestic needs, freeing up more oil and gas to export and further diversify its economy
  • 🚗 Norway incentivizes electric vehicle adoption to reduce oil consumption and enable higher exports
  • 😎 Norway is displacing Russian market share as the EU's top supplier of oil, gas and potentially future renewables
  • 🔋 Newly discovered mineral deposits may allow Norway to supply vital metals and rare earths to Europe as well
  • 💰 Norway's oil fund owns 1.5% of global stocks - its future generations are set up for prosperity

Q & A

  • How did Norway's geography contribute to its early prosperity?

    -Norway's rugged geography made land transportation difficult but gave it an extensive coastline. This allowed maritime trade to flourish early on, enabling Norway to become a major lumber exporter and develop a strong merchant fleet and shipbuilding industry.

  • When did Norway discover offshore oil and gas?

    -In late 1969, the Phillips petroleum company discovered the Ekofisk oil field, one of the largest offshore oil fields ever found. This kicked off Norway's oil era in the 1970s.

  • How did Norway avoid the "resource curse" with its oil wealth?

    -Norway was already a stable democracy with decentralized wealth and power. It set up state-owned Equinor to give it control over its resources. In 1990 it established a sovereign wealth fund to invest oil profits abroad, avoiding economic over-reliance on oil.

  • Why is Norway such a major oil and gas exporter?

    -Its small population means low domestic energy needs. Its abundant renewable hydro and growing wind power meets most of its electricity needs, leaving more oil and gas to export. And its proximity to Europe provides ready export markets.

  • What is Norway's electric vehicle policy?

    -Norway offers generous tax incentives for its citizens to adopt electric vehicles. As a result, almost a third of vehicles in Norway are now EVs, reducing domestic oil demand further so more can be exported.

  • How did the Ukraine invasion benefit Norway economically?

    -As Europe imported less Russian energy after the invasion, Norway exported more oil and gas to replace it. Norway's 2022 energy export revenue doubled year-over-year to a record $131 billion.

  • How did Norway come to dominate phosphate reserves?

    -In 2023 a huge, world-leading phosphate deposit was discovered in Norway, instantly doubling global reserves. This undermines Morocco's previous dominance of phosphate vital for agriculture and batteries.

  • How could Norway undermine China's rare earth dominance?

    -The Norwegian phosphate discovery likely also contains large titanium and vanadium deposits. Europe relies heavily on China for these metals vital to high-tech manufacturing.

  • How does Norway use its oil wealth responsibly?

    -Norway caps withdrawals from its $1.2 trillion sovereign wealth fund at 3% yearly. This lets it keep growing to diversity away from oil dependency, while providing for 20% of Norway's annual budget.

  • Why does Norway have the potential to remain an energy superpower?

    -Climate change may increase Scandinavian precipitation and wind levels. Norway could not only export more renewable hydro and wind power, but replace even more Russian energy imports to Europe.

Outlines

00:00

👷‍♂️ Norway has a small population but large area with little arable land

Norway has a small population of 5.2 million compared to city states like Singapore. But it has a very large land area, mostly mountains and fjords, with only 2.2% arable land. This limits agricultural potential.

05:01

🚢 Norway's geography encouraged maritime culture and timber exports

Norway's difficult terrain made land travel hard but sea travel easy via the fjords. This enabled maritime trade and exports of lumber from the interior forests. Shipbuilding became a cooperative effort.

10:02

💡 Hydropower unlocked Norway's potential in early 1900s

Harnessing rivers for hydropower electrified Norway by 1920. This enabled energy-intensive aluminum production and industry. Hydropower is now 95% of electricity.

15:03

🛢️ Oil discovered in late 1960s made Norway even richer

The Ekofisk oil field was discovered in 1969. Further discoveries followed. Rules ensured Norwegian control, with Statoil (now Equinor) always having over 50% stake.

20:04

😎 Norway exports oil and gas but keeps renewable energy

Domestic hydropower and growing wind power are kept for Norway's needs. This enables exporting most of the oil and gas, making Norway a major exporter despite modest reserves.

25:06

🏦 Oil wealth wisely invested in sovereign fund since 1990

The oil fund was established to invest surplus oil revenue. Strict rules prevent overspending. It has grown to be the world's largest sovereign fund at $1.2 trillion.

30:07

🔋 Norway displaces Russia as top EU energy supplier

With Russia's invasion of Ukraine, EU banned Russian energy imports. Norway has filled much of the gap, with its oil and gas exports to EU surging.

35:08

🤑 Financial bonanza enables further strategic investment

Norway's oil and gas revenue hit record levels in 2023. Tens of billions are being invested in new production, pipelines to EU, and the wealth fund.

40:10

💰 Norway set to export minerals and renewable energy also

In addition to oil and gas dominance, huge phosphate deposits discovered in 2023 position Norway to supply vital minerals. Excess renewable power may also be exported.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Norway

Norway is the main subject of the video. It is described as a geographically harsh and agriculturally challenged country, yet one that has become very prosperous due to its communal ownership of natural resources like lumber, hydropower, oil, and gas. The video explores how Norway's geography, history, and policies have enabled it to export its oil and gas while meeting its own energy needs domestically.

💡geography

Norway's mountainous terrain and long jagged coastline make transportation difficult but enabled a maritime culture and easy access to lumber resources. The video argues Norway's geography challenged agriculture yet facilitated other industries like hydropower and oil exports.

💡hydropower

Norway harnessed its rivers and waterfalls to become a major hydropower producer in the 20th century. This electrified Norway early on and enabled energy-intensive aluminum and other industries. It is also domestically produced renewable power that allows more oil and gas exports.

💡oil and gas

Discovered in the late 1960s, Norway's offshore oil and gas reserves are a major part of its economy and exports. The video describes how Norway has used state ownership, cooperation with foreign companies, and oil wealth funds to avoid typical "petrostate" problems.

💡communal ownership

A theme in the video is Norway's history of communal ownership of natural resources like lumber, fishing, and hydropower. This is extended to today's state majority ownership of the oil and gas industries and Norway's sovereign wealth fund.

💡exports

Thanks to domestic hydropower and other policies, Norway is able to export nearly all the oil and gas it produces. It has very high global export shares despite more modest production volumes. Exports are rising to replace Russian energy in Europe.

💡Russia

As a contrast, the video compares democratic Norway's handling of its oil wealth to autocracies like Russia. Norway is now displacing Russia as Europe's main energy supplier after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

💡renewables

Norway aims to domestically power itself on renewable hydropower and increasingly wind energy, in order to free up more oil and gas for profitable exporting. There is even talk of exporting renewable power to Europe in the future.

💡rare earths

Newly discovered Norwegian mineral deposits could make it a major supplier of metals and rare earths vital for technology and batteries. This would reduce European reliance on dominant producers like China and Russia.

💡wealth fund

Norway's trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund, financed by oil industry taxes and surplus revenues, is a way of communal saving and diversification. Only 3% of the fund can be withdrawn per year to support the government budget.

Highlights

Norway has a massive coastline, second longest in the world, enabling maritime trade despite difficult overland travel

Lumber industry thrived in medieval Norway due to accessible forests and fjords for transport

Early shipbuilding was cooperative, influencing Norway's economy for centuries

Hydropower unlocked in early 1900s, rapidly industrializing Norway

Oil discovered in 1969, transforming Norway into a major energy exporter

Norway avoids "resource curse" via communal ownership, existing institutions

Sovereign wealth fund created in 1990 to diversify away from oil dependency

Fund now largest in world, worth $275,000 per Norwegian

Domestic renewables allow Norway to export more oil and gas

War in Ukraine made Norway top EU energy supplier, huge windfall

Further pipelines and exploration with windfalls

Future renewable exports possible as climate change increases precipitation

Massive rare earth discovery doubles global phosphates, with more possible

Set to supply EU with raw materials, undermining Russian and Chinese leverage

Infinite money glitch from oil wealth diversification and strategic industry control

Transcripts

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in terms of people Norway is a pretty

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small country home to only about 52

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million individuals to put that into

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perspective Norway has fewer people than

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many of the world city states do such as

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Singapore's 6 million people or Hong

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Kong's nearly 7 1.5 million people but

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while small in people Norway is very

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large in land the country has about

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385,000 Square km worth of overall land

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roughly 140 times larger in geographic

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area than Hong Kong and roughly 464

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times larger than Singapore despite

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having a fewer number of people than in

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either put another way Norway's

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Geographic size is also roughly

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equivalent to Japan's and both countries

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have a similar amount of mountains that

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cover them and yet Japan has 22 times

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more people living within its similar

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mountainous area than Norway naturally

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this makes Norway one of the most

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sparsely populated and overall empty

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countries in the world with the lowest

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density of people that can be found

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anywhere in Mainland Continental Europe

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with the northern half of the country

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stretching beyond the Arctic Circle in

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the Far North with a very thin layer of

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top soil above Bedrock the land of of

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Norway is mostly harsh mountainous

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rugged and very cold with a short

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growing season an environment that

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doesn't lend itself very well to

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sustaining large numbers of people only

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2.2% of Norway's land is even considered

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aable and suitable for agriculture one

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of the lowest percentages in the world

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and roughly equivalent to Yemen's

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percentage a mountainous country in the

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Arabian Desert without even any rivers

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that's widely regarded as a failed State

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this ultimately means that despite

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having 385,000 km of overall land only

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about

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7,124 square kmers of Norway's land is

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suitable for agriculture a poultry

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amount that is similar to the amount of

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arable land found in El Salvador a

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country that is 16 times smaller than

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Norway in overall land but which has a

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similar population of about 6.3 million

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people because the two countries have a

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similar amount of aable land that they

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can actually use to sustain their

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populations with and then to make

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matters even worse for Norway their

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small amounts of varable land are

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scattered all throughout the south of

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the country in small valleys in between

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all of their massive mountains which has

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always made the creation of large

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integrated and efficient farms in the

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country impossible with its vast and

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wide open expanses of varable land all

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throughout the country the average Farm

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size in the United States is more than

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eight times greater than that in Norway

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as a result and so American Farms are

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more integrated more efficient and more

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productive as a result and can simply

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feed many times more people because of

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these inherent disadvantages when it

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comes to agricultural potential there

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have been expectations and assumptions

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made by people all throughout Norway's

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history that the country should

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naturally be poor or at least that

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Norway was historically a poor country

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until the sudden discovery of oil

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changed everything in the late 1960s and

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paved the way for Norway's currently

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well-known Prosperity but the

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interesting truth is that oil didn't

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actually make Norway Rich it just made

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Norway even richer than it already was

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beforehand contrary to popular belief

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Norway has been a relatively wealthy

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country for most of its entire history

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and it almost counterintuitively has to

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do exactly with the same geography that

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makes the country so terrible for

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agricultural production there are other

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Geographic factors that can determine

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the fate of Nations Beyond agricultural

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potential and one of the biggest others

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is how easy it is to travel around the

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country's territory and conduct trade

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transportation across Norway by land

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however has always been very difficult

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for thousands of years before modern

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highways and tunnels traveling along the

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Norwegian West Coast on foot or horse

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was basically impossible because of the

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omnipresent steep mountains and deep FS

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that carved all across the landscape but

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this seemingly Geographic first actually

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turned into one of Norway's greatest

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Geographic blessings and disguise

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because of all the jagged fjords located

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all throughout the Norwegian Coast

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Norway is generally regarded as having

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by far the longest coastline anywhere in

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Europe with a coastline that's more than

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6 and 1 half times longer than the

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United Kingdom according to the CIA

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World fact book in fact Norway's

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coastline is considered to be so

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enormous because of all these fjords

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that it's ranked as having the second

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longest coastline of all the countries

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in the entire world remaining only

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behind the number one spot spot of

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Canada this is always meant that as

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Norway coalesced into a modern nation

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state its small population was always

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scattered in small clusters all

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throughout the mountains and the fs

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separated from one another across land

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not too unlike other mountainous

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societies like Afghanistan or Persia but

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unlike those societies deep within the

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interior of Eurasia the small scattered

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population clusters across Norway all

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had easy and immediate access to the

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global ocean because of all of the fs

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that cut deep into Norway's interior

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this geography encouraged a maritime

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culture to developed within Norway from

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very early on and the fs granted the

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Norwegians the ability to rapidly travel

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between each other's settlements by sea

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moreover the fs enabled easy access for

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Traders to penetrate deep into the

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country's interior and get close to one

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of Norway's greatest natural assets its

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huge forests and lumber resources Norway

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has never had the largest forest in

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Europe it's beaten out by many other

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countries with larger ones like Russia

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Finland Sweden and even France but for

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centuries all throughout the age of sale

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before the development of railroads

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unlocked Russia's Lumber potential

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Norway's Lumber industry was the biggest

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in Europe because of how much more

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relatively easier it was to access their

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forest in the interior through the fs

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and exported to markets Norway's Lumber

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could be felled within the interior then

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cheaply and efficiently dumped into

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rivers and floated Downstream toward the

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settlements and Sawmills along the

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fjords where Sawmills powered by those

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same downhill rivers and their

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waterfalls would refine the lumber and

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the lumber could then be cheaply

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exported out through the fs and onto the

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global market and so until the later 19

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18th century when railroads fully unlock

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the lumber potential of European

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countries with larger forests like

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Russia Finland and Sweden these relative

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Geographic advantages made Norway the

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lumber Powerhouse of Europe for

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centuries and the country's Maritime

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culture enabled it to build out a

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worldclass merchant Fleet by the time

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that the 20th century rolled around

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Norway already had the fourth largest

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Merchant Marine Fleet in the entire

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world the nature of Norway's well

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connected but spread out in lowdensity

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population also encouraged two things

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one the communities were all connected

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to each other by the fs and by the Sea

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which led to a common identity emerging

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between all of them despite their

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mountainous geography and two Norway's

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small population clusters learned early

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on to cooperate together on ship

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building and construction for all of

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their common benefit entire Norwegian

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towns would cooperate together on the

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construction of ships that were vital

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for all of their survival and shares in

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the ship's ownership would be divided

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amongst nearly everyone in the town who

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participated from The Lumberjacks to the

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Craftsmen over time this resulted in a

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much more spread out in decentralized

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distribution of wealth and ownership in

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Norway in addition to the spread out and

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decentralized population and so a large

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centralized and Powerful class of

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capitalists never really developed in

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the country the same way that they did

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elsewhere in places like France and

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Britain with their populations and

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economies both largely concentrated

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around their political capitals Norway's

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geography conversely forced its people

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to trust each other and to cooperate on

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building the ships that were vital to

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their survival and so early ship

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building in Norway was largely

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Cooperative in nature and then that

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influenced the country's economy for

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centuries afterwards through to the

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present day as Norwegian agriculture

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forestry Maritime insurance and fishing

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all became dominated by cooperatives

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while the Norwegian banking sector

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throughout the 19th and 20th centuries

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became effectively dominated by

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Cooperative Credit Unions as well across

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the 19th century then when Norway was

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widely believed to be a fairly poor

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region Norway was actually already doing

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very well for itself in relative terms

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by the 1850s Norway's GDP per capita was

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already higher than basically the

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entirety of Eastern Europe exceeding

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that of Bulgaria Romania Poland Hungary

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and Czechoslovakia and by the 1880s

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Norway's GDP per capita had eclipsed

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virtually all of southern Europe too

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including Portugal Spain and Greece

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while by the turn of the 20th century in

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1900 it had even surpassed that of Italy

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and then by 1938 on the eve of the

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second world war decades before the

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discovery of oil in the country Norway's

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GDP per capita had already exceeded

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those of Germany France and the United

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Kingdom and by some estimates it was

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already the wealthiest country on

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average in Europe a huge part of the

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reason why Norway's economy accelerated

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so rapidly between 1900 and 1938 was the

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Advent of modern advanced water turbines

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and hydroelectric dams that completely

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revolutionize Norway's Geographic

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potential even further Norway is a land

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that is almost completely covered by

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rivers that begin high up in the

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mountains and then Thunder down their

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steep elevations toward the fs and the

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coast in the west these rivers are fed

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by predominantly Westerly winds that

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bring them abundant levels of

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precipitation and their steep drops and

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waterfalls provide a massive amount of

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kinetic energy just sitting there that

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can be captured by turbines to generate

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electricity Norway therefore has one of

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the highest hydroelectric power

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potentials of any country in the world

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and beginning in 1905 they started

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allowing outside foreign companies with

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higher levels of expertise come in and

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start building modern hydroelectric dams

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to unlock their potential dozens and

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then hundreds of Hydro power stations

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were built all across the country to the

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point where today there are 84 large

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hydrop power stations with capacities

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greater than 10 megaw and 838 small

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hydrop power stations with capacities

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between 1 and 10 megaw with hundreds of

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even smaller stations on top of that all

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combined these hydr power stations today

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are powerful enough to generate an

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overwhelming 95% of all of Norway's

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total electricity demand while Norway is

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the seventh largest producer of

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hydropower anywhere in the world as of

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2024 with a total generation rate that

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is more than half of the United States

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but all for only 167th of the American

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population the harnessing of Norway's

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hydromite in the early 20th century

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provided the country with its first

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major economic boom as it enabled the

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country to rapidly industrialize and

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Electrify Itself by 1920 Norway was

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consuming more electricity per capita

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than any other country in the world and

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more than 2third of the population

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already had access to electricity which

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was double the rate in the United States

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at the time this huge amount of energy

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for such a small population then enabled

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the Norwegians to develop extremely

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energy-intensive factories that

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eventually leing in specializing in

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refined aluminum production under the

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norsk hydro corporation which is today

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one of the largest aluminum companies in

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the world norsk Hydro continues to

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Source the vast majority of the energy

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they use to produce refined aluminum

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from Norway's hydrop power and the

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company is 34% publicly owned by the

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Norwegian state it has enabled Norway to

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become by far the largest producer of

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aluminum in Europe and the eighth

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largest producer in the world today

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which further makes the country the

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largest provider of aluminum to the

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European Union but just hydr power

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continued unlocking Norway's potential

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in the early 20th century the industry

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came to become dominated by the large

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foreign companies that came to Norway to

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invest and build all of the dams out and

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so Norway sought to gradually rest

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control over them to secure its own

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National control over its own resources

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Norway's small and spread out population

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lacked large amounts of capital and

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Technical expertise however they needed

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the large foreign investors to help them

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build out their hydroelectric and

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Factory potential and so a straight up

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quick nationalization of the foreign

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investor assets would have sent all of

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that foreign investment and expertise

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they needed fleeing in the future to

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avoid that outcome but to still secure

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their own control over their own

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resources Norway decided on taking a

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pragmatic and long approach to the hydro

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industry that would directly influence

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their approach to the oil and gas

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industry decades later Norway

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established rules that foreign companies

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who came to invest in Norwegian Hydra

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would have to follow that included

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Clauses that hydroelectric power

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stations and mines they built and funded

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would have to be turned over to the

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Norwegian government without

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compensation after a period of 60 to 80

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years of operation this way the larger

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foreign companies would continue to

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invest in the country since they would

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see a long enough return on their

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investment but the Norwegian State knew

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that in the long run they would be the

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ones to secure the keys to their crown

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jewels and as a result more than 90% of

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Norway's hydr capacity is publicly owned

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by the state today and this is all why

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Norway was already a wealthy heavily

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industrialized Democratic and lowc

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Corruption state by the time that

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interest in the country's potential

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offshore oil and gas Fields came around

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in the late 1950s but at the time back

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then there were very few people who

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actually believed that there was any oil

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or gas to be found around the country

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particularly on the shallow and

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submerged part of the European

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continental shelf stretching beneath the

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North Sea a large part of which had

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geologically speaking only been recently

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submerged a few thousand years ago at

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the end of the previous Ice Age in a

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letter written by the Geological Survey

play12:22

of Norway in 1958 that has since aged

play12:24

fairly poorly They concluded that the

play12:27

possibility of any oil or gas resources

play12:28

being discovered on the Norwegian part

play12:30

of this continental shelf should be

play12:32

discounted entirely but then very

play12:34

suddenly in 1959 just the year after

play12:37

that letter was written a very major

play12:39

natural gas Discovery was made nearby

play12:41

that sparked significant further

play12:42

interest the grenan gas field in the

play12:45

northern Netherlands it turned out that

play12:47

the grin field to date is the 11th

play12:49

largest single natural gas field ever

play12:51

discovered in the world and the largest

play12:53

one ever discovered within the European

play12:55

continent it became Central to the early

play12:58

emergence of the Netherlands as a major

play13:00

gas producing country and it became a

play13:02

Cornerstone of the domestic European gas

play13:04

market and so naturally its Discovery

play13:06

back in 1959 sparked renewed interest in

play13:09

curiosity that just perhaps there were

play13:11

further gas and potentially even oil

play13:14

Discovery still to be made further

play13:15

Beyond beneath the as yet unexplored

play13:17

North Sea as well 3 years later in 1962

play13:21

the American petroleum major Phillips

play13:23

became the first to submit an

play13:24

application to the Norwegian government

play13:25

to begin exploring for oil and gas

play13:27

resources within their section of the

play13:29

North Sea the only problem was at the

play13:31

time nobody really knew where Norway

play13:33

section of the North Sea actually was

play13:36

because the maritime boundaries within

play13:37

the North Sea hadn't been firmly or

play13:39

legally settled yet between all of the

play13:41

Nations that surrounded it but luckily

play13:43

for Norway in 1965 eager to get

play13:46

exploring and drilling themselves the

play13:48

government of the UK hastily agreed to

play13:50

Simply divide the continental shelf

play13:52

beneath the North Sea based on the

play13:53

principle of the median line distance

play13:55

the geographic Line running down the

play13:57

center of the North Sea between the UK's

play13:59

land territory and Norway's land

play14:00

territory decades later this Hasty

play14:03

calculation would go on to massively

play14:05

benefit the Norwegians because it took

play14:07

into account all of the thousands of

play14:08

Norway's Islands just off of their

play14:10

western coast in determining where the

play14:12

median line ran including the island of

play14:15

UTA 16 km west from the mainland

play14:18

Norwegian Coast which shifted the median

play14:20

line boundary westwards just ever so

play14:22

much by a few extra kilometers that when

play14:25

the massive stratch yard oil field was

play14:27

discovered later in the 197 s right

play14:29

along the median line only 15% of it

play14:32

would exist within the previously agreed

play14:34

upon UK Maritime Zone while 85% of it

play14:37

would be within the Norwegian Zone

play14:39

giving literally billions of dollars in

play14:41

extra oil Revenue to the Norwegians over

play14:43

the British as a result almost

play14:45

immediately after agreeing with the

play14:47

British on the median line principle in

play14:49

1965 the Norwegian government began

play14:51

granting exploration licenses to larger

play14:53

and more experienced foreign companies

play14:55

to search through their Waters that

play14:56

included Phillips and the first oil was

play14:58

struck only a couple years later in 1967

play15:01

at a field they called Boulder but it

play15:03

wasn't considered economically viable at

play15:05

the time it wouldn't be until the 1990s

play15:07

three decades later that balder would

play15:09

finally begin operation and then finally

play15:12

just before Christmas Day in 1969

play15:15

Phillips delivered the Norwegian

play15:16

government and people perhaps the

play15:17

greatest Christmas present in their

play15:19

nation's entire Millennia long history

play15:21

the news that they had discovered the

play15:23

echo Fisk field which turned out to be

play15:25

one of the largest offshore oil fields

play15:27

that has ever been discovered before or

play15:29

since anywhere in the world production

play15:31

out of echo Fisk began only a couple

play15:33

years later in 1971 and then a series of

play15:36

further major oil and gas discoveries

play15:37

were made all across the Norwegian

play15:39

continental shelf over the years that

play15:41

followed at Fields like Stratford osberg

play15:44

gfax and troll the latter of which

play15:46

generated a media sensation in 1996 when

play15:49

the Norwegians transported the troll a

play15:51

offshore oil platform to the field from

play15:53

the Norwegian Mainland to date this

play15:56

operation remains both the heaviest and

play15:57

the tallest structure that has ever been

play15:59

moved by human beings from one part of

play16:01

the Earth's surface to another it was

play16:03

also during this time that the

play16:05

Norwegians quickly began applying the

play16:06

previous lessons they had learned with

play16:08

the country's Hydro industry to the

play16:10

rapidly emerging oil and gas industry as

play16:12

well the country founded a state-owned

play16:14

oil and gas company that they initially

play16:16

called stat oil almost immediately after

play16:18

the first production of oil began and

play16:20

just like the pragmatic and long-term

play16:22

approach that the Norwegians took with

play16:23

the country's Hydro industry in the

play16:25

early 20th century they began

play16:27

establishing rules that the larger and

play16:29

more experienced foreign oil and gas

play16:31

companies would have to follow in order

play16:33

to invest in Norway's resources that

play16:34

would ensure Norway's eventual control

play16:36

over them the Norwegian state-owned stat

play16:38

oil was to always have more than a 50%

play16:40

ownership stake in every production

play16:42

license that the government granted

play16:44

which was designed to provide the larger

play16:46

and more experienced foreign oil and gas

play16:47

companies an incentive to still come and

play16:49

invest in the country while also

play16:51

providing stat oil with valuable Real

play16:53

World Experience through learning from

play16:54

the joint ventures and Norway's previous

play16:57

high levels of expertise in the ship

play16:58

ship building industry proved invaluable

play17:00

to Norway's quick Mastery of offshore

play17:02

and subsea oil and gas infrastructure

play17:04

projects too one of the leading

play17:06

underwater oil and gas infrastructure

play17:08

companies in the world today is

play17:09

currently sub C7 with billions of

play17:12

dollars in annual revenue and they were

play17:14

founded as a joint venture in 2002 by an

play17:16

American company and a Norwegian ship

play17:18

building company known as

play17:28

name was changed to what it's currently

play17:30

known by Econo and today thanks to

play17:32

Norway's foresight and guiding the

play17:34

company and helping it gain foreign

play17:35

expertise over the decades ecor is

play17:38

itself a global energy major and is

play17:40

ranked as the 10th largest oil and gas

play17:42

company in the world with a current

play17:44

market cap of roughly $85 billion which

play17:47

puts it on a similar footing to the

play17:48

current market cap of BP at about 98.3

play17:51

billion equinor now produces

play17:53

approximately 70% of all the oil and gas

play17:56

on the Norwegian continental shelf today

play17:58

and it remains 67% majority owned by the

play18:00

Norwegian government with the remaining

play18:02

33% of its shares being publicly traded

play18:04

on global stock exchanges like the New

play18:06

York Stock Exchange on the NASDAQ and as

play18:09

it turned out there actually was a lot

play18:11

of oil and gas on the Norwegian

play18:13

continental shelf so much so the Norway

play18:16

now has the largest reserves of oil in

play18:18

Europe outside of Russia and is ranked

play18:20

20th in the world with similar volumes

play18:22

as former OPEC countries Angola and

play18:24

Ecuador and with more than three times

play18:26

as many reserves as the next place in

play18:28

Europe just across the North Sea the UK

play18:31

and in terms of natural gas Norway again

play18:33

is ranked as having the largest reserves

play18:35

in Europe outside of Russia and the 21st

play18:38

largest in the world with volumes that

play18:40

are similar to The Lights of Kuwait and

play18:42

aeran and with its extremely close

play18:44

proximity to the European Union's Market

play18:46

Norway had a ready too export Market all

play18:49

lined up for itself as well with hardly

play18:51

any oil and gas resources of their own

play18:53

beyond the Gren gen gas field in the

play18:55

Netherlands the EU has practically

play18:57

always had to import the vast majority

play18:59

of the oil and gas they consume from

play19:01

abroad oil was a far easier problem for

play19:03

the EU to solve though because oil can

play19:05

effectively be imported from anywhere

play19:07

else in the world the block was less

play19:09

handicapped by geography here because in

play19:11

its crude form oil is a liquid that can

play19:13

be easily loaded up into barrels or

play19:15

containers and shipped across the oceans

play19:17

on container ships from origin to

play19:18

destination meaning that the EU could

play19:21

easily import oil from as far away as

play19:22

the Americas in Nigeria with little

play19:25

worries but natural gas was a completely

play19:27

different problem for the Europeans to

play19:29

solve gas is far more difficult and

play19:32

expensive to export and move around the

play19:34

world than oil because well it's a gas

play19:36

while it's in its gas estate it takes up

play19:38

a huge amount of volume and it's

play19:40

completely economically impractical to

play19:42

load up onto container vessels and ship

play19:44

somewhere else thus before the rise of

play19:46

liquefied natural gas production gas

play19:49

markets were highly geographically

play19:50

Regional in nature for Europe this meant

play19:53

building out a series of pipelines to

play19:55

transport natural gas from relatively

play19:56

nearby sources to Consumers

play19:58

the largest of which during the 20th and

play20:00

early 21st centuries were constructed

play20:02

from the relatively nearby gas sources

play20:04

in the Netherlands Algeria the Soviet

play20:06

and later Russian Siberian fields from

play20:08

aeran after the collapse of the Soviet

play20:10

Union and of course from Norway and the

play20:12

Norwegian continental shelf this

play20:14

historically made the EU mostly

play20:16

dependent upon natural gas imports from

play20:18

three of its closest and largest

play20:20

neighbors Russia Norway and Algeria by

play20:23

2021 Norway had constructed a total of

play20:25

11 undersea gas pipelines connecting

play20:27

their gas resources directly to European

play20:29

consumers and then in 2010 Norwegian gas

play20:32

production exceeded the country's oil

play20:34

production for the very first time as

play20:36

the demand in the EU and the UK

play20:38

continued growing for more and by the

play20:40

2010s Norway had already emerged as the

play20:43

second largest exporter of natural gas

play20:45

to the EU only behind the Russians by

play20:47

2021 the year immediately before Russia

play20:50

launched its full-scale Invasion into

play20:52

Ukraine Russia was supplying about 40%

play20:54

of the eu's total gas Imports while

play20:56

Norway was supplying about another other

play20:58

25% of them while Russia was further

play21:00

supplying the EU with about 25% of their

play21:02

oil imports up against Norway's share of

play21:04

99.4% of their oil imports and by this

play21:07

point with billions of dollars a year

play21:08

gushing into the Norwegian economy

play21:10

Norway had already effectively become a

play21:12

Petro State the only one in Europe other

play21:14

than Russia in 2021 oil and gas made up

play21:18

roughly 21% of the entire Norwegian GDP

play21:21

and made up a whopping 51% of all of

play21:23

Norway's exports by value but Norway

play21:26

never actually evolved into the usual

play21:28

petate stereotypes of corruption and

play21:30

authoritarianism for several notable

play21:32

reasons that set it notably apart from

play21:34

the others well there is no universally

play21:36

agreed upon definition of what actually

play21:38

constitutes a Petro State the most

play21:40

General definitions revolve around

play21:42

countries whose economies are very

play21:43

heavily dependent upon the extractions

play21:45

and exporting of oil and gas to the

play21:47

point where without those Industries

play21:48

their economies could face collapse 25

play21:51

countries around the world spanning

play21:52

South America Africa the middle east

play21:54

Europe and Asia usually come to mind as

play21:56

the world's most classic examples of

play21:58

Petro States and out of all 25 of them

play22:00

every single one are considered by The

play22:02

Economist democracy index to be either

play22:04

authoritarian regimes or hybrid regimes

play22:06

except for only two of them Indonesia

play22:09

and Norway but Norway stands out above

play22:11

all of the rest ahead of even Indonesia

play22:13

because the same index from The

play22:14

Economist literally ranks Norway as the

play22:17

single most democratic free and

play22:19

egalitarian society on the face of the

play22:21

Earth which puts its status as a Petra

play22:23

State into an extremely stark contrast

play22:26

with the likes of Saudi Arabia Iran

play22:28

Russia and Venezuela which are all among

play22:30

the most heavily authoritarian and

play22:32

corrupt states in the world and a big

play22:34

part of the reason why an abundance of

play22:36

oil and gas resources didn't turn Norway

play22:38

into a heavily authoritarian and corrupt

play22:40

state like most of the other Petra

play22:41

States is because of the country's

play22:43

geography history and forward-looking

play22:45

policies that their government enacted

play22:47

from early on when Norway discovered oil

play22:50

the country already had a long culture

play22:52

of communal ownership of Natural

play22:53

Resources going back centuries to the

play22:55

lumber and hydro Industries the country

play22:57

was was already wealthy industrialized

play22:59

highly developed and had a stable

play23:01

functioning democracy where wealth and

play23:03

power were each already highly

play23:05

decentralized Democratic institutions

play23:07

and communal ownership of resources were

play23:09

already strongly ingrained within the

play23:11

fabric of Norwegian society as a result

play23:13

which is an incredibly stark contrast to

play23:16

just about every single other country

play23:18

that discovered enormous oil and gas

play23:20

wealth Saudi Arabia discovered its oil

play23:22

wealth when it was ruled by a warlord

play23:24

who had established an absolute monarchy

play23:26

and had already centralized Power full

play23:28

around himself and so the oil wealth

play23:30

only further cemented the monarchy's

play23:32

power oil was similarly discovered in

play23:33

Iran while the country was ruled by an

play23:35

autocratic monarchy and the keys to the

play23:37

oil wealth were inherited by the still

play23:39

autocratic Islamic revolution after 1979

play23:42

oil was discovered within Russia during

play23:44

the zaris period and the keys to the oil

play23:46

wealth were inherited by the still

play23:47

autocratic Soviets and then further

play23:50

inherited by the modern Putin regime oil

play23:52

was discovered in Venezuela during the

play23:54

autocratic military dictatorship of Juan

play23:56

vente Gomez while the oil Industries in

play23:58

Syria Iraq the United Arab Emirates and

play24:00

all across Africa were basically handed

play24:02

over directly from autocratic European

play24:04

Colonial administrations to autocratic

play24:06

dictatorships that immediately or very

play24:08

quickly took over in their place of all

play24:10

the countries to have ever discovered

play24:12

enormous oil and gas wealth only a

play24:14

handful have ever done so while already

play24:16

being wealthy politically independent

play24:18

and with stable traditions of democracy

play24:20

and low levels of inequality and the

play24:22

only one with a very small population to

play24:24

have ever done so has been Norway Norway

play24:27

was thus better prepared to handle the

play24:29

sudden influx of oil and gas wealth than

play24:30

most others havean but it still

play24:32

initially caused the Norwegian economy

play24:34

to become rapidly undiversified and

play24:36

dependent on oil and gas anyway

play24:37

throughout the 1970s and early 80s when

play24:39

the price of oil was high the oil

play24:41

dependent Norwegian economy was booming

play24:43

but then in 1986 the price of oil

play24:45

suddenly collapsed and with it Norway's

play24:47

heavily oild dependent economy suffered

play24:49

its first oil induced recession over the

play24:52

past six Decades of History going back

play24:54

to 1960 the Norwegian economy has only

play24:56

ever shrunk on three occasions in 2020

play25:00

during the outbreak of the covid-19

play25:01

pandemic in 2009 during the depths of

play25:03

the great financial crisis and in 1988

play25:06

back during the depths of this oil

play25:07

recession but the Norwegian government

play25:09

learned a valuable lesson from this

play25:11

recession in the 1980s it needed to

play25:13

diversify itself away from the

play25:15

unpredictable es and flows in the oil

play25:17

market and so just a couple years later

play25:19

in 1990 the Norwegian state with its

play25:21

long history of communal ownership of

play25:23

resources and Democratic institutions

play25:25

had the foresight and the capability to

play25:28

establish the pension fund Global

play25:30

otherwise known as the so-called oil

play25:32

fund the fund was established as a

play25:34

communal Sovereign wealth fund owned by

play25:35

the Norwegian State and people into

play25:37

which the Surplus revenues from the

play25:39

state-owned oil company equinor and

play25:41

taxes on the oil and gas industry would

play25:43

be invested into for the benefit of

play25:44

Norway's future generations and to

play25:47

diversify the government and economy

play25:48

away from oil and gas strict rules and

play25:51

guid lines were established around the

play25:52

funds operations it would invest heavily

play25:55

into Global stock markets and real

play25:56

estate in order to diversify away from

play25:58

the Norwegian economy and very strict

play26:01

rules were set into place that no more

play26:02

than 3% of the funds assets could be

play26:05

withdrawn in any given year which not

play26:07

only enabled the fund to continue

play26:08

growing and compounding with time but

play26:10

also disallowed the abuse of the fund's

play26:12

assets by Norwegian politicians who

play26:14

would otherwise be tempted into

play26:16

promising to lavishly spend the oil

play26:18

wealth today at the expense of tomorrow

play26:20

in order to get themselves elected a

play26:22

Hallmark of the more autocratic Petra

play26:24

states where unpopular regimes or

play26:26

dictators spend the oil wealth lavishly

play26:28

on their people as a sort of bargain for

play26:30

them to put up with their

play26:31

authoritarianism and as the Norwegian

play26:33

oil and gas industry continued growing

play26:34

and more wealth was deposited into the

play26:36

oil fund and as the global economy

play26:38

continued growing alongside it and as

play26:39

withdrawals were capped at no more than

play26:41

3% per year the Norwegian oil funds

play26:44

steadily evolved from nothing in 1990

play26:46

into the absolute Behemoth that it is

play26:49

today currently the fund is by far the

play26:52

largest Sovereign wealth Fund in the

play26:53

entire world its current net assets

play26:55

exceed more than 1 and A2 trillion ion

play26:57

us and the fund owns an estimated 1.5%

play27:01

of all the shares of all the more than

play27:03

9,000 publicly traded companies in the

play27:05

world and is the global stock market's

play27:07

single largest investor today making the

play27:09

fund the world's biggest stock market

play27:12

whale this is despite the fact that the

play27:14

Norwegian economy itself only represents

play27:16

about 0.5% of the entire global economy

play27:19

and despite the fact that the Norwegian

play27:21

population only represents about

play27:23

0.07% of the worldwide human population

play27:26

and yet they own 1 and a 12% of the

play27:29

global stock market the oil fund is

play27:31

currently so massive relative to

play27:33

Norway's small population that it's

play27:35

worth approximately

play27:37

$275,000 per Norwegian citizen if they

play27:40

decided to ever cash it all out and it's

play27:43

already reached a point where the funds

play27:44

conservatively capped 3% withdrawal rate

play27:47

per year can safely provide for about

play27:49

20% of the entire Norwegian government's

play27:52

annual budget in perpetuity giving

play27:54

Norway the ability to rely Less on the

play27:56

unpredictable fluctuations of of oil and

play27:58

gas price Revenue to continue funding

play28:00

their government operations and

play28:01

shielding the country from future oil

play28:03

price collapses now back to Norway's oil

play28:06

and gas industry the country controls

play28:07

the 20th largest proven reserves of oil

play28:09

and the 21st largest proven reserves of

play28:11

natural gas which have granted Norway

play28:13

the ability to become the world's 13th

play28:15

largest oil producer and the ninth

play28:17

largest gas producer representing about

play28:19

2% of worldwide oil demand and 3% of

play28:21

worldwide gas demand but Norway's fairly

play28:24

modest shares of worldwide oil and gas

play28:26

reserves and production are reach

play28:27

absolutely dwarfed by Norway's massively

play28:31

outsized shares of worldwide oil and gas

play28:33

exports despite only being the 13th

play28:36

largest oil producer and only having the

play28:38

20th largest reserves Norway is

play28:40

currently the world's eighth largest oil

play28:42

exporter and is fast approaching the

play28:44

exports of Kuwait in seventh place

play28:46

despite Kuwait having 12 and 1 half

play28:48

times more oil reserves than Norway and

play28:51

50% higher oil production and it's even

play28:53

more lopsided when it comes to Natural

play28:55

Gas where despite only only being the

play28:57

ninth largest producer and only having

play28:59

the 21st largest reserves Norway is the

play29:02

fourth largest global exporter anyway

play29:04

only just barely behind the big three of

play29:06

the global gas market the United States

play29:08

Russia and Qatar the latter of which the

play29:10

Norwegians are rapidly approaching a

play29:12

takeover of to become one of the new top

play29:14

three in the global gas industry now

play29:17

Norway has been able to achieve this

play29:18

massively outsized presence in its share

play29:20

of global oil and gas exports due to

play29:22

several different factors the first of

play29:24

which is of course its close proximity

play29:26

to the energy hungry European union and

play29:28

its ability to construct subc pipelines

play29:30

directly from source to Consumer the

play29:32

next factor is Norway's own small

play29:34

population that naturally has a lower

play29:35

energy demand than countries with

play29:37

similar reserves but much larger

play29:39

populations like Angola Ecuador and

play29:41

aeran while the third and arguably

play29:43

biggest factor is a result of Norway's

play29:45

own geography and strategically chosen

play29:47

policies Norway produces enough

play29:49

Renewable hydr Power through all of its

play29:51

rivers and dams to power 95% of the

play29:53

country's electricity demand and in

play29:55

addition to having the largest Hydro

play29:56

potential in Europe the country also has

play29:58

one of the largest wind potentials as

play30:00

well the coasts around Norway and the

play30:02

mountains that run along the country's

play30:04

spine are among the windiest locations

play30:05

to be found on a continent that is

play30:07

generally not a very windy place so in

play30:10

addition to having the seventh largest

play30:11

installed hydroelectric capacity in the

play30:13

world Norway already has the 18th

play30:15

largest installed wind capacity in the

play30:17

world as well and has a massively

play30:19

untapped potential here that is only

play30:21

just starting to grow so in addition to

play30:24

having pretty large amounts of oil and

play30:25

gas the country also has huge amounts of

play30:28

renewable energy potential as well and

play30:30

they've been using that potential to

play30:31

their strategic Advantage they

play30:33

effectively keep all of their renewable

play30:34

hydro and wind resources in house to

play30:37

meet their own energy demands

play30:38

indefinitely which has freed them up to

play30:40

sell most of their oil and gas resources

play30:42

that they don't really need to Outsiders

play30:44

abroad and especially to the energy

play30:46

hungry EU directly next door and in

play30:49

addition to harnessing their local Hydro

play30:51

wind and even geothermal potential to

play30:53

effectively turn their entire electric

play30:55

grid into 100% domestically produced

play30:57

Renewables they're also reducing the

play30:59

amount of fossil fuels their country

play31:00

consumes even further by offering

play31:02

generous tax and financial incentives to

play31:04

their citizens to adopt fully electric

play31:06

vehicles or EVS as well as a result a

play31:09

whopping 88% of all new car sales in

play31:12

Norway across 2022 were EVS which is by

play31:16

far the highest market share that EVS

play31:18

have yet achieved in any country in the

play31:20

world today and since these proe

play31:23

policies have been being pursued within

play31:24

Norway for a long time now nearly one in

play31:27

every three vehicles on Norwegian roads

play31:29

are already EVS that don't consume any

play31:31

oil and are powered instead by the

play31:33

state's domestic and renewable Hydro

play31:35

wind and geothermal resources and for

play31:37

Norway this is about far more than

play31:40

simply reducing emissions and combating

play31:42

climate change it's also about National

play31:44

Security and financial power the more

play31:46

that the Norwegian electricity grid

play31:47

became powered by renewable sources from

play31:49

within Norway the more secure the

play31:51

country became from having to rely on

play31:53

foreign energy Imports and Supply chains

play31:55

and the more of their own oil and gas

play31:56

resour resources they could sell abroad

play31:58

and the more cash they could plow into

play32:00

their Sovereign wealth fund to diversify

play32:02

their economy further away from oil and

play32:04

the more EVS they get adopted within the

play32:06

country that can be indefinitely powered

play32:07

by their domestic renewable sources then

play32:09

that even more of their domestic oil

play32:11

resources they won't need and can sell

play32:13

abroad as well to continue plowing even

play32:15

more money into the Sovereign wealth

play32:17

fund to diversify even more away from

play32:19

oil it is a cascading strategy that has

play32:22

been diligently followed in Norway for

play32:24

decades that is steadily transforming

play32:26

the country into one of if not the most

play32:28

powerful and influential States in

play32:30

Europe it is thus Norway's unique 21st

play32:33

century philosophy and doctrine that its

play32:35

oil and gas resources are to be produced

play32:37

and sold to foreigners while its

play32:39

renewable resources are to be harnessed

play32:40

and provided for the needs of the

play32:42

Norwegian people this clever and unique

play32:44

strategy has set them up to be capable

play32:46

of selling and exporting virtually all

play32:48

of the oil and gas that they produce

play32:50

while simultaneously being completely

play32:52

energy independent at the same time

play32:54

which is how Norway's modest Global oil

play32:56

and gas reserves and production levels

play32:58

take up so much more of the world's

play33:00

total exports and how the country has

play33:02

gotten so spectacularly Wealthy on the

play33:05

process the results of all of this

play33:07

prudence and Decades of forward-looking

play33:08

strategic thinking all culminated in

play33:11

2022 after the Russians decided to

play33:13

invade Ukraine in the aftermath of

play33:15

triggering the biggest war in Europe

play33:16

since World War II the European Union

play33:19

decided to begin shutting down their

play33:20

previously massive Imports of Russian

play33:22

oil and gas in order to deny the Kremlin

play33:25

its primary source of funding for their

play33:27

War Machine attempting to overrun

play33:28

Ukraine but of course the EU had to

play33:31

quickly find somebody else to begin

play33:33

replacing Russia's previously large

play33:35

shares of 25% of their oil imports and

play33:37

45% of their gas Imports and Norway with

play33:40

its Big Oil and Gas resources right

play33:43

nearby and its friendly relations was

play33:45

the best positioned country in the world

play33:47

to take advantage of the situation and

play33:48

fill in the demand consequently exports

play33:51

of Norwegian oil by tankers gas through

play33:53

pipelines and even liquefied gas or LNG

play33:55

by tankers all began surging towards the

play33:58

EU Market to replace the Russians with

play34:00

Norway's overall share of EU oil imports

play34:03

rising from 99.5% just before the war to

play34:06

13.3% in the first quarter of 2023 which

play34:09

makes Norway currently the eu's single

play34:12

largest provider of oil Norway's share

play34:14

of the eu's imported piped gas also

play34:17

skyrocketed upwards from 38.1% just

play34:20

before the war to a whopping

play34:22

46.1% in the first quarter of 2023 while

play34:26

Norway's share of the eu's imported LNG

play34:28

Rose from basically nothing just before

play34:30

the invasion to 6.6% in q1 of 2023 the

play34:34

Block's fifth largest provider of LNG

play34:36

now overall and at the same time as

play34:38

Norway's oil and gas export volumes to a

play34:41

suddenly desperate EU were rapidly

play34:43

Rising the global prices of oil and gas

play34:45

were each rapidly Rising right alongside

play34:48

them the result of this situation caused

play34:50

by Russia has been an absolute Financial

play34:52

Bonanza for the Norwegians the likes of

play34:54

which has never before been seen the

play34:57

country pulled in a whopping

play34:59

$12.3 billion in revenue from their oil

play35:02

and gas industry in 2022 alone and then

play35:05

immediately shattered that record with

play35:06

another

play35:07

$131 billion in oil and gas Revenue

play35:10

across 2023 compared to a relatively

play35:13

poultry $29 billion in oil and gas

play35:16

Revenue that they earned Before the War

play35:17

and the energy crisis in 2021 Norway's

play35:20

oil and gas Revenue in 2023 alone was

play35:23

roughly equivalent to the entire

play35:25

Collective GDP of Slovakia and they've

play35:27

been utilizing their sudden windfall

play35:29

very wisely they have invested enormous

play35:31

amounts of it into the Sovereign wealth

play35:32

fund and tens of billions of dollars

play35:34

more being invested to explore for even

play35:36

further untapped oil and gas deposits

play35:38

that could be found within Norway's far

play35:40

Northern baren SE that Still Remains

play35:42

largely unexplored more pipelines are

play35:44

being built to Europe to expand their

play35:46

export capacity even further and to

play35:48

replace the Russians previous market

play35:49

share even further Norway's increasing

play35:52

displacement of Russia in the European

play35:53

energy Market was perhaps best

play35:55

symbolized in September of 2022 on the

play35:58

27th of that month a series of bombs

play36:00

detonated underwater destroying sections

play36:02

of the nordstream 1 and 2 natural gas

play36:04

pipelines that connected German

play36:06

factories and homes directly to Russia's

play36:08

huge natural gas fields in Siberia both

play36:11

pipelines were rendered completely

play36:12

inoperable by the sabotage destroying

play36:14

Russia's ability to directly export gas

play36:16

to Germany and then the very next day

play36:19

afterwards the Norwegians and the poles

play36:21

inaugurated the opening of the Baltic

play36:23

pipe Norway's brand new gas pipeline to

play36:25

Poland that will replace all of the

play36:27

roughly 60% of Poland's natural gas

play36:29

Imports that had been coming from Russia

play36:31

with Norwegian gas instead Norway has

play36:34

therefore emerged in the 2020s as the

play36:36

European Union's largest single supplier

play36:38

of energy and in the future it isn't

play36:40

likely to be limited to oil and gas

play36:42

exports either in the future as climate

play36:44

change progresses it's expected that

play36:45

precipitation levels in Scandinavia will

play36:47

actually increase further than what

play36:49

they're like today which will mean that

play36:51

even more water will be feeding into

play36:53

Norway's rivers that Cascade down the

play36:55

mountains toward the west Coast while

play36:57

Norway's still largely untapped wind

play36:59

potential is expected to be expanded to

play37:01

make the country a global leader in wind

play37:02

energy as well Norway likely won't need

play37:05

all of this excess renewable hydro and

play37:07

wind power for just itself in the future

play37:10

and so the possibility has already been

play37:11

raised of building out transmission

play37:13

lines from Norway to the EU so that the

play37:15

Norwegians can export their hydro and

play37:16

wind sourced energy to Europe in

play37:18

addition to their oil and gas resources

play37:20

and besides transforming into Europe's

play37:22

most significant energy Province Norway

play37:25

will also likely become one of Europe

play37:26

and the Western world's largest sources

play37:28

of mineral and rare earth might as well

play37:30

it's well known by now that the global

play37:32

push toward a green energy transition

play37:34

which is being largely spearheaded by

play37:35

European economies will require vast

play37:38

amounts of metals and Rare Earth

play37:39

elements to keep itself going rare

play37:41

Earths especially are vital materials

play37:43

that are necessary for Ev batteries

play37:45

smartphones wind turbines digital

play37:47

cameras hard drives and tons of other

play37:49

things that are vital for powering

play37:51

modern 21st century life and growth

play37:53

unfortunately though for Europe and the

play37:55

Western World the vast majority of the

play37:57

world's proven Rare Earth reserves are

play37:59

currently dominated by China China

play38:01

conducts an overwhelming 63% of all the

play38:04

rare earth mining in the world which is

play38:06

more than every other country combined

play38:08

and China conducts an even more

play38:10

overwhelming 85% of all the world's Rare

play38:12

Earth processing China controls roughly

play38:15

a third of the planet's proven Rare

play38:16

Earth reserves followed up by Vietnam

play38:18

Russia and Brazil after which there's a

play38:21

huge gap before Australia comes next

play38:23

lagging far behind any of the top four

play38:25

and China has already been weaponizing

play38:27

its dominance over these Rare Earth

play38:29

Resources as well in a similar way to

play38:31

how Russia weaponizes its dominance over

play38:33

oil and gas in July of 2023 China

play38:36

declared that they were introducing new

play38:38

export restrictions on two metals that

play38:40

are critical for the manufacturing of

play38:41

semiconductors gallium and Germania in

play38:44

retaliation to US economic sanctions on

play38:46

China's semiconductor industry China

play38:48

currently produces 98% of the world's

play38:50

gallium and 68% of the world's germanium

play38:53

so if China decides you can't have them

play38:55

you effectively just can't and although

play38:57

neither gallium nor germanium are rare

play38:59

earth metals they are nonetheless also

play39:01

still critical to powering modern

play39:03

Digital Life and so China's export

play39:05

restrictions on them were meant as a

play39:07

clear threat that additional metals and

play39:09

minerals that China dominates could

play39:11

become restricted in the future as well

play39:13

but it was around that same time that a

play39:15

company called Norgay mining in Norway

play39:17

suddenly made a surprise announcement in

play39:19

June of 20123 they had just about out of

play39:22

nowhere discovered by far the largest

play39:24

reserve of phosphate rocket ever found

play39:27

in the world and was just sitting there

play39:29

in southern Norway this whole time the

play39:31

company has since estimated that this

play39:32

deposit contains around 70 billion tons

play39:35

of economically recoverable phosphate

play39:37

which literally in a Flash doubled the

play39:39

entire world's previously proven

play39:41

reserves of phosphate that had sat at 71

play39:44

billion tons beforehand put another way

play39:46

this recent Norwegian Discovery is so

play39:48

vast that it can supply the entire

play39:50

world's demand for phosphate all on its

play39:52

own for the next half a century to come

play39:54

and it completely undermined the

play39:56

previous dominance over phosphate that

play39:58

was up to then enjoyed by Morocco who

play40:00

controls an estimated 50 billion tons of

play40:03

the resource that equaled about 70% of

play40:05

the world's proven reserves before June

play40:06

of 2023 and then was cut down a size by

play40:09

half to only about 35% of the world's

play40:12

proven reserves after the discovery in

play40:13

Norway prior to Norway's gigantic

play40:16

Discovery it was Morocco and China who

play40:18

were the largest producers of phosphates

play40:19

and they dominated the global market for

play40:21

it phosphates are really important

play40:24

because they're a critical component

play40:25

used in fertilizer and Global food

play40:26

chains and in smaller quantities they're

play40:29

also similarly used to produce digital

play40:31

devices and EV batteries and noray

play40:33

Mining still isn't finished either they

play40:35

believe that their huge phosphate

play40:37

Discovery in southern Norway also

play40:38

contains huge amounts of metals like

play40:40

titanium and vadium as well metals that

play40:42

are vital for the construction of

play40:44

everything from aircraft to computers

play40:46

and submarines and more at the moment

play40:48

the production of both metals are

play40:49

dominated by China who produces roughly

play40:51

36% of the world's titanium and more

play40:53

than half of the world's vadium while

play40:55

vadium is produ is further 99% dominated

play40:58

by the bricks countries with virtually

play41:00

all of the world's production of the

play41:01

metal happening in China Russia South

play41:03

Africa and Brazil this has meant that

play41:05

for a very long time the US and the EU

play41:08

have each had to rely on geopolitically

play41:09

tenuous Supply chains for their access

play41:11

to these raw materials that are vital to

play41:14

continue building airplanes and

play41:15

submarines and computers and China's

play41:18

export restrictions on germanium and

play41:19

gallium show that China could in the

play41:21

future decide on introducing even

play41:23

harsher export restrictions on titanium

play41:26

and vadium as well Norway's probable

play41:29

massive amounts of both titanium and

play41:30

vadium could end up granting Europe and

play41:32

the West their strategic autonomy from

play41:34

China if norg mining delivers while

play41:37

Norway is also Now set to become the

play41:39

world's newest largest source of

play41:41

phosphates this ultimately means that in

play41:43

addition to becoming Europe's largest

play41:44

source of oil and gas and a major source

play41:46

of renewable energy Norway is also

play41:48

primed to become Europe's largest source

play41:50

of many of the rare earth materials that

play41:52

are crucial for modern Technologies the

play41:54

green energy transition and AG culture

play41:56

and Norway is completely undermining the

play41:59

previous dominance in all of these

play42:00

industries in Europe that have

play42:02

previously been enjoyed by more

play42:03

autocratic powers like Russia and China

play42:06

Norway is providing the Europeans with

play42:08

the ability to rely more on the most

play42:09

democratic country in the world for

play42:11

their raw materials and less on their

play42:14

historically large autocratic providers

play42:16

like Russia Algeria Libya aeran and the

play42:18

Gulf States which means the Norway is

play42:21

probably only going to continue growing

play42:23

richer and richer by expanding their

play42:24

Sovereign wealth fund even further to

play42:26

dominate more of the global stock and

play42:28

bond markets while expanding its tax

play42:30

incentives to completely Electrify their

play42:32

vehicles and grid even further so that

play42:34

they can keep selling more oil and gas

play42:36

to Europe to continue fueling their

play42:38

Sovereign wealth fund Norway has

play42:40

basically discovered the geopolitical

play42:42

equivalent of the infinite money glitch

play42:44

and they've wisely set themselves up for

play42:46

generations of prosperity for every

play42:48

Norwegian citizen for years to come now

play42:52

there's a lot of data that goes into

play42:54

producing these kinds of videos when

play42:56

whether it's showing how Norway and

play42:57

Russia compete for the oil and gas

play42:59

market in Europe what Norway's wind and

play43:00

hydroelectric potentials look like how

play43:03

Norway's small population Stacks up

play43:04

against larger city states are showing

play43:06

how China dominates the rare earth

play43:08

metals industry the ability to visualize

play43:10

raw data like this on the map is exactly

play43:12

what makes learning the stuff so

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fascinating to me and it's why the

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exploring data visually course is one of

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