How to Identify Best Order Blocks to Trade?

Smart Risk
25 Mar 202313:24

Summary

TLDRThis video delves into the intricacies of order blocks in trading, explaining why some are respected by the market while others are ignored. After backtesting over 100 order blocks, the presenter outlines the basic rules for identifying high-quality order blocks and discusses the conditions that increase their win rate. The video includes a simple trading strategy for order blocks, backtesting results, and tips for trading during volatile market conditions. It emphasizes the importance of market structure, volatility, trend, and confirmations in lower time frames for successful order block trading.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ Order blocks are areas of interest for trading opportunities, and their effectiveness can vary based on certain market conditions.
  • πŸ” The video presents a backtest of over 100 order blocks to identify characteristics that make them more likely to be respected by the market.
  • πŸ“ Three main rules for identifying a valid order block are: it must create inefficiency, lead to a break of structure or change of character, and be unmitigated (one-time use).
  • πŸ’‘ Inefficiency is characterized by drastic moves creating gaps between the shadows of the candles, signaling potential trading opportunities.
  • 🎯 The trading strategy involves placing orders at the beginning of the order block zone with a stop loss at the end, targeting twice the stop loss for profit.
  • πŸ“Š A backtest of the trading setup on the euro dollar pair in a one-hour time frame showed a 43% win rate and a 47% increase in the initial account size.
  • πŸ€” The importance of considering market structure, volatility, spread, market trends, and recent order blocks is highlighted for successful order block trading.
  • 🌐 Market trends and the freshness of order blocks play a role in their success, with trending markets and recent order blocks being more effective.
  • πŸ”‘ Confirmations in lower time frames are crucial to avoid unnecessary losses and to trade with more confidence.
  • πŸ“‰ The video provides examples of how to interpret market patterns around order blocks, such as gaps and liquidity zones, to make informed trading decisions.
  • πŸ”„ The strategy is not limited to any specific time frame or currency pair, but traders are advised to perform their backtesting to find the most suitable application.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of the video?

    -The main topic of the video is the concept of order blocks in trading and the characteristics that make them effective or ineffective in the market.

  • What did the creators do to understand order blocks better?

    -The creators backtested more than 100 order blocks under different conditions to identify the characteristics of high-quality order blocks that are respected by the market.

  • What are the basic rules for identifying a valid order block according to the video?

    -The basic rules for identifying a valid order block are that it must create inefficiency, lead to a break of structure or a change of character, and be unmitigated (one-time use).

  • What is meant by 'inefficiency' in the context of order blocks?

    -Inefficiency refers to drastic moves in the market that create gaps between the shadows of candles, indicating significant market movement.

  • How does the video define a 'break of structure or change of character' in the market?

    -A break of structure or change of character is the first clue the market gives about whether it intends to continue in the same direction or reverse, indicating a potential shift in market trend.

  • What is the strategy for trading order blocks as described in the video?

    -The strategy involves identifying a valid order block, placing an order at the beginning of the order block zone, and setting a stop loss at the end. The target is to achieve two times the stop loss range for profits.

  • What was the win rate of the backtested order block trading setup?

    -The win rate of the backtested order block trading setup was 43 percent.

  • What factors are considered when trading order blocks to increase the win rate?

    -Factors considered include market structure, market volatility and spread, market trends, and recent order blocks confirmations in lower time frames.

  • Why are fresh order blocks more effective according to the video?

    -Fresh order blocks are more effective because the market constantly changes direction, and waiting too long for the price to tap into an order block can lead to a losing trade as demand and supply dynamics shift.

  • How does the video suggest using confirmations in lower time frames for trading order blocks?

    -Confirmations in lower time frames are used to avoid unnecessary losses when the market ignores order blocks and to trade more confidently with a solid entry reason.

  • What is the importance of market volatility and spread when trading order blocks?

    -Market volatility and spread are important because they affect the likelihood of winning trades, with most winning trades happening on highly volatile days and during specific trading sessions. A high spread can cause missed opportunities or false stop losses.

  • How does the video suggest traders should deal with losing trades in the context of order blocks?

    -The video suggests that encountering a losing trade does not necessarily mean there was an error in analysis, as no strategy always works due to the uncontrollable nature of the market.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“Š Introduction to Order Blocks and Trading Strategies

This paragraph introduces the concept of order blocks in trading and the importance of understanding why some order blocks are successful while others are ignored by the market. The speaker explains that they have backtested over 100 order blocks to identify the characteristics of high-quality order blocks. They also mention the basic rules for identifying a valid order block, which includes the creation of inefficiency, a break of structure or change of character, and the unmitigated nature of order blocks. The paragraph concludes with an overview of the video's content, which will include a simple setup for trading order blocks, backtesting results, and conditions for high probability order blocks.

05:02

πŸ“ˆ Analyzing Market Structure and Order Block Patterns

The second paragraph delves into the analysis of market structure patterns and how they relate to order blocks. It discusses the impact of gaps and liquidity on the effectiveness of order blocks, as well as how certain patterns can signal potential trading opportunities. The speaker provides examples of these patterns, such as gaps below the first order block and the grabbing of liquidity under equal lows or highs. The paragraph also touches on the importance of considering market volatility, spread, and trends when trading order blocks, emphasizing that order blocks are more successful in trending markets and during highly volatile sessions.

10:04

πŸ” Confirmation Strategies and Trading Order Blocks

The final paragraph focuses on the importance of confirmation in lower time frames when trading order blocks. It explains that confirmations can save traders from unnecessary losses and increase confidence in trades. The speaker outlines the steps of the trading strategy used for backtesting order blocks, including identifying a valid order block, placing orders, and setting stop losses and profit targets. The paragraph also discusses common price action setups that can serve as confirmations for trading order blocks, such as changes of character and retracement levels. The speaker concludes by emphasizing the need for backtesting these strategies to find the most suitable pairs and conditions.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Order Blocks

Order blocks refer to specific areas on a trading chart that are considered to have a high potential for trading opportunities due to the concentration of orders at certain price levels. In the video's context, they are identified by inefficiencies such as gaps between candle shadows, which can indicate significant market decisions. The script discusses how to identify and trade these order blocks effectively.

πŸ’‘Inefficiency

Inefficiency in trading terms is characterized by abrupt price movements that create gaps between the high and low prices of a security, as seen in candlestick charts. The video script mentions inefficiency as a key criterion for identifying a valid order block, where such gaps suggest a significant change in market sentiment or direction.

πŸ’‘Break of Structure

A break of structure occurs when the price of a security moves past a previously established pattern or level, indicating a potential change in the market's trend. The script describes this as a second major rule for identifying a valid order block, where such a break can signal the market's intention to continue in the same direction or reverse.

πŸ’‘Unmitigated

Unmitigated, in the context of order blocks, means that the trading opportunity is a one-time event and should be considered only when the price first touches the order block area. The video emphasizes that order blocks are to be used once, highlighting the importance of timing and recognizing the first interaction with the price level.

πŸ’‘Win Rate

The win rate is the percentage of successful trades out of the total number of trades made. The video script discusses the importance of win rate in evaluating the effectiveness of trading strategies, particularly when backtesting order block setups, and mentions achieving a 43 percent win rate in their tests.

πŸ’‘Market Structure

Market structure refers to the pattern or framework of how prices move within the market, which can include trends, ranges, and various levels of support and resistance. The video script uses market structure to explain how certain patterns can influence the effectiveness of order blocks, such as gaps and equal lows or highs.

πŸ’‘Market Volatility

Market volatility is a measure of the degree of variation in the price of a security over time. The script notes that most winning trades from order block strategies occur during highly volatile sessions, particularly on the first and last days of the trading week, and during specific trading sessions like London and New York.

πŸ’‘Spread

In trading, the spread is the difference between the bid and ask prices of a security. The video script discusses the importance of considering spread when trading order blocks, as a high spread can cause missed opportunities or false stop-loss triggers, impacting the success of trades.

πŸ’‘Market Trend

A market trend is the general direction in which prices are moving. The script mentions that order blocks have a higher success rate in trending markets compared to ranging markets, suggesting that aligning trades with the dominant market trend can increase the effectiveness of order block strategies.

πŸ’‘Confirmation

In trading, confirmation refers to additional signals or patterns that validate a trading setup. The video script discusses the importance of confirmation in lower time frames to avoid unnecessary losses and to trade with more confidence, using price action setups to validate the order blocks.

πŸ’‘Risk Management

Risk management is the process of identifying, evaluating, and controlling risk involved in trading. The script mentions setting a stop loss and targeting profits based on a specific risk-reward ratio, which is a fundamental aspect of managing risk in the order block trading strategy.

πŸ’‘Backtesting

Backtesting is the process of evaluating a trading strategy by running it through historical data to see how it would have performed. The video script describes backtesting the order block trading strategy 100 times on the Euro dollar pair, using Trader Edge software, to assess its effectiveness.

Highlights

Order blocks are identified as areas of interest for trading opportunities.

Over 100 order blocks were backtested to determine what makes some effective and others ignored by the market.

High-quality order blocks are respected by the market under certain repetitive patterns.

Basic rules for trading order blocks include identifying inefficiency, a break of structure, and unmitigated order blocks.

A valid order block must create inefficiency, lead to a structural break or character change, and be unmitigated for a one-time use.

A trading strategy for order blocks involves placing orders at the beginning of the order block zone with a stop loss at the end.

Backtesting results showed a 43% win rate and a 47% increase in the initial account size despite a less than 50% win rate.

Certain conditions can significantly improve the chance of winning trades with order blocks.

Market structure, volatility, spread, trends, and recent order blocks are key factors for identifying high-quality order blocks.

Order blocks with gaps and another valid block underneath can indicate a high chance for price movement.

Breaking below an order block does not necessarily indicate a reversal due to potential liquidity grabs for future movements.

Highly volatile days and sessions are optimal for trading order blocks, with most winning trades occurring midweek.

A narrow spread is crucial for order block trades to avoid missing opportunities or false stop losses.

Order blocks have a higher success rate in trending markets and are more effective when fresh.

Confirmations in lower time frames are essential to avoid unnecessary losses and trade with confidence.

The order blocks trading strategy is adaptable to any time frame and requires backtesting for suitability with different currency pairs.

Common price action patterns are used as confirmations for trading order blocks, enhancing entry strategies.

Profits can be maximized with a technique of repositioning the stop loss under new higher lows in the market structure.

Understanding and applying these strategies can lead to more effective trading and potentially higher returns.

Transcripts

play00:00

hey guys and welcome to another episode

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order blocks are considered interesting

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areas to execute trading opportunities

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but do you know why some of the order

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blocks work perfectly fine While others

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get ignored by the market to answer this

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question we backtested more than 100

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order blocks under different conditions

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to find out the characteristics of high

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quality order blocks that are being

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respected by the market

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we applied multiple rules to C if they

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really increased the win rate of order

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blocks and gathered some of the most

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interesting results

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we concluded that order blocks work

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under certain conditions when some

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repetitive patterns happen in the market

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so in this video first we will explain

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the basic rules in a simple setup for

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trading the order blocks and we will

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show you the back testing results

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second we will describe the conditions

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required for high probability order

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blocks and how to increase the win rate

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so guys if that's something you are

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interested in make sure to smash the

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like button to show your support and

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subscribe to our Channel if you are new

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since we publish many Advanced trading

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Concepts

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[Music]

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thank you so first let me explain some

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of the primary rules about order blocks

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in the smart money Concepts

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basically we consider the last candle

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that created the inefficiency as the

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order block Zone which we believe that

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the decisions are made during this

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candle

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sometimes order blocks are at the start

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of an impulsive move and sometimes in

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the middle of the movement in the form

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of a candle with the same or opposite

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color

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we have three major rules for

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identifying a valid order block first it

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must create inefficiency

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inefficiency occurs when we have drastic

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moves that create gaps between the

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Shadows

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these are examples of efficient and

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inefficient moves

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second it must lead to a break of the

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structure or a change of character

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a break of structure or change of

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character is the first clue that the

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market is telling us whether it intends

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to continue in the same direction or

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reverse

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third it must be unmitigated

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order blocks are one-time use so we only

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look for trading opportunities when the

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first time price Taps into an order

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block

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here on the Euro dollars 15 minute chart

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let's spot the order blocks

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starting from the left these are the

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areas where we have clear inefficiency

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on the chart

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so we Mark the candles that created the

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inefficiency as our order blocks if they

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lead to a break of structure or change

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of character so all of them consider

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valid order blocks according to our

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rules

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now let me explain the steps of the

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trading strategy we used for the back

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testing order blocks

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the rules for this trading setup are

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easy

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identify a valid order block

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place your order at the beginning of the

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order block Zone and put your stop loss

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at the end

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we target two times our stop loss range

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for the profits this way even with a 34

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win rate we will still be at break even

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we have back tested this trading setup

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100 times on euro dollar pair in the one

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hour time frame

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for the back testing we use Trader Edge

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software which allows us to save so much

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time while back testing our strategies

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we set our initial account size at ten

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thousand dollars with two percent risk

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targeting four percent profits

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now let me show you the results we have

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got

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these are the 100 order blocks we have

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spotted on the chart the green order

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blocks you see are the trades that hit

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our one to two Target and ended up

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winning

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the red order blocks are the trades that

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ended up losing and the gray order

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blocks are the ones the market did not

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trigger and finally we canceled the

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trades

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so these are the back testing results we

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have got from 100 order blocks setup 28

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did not triggered 41 ended up being a

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losing trade and we have won 31 setups

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our win rate was 43 percent and we

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suffered a 10 maximum drawdown

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Although our win rate was less than 50

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percent this trading setup raised our

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initial account size by 47 percent

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in the back testing we have realized

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that when certain conditions a company

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order blocks the chance of winning the

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trade significantly improves

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we also noticed repetitive patterns form

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on the chart that dramatically increases

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trading returns

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so let me explain to you what conditions

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are required to identify a high quality

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order block but before we continue as

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always please smash the like button to

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show your support since this video took

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a long time to make for our team also if

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you have any questions please ask them

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in the comments since we do our best to

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answer them all

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the factors that should be considered

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when trading order blocks are summarized

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in four categories including Market

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structure Market volatility and spread

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market trends and recent order blocks

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confirmations in lower time frames

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let's start with the market structure

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let me show you some of the most common

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market structure patterns that happen

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every day

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here we have a valid order block and a

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potential trading opportunity to go long

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but looking at the left side we can spot

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this gap between the candles precisely

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below the first order block and another

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valid order block Zone here

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now there is a high chance for the price

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to come and fill the Gap grab the

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liquidity below the first order block

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and continue pushing up when it Taps

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into the second order block

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so when this pattern is formed and we

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have a gap and another valid order block

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precisely under the first one we give

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the first order block minus one point

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for trading also remember that breaking

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below the first order block does not

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necessarily mean a reversal is coming

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since there is a high chance that this

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break is just a liquidity grab for

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future movements

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on the contrary look at the second

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pattern

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here we have a valid order block and

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looking at the left we can see that this

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move has swept the liquidity under these

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equal lows which can fuel future

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movements

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so when this pattern is formed and we

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have an order block that grabs the

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liquidity under or above the equal lows

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and highs we give it a plus one point

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for trading

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the third pattern is similar to the

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second one imagine we have an order

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Block in front of the market as the

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price approaches this level it creates

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support which retail Traders put their

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stop loss under them

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hence there is a higher chance for the

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price to grab the liquidity under the

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Equal lows and continue moving to the

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upside when it reaches the order block

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Zone so let me show you some real chart

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examples to highlight the point

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here we have euro dollar in a one hour

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time frame we can spot this valid order

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block that created inefficiency and

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break of structure but looking at the

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left side we can spot the support that

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rejected the price multiple times so

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there is a lot of liquidity gathered

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below this level

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also we have gaps exactly under this

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Zone and another valid order block so

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there is a high chance for the price to

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break below this liquidity Zone to fill

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the Gap and continue pushing up when it

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Taps into the second order block

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here is another example you could have

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taken either of these candles as order

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blocks we have a clear Gap break of

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structure and a lot of liquidity

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gathered below these equal lows and this

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mitigated order block

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so once the price breaks below this

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higher low some Traders might take it as

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a change of character but looking to the

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left side we can notice a clear Gap and

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a valid order block exactly under this

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level

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so there is a higher chance that this

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move is going to be a liquidity grab and

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we are still identifying this Market as

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bullish

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now look at this bearish example here in

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euro dollar one hour time frame we have

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an obvious downtrend we can spot this

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order block that created a clean

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inefficiency and break of structure but

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the interesting point about this order

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block is that the start of this move is

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a liquidity grab so this is plus one

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point trading opportunity

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but here's an important point every time

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you encounter a losing trade it does not

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necessarily mean that there was a

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certain error in your analysis remember

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no strategy always works because we

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can't control the market

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the second Factor you should consider

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when trading order blocks is the market

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volatility and spread when we analyze

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the back testing results we notice that

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most winning trades happen on the highly

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volatile days in sessions usually on the

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first and last day of the trading week

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the market suffers from low liquidity

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that is why the majority of winning

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trades happen in the midweek also a pair

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like the euro dollar is best to trade

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during the highly volatile time of the

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day such as London and New York sessions

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otherwise trading won't make sense

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because we will not witness the

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movements we want to see in the market

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another important factor in trading

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order blocks is how to deal with the

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spread

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many times the market reacts to order

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blocks within a pip so having a high

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spread on a pair will make you miss many

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winning trades or trigger the stop loss

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when the price did not even touch it

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the third Factor influencing the success

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of order blocks is the market Trend and

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their freshness

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order blocks have a higher success rate

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in trending markets than in the ranging

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scenario

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so as a result it is better to trade the

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order blocks that are in the direction

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of the dominant Market trend

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also trading recently printed order

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blocks are more accessible and more

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effective because the market constantly

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changes Direction and spending too much

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time waiting for the price to tap into

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the order block often leads to a losing

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trade

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since the demand and Supply are

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constantly fighting to take control

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trading fresh order blocks have higher

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win rates

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here on the euro dollar when we have a

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clear trending Market see how often the

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market prints fresh order blocks rejects

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them and continues pushing up

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on the contrary look at another example

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here we have a valid order block Zone

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but before price Taps into this area

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Market have made a lot of demand zones

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and broke them to the downside some

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Traders might take these areas as

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liquidity grab and put their buying

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positions on the order block

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but the point is that the supply has

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taken control

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and trading this order block without

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confirmation won't be effective

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so that is why the confirmation in the

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lower time frames is the third Factor

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you should consider when trading order

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blocks

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confirmations save us from a lot of

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unnecessary losses when the market

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decides to ignore the order blocks also

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having a solid entry reason as

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confirmation in our trading Arsenal

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makes us trade more confidently

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the order blocks trading strategy is not

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limited to any time frames still after

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we spot the order blocks in the higher

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time frame we zoom in two time frames

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lower to look for confirmations and

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trading entries

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so when we use four hour one hour and 15

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minutes chart as our higher time frame

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we look for entry reasons in 15 minutes

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5 minutes and one minute respectively

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you could use multiple price action

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setups as confirmations for trading the

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order blocks here are some of the most

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common patterns we trade in the market

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in the first step we wait for the market

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to mitigate our higher time frame order

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block and for Price action to show its

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next move

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now the first thing we are waiting for

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to appear is a change of character

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a change of character signals that the

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short-term downtrend is over and the

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price can start to move to the upside

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so after the market makes a change of

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character that is when we look to

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execute our trade

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usually we witness two common patterns

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and this is the way we place our orders

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the first pattern is when the change of

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character move creates inefficiency and

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a valid order block

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so we place our order a spread size

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above the order block and put our stop

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loss a couple of Pips below the lowest

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point of the zone

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we use a simple technique for taking

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profits to catch big risk to reward

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ratios without even experiencing much

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tension

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if we end up being right and the price

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starts pushing up

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we will reposition our stop loss under

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the market structure every time Market

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makes a new higher low

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this way we could let our trades run in

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profits until we reach a higher time

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frame Supply Zone and close the trade

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the second pattern happens when we have

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a change of character but there is no

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inefficiency or gaps between the candles

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so we place our trade with Aid of

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retracement levels we put the

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retracement tool from the start of the

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change of character move to the end and

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place a buy order in the middle of the

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six one eight and seven eight six

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retracement levels our stop will be a

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couple of Pips below the swing low and

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Target the next level of structure in

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front of the price

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remember that these trading setups are

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not limited to any time frame or a pair

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still you must do your back testing and

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see which pair is most suitable for

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these strategies

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