Why Kamala Harris is Suddenly "Beating" Trump.

Summary

The video script discusses the current political climate, suggesting that fear is a fleeting emotion and not a reliable campaign strategy. It contrasts fear-based campaigning with one focused on hope and change, highlighting the importance of lasting emotions in winning elections. The speaker advises that candidates should pivot from fear to messages of pride and hope for the future, to resonate with voters and potentially avoid negative outcomes like recessions or wars.

Takeaways

• 😨 The speaker believes the country is in a dangerous position economically and in terms of safety, with both domestic and international threats.
• 🌍 The speaker suggests that the current leadership is not respected worldwide and is ill-equipped to handle the challenges posed by powerful foreign countries.
• 📉 There is a fear of a potential economic depression similar to the one in 1929, which could take decades to recover from.
• 💣 The speaker feels that the country is close to a World War, and the current leadership lacks the ability to manage such a crisis.
• 🏠 The campaign focuses on fighting for a future with affordable housing, healthcare, and childcare, and building a broad-based economy.
• 📊 Kamala Harris has reportedly pulled ahead of Donald Trump in polls, suggesting a shift in public support.
• 💰 The speaker discusses the importance of polls for fundraising and media attention, rather than as accurate predictors of election outcomes.
• 🔍 The video suggests that the Supreme Court and Trump's own campaign messaging may be contributing to his loss of lead in the polls.
• 🚑 The script mentions an emergency landing of Donald Trump's plane and 'mystery fire trucks and ambulances' outside the White House.
• 🧐 The speaker argues that psychological factors, specifically fear and hope, play a significant role in political campaigns and voter behavior.
• 🛡️ The speaker concludes that campaigns built on hope are more successful than those based on fear, as hope is a more enduring emotion.

Q & A

What is the main argument presented in the video script regarding the current state of the country?

The script argues that the country is in a dangerous position from both an economic and safety standpoint, with concerns about internal and external threats, and criticizes the leadership for not knowing how to handle these situations effectively.

What historical economic event is mentioned as a potential comparison for the current situation?

The script mentions the Great Depression of 1929 as a historical economic event that could potentially be compared to the current situation if a depression of similar severity were to occur.

What is the significance of the polls mentioned in the script?

The polls are significant because they indicate the current public opinion and are used to raise funds and gain media attention for the candidates. They are also used as a gauge for the leading candidate's momentum.

How does the script suggest the Supreme Court has affected Donald Trump's popularity?

The script suggests that the Supreme Court, which Donald Trump helped shape, has contributed to his loss of popularity by immunizing most of his official presidential acts, thereby reducing the fear among the public that they could be targeted for their political beliefs.

What are the four main political fears mentioned in the script that voters care about?

The four main political fears mentioned are health, political threats (like censorship or arrest), security (including border and war issues), and economic concerns.

Why does the script suggest that fear is not a sustainable strategy for a political campaign?

The script suggests that fear is a fleeting emotion that does not last, making it difficult to sustain voter support over time. It is more effective for short-term reactions rather than long-term political support.

What is the difference between fear and hope as political strategies according to the script?

Fear is described as a short-term, intense emotion that is not sustainable, while hope is a long-term, reliable indicator for future success that is more enduring and can lead to lasting support.

What advice does the script offer to Donald Trump regarding his messaging strategy?

The script advises Donald Trump to shift from a campaign of fear to one of hope and pride, focusing on improving the future for Americans rather than emphasizing potential threats and crises.

How does the script describe the potential impact of an escalated war, recession, or border crisis on the election?

The script suggests that such events would amplify fear and could potentially sway the election in favor of the candidate running on a platform of fear, as they would bring immediate concerns to the forefront of voters' minds.

What is the script's view on the importance of hope in the context of Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's campaign?

The script views hope as a key component of their campaign, suggesting that by focusing on a hopeful future and addressing issues like affordable housing, healthcare, and child care, they are playing to their strength and appealing to voters' desires for positive change.

Outlines

00:00

🚨 National Crisis and Political Fears 🚨

The speaker discusses the current state of the nation, highlighting economic and safety concerns, both domestically with street gangs and internationally with powerful countries. They express a lack of confidence in the leadership's ability to handle these threats and mention the potential for a new Great Depression and a World War. The script transitions into a political campaign narrative, emphasizing affordable housing, healthcare, and child care as key issues. It also touches on the importance of a strong economy and the candidate's ability to raise funds and gain media attention through polls, suggesting that these are more about perception management than actual policy discussions.

05:02

🛡️ Analyzing Political Fears and Strategies 🛡️

This paragraph delves into the psychological aspects of political campaigns, focusing on four main fears that influence voters: health, political threats, security, and the economy. The speaker uses the example of California's Governor Gavin Newsom's successful recall campaign, which leveraged the fear of COVID-19 to mobilize voters. The paragraph contrasts this with the current situation, where the Supreme Court's decisions have reduced the fear of political persecution, and where constant warnings of war and border crises have become normalized, diminishing their impact as campaign tools.

10:02

🌐 The Diminishing Effect of Fear-Based Campaigning 🌐

The speaker continues to explore the ineffectiveness of fear-based campaigning when the catalysts for fear are not escalating or are distant from the election date. They argue that hope is a more enduring emotion and is better for long-term political success. The paragraph criticizes Donald Trump's campaign strategy, which focuses on fear of economic depression and war, and suggests that without tangible evidence of these fears materializing, his campaign may suffer in the polls. The speaker contrasts this with Kamala Harris's campaign, which is framed as one of hope and change.

15:03

🏛️ Shifting Campaign Messaging from Fear to Hope 🏛️

In this paragraph, the speaker advises political candidates, particularly those running against Donald Trump, to focus on a message of hope and to avoid relying on fear that is not currently escalating. They suggest that candidates should emphasize their plans for the future, such as improving education, lowering taxes, and enhancing healthcare, rather than dwelling on potential crises. The speaker also recommends that Donald Trump shift his messaging to reflect pride and hope in his potential second term, rather than focusing on fear of the opposition's policies.

20:03

📢 Final Thoughts on Political Messaging and Strategy 📢

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion by reiterating the importance of a hopeful and forward-looking campaign message. The speaker suggests that candidates should avoid relying on short-term crises to drive their campaigns and instead focus on long-term goals and aspirations. They also touch on the importance of not just making promises but also demonstrating a track record of accomplishment. The paragraph concludes with a disclaimer about the speaker's qualifications and a reminder that the content is not personalized financial advice.

Keywords

💡Economic Standpoint

The economic standpoint refers to the perspective or position one holds regarding economic issues. In the video, this term is used to express concern about the current state of the economy, suggesting it is in a precarious position. The script mentions, '...the most dangerous position it's ever been in from an economic standpoint,' indicating that the speaker believes the economy is at risk.

💡Safety Standpoint

The safety standpoint pertains to the measures and conditions that ensure protection and security. The video script uses this term to discuss the perceived threats to safety both from within the country, such as street gangs, and from external forces, such as other powerful nations, as in '...from a safety standpoint uh both gangs on the street, and frankly gangs outside of our country...'.

💡Depression of the 1929 Variety

This phrase refers to the Great Depression, an economic downturn that began in 1929 and lasted for a decade. The video script uses this term to draw a parallel with the current economic situation, suggesting a fear of a similar catastrophic event, as in '...in a depression of the 1929 variety which would be a devastating thing...'.

💡World War

World War refers to any of the two major global conflicts that occurred in the 20th century, World War I and World War II. In the script, the term is used to express the fear of escalating global conflicts, indicating a belief that the world is on the brink of a large-scale war, as stated, '...we're very close to a World War in my opinion...'.

💡Affordable Housing

Affordable housing is a concept that refers to housing that is financially accessible to those with low to moderate incomes. The video script mentions this as part of a campaign promise, indicating a commitment to making housing more accessible, '...fight for a future where every American has the opportunity to own a home...'.

💡Affordable Health Care

Affordable health care is a term that describes health care services that are economically feasible for the general population. The script uses this term to emphasize the importance of accessible health services, as part of the campaign's goals, '...Affordable Health Care affordable child care...'.

💡Paid Leave

Paid leave refers to the time off from work for which an employee continues to receive compensation. The video script includes paid leave as one of the benefits that the campaign is fighting for, suggesting a push for better worker rights and benefits, '...paid Le, we fight for a future...'.

💡Fear and Hope

Fear and hope are emotional responses that influence decision-making and behavior. In the video, these terms are contrasted to discuss their impact on political campaigns. Fear is described as fleeting and less reliable for long-term support, while hope is portrayed as enduring and more likely to inspire action, '...fear is much less lasting fear works in the very, short term hope is nearly the opposite...'.

💡Polls

Polls are surveys of public opinion used to gauge support for political candidates or issues. The script discusses the significance of polls in political campaigns, not for their predictive power, but for their role in fundraising and media attention, '...you care about the polls because of money the leading candidate or both, candidates in a tight race get more, money...'.

💡Supreme Court

The Supreme Court is the highest court in the United States, with the power to interpret laws and the Constitution. The video script suggests that decisions made by the Supreme Court have had an impact on public perception and political campaigns, particularly in relation to political threats, '...the Supreme Court that Donald Trump helped shape removed that fear by, immunizing most official presidential acts...'.

Highlights

The country is currently in its most dangerous position from both an economic and safety standpoint, with internal and external threats.

Concerns about potential depression similar to the 1929 Great Depression and the possibility of a World War are raised.

The leadership is criticized for not being respected worldwide and for not knowing how to handle international relations.

Campaign focuses on a fight for the future with affordable housing, health care, and child care as key issues.

Kamala Harris has officially pulled ahead of Donald Trump in polls, indicating a shift in public opinion.

The importance of polls in fundraising and media attention for political campaigns is discussed.

The Supreme Court's decisions are suggested to be contributing to Donald Trump's loss of support.

Fear as a political tool is contrasted with hope and change as a campaign strategy.

Four main political fears are identified: health, political threats, security, and the economy.

Fear as a fleeting emotion is not conducive to long-term political support.

The strategy of using fear in campaigns is critiqued for its lack of sustainability.

The importance of hope in motivating voters and its contrast with fear is emphasized.

Donald Trump's campaign is suggested to pivot from fear to hope to improve his standing in polls.

Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's campaign is framed as one of hope and change.

The potential impact of a recession, war, or border crisis on the election is discussed.

Advice for political candidates on how to frame their messaging for maximum impact is given.

The video concludes with a discussion on the power of hope over fear in political campaigns.

Transcripts

I think that our country is right now in

the most dangerous

position it's ever been in from an

economic standpoint from a safety

standpoint uh both gangs on the street

and frankly gangs outside of our country

in the form of other countries that are

frankly very powerful they're very

powerful countries and we don't know

what we're doing we have leadership that

has no clue how to handle them or how to

handle any other

situation we have a uh

we have a lot of bad things coming up

you could end up in a depression of the

1929 variety which would be a

devastating thing took many years took

decades to recover from it uh and we're

very close to that we're very close to a

World War in my opinion we're very close

to a World War we have people that don't

know how to handle it uh they're not

respected all over the world they're

left at and we can't have that this

campaign is a fight for the future

affordable housing Affordable Health

Care affordable child care paid

Le

we fight for a future where we build a

broad-based economy where every American

has the opportunity to own a home to

start a business and to build wealth

this is absolutely crazy apparently

we've got mystery fire trucks and

ambulances outside of the White House

today Donald Trump's 33 three-year-old

757 Boeing had an emergency landing

after apparently mechanical and

hydraulic issues and gamla Harris has

officially pulled ahead of Donald Trump

in well pretty much everything that we

can look at we have predicted with a 57

to 46 lead for KLA Harris yes there it

doesn't add up to 100 because the suits

are taking some of your money because of

spreads ignore that part KLA Harris has

clearly moved up after Biden dropped out

but then continued to creep up a lead

over Donald Trump and a lot of people

are saying Kevin why is this happening

now other people are saying Hey Kevin

look at Poly Market it's a lot closer

but just today K Harris pulled ahead of

Donald Trump by a percentage Point as

well

49-58 and when we look at the actual PLL

markets we could see Harris with a .5

spread for the average of all polls over

the last 3 weeks now you might be asking

yourself but Kevin polls don't predict

elections why do we care about these

polls you care about the polls because

of money the leading candidate or both

candidates in a tight race get more

money it's simple it's how to raise

funds it's how to get media attention

now they're ahead now they're ahead now

they're ahead and that's how you raise

money it's politics it's a game it's not

about actually predicting the election

it's about raising money before the

election that's why all the pollsters

get pay to run polls because it helps uh

for the candidates to raise money even

if you're slightly losing or if you're

losing a lot like Joe Biden is then you

just sort of get the boot but a lot of

people have been asking me Kevin why why

is Donald Trump beginning to lose well

what if I told you the Supreme Court

that Donald Trump helped install is

contributing to his

loss what if I told you what Donald

Trump is campaigning on was contributing

to his loss of the lead what if I told

you this had nothing to do with whether

or not walls has stolen value Valor or

he's more of a man of the people than JD

Vance is or vice versa what if I told

you it really has nothing to do with

that what if I also told you it has

nothing to do with policy which this

video is not going to be about policy if

you want that a link down below a video

on Trump's policy and a video up all of

his policies and a video on KLA Harris's

policies which a little harder to get to

because they're none on her website and

they don't really talk much about them

but if you want policies separate video

I'll link them down below this video is

about what's actually changing and

you're going to get the answer in this

video and you might not believe how

crazy blatantly obvious this is because

a lot of us use logic we look at things

logically and say but Kevin the polls

must be rigged the election must be

rigged we haven't had debate performance

yet beginner's luck she just got started

she's got a clean slate uh you know

people are voting on policy blah blah

blah blah blah people have all these

opinions as to why one candidate is

pulling better than the other I think

most of that has some form of truth but

the real truth comes down to what

is

psychology let's get started with

psychology first there are four main

political fears that any United States

voter cares about one Health two

political threats like censorship arrest

a rig justice system uh then you have

three security border War Israel Ukraine

Russia and then four economic those are

the four main sources of fears that

people have let's now break down each of

these fear categories and understand who

excels in these fear categories First

Things First Health is Health today like

a national pandemic as pressing of an

issue as it was in the 2020 cycle no

obviously not but I want to show you how

health can be used as a weapon of fear

but first a little bit of background on

fear there's fear and there's hope

they're very very very different fear is

kind of like a campfire that you throw

gas on and all of a sudden it goes whoa

It's Like Somebody points a gun at your

face whoa massive fear fight or flight I

got to get out of here this sucks I'm

about to die or get hurt or lose lots of

money this sucks that is extremely

taxing and stressful on your body but

that feeling is very fleeting it burns

off quickly once things settle down

cooler heads prevail fear is not a very

lasting emotion which actually makes

fear very difficult to run a campaign on

because people won't continue to vote

for that fear unless they continue to

feel that fear so I'm going to give you

a successful example of weaponizing fear

Gavin Nome during the 2021 recall where

he's basically up to get fired I ran

against him for governor I came in

second of recall candidates and Newsome

declared that Trump Republicans are

going to kill you and your family if you

vote for them people like Larry Elder

was the Nome argument and so Democrats

came out and droves because they didn't

want to die now you might ask yourself

what he's just saying that like what

added fuel to that fire well in the fall

of 2021 the Delta variant of covid which

was more deadly and more virent than the

first version of Co that we

got sent a lot of people to the ballot

boxes this happened to be enhanced by

the fact that Democrats in California

rather than hold the election on a

normal November cycle in 2021 decided to

Short Fuse the competition against Gavin

Nome and hit Peak fear during the Delta

variant and hold the election in

September clutch move for the Democrats

probably rigged really a topic for a

different video anyway long and short

Gavin knew ended up winning because he

perfectly managed to align fear with the

election they had control over The

Narrative of fear they had control of

the election date and they won using

that but Donald Trump doesn't have that

sort of benefit right now one that he

really did have was the second one

political threats political threats

helped Propel Donald Trump to mass

popularity this potential that our

justice system is rigged that you could

be targeted for your political beliefs

that the justice system would be

weaponized against our political

opponents created massive fear in

Americans and it actually sent Trump

straight up in the polls because people

had massive fear that they too could be

censored arrested investigated or

charged because of their political views

well guess what the Supreme Court did to

that fire

ironically the Supreme Court that Trump

helped shape removed that fear by

immunizing most official presidential

acts most of Donald Trump's cases have

either been delayed or sent back to

lower courts for

reconsiderations so so far on the for of

a fear scale people ain't voting on

health right now not in a pandemic and

the Supreme Court kind of just killed

the police political threats one now I'm

not saying there's not there aren't

still Embers that that's not these

things aren't important that's not what

I'm saying I want to be clear I'm just

saying they're not the Raging fires they

were when Donald Trump was showing up in

courton getting a booking photo taken of

himself so then we're left with two

we're left with security and the economy

so let's understand the border and the

wars for a moment pretty much every day

we hear Donald Trump talk about the

potential of World War III yeah yes it's

true that no war has started under

Donald Trump and that wars were started

under the Republican George Bush under

Democrat Obama and under Democrat B

Biden so basically the three

administrations before Donald Trump this

is a great strength for Hope for Donald

Trump hey under me you get no new

Wars but Trump doesn't weaponize that

instead he weaponizes fear we're closer

to World War III than we've ever been

we're Dangerously close see the problem

though with this is every single day

Donald Trump tries to add fuel to the

fire it's not really growing the fire

anymore like we've already SE like we've

already heard Donald Trump warn of World

War III and people are kind of used to

the fact that yeah eastern Ukraine major

problems with Russia okay we got it pro

killings in Gaza it's absolutely

horrible it's atrocious so are the

killings in Israel we don't need to get

into that right now people dying suck

sucks the potential of Iran to invade or

attack Israel big problem but every day

these wars don't escalate even further

the status quo does not ignite fear in

American voters in the everyday American

unfortunately is not thinking about

Israel or Gaza or Ukraine on a daily

basis and so that's not enough fear to

get you to walk to The Ballot Box and

vote now I'm not saying some people

listening here aren't going to vote for

Trump anyway or they're not going to

vote for KLA Harris anyway that doesn't

matter that's beyond the point the point

is the the margin is what we're talking

about here like in other words if 48% of

people are going to vote one way and 48%

of people are going to vote another way

what we really are talking about is

what's going to Mo motivate the middle

4% to vote kind of crazy

right okay so it's probably not unless

we have an escalation of the conflict

going to be war and it's probably not

going to be the border now don't get me

wrong more people than ever today

believe that the border is in a

crisis more people than ever before

believe that gallop polls runs these

polls on a regular basis and it's clear

people think the border is a

disaster but how often does the Border

ruin your daily life well probably for

over 90% of us and probably 90% of those

swing state voters or even more very

little so in other words these are

somewhat of empty fears you really need

a fear that affects everyone so then we

talk about the economy okay we fear

recession yes we believe we're

dangerously close to a recession a

recession would be marked by a surge of

layoffs a substantial wealth Crush uh

people's 401ks is going down in value

substantially the despair of joblessness

but frankly every day that goes by

without a recession people become less

fearful and so we accept the data is

noisy and we go about our daily lives

and frankly when Trump makes the

argument we're heading for

depression that's fearful but that fear

doesn't last it's just rhetoric and so

that's where when you listen to Donald

Trump what you'll find every time he

opens up with a speech his speeches are

always about well thank you very much

appreciate your being here uh just a

statement before I talk about debates I

think that our country is right now in

the most dangerous

position it's ever been in from an

economic standpoint from a safety

standpoint uh both gangs on the street

and frankly gangs outside of our country

in the form of other countries that are

frankly very powerful they're very

powerful countries and we don't know

what we're doing we have leadership that

has no clue how to handle them or how to

handle any other

situation we have a

uh we have a lot of bad things coming up

you could end up in a depression of the

1929 variety which would be a

devastating thing took many years took

decades to recover from it uh and we're

very close to that we're very close to a

World War in my opinion we're very close

to a World War we have people that don't

know how to handle it uh they're not

respected all over the world they're

left at and we can't have that and so

what you can see is Donald Trump is

running a campaign of fear and Harrison

Waltz are running a campaign of Hope and

change you can believe in

now remember change and belief are hopes

and hope is Lasting Hope is nearly the

opposite of fear except it's much more

of a Dependable indicator for future

success in entrepreneurship in business

and studying in relationships hope is

what makes the world move fear is much

less lasting fear works in the very

short

term hope is considered a marathon fear

is considered a Sprint so the longer

that Donald Trump pedal fears without

evidence of those fears escalating

getting worse the lower he'll likely

continue to rank in polls see if

election day were held the day after

Donald Trump were shot at or his ear was

shot he would have won Peak fear over

security if the election were held the

day after the debate against Joe Biden

Donald Trump would have won Peak fear

over Biden's ability to handle any of

those four things if the election were

held Monday Donald Trump would have won

Peak fear in markets and the stock

market the bond market gold market Japan

but the election wasn't held the day

after those events instead the strategy

going forward for both Harris and walls

and Donald Trump in my opinion as unpaid

advice should be the following Harrison

walls should probably continue playing

their strength this campaign is a fight

for the

future it's a fight for the future

and Pennsylvania we fight for a future

with affordable housing Affordable

Health Care affordable child care paid

Le

we fight for a future where we build a

broad-based economy where every American

has the opportunity to own a home to

start a business and to build wealth

we fight for a future where we bring

down prices that are still too

high and lower the cost of living for

America's

families so that they have a chance not

just to get by but to get

ahead we fight for a future where we

defend our most fundamental

freedoms the freedom to

vote the freedom to be safe from gun

violence the freedom to love who you

love openly and with pride

and the freedom of a woman to make

decisions about her own body not having

her government tell her what to do now

obviously politicians can say whatever

the heck they want what they actually

accomplish are very different things but

the point is how are you leaving these

events are you leaving with short-term

fear or are you leaving with long-term

hope because if you're leaving with

short short-term fear that candidate

loses unless that fear lasts if you are

leaving with long-term hope that

candidate wins absent some short-term

fear happy relatable hope laughing all

those things are playing into their

strength they must also pray that we

avoid an escalated war with Iran a

recession or a larger border crisis

Trump sadly must hope for a recession a

larger border crisis or a war because it

would amplify fear it would remove

people from the status quo thinking and

bring fear back into this

election see instead of Donald Trump

using fear when fear isn't escalating

because fear is a fleeting emotion he

should change some of the things he says

I'll give you an example instead of

saying we're going into a depression the

likes of which no one has

seen I would say I'm going to help you

and your kids be the most well equipped

Americans to fight in this global

economy we're going to improve schools

introduce future schools to teach trades

in schools we're going to lower your

taxes and better your health care we've

done it before we'll do it again we'll

also increase tax credits for children

we've done it before we'll do it again

see that's a lot stronger this sends a

message that Donald Trump is here to

better the

future this is a lot better than kamla

Harris will send our country into the

greatest depression the likes of which

no one has seen

before it falls

flat instead of we're closer to World

War III than ever before or I'm going to

stop the wars Biden caused in 24 hours

which seems farfetched but even if it's

possible it's not hopeful I mean there

is hope to ending War but people want to

talk about the future Donald Trump

should could potentially say something

like if there's one thing I want you to

remember about my first presidency is

that no wars were started globally under

my presidency Bush Obama Biden none of

them both sides of the aisle can't say

that and I vow to you to protect you and

your family and prevent the escalation

of new war anywhere in the world while

also ending existing War that's much

more powerful much more powerful in my

opinion instead

of the gangs are on the

streets how about we will fully fund our

police forces to protect our children

their Futures in their schools and at

home to protect you and your family to

protect our American dream and our

American

neighborhoods all while protecting your

rights see now what you're doing is

you're revising Donald Trump's messaging

from one of fear which is not lasting to

one of Pride and hope again fear works

if the catalysts are close to the

election the covid pandemic Delta

variant close to the new some election

if not and Donald Trump doesn't make a

shift here the party of change or at

least that's what people are branding it

now the party of change the Harris walls

ticket which is deemed to be different

from any other prior president may win I

I understand Harris is part of the Biden

Administration but the way Outsiders

generally look at this is they say okay

new candidacy versus somebody who has

been president before anyway look it's

early policies from kamla Harris are

unclear we still have debates to hit

obviously we're going to be covering

those so I recommend you subscribe if

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folks we'll see you in the next one

thanks so much have a great day bye can

notot advertise these things that you

told us here I feel like nobody else

knows about this we'll we'll try a

little advertising and see go

congratulations man you have done so

much people love you people look up to

you Kevin PA there financial analyst and

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

your

take even though I'm a licensed

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