Ukraine's desperate need for soldiers
Summary
TLDRUkraine's border fences, installed post-2022 invasion, aim to retain military-age men amid manpower depletion. Despite initial volunteerism, conscription officers now forcibly enlist men, causing societal division. New mobilization laws have lowered the draft age and tightened rules, prompting an increase in illegal border crossings. Exhausted troops face significant enemy numbers, and while some still volunteer, many fear inadequate training and survival chances, reflecting a nation grappling with the human cost of ongoing warfare.
Takeaways
- ๐ก๏ธ Prior to the 2022 invasion, there was no fence along most of the Ukraine-Russia border, but Ukraine has since fortified its security to prevent the exodus of military-age men.
- ๐ท The border barriers are not to keep Russians out but to keep Ukrainian men in, due to restrictions on military-age men leaving the country.
- ๐ The number of attempted illegal border crossings has increased, with some resulting in fatalities due to the dangerous river crossings.
- ๐ Ukraine's military forces are dangerously depleted after over two years of warfare, with soldiers on the frontline being exhausted and heavily outnumbered by Russian forces.
- ๐ Enthusiasm for volunteering to fight has waned, leading to conscription officers forcibly drafting men, causing social tension and conflict.
- ๐ Conscription officers are actively searching for draft-eligible men, with some individuals going into hiding to avoid being conscripted.
- ๐น Instances of men being forcibly drafted have been captured on video, sparking investigations and public outcry.
- ๐ The reluctance of the government to conduct a new mobilization due to its unpopularity has led to an increasing number of men attempting to leave the country illegally.
- ๐ In May, a new mobilization law was enacted, tightening conscription rules and lowering the draft age from 27 to 25, leading to more men trying to leave the country.
- ๐ซ Some men leaving the country fear being sent to fight without proper training, expressing concerns about their survival in combat.
- ๐ Despite the challenges, there are still volunteers who are willing to join the military, seeking better training and command in volunteer battalions like the D Vinci Wolves.
Q & A
What was the situation at the Ukraine-Russia border before the full-scale invasion in February 2022?
-Before the full-scale invasion, there was no fence in major parts of the border between Ukraine and Russia, indicating a more open border.
Why has Ukraine tightened security at its borders since the invasion?
-Ukraine has tightened security not to keep Russians out but to prevent Ukrainian men, particularly those of military age, from leaving the country.
What is the purpose of the barbed wire on Ukraine's border?
-The barbed wire is designed to keep Ukrainian men within the country, not to deter Russian entry, as a measure to maintain the number of potential soldiers.
What is the current state of Ukraine's military manpower?
-Ukraine's military manpower is dangerously depleted after more than two years of warfare, with soldiers on the frontline being exhausted and often heavily outnumbered by Russian forces.
How has the initial wave of enthusiasm for volunteering to fight changed over time?
-The initial enthusiasm for volunteering to fight has faded, with conscription officers now having to search for draft-eligible men, many of whom are in hiding.
What measures has the Ukrainian government taken to address the manpower shortage in the military?
-The government has implemented stricter conscription rules, including lowering the draft age from 27 to 25 and barring most military-age men from leaving the country.
What are the consequences of the new mobilization law in Ukraine?
-The new mobilization law has led to an increase in the number of men trying to leave the country illegally, fearing conscription and inadequate training.
How are conscription officers currently dealing with the shortage of willing recruits?
-Conscription officers are seen scouring the streets, forcibly drafting men into the military, which has caused social tension and incidents of resistance.
What is the sentiment among Ukrainian men who are trying to leave the country?
-Many men trying to leave the country express fear of being sent to fight without proper training and doubt about their ability to survive as soldiers.
What is the impact of the ongoing war on Ukrainian society regarding conscription and military service?
-The ongoing war has created a painful divide in Ukrainian society, with some resisting conscription and others volunteering, reflecting a complex mix of patriotism and personal fear.
What are the expectations for the new draft in Ukraine and its potential impact on the war effort?
-Analysts expect the new draft to begin having an impact later in the summer, but it is clear that Ukraine will need many more recruits before the war can end.
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