Bitcoin BTC: When Will The Bull Run TOP? - NOT WHAT YOU EXPECT!

Summary

The video discusses the unique characteristics of the current bull market in cryptocurrencies, focusing on the ETF narrative and macro trends. It explores the possibility of an earlier market top based on the monthly chart RSI and the four-year cycle theory, which predicts a Bitcoin top in October 2025. However, recent deviations from these trends suggest a need for caution and a focus on reacting to market conditions rather than relying solely on predictions. The video emphasizes the importance of being prepared for various scenarios and adapting strategies accordingly.

Takeaways

• 📈 The current bull market in cryptocurrency exhibits unique characteristics, including the ETF narrative and macro trends.
• 🔄 The four-year cycle theory predicts that Bitcoin will top out around October 2025, based on historical patterns.
• 🤔 Despite its reliability, the four-year cycle is not guaranteed to work this time due to recent deviations in Bitcoin's price action.
• 💰 The money flow cycle from USDT to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins is a fundamental part of bull markets and should be monitored closely.
• 📊 Technical analysis, such as the monthly chart RSI, is crucial for determining exit strategies and identifying potential market tops.
• 🚀 Bitcoin's price has moved faster than expected, with a significant increase in trajectory after the halving, which is a deviation from previous cycles.
• 📈 Bitcoin has seen a 149% increase in the last 5 months, which is indicative of bull market price action.
• 🔄 The 18.6-year real estate economic cycle suggests a major economic collapse around 2025-2026, which could impact Bitcoin.
• 🤝 Diversifying predictions and strategies is advised due to the potential for the four-year cycle to be less reliable than in previous cycles.
• 🛑 A focus on reaction over prediction is recommended, as the market environment is changing and past trends may not be as applicable.
• 📚 The importance of education and community, such as joining a VIP group or enrolling in a trading course, is emphasized for navigating the market effectively.

Q & A

What are the unique characteristics of the bull market in cryptocurrency?

The bull market in cryptocurrency has unique characteristics such as the ETF narrative, macro trends from previous cycles like the four-year cycle theory, and the flow of cash from stablecoins like USDT into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and then into altcoins, triggering an altcoin season.

What is the significance of the four-year cycle theory in predicting Bitcoin's bull market top?

The four-year cycle theory is a trend based on Bitcoin's historical price movements, suggesting that Bitcoin tops out around October every four years, coinciding with halving events and election cycles. It has been a reliable trend since the first halving but may not be guaranteed to work in the future as market conditions evolve.

How does the speaker view the current deviation from the traditional four-year cycle in Bitcoin's price movement?

The speaker notes that Bitcoin has moved faster than expected, with a bull market occurring before the halving rather than after it. This deviation challenges the reliability of the four-year cycle and suggests that the market may be entering uncharted territory where traditional trends may not hold as strongly as before.

What is the 18.6-year real estate economic cycle theory mentioned in the script?

The 18.6-year real estate economic cycle theory suggests that there is a major economic collapse in traditional markets every 18 years, which also affects Bitcoin and the real estate market. The next collapse, according to this trend, is expected around 2025-2026, aligning with the four-year cycle's prediction for a Bitcoin top.

How does the speaker propose to approach the unpredictability of the current market cycle?

The speaker suggests focusing on reaction rather than prediction, emphasizing the importance of observing market trends and reacting to price actions in real-time rather than relying solely on historical trends that may not hold in the current market environment.

What is the significance of the monthly chart RSI in determining an exit strategy for Bitcoin?

The monthly chart RSI is significant as it has historically validated Bitcoin's price movements. The speaker uses the 67 level on the monthly chart RSI as a reference point for predicting a potential cyclical top. Historically, after breaking above 67 on the RSI, it has taken varying numbers of days (488 in 2013, 395 in 2017, and 365 in 2020) to reach a cyclical top.

What are the implications of the current bull market moving faster than the four-year cycle would have expected?

The faster movement indicates a potential weakening of the four-year cycle's reliability and suggests that the market may not follow the traditional patterns it has in the past. This requires traders to be more cautious and adaptable, focusing on market reactions and being prepared for the possibility of an earlier top than predicted by the four-year cycle.

What does the speaker mean by 'reacting to the market' rather than 'predicting the market'?

Reacting to the market means adjusting strategies and actions based on current market conditions and price movements, rather than trying to forecast future prices based on historical trends. This approach is more flexible and responsive to changes in the market, which can be particularly important when established trends may not be as reliable as they once were.

What is the speaker's current prediction for Bitcoin's top based on the four-year cycle?

The speaker's current prediction for Bitcoin's top based on the four-year cycle is around October 2025. However, they caution that this is not certain and that the traditional four-year cycle may be weaker than in previous cycles, so it's important to focus on market reactions and not solely rely on this prediction.

What are the key indicators the speaker suggests watching for signs of a market top?

The speaker suggests watching for a complete money flow cycle from stablecoins to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins, signs of exhaustion on macro charts, and reaching resistance levels on the monthly chart RSI as key indicators that the market top might be approaching.

What is the speaker's advice for traders given the uncertainties of the current market cycle?

The speaker advises traders to be cautious, to focus on reacting to market conditions rather than relying on predictions, and to be prepared to phase out of the market slowly if signs of a top are observed. This includes being alert to the complete playout of the money flow cycle, the length of the altcoin season, and reaching resistance levels on the RSI.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to Bull Market Analysis

The video begins by discussing the unique characteristics of the current bull market in cryptocurrencies, focusing on the ETF narrative and the realities of the market. It introduces the concept of macro trends, such as the four-year cycle theory, and sets the stage for a deeper analysis of when the bull market might peak. The speaker also promotes a VIP Telegram group for altcoin trading, low-fee exchanges BingX and Bitg, and a crypto academy for trading education.

05:01

🔢 Four-Year Cycle and Market Predictions

This paragraph delves into the four-year cycle theory, a well-established trend in Bitcoin's price history. It suggests that Bitcoin's price tends to peak around October 2025, based on historical data and trends. The speaker also introduces the 18.6-year real estate economic cycle, which aligns with the four-year cycle's prediction. However, the speaker notes recent deviations from these trends and emphasizes the need to consider alternative possibilities due to these changes.

10:02

📊 Bull Market Trajectory and RSI Analysis

The speaker analyzes the bull market's trajectory, focusing on the post-halving price movements and the role of the monthly RSI chart. They discuss how Bitcoin's price action has historically increased exponentially after each halving event. The paragraph highlights the importance of the 67 RSI level as a predictor for market tops and uses historical data to estimate a potential top in the period between November 2024 and February 2025.

15:02

🤔 Market Complexity and Reaction over Prediction

In the final paragraph, the speaker acknowledges the increasing complexity of the market and the challenges in making precise predictions. They stress the importance of reacting to market conditions rather than solely relying on predictions, especially given the recent deviations from long-standing trends. The speaker advises viewers to be cautious and to focus on the money flow cycle and market exhaustion signals as indicators of a potential market top. They conclude by reiterating the validity of the four-year cycle but urge viewers to approach it with caution and to be prepared for a different market environment.

Keywords

💡Bull Market

A bull market is a term used to describe a condition in which prices of securities, in this case cryptocurrencies, are rising or are expected to rise. In the video, the bull market is central to the discussion, with the focus on when the current Bitcoin bull market might peak. The speaker references historical bull market trends and patterns to predict potential future outcomes.

💡ETF Narrative

ETF, or Exchange-Traded Fund, narrative refers to the storyline or perception surrounding the impact of ETFs on the market, particularly in relation to cryptocurrencies. The speaker mentions this as one of the unique characteristics of the current bull market, suggesting that the narrative around ETFs is influencing investor behavior and market dynamics.

💡Crypto Money Cycle Flow

Crypto money cycle flow refers to the pattern of capital moving from stablecoins (USDT) into major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and then into altcoins, before eventually returning to stablecoins. This cycle is seen as a fundamental component of bull markets in cryptocurrencies and is used to identify the stages of the market cycle.

💡Four-Year Cycle Theory

The Four-Year Cycle Theory is a concept that suggests a pattern in which Bitcoin's price reaches a peak approximately every four years, often associated with the timing of halving events and election cycles. The video uses this theory to predict potential future market tops.

💡Macro Trends

Macro trends refer to broad, long-term patterns or movements in the market that are influenced by large-scale economic, political, or technological factors. In the context of the video, the speaker is looking at new macro trends to predict when the current bull market in cryptocurrencies might reach its peak.

💡Halving

Halving is an event in the Bitcoin network where the reward for mining new blocks is cut in half, effectively reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. This event is known to have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price, often associated with the start of a new bull market. The video references halvings as a trigger for bull market cycles.

💡RSI (Relative Strength Index)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis tool used to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in a security or market. In the video, the speaker uses the monthly chart RSI to determine potential exit strategies and cyclical tops in the market.

💡Altcoin Season

Altcoin Season refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when the prices of altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth or outperform Bitcoin. This is often seen as a late stage in a bull market cycle before a correction or top.

💡Bitcoin Dominance

Bitcoin Dominance is a measure that compares the market capitalization of Bitcoin to the total market capitalization of all other cryptocurrencies. A decrease in Bitcoin dominance often indicates a shift in investor interest towards altcoins, which can be a sign of a maturing market or an approaching market top.

💡Market Reaction

Market reaction refers to the response or behavior of investors and traders to changes in market conditions or new information. In the video, the speaker emphasizes the importance of reacting to market conditions over trying to predict them, especially in a complex and evolving market like cryptocurrencies.

💡VIP Group and Telegram

The VIP Group on Telegram mentioned in the video is a private messaging group where members can engage in discussions and receive trading plans for altcoins. This is an example of a community-based platform where individuals can share insights and strategies related to cryptocurrency trading.

Highlights

The bull market in cryptocurrency has unique characteristics, including the ETF narrative and macro trends.

Cryptocurrency bull markets often follow patterns such as money flow from stablecoins to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and then altcoins.

The four-year cycle theory is a prominent trend in Bitcoin's price history, suggesting a top in October 2025.

The 18.6-year real estate economic cycle theory suggests a major economic collapse around 2025-2026, which could affect Bitcoin.

Deviations from historical trends have been observed in Bitcoin's recent price action.

The Halving event is a significant marker for the start of bull markets in Bitcoin's history.

Bitcoin's trajectory and price action have shown an increase in speed compared to previous cycles.

The monthly chart RSI level of 67 is historically significant in determining Bitcoin's cyclical tops.

The time taken to reach a cyclical top after breaking above the 67 RSI level has decreased with each cycle.

An alternative trend based on the monthly chart RSI suggests a potential Bitcoin top between December 2024 and February 2025.

The reliability of the four-year cycle has been dented by recent deviations and faster price movements.

The importance of reacting to market conditions rather than solely relying on predictions is emphasized.

Crypto money flow, altcoin season, and Bitcoin dominance are key indicators to watch for market exhaustion.

The current market cycle is more about reacting to price action than following historical patterns.

Despite the four-year cycle's validity, it is crucial to be cautious and prepared for changes in market behavior.

The video concludes that while the four-year cycle still holds merit, the market requires a more reactive approach.

The speaker maintains a cautious stance on the four-year cycle's predictability due to recent market changes.

Transcripts

ladies and gentlemen the bull market in

play has unique characteristics one of

those characteristics is the ETF

narrative and now the ETF realities now

obviously every single bull market has

similar aspects similar components like

crypto money cycle flow cash flowing

from usdt into Bitcoin into ethereum and

then triggering an altcoin season we

also have macro trends that Linger on

from previous Cycles such as the

fouryear Cycle Theory but in this video

we're looking into a new macro Trend

forming on the monthly chart taking a

look at when we think the cryptocurrency

bull market top might be will it be a

traditional top or will it be an

alternative top based on these new macro

Trends ladies and Gentlemen let's get

into

it okay guys before we get into the

content here today we've got the VIP

group on telegram for altcoin trading

plans we also have a discussion group

there then we're moving on to our

exchanges bingx and bitg both advertised

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low trading fees my referral links are

down below and then finally we have the

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course for teaching people how to trade

teaching people how to use for ta uh so

you can take advantage of the bull

market check that out now let's get into

the content here today we're asking the

question in this video when will Bitcoin

top out in this bull market now

obviously the first part of this video

is going to be looking into something

like the fouryear cycle fouryear cycle

being kind of a textbook 101 strategy

for bull market top dates and then we've

got a second thing and that's the mon L

chart RSI okay so we have money flow to

look into as well and then finally we

have people like Steve from crypto cre

University predicting things like 79k

we're discussing all these things in

this video today trying to come to a

conclusion on when will the Bitcoin Bull

Run top be uh obviously you know

determining as well that there is a

degree of speculation there is things

that are subject to change here but we

have to have some possibilities in the

table so obviously first and foremost

foure cycle we'll try to be quick in

this video we don't want to drag it out

for too long get to point you know we

don't want to waste any of your time

here fouryear cycle is is textbook stuff

you know if you've been in crypto for

any period of time you know what the

fouryear cycle is it's a date range

trend on bitcoin triggered by the Haring

backed up by the election cycles that

basically predicts you know based on

these date range Trends these micro

Trends here that Bitcoin will be topping

out in about October 2025 so you can see

these date range Trends they're

colorcoded you can see it the yellow

writing lines up with the yellow date

range measurement the orange writing

lines up with the orange date range

measurement and if we just extrapolate

all this data from fouryear cycle across

it brings us to October 2025 you can see

it right here uh the pink date range

Trend and the orange date range Trend

extrapolating through to October 2025

and that is obviously the status quo for

Bitcoin because it's it's a trend that's

you know lasted since the first Haring

it's backed up by fundamentals in that

it's backed up by the Haring it's also

backed up the election cycle Theory uh

so basically there's a theory it's not

even a theory really it's just a trend

where election years in the United

States

pump traditional markets and hence pump

Bitcoin uh about three times higher than

regular non-election years now this is a

established Trend and it lines up of

2024 the Year we're seeing right now we

also have 18.6 year real estate economic

Cycle Theory uh now this is something

that someone like Jason bazo talks about

a lot but it is not Jason bazo's Trend

he did not discover this trend uh he's

just someone who talks about it a lot so

I don't feel like I need to give credit

to Jason bazo for talking about it fact

of the matter is the 18.6 year real

estate economic cycle is a real Trend

and it suggests as per the name uh that

every 18.6 years let's just say every 18

years there is a major economic collapse

essentially in traditional markets and

obviously that you know goes through to

bitcoin goes through to real estate uh

and that next collapse should be coming

according to this trend at around 2025

to 2026 now that lines up perfectly for

when the 4year cycle expects a top

because the foure cycle expects a top in

October 2025 so the foure cycle is you

know it's its own thing uh it's a

textbook 101 trend for Bitcoin it's a

staple it's the most reliable thing

Bitcoin has it still is valid uh and it

still does predict an October 2025 top

it's backed up by things like 18.6 year

real estate economic cycle by things

like the election cycle but it's not

guaranteed to work okay and in recent

days on bitcoin we have actually seen

some deviations okay in fact we're

seeing a deviation in this entire move

upwards uh so basically on bitcoin I'm

going to list out the Haring right now

so I'm going to get a vertical line I'm

going to draw out where the Haring are

one of the hars was in July 2016 we had

another Haring here in May 2020 we had

another Haring coming up in April 2024

uh and the first Haring on bitcoin ever

was I believe somewhere around uh June I

think June or July 2012 the point is we

don't really start bull markets until

after the harving this is a very well

established trend for Bitcoin you can

see in 2012 you know we go upwards from

the bottom sure we see some accumulation

but the bull market the actual

trajectory of Bitcoin rapidly increases

on an angle basis it like doubles after

the harving uh you know it's after the

harving we go upwards we saw it in 2012

we saw it over here in 2016 you know

after the Haring we really started to

increase our angle of trajectory to the

upside it was an exponential angle of

trajectory same thing in 2020 you know

our angle of trajectory yes we were

going upwards for a while Co delayed us

for a while but the angle trajectory

increased massively at the harving right

now we're in a situation where we are

already moving upwards hugely you know

we have a monthly candle forming right

now on bitcoin you know the monthly

candle of February which is ending in in

13 hours where we have a monthly candle

that's gone upwards

49% you know this is a bull market

monthly candle we've broken above levels

that we shouldn't have broken above

we've seen about a year of solid upside

price action with no confirm down Trends

whatsoever in the last 5 months on

bitcoin we've gone upwards about 149%

this is bull market price action if I've

ever seen it and I'm not just saying

that in a speculative kind of vague way

I'm saying that as we've broke Trends

know we had a trend on bitcoin which you

might remember me talking about you know

I've only stopped talking about it a few

days ago uh well I'll make these lines

pink so you can see them so these pink

lines on the price chart line up with an

important critical breakout level that

is fundamental to entering a bull market

and as you can see we generally reject

from that level once and it lines up

with a rejection from this red line on

the RSI uh we then enter a preh Haring

correction and then from there we see a

bull market that happened in 2016 it

also happened in 2019 the exact same

thing on the RSI on the price chart and

it look it kind of happened uh in 2024

you know last month we did see a 21%

correction but it wasn't extensive you

know it wasn't extensive we did reach

the same level in the RSI we saw that

correction but it didn't end up bringing

us down for a you know a massive period

of time so we've kind of deviated from a

speculative Trend there for Bitcoin uh

we've kind of deviated from what we

would be wanting to see if we were to be

maintaining maximum predictability

because obviously macro Trends give us

maximum predictability and the point is

just as a matter of fact this is not an

opinion this is just true Bitcoin has

moved a lot faster than the fouryear

cycle would have expected Bitcoin to

move now this hasn't invalidated the

4year cycle right but it has put a dent

in the armor of it because the problem

with the fouryear cycle is this 4year

cycle is extremely reliable okay it's

got a 100% success rate so far but when

it comes to invalidating the 4year cycle

since it's only based on tops and

bottoms it's impossible to invalidate

the 4year cycle or or identify an

invalidation to the 4year cycle until we

are down massively on bitcoin right

because anything that you know brings us

downwards on bitcoin if we went

downwards to 30k in the next 3 days that

wouldn't technically invalidate the

fouryear cycle because the fouryear

cycle relies on tops and bottoms that

would just be a correction and we would

be speculating that we'd go upwards

until October 2025 the only way we could

properly actually invalidate this 4E

cycle and know about it is if Bitcoin

started dropping below really critical

major macro levels and by that time by

the time we even know it's broken the

4year cycle we rated downwards 50 60 70%

we've lost all our money right that's

the problem with the 4 cycle it's very

difficult to know when it's actually

broken so we have to be open to other

possibilities and we have to be basing

our exit strategy of you know on

something more than the 4year cycle

especially considering uh there have

been dents in the armor of it with a

break of this previous macro Trend that

lasted 12 years right it wasn't as

strong as the foure cycle it wasn't

nearly as important but it still was a

big thing the fact that we're moving

faster than expected we're seeing a bull

market before the Haring rather than

after the Haring these are big things

that need to be taken into consideration

and so now you know someone like meell

crypto very close to Mega crypto we

developed the course together he would

say that the monthly chart RSI is very

important in determining an exit

strategy I would agree however we're

actually taking different angles in in

how we look at it I'm looking at the 67

level on the monthly chart RSI while

he's looking at the 80 level and there

are some differences now I'm going to be

discussing this with mega crypto

personally very soon and perhaps we'll

come to some sort of agreement but right

now I'm going to stick to my analysis of

the RSI level because I think obviously

uh it is uh very good uh you know we're

looking at that 67 level it's validated

by a price action it's validated by what

we used to see as preh Haring

Corrections you know we re Ed from it

here in 2016 rejected from here in 2019

it led up with you know it lined up with

rejections from the relevant levels uh

and now we've broken above 67 on the

monthly chart RSI what we can see is

this okay we can look at how long

historically it's taken for Bitcoin to

go from a break of 67 on the monthly

chart RSI to a cyclical top right in

2013 it took 488 days in 2017 it took

395 days in 2020 it took 360 5 days and

what we can see out of those three data

points is that they're all structurally

the same they're all cyclical bull

markets they all have you know the same

level of respect for 67 on the monthly

chart RSI for example we flipped it for

support here in 2012 we rejected from it

here in 2016 we rejected from here in

2019 before breaking it every single

cycle here every single data point has a

respect for that 67 level uh and what we

can actually see as well is that from

the time of the breakout above 67 on the

monthly chart RSI it takes a decreasing

amount of time to reach the cyclical top

from cycle to cycle again cycle 1 488

days cycle 2 3 95 and then cycle 3 365

if we were to continue that Trend

onwards we could suspect that it would

take around

335 days from the break of 67 on the RSI

to reach our top which would be a

December 2024 top now obviously this is

very speculative it could take more you

know 30 days more 30 days less but we're

looking at anything between say November

and say February or March so let's just

say from November to March 2025 that's

what we're really looking at for for a

top prediction based on this trend here

using the monthly chart RSI now here's

the thing we can't be precise with it

it's very difficult to be precise with a

trend like this because the date range

trend is still uh still kind of you know

increasing with precision as Cycles

cross but if this was to play out right

in any form no matter how accurate or

inaccurate it is if we see a top on

bitcoin as per this trend between say

December and February right so let's

just say December and February 3-mth

period that's still a massive difference

from the predicted October 2025 top uh

from the 4year cycle so let me just make

something very clear here if this trend

is correct we could be seeing a bull

market top on Bitcoin in this year or at

the start of next year when the fouryear

cycle predicts a bull market top at the

very end of 2025 which is next year so

you can see now you know the Market's

getting a bit more complicated and and

as we are putting dents in the armor of

something like the fouryear Cycle Theory

again it's still valid it's still on the

table we need to consider these

alternate possibilities the problem is

these ultimate possibilities they do

exist and they are worth looking at but

they're not very precise they're very

loose and this is what I feared and my

fears are coming true here you know if

Bitcoin does break for your cycle

there's no basis for any kind of spec

ation on bitcoin price action whatsoever

we break foure cycle who's to say we'll

see a regular year-long bare Market

followed by a regular 2-year

accumulation followed by a one-year bare

Market that's the fouryear cycle that's

all Bitcoin has ever done the only macro

price action that Bitcoin has ever seen

ever has happened within the 4year cycle

you know say what you will about whether

you think it's going to break or not we

don't want this thing to break you know

cuz we don't know what's going to happen

next if it does we are fully in the dark

we will have never seen price action uh

you know outside of the fouryear cycle

we've never seen it before so how do we

know what's going to happen next this

goes that's the problem uh you know the

other day when we broke this macro Trend

that suggested a Haring a correction

before the Haring we broke that

long-term cyclical predictability and

that's really not what we want to see

because now we're put in a situation

where we have to start guessing uh and

and that's not a good situation so what

I'll propose to you is this in a

financial Market they ask things you can

look at there are predictions you can

make but in all cases it's always best

to focus on reaction reacting rather

than predicting right what we do know is

this we have a cyclical trend on bitcoin

through the 4year cycle it is very

reliable but it's not guaranteed to work

especially this time around we have

other developing trends like this trend

here which suggests an earlier top in

the 4year cycle we can look at these

things we can debate all day about which

one is better or which one is more

useful or we can just react to the price

action when it occurs you know if we see

Bitcoin dropping downwards massively if

we see uh the crypto money flow having

played out you know this is a

fundamental part of of bull markets for

Bitcoin you know we see the the cash

flow from Stables into Bitcoin into

ethereum into altcoins and then back

into Stables if that entire money flow

cycle has occurred if we've seen the

altcoin season if Bitcoin dominance is

reaching bottoms and we are you know not

within the date range predictions of

either of these Trends we have to really

start to consider that hey look the

bottom might uh the top might actually

be in uh because these Trends have have

been proven now to an extent to be uh

Les slightly less reliable this time

around uh than they would have been in

previous Cycles so we have to focus more

on reacting we can observe what is true

throughout all Cycles what is true

throughout all Cycles well crypto money

flow is true when we see an altcoin

season and that altcoin season is

dragged out for a long period of time

and we start to see exhaust exhaustion

showing on the macro charts we start to

reach these upper levels on the monthly

chart RSI like this uh for example this

yellow line here we start to reach that

level for resistance then we need to be

ultra cautious we need to start fa you

know zoning out of the market phasing

out of the market slowly uh and reacting

to the situation effectively not just

waiting for something like October 2025

you know even though the fouryear cycle

was very good very valid we can't just

be blindly waiting for October 2025 and

ignoring any downside price action you

know in hopes that we' just follow a

regular cycle again because look it's

not certain that we will uh this is a

market uh particularly this time this is

a market cycle that is more about

reacting than predicting now with that

said I will make predictions as per

4year cycle uh but I will make them with

a grain of salt and they will come at

the Haring right now I do have current

predictions 103 to 197k I'll narrow them

down at the harving but look for your

cycle in my opinion this time around as

I've said is weaker than before as I've

said this Market cycle specifically is

more about reacting than predicting uh

we know what the characteristics of a

bull market are they they follow the the

money flow cycle once we see that entire

money flow cycle play out and we do see

that exhaustion that is when we're going

to react so guys I hope you got

knowledge out of this video uh I know

there was knowledge sprinkled throughout

it there was no real one clear

conclusion as to when the top will be I

don't think unfortunately we're in a

position to make that clear conclusion

if I was to be asked the question what

is the most reliable trend on bitcoin I

would still say the fouryear cycle and

hence I would still say the October 2025

top has the most Merit but I don't think

it's certain and I don't even think it's

something I would put huge swaps of

money betting on it would occur like I

would have last cycle last like I was

completely convinced by it now I'm

seeing different Market environments I'm

seeing changes here uh and I'm very I'm

very careful right not to jump on the

bandwagon where people say oh this

time's different this time's different

I'm very careful not to do that I'm

still saying this is valid I'm just

being cautious with it and I think

that's the logical approach approach to

take so Guys Without further Ado we'll

end the video there again check out Bing

X check out bitg check out crypto

Academy and check out the VIP group

thank you so much for watching I hope

you enjoyed the video and I'll catch you

in the next one cheers