JEPQ High Income ETF to REPLACE the QQQ in 2024 (DO THIS NOW)

Viktoriya Media
28 Feb 202411:24

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses using the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) to rebalance portfolio risk in the current economic environment. It explains how JEPQ provides exposure to AI and tech growth while also generating substantial dividend income to cushion volatility. The host analyzes JEPQ's performance compared to QQQ and S&P500, noting its lower volatility and competitive total returns. With high rates pressuring value stocks, the video advocates holding JEPQ for continued tech exposure rather than rotating fully to value, using the dividends as cash reserves to DCA if a correction occurs.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ˜€ JEQ ETF provides strong exposure to AI growth while cushioning volatility
  • ๐Ÿ’ก JEQ dampens QQQ volatility through covered calls and secondary screening
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ JEQ has outperformed S&P 500 since inception and kept pace with QQQ
  • ๐Ÿ‘ JEQ's 10% dividend yield gives extra protection against market drops
  • โš ๏ธ Rising rates negatively impact value stocks - avoid rotating into them
  • ๐Ÿค” Psychological challenge of buying at all-time highs - JEQ helps ease this
  • ๐Ÿ”„ JEQ good for portfolio rebalancing to balance growth and risk mitigation
  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Accumulate JEQ's dividends in cash to DCA back in case of correction
  • ๐Ÿ—“ October 2024 predicted as period of high volatility - worth watching
  • ๐Ÿ˜Š JEQ or HSKA good alternatives to QQQ for dampened volatility

Q & A

  • What are some benefits of high income ETFs?

    -High income ETFs provide consistent cash flow, which is especially beneficial for retirees and income investors. They also allow for portfolio rotation and rebalancing to mitigate volatility.

  • Why is portfolio rotation difficult in the current economy?

    -Growth stocks related to AI are continuing to rally to all-time highs. Meanwhile, rising interest rates are negatively impacting value stocks, making a rotation from growth to value less appealing.

  • How does the JEPI ETF work?

    -JEPI invests in the NASDAQ 100 and sells out of the money call options against its holdings to generate income. It uses equity-linked notes rather than stock options, so no shares are called away.

  • How has JEPI performed compared to QQQ?

    -JEPI has outperformed the S&P 500 since inception and kept pace with QQQ despite using covered calls. It cushions volatility while still allowing strong growth potential.

  • How does JEPI lower volatility?

    -JEPI screens and weights its holdings differently than QQQ to be less top-heavy. It also generates significant dividend income. Together, these lower annualized volatility by 40% vs QQQ.

  • Why is JEPI a good choice for rebalancing now?

    -It provides continued exposure to AI/tech growth while also mitigating downside risk. The dividend income can be held as cash to dollar cost average back into growth stocks if a correction occurs.

  • What is the vix term structure suggesting about late 2024?

    -The vix term structure shows investors are pricing in high volatility in October 2024, possibly due to the election. This is a key risk event for investors to monitor.

  • Would value ETFs be a good sector to rotate into now?

    -No, rising interest rates and other factors are creating additional downward pressure on value stocks. Rotating into value would be an inferior choice currently.

  • What should investors do if JEPI seems too risky?

    -For even lower volatility, the QYLD ETF is another alternative. It dampens QQQ volatility more than JEPI, while still providing tech exposure.

  • Outside of a black swan event, what is the outlook for AI stocks?

    -The AI movement continues to grow rapidly. Unless a major unexpected event occurs, this momentum likely persists for some time still.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ“ˆ Overview of high income ETF benefits and need for portfolio rebalancing

The paragraph provides an overview of the benefits of high income ETFs, especially for retirees and income investors. It also discusses the importance of portfolio rebalancing and rotation between growth and value assets to mitigate volatility and maximize returns. The author argues this process is complex in the current economy and high income ETFs should be the new focus for rebalancing.

05:01

๐Ÿ“‰ How JEPI works and why it's good for portfolio rebalancing now

This paragraph explains how the JEPI ETF works - it invests in NASDAQ stocks and sells out of the money call options to generate income distributed as dividends. It uses equity-linked notes so no shares are called away. The author argues JEPI is perfect for rebalancing now because it provides risk-averse exposure to AI/tech while limiting downside exposure.

10:04

๐Ÿ”ฎ Interesting chart shows investors pricing in volatility in October 2024

The paragraph briefly notes the AI movement and JEPI/QQQ are still strong bets unless a Black Swan event happens. It then highlights an interesting VIX chart showing investors are pricing in high volatility in October 2024, possibly due to the election. The author will cover this chart in more detail in the next video.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กportfolio rotation

Portfolio rotation refers to adjusting the allocation between different assets in a portfolio over time in order to maintain desired levels of risk and return. This is crucial for mitigating volatility and maximizing growth. The video discusses how high income ETFs like JEPI can be used to rotate portfolio risk in the current economic environment.

๐Ÿ’กAI boom

The video refers to an ongoing AI boom that is powering growth in the stock market and economy. This boom is expected to continue, so maintaining exposure to AI and tech stocks is considered essential.

๐Ÿ’กinterest rates

Rising interest rates have a negative impact on value and dividend stocks and ETFs. Therefore, rotating from growth into value to reduce risk may not make sense in the current environment of high rates.

๐Ÿ’กinflation

Persistently high inflation could lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further, causing additional pressure on value stocks.

๐Ÿ’กvolatility

The video aims to show how the JEPI ETF can dampen volatility relative to the QQQ ETF, providing a way to maintain growth exposure while reducing risk.

๐Ÿ’กAI correction

Even if there is a market correction, the video argues that the AI boom is likely to continue strongly. Therefore, investors should not let correction fears scare them out of AI-focused growth stocks.

๐Ÿ’กdollar cost averaging

Dollar cost averaging into ETFs like JEPI can take advantage of growth while using the dividend income as cash savings to deploy if a correction happens.

๐Ÿ’กamplitutde compression

JEPI compresses the amplitude of QQQ's price chart, cushioning downside but giving up a bit of upside. This dampens volatility exposure.

๐Ÿ’กrisk metrics

Various risk metrics like standard deviation show JEPI has lower risk characteristics than QQQ. This supports the goal of maintaining growth exposure while reducing risk.

๐Ÿ’กVIX

The video notes high expected volatility in October 2024 based on the VIX futures term structure. This potential spike warrants investor attention.

Highlights

Portfolio rotation and rebalancing is crucial for mitigating downside volatility and maximizing growth

High income ETFs should be the new step investors prioritize for portfolio rebalancing in current economy

JepQ provides AI movement exposure while limiting downside risk thanks to covered call options strategy

JepQ outperforms S&P 500 since inception and keeps up with QQQ despite using covered calls

JepQ secondary screening strategy gives slight performance advantage over QQQ

JepQ cushions QQQ volatility while still capturing strong growth potential

JepQ has superior risk metrics compared to QQQ - lower volatility and standard deviation

Dollar cost averaging into JepQ provides AI exposure with less downside risk than QQQ

JepQ's high dividend yield cushions corrections and increases in volatile markets

Rotate to bonds over value stocks currently due to factors like high interest rates

AI growth expected to continue barring black swan event significantly impacting markets

Abnormally high volatility priced into markets in October 2024 - concerning sign

PCE inflation data release on Feb 29 could significantly impact markets if higher than expected

Value ETFs likely to take hardest hit if PCE data signals sticky inflation and higher rates

Consider HDJP over JepQ if seeking to further dampen QQQ volatility

Transcripts

play00:00

I've been a very big fan of high income

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ETFs and I have talked a lot about the

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various benefits that these Investments

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provide especially for retirees and

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income investors who want to emphasize

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consistent cash flow but there's also a

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very important added benefit with these

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ETFs that I think every investor should

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take full advantage of especially moving

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into 2024 as talks of a common

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correction are growing and as we cross

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into extreme greed territory so this is

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where I want you to pay close attention

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one of the most important concepts of

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successful long-term investing is

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portfolio rotation and rebalancing and

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this simply involves adjusting the

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composition of your portfolio by

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changing the allocation between

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different Assets in order to maintain

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desired levels of risk to return

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typically from growth to value and vice

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versa and a strategy such as this one is

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crucial for mitigating downside

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volatility and maximizing growth but

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this isn't a straightforward process in

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fact it can be rather complicated and in

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today's economy with the boom of AI

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carrying the entire Market to all-time

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highs coupled with high interest rates

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the simple growth to value concept

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doesn't make sense anymore this is very

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important and this is where I think that

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high income ETFs should be the new Step

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investors need to prioritize in this

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process so today I'm going to talk about

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one specific ETF that can help

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accomplish this and potentially be a

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core holding in every Investor's

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portfolio moving forward I mean this ETF

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is accumulating funds at an insane pace

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so clearly there's a very specific

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interest in it and this brings me to

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jeq which is the JP Morgan NASDAQ Equity

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premium income ETF yes Jeb Q can be the

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perfect way to rebalance portfolio risk

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in the current economic environment

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emphasis on current and this is simply

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because you're getting risk averse

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exposure to the AI movement you see as

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markets continue to hit record highs

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fear of a correction naturally grows but

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the problem is that we simply don't know

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when the correction is going to happen

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but on top of that there's two other

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major problems for one many would assume

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that rotating out of growth and into

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value in times like this would be the

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ideal way to navigate the growing risk

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but right now there's a variety of other

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other factors that are negatively

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affecting the value sector most notably

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High interest rates ever since the

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10-year treasury bottomed at around 3.8%

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at the end of 2023 we have seen a

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consistent upward momentum now closing

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in at 4.3% the yield curve is steepening

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even more and this signals that

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investors are becoming less confident

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about rate cuts which isn't good news

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for value and dividend ETFs in fact as

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treasury yields stay above 4% there's a

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constant downward pressure on value

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Investments and the reason is strictly

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because investors who typically buy into

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these stocks for risk mitigation and

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income generation are able to get higher

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returns in short duration bonds thanks

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to high interest rates without taking on

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any risk and now the probability of

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higher interest rates for longer is

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increasing due to a booming economy and

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sticky inflation also side note pce

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inflation data will be released on

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February 29th and if it comes in higher

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than expected like the previous CPI data

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then it can have a significant impact on

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the overall market and I'm very certain

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that value ETFs will take the the

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hardest hit and treasury yields will

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Spike up also remember that most of the

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amazing returns from ETFs like SD were

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in the 2010s which were periods of

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record low interest rates so that is why

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I think that maintaining exposure to

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growth is essential today more and more

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companies are going to incorporate AI to

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boost sales and revenue that is why not

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too long ago I made a video going over

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the benefits of focusing on ETFs like

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dgro instead of SD for 2024 simply

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because it has more exposure to this AI

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movement but the second problem is

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psychological it becomes increasingly

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difficult for people to justify

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purchasing shares of growth stocks and

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ETFs at record highs You're simply

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wondering is it going to keep going up

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or should I maybe wait for a dip first

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my thinking is that the AI climate is

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still very strong and you cannot let a

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correction scare you out of a bull run

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and there is a chance that the

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correction might be small so the

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question is how can you continue to get

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maximum exposure to the growth of AI

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without removing yourself from this

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rally and minimizing your risk exposure

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so this is where Jep Q comes in I have

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have been watching Jep Q's daily

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performance and I have been very

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impressed to say the least in fact

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surprised by its resilience at times so

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let me explain I've talked about this

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ETF before but for those that are new we

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are going to briefly run through the

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fundamentals so that you can get a

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better understanding before moving

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forward to begin jeq is a very new fund

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and it was established in May of 2022

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but it currently has almost 11 billion

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of assets under management the money

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just keeps flowing into the CF at a

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staggering pace which is a very good

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sign because it's showing growing

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interest from Big investors now the ETF

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has an expense ratio of

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0.35% and a monster dividend yield of

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almost 10% so how does this ETF work jeq

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invests in stocks within the NASDAQ 100

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and sells out ofth the money call

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options against its underlying Holdings

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and collects a substantial amount of

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Premium income which is then distributed

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to investors as a dividend yield but it

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uses something called elns which are

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equity-linked notes long story short

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this ETF isn't using stock options but

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rather it is using index options and and

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there's really only one major difference

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here index options don't require you to

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sell any shares in the event that the

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price of the underlying index exceeds

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the strike price of the call options so

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no Shares are called away instead

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everything is settled with cash and the

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cash settlement is the difference

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between the closing price of the index

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and the strike price of the call option

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now I do have a video that explains this

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in full detail and you can check it out

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right

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here but the overall outcome is

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relatively the same now as we all know a

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covered call ETF limits upside potential

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but depending on the covered call

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strategy you can still position yourself

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to benefit from upward movement and that

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is why I have always put a very heavy

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emphasis on covered call ETFs that use

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out of the money options because they

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provide wiggle room for growth but

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cushion down their volatility with the

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use of the income generated from the

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options Jep Q uses up to 20% of its

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entire assets selling call options

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against the NASDAQ 100 index and these

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options are typically 5 to 15% out of

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the money depending on the portfolio

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manager's decision so now that you

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understand how the ETF works

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why is it the perfect investment for

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rebalancing in today's economic

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environment when you look at Jeet Q's

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performance in comparison with the QQ

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and the S&P 500 it has been phenomenal

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outperforming the S&P 500 since

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Inception and managing to keep up with

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the QQQ despite its use of covered calls

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its Holdings are very similar to the QQQ

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with a few minor differences primarily

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in healthcare and consumer cyclical so

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you're getting the same exposure as you

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would with the QQQ thus you are getting

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fantastic exposure to the AI and

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semiconductor movement of course the

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percentage allocation in each of these

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sectors is significantly less because

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20% of its assets are going towards

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Equity link notes but here's what's

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interesting Jeep Q actually employs a

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secondary screening strategy where it

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changes its allocation towards

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individual stocks which at times gives

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it a slight advantage over the QQQ and

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you can see that when you look at the

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price returns of the ETF side by side

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and by Price return I am strictly

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focusing on nav and excluding any

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dividend distributions so this is where

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I was actually pleasantly surprised with

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jq's performance you see at the

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beginning of 2024 on this day where the

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QQ took a 2% dive jeq only captured 50%

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of it and fell 1% and we've seen this

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happen quite a few times I was initially

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under the impression that this ETF would

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show the exact same price return as the

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QQQ on a downtrend but cushion it with

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the dividend yield but in fact the extra

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steps the CF takes adds a secondary

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layer of risk mitigation that is why

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their Holdings aren't identical the QQQ

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holds over 100 different stocks but Jep

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Q only has 84 and Jep Q has less of its

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Assets in its top 10 Holdings so it is

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less topheavy therefore the effects of a

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potential correction within any of these

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AI Focus stocks is already minimized to

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a certain degree now it's not a huge

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difference but the benefits are still

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there now when you add in the dividend

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distribution you're getting even more

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protection because of the large amount

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of income so using Jeff Q's Inception

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date for consistency and looking at the

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two funds total returns you can see that

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Jep Q is essentially compressing the

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amplitude of qq's chart pattern you can

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see that that in the bare Market of 2022

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it cushioned the downside by almost 7%

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but it also missed out on around 7% on

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the upside so we can clearly see that

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with this ETF your volatility exposure

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is dampened but your growth potential is

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still very strong now circling back to

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risk one of the things I really enjoy

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about Seeking Alpha is these tabs up

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here that categorize investment

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characteristics and when you look at

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risk Jeep Q has a top rating of A+ while

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the QQ has a rather low rating now if

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you want to take advantage of these

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amazing tools make sure you grab the

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offer before it's gone you can get $50

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off the Premium plan by signing up

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through my link in the description down

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below so all of the strategies that

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Q uses lowers annualized volatility by a

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significant amount almost by 40% more

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than the QQQ on top of that you have a

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superior standard deviation score and

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for those that don't know standard

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deviation quantifies the historical

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volatility of an etf's returns so in

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other words it provides insights into

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the potential range of returns for an

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ETF assisting investors in setting

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performance performance expectations

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very important and this is exactly what

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you want when you're trying to navigate

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a market that is hitting all-time highs

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and preparing for a possible correction

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without rotating into an inferior sector

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so dollar cost averaging into Jeep Q as

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opposed to the QQQ will still give

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investors strong exposure to this AI

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craze that could easily continue for

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some time then holding the dividend

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income as cash in a high interest

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savings ETF now this is more

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conservative but you can also just DCA

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back into Jeep Q or the QQQ it's up to

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you but but if we see a correction then

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you can dollar cost average back into

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the QQQ or any other growth stock with

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the cash that you have reserved that is

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already steadily growing and taking full

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advantage of the high interest rates we

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currently have but at no point would you

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sell rotate out into the value sector or

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expose yourself to more value stocks

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because there's just too many factors

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that can put an added downward pressure

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in that sector and that is why jeppy may

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now be an inferior Choice given its

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focus on value Investments also remember

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that in the event the market does suffer

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a significant correction your dividend

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income will increase because of the rise

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in volatility now if Jeff Q is too risky

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for you then another perfect alternative

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would be H because this ETF dampens the

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volatility of the QQQ even more so

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overall right now the AI movement is

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continuing to grow and unless there's

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some sort of Black Swan event that would

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significantly impact the markets I don't

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see it slowing down now on a side note

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there is something everyone needs to

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look out for mark your calendars because

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I stumbled upon this vix term structure

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chart that shows investors are already

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pricing in a high level of volatility

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come October of 2024 this could be due

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to a number of factors like the election

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but the spike is unusually high and we

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will cover this in my next video because

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it is very interesting and I think that

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all investors should pay very close

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attention to it and that is all for this

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one if you haven't yet make sure you

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subscribe to my channel and hit that

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thumbs up button for the YouTube

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algorithm thank you guys so much for

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watching and I will see you in my next

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one

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[Music]

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bye

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[Music]