Former Open AI Employee Reveals The Next 5 Years Of AI

Summary

The video delves into former OpenAI employee Daniel Cokal's 2021 predictions about AI's trajectory, which have unnervingly come true by 2024. It highlights the rise of multimodal Transformers and the AI risk community's shortened timelines, predicting a singularity by 2029. Cokal's forecasts for 2026-2029 include the emergence of AGI and ASI, potentially revolutionizing industries with nanobots and humanoid robots. The video ponders the implications of these advancements, suggesting that whoever controls ASI could wield transformative power.

Takeaways

• 🔮 Former OpenAI employee Daniel Cokal made predictions in 2021 about AI's future that have been strikingly accurate up to 2024-2025.
• 🤖 Cokal predicted in 2021 that by 2023, there would be a surge in discussions about AI's common sense understanding, with debates on AI assistants and companions similar to past hype around self-driving cars and drone delivery.
• 📈 He foresaw the rise of multimodal Transformers with half a trillion parameters, costing millions to train, and consuming significant chip output, highlighting the exponential growth of AI.
• ⏳ Cokal also predicted that by 2024, the AI risk community would have shorter timelines, with many expecting a point of no return by 2029, influenced by the uncanny experience of conversing with AI chatbots.
• 🔍 OpenAI is currently working on automating interpretability research to understand AI decision-making, which aligns with Cokal's 2021 prediction.
• 🚀 Cokal's recent predictions include the release of GPT next by the end of 2024, an autonomous agent with enhanced capabilities in task completion and decision making.
• 🛍️ By 2025, AI is expected to become widely adopted as personal assistants, capable of performing various tasks, including making purchases and executing complex instructions, enhancing productivity and daily life management.
• 🧠 The emergence of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2026 is predicted to surpass human-level performance in most tasks, capable of rapid learning and problem-solving across diverse domains.
• 💥 ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) is predicted to emerge by 2030, with a 70% probability, potentially leading to an intelligence explosion and solving global complex challenges.
• 🤖 Elon Musk's Tesla aims to have useful humanoid robots in low production by 2023 and high production for other companies by 2026, indicating a trend towards humanoid robots in the workforce.
• 🌐 Whoever controls ASI will have access to powerful skills and technologies that may seem like magic to us, highlighting the significant impact of controlling such advanced AI systems.

Q & A

Who is Daniel Cokal and why are his predictions significant?

Daniel Cokal is a former OpenAI employee who made several predictions in 2021 about AI's future that have been surprisingly accurate up to 2024. His significance lies in his ability to foresee trends and developments in the AI industry, which has implications for understanding the trajectory of AI technology.

What were some of the key predictions Daniel Cokal made in 2021?

Daniel Cokal predicted the hype around AI in 2023, the development of multimodal Transformers with half a trillion parameters, and the AI risk community's shorter timelines with a point of no return possibly by 2029. He also foresaw the community beginning a project to automate interpretability work.

What does 'multimodal Transformers' refer to in the context of Cokal's predictions?

Multimodal Transformers refer to AI models that can process and understand multiple types of data inputs, such as text, images, and audio. Cokal predicted that these models would become significantly larger and more powerful, costing hundreds of millions of dollars to train.

What is the significance of the year 2024 in Cokal's predictions?

In 2024, Cokal predicted the release of GPT next, an autonomous agent with enhanced capabilities in task completion and decision-making. This prediction is significant as it suggests a major leap in AI's ability to perform complex tasks autonomously.

What does 'GPT next' signify in the context of AI development?

GPT next signifies the next generation of AI models beyond GPT-3 and GPT-4. It is expected to represent a significant improvement in AI capabilities, potentially including the ability to act as an autonomous agent.

How does Cokal's prediction for 2025 align with current AI development trends?

Cokal's prediction for 2025 suggests that AI will become widely adopted as personal assistants, capable of performing various tasks including making purchases and executing complex instructions. This aligns with current trends towards more integrated and capable AI assistants in daily life and work.

What is the significance of the predicted AGI emergence in 2026 according to Cokal?

The predicted AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) emergence in 2026 is significant as it suggests that AI will surpass human-level performance in most tasks, capable of rapid learning and problem-solving across diverse domains. This would represent a major milestone in AI development.

What is the potential impact of AGI on global challenges according to Cokal's predictions?

According to Cokal, AGI has the potential to solve global complex challenges and drive unprecedented technological progress. This suggests that AGI could play a transformative role in addressing issues such as climate change, healthcare, and economic inequality.

What are the implications of the predicted ASI emergence by 2030?

The emergence of ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) by 2030 implies a rapid advancement in AI capabilities, potentially leading to an intelligence explosion. This could result in AI systems that are significantly more intelligent than humans, with the ability to solve complex problems and innovate at an unprecedented rate.

How might Nanobots be transformative according to Cokal's predictions?

Nanobots, as predicted by Cokal, could revolutionize medicine, manufacturing, and environmental remediation due to their microscopic size and ability to perform tasks at a molecular level. They might emerge as a transformative technology if ASI is not achieved by 2027 to 2028.

What does Elon Musk's response to the humanoid robot predictions indicate about the future of robotics?

Elon Musk's response, stating that Tesla will have genuinely useful humanoid robots in low production by the next year and high production for other companies by 2026, indicates a trend towards increased development and adoption of humanoid robots in the workforce, suggesting a future where such robots are economically viable and effective.

Outlines

00:00

🔮 Predictions on AI's Future and Their Accuracy

The script discusses the eerily accurate predictions made by a former OpenAI employee, Daniel Kokal, in 2021 about the progression of AI up to 2024 and beyond. It highlights the prediction of a surge in AI hype in 2023, the development of multimodal Transformers, and the AI risk community's shorter timelines for AI advancements. The script also mentions the prediction of AI systems automating interpretability work, which aligns with current OpenAI projects. The video aims to underscore the importance of paying attention to Kokal's future predictions for AI.

05:01

🤖 The Evolution of AI: From Personal Assistants to AGI

This paragraph delves into the predicted timeline for AI development, starting with the widespread adoption of AI as personal assistants by 2025, capable of complex tasks and enhancing productivity. It mentions the potential trademark implications for GPT 6, suggesting it may involve AI agents. The script then predicts the emergence of AGI by 2026, capable of rapid learning and problem-solving, and the subsequent development of ASI by 2027, which could lead to an intelligence explosion. The video emphasizes the exponential growth of AI and the potential for transformative technologies like Nanobots and humanoid robots.

10:03

🚀 The Acceleration of AI and Technological Advancements

The script explores the implications of continuous AI research advancement, suggesting that the development of AGI could lead to ASI much faster than anticipated. It discusses the potential for millions of copies of AGI working towards ASI, resulting in an exponential increase in AI research output. The video also touches on the possibility of ASI solving global challenges and driving technological progress, with a 70% probability of ASI emerging by 2030. It highlights the potential of Nanobots and humanoid robots as transformative technologies, with Elon Musk's Tesla promising useful human robots by 2026.

15:04

🌐 The Societal Impact of AI and Future Predictions

The final paragraph contemplates the societal impact of AI, suggesting that whoever controls ASI will wield technologies that seem like magic to us today. It discusses the power dynamics that could arise from controlling AGI and the potential for rapid advancements in technology, including humanoid robots. The script also addresses the viewer's engagement, inviting thoughts on the predictions and their implications for the future, while emphasizing the transformative nature of upcoming technologies and their potential to impact everyone.

Keywords

💡AI Predictions

AI Predictions refer to forecasts about the future developments and impacts of artificial intelligence. In the video's context, these predictions are made by a former OpenAI employee and focus on the trajectory of AI's capabilities and societal influence. The script discusses the eerie accuracy of these predictions up to 2024 and 2025, highlighting the significance of AI's exponential growth and its potential to transform various aspects of life and industry.

💡Exponential Growth

Exponential growth describes a process where a quantity increases at a rate proportional to its current value, leading to a rapid acceleration over time. The script emphasizes the difficulty in visualizing this growth, especially in the context of AI development, where advancements are expected to accelerate even more quickly, making predictions about the future challenging yet crucial.

💡Multimodal Transformers

Multimodal Transformers are AI models that can process and understand multiple types of data, such as text, images, and sound. The script mentions these models as being significant in size and cost, indicating a trend towards larger and more complex AI systems that are capable of understanding and generating human-like responses across various modalities.

💡Singularity

The Singularity refers to a hypothetical point in the future when technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. The video discusses predictions that the Singularity might occur by the end of the decade, reflecting a belief in the rapid advancement of AI and its potential to reach a point of no return.

💡AI Interpretability

AI interpretability is the ability to explain and understand the decision-making processes of AI systems. The script mentions a community project aimed at automating interpretability work, suggesting a recognition of the need to make AI's 'black box' decisions more transparent and comprehensible to humans.

💡Autonomous Agents

Autonomous agents are AI systems that can operate independently, performing tasks and making decisions without human intervention. The video script predicts that by 2024, we might see the release of such agents, indicating a significant leap in AI capabilities towards self-directed action and problem-solving.

💡Personal Assistants

In the context of the video, personal assistants refer to AI agents capable of performing various tasks for users, such as making purchases and executing complex instructions. The script suggests that by 2025, AI will be widely adopted in this role, enhancing productivity and daily life management.

💡AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)

AGI, or Artificial General Intelligence, is the hypothetical ability of an AI to understand, learn, and apply knowledge across a broad range of tasks at a level equal to or beyond that of a human. The video discusses predictions of AGI's emergence by 2026, capable of rapid learning and problem-solving across diverse domains.

💡ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence)

ASI, or Artificial Super Intelligence, refers to an AI that surpasses human intelligence and capabilities in virtually every field. The script predicts that ASI could emerge by 2027, leading to an intelligence explosion and the potential to solve global challenges with unprecedented technological progress.

💡Nanobots

Nanobots are microscopic robots with potential applications in various industries, including medicine, manufacturing, and environmental remediation. The video mentions a 30% chance of significant nanobot development by 2027-2028, suggesting that if ASI is not achieved, nanobots might emerge as a transformative technology.

💡Humanoid Robots

Humanoid robots are robots designed to resemble the human body in appearance and function. The script discusses the challenges of developing such robots due to the complexity of the physical world and the high costs involved. It also mentions a prediction for 2029 as a significant year for the development of humanoid robots, indicating a trend towards more advanced and economically viable embodiments of AI.

Highlights

A former OpenAI employee's predictions from 2021 have shown remarkable accuracy up to 2024-2025, and he has made new predictions for the next 5 years of AI.

In 2023, there was an intense hype around AI's common sense understanding, with debates on AI assistants and companions similar to past discussions on self-driving cars and drone delivery.

The prediction of multimodal Transformers with half a trillion parameters, costing hundreds of millions to train, and their impact on Nvidia's chip output was made in 2021 with startling accuracy.

AI risk community timelines have shortened, with many expecting a point of no return by 2029 due to mega Transformers and the uncanny experience of conversing with chatbots.

OpenAI is working on automating interpretability research to understand AI decision-making, which was predicted in 2021.

Predictions for 2024 include the release of GPT next, an autonomous agent with enhanced capabilities in task completion and decision making.

GPT next is a real project, with stages outlined in an OpenAI secret presentation, indicating a progression towards a significant model release in late 2024.

Reliability and scale are key factors for the development of AI agents, which are expected to perform well across various tasks.

By 2025, AI is predicted to become widely adopted as personal assistants, capable of performing tasks like making purchases and enhancing productivity.

The GPT 6 trademark includes artificial intelligence agents, suggesting that GPT 6 will likely involve AI agents aligning with predictions for 2025.

In 2026, the emergence of AGI, surpassing human-level performance in most tasks, is predicted, with rapid learning and problem-solving capabilities.

ASI, or artificial super intelligence, is predicted to emerge by 2030 with a 70% probability, potentially leading to an intelligence explosion.

Nanobots might emerge as transformative technology by 2027-2028 if ASI is not achieved, with potential applications in medicine, manufacturing, and environmental remediation.

Humanoid robots are predicted for 2029, facing physical challenges due to the difficulty of mastering the physical world and high costs.

Elon Musk's response to predictions indicates Tesla aims to have useful human robots in production by 2026.

Control of ASI is suggested to grant godlike powers, with the potential to develop technologies that seem like magic to us today.

The future of AI and technology is expected to have a significant impact on society, with developments in humanoid robots and ASI.

Transcripts

so a former open AI employee has made

some predictions in 2021 that have been

scarily accurate up until 2024 2025 he

also recently made some predictions

about the next 5 years of AI that I

think you need to pay attention to but

before I actually dive into his

predictions I want to sayate that

firstly we're going to be taking a look

at some of the predictions he made in

2021 because they actually describe

what's happening right now with an eerie

sense of accuracy so let's take a look

at some of Daniel cokal prediction one

of the first predictions that he made in

2021 was he said that in 2023 there's

going to be insane hype he said people

are going to be continuing to talk about

how these things have common sense

understanding or do they and there's

also going to be lots of bitter think

pieces arguing the opposite and how AI

assistants and companions are just

around the corner it's like self-driving

cars and drone delivery all over again

you can see right here making a

prediction like this stating that you

know the multimodal Transformers and now

even bigger the biggest are about half a

trillion parameters costing hundreds of

millions of dollars to train and a whole

year and sucking up a significant

fraction of the chip output of Nvidia

this is a remarkable prediction to make

in 2021 with such startling accuracy

remember predicting the future is

actually hardest in the AI industry

because this is something that does grow

exponentially and it's very hard for

humans to visualize exponential now he

also made another prediction about 2020

4 the year that we're currently living

in right now and looking at this

prediction it's fair to say that this is

incredible so it's clear here that he

says the AI risk Community has shorter

timelines now with almost half thinking

some sort of point of no return will

probably happen by 2013 this is partly

due to various arguments percolating

around and partly due to these mega

transformers and The Uncanny experience

of conversing with their chatbot version

and what's crazy is that making this

prediction in

2021 3 years later in 2024 many people

are actually all stating that yes by

2029 sl230 or by the end of this decade

there is going to be the singularity

that is a really interesting bet to make

in 2021 of course it's not a bet it's a

speculative blog post but what I do want

to state is that it's remarkably

accurate and that's why when we look

into the future on the predictions that

he's made about the coming years 2026

2027 2028 we definitely should just

think that they're that crazy but that

there might be some truth to them of

course he also says that the community

begins a big project to build an AI

system that can automate

interpretability work it seems maybe

doable and very useful since pouring

over neuron visualization is boring and

takes a lot of person hour now what's

crazy is that this is exactly what open

AI are working on they're actually

working on how they can actually

automate This interpretability research

and basically all that is is that is

just research that allows you to look

inside of what an AI is actually doing

and understand the decisions it's making

so now let's take a look at some of the

predictions that he recently made okay

so let's take a look at this and this

was a couple of months ago so this is a

screenshot I'll leave a link down in the

description below but one of the

predictions he's making recently about

is 2024 so he says GPT next released of

GPT next an autonomous agent likely to

be available by the end of 2024 this

model is expected to be a significant

improvement over previous versions with

enhanced capabilities in task completion

and decision making now I personally

don't think that we're going to be

getting agents this year of course there

is some Nuance to this it could happen a

year later either way a year later is

still pretty fast but what's actually

interesting about this is that GPT next

is actually a real thing if we actually

take a look here at this graph released

from an open AI secret presentation we

can see that there are three stages here

and of course the final stage being

something absolutely crazy we've got the

gpt3 era which we had then of course

we've got the GPT 4 era which we're

currently in and of course you can see

just before we're about to go crazy into

this GPT next era now this is probably

going to be at the later stage of 2024

which is why I keep telling you guys

just wait until november/december there

might be a giant model release such as

GPT next that showcases what these

models are truly able to do now of

course it's not just open ey that's

going to do this remember they're not

the the only company that operates in

the AI space we've got companies like

Google and meta that are still playing

in that space and can release models

unexpectedly that surpass previous

what's crazy about this is that I don't

think that this is going to be an

autonomous agent although I could be

wrong AI breakthroughs can happen all

the time that can literally speed up

development turn fold but the thing is

is that from what I've seen in

interviews and discussions surrounding

development of AI agents reliability is

still a factor and scale is still a

factor for example if you're trying to

get agents to do very well on certain

tasks the problem is that agents need

reliable actions over many different

tasks meaning that if you mess up just

like 2% of the time if you continue to

perform actions where you mess up 2% of

the time over the long term this

actually means that you are very

inaccurate so the point here is that

reliability and scale are going to

increase reliability in these models we

then take a look at 2025 this is where

they speak about AI becoming widely

adopted as personal assistants these

agents will be capable of Performing

various tasks including making purchases

they will understand and execute complex

instructions significantly enhancing

productivity and daily life management

for users now what's also fascinating

about this is that we do know that this

is most likely penciled in one of the

things that I looked at when I was

researching future models was I actually

looked at the trademark office for the

GPT 6 trade Mark and in the GPT 6

trademark interestingly enough what they

actually have in that trademark is they

have artificial intelligence agents and

basically that just essentially means

that GPT 6 is likely to be the product/

system that entails AI agents and this

makes sense because this also lines up

with Daniel's prediction of autonomous

agents being the year for 2025

considering the fact that each iteration

cycle probably takes 18 months and

considering GPT 5 is near Inc completion

the next cycle should be producing

reliable AI agents which are going to

completely transform certain parts of

the economy so I think that 2025 is most

certainly going to be an interesting

year because that is going to be where

we potentially towards the later end of

the year have reliable AI agents that

can perform tasks over longtime Horizons

I do think that it most likely might be

Google who works on agents first but I

wouldn't be surprised if open AI get

there too as there are some recent

developments that I will talk about in

new videos that are going to show you

these companies are a lot further ahead

than you may think now of course we have

a look at 2026 in

2026 this is of course a crazy

prediction but when you actually look at

the rest of the predictions it's not

that crazy and the reason I say that is

because 2026 having a super intelligence

AGI or the emergence of AGI that

surpasses human level performance in

most tasks is only 2 years away 2 years

away from you know transformational

technology seems like such a short time

like I said before humans have a bad

perception of exponential growth so you

can see right here that it says this AGI

will be capable of Rapid learning and

problem solving across diverse domains

and it's predicted that within 30 days

of deployment this AGI could Rel a level

to hundreds of humans experts now I

think this is rather fascinating because

like I said before one of the major

predictions that I've looked at was the

AI prediction one of the specific dates

that I've continued to see from various

sources and this isn't just online

speculations or online websites these

are actually research individuals people

working at top Labs within openai Google

deepmind and anthropic so the three

Frontier Labs the main dates that I see

are 2027 to the latest being 2030 for

AGI so 2026 is essentially just one year

earlier and it's not out of the question

that this could potentially happen of

course there are many different things

that could happen between then there

could be issues related to scaling there

could be some physical limits on what

we're able to do but in 2 years of

development towards the end of 2026

considering the fact that there is a lot

more investment a lot more competition

now it's not just the Western companies

that are focusing on this we've got

China that's there it will be

interesting to see what company manages

to get to AGI first now we're going to

go into 2027 so 2027 is where things

start to get even crazier so now 2027

does seem a bit crazy for artificial

super intelligence but if we do take a

look back and consider F the fact that

if 2026 does actually get us to AGI then

getting to ASI wouldn't take that long

because getting to ASI after AGI isn't

that long considering you're essentially

automating AI research pretty much 100

fold think of it like this currently

we're moving at human speed meaning that

right now in in order to conduct

research there are a lot of things that

we have to do for example a human wakes

up they have to get to work maybe they

drink their coffee then they work all

day then they go home and they do other

tasks that's probably about 6 to 8 hours

of deep SL focused work but if you do

have for example an AGI level system

which is on par with a human you could

theoretically leave it running for 24

hours meaning that you're likely to

three times the output in a single day

but think of that over the course of a

year sometimes humans get ill things

happen they unable to work there are

things in the economy but if we do get

an autonomous system that is able to

continuously Advance AI research by

itself along with a few oversights from

Human intervention I think it's going to

be rather fascinating with how quick

these developments could take place and

you have to understand that the main

area where the compute is going to be

focused on is of course pouring into

just duplicating these AI systems for

example you're not just going to have

one smart AI system that is something

that most people don't real realize

you're going to have millions and

millions of copies of this artificial

general intelligence that is working

towards artificial super intelligence

which means that kind of exponential

increase in terms of output towards AI

research is going to be absolutely

astounding for us to even comprehend so

you can see right here it says

transition to ASI rapid advancement in

AI capabilities potentially leading to

an intelligence explosion there's a 70%

probability of ASI emerging by 2030 and

this super intelligence is expected to

solve Global complex challenges and

drive unprecedented technological prog

so this will be rather fascinating a 70%

chance of ASI emerging by 2030 and

what's going to be interesting is how

much those predictions change as we move

towards that final date towards the end

of the decade and whilst yes this might

not happen tomorrow it might not even

happen in 2026 but but it is definitely

a possibility and when that does occur

which I do think it will it's going to

be a truly transformative time for the

economy now what comes after artificial

super intelligence because many people

just think okay we're either going to be

dead or we're going to be living in a

technical Utopia but one of the things

that most people don't realize because

it's still in its infancy in terms of

research and development is of course

Nanobots so Nanobots are microscopic

robots that have a variety of different

applications and use cases that could

revolutionize many different Industries

and it does say here here that if ASI is

not achieve Nanobots might emerge as

transformative technology there's a 30%

chance of significant nanobot

development by 2027 to 2028 and these

microscopic robots could revolutionize

medicine manufacturing and environmental

remediation of course Nanobots can

literally change environments change

humans it's kind of strange how that

sci-fi kind of works but once again when

we kind of take a look at these AI

systems and if we were to grab them and

show them to someone from 10 years ago

their mind would be blown I mean the

first time I saw chat GPT I was

definitely blown by what it was able to

do so this is of course crazy until it's

not crazy but of course essentially the

logic here is that if we have artificial

super intelligence it won't be hard for

artificial super intelligence to develop

ways and methods for Nanobots to

actually be commercially viable and for

them to be economically viable in terms

of actually working and changing the

environment and of course if that does

work that is going to have remarkable

implications for society now of course

we do have of course 2029 being humanoid

robots now I think the reason that 2029

is the year for humanoid robots is

because humanoids are facing the

physical problem okay and that is

because the physical world is a lot

harder to master than the digital world

this is because collecting data in the

physical world is timec consuming and

right now we simply just don't have

enough data to make these robots

actually work well and be still

effective now of course the other

problem with humanoid robots is that

they're just really expensive like some

of the humanoid robots that you do see

are upwards of

$250,000 I mean if you're going to make

something like that available to the

average person who wants one or even to

certain companies they have to actually

be commercially SL economically viable

in the sense that they're going to be

using that over a human unless that kind

of robot is you know extraordinarily

fast and is able to work for 20 hours on

a single charge people are not going to

be spending

$250,000 on a single robot they're

better off using the standard robots the

ones that are in factories those single

arms that are able to do repetitive

tasks again and again or those other

robots like the factories and Amazon

where you can simply do picking and

packing and just moving around boxes now

of course if these humanoid robots are

developed and if ASI is here that kind

of research is likely to speed up what

we do in all areas and one of the areas

is going to be humanoid robots which

means that potentially we could be

seeing embodiment or even better

embodiment than we currently do have of

current humanoids which would bring us

to a very sci-fi level that many people

currently do fear now I do not think

that that is how you know humans go

extinct a robot runs off into the wild

and just kills all of us but I do think

that this kind of embodiment is going to

be there sometime in the future as

robotics breakthroughs get there now

what's also interesting is that Elon

Musk actually did respond to this

prediction and he said that Tesla will

have genuinely useful human robots in

low production in Tesla internal next

year and hopefully high production for

other companies in 2026 so it is clear

that there is a trend towards humanoid

robots being increasingly part of the

workforce and they actually do work

pretty effectively if we take a look at

what they're able to do in factories but

of course this is something that is very

specific and it's very Niche so it's not

something that can be applied to

everything now with the Tesla bot I do

think it's pretty effective because if

you've seen the demos it's incredible at

how effective it is to move but of

course there are a few limitations on

what it can do with regards to mobility

and many other factors now what I'm also

going to show you guys here because I

did actually make a video on this quite

some time ago I made a 30-minute video

going over every single point from

Daniel kokalo in this prediction but

this one basically does say a few things

that did have me quite surprised with

what the predictions were because it

shows us that if technology manages to

continue to move at its current rate

we're going to see some incredible

things and one of the things that I

never forgot was he says that whoever

controls ASI will have access to a

spread of powerful skills and abilities

and will be able to build and wield

technologies that seem like magic to us

just as modern technology would seem

like magic to Medieval and this is

something that's still hard for me to

grasp even as someone who understands

that concept like I know that right now

if I grabbed like my phone and I went

back to Medieval Times that technology

would seem like magic to them okay and

you know when you think about it a phone

is kind of magic you know but of course

I can't imagine there being technology

that would seem like magic to me it just

feels as if we're at the limit to where

technology can be but of course I know

that this is not true and this is just

you know emotions or whatever but

thinking about that statement the fact

that they're going to have Godlike

Powers over who doesn't control ASI is a

rather fascinating statement because it

implies that whoever gets the AGI first

is probably going to have power over

those who don't and of course at the top

here you can see that probably whoever

controls AGI will be able to use it to

get to ASI shortly thereafter maybe in

another year give or take a year so it's

pretty crazy on what's going on here and

I'm not going to lie guys there is a lot

of stuff coming in the future that you

should definitely be paying attention to

because all of these Technologies are

going to impact you in one way or

another so if you enjoyed this video let

me know what you think your predictions

are do you think his predictions are

pessimistic do you think they are too

optimistic let me know what you think

about the predictions for the future I

would love to know if you think the

future is going to be slower than we

think or if it's going to be faster than

we think that being said if you enjoyed

the video don't forget to leave a like

comment down below and I'll see you all

in the next one