Japan *JUST* Crashed the *GLOBAL* Stock Market.

Meet Kevin
4 Aug 202420:05

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host discusses the potential reasons behind the market collapse, focusing on the Japanese carry trade and its impact on global markets. The carry trade involves borrowing in Japan at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets abroad. However, recent changes in Japanese monetary policy and the appreciation of the yen have led to significant losses for investors, contributing to market instability. The video also touches on geopolitical tensions and recession fears, adding to the uncertainty in financial markets.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ The markets are experiencing a significant downturn, with the Japanese stock market and bond market hitting circuit breakers, indicating a temporary halt in trading due to extreme volatility.
  • πŸ—Ύ The Japanese carry trade is a significant factor in the current market situation. It involves borrowing money in Japan at low interest rates and investing in higher-yielding assets elsewhere, such as U.S. Treasuries or stocks.
  • 🌐 The script suggests that the Japanese carry trade could be contributing to the global market instability, as it has led to a large-scale movement of capital and currency fluctuations.
  • πŸ“ˆ The Japanese Yen has typically been on a downward trend, making the carry trade profitable for investors who benefit from the depreciation of the Yen against other currencies.
  • 🚫 However, the situation can reverse if Japan decides to raise interest rates, making its bonds more attractive and causing a flight to safety, which can lead to a rapid appreciation of the Yen.
  • πŸ’Έ The potential for a margin call and subsequent liquidation of positions can exacerbate market downturns, as investors scramble to cover their positions when asset prices fall and currencies appreciate.
  • πŸ“Š The script mentions that the scale of the carry trade could be substantial, with estimates suggesting it could represent up to 10% of the U.S. stock market, indicating a broad impact on risk assets.
  • πŸ’‘ The speaker highlights the uncertainty in the market due to geopolitical tensions, such as the potential for an Iranian attack on Israel, and the possibility of a U.S. recession.
  • 🏦 Japanese banks are particularly vulnerable to the effects of the carry trade unwinding, as they may face losses on loans and a decline in their stock valuations.
  • πŸ“‰ The script also discusses the impact on individual stocks and cryptocurrencies, noting significant declines in major companies like Tesla and Bitcoin.
  • πŸ€” The speaker speculates on the potential actions of central banks, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may prioritize combating inflation over avoiding a recession, implying limited intervention in the markets.

Q & A

  • What is the Japanese carry trade mentioned in the video script?

    -The Japanese carry trade refers to a financial strategy where investors borrow money in Japan at low or negative interest rates and then invest that money in higher-yielding assets, such as U.S. Treasuries or stocks, in other countries. This is done to profit from the difference in interest rates between Japan and other countries.

  • Why has the Japanese stock market been performing poorly recently?

    -The script suggests that the Japanese stock market has been underperforming due to a combination of factors, including the impact of the carry trade, potential geopolitical tensions, and fears of a recession. Additionally, the market has experienced circuit breakers being triggered, indicating high volatility and significant drops in stock prices.

  • What is the potential impact of the Japanese carry trade on global markets?

    -The carry trade can lead to increased volatility in global markets. If the Japanese Yen appreciates in value, it can make it more expensive for investors to repay their loans, leading to forced selling of assets and potential market crashes. The script suggests that this trade could involve up to 10% of the U.S. stock market, indicating its significant influence on global financial markets.

  • How does the script explain the potential for a market crash due to the Japanese carry trade?

    -The script outlines a scenario where if the Japanese Yen appreciates significantly due to changes in interest rates or other factors, investors who have borrowed in Yen to invest in higher-yielding assets may face margin calls and be forced to sell their assets to repay their loans. This selling pressure can exacerbate market declines and potentially lead to a crash.

  • What is the role of interest rates in the Japanese carry trade?

    -Interest rates play a crucial role in the carry trade. Investors are attracted to borrow in Japan due to its historically low or negative interest rates. When these rates rise, as mentioned in the script, it can make the carry trade less attractive and lead to a reversal of capital flows, impacting global markets.

  • What does the script suggest about the current state of the U.S. bond market?

    -The script indicates that the U.S. bond market is currently attractive due to higher yields compared to Japanese bonds. However, it also suggests that the situation could change if Japan raises its interest rates, which could make Japanese bonds more attractive and lead to capital outflows from the U.S. bond market.

  • How does the script discuss the potential for a recession in the U.S.?

    -The script mentions recession fears in America as one of the factors contributing to market uncertainty. It suggests that the Federal Reserve may prioritize fighting inflation over avoiding a recession, implying that aggressive monetary policy actions to combat inflation could potentially lead to a recession.

  • What is the significance of the Japanese Yen's value in the carry trade?

    -The value of the Japanese Yen is significant because a weaker Yen makes the carry trade more profitable, as it reduces the cost of repaying loans taken out in Yen. However, if the Yen appreciates, it can increase the cost of repaying these loans, leading to potential losses for investors engaged in the carry trade.

  • What does the script imply about the role of the Federal Reserve in a potential market downturn?

    -The script implies that the Federal Reserve may not intervene to prevent a market downturn due to its focus on controlling inflation. It suggests that the Fed may prioritize long-term economic stability over short-term market stability, potentially allowing a recession to occur if it helps to curb inflation.

  • What is the script's view on the potential for a conflict involving Iran and Israel impacting markets?

    -The script suggests that an imminent threat of an attack by Iran and Hezbollah against Israel could contribute to market instability. Geopolitical tensions and the potential for conflict can increase uncertainty in financial markets and may exacerbate existing market pressures.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Market Collapse and Japanese Carry Trade Explained

The video discusses the reasons behind the market collapse, focusing on the Japanese carry trade's role. It explains how Japan's low-interest rates have led to a situation where investors borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding assets like U.S. treasuries. The summary covers the impact of Japan's economic stagnation and deflation on its interest rates, the resulting currency devaluation, and the carry trade's potential contribution to market instability. It also mentions other geopolitical and economic factors that could affect the markets, such as the threat of an Iranian attack on Israel and the possibility of a U.S. recession.

05:01

πŸ€‘ The Mechanics and Risks of the Japanese Carry Trade

This paragraph delves into how the Japanese carry trade operates as an arbitrage of interest rates. It illustrates the process with an example of borrowing yen at low rates to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. The description outlines the potential profits from currency devaluation and higher returns on investment. However, it also highlights the risks involved, such as the scenario where Japan raises interest rates, causing the yen to appreciate and leading to losses for carry trade investors if the invested assets decline in value. The summary emphasizes the dangers of margin calls and the potential for market panic and liquidation, which could exacerbate market downturns.

10:03

πŸ“ˆ The Reversal of Carry Trade and Its Market Impact

The paragraph explains the consequences of Japan's decision to raise interest rates, which can make Japanese bonds more attractive and lead to a rise in the yen's value. It discusses how this can cause significant losses for carry trade investors, particularly if they are leveraged and face margin calls. The summary describes the potential cascading effects on U.S. stock markets and the banking sector in Japan, which could suffer from defaults on loans. It also touches on the scale of the carry trade, suggesting it could represent a significant portion of the U.S. stock market, and the broader implications for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

15:04

πŸ’Έ Debt, Inflation, and the Future of Japanese Monetary Policy

This paragraph examines Japan's high debt-to-GDP ratio and its implications for monetary policy, suggesting that Japan is unlikely to engage in further money printing due to its already substantial debt levels. The summary addresses the potential for an Iranian attack, U.S. recession fears, and the impact of these uncertainties on market sentiment. It also discusses the Federal Reserve's priorities, suggesting that it is more concerned with combating inflation than avoiding a recession. The paragraph concludes with a call to action for viewers to consider cash and treasury bonds as safe investments and to subscribe for further insights on market trends and investment strategies.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Japanese Carry Trade

The Japanese Carry Trade refers to the practice of borrowing money in Japan at low interest rates and then investing it in higher-yielding assets elsewhere, such as U.S. Treasuries or stocks. This strategy is based on the expectation that the Japanese yen will continue to depreciate, making it cheaper to repay the loan. In the video, it is discussed as a potential factor in market volatility and is linked to the recent downturn in the Japanese stock market.

πŸ’‘Deflation

Deflation is an economic phenomenon where there is a general decline in prices for goods and services, often caused by a reduction in the supply of money or credit. In the context of the video, Japan has been facing deflation since the 1990s, which has led to low interest rates and the attractiveness of the Japanese Carry Trade. The script mentions that Japan has 'basically stagnated since the 90s' and has 'faced issues of too much deflation'.

πŸ’‘Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. The video contrasts the inflation experienced by most of the world with Japan's deflationary situation. The script notes that 'the entire world has been facing a lot of inflation except for Japan', which is why Japanese interest rates have been lower than those in other countries.

πŸ’‘Interest Rates

Interest rates are the percentage at which interest is paid by borrowers and paid to depositors for the use of money. The video discusses how different interest rates in Japan and the U.S. create an opportunity for the carry trade. For instance, the script mentions that 'the Japanese 10 years trading for 82%' compared to the U.S. 10-year treasury bond 'trading for 3.76%'.

πŸ’‘Circuit Breaker

A circuit breaker is a mechanism in the stock exchange that temporarily halts trading if there are extreme price movements. The video script refers to the Japanese market's 'topics index circuit breaker hit' and 'bond market circuit breaker hit', indicating a significant drop in the market that triggered these mechanisms to prevent panic selling.

πŸ’‘Margin Loan

A margin loan is a loan provided by a broker to purchase securities where the loan is collateralized by the purchased securities. The video explains how investors can borrow money in Japan at low rates and then invest in U.S. stocks on margin, leveraging their investment. The script gives an example of borrowing '$1,000 worth of Japanese Yen' and using it to invest in U.S. assets.

πŸ’‘Leverage

Leverage in finance refers to the use of borrowed money to increase the potential return of an investment. The video discusses leveraging in the context of the carry trade, where investors can borrow at low rates in Japan and then invest in U.S. stocks, increasing their potential gains. The script mentions 'leverage again in the U.S. Stock Market' to explain the mechanics of the carry trade.

πŸ’‘Debt-to-GDP Ratio

Debt-to-GDP ratio is a metric that compares a country's national debt to its gross domestic product (GDP). The video mentions Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio, which 'sits around 263%', highlighting the country's high level of debt relative to its economic output. This ratio is used to assess a country's financial health and its ability to repay its debts.

πŸ’‘Liquidation

Liquidation in finance refers to the process of converting assets into cash, often at a loss, to meet obligations such as margin calls. The video script describes a scenario where an investor's leveraged position in Tesla stock drops in value, leading to a margin call and eventual liquidation, contributing to selling pressure in the U.S. stock market.

πŸ’‘Margin Call

A margin call occurs when the value of an investor's margin account falls below the broker's required amount. The investor must either deposit more money or sell enough securities to bring the margin debt to a level that is acceptable to the broker. The video uses the term to describe a situation where an investor's investments have dropped in value, leading to a demand for additional funds or the sale of assets.

πŸ’‘Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the Fed, is the central banking system of the United States. It has the responsibility to manage monetary policy, including interest rates and the money supply. The video discusses the Fed's priorities in the face of economic challenges, suggesting that it cares more about 'destroying inflation' than avoiding a recession, which is a key consideration for investors.

Highlights

Markets are experiencing a collapse, with the Japanese carry trade being a significant factor.

Japan's unique economic situation with low to negative interest rates has facilitated the carry trade.

The Japanese stock market and bond market have triggered circuit breakers, halting trading temporarily.

South Korea's market has also been affected, with selling restrictions implemented after a significant drop.

Japanese banks are experiencing significant stock value drops, with the second largest bank down 15.5%.

Gold prices are up, but cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are down, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment.

Major US stocks like Tesla, Apple, and Nvidia are also seeing significant declines.

The concept of the carry trade is explained, involving borrowing at low interest rates in Japan to invest in higher-yield assets.

The risks of the carry trade are discussed, including the potential for increased volatility and losses if conditions change.

Japan's recent interest rate hike has led to a stronger yen, impacting the profitability of the carry trade.

The potential scale of the carry trade's impact on the US stock market is suggested to be as much as 10%.

Japan's high debt-to-GDP ratio is highlighted as a constraint on its ability to engage in further monetary easing.

The possibility of an Iranian attack on Israel adds geopolitical uncertainty to the market situation.

US recession fears and the Federal Reserve's priorities are discussed, with a focus on their potential response to inflation.

The importance of cash and treasury bonds as safe investments in the current market climate is suggested.

A poll among viewers indicates a general sentiment towards buying the dip or holding positions rather than selling.

The video concludes with a discussion on life insurance as a potential safeguard against market volatility.

Transcripts

play00:00

why are markets absolutely collapsing

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what is this Japanese carry trade we're

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going to talk about that and explain it

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in this video so you fully understand

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the Japanese carry trade everybody keeps

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talking about and why Japan could be

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leading markets to crash in America of

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course it could also be that we are now

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under an imminent threat of an Iranian

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and Hezbollah Leed attack against Israel

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which threatens to be larger than

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anything Israel has ever seen before

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with Israel now warning that Israelis

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could be without power for 3 days as

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they face a multi-pronged attack

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expected to begin within the next 24

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hours if not tonight then tomorrow

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night just crazy world that we're in or

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is it just that the US might be going

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into a recession or D all of the above H

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well in this video we're going to start

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by talking about the Japanese carry

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trade and trying to explain it

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now let's be clear right at the start

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the Japanese stock market ain't doing

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too well just in the last 12 hours the

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Japanese Market well let's just put it

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this way their topics index circuit

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breaker hit no more trading for a period

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of time bond market circuit breaker hit

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no more trading for a period of time

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South Korea in sympathy for what's going

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on in Japan just decided you know what

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nobody's allowed to sell after The

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Cosby's down

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4.6% zoom in on Japan for a moment nay

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down over 65% the Nay 225 Nintendo

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stocks down 11.3% but who cares about

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Nintendo what are the banks doing in

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Japan oh the second largest bank in the

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country down 15.5% the largest bank in

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the country like the equivalent of a JP

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Morgan down

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12.2% well at least Gold's up real gold

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not digital gold because bitcoin's down

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11% at the down 21% in the overnight

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trading app Robin Hood you could look at

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Tesla down 6% Apple down 6.9% Nvidia

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down 6.75% and all Futures are red LED

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by no joke small caps and NASDAQ 100 and

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you've got the S&P down 1.42% Dow future

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is also down 77% so this just a quick

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little rundown on what the heck is going

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on here this is a lot of pain why what

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is going on well let's start with the

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carry trade let's explain this so

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everybody knows that the entire world

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has been facing a lot of

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inflation except for Japan they've

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basically stagnated since the 90s and

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they've faced issues of too much

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deflation maybe they're not having

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enough babies maybe they're not having

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enough

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Innovation who knows but they did not

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have the inflation problem of the rest

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of the world this meant that while Japan

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Japan was actually lowering rates and

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had negative interest rates everyone

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else was Raising interest rates now this

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does something very interesting because

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when interest rates go up in let's say

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the United States it becomes more

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attractive to buy the 10-year treasury

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bond so for example if the 10year

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treasury is trading for

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3.76% just like it is now and the

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Japanese 10 years trading for

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82% which Bond would you rather have the

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10year debt paying you 3.7% guaranteed

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and backed by the full faith and credit

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of the US or the Japanese 10e paying you

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just

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82% it's a no-brainer an absolute

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no-brainer you're going to buy the US

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Bond and if you have any other currency

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you're going to sell that other currency

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you're going to go buy US Dollars and

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you're going to go invest in that us

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bond this creates a lot of selling

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pressure on currencies like the Japanese

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Yen so the Japanese Yen goes down in

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value which enables something unique

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called the carry trade okay now you're

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going to have to roll with me on this

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one because it's a little complicated

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but I'm going to make it as simple as

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possible okay here's an example of what

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a carry trade looks like and and let's

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just start extremely simple let's just

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say right now you want to take on a

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margin loan on stocks in America

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it might cost you

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65% in the US but what if you could go

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to Japan and in Japan you could borrow

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at

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1.5% oh well that's a lot more desirable

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why don't I go borrow in Japan and then

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go invest that money in either us

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treasuries which are literally yielding

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more than what I'm paying on my debt or

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how about mag six stock or mag s stocks

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whatever you want right mag 6 mag 7 the

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biggest stocks in America buy some

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Nvidia buy the diot some Tesla whatever

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this is essentially an Arbitrage of

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interest rates that's what this all

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comes down to now how does this go wrong

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well first of all to understand how it

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goes wrong let's understand how it goes

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right let's say I borrow oodles and

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Boodles of money in Japan and that

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oodles and nooodles just to make math

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simple right now we're just going to

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call it $11,000 I go borrow $11,000 or

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I'll call it ,000 Yen uh $1,000 worth of

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Yen that's what we'll call it

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$1,000 uh worth of uh Japanese Yen and

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I'm going to take that money and I'm

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going to use it to go buy us assets well

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if the Japanese Yen keeps going down in

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value it's actually going to be a lot

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cheaper for me to pay off that money

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like let's say I take that ,000 and I

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put it into us treasuries over here well

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every single year I'm getting my 3 or 5%

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yield on money markets or treasuries

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maybe even a little bit more so maybe

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let's say over here I've all of a sudden

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after a year got 1,050 bucks and the

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Japanese Yen fell 20% in value so I

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actually only have to pay back $800

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worth of Yen over here this is great I

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picked up 50 bucks very cheaply in

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America so I'm plus 5050 over here and I

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can now pay that Yen back with $200

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fewer dollars so I pick up $200 over

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here let's go baby I just made 250 bucks

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25% chit Ching investing on the fact

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that the Japanese yen is going down and

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guess what the Japanese Yen usually goes

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does like what is the Japanese Yen

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usually do well because they're facing

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deflation and stagnation it's usually

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either stable

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or it goes down with the exception of

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very rare cases the Japanese Yen usually

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just loses lots of money it's just kind

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of unfortunately the way it's worked so

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for example if you pull up the US uh to

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uh Japanese Yen valuation over here you

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can see there are very rare cases where

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the Japanese Yen spikes once over here

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in '95 over here in 2011 you can see

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over here the Yen's actually been

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plummeting so it's actually made the the

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carry trade more desirable I mean you've

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dropped 27% in the value of the Yen so

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that example I just gave on the iPad

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over here this has been printing money

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it's been absolutely minting minting

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minting yeah to close this door I here

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the children again hold on a sec double

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I got two two sound doors over there

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let's close this stuff anyway so you've

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been printing money doing this carry

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trade because the Japanese y just go

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down down down so people keep adding to

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their bets adding to their bets adding

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to their bets adding the bets okay cool

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like you're winning that's wonderful

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like Kevin what's wrong with this ah yes

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yes there has to be a downside of any

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trade right of course there is so let's

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say you decided to take your $1,000 over

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uh in Japan so you're going to borrow

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$1,000 worth of uh Japanese Yen okay

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so we take our $1,000 over here $1,000

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worth of Japanese Y and now what we're

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going to do is we're going to invest

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that into the dip on Tesla okay and

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let's just say we bought Tesla just for

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Giggles because this could be anything

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okay you're like man Tesla's going to

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the Moon baby I'mma buy it at

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270 and then of course you know Elon rug

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pulls you and you know delays the robo

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taxi event whatever okay we we don't you

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put any placeholder there this is not a

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Tesla video is could be anything it

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could be Nvidia at darn things down like

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25% from its peak you know it could be

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Tesla obviously you're going to be down

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about 30ish per it does not matter what

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it is or you have a leverag position

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doesn't matter what it is let's go with

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you buy Tesla at 270 okay you know what

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forget even what price it is you just

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put $11,000 into Tesla stock right here

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because you borrowed $1,000 worth of Yen

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you put it all into Tesla stock but wait

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a minute

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if you put $1,000 into a broker in

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America why are you just going to use

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$11,000 come on man reg te margin 50%

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down I get to buy

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$2,000 of Tesla with

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$1,000 of a deposit right that is a

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typical margin Loan in America so now I

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borrowed the money cheap over here the

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money that I borrowed very cheaply in

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Japan I'm now going to leverage again in

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the US Stock Market but why was this

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matter I mean the Japanese currency

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keeps devaluing everything should be

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fine oh but wait then all of a sudden

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Japan says hey look everyone we finally

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got it up let's raise interest rates

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because inflation is finally moving up

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uh what yes this is exactly what Japan

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did last week they raised interest rates

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25 basis points and they were already at

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positive so they just went up another 25

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BPS and what happens when countries

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raise their interest rates that's right

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their bonds become more desirable

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especially since Japan is now going up

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and everybody else is cutting so you're

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getting more of a yield in Japan so what

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all of a sudden happens to the value of

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the US dollar when yields go down oh the

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dollar goes down the Japanese Yen goes

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up which exacerbates the spread because

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you're going in both

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directions and so oh over the last month

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so over the last 30 days the Japanese

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Yen has appreciated

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10% o o oh but wait a minute I borrowed

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$1,000 worth of Yen over here how many

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dollars do I need now to repay that loan

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in Japan well now because it's 10% more

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expensive I need

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$1,100 to repay my loan in Japan no

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problem no problem what's my Tesla stock

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doing oh God it's down

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30% and I'm on margin

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oh okay so just to make math a little

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fun here actually the example I did is I

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went with 35% so let's assume it's down

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35% that's down

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$700 on

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$22,000 so that means all of a sudden I

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have

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$1,300 left over here but wait a minute

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I'm such a dgen i also borrowed over

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here so I actually only have $300 of

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equity $300 of equity out of the

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$2,000 of stock I bought is

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15% oh who's that calling oh it's Mr

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margin calling a now you get liquidated

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sure you get your $300 back but you got

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liquidated which contributes to more

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selling pressure in the United States

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oh no but wait a minute bro now I only

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have $300 left and I have to pay an a an

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$1,100 loan off in Japan and now Japan

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is going hey bro margin's calling and

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you're like what why because sir you

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have $300 of collateral left on the

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$1,100 loan you just took out because we

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could see what you did with your money

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we want our money back you're at margin

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levels and you're like okay guess I'm

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filing BK and getting host boom now you

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have to either borrow more from

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somewhere else to pay off that $1,100

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loan or you're defaulting and you're

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destroying the banks which now it

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totally makes sense why the banks are

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collapsing in Japan well their stock

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valuations are collapsing because they

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are getting burned over here on their

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debt as well so they burn us in our

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stock market and they get and they burn

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the banks over over there now how big is

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this trade well nobody really knows

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Kathy Wood thinks it could be as much as

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10% of the United States stock market

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that's massive like as much as1

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trillion of Leverage in all risk assets

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risk assets crypto stocks doesn't matter

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okay this is always funny because I talk

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about this in my course member live

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streams and people are like oh you know

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sometimes people are like oh but Kev

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crypto is not a a a risk asset like it

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is the definition of risk asset why do

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you think gold is up and bitcoin's down

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11% right now your boy Kevin by the way

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uh let's just say this is not an

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advertisement or anything but I've been

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talking about this for for a couple

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weeks now since probably since about

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July 11th like everything really hit the

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fan but um on on the fund I manage we're

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NE we're like 5% short Bitcoin I wish I

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had more short Bitcoin right now because

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that's going to do really freaking well

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tomorrow remember if you want any might

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buy sell alerts or anything

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meetkevin.com you can learn everything

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in the courses I'm building your with

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you should be part of the course member

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live streams because we talk about this

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kind of stuff on a daily basis or even

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chat in our Discord server uh but anyway

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what is next well maybe Japan can just

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print more money right and they could

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sort of solve this issue right well so

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far the uh Japanese cabinet is saying

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they're watching Market moves with a

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sense of urgency and uh don't worry

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share prices are determined by

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determined by a variet of forces and um

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yeah we're just going to keep

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watching that doesn't really inspire a

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lot of confidence so what about the

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money printing part Kevin like when when

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are they just going to turn the printer

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on again and make all this pain go away

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ah okay well in order to understand that

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we have to consider what Japan's debt to

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GDP is and compare it to where everybody

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else is in the rest of the world so we

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have a lot of debt in the United States

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we know a little over 100% here Japan's

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debt to GDP sits around 263

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per. that is higher than Venezuela and

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it takes the number one spot for being

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the most indebted country in the world

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as it compares to GDP that's pretty

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pathetic so I don't think they're

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turning on the money printer anytime

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soon because they freaking

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can't add to this the fact that an

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attack by Iran is likely imminent and

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add to this that people are pricing in

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re recession fears in America and you've

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got a whole heck a lot of uncertainty

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now does that necessarily mean that the

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United States stock Market is going to

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sell off on Monday well the Futures

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Market says so but that was during the

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Japanese stock market open maybe cooler

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heads will prevail and everything will

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be hunky dory in the morning everything

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will start going up again we'll have a

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nice little rebound and maybe we'll open

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up to just a little byy the dip

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opportunity and nothing else to see here

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everything's fine or things will

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completely panic and everybody will take

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every opportunity at a bounce just to

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sell more stock because this is a

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sinking ship and everybody sees the exit

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over there well according to a poll I

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ran on X the ladder doesn't seem to be

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the big priority in fact according to a

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poll I ran on X which you should follow

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me there at real meet Kevin with

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6,761 results 44.6% of you said yes

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Kevin by the dip 34.3% of you said I'm

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holding and only 21.2% of you suggested

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that you were selling also when I

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suggested that Bitcoin might be a risk

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asset somebody replied to me and said

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but Kevin they're investing in Bitcoin

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for the

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tech right that's going to help save you

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in these Market moves it won't anyway so

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I'm curious what do you all think what

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are you all going to do I will make the

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argument that probably the safest

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investment right now is Cash followed by

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treasury bonds which might continue to

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collapse in yields now you might be

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thinking oh but Kevin the Federal

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Reserve is going to come bail us out

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right well this is where you have to ask

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yourself what does the FED care more

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about avoiding recession or avoiding

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inflation H see I ran that poll as well

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and the vast majority of people said oh

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the the FED wants to avoid a recession

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and to that I

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say I'm out of a drink you're wrong the

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FED cares way more about destroying

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inflation because inflation ends

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countries recessions are healthy so

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buckle up buckle up the FED ain't coming

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to bail you out anytime soon now if you

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want to know exactly what I'm trading

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make sure you're part of those courses

play18:24

over at Meek kevin.com always make sure

play18:25

to hit that subscribe button we're about

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to cross 2 million subscribers so if you

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haven't hit that button yet and you're

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not part of the pre-2 million subscriber

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Clan I don't know what yall waiting for

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we got a great Clan going on here okay

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the mkk I mean the MKC it's great come

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join thank you so much for watching and

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we'll see you all in the next one

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goodbye and good luck by the way if any

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of this makes you nervous you get life

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insurance in as little as 5 minutes by

play18:51

going to metkevin.com life you can Apple

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pay or Android pay for it it's what

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Lauren and I use and it takes as little

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as5 minutes to sign up that's

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metkevin.com

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life see you all

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bye these things that you told us here I

play19:06

feel like nobody else knows about this

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we'll we'll try a little advertising and

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see how it goes congratulations man you

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have done so much people love you people

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look up to you Kevin P there financial

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analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always

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great to get your

play19:19

take even though I'm a licensed

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financial adviser licensed real estate

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broker and becoming a stock broker this

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video is not personalized advice for you

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it is not tax legal or otherwise

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personalized advice tailored to you this

play19:28

video provides generalized perspective

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information and commentary any

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thirdparty content I show shall not be

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deemed endorsed by me this video is not

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and shall never be deemed reasonably

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sufficient information for the purposes

play19:38

of evaluating a security or investment

play19:40

decision any links or promoted products

play19:42

are either paid affiliations or products

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or Services we may benefit from I also

play19:45

personally operate an actively managed

play19:47

ETF I may personally hold or otherwise

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hold long or short positions in various

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Securities potentially including those

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mentioned in this video however I have

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no relationship to any issuer other than

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house act nor am I presently acting as a

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market maker make sure if you're

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considering investing in house Haack to

play20:01

always read the PPM at house.com

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Related Tags
Japanese Carry TradeMarket CollapseInflation ImpactInterest RatesCurrency ValuationInvestment RiskGlobal EconomyFinancial AnalysisMarket VolatilityEconomic Recession