Calgary Housing Market July 2024: Sales Dip & Inventory Rises

Adam Fyfe | Calgary Realtor | Moving to Calgary
1 Aug 202423:42

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the Calgary real estate market's response to the Bank of Canada's interest rate cut and a $1,300 price reduction. Adam Fe, a Calgary realtor, analyzes sales data, new listings, and inventory levels, noting a significant increase in inventory and a slowing market, particularly for luxury homes. He emphasizes the importance of understanding market trends by price point and property type, predicting continued price stability with potential increases. The video also touches on population growth and migration patterns affecting the housing market.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ The Bank of Canada has reduced its interest rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.5%, which may influence the real estate market.
  • 🏠 The Calgary real estate market has seen a price reduction of $1,300, indicating a possible shift in the market dynamics.
  • πŸ“ˆ Despite a general slowdown, the market is not slowing down uniformly across all property types and price points.
  • πŸ“Š Sales in July were 2,300, which is a 10% decrease, while new listings are up by 11% at 3,600, indicating a growing inventory.
  • πŸ“š The inventory has increased significantly to 4,200 homes, up by almost 20% compared to the previous year.
  • πŸ›‘ The months supply for the total residential price point is up to 75, suggesting a strong seller's market, but with a significant increase of 32% from the previous year.
  • πŸ“‰ The majority of supply growth occurred for homes priced above 600,000, which has helped to shift the market away from extreme seller's market conditions.
  • 🏘️ Sales have been driven by homes priced below 600,000, and the market is still favoring sellers but with a significant improvement from earlier in the year.
  • πŸ“ˆ The market is seeing a slowdown after an extreme spring market, with sales peaking in May and June and then declining.
  • πŸ“Š The total sales by price range show that the $300,000 price range had the most activity, closely followed by the $600,000 price range.
  • 🌐 The video emphasizes the importance of breaking down market reports by community, product type, and price point for a more nuanced understanding of the market.

Q & A

  • What action did the Bank of Canada take regarding interest rates?

    -The Bank of Canada reduced its interest rate by 0.25 basis points, bringing it down to 4.5%.

  • How much has the Calgary real estate market seen a price reduction by?

    -The Calgary real estate market has seen a price reduction of $1,300.

  • What was the sales volume for the month of July according to the transcript?

    -The sales volume for the month of July was 2,300.

  • How did the new listings for July compare to the previous year?

    -New listings for July were up by 11% compared to the previous year, with 3,600 new listings.

  • What was the total inventory of homes left over at the end of July?

    -The total inventory of homes left over at the end of July was almost 4,200, which is up by almost 20% compared to the previous year.

  • What is the current months supply for the total residential price point?

    -The current months supply for the total residential price point is up to 75, indicating a seller's market, but it's up dramatically by 32% compared to July of the previous year.

  • What does the Calgary Real Estate Board say about the current market conditions?

    -The Calgary Real Estate Board states that supply levels have improved, taking some pressure off prices, and that the market is starting to see shifts with more inventory and sales to new listing ratios supporting a gain in inventory.

  • How did the sales in July compare to last year's record high?

    -July sales eased by 10% over last year's record high but were still higher than long-term trends for the month.

  • What is the current situation for the affordable product in Calgary according to the realtor?

    -The affordable product in Calgary is still in high demand, with townhouses priced around $450,000 to $500,000 selling quickly, typically within the first weekend.

  • What does the realtor predict for the upcoming months in terms of market activity?

    -The realtor predicts a possible spike in August and September, followed by a decrease going into the winter seasons, which is a common trend.

  • What is the current total residential benchmark price, and is it expected to remain stable?

    -The current total residential benchmark price is around $606,000, and it seems to have hit a small ceiling, with little fluctuation in the last few months, suggesting it might remain stable for now.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“‰ Calgary Real Estate Market Update

The Bank of Canada has reduced its interest rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.5%, and the Calgary real estate market has responded with a price reduction of $1,300. Adam Fe, a Calgary realtor, discusses the current market conditions, noting a significant increase in inventory with over 4,200 homes left over at the end of July, which is up by almost 20% compared to the previous year. Sales for the month were down by 10%, but new listings were up by 11%. Despite a seller's market, the market is showing signs of slowing down, with the months supply for the total residential price point rising to 75, a 32% increase from July of the previous year. The Calgary Real Estate Board reports that supply levels are improving, taking some pressure off prices, and that the market is shifting away from extreme seller's market conditions experienced in the spring.

05:01

🏘️ Analyzing Sales and Inventory Trends

The video script delves into the year-to-date sales for Calgary, showing that despite a slowdown in July, sales activity remains above the levels of 2021 and 2023. New listings are up, and the desire for a more balanced market is expressed. The total sales figures are analyzed by price range, revealing that the $300,000 price range has seen the most activity, followed by the $600,000 range. The script also discusses the sales by property type, highlighting that City Center Apartments are the most active. Inventory levels by price are examined, showing that the 700 to 800,000 range has the highest amount of inventory, with 400 homes left over at the end of the month. The script emphasizes the importance of understanding local market statistics for sellers and buyers.

10:02

πŸ“Š A Closer Look at Market Statistics

The script provides a detailed breakdown of the Calgary real estate market statistics, including the total residential benchmark price, which has seen a slight decrease of $1,300. It discusses the differences between the benchmark price and the average price, and how these figures can be influenced by the mix of properties sold. The script also compares the current market conditions with those of July 2023, noting an increase in new listings and a slight increase in inventory. The days on market are noted to be relatively stable, and the script suggests that the market may be hitting a ceiling in terms of price increases, with the benchmark price fluctuating only slightly over the past few months.

15:03

πŸ“ˆ Regional Market Variations

The video script examines the variations in the Calgary real estate market across different quadrants and property types. It notes that Northeast and East have seen an increase in the total residential benchmark price, while other regions have experienced a decrease. The script highlights the significant price decrease in West Calgary for detached homes, which is attributed to the presence of ultra-luxury and affordable products that can cause large fluctuations in numbers. The script also touches on the importance of understanding these regional variations when making decisions in the real estate market.

20:03

🌐 Population Growth and Market Outlook

The script concludes with a discussion on key economic indicators affecting the Calgary real estate market. It notes the population growth in Alberta, with a significant proportion of interprovincial migrants coming from Ontario and BC. The script suggests that this influx of people could drive demand for housing, potentially offsetting the current slowdown in the market. It also references the year-over-year price change trend, which has been on a downturn, but still indicates price increases, albeit at a less aggressive rate. The script advises against panic selling and encourages patience to see how the market responds to the current news of a slowdown.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Interest Rate

Interest rate refers to the percentage of an amount that a lender charges for granting a loan. In the video, the Bank of Canada is mentioned to have reduced its interest rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.5%. This action is significant as it can influence borrowing costs and investment decisions in the real estate market, as lower rates can spur borrowing for home purchases.

πŸ’‘Calgary Real Estate Market

The Calgary Real Estate Market is the focus of the video, which discusses the dynamics of property buying and selling in Calgary. The script mentions a price reduction and an increase in inventory, indicating a shift in the market conditions. The term is used to discuss various aspects of the local housing market, including sales, listings, and price trends.

πŸ’‘Inventory

In the context of real estate, inventory refers to the total number of homes available for sale at a given time. The script indicates a significant increase in inventory, which is nearly 4,200 homes at the end of July, up by almost 20% compared to the previous year. This increase suggests a potential shift from a seller's market to a more balanced or buyer's market.

πŸ’‘Months Supply

Months supply is a measure used to determine the balance between supply and demand in the real estate market. It is calculated by dividing the number of homes for sale by the number of homes sold in a month. The video mentions that the months supply for the total residential price point is up to 75, indicating a strong seller's market, though it has increased by 32% from the previous year, suggesting a change in market dynamics.

πŸ’‘Seller's Market

A seller's market is a condition where demand exceeds supply, typically leading to higher prices and more favorable conditions for sellers. The script discusses that despite the increase in inventory, it is still a seller's market in Calgary, but the balance is shifting with the rise in supply.

πŸ’‘Price Point

Price point refers to a specific price range within the real estate market. The video script breaks down sales and inventory levels by different price points, such as homes priced above $600,000, and notes that the market conditions can vary significantly across these ranges.

πŸ’‘Market Slowdown

Market slowdown refers to a decrease in the pace of sales or a reduction in market activity. The script mentions that the Calgary real estate market is experiencing a slowdown, with a 10% decrease in sales for July compared to the previous year. This concept is central to the discussion of current market trends and the potential impact on buyers and sellers.

πŸ’‘Benchmark Price

Benchmark price is an index value that represents the average price of a typical property within a specific real estate market. The video discusses the benchmark price for total residential properties in Calgary, noting a decrease of $1,300, which may indicate a stabilization or potential cooling of the market.

πŸ’‘New Listings

New listings refer to the number of new properties that have been put up for sale during a specific period. The script mentions that new listings are up by 11% from the previous year, with 3,600 new listings for the month of July, suggesting an increase in the supply of homes on the market.

πŸ’‘Days on Market (DOM)

Days on Market (DOM) is the number of days it takes for a property to sell from the time it is listed until it goes under contract. The video script states that DOM is 24 days for the year, indicating the time efficiency of the market in terms of how quickly homes are selling.

πŸ’‘Market Fluctuations

Market fluctuations refer to changes in the real estate market conditions, such as variations in price, sales volume, or inventory levels. The script discusses a $1,300 decrease in the total residential benchmark price, which is described as a natural market fluctuation rather than a significant decrease, highlighting the stability of the market.

Highlights

Bank of Canada reduces interest rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.5%.

Calgary real estate market sees a price reduction of $1,300.

Inventory in the Calgary market is up, with almost 4,200 homes left over at the end of July, a 20% increase from last year.

Months supply for the total residential price point is up to 75, indicating a strong seller's market.

Calgary Real Estate Board notes supply levels are improving, easing some pressure off prices.

Sales activity in July 2024 was 2,300, down 10% from July 2023, but still above long-term trends.

New listings in July 2024 are up 11% from last year, with 3,600 new listings.

The majority of supply growth occurred for homes priced above $600,000.

The market is shifting away from extreme seller's market conditions experienced in the spring.

Sales of homes priced below $600,000 are driving the pullback in sales activity.

The month's supply for homes has risen to 1.8 months, favoring sellers but improving from under one month earlier in the year.

The $300,000 price range in Calgary real estate is still very active, with homes selling quickly.

Inventory levels and sales figures suggest a slowdown in the overall market after a peak in May and June.

The luxury market ($700,000+) has a significant portion of the total inventory, around 36%.

Sales by property type show city center apartments as the most active in July.

Total sales year-to-date are healthy, with a significant push in April, May, and June of 2024.

The 700 to 1 million price point has seen the most activity year-to-date in the Calgary market.

The market's slowdown is not uniform across all property types and price points; the affordable segment remains active.

The total residential benchmark price might have hit a ceiling, with recent months showing little fluctuation.

The speaker anticipates a slight increase in sales for August and September, followed by a decrease in the winter season.

Population in Alberta for Q2 2024 was almost 4.9 million, with significant interprovincial and international migration.

Economic indicators suggest continued demand for housing due to population growth, despite market slowdowns.

Transcripts

play00:00

so the Bank of Canada reduces its

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interest rate by another 0.25 basis

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points dropping it down to 4.5 and the

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calgar estate market has decided to also

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see a price reduction of $1,300 what the

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heck is going on look at the amount of

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inventory that's currently in this

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market let's get into it my name is Adam

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Fe your Calgary realtor if you're

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looking at getting into the market now

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is definitely the time to really start

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paying attention to what's going on with

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these market reports because you're

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going to see a lot of interesting news

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articles come about over the next 2

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weeks as people scream from the rooftops

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that the Calgary real estate market is

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slowing down is it slowing down yes of

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course but is it slowing down in all

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property types and all price points well

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let's dive into that so let's start off

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by looking at some of the sales right so

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the sales 2,300 for the month of July

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you can see that's down 10% new listings

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are up fantastic we need more new

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listings in this market we're at 3600

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new listings for the month of July up

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11% from last year the inventory up

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massive we're up almost at 4,200 homes

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left over at the end of the month which

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is up by almost 20% compared to last

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year which is insane the months supply

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for the total residential price point

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here is up to 75 still a seller's market

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but it's up dramatically 32% comparing

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to July of last year so let's read what

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the Calgary real estate board has

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written about this Market if you want to

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read it on your own I'm not offended

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pause the video you don't have to listen

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to me talk Supply levels improve taking

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some pressure off prices what with the

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busy spring Market behind us we are

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starting to see some shifts and Supply

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levels with 2,380 sales and 30 uh 3,6

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four new listings the sales to new

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listing ratio fell to

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66% supporting a gain in inventory

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inventory's levels root to

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4,158 units still 33% below what we

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typically see in July but the first time

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they have pushed above 4,000 units in

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nearly 2 years although the majority of

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Supply growth occurred for homes priced

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above 600,000 the rise has helped shift

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the market away from the extreme sellers

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Market conditions experiencing

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throughout the spring while we are still

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dealing with Supply challenges

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especially for lower priced homes more

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options in both the new home and resale

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Market have helped take some of the

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upward pressure off of home prices this

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month this is in line with our

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expectations for the second half of the

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year and should inventories continue to

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rise we should start to see more

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balanced conditions and stability in

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home prices July sales eased by 10% over

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last year's record high but were still

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higher than long-term trends for the

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month like last month the pullback and

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sales have been driven by homes priced

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below 600,000 nonetheless the gain and

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inventory combined with the slower sales

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caused the months of Supply to rise to

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1.8 months still low enough to favor the

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seller but a significant improvement

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from under one month reported earlier

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this year so we need to consider this

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right if you're getting into the real

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estate market what price point are you

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getting into what product are you buying

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because the affordable product in

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Calgary is still flying I see tow houses

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go up for sale around

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450,000 500,000 and they're gone within

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the first weekend I see homes priced

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around 650 even 700,000 and they're

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still getting offers that first weekend

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but the overarching picture the entire

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um Market if you would is starting to

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see the slowdowns because we're going we

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went through such an extreme spring

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market so let's look at this one more

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time okay so this is the city of of

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Calgary sales and inventory levels I

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love this chart it is one of my favorite

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charts so you can see the red bar here

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it's actually started to slow down right

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so you see May and June we kind of hit

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that Peak right 608 and then we started

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then and then we started to slow down

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with sales so in May and June our sales

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actually peaked around 3,000 sales and

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then this quickly declined you can see

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just the amount of inventory that was

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left over at the end of the month in

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July now with Calgary you always see a

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Slowdown in July every single year we

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see a Slowdown in July the Stampede is

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occurring and a lot of people just kind

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of take their foot off the gas cudle and

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start to enjoy that celebration I was

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expecting a Slowdown but I definitely

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wasn't expecting this much of a Slowdown

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I would expect for August numbers which

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will come out in September we'll notice

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a little bit of a spike up and then most

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likely a small Spike up in September and

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then we'll start to see a decrease once

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again going into the winter seasons

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which is very common now over 4,000

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homes left over at the end of the month

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it's kind of exciting to be honest with

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you um 4,000 homes is is a great number

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to be at right it's still a sellers

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Market Market but it's a little bit more

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balanced there's a lot more options for

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buyers out there obviously for you

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Sellers and you investors who want to

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make a million dollars on your listing

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fair but you just need to make sure that

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you're pricing your product correctly

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okay the last time we actually saw 4,000

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homes left over at the end of the month

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was just chart here this is September

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2022 I actually would have recorded this

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video in October of 2022 so look at this

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gnarly chart see we we had a price

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increase dramatically January February

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March April May we saw a massive Spike

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we went from 400 80,000 for total

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residential up to 540,000 and then we

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saw the increase in interest rates which

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slow down the market quite rapidly you

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can see the SES slowed in the inventory

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did fall ever so slightly but the

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pricing did f um drop as well you can

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see from March 2022 to September 2022 we

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had over 4,000 homes left over at the

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end of the month October November

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December every month from then until now

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we've had under 400,000 for 4,000 if I

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saying 400,000 4,000 left over Homes at

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the end of the month I'm so sorry if I

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said 400,000 earlier um either way

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regardless um crazy crazy stuff

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especially when you go back to this

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chart and you see just at our price

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points right we were at 560 last year we

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shot right up to 605 and now we're

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probably going to stay there for a

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little bit right I don't think we're

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going to see any spikes going up down

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left or right too dramatically as a

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total residential Benchmark price might

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have hit the ceiling a little bit here

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is it going to last very long let's wait

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and find out so let's start to look at

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the sales here okay let's start to look

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at the year-to DAT sales for Calgary so

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this is all product types morphed into

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one chart you can you can see that the

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uh Red Bar this 10-year average we're

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actually right on that average for uh

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sorry new listings wow I'm really

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hiccuping today um this is new listings

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right we want to see more new listings

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come to the market we want to see um a

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little bit more of a balanced Condition

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it's favorable for everyone we don't

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need extreme sellers market right so

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compared to last year we are up in that

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new listing category okay we're not at

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the 2021 2022 highs which is

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understandable but we are relatively

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close so when we start to look at the

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total sales now which I was I should

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have said not said a bit ago you can see

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that we are actually still above 2021

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and 2023 so sales activity year to date

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is fairly healthy we're seeing a lot of

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activity in the calary market now

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obviously there was a lot of sales in uh

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you know April May June of 2024 which

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really pushed that that number but even

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with these July slower stats we're still

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above those two years 20121 and 2023 now

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when you start to break it down this is

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actually quite fascinating I actually

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really like this and I don't really

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touch on it too much but you can just

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see this red bar here right so the 700

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to a million price point and I'm going

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to dive into this in a little bit more

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detail in future slides but look at this

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the year-to DAT sales the 700 to a

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million has seen the most activity when

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you break it down and you start to go to

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the 7even to eight the N the 7 to eight

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eight to N9 a 9 to a million obviously

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you're going to be quite low but

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compared to years past you can see that

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it's actually quite high you can see

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that the

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300,000 price range has seen the most

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activity closely followed by the 6 to to

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$700,000 price range right a lot of

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things have seen decent activity but

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when you start to look at 2022 and 2023

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um the green and the yellow bar it

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paints a pretty cool picture about how

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much the pricing has shifted right you

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look at the blue and green bar and the

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300 and 400,000 and then you look at it

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this year for this 2024 it has dropped

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dramatically right there's just not

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enough affordable homes on the market to

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keep up with those sales numbers so this

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is where I'm trying to break down that

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72 a m okay so this is total sales by

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price range obviously you see this bark

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here and you say okay well there's a lot

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of activity in the 700 to a m I'm

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probably going to start doing this every

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month because it is kind of frustrating

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right when you start to break it down

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you see the 7 to 800,000 average or

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sorry estimated from today at 230 on the

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1st it had 249 sales okay that's an

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estimation from me pulling it off the

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MLS 800 to 900 174 and 9 to a mil only

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100 right so if you actually broke those

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down you can see that the month of July

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again favored the $300 ,000 price range

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so if you're in that $300,000 price

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range both a buyer seller and investor

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it's probably going to be a lot of

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activity right so you see these reports

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you say oh the Market's slowing down

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yeah it is but when you start to look at

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stuff like this the $300,000 price range

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had the most activity pretty closely

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followed by the $600,000 price range

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which had almost 400 sales in one month

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right so really start to make sure that

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you're breaking down these reports for

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your benefit and at least getting a gine

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understanding of what you're getting

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into if you're getting into the market

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so this is sales by property type we're

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not going to spend a lot of time here

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it's just kind of cool to see right you

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can see that City Center Apartments are

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the most active in the entire city for

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the month of July this is very common

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there's a lot of apartments in City

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Center followed by 233 sales for detach

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homes in South Calgary and then 174

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sales by detach homes in southeast

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Calgary again figuring out where that

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demand is and trying to figure out what

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that local market is doing and how

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that's going to benefit or affect you

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right if you're a seller in uh the

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apartment sector in downtown Calgary

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yeah you want to make sure that you're

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probably pricing it correctly because

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yes there is a lot of sales there but

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there's a lot of um inventory in that

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quadrant as well the detached in sou

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Southeast you might be able to get away

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with a little bit more of an aggressive

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strategy just depending on what it is

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you're trying to accomplish but I'll

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rest my case so sales uh sorry share of

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city-wide sales in July so this is just

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a percentage it's similar understanding

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of what's going on but just breaking

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down the property types pause the video

play09:54

here if you want to look at this it's

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kind of neat but I'm not going to touch

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on it now total inventory by Price r now

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this is actually so fascinating to me so

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this is an

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estimated stat from 230 on August 1st

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2024 okay so again I'm breaking down

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that 700 to a million you can see that

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this bar obviously shows the highest

play10:12

amount of inventory but let's actually

play10:13

break that down 700 to 800,000 it had

play10:16

400 homes left over at the end of the

play10:18

month I'm not including the pendings I'm

play10:20

only including what's active right now

play10:22

and I just pulled this on the Ms and

play10:23

there was 400 homes exactly so if you

play10:25

look at that that means that the 400 the

play10:27

500 and the 600 actually has more

play10:30

inventory currently than the 700,000 you

play10:33

look at the 800 to 900 you have 313 you

play10:36

go to a million to one sorry 900 to a

play10:38

million you have 169 right so when you

play10:40

actually break these numbers down in

play10:42

more detail it actually paints a clearer

play10:44

picture than just looking at that but

play10:46

when you actually put the 700 and a

play10:48

million plus together you can see that

play10:50

it's around 1,500 homes which is about

play10:53

36 is% of inventory so quite a big chunk

play10:57

of that inventory which is fairly common

play10:59

is going to be in that higher-end market

play11:01

so if you're in that higher end Market

play11:03

you could probably play that to your

play11:05

advantage a little bit right you could

play11:06

if you're a buyer or an investor you can

play11:08

maybe look at some of the numbers see

play11:10

how many homes are available on the

play11:11

market and utilize that in your

play11:12

negotiations if you're a seller in that

play11:14

market you just want to make sure that

play11:15

you're looking at the local stats in

play11:18

your area and not putting your home up

play11:20

too expensive and not having ad

play11:23

justification behind it the million

play11:25

dooll PR product there's a lot of

play11:27

different features and benefits with

play11:28

those homes but you have to paint that

play11:30

picture a lot of the times people will

play11:32

just look at the market see the year

play11:34

built the square footage and the amount

play11:35

of bedrooms and then they'll make an

play11:36

assumption if you're more expensive or

play11:38

less expensive than neighbors obviously

play11:40

when you get into that unique luxury

play11:41

product you have to have good marketing

play11:43

to paint that picture but that's not

play11:45

here no there so this information is uh

play11:48

this similar information just in a

play11:50

numerical value and I really wanted to

play11:52

compare it from July of last year I had

play11:53

a comment about someone saying why don't

play11:55

you compare to other months so here you

play11:57

go Mr commenter um July of last year

play12:01

okay we saw 2600 sales this year we saw

play12:03

2,300 sales fairly similar last year we

play12:06

had 3200 new listings but this year we

play12:08

had 36 right so we actually have a

play12:10

little bit more listings comeing to the

play12:12

market which is slightly surprising to

play12:13

me to be honest with you CU I thought

play12:15

that a lot of the people that had to

play12:17

sell will or did sell but it is good to

play12:19

see more people come to the market to

play12:21

hopefully balance out these conditions

play12:23

right the inventory 3500 compared to

play12:25

this year 600 more homes left over at

play12:27

the end of the market again 30 6% of

play12:29

that could be in that luxury product so

play12:32

we just got to remember that you look at

play12:34

the days on Market okay we're actually

play12:36

like right on par it was 23 days last

play12:38

year it's 24 days this year you look at

play12:41

the Benchmark price obviously there's a

play12:42

massive difference you got 5,600 sorry 5

play12:46

563,000 can't talk versus our 66,000

play12:49

this year there a huge huge gain in The

play12:52

Benchmark price like you got to add

play12:54

those attributes which I actually didn't

play12:55

touch on this video but I'll get into

play12:56

that next video uh our benchmark price

play12:59

obviously is different in our average

play13:01

price but when we start to look at the

play13:02

median and average price compared to the

play13:04

months prior especially the Benchmark

play13:06

Price look at the last 2 months right

play13:08

did we hit the ceiling it was 605 in May

play13:11

it was 608 in June and now we're back to

play13:13

606 it kind of seems like we've hit a

play13:15

small ceiling here for now um we've

play13:17

really only plus minused like $2 to

play13:20

$3,000 in the last 3 months when you

play13:22

look at the medium price or you get the

play13:24

the most expensive sale and the cheapest

play13:26

sale and it's the exact middle you can

play13:28

see that we've actually actually uh are

play13:30

relatively close to April May right we

play13:32

have 563,000 which is very very close to

play13:35

April and May numbers you look at the

play13:37

average price obviously hopefully you

play13:39

know how to find averages it is also

play13:41

down all the way back to April right 606

play13:44

we've dropped pretty dramatically from

play13:46

the average price of June so a lot more

play13:49

of those lower-end sales are occurring

play13:51

and a lot more of those luxury sales are

play13:54

sitting in the inventory which is

play13:56

pulling up that desar market which is

play13:59

pulling up that um the inventory level

play14:01

for total residential so we just want to

play14:03

make sure that we're kind of breaking

play14:05

this down a little bit so don't hesitate

play14:06

to reach out and ask cuz I'm kind of

play14:07

busting through this real quick I don't

play14:09

really know if I like this wide angle uh

play14:12

shot here so please comment below let me

play14:13

know if you like this I actually

play14:15

recently redid my uh background here so

play14:18

I wanted to Showcase off that a little

play14:19

bit so let's kind of dive into this now

play14:21

this is a little bit of a newer one um

play14:23

because I never really put numbers here

play14:24

before but this is the individual

play14:26

quadrants in Calgary now the individual

play14:28

quadrants are kind annoying here because

play14:29

we have northwest southeast Southwest

play14:32

and Northeast as our street

play14:33

abbreviations which is basically just a

play14:35

straight line down the middle but when

play14:36

you look at the real estate market

play14:38

there's actually West Northwest uh North

play14:40

South there's no Southwest in Calgary so

play14:43

when you're starting to break it down

play14:44

into the quadrants it's important to

play14:46

realize that just because the street

play14:47

abbreviation says Southwest it could

play14:49

actually be in City Center or it could

play14:51

be in south or it could be in West right

play14:53

so you can see that I've actually put

play14:55

some numerical values here right you can

play14:57

see that Northeast and East have

play14:58

actually increased the total residential

play15:00

Benchmark price for those quadrants has

play15:02

increased as well as self where

play15:05

everything else has seen a decrease kind

play15:07

of surprised to see Southeast take a

play15:09

decrease and South increase just must

play15:11

mean that there's a lot more activity in

play15:13

South than Southeast in a sense a lot

play15:15

more um kind of people driving there and

play15:16

whatnot but it is fascinating to see

play15:19

like look at West they saw $6,700 total

play15:21

residential decrease in the last month

play15:24

you have City Center 15 Northwest 28

play15:26

North 1200 so when you start to put all

play15:30

the total residential price points

play15:32

together this is what you get but again

play15:34

you want to break it down into Community

play15:35

product type and especially price point

play15:37

because every price point is going to be

play15:39

a little different now let's look at the

play15:42

uh monthly statistics package for

play15:44

Calgary and we're only going to look at

play15:45

the year-to DAT stuff because this is

play15:46

just what I'm more or less curious with

play15:49

you can see that year-to date again

play15:50

we're up in sales we're obviously going

play15:52

to be up in sales volume almost 16%

play15:55

because we saw a lot more expensive

play15:57

activity uh happen home prices increased

play16:00

new listings we are at up almost 20 just

play16:03

about 2,300 again which is great to see

play16:05

in my personal opinion we want more new

play16:06

listings we want more of a balanced

play16:08

Market inventory is down right so this

play16:10

is a year-to DAT average the inventory

play16:12

is down to about 3,000 homes months

play16:15

Supply again year-to date average is

play16:18

still down so you're comparing all of

play16:20

the months of Supply before so if you

play16:21

did the year-to DAT last year and a year

play16:23

to date this year the month of Supply

play16:24

looks like it's down but I don't really

play16:26

like that stat we'll move on from that

play16:28

one um sales and new listing ratio right

play16:30

is down quite a bit right we're at 75%

play16:32

compared to the last year about 78 now

play16:35

we're still seeing 101% over list price

play16:38

again this is an average throughout the

play16:40

entire year this is not just that actual

play16:43

sales and listing ratio which is like

play16:45

today's but this is like the average of

play16:46

everything that we've occurred in the

play16:48

first 6 to S months days on Market we're

play16:50

down to 22 days and then I'm not going

play16:52

to touch on the price points because

play16:53

again they're a little bit different

play16:55

than what the actual month is and that's

play16:57

more important to me so total

play16:59

residential price point down

play17:01

$1,300 and this is where I even get a

play17:04

little bit confused because at the end

play17:05

of the day if you look $1,300 decrease

play17:07

for total residential but if you look at

play17:09

detached you look at semi detached you

play17:11

look at row which is down 400 and you

play17:13

look at apartment everything is

play17:15

basically up on average but when you

play17:17

look at the total residential it's down

play17:19

I've talked to Calgary real estate board

play17:21

about this and they kind of they gave me

play17:22

an answer and honestly it didn't really

play17:24

make full sense I need to sit down with

play17:25

someone and have an explanation because

play17:26

it's it doesn't really make sense to me

play17:28

and someone actually called this out on

play17:29

a previous video about why that is and I

play17:31

wish I had a proper answer for you

play17:33

either way it's down it's down ever so

play17:35

slightly I wouldn't call it a decrease

play17:37

by any any stretch right $1,300 in real

play17:41

estate is $0 when you're negotiating on

play17:44

a property you're negotiating maybe

play17:45

$5,000 or $10,000 decrease on an ass

play17:47

price or whatever right $1,300 is just

play17:50

natural market fluctuations it's not a

play17:52

decrease it's just a stability it's

play17:54

staying consistent at that price where

play17:55

everything else is actually seeing um

play17:57

that stability as well of of course you

play17:59

see town houses Fall by $400 which is

play18:01

surprising by the way because town

play18:02

houses are very hot but everything is

play18:04

basically at that stable price point and

play18:06

again July typically slows down for the

play18:10

month given Stampede a lot of people

play18:12

take that two weeks off and just enjoy

play18:14

like a lot of people come to Calgary for

play18:16

Stampede and they kind of kick some

play18:17

tires they look at properties but they

play18:18

don't actually make a purchase so let's

play18:20

keep that in mind for next month now if

play18:22

you're curious about what the Calgary

play18:24

real estate part is written about the

play18:25

each individual product types go ahead

play18:27

and pause the video this is a really

play18:28

good write up just a high level overview

play18:30

of what's going on in that apartment

play18:31

sector but like mentioned before again

play18:34

if you're looking at getting into the

play18:35

market it is so important to dive into

play18:37

the data and make sure that you make

play18:38

sense of it if you're curious about what

play18:40

your home is valued at I cannot thank

play18:42

everyone enough for actually putting in

play18:44

their home valuation here is very um I

play18:47

wouldn't say it's humbling but it's very

play18:48

comforting knowing that a lot of people

play18:49

trust my opinion they value what um you

play18:52

know I give so thank you so much if

play18:54

you're curious it's an instant home

play18:55

evaluation tool you can put your

play18:56

property address in for any product type

play18:58

Apartments town houses semi- detached or

play19:00

detached even acreages right you can put

play19:02

it then and then I can overlay that with

play19:04

my own personal Insight if that's

play19:06

something that's of interest to you if

play19:07

you're just kicking tires so be it now

play19:10

almost done this is a uh micro breakdown

play19:13

so this is a breakdown of each

play19:14

individual quadrant and each individual

play19:16

property type I'm not going to dive into

play19:18

this in too much detail because that's

play19:20

what the four other videos I'm about to

play19:22

um edit and upload over the next one

play19:24

week some of the major highlights that

play19:26

we're seeing West Calgary for the detach

play19:29

saw a $10,000 decrease huge decrease but

play19:32

you look at the month prior it had a

play19:33

$119,000 increase this is just the way

play19:36

that West Calgary works with Ultra

play19:38

Luxury product and also affordable

play19:40

product the number does jump a lot we

play19:43

are seeing more red on this though you

play19:44

can see 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 nine separate

play19:49

quadrants have seen slight decreases

play19:51

right you even see tow houses in North

play19:54

Calgary for whatever reason saw $4,600

play19:57

decrease which is fairly surprising to

play19:59

me I wasn't expecting to see that one

play20:01

for sure but again watch those

play20:03

individual uh product videos if you are

play20:06

curious now this chart's really cool I'm

play20:08

going to start touching on this a little

play20:09

bit more look at the downwards Trend

play20:11

that we're on right now so it's the

play20:12

Benchmark year-over-year price change

play20:15

you can see that we're are we're on a

play20:16

downturn right so that percentage is

play20:18

getting smaller and smaller we kind of

play20:21

capped out around 10% but now we're kind

play20:23

of hovering around that 7 to 6%

play20:25

year-over-year so we are seeing price

play20:28

increases still but we're just not as

play20:31

aggressive as what we were like look at

play20:34

2022 we were at almost 18 17 18% in mid

play20:39

2021 we were at 12% we have been

play20:43

year-over-year price increases every

play20:45

single month since late 2020 in early

play20:50

March 2023 we dipped right down to like

play20:53

2% year-over-year but then we shot right

play20:55

back up to 10% at the end of 2023 so so

play20:58

this is something that we're going to

play20:59

keep an eye out on now this chart's also

play21:02

very interesting right so you see the

play21:04

roller coaster that we're on uh look at

play21:06

2021 it went up it stabilized it went up

play21:08

in 2022 it decreased with the um

play21:10

interest rates that we saw 2023 it went

play21:13

up it stabilized right 2024 it went up

play21:15

even higher and are we starting to

play21:17

stabilize are we going to continue to

play21:19

see price

play21:21

increases probably I would put some

play21:23

money on it that Calgary is still going

play21:25

to see some price increases over the

play21:27

next 12 months we do not need to freak

play21:29

out we do not need to lose our shirts

play21:31

and go and run to the market because now

play21:32

we're starting to see a slow down that's

play21:34

exactly how the negative uh Trend will

play21:37

start this news Outlet in the media are

play21:39

probably going to scream from the

play21:40

rooftops that Calgary real estate has

play21:42

slowed down and you're probably going to

play21:43

notice even more inventory come on the

play21:45

market cuz now people are like oh shoot

play21:47

I should sell while the Market's still

play21:50

high well maybe not let's have some

play21:52

patience let's look a month or two down

play21:54

the road and let's see just how the

play21:56

market responds to this news I want to

play21:59

end the video with this key economic

play22:03

indicators okay this is from the Q2

play22:05

report I didn't make a video on it it's

play22:07

just it's old data I I don't really like

play22:09

it too much but I will touch on it here

play22:11

and there population in Calgary sorry in

play22:15

Alberta for Q2 2024 was almost 4.9

play22:19

million over 4.1 sorry 4.4% from last

play22:23

year uh they they removed the numbers

play22:25

cuz I think a lot of people were a

play22:26

little peeved with this but um

play22:28

interprovincial migration 44% came from

play22:31

Ontario and 28% came from BC they used

play22:34

to give the exact numbers here but they

play22:36

probably got a little bit of uh trouble

play22:37

for that maybe I don't know um

play22:39

interprovincial migration was 12,000 at

play22:41

only 10% uh increase from last year and

play22:44

then the international was 33,000 that

play22:47

came to Alberta which was up again

play22:49

another almost 5% from last year so

play22:51

we're seeing a lot of people move here

play22:55

that is a simple supply and demand

play22:58

econom IC thing that we need to consider

play23:00

yes we're seeing a slow down in price

play23:02

point right now yes we're seeing a

play23:03

little bit more inventory but all of

play23:05

these people moving here are probably

play23:07

going to want to buy a house at some

play23:08

point or another until we see a mass

play23:10

Exodus which has happened in Alberta

play23:12

before I don't think we're going to see

play23:14

any dramatic price decreases in this

play23:16

market now I could be wrong but I don't

play23:19

see it happening so thank you very much

play23:21

that was a long video thank you very

play23:23

much I really appreciate everyone who

play23:25

stuck it through this entire thing it's

play23:26

a very long video I really don't like

play23:27

recording them this long but there was a

play23:29

lot to cover on this one so if you like

play23:31

what you see go ahead and reach out

play23:33

thank you very much for everyone who

play23:34

comments and likes the video we'll see

play23:35

you on the next one peace

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