This Unlikely Trading Strategy Beat My 2 Favorite Methods...

Trading Nut Podcast - Interviews with Forex & Futures Traders
1 Aug 202415:02

Summary

TLDRIn this trading-focused video, the host shares his journey of testing different trading approaches over 9 years, including intuitive trading, intraday strategies, and algorithmic trading. He discusses the results of running three $100 live accounts on BlackB, each with a distinct trading style. Despite initial skepticism, the intuitive trading method surprisingly outperformed, showcasing an 86% win rate. The host emphasizes the importance of market knowledge and the freedom to make decisions based on high-probability trades. He concludes by encouraging viewers to consider an intuitive approach to trading, especially for those new or struggling, and offers a simple strategy from his private mentor for further exploration.

Takeaways

  • πŸ” The video discusses a personal trading experiment involving three different trading approaches: intuitive, intraday, and algorithmic.
  • πŸ“ˆ The intuitive trading approach, which combines market knowledge with personal experience, surprisingly performed the best among the tested methods.
  • πŸ€– The algorithmic trading approach had technical issues, such as being on the wrong price chart, which affected its performance.
  • πŸ“‰ The strategy-based trading had a disappointing performance, with the account experiencing significant drawdowns and only a few successful trades.
  • πŸ‘€ The speaker attributes the success of the intuitive approach to the freedom it provides to make trading decisions based on a deep understanding of market behavior.
  • 🎯 The importance of identifying trends and understanding market pullbacks is highlighted as a key component of successful trading.
  • πŸ“ The speaker emphasizes the value of having a diverse set of strategies to enter and exit trades, which can be applied intuitively based on market conditions.
  • πŸ‘ High win rates were achieved in the intuitive trading account, with an overall win rate of 86%.
  • πŸ’‘ The video suggests that even experienced traders can benefit from revisiting and applying the knowledge gained from mentors and past experiences.
  • πŸ”— A shout out to Nick Shaw is given for his influence on the speaker's approach to intuitive trading and his transparent trading style.
  • πŸ“Œ The video concludes with a call to action for viewers to consider an intuitive trading approach and offers additional resources for those interested in learning more.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of the video script?

    -The main topic of the video script is the speaker's exploration of different trading approaches, including intuitive trading, intraday trading, and algorithmic trading, and the results of a test he conducted to evaluate these methods.

  • How long ago did the speaker's trading journey begin?

    -The speaker's trading journey began 9 years ago.

  • Who is Raymond Bersett mentioned in the script?

    -Raymond Bersett is a person who was a Futures Trader back then and had a lot of experience in the trading space. He is mentioned as someone who had given the speaker an answer to trading issues early on.

  • What are the three types of trading accounts the speaker discusses in the video?

    -The three types of trading accounts discussed are: one using a strategy with strict rules, one for intraday trading, and one for an algorithmic trading approach.

  • What was the initial expectation for the strategy account?

    -The initial expectation for the strategy account was that it would be the winner outright because the speaker liked the strategy and believed it could give high returns with easy implementation.

  • What issues did the speaker encounter with the algorithmic trading approach?

    -The speaker encountered issues with the algorithmic trading approach such as the algorithm being on the wrong price chart and not taking as many trades as expected, which resulted in significant drawdowns.

  • What was the surprising outcome of the intuitive trading account?

    -The surprising outcome of the intuitive trading account was that it performed very well, despite the speaker's initial skepticism, with a high win rate and significant account growth.

  • What is the 'trading mentor's best tool ever' mentioned in the script?

    -The 'trading mentor's best tool ever' is humorously referred to as Adobe Photoshop, indicating that it's a joke and not an actual trading tool.

  • What is the speaker's recommendation for new or struggling traders?

    -The speaker recommends that new or struggling traders should consider taking an intuitive approach to trading, using their accumulated knowledge and experience to make trading decisions.

  • What is the importance of identifying trends in trading according to the script?

    -Identifying trends is important in trading as it provides a directional bias that can increase the probability of successful trades. The speaker suggests that traders should look for trends and trade with them to improve their chances of winning trades.

  • How does the speaker suggest determining when a trend might be over?

    -The speaker suggests using market experience to determine when a trend might be over. This could involve recognizing patterns or signals that indicate a potential trend reversal.

  • What is the speaker's final recommendation for traders looking to improve their trading?

    -The speaker's final recommendation is for traders to increase their market knowledge and understanding of price movements, and to consider using the intuitive trading approach as a potential way to improve their trading.

Outlines

00:00

😲 Discovering the Solution to Trading Struggles

The speaker introduces a personal journey to find a solution to longstanding trading issues. They recount a test conducted using three $100 live trading accounts on BlackB, each with a different trading approach: intuitive, intraday, and algorithmic. The test was not without its challenges, including operational mistakes and issues with trade execution. Despite these setbacks, the accounts still reflected the effectiveness of each trading method, with the intuitive approach surprisingly outperforming the others.

05:00

πŸ“Š Analyzing Different Trading Approaches and Results

The speaker delves into the outcomes of the trading test, highlighting the performance of each account. The strategy-based account faced difficulties, with trades not going as planned. The algorithmic approach had technical issues, resulting in a significant drawdown. However, the intuitive trading method, which the speaker initially doubted, performed exceptionally well, offering a sense of freedom and high win rates. The speaker integrates this intuitive approach into their swing trading strategy, experiencing minimal losses and significant gains.

10:02

πŸ“ˆ Embracing Intuition in Trading and Market Knowledge

The speaker discusses the importance of market knowledge and intuition in trading. They share insights on identifying trends and making trading decisions based on market pullbacks. The speaker emphasizes the value of experience and learning from mentors, which has contributed to their ability to discern profitable trades. They also mention Nick Shaw, a trader who has successfully used intuition in trading. The speaker encourages viewers to consider an intuitive approach to trading, especially if they have struggled with traditional methods, and offers a link to a simple strategy taught by their private mentor.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Trading Issues

Trading issues refer to the challenges or problems that traders face in the financial markets. In the video, the speaker mentions 'trading issues' as a recurring theme in their trading journey, which they are trying to address through a test they conducted. The issues could range from finding a consistent trading strategy to managing emotions and risks.

πŸ’‘Intuitive Trading

Intuitive trading is a method where a trader makes decisions based on their instinct, experience, and understanding of the market, rather than relying solely on mechanical or algorithmic systems. The video discusses the speaker's experiment with intuitive trading, which involved using their accumulated knowledge and gut feelings to make trading decisions, and how it compared to other methods.

πŸ’‘Algorithmic Trading

Algorithmic trading, or algo trading, is a method where trades are executed automatically using pre-programmed instructions based on mathematical models. In the script, the speaker mentions an 'algo' account, which is a live trading account that uses a mechanical trading system to execute trades without human intervention, and discusses the performance of this system.

πŸ’‘Trading Strategy

A trading strategy is a plan or method that traders use to make decisions in the market. It often includes specific rules for entry and exit points, position sizing, and risk management. The video script mentions a 'strategy' account, which follows a set of strict rules for trading, and the speaker evaluates its performance against other approaches.

πŸ’‘Intraday Trading

Intraday trading is a type of trading where positions are opened and closed within the same trading day. It is a short-term trading style that aims to capitalize on small price movements throughout the day. The script refers to an 'intraday' account, which is one of the trading styles tested by the speaker.

πŸ’‘Trading Account

A trading account is an account with a brokerage that allows individuals to trade financial instruments such as stocks, futures, or currencies. The video script discusses three $100 trading accounts used for testing different trading approaches, highlighting the performance and issues encountered with each.

πŸ’‘Profit Factor

Profit factor is a performance metric used in trading to measure the overall profitability of a trading strategy. It is calculated by dividing the total gross profit of trades by the total gross loss. In the script, the speaker mentions the profit factor of the algo trading approach, indicating its break-even status.

πŸ’‘Win Rate

Win rate in trading refers to the percentage of trades that result in a profit. It is an important metric for evaluating the success of a trading strategy. The video discusses the win rates of different trading approaches, with the intuitive trading showing a high win rate, which was a surprising outcome for the speaker.

πŸ’‘Risk Management

Risk management in trading involves the process of identifying, analyzing, and accepting or mitigating the risks associated with investments. The script mentions risk management in the context of the algo trading approach, where the speaker discusses the risks of larger losses compared to wins.

πŸ’‘Trend Trading

Trend trading is a strategy where traders follow the direction of the market trend, which is the general direction in which prices are moving. The video script includes a discussion on identifying trends and trading with them, emphasizing the importance of understanding market direction for successful trading.

πŸ’‘Swing Trading

Swing trading is a type of trading where positions are held for several days to several weeks, aiming to capture gains from short-term price swings in the market. The speaker mentions incorporating intuitive trading into their swing trading approach, indicating a shift in their trading style.

Highlights

The video discusses a personal trading test to find a solution to long-standing trading issues.

The test involved three $100 live trading accounts on BlackB, each with a different trading approach.

The first account used a strict strategy, the second was an intraday approach, and the third was an algorithmic gold algo.

Despite setup mistakes and issues, the accounts reflected the effectiveness of each trading approach.

The strategy account experienced significant drawdowns and was not as successful as hoped.

The algo approach had technical issues but showed potential with a 75% win rate.

The intuitive trading account, initially doubted, performed surprisingly well with a high win rate.

The speaker shares a personal anecdote about learning from a mentor named Raymond Bersett.

The importance of market knowledge and experience in intuitive trading is emphasized.

A simple method for identifying trends and potential entry points in trading is presented.

The video provides a strategy for determining when a trend might be over and how to react.

The role of market experience in recognizing when a trade is likely to be successful or not is discussed.

The speaker's journey from skepticism to embracing intuitive trading as a new trading approach.

The video introduces a tool for swing trading and shares daily updates in a Telegram group.

A shout-out to Nick Shah for his influence on the speaker's understanding of intuitive trading.

The video concludes with an offer to learn a simple strategy from the speaker's private mentor.

An invitation for viewers to join a live Telegram group and VIP access for further trading insights.

Transcripts

play00:00

folks could this be the answer to my

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trading issues all the problems I've had

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over the years with trading trying to

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find something that works and could it

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be your answer too so you're going to

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find out in this video a test that I ran

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to help me discover this also we'll talk

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about how you can potentially implement

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it yourself so stay tuned folks we've

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got this coming up and the funny thing

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was it all started 9 years ago and

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somebody gave me the answer we're going

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to dive in and have a look at who that

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is first before we jump into the test

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results and show you what I'm talking

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about so this was the episode here on

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trading nut so it's guy called Raymond

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bersett he was a Futures Trader back

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then and had a lot of experience in the

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trading space I had no idea what he was

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talking about and I'm going to revert

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back to this after doing these test

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results and showing you the test results

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that I took and you're going to really

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get a good feel as to why I was probably

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so confused back then and how this is

play00:53

managed to help me going forward now so

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let's dive in and have a look at the

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test I ran for myself and what actually

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transpired my trading Hut live telegram

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group you're going to see here three

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$100 accounts so these are fresh well

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not they weren't fresh accounts but they

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were $100 each on blackb they're all

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Live accounts as well and you can see

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here I've the noted down what kind of

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trading I was doing on each of those so

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the $799 was intuitive 258 was intraday

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and the 474 was an algo was an gold algo

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so difference between intuitive and

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intraday and uh sorry intuitive and

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strategy was very much that the rules

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were pretty strict for the strategy and

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the algo is obviously very mechanical

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rules are completely mechanical and

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intuitive was like stuff that I know

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that I've been taught by my private

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mentor and knowledge that I've picked up

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across all the years of trading build

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bringing that to the markets to work out

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whether or not I get in and out of a

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trade as simple as that so we're going

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to go through what the results of this

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test was and it wasn't straightforward

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there were mistakes along the way not

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necessarily trading mistakes but just

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issues that I had to come with trade

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copers with trades being placed on the

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wrong account because of the way I was

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set things up mistakes putting the EA on

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there's pretty much everything I could

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that could go wrong did go wrong but we

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still managed to get some accounts that

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do reflect what each of these approaches

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resting so let's dive in have a look at

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let's get back on with the show all

play03:00

right so in front of you you can see the

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first account so I'll go into details to

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which ones they are so this was the

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first account this was the second

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account and this was the third account

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now none of them are as they appear so

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let's talk about them so the first

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account was the strategy account so this

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was the one I was hoping would be the

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winner outright because I like the

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strategy I knew it could give High R and

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it was kind of easy to implement when

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the setup came I'd be able to you know

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get my orders in place and get out of

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the trade in an automated fashion so I

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can I built an EA that actually gets me

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out automatically at the different

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levels that I wanted to get out at now

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the issue with this is it goes through

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periods where it doesn't work very well

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and this I think was one of those

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periods and you could see here we

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basically didn't win any trades apart

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from this massive win here which

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actually isn't a win this was just a

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deposit and I had to re add a bit more

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cash to the account because it had drawn

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it down so much that I couldn't take

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partials on that account added it and

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then I started losing money again and

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even here I did actually exit some of

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the trades prematurely because I was

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exiting on the intuitive approach and I

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knew that the move was over already and

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it wasn't going to reach its Target so I

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was kind of like well I don't want to

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lose any more money I'll just close this

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I I'll move my stop to break even on

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these so that was a strategy approach

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really disappointed basically Drew down

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two accounts not great so the next one

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which one was this one this was the algo

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approach we had some issues with this as

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well in fact it's only really traded

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probably just over a week the first week

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I was wondering why it wasn't taking

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that many trades it took a trade at the

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start won it and then it didn't take

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many more trades after that the problem

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was which I discovered was it was on the

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wrong price chart so it was on an hourly

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chart instead of a five minute changed

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that and all of a sudden bang I think

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with the first trade was a win we grew

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the account by 50% and then promptly

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drew it back down to below the starting

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level and we're now back over I think

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like 10 bucks in profit it is risking

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10% on the account as well so when you

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do start losing you know the losses are

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going to be much bigger than the wins

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especially when you start getting some

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growth so I'm going to let that run and

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see how that progresses the win rate was

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pretty good 75% 59% for shorts profit

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Factor 1.08 okay all right you know just

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it's above break even so this was the

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intuitive account and essentially what I

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didn't think would work very well it's

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interesting that you know I didn't think

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it would work very well I kind of went a

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bit gangho at the start and I was just

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like well it's probably going to fail

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anyway next thing I'm at like 50% of the

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account balance going what the hell this

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thing's working really well all these

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trades that I wanted to take in the past

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but never took them for whatever reason

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they didn't match my rules they did they

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had one thing wrong there was so many

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reasons I wouldn't take these trades and

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in this account I felt like I've got

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freedom to take the trade I feel it's

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right I know kind of what's going to

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happen I feel like I know what's going

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to happen or it's high probability trade

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I'm just going to take the trade so it

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gave me a whole lot of freedom that I

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hadn't had before

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now yeah we had a couple of hiccups here

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and then this loss here was actually

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part of the strategy account and I'd

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made a change to my trade manager robot

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that I run on the price chart and it's a

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long story I'm not going to get into it

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here but long story short this account

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this trade belongs to the strategy

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account so I use the trading mentors

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best tool ever right this is the trading

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mentors best tool ever I'm going to show

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you guys what that is right now it

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is Adobe Photoshop so that's a joke so

play06:31

uh right so I've got rid of that trade

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I've moved the price chat up just to

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show you what it kind of really would

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have looked like had that trade not been

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in the account unfortunately I've

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promptly lost a tra full trade just

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after doing this and i' I pretty much

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broke even on two more so let's just

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call it one full loss and it looks like

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it's going to get stopped out and so

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we'll be probably one full loss on the

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day which was going to take me down to

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probably down here somewhere but overall

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it's been doing really well and I think

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I've kind of been a little bit hesitant

play07:02

here because the losses are much bigger

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and I sort of was freaked out that this

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has gone so well I've kind of need to

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just reset myself again to to start

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trading this normally and think I'm not

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just doing this as part of a challenge

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this is probably going to be my new way

play07:16

of trading going forward it's not just

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ended there so let's have a look there

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was the win rate is really high okay so

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I'm getting out early on a lot of Trades

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but I just don't want to you know I'm

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trying to keep the profits that I've got

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and I want the account to grow I'm not

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going to you know just sacrifice

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something if price or a trade doesn't

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look like it's going to work out I'm

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going to get out of that so the win rate

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is over 85 five well 88% here for Longs

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and 83% for shorts overall that's 86%

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win rate and it's 65 trades but I

play07:47

believe the way that metat Trader does

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it is you know if you take a partial or

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call out a trade which is not really a

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trade but it's yeah I'm trading a lot

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kind of taking maybe two or three maybe

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in four trades a day

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at the start I think I was taking a lot

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of Trades so it depends on the day and

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if the Market's looking like it's you

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know going to be flexible I'm just look

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at that trades just hit break even so

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I've also added this into my swing

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trading approach so this is what I've

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been doing with in the telegram channel

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that I've just shown you here so every

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day I'm putting these swing trades up

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now I've was using a strategy and it was

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primarily a strategy with a little bit

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of an intuitive approach chucked in

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there on Au only now I'm actually moving

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more to everything is intuitive yeah the

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strategy Creeps in there now and again

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because to be intuitive you kind of need

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to use different tools to get in and out

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of a trade and that's what I use and

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let's call them strategies but you can

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see here I mean I've only lost one trade

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in the the whole time of doing doing it

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none of these trades have actually gone

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over one hour so that's one of the sort

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of secrets to not losing that many

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trades and even the loss it's only a

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small loss is .13 not even 1 R so total

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uh for this is 3.01 I believe this is

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over the course of maybe a month maybe a

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little bit longer but you can see of

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that 3.1 if we just add these up here

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and see the total in the corner for the

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intuitive ones it's actually taken out

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quite a good given the fact there's not

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that many of them it's

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1.67 five six 1.67 so it's more than

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half of the return that has been

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generated through the insura of approach

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and a lot of that has only been the last

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week so that's 1. 24 in the last week so

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I don't know if this is going to carry

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on working here on the swing trading but

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I'm feeling more confident about it

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going forward and I want to give you

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guys something to walk away with on this

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video so if you are new to trading brand

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new to trading or even if you've been

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struggling for a while and you think I'm

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going to give this intuitive stuff just

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to go and just test it out see if what I

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already know through all the mentoring

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and whatever you've been taught on the

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years or your journey to date could be

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something that you can get to work if

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you take an intuitive approach to it now

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let's just jump into a random price

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chart here and what I'm going to do is

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give you a simple way to look at price

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now this was actually touched on with my

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last video that went up this week with

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Richard nassa so go back and check that

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out if you haven't seen it already

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because he goes into a lot of detail

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around this but in the general rule of

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thumb is we're looking to get in with a

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trend trade right so we want to go with

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the trend the trend is like an indicator

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in itself if you've got a trend price is

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likely to you know keep pushing in that

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direction so if you uh can find a trend

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that's probably the first thing you need

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to do and now what is a trend of what

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price going in One Direction right it's

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quite kind of simple now you can make

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that complex or as complex as you want

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but that's the general rule of the thumb

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so most people can see something going

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up something going down that's all we're

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looking for right so the other thing

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with Trends right is they usually pull

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back because they don't go up and down

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in a linear fashion and to get one

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looking exactly like this is highly

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unlikely so what we're going to do is

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marry this up against this so if we just

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have a look at high and low points here

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and marry these points up what we're

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going to find is that we kind of have

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identified our Trend here and you should

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be able to just go okay well if I can

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sort of marry these points up I haven't

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changed them all at all and identify

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that Trend then I know that it's going

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to pull back at some point and then push

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pull back push so if I can

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work out when is it going to pull back

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and then just get in at one of those

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pullbacks then that's possibly going to

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give me a good chance to win a trade now

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if I do that enough I'm going to win

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more trades and obviously grow an

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account so what we might do is just have

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a look at what if this goes wrong now

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let's imagine that this goes wrong right

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so we've got our Trend here we push back

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up

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here and we go okay here we go we're

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turning around we've got a be candle

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here here this is this is where we're

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going to get in oh no it goes up here we

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lose that trade okay so that's going to

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happen now and again and maybe you go

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okay well let's just ignore that and try

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and get in here we're going to go short

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again okay at what point do you decide

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that this thing over so you got to come

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up with some strategies to work out that

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this trend this downtrend has now

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finished how are you going to do that

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it's going to come with market

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experience so a Trader that helped me

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with this understand this was Nick sha

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so if you want to check out his he does

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intuitive trading really transparent

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Trader he's been on the show a few times

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and he's discovered that being intuitive

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is probably the best way to trade it was

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part of the reason I actually thought

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maybe I'll give this a go because it's

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something I've always wanted to do big

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shout out to Nick for for sharing that

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idea with me and I know a lot of other

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Traders as well so one that's one thing

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right is getting your market knowledge

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up getting an understanding of how price

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moves the next thing um that really

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helps me is the fact that my mentors

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giving me so many strategies to get in

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and out of Trades that and I just never

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get a chance to use them all but I do

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remember them all when I see the chart

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and when I look at Price candles I can

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pretty much work out when it's going to

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move or when it's going to change

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direction what trade should I avoid

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taking when's a trade running out of

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steam when should I move my stop to

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break even all that stuff now am I

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perfect data every time no not by any

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means but have I got a good feel for

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when a trade is the right one to get in

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on yes I do have I got a good feel for

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when Traders the wrong one to get in yes

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I do there's like so many things I know

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that I can bring into this trading now

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I'm not going to be able to teach you

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all of those here but if you do want to

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learn a simple strategy that my private

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Mentor did teach me then check out the

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link at the end of this video to go and

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find that video we've got a bunch of

play13:49

stuff going on over there with this cool

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little strategy which has helped a lot

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of Traders get profitable out of the

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gates hey folks one of you behind me I'm

play13:57

at blackball markets headquarters here

play13:58

in Oakland New Zealand speaking of VI

play14:00

you can get trading view paid plans for

play14:02

free at blackball markets saving you up

play14:04

to $600 a year that's right get either

play14:07

the essential Plus or premium plans

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absolutely free and all you need to do

play14:10

is trade from one lot a month at BLB

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markets and you can also get a 100%

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deposit bonus for your first deposit up

play14:16

to $1,000 all you need to do is click

play14:18

the trading up link in the description

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below so folks if you do want to carry

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on following this experiment see how I

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get on still trading intuitively swing

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trading day trading and with the alos as

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well then please head over to the link

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under this video where you're going to

play14:32

get access to my trading nut live

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telegram group and if you want to take

play14:36

things to the next level then head over

play14:39

to Cam's VIP so I've got all my stuff

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there and even doing group mentoring

play14:44

sessions if you do want help with your

play14:46

own trading go and check it out all over

play14:48

there on trading that and in the links

play14:50

in the description folks as I mentioned

play14:52

here's that video with a little strategy

play14:54

from my private mentor and we'll see you

play14:56

in the next video

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