Why the U.S. Could Start Buying Bitcoin Soon | What You Need to Know

Andrei Jikh
22 Jul 202414:11

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host discusses the evolving legitimacy of Bitcoin, highlighted by Larry Fink's change of heart and BlackRock's potential influence on its adoption. The script covers the possibility of Bitcoin becoming a strategic reserve asset under a hypothetical second term of President Donald Trump, and its implications for the crypto market. It also touches on factors affecting Bitcoin's price, such as Germany's Bitcoin sell-off and the recovery of funds from the Mt. Gox hack. The host speculates on the long-term effects of favorable crypto legislation and institutional investment on Bitcoin's value, while cautioning about the risks of personal investment in the volatile crypto space.

Takeaways

  • πŸ˜€ Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, has changed his opinion on Bitcoin, now viewing it as a legitimate and potentially valuable asset.
  • 🌐 There is speculation that Bitcoin could become a strategic reserve asset for the United States, similar to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
  • πŸ“‰ Bitcoin's price has recently dipped, partly due to Germany selling 50,000 Bitcoins from an illegal music sharing website and the market's fear of selling pressure from Mt. Gox's long-lost coins.
  • πŸ“ˆ Despite the dip, Bitcoin's price has recovered due to positive news in the crypto space, including the potential for Bitcoin to be recognized as a strategic reserve asset.
  • πŸ’‘ The video discusses the potential impact of Bitcoin being declared a strategic reserve asset on its price, suggesting that it might not significantly affect the price in the short term.
  • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The market is anticipating a pro-crypto stance from Donald Trump if he is reelected as president, which could influence Bitcoin's status and price.
  • πŸ’Ό BlackRock's influence could encourage other companies to add Bitcoin to their balance sheets, potentially increasing its adoption and value.
  • πŸ“Š Ark Invest's Kathy Wood has made a price prediction for Bitcoin by 2030, suggesting it could range from $258,000 to $1.5 million, depending on various factors.
  • πŸ”’ Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange and sponsor of the video, is highlighted for its security and transparency, offering new users the opportunity to earn Bitcoin.
  • πŸš€ The video suggests that favorable legislation and the removal of regulatory barriers could significantly boost the crypto industry and Bitcoin's price in the long term.
  • πŸ’‘ The presenter shares a personal perspective on Bitcoin investment, suggesting a balanced approach that includes a portion of one's portfolio in crypto to hedge against potential market changes.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of Larry Fink's opinion on Bitcoin according to the video?

    -Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, is considered influential in the financial world. His recent positive stance on Bitcoin is significant because it could indicate a shift in institutional investment perspectives towards cryptocurrencies, potentially leading to increased mainstream acceptance and investment in Bitcoin.

  • What is a strategic reserve asset and why is it mentioned in the context of Bitcoin?

    -A strategic reserve asset is a stockpile of resources that a country maintains for use in emergencies to stabilize the market. In the video, it's mentioned that there are rumors Bitcoin could become part of the U.S. strategic reserve asset policy, which could potentially legitimize its use as a financial instrument and impact its price and perception in the crypto space.

  • What is the connection between the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and the concept of strategic reserve assets?

    -The SPR is an example of a strategic reserve asset, specifically for oil. It serves as an emergency stockpile that the U.S. can use to stabilize the market in times of crisis. The video suggests that Bitcoin could potentially be used in a similar way, as a digital asset reserve for financial stability.

  • Why did the price of Bitcoin dip recently according to the video?

    -The video mentions two main reasons for the recent dip in Bitcoin's price: selling pressure from Germany due to the liquidation of 50,000 Bitcoins from an illegal music sharing website, and the distribution of funds from the Mt. Gox hack, which could lead to further selling by those receiving their share of the recovered assets.

  • What is the potential impact of Donald Trump's involvement in the Bitcoin Conference on the cryptocurrency's perception?

    -Donald Trump's participation in the Bitcoin Conference could influence public perception and potentially policy, given his past statements about cryptocurrencies. If he were to become president again, his pro-crypto stance might lead to policies that favor the adoption and integration of Bitcoin into the financial system.

  • How does the video suggest that BlackRock's stance on Bitcoin could influence corporate behavior?

    -The video suggests that if BlackRock, a leading wealth management company, endorses Bitcoin, it could encourage other corporations to add Bitcoin to their balance sheets, similar to what MicroStrategy and Tesla have done, thus increasing Bitcoin's adoption and potentially its price.

  • What is the role of Gemini in the video and how are they promoting Bitcoin?

    -Gemini is a cryptocurrency exchange and custodian that is sponsoring the video. They are offering new users the opportunity to earn Bitcoin when trading a certain amount within the first 30 days of signing up, which is a form of promotion to attract new users and encourage Bitcoin trading.

  • What is the potential long-term impact of Donald Trump's pro-crypto policies on Bitcoin's price according to the video?

    -The video suggests that if Donald Trump is reelected and implements pro-crypto policies, it could lead to other countries and corporations following suit, potentially increasing the demand for Bitcoin and thus its price in the long term.

  • How does the video discuss the potential for Bitcoin to be considered 'digital gold'?

    -The video discusses the idea that Bitcoin could be seen as 'digital gold', a store of value, especially if wealth management institutions like BlackRock endorse it. This could lead to a shift in investment strategies, with Bitcoin being included in portfolios as a hedge against inflation and economic instability.

  • What is the significance of the generational wealth transfer mentioned in the video in relation to Bitcoin?

    -The video suggests that as younger generations inherit wealth, they may be more open to investing in Bitcoin, especially if advised by wealth managers who recognize its potential as an asset class. This could lead to increased demand and a rise in Bitcoin's price.

  • How does the video address the potential risks of investing in Bitcoin?

    -The video acknowledges the risks of investing in Bitcoin by stating that it represents a portion of the speaker's portfolio, thus diversifying risk. It also advises viewers to be cautious and not to risk more than they can afford to lose, emphasizing the volatile nature of cryptocurrency investments.

Outlines

00:00

🌐 Cryptocurrency Legitimacy and Strategic Reserve Speculation

In the first paragraph, the speaker discusses the evolving perception of Bitcoin's legitimacy, citing Larry Fink's change of stance as a significant indicator. The mention of a Bitcoin Conference featuring Donald Trump fuels speculation about Bitcoin potentially becoming a strategic reserve asset, similar to the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserves. The speaker also touches on the historical context of the SPR and its current status, hinting at the broader implications of such a designation for Bitcoin.

05:01

πŸ“‰ Bitcoin's Price Fluctuations and Market Influencers

This paragraph delves into the reasons behind Bitcoin's recent price dip, attributing it to Germany's sale of confiscated Bitcoins and the ongoing impact of the Mt. Gox hack recovery. The speaker also addresses the recovery of Bitcoin's price due to positive news in the crypto space. A sponsorship mention for Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange, is included, highlighting the platform's features and a promotional offer for new users.

10:03

πŸš€ The Impact of Political and Financial Endorsements on Bitcoin

The third paragraph speculates on the potential impact of Donald Trump's pro-crypto stance and his possible re-election on Bitcoin's future. It also discusses the influence of BlackRock's CEO, Larry Fink, who has recently voiced support for Bitcoin as a legitimate investment. The speaker connects these endorsements to the possibility of Bitcoin being adopted as part of a nation's strategic reserves and its potential to challenge gold as a store of value.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a peer-to-peer network without the need for intermediaries like banks. It is the primary subject of the video, with discussions around its legitimacy, price fluctuations, and potential strategic reserve status. In the script, Bitcoin's price is analyzed, and its future is speculated upon in relation to political and economic factors.

πŸ’‘Strategic Reserve Asset

A strategic reserve asset refers to a stockpile of resources that a country maintains for use in emergencies to stabilize the market. The video discusses the possibility of Bitcoin being declared a strategic reserve asset by the U.S. government, which would signify its importance as a financial resource. The script uses the example of the Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) to illustrate this concept.

πŸ’‘Larry Fink

Larry Fink is the CEO of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management firm. His stance on Bitcoin is highlighted in the video as a significant endorsement, indicating a shift in traditional financial institutions' views towards cryptocurrencies. The script quotes Fink's change of opinion from skepticism to belief in Bitcoin's legitimacy and potential role in portfolios.

πŸ’‘Crypto Space

The term 'crypto space' is used to describe the broader ecosystem of cryptocurrencies and related technologies. The video mentions several developments in this space, including a Bitcoin conference and the potential influence of political figures on the crypto industry. It implies a dynamic and evolving environment for digital currencies.

πŸ’‘Price Dipped

The phrase 'price dipped' refers to a temporary decrease in the market value of an asset, in this case, Bitcoin. The video script explains two major reasons for Bitcoin's price drop, including selling pressure from Germany's liquidation of confiscated Bitcoins and the return of funds to victims of the Mt. Gox exchange hack.

πŸ’‘Mt. Gox

Mt. Gox was once the largest Bitcoin exchange that suffered a major security breach in 2014, leading to the loss of a significant amount of Bitcoin. The video script mentions the ongoing process of returning a portion of the lost funds to affected users, which has an impact on the current market due to potential selling pressure.

πŸ’‘Kathy Wood's Price Prediction

Kathy Wood is the founder, CEO, and CIO of ARK Invest, an investment management firm known for its focus on disruptive innovation. The video references her bullish price prediction for Bitcoin by 2030, suggesting a range from $258,000 to $1.5 million per coin, based on macroeconomic factors and the potential for Bitcoin to become a part of strategic reserve assets.

πŸ’‘Deregulation

Deregulation refers to the reduction or elimination of government regulations in various sectors, which can encourage innovation and growth. The video suggests that a pro-crypto political environment, such as one potentially led by Donald Trump, could foster deregulation that benefits the crypto industry by removing barriers to its development and adoption.

πŸ’‘Institutional Investment

Institutional investment involves large-scale investments made by organizations such as banks, insurance companies, and pension funds. The video posits that institutional investors could play a significant role in increasing Bitcoin's price by adding it to their portfolios, which would bring more stability and legitimacy to the cryptocurrency market.

πŸ’‘Digital Gold

The term 'digital gold' is used to describe Bitcoin's potential to serve as a store of value similar to gold but in a digital form. The video suggests that Bitcoin could challenge the market dominance of gold, especially if it gains favor with institutional investors and wealth managers advising their clients to include Bitcoin in their portfolios.

πŸ’‘Personal Finance

Personal finance refers to the management of an individual's financial resources, including budgeting, saving, and investing. The video script concludes with the creator's personal stance on Bitcoin, representing a significant portion of his portfolio, and an invitation for viewers to share their strategies. It highlights the personal nature of financial decisions and the varying levels of risk individuals are willing to take.

Highlights

Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, has changed his stance on Bitcoin, now viewing it as a legitimate investment opportunity.

A Bitcoin Conference featuring Donald Trump as a guest speaker is scheduled to be held in Nashville, Tennessee.

There are speculations that if Donald Trump becomes president again, he might declare Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.

A strategic reserve asset is a stockpile of resources that a country can use to stabilize the market in case of an emergency.

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) is an example of a strategic reserve asset, currently the world's largest emergency stockpile of oil.

The SPR was created in response to the 1973 oil embargo by OPEC against the United States.

Bitcoin's price dipped due to Germany selling 50,000 Bitcoins obtained from an illegal music sharing website.

Mount Gox, the world's first crypto exchange, is returning funds to users after a decade-long hack, causing market fear and selling pressure.

Gemini, a US-based cryptocurrency exchange, is sponsoring the video and offering new users $100 in Bitcoin for trading $11,000 in crypto within the first 30 days.

Kathy Wood's price prediction for Bitcoin by 2030 ranges from $258,000 to $1.5 million, considering various macroeconomic factors.

Donald Trump has expressed pro-crypto sentiments, promising to support the crypto industry and prevent the creation of a central bank digital currency.

JD Vance, Trump's pick for vice president, has shown interest in tokens and crypto, indicating a pro-crypto stance.

Larry Fink's change of heart towards Bitcoin could encourage other companies to add Bitcoin to their balance sheets.

The potential for Bitcoin to be seen as 'digital gold' and institutional investment are significant factors in its price increase.

If Trump is reelected and Bitcoin becomes a strategic reserve asset, it could lead to other countries and corporations following suit.

The speaker suggests that deregulation and favorable crypto legislation could significantly impact the growth of the crypto industry.

The speaker maintains a personal portfolio allocation of 20-25% in crypto, balancing potential upside with risk management.

Transcripts

play00:02

I studied it learned about it and I came

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away saying okay you know my opinion 5

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years ago was wrong here's my opinion St

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this is what I believe in today I

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believe the opportunity today I believe

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Bitcoin is

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legitimate that was Larry thinkink the

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CEO of Black Rock which is a pretty big

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deal considering Black Rock owns the

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entire world no they don't but we'll get

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to that in just a minute because there's

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been a lot of exciting new developments

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in the crypto space since my last video

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this week there's going to be a Bitcoin

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Conference held in Nashville Tennessee

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and Donald Trump is supposed to be one

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of the guest speakers so right now the

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Internet is just taking a guess that if

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the former president Donald Trump

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becomes president again he could soon

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declare Bitcoin as what's called a

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strategic Reserve asset what a strategic

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Reserve asset is is a stockpile of

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resources for a country to use so that

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if it needs to in the case of an

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emergency it can use those resources to

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stabilize the market it's almost like a

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savings account but for an entire

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country and one example of how the

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United States uses strategic Reserve

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assets is something called

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the the spr is the Strategic petroleum

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reserves which today is the biggest

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emergency stockpile of oil in the world

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now why it was created is because in

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1973 the oil producing countries of the

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world or OPEC placed an embargo on the

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United States as punishment for

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supplying the Israel military with

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resources which those countries did not

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like and because the US didn't want to

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depend on OPEC for its oil in response

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to their embargo the US government

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created the energy policy and

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conservation Act 2 years later in

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1975 and that was the birth of the spr

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so think of spr as a savings account

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denominated in oil now side note the spr

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is supposed to hold over 700 million

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barrels of oil but today we're down to

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366 million which is the lowest level

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since the 1980s but that's just one

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example of a strategic Reserve asset now

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besides oil there's other Commodities

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like gold that the United States could

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use so it's not just one thing it's a

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combination of many things and right now

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there's rumors that Bitcoin could become

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a part of this strategic Reserve asset

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policy on the US balance sheet if that

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happens I want to help explain exactly

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what it could do to bitcoin's price and

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what it means for the crypto space as

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well as some of the other super exciting

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things that have been happening so let's

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get into it hi my name is Andre J hope

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you're doing well come for the finance

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and stay for the crypto so first let me

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cover everyone's favorite topic which of

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course is the price because bitcoin's

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price dipped all the way down to the 50s

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this month and why it happened might

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someday be known as one of the biggest

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Financial mistakes that a country has

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ever made even worse than the Bitcoin

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Pizza story because instead of selling s

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ing 10,000 Bitcoins for two pizzas

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Germany got a hold of 50,000 Bitcoins

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from an illegal music sharing website

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and then sold it for almost $3 billion

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now that's a lot of money but how much

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is it for an entire country time will

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tell what that money will eventually be

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worth but that's one of the reasons why

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the price dipped is because of selling

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pressure of 50,000 Bitcoins by an entire

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country now the second reason why the

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price dipped is because of Mount gaau

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now if you're not old enough to remember

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Mount gox was the world's first official

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crypto exchange that's where people used

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to buy sell and even hold their coins

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unless you were a super Savvy computer

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tech nerd you were probably holding all

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of your coins on that website but what

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people didn't really know at the time is

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that Mount goau used to be a forum for

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Magic the Gathering the trading card

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game so it didn't exactly have the best

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security and eventually the exchange was

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hacked and the coin were lost to history

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or so we thought because after 10 long

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years people are finally starting to get

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a portion of their money back which of

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course today is worth a lot more money

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than it was back then the market is just

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afraid that a lot of those people could

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end up selling their coins which creates

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more selling pressure which creates more

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fear and the price goes down but those

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are the two major reasons why the price

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has been all over the place but what's

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even crazier is that the price going

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down didn't last last that long and the

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price recovered because of all the crazy

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bullish news that's happening so here's

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what's going on first I just want to

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quickly say that throughout this video

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I'm not asking anyone to buy or invest

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in anything my financial journey is for

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your transparency it's for your

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education and entertainment and that

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includes showing you the tools in the

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apps that I use to invest with and

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that's why I want to quickly take the

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moment to thank the sponsor of this

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segment of the video Gemini Gemini is a

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us-based company out of New York their

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regulated by the government they're

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available in all 50 US states and 70

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countries they're also a full Reserve

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cryptocurrency exchange and custodian

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they were founded in 2014 and have been

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a crypto native since day one and

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they're offering new eligible users the

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opportunity to earn $100 in Bitcoin when

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they trade $11,000 in crypto in the

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first 30 days of signing up Gemini also

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has tools for new and advanced Traders I

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personally use their active Trader to

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buy my Bitcoin because I found it's one

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of the cheapest options out there and

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then I transfer it off the exchange to a

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hardware wallet but their team has been

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around since the early days of crypto

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and they're super focused on the

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fundamentals like security and

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transparency features like pass Keys

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support their industry-leading account

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security standards and are important way

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to keep their accounts safe you can sign

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up and start trading with Gemini today

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to earn $100 in Bitcoin with my link

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down below but please use common sense

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don't risk your life savings crypto can

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be risky so please stay safe thank you

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Gemini for sponsoring this segment of

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the video and now let's get back to it

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so here's what's happening let me take

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you back to Kathy Wood's price

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prediction for Bitcoin by the year 2030

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the forecast was our bull case was $1.5

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million in 5 years so that would have

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been 2027 we still have time Kathy gave

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eight big picture macroeconomic reasons

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that were very well thought out on why

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Bitcoin could be worth anywhere from

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258,000 all the way to $1.5 million a

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coin by the year 20130 keep that chart

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in mind because I'm going to show it to

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you again soon what's happening is the

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market is predicting that the former

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president Donald Trump could become

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president again and if he does he could

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fulfill one of the categories on that

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chart and how we know that look it up

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you're going to be very very surprised

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just checking if you're still awake now

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why the market is actually predicting

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all this is because it was reminded that

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Donald Trump is a very Pro crypto

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candidate because here's what he

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actually said about Bitcoin at a couple

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of his rallies I will ensure that the

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future of crypto and the future of

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Bitcoin will be made of the USA not

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driven overseas I will support the right

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to self- custody to the nation's 50

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million crypto holders I say this with

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your vote I will keep Elizabeth Warren

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and her goons away from your

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Bitcoin and I will never allow the

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creation of a central bank digital

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currency so all that's really good news

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for crypto but it's not just Donald

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Trump it's also his pick for vice

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president JD Vance who even once gave a

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talk about tokens and crypto and the SEC

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so overall we know that Donald Trump and

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his cabinet the people that he'll choose

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to run the country are very Pro crypto

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that means if he's reelected he could

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make Bitcoin a strategic Reserve asset

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and here's what that means let's go back

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to Kathy Wood's prediction a strategic

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Reserve asset would fall under this

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category here the nation state treasury

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so think of the United States Treasury

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buying some Bitcoin for its own reserves

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so the market speculating or guessing

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that that could happen is what's driving

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the price of Bitcoin up this month but

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the question is if it does happen how

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much would it really affect bitcoin's

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price and the answer is probably not

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that much in all three of Cathy's

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predictions Bitcoin becoming a reserve

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asset doesn't have much of an effect on

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its price and you can see that the blue

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portion of the chart makes up a very

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small percentage that's because

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realistically even if that happens the

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United States is not going to start

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adopting Bitcoin as its Main Financial

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strategy and YOLO everything so it's not

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going to budge the price in any

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meaningful way but if Mr Trump is

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reelected there could be two other

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levels that could have a huge effect on

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bitcoin's price those two categories are

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digital gold and institutional

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investment in all three predictions

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these two categories play the biggest

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roles in boosting bitcoin's price so now

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the question is how exactly L is Mr

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Trump going to get Bitcoin to challenge

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gold and companies and institutional

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investors to start buying up some

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Bitcoin and I think the answer is Black

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Rock now if you're not sure who they are

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they own and control the entire world

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just kidding black rock is the biggest

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asset wealth management company in the

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entire world with over $10 trillion in

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assets under management but they don't

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actually run the world I mean maybe they

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do they might be the Illuminati but I

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don't think so they do have a lot of

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resources and a lot of influence but

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they don't own the stock market any more

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than Robin Hood owns the stock market

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remember their business model is to

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manage money for their wealthy clients

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so all that money that black rock has is

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mostly their clients money it's weird

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that I have to make this distinction but

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I feel like it's important in this day

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and age now Larry thinkink who's their

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CEO was a huge skeptic of Bitcoin for a

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really long time and just a couple days

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ago in an interview he came out as a big

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believer of Bitcoin and here's what he

play10:02

said I studied it learned about it and I

play10:06

came away saying okay you know my

play10:09

opinion 5 years ago was wrong here's my

play10:11

opinion St this is what I believe in

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today I believe the opportunity today I

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believe Bitcoin is legitimate that

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allows you to have maybe uncorrelated

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non-correlated type of returns I believe

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it is an instrument that you invest in

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when you're more frightened though it is

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an instrument When You Believe that Co

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countries are debasing their Curren by

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excess deficits and some countries are I

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believe we have um countries where

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you're frightened of your everyday

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existence and have an opportunity to

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invest in in a a something that is

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outside your country's control then you

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can have more financial control and so

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I'm a a major believer that there is a

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role for Bitcoin and in portfolios I

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believe you're going to see that as a

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as one of the asset classes that we all

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look at I look at it as digital gold as

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I said before and I believe there's a

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great industrial use for it and and I

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think a lot of people are missing that

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now why all of this matters so much

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though is because if companies get a

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green light from the most respected

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wealth management institution of all

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time they could start to add Bitcoin to

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their balance sheets just like Michael

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sailor did with micro strategy and Elon

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Musk did with Tesla at one point and the

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same is true for challenge ing the

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market dominance or the market cap of

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gold which I could see accelerating when

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wealth managers start to advise their

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younger clients which are starting to

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inherit money from the greatest

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generational wealth transfer of all time

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that they should also have 1% of Bitcoin

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in their portfolios instead of or in

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addition to their parents gold but now

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let me just sort of tie all of this

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together please keep in mind that from

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this point onward it's just one opinion

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it's one random guy on your phone's

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opinion but the way I see it happening

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is deregulation which is what Donald

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Trump is standing for also favorable

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crypto legislation and hopefully a new

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SEC that does not stand in the way of

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building crypto businesses you add all

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that up and it's a huge deal now by

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themselves all these popular people

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talking about Bitcoin doesn't really do

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anything for bitcoin's price when

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someone famous mentions Bitcoin it only

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affects the price in the short term and

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that's good for people that like to

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trade because volatility can create some

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opport OPP unities to make some money

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but what really matters is the long term

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if Donald Trump manages to get reelected

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and if he announces Bitcoin to be the

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Strategic Reserve asset even though by

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itself I don't think the buying pressure

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will have much of an effect on bitcoin's

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price what I think it will do is it will

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give the confidence for other countries

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to follow the United States we could

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lead by example and I think Mr Trump

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understands that and it's not just other

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countries it's other corporations buying

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Bitcoin and adding it to their balance

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sheet as well and in the long term that

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will have compounding effects on

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bitcoin's price and maybe this year we

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could start seeing some fireworks and

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price predictions coming true but I

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think that by removing people that stand

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in the way of crypto's progress that

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allows crypto companies to compete with

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the old Financial systems that are so

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outdated and that's what I think will

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grow the system in the long term now

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personally I don't know what I don't

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know so crypto and Bitcoin still repres

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represents anywhere from 20 to 25% of my

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portfolio and that means I'm not going

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to make as much money that's the

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downside but the upside is if I'm wrong

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and a bunch of other people that are way

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smarter than me are wrong and this stuff

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is worth zero tomorrow then I should be

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just fine because I have the other 75%

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to work with and I'm okay with that

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that's personal finance it's personal to

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me but I'd love to hear your strategy

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and what you think and as always I hope

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you have a wonderful rest of your day

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smash the like button subscribe if you

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haven't already don't forget to grab

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your free stocks links are down below go

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track them automatically with a

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spreadsheet link Down Below in my

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patreon thank you so much for watching

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this video I'd love to see you back here

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next week I'll see you soon bye-bye

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Related Tags
BitcoinCryptocurrencyStrategic ReserveMarket AnalysisInvestment StrategyDonald TrumpLarry FinkBlack RockAsset ManagementFinancial PredictionsCrypto Conference