EUA é um país que convive com a violência política no cotidiano, diz professor | AGORA CNN

CNN Brasil
14 Jul 202410:02

Summary

TLDRThe discussion revolves around the implications of an assassination attempt on the US elections, highlighting security failures despite heavy presence. It touches on the historical context of political violence in the US, with past presidents being assassinated or attacked. The conversation delves into the polarization in American society, the influence of the Second Amendment on gun culture, and the challenges faced by Joe Biden's campaign in the aftermath. The potential shift in campaign strategies and public perception, especially considering the 'Manifest Destiny' mindset in American culture, is also explored.

Takeaways

  • 🔒 The security scheme in the United States showed a significant flaw, as an assailant was able to get close to a high-profile event with strong security presence.
  • 🇺🇸 Despite the presence of security at the event, warnings from witnesses about the shooter were not acted upon, indicating a need to rethink security measures for future elections.
  • 🔫 The United States has a history of political violence, with several presidents being assassinated or attacked during their terms, including Abraham Lincoln, William McKinley, and John F. Kennedy.
  • 🤔 The discussion raises the question of whether the security services, such as the Secret Service, Department of Justice, and FBI, have the capability to track and neutralize threats effectively.
  • 🔍 The incident happened under a Democratic administration, which is expected to ensure the safety of all candidates, raising concerns about the government's ability to protect its political opponents.
  • 🌐 The United States is currently experiencing a polarized political climate, with the assassination attempt on Donald Trump potentially intensifying the divide between Republicans and Democrats.
  • 🔑 The Second Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which allows citizens to bear arms, is highlighted as a contributing factor to the ease of access to firearms and potential for violence.
  • 🤝 The discussion suggests that the combination of the Second Amendment and a polarized society may lead to a more complete understanding of the motivations behind political violence.
  • 📺 The assassination attempt has changed the campaign dynamics, with previously scheduled advertisements and attacks on Trump being pulled, indicating a shift in campaign strategies.
  • 📉 Joe Biden's campaign may be negatively impacted as the incident could be perceived as political persecution, potentially strengthening Trump's narrative as a political martyr.
  • 📉 There is pressure on Biden to step down, with some campaign donors suspending their support until he is replaced, which could change the narrative of the campaign.

Q & A

  • What was the main topic discussed in the interview with Professor Lucas Leite?

    -The main topic discussed was the motivations and consequences of an assassination attempt that significantly impacts the American elections, as well as the implications for security and the political climate in the United States.

  • What security lapse was highlighted in the discussion?

    -The security lapse highlighted was that despite the presence of U.S. security forces at the event, an assailant was able to get close to the location, and despite witnesses alerting the security forces, no action was taken.

  • What historical context was provided regarding political violence in the United States?

    -The historical context provided mentioned that several U.S. presidents, such as Abraham Lincoln, William McKinley, and John F. Kennedy, were assassinated during their terms, and others like Ronald Reagan and Franklin D. Roosevelt faced assassination attempts.

  • How does the script suggest the U.S. deals with political violence on a daily basis?

    -The script suggests that the U.S. still coexists with political violence in its daily life, and it is expected that the Secret Service, Department of Justice, CIA, and FBI would have a better capacity to track and neutralize threats.

  • What is the role of the Second Amendment in the context of the discussion?

    -The Second Amendment is mentioned as a factor that allows U.S. citizens to have access to firearms, which contributes to the culture of political violence and the ease with which individuals can resort to arms to resolve issues.

  • How does the script describe the polarization in the United States?

    -The script describes the polarization as a society that is divided into smaller and more radical groups, particularly between a radical right-wing associated with Donald Trump and the government of Joe Biden.

  • What impact did the assassination attempt have on the election campaign dynamics?

    -The assassination attempt led to a halt in the campaign dynamics, with previously scheduled advertisements and attacks on Donald Trump by Joe Biden's campaign being withdrawn, creating a kind of 'quarantine' for the elections.

  • What challenges does Joe Biden face in the aftermath of the assassination attempt?

    -Joe Biden faces challenges in terms of his legitimacy as a candidate and the pressure to withdraw from the race, as well as the need to restructure his campaign to continue attacking Donald Trump without appearing to persecute him.

  • How does the script suggest the American culture might perceive Donald Trump post-assassination attempt?

    -The script suggests that the American culture, based on the Manifest Destiny, might perceive Donald Trump as a chosen one who survived an assassination attempt, potentially strengthening his narrative.

  • What is the potential impact of campaign donors suspending their support for Joe Biden's campaign?

    -The potential impact is that it might signal a lack of confidence in Biden's campaign, possibly leading to a narrative that Democrats are under pressure and considering a replacement for Biden.

  • What does the script imply about the control of the narrative in the current political climate?

    -The script implies that regardless of the circumstances, Trump and the Republicans have control over the narrative, which could be a significant factor in the election dynamics.

Outlines

00:00

🔒 Security Breach and Political Violence in US Elections

The first paragraph discusses a significant security failure during an event that has drastically changed the course of American elections. It highlights the presence of security at the event and the failure to act despite warnings about a shooter nearby. The conversation emphasizes the need to reevaluate security measures for future elections and the responsibility of the next president. It also touches on the historical context of political violence in the US, with references to past assassinations of presidents like Abraham Lincoln and John F. Kennedy, and attempts on others, such as Ronald Reagan. The discussion points to the persistent issue of political violence and the expectation for better threat management by security agencies. Additionally, it raises the question of whether the assassination attempt on Donald Trump is a result of polarization in the US, possibly related to the Second Amendment and the ease of access to firearms.

05:02

📺 Impact of Assassination Attempt on US Election Campaigns

The second paragraph delves into the immediate effects of the assassination attempt on the US election campaigns, drawing parallels to the situation in Brazil when Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed. It mentions how the planned advertising for Joe Biden, which included attacks on Donald Trump, was halted, leading to a 'quarantine' of the election campaign. The summary examines how this event could alter the dynamics between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, particularly Biden's strategy in light of the incident. It suggests that Biden's situation has worsened, as he was already facing scrutiny over his vitality and leadership capabilities. The incident may make it more challenging for Biden to contrast himself with Trump's energy and vitality. The summary also discusses the potential repercussions of the halted campaigns, the need to reevaluate campaign narratives, and the cultural aspects of the American public's perception of destiny and chosen ones, which could influence the public's view of Trump post-assassination attempt. Lastly, it touches on the pressure for Biden to withdraw and the implications for the Democratic party in the lead-up to the elections.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Assassination Attempt

An assassination attempt refers to an effort to kill a high-profile figure, often a political leader. In the video's context, it is central to the discussion as it explores the implications of an assassination attempt on American politics and the election process. The script mentions past assassinations of U.S. presidents such as Abraham Lincoln and John F. Kennedy, highlighting the historical precedent for political violence in the country.

💡Security Breach

A security breach is a failure in the protective measures designed to safeguard an event or individual. The script points out a security breach during an event where the U.S. security forces were present but failed to prevent a shooter from getting close, indicating a need for reevaluation of security protocols in light of the incident.

💡Political Violence

Political violence involves the use of force or intimidation by individuals or groups to achieve political aims. The video discusses the enduring presence of political violence in the United States, referencing past assassinations and attempts as evidence of its historical and ongoing relevance.

💡Polarization

Polarization refers to the division of a society into opposing groups with little common ground. The script discusses the polarized political climate in the United States, suggesting that it may have contributed to the assassination attempt and the broader context of political violence.

💡Second Amendment

The Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution protects the right of the people to keep and bear arms. The video mentions this amendment as a factor contributing to the accessibility of firearms, which in turn influences the prevalence of political violence and the recent assassination attempt.

💡Manifest Destiny

Manifest Destiny is the 19th-century belief that Americans were destined to expand across the North American continent. The script alludes to a modern interpretation of this concept, suggesting that a cultural belief in American exceptionalism and divine favor may influence perceptions of political figures, including the victim of the assassination attempt.

💡Election Campaign

An election campaign is a series of activities and events aimed at influencing the electorate to vote for a particular candidate. The video discusses how the assassination attempt has forced a reevaluation of the ongoing election campaign, with previously planned advertisements and strategies being halted or altered.

💡Vitality

Vitality refers to the energy, spirit, or liveliness of a person. In the script, it is mentioned in the context of Joe Biden's perceived energy levels and his ability to lead the country, which has been called into question following the assassination attempt.

💡Radical Right

The radical right refers to political groups or ideologies that advocate for extreme conservative or reactionary policies. The video script suggests that the radical right, associated with Donald Trump, may be part of the polarized political landscape contributing to the current climate of political violence.

💡Martyrdom

Martyrdom is the state of having suffered or died for a cause. The script speculates that the assassination attempt could be framed as martyrdom for Donald Trump, potentially strengthening his narrative as a persecuted political figure in the eyes of his supporters.

💡Narrative Control

Narrative control refers to the ability to shape public perception and discourse around an event or issue. The video discusses how the Republicans, and by extension Donald Trump, have managed to control the narrative surrounding the assassination attempt, which could influence public opinion and election outcomes.

Highlights

The assassination attempt on Donald Trump has completely changed the dynamics of the US elections.

Despite high security presence at the event, the shooter was only a few meters away and was seen by witnesses but security forces failed to act.

This incident highlights the need to rethink security measures for future US elections and the next president.

Political violence against candidates is not uncommon in the US, with several presidents having been assassinated or targeted in the past.

The US Secret Service, Department of Justice, CIA, and FBI need to improve their ability to track and neutralize threats.

The incident occurred under a Democratic government, raising questions about ensuring the security of political opponents.

The US is currently experiencing a highly polarized political climate.

The assassination attempt has parallels to when Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed in Brazil, causing a halt in campaigning.

The incident may impact the tone and strategy of Joe Biden's campaign against Donald Trump.

Biden's campaign had been focusing on attacking Trump, but now needs to reconsider its approach to avoid appearing as persecution.

There is pressure on Biden to withdraw from the race, with concerns about his vitality and ability to lead.

The incident may affect undecided voters and those less likely to vote, potentially influencing the election outcome.

Campaign donors are reportedly suspending their support for Biden's campaign until he is replaced.

Replacing Biden could be a new strategy to change the narrative, but may also be seen as a concession to Trump.

Trump and the Republicans currently have control of the narrative surrounding the incident.

It will be challenging for Biden or any other Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the current climate.

Transcripts

play00:00

pra gente tentar entender as motivações

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e as consequências desse atentado que

play00:05

muda completamente as eleições

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Americanas Vamos conversar agora aqui

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nesse domingo com o professor de

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relações internacionais Lucas Leite

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agradeço a presença do Senhor Professor

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quero começar falando sobre o esquema de

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segurança mostrou uma falha caça nós

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tínhamos a segurança dos Estados Unidos

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toda presente naquele evento e tínhamos

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um atirador a poucos metros do local uma

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da as testemunhas que estava presente no

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ato chegou a vê-lo por lá avisou as

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forças de segurança e nada foi feito

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mostra que é o momento de repensar todo

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o esquema de segurança nas próximas

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eleições Americanas e até pro próximo

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presidente dos Estados

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Unidos é verdade né boa tarde í um

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prazer falar com você com todos que nos

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assistem na CNN de fato é uma falha

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muito grande que a gente não esperava já

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em 2024 né e um país em que a violência

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política contra candid datos é algo

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corriqueiro a gente esquece né que nos

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Estados Unidos outros presidentes já

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foram assassinados durante os seus

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cargos a gente pode pensar em Abraham

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Lincoln William mckinley no próprio

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Kennedy então esses são alguns dos nomes

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que a gente tem de de presidentes que

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foram assassinados durante o seu as suas

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presidências mas tivemos vários outros

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ainda que sofreram tentativas de

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assassinato Como o próprio Reagan né o

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Roosevelt entre vários outros sem contar

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os planos que existiram para

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praticamente todos os presidentes nesse

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aspecto mostra-se que é um país que

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ainda sim convive com a violência

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política no seu dia a dia no seu

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cotidiano era de se esperar portanto que

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o serviço secreto departamento de

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justiça a cia o FBI tivessem uma

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capacidade melhor de conseguir

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acompanhar essas ameaças e obviamente de

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neutralizá-las antes que acontecesse

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algo desse tipo eh mais triste ainda

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pensar que isso acontece num governo

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Democrata que estaria pensando né que

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deveria pensar em garantir ao seu

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adversário né a segurança necessária

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para que ele competisse eh com total

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segurança com com a sua vitalidade

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necessária com tudo que fosse né com o

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melhor aspecto necessário a presidência

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da

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república Professor a gente vê um

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cenário Claro polarizado nos Estados

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Unidos mas o senhor faz uma boa

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lembrança nós tivemos pelo menos quatro

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presidentes assassinados três feridos a

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maioria republicanos isso é interessante

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Kennedy foi uma exceção como Democrata a

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que o senhor atribui essa tentativa de

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assassinato ao Donald trump o senhor

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acha que faz parte de um processo

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arrago de uma polarização nos Estados

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Unidos republicanos contra Democratas

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algo que é histórico ou pode ser

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atribuído também a segunda emenda dos

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Estados Unidos que permite com que o

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cidadão americano tenha acesso a armas

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de fogo mais facilmente do que em outros

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países Ótima pergunta eu vejo que esses

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dois fatores combinam entre si pra gente

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ter uma resposta mais completa a gente

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tem que lembrar que nos Estados Unidos

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esse artigo sego né da Constituição ele

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permite que as pessoas tenham acesso às

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armas em razão de uma perspectiva

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Liberal que diz que em última instância

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o cidadão pode ir contra o seu governo

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pode ir contra o estado né se defender

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desse estado se ele for de alguma forma

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autoritário ou tirânico isso fazia

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sentido na época que os Estados Unidos

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eram Uma colônia e logo né Depois que se

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tornou independente do Reino Unido que

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agiu de forma tirânica na na época

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contra as suas colônias hoje a gente

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pensa nos Estados Unidos enquanto um

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país já que tem instituições fortes que

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tem estabelecidas as suas regras do jogo

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tem juízes né tem um sistema judiciário

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que funciona muito bem então não faz

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muito sentido pensar nisso Porque já já

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existem muitas limitações ao governo

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federal nos Estados Unidos e boa parte

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perdão do que é decidido

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eh no nível local já é muito mais no

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nível dos Estados Então os estados têm

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muo autonomia tanto que nesse aspecto há

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sempre uma disputa na Suprema corte

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sobre em que medida os estados poderiam

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eh tirar a possibilidade de obter armas

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né ou dificultar por exemplo o porte de

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armas ou facilitar frente a essa decisão

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constitucional então Existe sim uma

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cultura de violência de violência

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política de armas essa ideia de que eh

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pode se resolver por si só os problemas

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e somado a isso um discurso polarizante

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né extremamente polarizado de uma

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sociedade que hoje está completamente

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pulverizada em grupos menores e mais

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ainda né está hoje se encontra hoje

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dividida especialmente entre um lado que

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é mais radical de uma direita radical né

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que a gente também chama de ultra

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direita que é de Donald trump e do outro

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lado do governo de Joe biden que em

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última instância também fala o tempo

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todo da necessidade de combater trump

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enquanto uma ameaça existencial aos

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Estados

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Unidos Professor vamos olhar um pouco

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pra campanha porque muda completamente o

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que vinha sendo discutido antes não

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importa mais a partir de agora muito

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parecido com o cenário aqui no Brasil

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quando Jair bolsonaro sofreu uma uma

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facada e tudo foi paralisado a gente vê

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a Mariana janj como tou essa informação

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de que por exemplo a publicidade que já

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estava programada pra televisão

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Americana de Joe biden com ataques a

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Donald trump tudo foi Tirado agora é uma

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espécie de quarentena das eleições

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Americanas em que medida isso pode mudar

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a partir de agora a relação entre Joe

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biden e Donald trump principalmente Joe

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biden em relação a ataques a Donald

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trump a situação do Joe biden piorou

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bastante eu digo isso não porque ele já

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enfrenta uma situação muito delicada que

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é de que o partido Democrata e os

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Democratas em geral já questionam a sua

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vitalidade a sua capacidade de liderar o

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país mas nesse momento em que ele

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precisava mais se contrastar com alguém

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que tem energia vitalidade frente a um

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trump que sempre mostrou isso bastante é

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o momento que talvez ele possa menos

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fazê-lo porque talvez atacar diretamente

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trump como era o objetivo da campanha

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nesse até então antes desse atentado eh

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hoje vai parecer Talvez uma perseguição

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talvez alimente a própria narrativa que

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vai ser construída pelos republicanos

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que de que trump é um mártir de que ele

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é perseguido de fato que ele é seguido

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político e de que os Democratas querem

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fazer de tudo E aí esse tudo né pode ser

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interpretado de várias formas para

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conseguir para evitar que Donald trump

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chegue ao poder e a gente ainda tem que

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lembrar que essas campanhas também foram

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paralisadas algumas principalmente

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porque elas falavam de eh atacar

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literalmente né no sentido de atacar a

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pessoa ah de Donald trump não no sentido

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físico mas de atacar a imagem dele de

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atacar a sua presidência de atacar o seu

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legado então tenta-se agora reverter

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esse processo Então vamos pensar assim

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são semanas meses para constituir uma

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campanha para criar uma narrativa para

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construir isso e colocar no ar e fazer

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aquilo funcionar na mente do público

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agora em menos de 24 horas Eles têm que

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paralisar toda essa campanha precisam

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refazer todo esse material de modo a

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continuar atacando Donald trump sem

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fazê-lo a ganhar força sem fazer com que

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ele continue sendo agora mais a ainda

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visto como perseguido político e tem uma

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cultura americana que é toda baseada no

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Destino Manifesto né daquele que é

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honrado pelo por Deus e que vai adiante

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então cria-se no Imaginário americano

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também essa visão eles ele saiu de um

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atentado e sobreviveu Talvez ele seja um

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escolhido Então tem muito isso na

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cultura americana também Professor havia

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uma grande pressão para que Joe biden

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desistisse e que um outro nome assumisse

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seu lugar depois desse atentado depois

play08:00

de um quadro bastante preocupante pros

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Democratas o senhor avalia que a pressão

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diminui já que há um receio eventual de

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outros candidatos de enfrentarem Donald

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trump em um outro

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cenário acho que ainda cedo pra gente

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ficar que essa situação atual do Joe

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biden né a discussão sobre a sua

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legitimidade enquanto candidato a

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presidência dos Estados Unidos e se isso

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vai mudar ou não eu acho que nesse

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momento que todas as pesquisas que vão

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ser feitas né partidos Vão buscar fazer

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muitas pesquisas nesse momento é

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entender em que medida aqueles que

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estavam indecisos principalmente ou

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aqueles que estavam Ah que não

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demonstravam vontade de sair de casa

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para votar né aqui nos Estados Unidos a

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votação não é obrigatória em que medida

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esse público foi atingido por essa

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narrativa atual e em que medida isso vai

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fazer com que eles se movimentem a votar

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E se for o caso em que medida eles vão

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votar para Donald trump por isso talvez

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ainda seja cedo pra gente apontar

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objetiva ente que isso vá piorar ou

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melhorar os índices de Joe biden ou que

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isso vai sustentar ainda mais a sua

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campanha Especialmente porque nós temos

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cada vez mais doadores de campanha

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suspendendo seus recursos paraa campanha

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de Joe barden enquanto ele não for

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substituído Talvez né a gente possa

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pensar que a substituição de Joe biden

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signifique uma cartada nova né um fato

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novo para poder mudar um pouco essa

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narrativa trazer algo diferente mas

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ainda assim Pode parecer né como a gente

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brinca né eh uma passada de recibo dos

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próprios Democratas no sentido de que

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eles sentiram essa pressão muito grande

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e trocaram por causa do trump ou seja em

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qualquer circunstância trump tem o

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controle da narrativa os republicanos TM

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o controle dessa narrativa Então eu acho

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que para Joe biden ou qualquer outro

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candidato que venha disputar a eleição

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contra Donald trump vai ser bastante

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complicado nós conversamos com o

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professor de relações internacionais da

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FAAP Lucas Leite Muito obrigado pela

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presença professor no AG a CNN nessa

play10:00

edição de domingo

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