ByPoll Election Results A Shocker for Modi? | Ajeet Anjum - Ravish सच सुन लो | Sanjay Dixit

The Jaipur Dialogues

13 Jul 202413:26

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the recent political scenario in India, focusing on the performance of various political parties in recent by-elections. It emphasizes the BJP's loss in 13 by-elections, where they secured only two seats, while the rest were won by other parties, with TMC gaining four seats. The script highlights the enthusiasm within the Congress party and the challenges faced by the BJP, including the need to counter the alleged 'gundaagardi' of TMC. It also touches upon the significance of social bonds in Bihar's politics and the surprising outcomes of certain seats, reflecting a consolidation of votes and a test for the upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections.

Takeaways

📢 The speaker is urging viewers to subscribe to their channel and support them by scanning QR codes, as there has been a recent decrease in subscriptions.
🏆 There have been 13 by-elections, resulting in the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) winning only two seats, while the remaining 11 seats were won by other parties, including four by the TMC, one by DMK, and one by the Aam Aadmi Party.
🎉 There is a surge of enthusiasm within the Congress party, particularly among its prominent members like Ajit, Anjum, and Ravi Kishan.
🗳️ The speaker highlights that in the 13 by-elections, not a single seat was previously held by the BJP, suggesting that their losses are not as significant as they may seem.
🤔 The speaker questions the BJP's strategy, implying that if they do not take strong action against TMC, people may not believe they can protect them from TMC's alleged thuggery.
🚫 The speaker suggests that fear may be preventing people from voting, as they are aware of potential attacks from TMC's goons if they vote against them.
📉 The BJP has lost the Badrinath seat in Uttarakhand, which is a significant loss as it was previously held by them.
🔄 There is a discussion about the shifting of political alliances, with examples given of politicians who have changed parties and the impact on election outcomes.
🏛️ The speaker mentions that in the by-elections, all the traditional seats were won by the same parties, indicating a lack of change in political dynamics.
📊 The speaker discusses the results of the by-elections in detail, pointing out the number of votes and the margins by which candidates won or lost.
🌐 The script touches on the broader implications of the by-elections for the upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections, suggesting that the real test for political parties will be in those elections.

Q & A

What is the primary request made to the audience in the transcript?
-The primary request is for the audience to subscribe to the channel and support it by scanning the QR code, as well as to join the subscription plans to strengthen the National Hindu Narrative Fund.
How many seats did the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win in the 13 by-elections mentioned?
-The BJP won only two seats in the 13 by-elections mentioned in the transcript.
Which party won the most seats in the by-elections, and how many did they win?
-The other parties collectively won 11 seats, with the TMC winning four, the DMK winning one, the Aam Aadmi Party winning one, and the remaining seats being distributed among other parties.
What is the current sentiment within the Congress party after the by-elections?
-The sentiment within the Congress party is of great enthusiasm and excitement, especially among Indira Alliance members like Ajit, Anjum, and Raveesh Kumar.
What is the significance of the Badrinath seat mentioned in the transcript?
-The Badrinath seat is significant because it was previously held by the BJP but was lost in the by-elections, highlighting the shift in political dynamics.
What happened to the Mangalore seat in Uttarakhand?
-The Mangalore seat, which is considered a Muslim seat, was won by a Congress candidate who previously lost by a narrow margin of 5,700 votes but won this time by a significant margin.
What does the transcript suggest about the BJP's strategy in West Bengal?
-The transcript suggests that the BJP may need to make significant moves against TMC to regain the trust of the people and show that they can protect them from TMC's alleged thuggery.
What was the situation with the seats in Himachal Pradesh as described in the transcript?
-In Himachal Pradesh, three seats were vacated due to the resignations of the incumbents. In the by-elections, two seats were won by the Congress and one by the BJP.
What happened in the Chhindwara constituency in Madhya Pradesh?
-In Chhindwara, where the Congress won eight out of eight seats previously, they lost the Amravati seat in the by-elections.
What was the outcome of the by-elections in Bihar, particularly in the Rupauli seat?
-In Bihar, the independent candidate Narendra Singh won the Rupauli seat by a significant margin, defeating the BJP candidate who was previously a JD(U) member.
What is the implication of the by-election results for the upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections?
-The implication is that the real test for the political parties will be the upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections, which will reveal the true strength and popularity of each party.

Outlines

00:00

📢 Urgent Call for Channel Subscription and Political Analysis

The speaker begins with an urgent request for viewers to subscribe to the channel and support it through QR scanning, emphasizing a recent drop in subscriptions. They discuss the results of 13 recent elections, highlighting that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has won only two seats, with the remaining 11 seats going to other parties, including four to the TMC, one to the DMK, and one to the Aam Aadmi Party. The speaker also mentions the enthusiasm within the Congress party and its alliances, as well as the challenges faced by BJP in West Bengal due to TMC's strong presence. They point out that BJP may need to make significant moves to regain trust among the people and counter TMC's influence effectively.

05:03

🏛 Analysis of Election Results and Political Dynamics

This paragraph delves into the outcomes of various regional elections, focusing on the BJP's losses and the implications for different political parties. It discusses the BJP's defeat in Badrinath and Mangalore seats, the latter being a predominantly Muslim area, and the victory of a Muslim candidate from the Congress party. The speaker also touches upon the BJP's failure to retain seats previously held by them due to defections to the TMC. The paragraph further explores the election results in Himachal Pradesh, where three seats were vacated by independents and won by the Congress and BJP. The discussion also includes the surprising defeat of Bima Bharti, a prominent candidate, and the victory of an independent candidate, Narendra Singh, in Bihar, indicating a shift in social alliances and political consolidation.

10:05

🗳 Reflections on Election Outcomes and Future Predictions

The final paragraph reflects on the election outcomes, particularly the BJP's performance and the impact on its political standing. It mentions the BJP's loss in the Jalandhar West seat and the AAP's resurgence in Punjab, where they managed to win a seat previously held by the Congress. The speaker also speculates on the upcoming elections in Uttar Pradesh, suggesting that the true test of political strength will be evident then. The paragraph concludes with a patriotic note, expressing support for India and a call for unity.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Subscription

Subscription refers to the act of signing up for a service or content, often on a regular basis. In the context of the video, the speaker is urging viewers to subscribe to their channel to support them, which is a common practice on platforms like YouTube to grow a channel's audience and revenue.

💡QR Code

A QR Code is a two-dimensional barcode that can be scanned using a smartphone to quickly access information or perform actions such as subscribing to a channel. The speaker mentions scanning a QR Code to support the channel, indicating a modern method of engaging with digital content.

💡National Hindu Narrative Fund

This term seems to refer to a fund or initiative that is associated with a particular political or cultural narrative related to Hinduism. The speaker mentions strengthening this fund, suggesting it is a cause or organization they are advocating for within the video's theme.

💡By-elections

By-elections are special elections held to fill a vacant office or seat before the end of a term. The script discusses the results of 13 by-elections, indicating a focus on political changes and outcomes that have occurred in these specific electoral events.

💡BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party)

The BJP is a major political party in India known for its right-wing ideology. The script mentions the BJP's performance in the by-elections, where they secured only two seats out of 13, which is a key point in the discussion of political outcomes.

💡TMC (Trinamool Congress)

The TMC is a regional political party in India, particularly strong in the state of West Bengal. The script notes that the TMC won four seats in the by-elections, highlighting their political success and relevance to the video's theme of election results.

💡Congress

The Indian National Congress, commonly known as Congress, is one of the major political parties in India with a history of leading the country. The script discusses the Congress's performance and enthusiasm within the party after the by-elections, indicating their role in the political landscape.

💡Gundagard

The term 'gundagard' is a Hindi word that translates to 'goons' or 'hooliganism' in English. The speaker mentions the BJP's need to counter the 'gundagard' of the TMC to gain public trust, showing a concern about law and order within the political context.

💡BJP's Loss

The script discusses specific seats where the BJP has lost, such as in Badrinath and Mangalore, which are significant for illustrating the party's setbacks in the by-elections. This term is central to understanding the video's narrative about political shifts.

💡Social Bonds

The concept of social bonds refers to the relationships and alliances within a society, often based on caste or community ties. The script mentions that social bonds play a significant role in election outcomes in Bihar, indicating the importance of these connections in the political context.

💡Independent Candidate

An independent candidate is someone who runs for office without being affiliated with a political party. The script notes the victory of an independent candidate, Narendra Singh, which is an important aspect of the narrative as it shows the influence of non-party-affiliated individuals in the election results.

💡Aam Aadmi Party

The Aam Aadmi Party, or Common Man's Party, is a political party in India known for its anti-corruption stance. The script discusses the party's performance in the by-elections, including winning a seat held by the Congress, which is relevant to the video's theme of political dynamics.

Highlights

A special request is made to the audience to subscribe to the channel as there has been a recent decrease in subscriptions.

The BJP has won only two seats out of 13 by-elections, with the remaining seats going to other parties.

Four seats were won by TMC, one by DMK, one by AAP, and three or four by other parties.

There is a surge of enthusiasm in the Congress party, especially among Indira Alliance members.

The BJP did not win any of the 13 seats in the by-elections.

Three of the four TMC seats won were previously won by the BJP in 2021, but the context is not fully explained.

People are afraid to vote due to the fear of attacks from TMC goons.

The BJP may consider making a dramatic move to regain trust among the people regarding law and order.

The BJP lost the Badrinath seat in Uttarakhand, which was previously won by the Congress.

The Mangalore seat in Uttarakhand, which is predominantly Muslim, was won by the Congress candidate.

The BJP's loss in the Mangalore seat is attributed to a significant vote cut by the BSP candidate.

In Himachal Pradesh, out of three seats, two were won by the Congress and one by the BJP.

The BJP's loss in the Chhindwara seat in Madhya Pradesh is highlighted, where they lost despite previously winning eight out of eight seats.

In Bihar, the interesting case of Rupauli where the BJP's candidate lost despite switching from JD(U) and getting a ticket from the BJP.

The victory of an independent candidate, Pappu Yadav, in Bihar is noted, despite not receiving a ticket from the BJP.

The consolidation of votes for the BJP in the Lok Sabha elections is discussed, with a focus on social alliances.

The AAP's resurgence and its impact on the Congress's hold in Delhi is mentioned.

The upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections are anticipated to be a true test for the political parties involved.