🚀Fed's Market Boost: Epic Crypto Disruption!🔥

InvestAnswers
10 Jul 202427:53

Summary

TLDRLe script de la vidéo aborde divers aspects de l'économie et des marchés financiers, notamment l'impact de la Fed sur les marchés, les enregistrements battus et l'activité des ETF Bitcoin. Il mentionne également l'intérêt croissant des grandes institutions pour les crypto-monnaies, l'acquisition massive de Bitcoin par des ETF américains et l'augmentation du capitalisation boursière globale du marché crypto. L'analyse inclut également des mises à jour sur Bitcoin, des perspectives pour Ethereum et des réflexions sur l'avenir de la technologie blockchain dans le secteur financier.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Le marché boursier semble être soutenu par la Fed, malgré une apparence qui pourrait suggérer une mauvaise performance globale, certains secteurs montrent des signes de croissance.
  • 💡 L'analogie de la bouteille de Coca-Cola est utilisée pour décrire un marché qui pourrait exploser à tout moment, suite à une grande désynchronisation entre les indicateurs du marché.
  • 💰 Des flux d'argent massifs ont été enregistrés dans les ETFs Bitcoin, avec une entrée de 660 millions de dollars en seulement 3 jours, et BlackRock est revenu avec une agressivité notable.
  • 📊 Le marché crypto a enregistré une augmentation du capitalisation boursière et des volumes de trading, malgré des fluctuations dans le prix de Bitcoin.
  • 😕 L'indice Fear and Greed a légèrement augmenté, reflétant une ambiance de marché toujours marquée par la crainte.
  • 🌐 La corrélation entre QQQ et Bitcoin est mentionnée comme un élément clé à surveiller, bien que le script ne fournisse pas de données spécifiques à cet égard.
  • 🔒 Les portefeuilles à long terme, principalement ceux qui sont en garde, ont accumulé 85 000 Bitcoins au cours des 30 derniers jours, un signe de la confiance des investisseurs dans l'avenir de Bitcoin.
  • 🇩🇪 Le gouvernement allemand a vendu des Bitcoins, ce qui a exercé une pression sur les prix, mais cela a également offert des opportunités d'achat pour d'autres.
  • 🏭 Marathon Mining a atteint 10% de la puissance de hachage globale, un point de vue sur l'importance des mineurs publics aux États-Unis.
  • 💼 Des analystes comme Bernstein commencent à étudier de manière approfondie les mineurs de Bitcoin et les proxies, ce qui est bénéfique pour la compréhension du marché.
  • 🏠 Les marchés immobiliers dans le monde entier sont devenus inabordables pour une grande partie de la population, ce qui pose des problèmes宏观经济 et sociaux.

Q & A

  • Quel est le sujet principal de la vidéo ?

    -Le sujet principal de la vidéo est l'impact de la FED sur les marchés financiers, y compris l'analyse des mouvements récents du marché des actions et des crypto-monnaies.

  • Quels sont les enregistrements récents importants que mentionne l'orateur ?

    -L'orateur mentionne des enregistrements récents tels que l'afflux massif de 660 millions de dollars dans les ETFs Bitcoin en 3 jours et le retour de BlackRock sur le marché.

  • Quel parallèle a-t-il fait avec la bouteille de Coca-Cola ?

    -Il a utilisé l'analogie d'une bouteille de Coca-Cola secouée pour décrire la tension sur les marchés qui pourrait aboutir à une explosion de croissance ou de valeur.

  • Quel est le lien entre QQQ et Bitcoin mentionné dans le script ?

    -L'orateur mentionne une corrélation entre QQQ et Bitcoin, bien que le détail de cette corrélation n'est pas expliqué dans le script fourni.

  • Quelle est la situation actuelle du marché des crypto-monnaies selon le script ?

    -Le marché des crypto-monnaies est en augmentation, avec une capitalisation boursière de plus de 2,15 trillions de dollars et un volume de transaction d'environ 65 milliards de dollars.

  • Quel est l'impact de la vente de Bitcoin par la gouvernement allemand sur le prix de Bitcoin ?

    -La vente de Bitcoin par le gouvernement allemand a provoqué une baisse du prix de Bitcoin, mais l'orateur suggère que cela peut être bénéfique en permettant à d'autres d'acheter des bitcoins à des prix plus bas.

  • Quelle est la perspective de l'orateur sur les portefeuilles détenus à long terme ?

    -L'orateur indique que les portefeuilles à long terme, principalement des portefeuilles conservateurs sans flux sortants, ont accumulé 85 000 bitcoins au cours des 30 derniers jours.

  • Quel est le rôle de Marathon Mining dans l'écosystème Bitcoin selon le script ?

    -Marathon Mining a atteint un point où elle représente 10% de la puissance de hachage totale globale, montrant la force des mineurs publics américains.

  • Quelle est la cible de prix de Bernstein pour Iris Energy ?

    -Bernstein a fixé une cible de prix de 17 dollars pour Iris Energy, soulignant l'intérêt croissant des analystes pour les mineurs de Bitcoin et les proxys de Bitcoin.

  • Quels sont les projets de tokenisation que Goldman Sachs prévoit-il de lancer d'ici la fin de l'année ?

    -Goldman Sachs a l'intention de lancer trois projets de tokenisation d'ici la fin de l'année, ce qui indique une adoption croissante de la technologie blockchain dans l'industrie financière.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Analyse du marché Bitcoin et ETF

Le premier paragraphe aborde la dynamique du marché Bitcoin et la récente augmentation des flux d'argent vers les ETF Bitcoin, avec une entrée massive de 660 millions de dollars en seulement 3 jours. Il mentionne également l'intervention de BlackRock et la hausse du capitalisation boursière globale du crypto-monnaie, malgré une volatilité marquée. L'auteur discute également de l'impact de la vente de Bitcoin par la Chine et de l'Allemagne sur le marché, ainsi que de l'accumulation de Bitcoin par des porteurs à long terme et des gros poissons du marché.

05:01

🏭 Mise à jour macroéconomique et perspectives du marché

Dans le deuxième paragraphe, l'auteur se concentre sur les mises à jour macroéconomiques, y compris les mouvements du marché Bitcoin et les prévisions de marché. Il mentionne l'intervention de la Fed et l'impact potentiel sur les marchés, en utilisant l'analogie d'une bouteille de Coca-Cola pour décrire une possible augmentation imminente du marché. Il discute également des enjeux liés à la Chine et aux États-Unis, ainsi que de l'intérêt croissant pour les crypto-monnaies comme le Bitcoin.

10:02

🌐 Développements technologiques et impact sur les marchés

Le troisième paragraphe explore les développements technologiques récents, notamment l'adoption de Bitcoin dans des pays comme la Serbie, où il est utilisé pour surmonter les défis liés à l'infrastructure bancaire. L'auteur mentionne également les perspectives d'avenir pour Ethereum, les commentaires de Vitalik Buterin lors d'une conférence et les progrès réalisés par d'autres blockchains comme Solana, qui menacent la dominance d'Ethereum.

15:04

🤖 Optimus et l'avenir de la main-d'œuvre

Dans le quatrième paragraphe, l'auteur se tourne vers les développements de Tesla et l'introduction d'Optimus, un robot capable d'effectuer des tâches complexes. Il discute de l'impact de ces technologies sur le marché du travail et sur l'économie, ainsi que de la réaction des marchés financiers à ces nouvelles technologies. Il mentionne également les défis posés par les short-sellers et les erreurs stratégiques des fonds d'investissement traditionnels.

20:05

🏘️ Problèmes mondiaux du marché immobilier

Le cinquième paragraphe examine la situation du marché immobilier, en identifiant les principales villes où le logement est devenu inabordable pour les ménages. L'auteur souligne les conséquences socio-économiques de cette situation et les implications pour les jeunes et les familles. Il propose également une perspective sur l'investissement dans les crypto-monnaies comme une alternative potentielle pour les investisseurs.

25:07

📉 Analyse économique et perspectives de la Fed

Le sixième et dernier paragraphe traite de l'économie globale et des politiques de la Réserve fédérale américaine. L'auteur analyse les implications des données économiques récentes et les attentes en matière de politique monétaire, notamment les coupes de taux qui pourraient stimuler davantage les marchés financiers. Il conclut en soulignant les opportunités pour les investisseurs et en encourageant à rester investis dans les actifs numériques.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡FED

La Fédération Réserve (FED) est la banque centrale des États-Unis, responsable de la politique monétaire et de la régulation du système financier. Dans le script, l'auteur mentionne que la FED est en train de stimuler les marchés, indiquant un lien entre les actions de la FED et les performances actuelles des marchés financiers.

💡Bitcoin ETFs

Les ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) Bitcoin sont des fonds qui investissent en Bitcoin et sont échangés sur les marchés boursiers. Le script mentionne un afflux massif de capitaux dans les ETFs Bitcoin, indiquant un intérêt renouvelé des investisseurs institutionnels pour les cryptomonnaies.

💡Correlation

La corrélation fait réfé à la mesure de la relation entre les mouvements de deux variables. Dans le script, l'auteur mentionne une corrélation entre le QQQ (un ETF de technologies) et Bitcoin, suggérant une analyse des tendances parallèles ou divergentes entre ces deux actifs.

💡Shaking a Coca-Cola bottle

C'est une analogie utilisée pour décrire une situation où une pression est accumulée et qui pourrait être libérée soudainement, comme lorsque l'on secoue une bouteille de Coca-Cola et qu'elle est ouverte. Dans le script, cela est utilisé pour illustrer une tension potentielle sur les marchés qui pourrait se libérer brusquement.

💡Fear and Greed

C'est un indicateur de sentiment du marché qui mesure l'ambiance globale des investisseurs entre la peur et l'avidité. Dans le script, l'auteur mentionne l'indice de peur et d'avidité comme un outil pour évaluer l'état psychologique des investisseurs par rapport au marché des cryptomonnaies.

💡Long-term holders

Les détenteurs à long terme sont des investisseurs qui gardent une position dans une valeur sur une longue période. Le script mentionne que les détenteurs à long terme de Bitcoin continuent d'accumuler, indiquant une confiance à long terme dans la valeur de Bitcoin malgré les fluctuations du marché.

💡German bag

Il s'agit d'une référence à la vente de Bitcoin par le gouvernement allemand, qui est décrite comme un 'sac' de Bitcoin. Dans le script, cela est mentionné pour expliquer l'impact de ces ventes sur le prix de Bitcoin et la perception du marché.

💡Scalability

La scalabilité fait réfé à la capacité d'un système à gérer une charge de travail accrue ou une augmentation du nombre d'utilisateurs. Dans le script, l'auteur discute de la scalabilité d'Ethereum et des défis qu'il a rencontrés pour atteindre une transaction par seconde (TPS) élevée, un aspect clé pour les blockchains.

💡DeFi

DeFi (ou Finance Décentralisée) est un terme utilisé pour décrire des applications financières basées sur des blockchains qui ne nécessitent pas d'intermédiaire centralisé. Le script mentionne DeFi pour souligner l'influence croissante de certaines blockchains dans cet espace.

💡TWAP

TWAP signifie Prix Moyen pondéré par le Temps et est utilisé pour décrire un type d'ordre d'achat ou de vente qui s'exécute au fil du temps sans affecter significativement le prix du marché. Dans le script, l'auteur mentionne TWAP comme un indicateur de l'activité des gros investisseurs sur certaines plateformes d'échanges.

Highlights

FED is lifting markets and records are being broken, suggesting a potential market upturn.

Bitcoin ETFs saw a huge inflow of $660 million in 3 days, indicating significant institutional interest.

Crypto market cap is higher with a volume of around 65 billion, showing ongoing market activity.

Long-term holders are accumulating Bitcoin, with 85,000 Bitcoin added to custodial wallets in the last 30 days.

Germany's Bitcoin sell-off is seen as a positive, providing an opportunity for others to acquire at lower prices.

Marathon mining now has 10% of the total global hash rate, showcasing the power of US public miners.

Serame presidential candidate suggests using Bitcoin to bank the unbanked due to lack of banking infrastructure.

Bybit becomes the number two crypto exchange, surprising many who thought Coinbase was the largest.

Ethereum's future vision includes doubling down on strengths and fixing inadequacies.

Ethereum is close to achieving usability after 10 years of development, a milestone in its evolution.

Salana's on-chain trading volume is ending Ethereum's dominance and surpassing other chains.

Salana has outperformed all major chains and sectors over the last 30 days, according to DeFi Lama.

Goldman Sachs is planning to launch tokenization projects, potentially using blockchain technology.

Fire Dancer has built its first blockchain version validator, a crucial step for integration into the Salana ecosystem.

Tesla's new Optimus robot design promises advanced capabilities, such as playing the piano and threading a needle.

Housing markets worldwide are becoming impossibly unaffordable, impacting families globally.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell hints at labor market balance, suggesting potential rate cuts.

Markets predict a high chance of a rate cut in September, which could push stocks to new highs.

S&P 500 continues to break new all-time highs, indicating a bullish market trend.

Transcripts

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uh this year ever so thank you all for

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coming this story hopefully it's working

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now you can see me live let me

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see see if this Che freezes face is

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frozen that means it's annoying and my

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back is out yeah so well it's me life

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just waiting for the deck to come in but

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the story today is really all about how

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the FED is lifting markets and a whole

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bunch of records that are being broken

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and it may not appear like the markets

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doing well but certain things are and

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certain things are about to pop I had

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the analogy yesterday from Mil Road

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about shaking a Coca-Cola bottle and

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then boom that time could be coming

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because there is a big disconnection

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between actually I forgot to show it I

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haven't showed it in a while the

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correlation between the QQQ and Bitcoin

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but that's coming soon anyway hopefully

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let me know if I'm still frozen

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everybody thank you as well to K8 and

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everybody else um there's been a big

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move as well in a lot of pain so

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struggling here so bear with me

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everybody uh Bitcoin ETFs had a huge

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inflow $660 million in 3 days massive

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black rock came back with a vengeance

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over the last three days too the major

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player that I've been kind of suspicious

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of because they did nothing for weeks

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and now all of a sudden the buys are

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happening crypto Mark cap is higher than

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yesterday is about 2.15 trillion volume

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still around 65 billion Bitcoin uh let's

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see where it is now I know that Tesla

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that Bitcoin 572 is down because the

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Germans continue to jump we'll talk

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about the German bag and what's left uh

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fear and greed is 28 up a little bit

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from yesterday but let's get into it and

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of course none of this is financial

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advice uh yeah drop me a comment in the

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notes here I'm seeing

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if I'm still frozen

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anyway might as well have fun with this

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and a shout out to patreon and make all

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this possible every single day without

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fail no matter what Ryan Corbett hello

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you Tobe patreon welcome in Ryan welcome

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to the team let's look at the little bit

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of the Bitcoin macro update first before

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we get into the crazy news that's really

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coming and that's why I had to shake

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this up a little bit today because

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there's simply so much news cannot not

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cover it ETF macro update three big

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updates black rock is back but the

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bigger news is this not only do we have

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a fourth positive day but 11,500 nearly

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12 ,000 Bitcoin were swallowed in 3 days

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that's 26 times the daily

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issuance monster acquisition okay and a

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lot of people are like so sad about

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Germany selling and it's taking the

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Bitcoin price down but you have to

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understand this is actually a good thing

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Wipe Out the Clean Hands look at the

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amount of acquisition made by just the

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US ETS for getting everybody else but

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there's more there's a lot more stacking

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while many are Panic selling

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many are getting fed up many are going

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for the doors the long-term holders

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mostly custodial wallets with no

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outflows accumulated

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85,000 Bitcoin in the last 30 days

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everybody

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85,000 and these wallets are not ETFs

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they are not exchanges they are not

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Miners and during the same period a

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little bit Flo out of the the Bitcoin

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ETFs but now I think uh for the first

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weeks about 15,000 flew out but look how

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much 15,000 were bought in the last 3

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days that is how you know there's a

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funny meme where they make fun of a I

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think it's a panic seller with Bruce Lee

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or something it's exactly like it is

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he'll he'll tell you the right way now

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other evidence proof point from the team

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of crypto Quant that whales and

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long-term holders are stacking hard here

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you see how they are added to adding to

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their Holdings at the fastest monthly

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rate since April

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2023 that's nearly a year and a half ago

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ladies and gentlemen and Bitcoin Wales

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have been increasing their Holdings

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again at

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6.3% the fastest in a year and a half

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and that is that indicates a rising

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demand for Bitcoin despite what you may

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think is happening out there in the

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market and uh other things that are

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going on uh despite the German US

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Government selling that is not stopping

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others and the fud about Mount Cox of

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course that's not stopping others from

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buying and again for those that weren't

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able to be in a position to be in a

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whole coiner I know of at least five

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people in the last two weeks that became

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whole coiners because of the panic

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sellers instead of paying 73,800 for a

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Bitcoin they could pay

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55,000 so why not that's the silver

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lining now Germany is still dumping you

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can see here the German government sent

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another 5100 Bitcoin and that's what

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dumped the price last night last night

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we broke 59k if I'm not mistaken we got

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above the 200 day moving average but

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then the German government decided to

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send 5100 more Bitcoin worth $300

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million to exchanges and that took the

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price back down to approximately 57k in

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change and they're still dumping right

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now so again it's violent it's rough out

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there but the good news is Germany only

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have 36% of their bag left or around

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18,000 Bitcoin they have sold a lot this

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is the stupidest trade in the history of

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the world and it'll go down and infam

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and I'm very sorry for the German people

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that whoever did this in Saxony that

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they did it but hey what are you going

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to do they gives other people a chance

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to get some cheap Bitcoin and another

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views we have just have a record draw

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down for this cycle which is bad news

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was like 18% 20% but now we hit the

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magical 23% draw down still less than

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previous Cycles but it's now getting to

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be a little bit like the 2015 2016 cycle

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with some nasty draw Downs nothing like

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the last cycle though however but still

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23% off the high pretty bad anyway

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there's more stuff going on regarding

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Bitcoin and it's good news Mar well I

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don't know if this is good news but

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Marathon mining now has 10% of the total

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hash rate globally that was pretty

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staggering to me that was over a 24-hour

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period uh for the marol website

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and that is a lot it just shows you the

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power of the US public Miners and some

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of the others too between them all

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combined I will in my next minor update

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takes a long time to put it all together

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I will aggregate all of the public

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Miners and how much of the global hash

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that they own right now which is

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interesting and speaking of other

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interesting bitcoin news um this is the

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serame presidential candidate says

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people in the country are isolated due

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to lack of banking they do not have any

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infrastructure so we might as well use

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Bitcoin Tada Bitcoin to the rescue thank

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you true Rebel production up there in

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Canada Bitcoin to the rescue in serami

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this is one of the many good things that

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Bitcoin does it can Bank the

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unbanked it can unbank the central

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Bankers which we like to it does a lot

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of good stuff or well depending on what

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seat you wear if you're a central Banker

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you're not going to like Bitcoin now uh

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speaking of other Bitcoin miners news

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Bernstein initiates Iris energy with a

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$17 Target and Bernstein are really

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getting into analyzing a lot of the uh

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Bitcoin Miners and Bitcoin proxies right

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now which is great the more analysts

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covering the space the better and this

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is from Dan

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Hillary this is the case for exponential

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micro strategy over Bitcoin it was a

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super interesting analysis and I'm

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kicking myself I Didn't Do It um but

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it's micr strategy ver Bitcoin

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performance categories over the past

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year with relative performance so if you

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we we'll kind of walk you through what

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this means but it's interesting how

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micro strategy and bitcoin price moved

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on trading days over the past year and

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micro strategy outperforms Bitcoin on

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both up and down days on an average mic

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strategy did better by

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0.16% each trading day and the key

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things to take away here are this

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analysis includes trading days not

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weekends because micro strategy does not

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trade at the weekends we as Bitcoin does

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and the daily outperformance can add up

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to significant returns over time if

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Bitcoin keeps rising and the simple

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takeaway from this is you know micro

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strategy is a big position of mine and

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I've been in it since 2020 but Micro

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strategy has been a better performer

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than Bitcoin on trading days this year

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remember Trends can change so if you

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look at the micro strategy negative

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Bitcoin positive only 4% of the time

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both positive only uh 1.6 the average is

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1.67% both negative average minus

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1.51% and both are negative 33% of the

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time both are positive 32% of the time

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and micro strategies positive versus

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Bitcoin negative 16.7% of the time down

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four or average 4.19% thank you again

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true Rebel so it is a super interesting

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finding and another crypto news lot of

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news to cover today insane bybit is now

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the number two crypto exchange which

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took a lot of people by surprise

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everybody thinks coinbase is the biggest

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coinbase only has 8% of the volume

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buybit have double what coinbase have

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and you can see binance has been

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shrinking and as a result buybit has

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been rising I wondering so I've seen

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buybit on form M One racing cars I like

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huh where's this coming from maybe

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advertising Works in this case who knows

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but uh the global market share also has

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doubled from 8 to 16% since October so

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they're either eating a lot of binance

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Market looks like as well as maybe a

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little bit of coinbase and up bit has

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been tanking away so has all the others

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so Winner Takes most is the way of the

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world and that's evident here as well

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let's talk a little bit about eth there

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was a big eth

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conference and italic buin was up on

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stage there he is right there and he

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talks about the different Visions for

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ethereum in the future and I won't B

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bore you with the detail but uh he

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promises Super Soul Man you're going to

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like this next piece of use by the way

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double down on strengths and fix

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inadequacies so very proud of the eth

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team to be aware of their inadequacies

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really um good to see that and their

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strengths are things like security and

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stability Etc but this was really

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interesting this is from um ethereum

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Joseph I think it's Joe Luben I'm not

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sure co-founder I think it's Joe Lubin

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um he reflected on ethereum's last 10

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years of development and how they've

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achieved scalability

play11:02

affordability and we're really close to

play11:05

achieving

play11:06

usability hey Dr Su

play11:09

now scalability at 15 TPS I could argue

play11:14

with you there they need the l2s to make

play11:16

that happen and even they don't even run

play11:17

that fast

play11:19

affordability yes they need the l2s for

play11:22

that too but I thought the funniest line

play11:24

was there red underline shout out to

play11:25

sanj as well we're really close to

play11:28

achieving usability so after 10

play11:31

years the breaking news everybody after

play11:34

10 years ethereum is nearly

play11:38

usable it's hard to keep a straight face

play11:41

when I say that but hey I'm not on

play11:43

painkillers I promise but I feel like I

play11:46

am and as I say this shout out to Blue

play11:48

Dragon who put this together as I say

play11:51

Tech matters uh and thank you blue

play11:53

dragon for the technical imagery uh the

play11:57

bottom one is the import import of

play11:59

things and uh anyway we don't need to

play12:02

plug too hard in that but let's look at

play12:03

some other data points that are super

play12:05

interesting right now in terms of eth

play12:07

dominance potentially ending this is per

play12:10

salana floor um salana suac ethereum in

play12:14

weekly onchain trading volume ending

play12:17

ethereum's

play12:18

dominance okay but also smoked binance

play12:21

and arbitrum Etc but not just that

play12:24

radium is still flipping Unis swap in a

play12:27

big way for the latest data and and you

play12:29

can see radium 1.64 billion just one Dex

play12:32

on salana whereas Unis swap is shrinking

play12:35

away 684 million remember Unis swap was

play12:38

the 800 PB gorilla we have Orca coming

play12:40

up the back now getting close to where

play12:43

Unis swap is imagine when Orca gets to

play12:46

600 million and radium is north of 1.5

play12:49

billion it'll just as usual black hole

play12:52

time you don't need to hear me say that

play12:54

again and radium dethrones Domin and

play12:57

dominates D5 from an article here that I

play12:59

saw on I can't remember which paper that

play13:02

was I apologize for not being able to

play13:04

give credit the bottom is cut off anyhow

play13:07

moving on salana also smashes eth and

play13:10

arbitrum combined in 24-hour Dex volume

play13:14

again this is big you add up eth 1.2

play13:18

billion plus arbitrum 397 and salana at

play13:22

1.77 1.8 billion that is pretty stunning

play13:26

but there's more stuff coming that is

play13:28

important to keep an eye on as well as

play13:30

we go forward this was a little piece as

play13:33

well regarding salana dominance Sal's

play13:35

overall volume surpassed the combined

play13:39

volume of eth and orbitum solidifying

play13:41

his position as the leading chain for

play13:43

deck's volume across all blockchains

play13:46

Salon has 38% of all Unchained volume

play13:49

underscoring its growing influence in

play13:51

decentralized finance space but there's

play13:54

more than that too and a shout out to DJ

play13:58

this is from defi Lama this is how

play14:01

salana has

play14:02

outperformed all major chains and

play14:05

sectors over the last 30 days again it's

play14:08

still down 10 11% but that's the least

play14:10

worst from all the others that are there

play14:13

listed uh number two is Bitcoin number

play14:16

three is ethereum and number four

play14:20

is something smart Central platforms so

play14:25

they bundle everything together from

play14:26

defa Lama but I thought this wasn't a

play14:28

very interesting study and I'll be

play14:29

analyzing this more over multi periods

play14:32

year-to date onee period 7day year

play14:34

period part of OCTA going forward now

play14:37

Marty Party friend of the channel and he

play14:40

was on DCA on Monday this is H he talks

play14:43

about major twap detection and people

play14:45

are going to ask what's a twap well it's

play14:48

not what you think a major twap refers

play14:50

to the occurrences of time weighted

play14:53

average price that's the

play14:55

twap in financial markets also now now

play14:59

watched heavily in cryptocurrency

play15:00

trading trap is an twap I'm getting my

play15:04

trap twap wrong twap is an indicator

play15:07

used by Traders typically uh who invest

play15:10

who execute large orders in the market

play15:12

without affecting price and it's

play15:15

calculated by taking the sum of the

play15:16

average price of a security over a

play15:19

specified period weighted by the amount

play15:22

of time each price was in effect it's a

play15:25

cool little algo you can run and the

play15:28

trading have merged across multiple

play15:30

places coinbase binance gate.io

play15:33

okx and uh you can see here coinbase

play15:36

binance

play15:38

okx have all done very well but

play15:41

automated orders of about

play15:44

6.56 million per hour across heavy heavy

play15:49

players so the Net News is here just

play15:53

like with Bitcoin salana is been stacked

play15:56

by big heavy whales making big

play15:59

buys follow the big money follow the

play16:02

smart money also remember there's only

play16:04

one chain that can handle it as I say

play16:07

Goldman Sachs is to launch a

play16:09

tokenization three tokenization projects

play16:12

by the end of the year per Fortune

play16:13

Magazine H so we

play16:16

have black rock launching rwa

play16:21

tokenization projects we have black rock

play16:23

and Citadel setting up a new Exchange in

play16:26

Texas to compete with NASDAQ and New

play16:28

York stock exchange my theory is that's

play16:30

going to run on a blockchain and my

play16:32

other theory is it'll only run on one

play16:35

blockchain and it will tokenize

play16:37

Securities on a blockchain and they have

play16:40

to use a blockchain if they want to

play16:42

undercut the NASDAQ and New York Stock

play16:45

Exchange and Destroy them put them out

play16:46

of business again they're going to use

play16:48

crypto and blockchain to disrupt trfi

play16:52

which is one of our favorite things to

play16:53

see here on this channel so if Goldman

play16:56

Sachs has half a brain we which they do

play17:00

they're going to need a platform to help

play17:01

do this and they know what's not going

play17:04

to cut it which we covered earlier

play17:07

especially when usability isn't even

play17:08

there yet anyway this is the huge news

play17:11

and this dovetails perfectly into what

play17:13

I've been saying for a long time back in

play17:15

2021 a couple of things that really

play17:17

intrigued me not only the fundamental

play17:20

analysis the leadership analysis the

play17:22

tokenomics the breath adapts the

play17:24

technology but also the mission to

play17:27

onboard a billion users and and become

play17:29

the blockchain that runs a stock

play17:32

exchange that is what got my juices

play17:35

going and now we have the most

play17:38

significant news regarding fire dancer

play17:40

you guys have been looking for updates

play17:41

for a while that probably has ever hit

play17:45

fire dancer now runs has built its first

play17:49

uh blockchain version validator it's

play17:53

also first accepted block on the salana

play17:56

test net and this was confirmed by an

play17:58

engineer near a jump crypto called

play18:00

cantalope peel I think and he shared

play18:02

this update on Twitter and this

play18:05

development is a crucial step towards

play18:07

the full integration of fire dancer

play18:09

client into salon ecosystem which is

play18:11

expected to significantly enhance the

play18:14

blockchain's performance reliability and

play18:16

scalability and then friend of the

play18:18

channel as well uh mert said

play18:22

nobody nobody is prepared for what is

play18:24

coming and he's not someone who's given

play18:26

to hyperbole he's a very based guy very

play18:29

stable and he is excited so we are two

play18:33

this is the blue ocean opportunity we've

play18:34

talking about for a long time I do

play18:36

believe it'll come I keep on getting win

play18:38

whenn fire dancer I think no between

play18:40

November and January I believe it'll be

play18:42

up and running that'll be January 2025

play18:44

by the way and a little bit of Tesla

play18:47

news too again things that will melt

play18:50

faces uh Elon Musk said the new Optimus

play18:53

design which will be completed later

play18:55

this year is something

play18:57

special something special is coming

play19:00

obviously Tesla has been on fire it's

play19:02

got a lot of attention the Wall Street

play19:04

funds are completely zero weight or

play19:06

underweight on Tesla right now and

play19:07

they've been stacking hard after retail

play19:09

investors like us and hedge funds have

play19:13

been stacking as well during the crazy

play19:15

opportunity we had over the last 18

play19:16

months to stack this thing and this goes

play19:18

back again to why people sometimes they

play19:20

get angry when really good assets are

play19:22

cheap and they're upset the prices and

play19:24

going up that's an opportunity if your

play19:26

thesis doesn't change keep on stacking

play19:28

while they're cheap never lose faith

play19:30

never lose conviction very important in

play19:33

investing okay so um and the Tesla Bears

play19:37

got smoked oh by the way back to the

play19:39

Optimus spot Elon Musk says it'll be

play19:41

able to do things like play the piano

play19:43

and thread a needle and all that type of

play19:44

stuff with 22 degrees of freedom in the

play19:46

fingers and they already have a bunch of

play19:49

these I think 12 working in a factory

play19:51

now for Tesla and they will have 1 to

play19:53

2,000 3,000 maybe next year working in a

play19:56

factory then

play19:58

then the world will realize what this

play20:00

company is all about and Tesla Bears got

play20:03

completely smoked this from

play20:05

kesi 17.6% of hedge funds are now

play20:09

shorting Tesla the highest share in many

play20:12

years and it's up from 13.9% 12 weeks

play20:16

ago so they they they went more short at

play20:22

exactly the wrong time this is this is

play20:25

just brings us as retail investors such

play20:28

Joy way to see how clueless not only

play20:31

mainstream media Wall Street analysts

play20:35

and many hedge funds they really don't

play20:37

know what they're doing they have no

play20:40

clue and it's a great opportunity for us

play20:42

so for the first time in the history of

play20:44

the world we have an edge because we are

play20:47

smarter than the others so be very

play20:51

grateful for this time to be alive and

play20:53

the short Sellers as well let me see

play20:55

they lost 3 and a half billion in 2 days

play20:59

uh and that is just crazy so if you can

play21:02

smell that burnt hair burnt

play21:05

shorts It's a good smell

play21:08

anyway the other thing that's really

play21:10

bizarre that's happening right now sorry

play21:11

for being on a little bit of a rant but

play21:14

you know from Dow Jones new newswire

play21:17

they say they reported that Wall Street

play21:19

Journal says Tesla stock is on a tear

play21:22

what is going on everybody Lam stream

play21:25

media is being positive on Tesla pinch

play21:27

me I tweeted that this morning cuz I was

play21:29

in such a shock so that's what happens

play21:31

everybody begins to

play21:33

capitulate everybody knows like if you

play21:35

are the Wall Street Journal or the New

play21:36

York Times and one of these papers or

play21:39

cnbs you're being destroyed by X so it's

play21:44

really hard for them to come out and say

play21:46

something positive about Tesla and Elon

play21:48

but anyway it's happening which is kind

play21:50

of fascinating doc inter how are you

play21:51

buddy now speaking of Tesla and interns

play21:55

this is from Sawyer Merit I always said

play21:58

you know the UAW the way they play their

play22:01

games is

play22:04

um dangerous at best but two

play22:08

UAW presidents before sha Fain were both

play22:11

sentenced to jail and now feain is under

play22:13

investigation for corruption corruption

play22:16

is systemic there at these unions

play22:19

nothing against unions but yes something

play22:23

against the car unions that Strongarm

play22:25

car makers to benter their way by by

play22:28

crippling them over a barrel that will

play22:31

accelerate their demise that's why I

play22:33

don't like the way these people play

play22:35

tactics and of course perhaps as soya

play22:38

Merit insinuates they are criminals

play22:41

anyway um little bit of real estate news

play22:44

because this popped in as well uh this

play22:45

is a cool LinkedIn article and by the

play22:48

way I'm not on LinkedIn I'm not on any

play22:50

of these platforms but somebody sent it

play22:52

that talks about how housing markets all

play22:54

over the world are impossibly

play22:56

unaffordable and these are the top

play22:58

cities which I thought was very

play22:59

interesting number one most

play23:02

unaffordable city in the world based on

play23:05

median priced income ratio is Hong Kong

play23:08

16.7 number two is Sydney shout out to

play23:10

the Australians if you guys are up

play23:13

13.8 and Vancouver 12.3 shout out to the

play23:18

Canadians my goodness San Jose

play23:20

California 11.9 La 10.9 Honolulu 10.5

play23:24

it's funny to see Honolulu cheaper on a

play23:27

relative basis than La uh Melbourne 99.8

play23:30

San Francisco 9.7 Adelaide lot of

play23:33

Australia there San lot of Australia and

play23:35

California and a little bit of Vancouver

play23:37

which is just up the road from

play23:38

California here Toronto

play23:41

Oakland Oakland New Zealand wow um but

play23:44

that is sad for those people for those

play23:48

people who are trying to buy their first

play23:49

castle they may not be able to do it

play23:51

this time around but

play23:53

therefore not Financial advice but stay

play23:56

vested in maybe a little bit of Bitcoin

play23:59

and crypto wait for that to go up and

play24:00

then swap that for some real estate

play24:03

after it pops now this is also from nahb

play24:08

testifying today on behalf of the small

play24:10

house small business Committee hearing

play24:12

and and this is a builder from Ido Steve

play24:15

Martinez he

play24:16

said housing is now the largest largest

play24:19

expense for American families it's also

play24:21

the largest expense for Australian

play24:23

families and probably Canadian families

play24:25

and New Zealand families and families

play24:27

all over the world Hong Kong families

play24:29

but it is putting the nation in an

play24:31

untenable situation and

play24:33

again this guy Steve is not given to

play24:37

hyperbole he was also very based in

play24:39

saying that this is breaking families

play24:42

and this leads me to my next point which

play24:46

is another macro issue that's also

play24:48

breaking families I believe the Sam rule

play24:51

which I covered a couple of times over

play24:52

the last couple of weeks is now being

play24:54

understood by Fed chair Jerome Powell

play24:56

because he sees the the job labor data

play24:59

and he knows that data is all complete

play25:01

bs anyway to begin with so the so-called

play25:03

data dependent Powell will no doubt do

play25:06

his best not to surprise investors when

play25:09

it comes to assessing the fed's twin

play25:11

mandates of Maximum employment and

play25:13

stable prices okay they've destroyed so

play25:16

much demand that prices maybe are

play25:18

becoming stable right now they can just

play25:20

tweak that with owner's equivalent rent

play25:22

again tied back to real estate but the

play25:24

latest economic data is ratcheting up

play25:26

support for the fed's first first cut

play25:29

since

play25:30

2019 especially after some surprise

play25:33

weakness Friday in the unemployment rate

play25:36

so it's hard to believe since 2019 first

play25:39

cut but uh I thought there were Cuts in

play25:44

March down to zero maybe they were

play25:46

almost at zero already but anyway the

play25:48

good news is for us as investors hold on

play25:51

to your hats kids Jeremiah Powell good

play25:54

morning everyone he just hinted in his

play25:58

uh opening a remarks recently that the

play26:01

labor market appears to be fully Back in

play26:04

Balance and it's not a source of broad

play26:06

inflationary pressures for the economy

play26:09

now and now the markets predict a 78%

play26:12

chance of a rate cut in September and

play26:14

that will push the stocks to new highs

play26:17

and that is crazy now Bitcoin and crypto

play26:20

have been lagging the stock market but

play26:22

guess what just happened today again S&P

play26:25

500 smashed another new alltime high it

play26:27

literally just spiked up out of nowhere

play26:29

this is actually the S&P 500 on the ATR

play26:32

model and uh it is keeps breaking new

play26:35

ceilings all the time keeps breaking out

play26:39

not a time to hedge the time to buy was

play26:41

at literally 4,100 of the signals there

play26:45

and there are no sell signals in place

play26:47

so we're going higher and we'll go a lot

play26:49

higher if those rate Cuts come despite

play26:51

the fact I do believe we're in a

play26:54

recession markets go up and do you know

play26:56

what's going to happen when they find

play26:57

out where in a recession money printers

play26:59

will go into high gear at the same time

play27:02

rates will be cut and the $7 trillion

play27:04

doar in the sidelines is going to come

play27:05

into the markets stay Vester my friends

play27:08

good times ahead hope you enjoyed the

play27:09

show and uh maybe I should try sitting

play27:12

down more thanks all for coming thank

play27:14

you to the mods in the chat and Doc

play27:15

intern and super soulman and true Rebel

play27:19

Productions and everybody really

play27:20

appreciate you all coming Good Times

play27:23

ahead summer doldrums nearly over

play27:25

September can be Rocky but

play27:28

if there's rate Cuts in September where

play27:30

there's an 80% chance there will be they

play27:32

will not be Rocky they'll be Rocky up so

play27:35

enjoy digital asset us good to see you

play27:37

buddy hope the poy is well thank you

play27:45

[Music]

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