個別股票評論及焦點 watchlist (8-Aug-2021)｜學習方法的看法

CUP Trading

27 Jun 202215:08

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Chart-reader CUP shares his weekly stock reviews and watchlist, emphasizing that his content is for educational purposes and not financial advice. He discusses the futility of buy/sell alert services, citing the MPA experience and the importance of learning and applying trading methods personally. He also provides insights into his current stock positions, market performance, and strategies, highlighting the need for active learning and personal growth in trading.

Takeaways

📈 The speaker emphasizes that their stock commentary and watchlist are for educational purposes and not financial advice, urging viewers to do their own research and assess risks before investing.
📊 They do not provide specific buy or sell points like many paid services do, instead focusing on sharing their actual trading actions in real-time on Discord to ensure the authenticity of their discussions.
💡 The speaker explains that providing a 'buy now, sell now' service is fundamentally flawed, as it often leads to collective buying or selling that can manipulate the market and result in losses for followers.
🎓 They highlight the importance of learning the underlying methods and strategies of trading, rather than just following buy/sell signals, to achieve long-term success in the market.
🏆 The speaker mentions their experience with a high-profile trading alert service, noting that despite the service's reputation, they stopped using it after a few months due to its inherent issues.
📚 The speaker advocates for active learning and teaching as the best ways to truly understand and internalize trading knowledge, rather than passively consuming content.
💼 They discuss the balance between sharing educational content and maintaining a livelihood, mentioning that while they do charge for their services, the focus is on providing value and fostering a win-win situation.
📉 The speaker provides specific examples of stocks they are currently holding or have recently traded, discussing the reasons behind their decisions and the current market conditions.
📈 The script includes analysis of various stocks and sectors, noting which have performed well recently and which have not, with a focus on understanding the market dynamics behind these movements.
💡 The speaker discusses the concept of 'active learning' and how teaching others can reinforce one's own understanding and improve trading strategies.
🚀 The speaker concludes by summarizing their approach to stock commentary and the importance of providing educational value to their audience.

Q & A

What is the main purpose of Chart-reader CUP's video content?
-The main purpose of Chart-reader CUP's video content is to share experiences and provide educational insights on stock trading, rather than giving specific investment advice.
Why doesn't Chart-reader CUP provide buy/sell points in his stock reviews?
-Chart-reader CUP does not provide buy/sell points because he aims to create an authentic, witnessed record of his trades to ensure the accuracy of his discussed trades and performance, rather than offering a paid service with specific trading prompts.
What is the significance of the portfolio equity curve in Chart-reader CUP's approach?
-The portfolio equity curve is significant because it serves as a visual representation of the trader's performance and strategy effectiveness, which cannot be replaced by just a screenshot from a brokerage account.
What is the issue with buy now/sell now alert services according to Chart-reader CUP?
-The issue with buy now/sell now alert services is that they often lead to a herd mentality, causing self-fulfilling market movements that can result in failure for those following the service without understanding the underlying strategies.
Why did Chart-reader CUP stop using the MPA service after a few months?
-Chart-reader CUP stopped using the MPA service after a few months because he realized that simply following buy/sell alerts without understanding the methods and strategies behind them was not a path to success in trading.
What is Chart-reader CUP's view on the importance of learning and applying trading methods?
-Chart-reader CUP believes that learning and applying trading methods is crucial for success in trading. It involves understanding the methods, practicing them, and adapting them to one's own personality and situation to make informed decisions.
How does Chart-reader CUP approach teaching and learning in the context of trading?
-Chart-reader CUP views teaching as a form of active learning, where by presenting information and discussing it with others, he can clarify his own understanding and improve his own trading skills.
What is the role of active learning in Chart-reader CUP's educational philosophy?
-Active learning plays a central role in Chart-reader CUP's educational philosophy as it allows for deeper understanding and retention of knowledge by engaging in discussions, creating trading plans, and teaching others.
How does Chart-reader CUP explain the concept of 'why not both' in relation to his approach to trading and teaching?
-'Why not both' reflects Chart-reader CUP's belief in a win-win approach where he can teach others, helping them to learn and potentially earn more, while also gaining new insights and income for himself.
What is the significance of the learning pyramid in Chart-reader CUP's educational strategy?
-The learning pyramid signifies the different levels of learning effectiveness, with Chart-reader CUP advocating for more interactive and practical methods such as teaching others and creating trading plans, which lead to better knowledge retention.
How does Chart-reader CUP view the role of internet resources in modern learning compared to traditional books?
-Chart-reader CUP acknowledges the power of the internet for learning, stating that it can provide immediate access to a vast amount of information, making it a more efficient tool for targeted learning than traditional books.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Stock Review and Trading Philosophy

Chart-reader CUP introduces the video's focus on individual stock reviews and watchlist highlights, emphasizing the educational purpose of the content rather than providing investment advice. He clarifies that his approach differs from paid services by not specifying buy or sell points, instead opting for a transparent record of his trades on Discord. CUP stresses the importance of personal verification and risk assessment in investing. He critiques the buy-now/sell-now alert services, using his experience with MPA, and explains the inherent flaws in such services due to collective action effects and the lack of personalized strategy adaptability. He concludes by advocating for a win-win approach, where both he and his audience benefit from shared knowledge and experience.

05:01

📚 Embracing Active Learning in Trading

The speaker discusses the importance of active learning in trading, suggesting that simply following buy/sell cues is insufficient for success. He uses the example of WMS to illustrate how a collective response to trading alerts can lead to market manipulation and subsequent losses. CUP emphasizes the need for traders to develop their own routines, experience, methods, and styles to make informed decisions. He shares his personal journey of learning from books and the limitations he found with traditional learning methods, advocating for a more targeted approach to learning specific problems. He introduces the learning pyramid concept, suggesting that teaching and practical application are the most effective ways to learn and retain information in trading.

10:04

📊 Stock Performance Analysis and Watchlist Update

CUP provides an update on his stock watchlist, highlighting the performance of various stocks such as SQ and AMN, which have shown significant gains. He discusses the performance of different sectors, with financial and utility stocks leading the week. He goes through a list of stocks, including JPM, KBE, and CRM, analyzing their recent price actions and his trading decisions based on technical indicators and market conditions. He also mentions his approach to managing position sizes and exit strategies, using tools like the Chandelier exit. The summary ends with a look ahead to upcoming earnings reports and the potential impact on stock prices.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Chart-reader CUP

Chart-reader CUP is the persona or username of the speaker in the video script, indicating that the individual is skilled in reading and analyzing charts, likely in the context of stock trading. This is central to the video's theme as it sets the tone for the type of content the speaker will be discussing, which is stock market analysis and trading strategies.

💡Watchlist

A watchlist in the context of stock trading refers to a curated list of stocks that an investor is closely monitoring for potential investment opportunities. In the video, the speaker mentions a 'watchlist' to highlight the stocks they are focusing on, which is integral to the video's content as it provides viewers with specific stocks to consider.

💡Discord

Discord is a communication platform often used by communities and groups for real-time chat, voice calls, and video conferences. In the script, the speaker mentions using Discord to communicate their trading actions in real-time, emphasizing the importance of transparency and real-time tracking in their trading approach.

💡Portfolio equity curve

A portfolio equity curve is a graphical representation of the value of an investment portfolio over time. It is used in the script to illustrate the speaker's trading performance and to distinguish their approach from mere theoretical discussions, emphasizing the practical application of their trading strategies.

💡Subscription fees

Subscription fees refer to the recurring payments made by users to access a service, in this case, potentially a trading alert service. The speaker mentions subscription fees to contrast their educational approach with other services that charge for buy/sell alerts, highlighting their focus on teaching rather than selling trading signals.

💡False breakout/uptrust

A false breakout or false uptrust refers to a situation in trading where the price of a stock breaks above a resistance level (or below a support level) but then reverses and moves back within the previous trading range. The speaker uses this term to explain a common trading scenario where following buy signals without understanding the context can lead to losses.

💡Stop out

Stop out is a term used in trading when a trade is automatically closed out at a stop loss level to prevent further losses. The script mentions 'stop out' in the context of a scenario where many traders using a service might have their stop loss orders triggered simultaneously, leading to a drop in the stock price.

💡Active learning

Active learning is an educational approach where learners are engaged in the learning process, often through discussion, problem-solving, or teaching others. The speaker mentions active learning to emphasize the value of involvement in the learning process, suggesting that teaching others is a powerful way to reinforce one's own understanding.

💡VCP (Volume Contraction Pattern)

VCP stands for Volume Contraction Pattern, which is a technical analysis concept used to identify a stock that is under accumulation by informed traders and may be preparing for a price advance. The speaker refers to VCP in the context of stock analysis, indicating a specific setup that could precede a favorable trading opportunity.

💡Position Resizing

Position resizing is the act of adjusting the size of a trading position, typically after a significant price movement. In the script, the speaker mentions resizing a position after a stock's price surge, demonstrating a risk management strategy to maintain a balanced portfolio.

💡Chandelier exit

A Chandelier exit is a type of trailing stop loss strategy used in trading to protect profits on a long position as the price moves in a favorable direction. The speaker refers to using a Chandelier exit to manage risk and lock in gains on a stock that has appreciated significantly.

Highlights

Introduction to the weekly individual stock review and watchlist, emphasizing the content is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.

Clarification that the presenter does not provide specific buy or sell points like many paid services, but shares their own transactions for transparency.

Discussion on the ineffectiveness of buy/sell alert services and the importance of understanding and applying trading strategies for success.

Personal experience with a market wizard's alert service, highlighting the limitations and the need for personal skill development.

Explanation of how market movements can be influenced by collective actions of service subscribers, using the example of WMS stock.

Emphasis on the importance of active learning and teaching as a method for enhancing one's own understanding and skills.

The presenter's approach to sharing knowledge and the philosophy of 'win-win' in education and trading.

Insight into the presenter's background, motivation, and learning habits, including the use of books and online resources.

Discussion on the effectiveness of different learning methods, with a focus on active learning and practical application.

Analysis of the stock performances for the week, highlighting the best and worst-performing sectors.

Review of specific stocks and their trading setups, including JPM, KBE, and CRM, with explanations of the presenter's trading decisions.

Commentary on the stock performance of Tesla and PayPal, and the presenter's rationale for their current positions.

Explanation of the presenter's trading strategy for SQ and AMN, including position resizing and the use of Chandelier exit.

Discussion on the importance of adapting trading strategies to one's own personality and circumstances for long-term success.

Review of the presenter's watchlist, including stocks like NOW, XBI, Palantir, and TDOC, with insights into their current market conditions.

Analysis of the presenter's recent trades with SNAP, ENTG, HZO, and MAT, explaining the reasons for their entry and exit strategies.

Conclusion with a summary of the key points and a reminder of the educational intent of the content.