Tesla Battery Degradation - The results using real data and why the Plaid is the worst Tesla

Tesla Info
30 Mar 202412:36

Summary

TLDRThis video explores Tesla's battery degradation across various models, including Model 3, Y, S, and X, using extensive data. It reveals that most battery capacity loss occurs early, with varying degradation rates depending on the model and battery type. The script notes significant differences between battery cohorts, particularly for performance models and larger batteries in powerful cars, suggesting that stress impacts longevity. The analysis provides insights into battery performance over time, helping viewers understand Tesla's battery life expectancy.

Takeaways

  • πŸ”‹ The Tesla battery degradation analysis is based on data collected from thousands of cars and data points, with a focus on models like the Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X.
  • πŸ“Š The data used for analysis comes from the Tesla API, which may have some accuracy issues due to factors like battery management system calibration and cell balancing.
  • πŸ“‰ Batteries in Model 3 long range cars from 2018 to 2020 show a consistent degradation pattern, with a drop from around 74 kWh to around 67 kWh by 100,000 miles, indicating a 9.5 kWh decrease.
  • 🌐 In 2022, there's a divergence in battery performance, with some batteries showing more degradation than others, possibly due to differences in manufacturing locations and battery types.
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Chinese-built Model 3 and Model Y with LG Chem batteries show less degradation (around 6%) compared to those built in Fremont with Panasonic batteries (around 11%).
  • πŸš— Standard range Teslas, especially from 2019 to 2021, show minimal battery capacity drop even after 100,000 miles, with some maintaining around 46 kWh.
  • πŸ”¬ Performance models show a wide variation in battery capacity, with some showing significant degradation, possibly due to the use of the same batteries as the long-range models.
  • πŸ“‰ The Model S and Model X from 2021 show a significant drop in battery capacity, especially for the Plaid models, which could be due to the higher stress on the batteries in these high-performance cars.
  • πŸš€ Original Model S 85D and 90D batteries show two distinct cohorts, with some maintaining high capacity and others showing significant degradation, possibly due to battery gate or replacement batteries.
  • πŸ›£οΈ The 75D model shows remarkably flat degradation, maintaining a stable capacity even after 100,000 miles, suggesting good battery health over time.
  • πŸ”Œ The 100D and P100D models, despite not reaching their advertised capacity, show a leveling off of degradation after 50,000 miles, suggesting a stabilization in battery performance.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of the video?

    -The main topic of the video is Tesla battery degradation, analyzing data collected from various Tesla car models over time.

  • Which Tesla models are covered in the video?

    -The video covers Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X, including some older models.

  • What is the potential issue with the data collected using the API mentioned in the video?

    -The potential issue with the data collected using the API is the absolute accuracy, which may be affected by whether the car's Battery Management System (BMS) is calibrated or the cells are balanced.

  • How does the video address the concern about data accuracy?

    -The video acknowledges the potential inaccuracies but argues that the trends observed in the data are still valid and provide insights into battery performance over time.

  • What is the general location of the battery pack in a Tesla vehicle?

    -The battery pack in a Tesla vehicle is generally located in the floor of the car and, in some cases, serves as a structural component.

  • What is the observed battery capacity drop for Model 3 Long Range batteries by 50,000 miles?

    -By 50,000 miles, the Model 3 Long Range batteries on average drop to about 69 kWh, which is a 6.7% decrease from the starting capacity.

  • How does battery degradation differ between cars built in 2020 and those from 2022 according to the video?

    -The video shows that cars built in 2020 and 2022 have similar initial degradation patterns, but there seems to be a divergence in the data for 2022, with some batteries showing different rates of degradation possibly due to manufacturing differences or battery types.

  • What is the significance of the variation in battery degradation between different cohorts of batteries?

    -The variation in battery degradation between different cohorts indicates that factors such as manufacturing location, battery type, and year of production can significantly affect battery performance and longevity.

  • How does the video describe the degradation of Performance Model batteries?

    -The video describes a wide spread in the capacity of Performance Model batteries, with a significant difference in reported capacities even among cars of the same model and year.

  • What trend is observed in the degradation of Model S and Model X batteries from around 2021?

    -The trend observed for Model S and Model X batteries from around 2021 is a significant drop in capacity, with an 11% decrease at 50,000 miles, and a continued decline for the Plaid models.

  • What conclusion does the video draw about the relationship between battery size and degradation?

    -The video concludes that the largest batteries in the most powerful cars, such as the Performance Models, tend to degrade more quickly, possibly due to the increased stress on the batteries.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ”‹ Tesla Battery Degradation Analysis

This paragraph introduces a comprehensive analysis of Tesla battery degradation, covering various models including Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X. The data was collected using Tesla's API, which may have some accuracy issues but is still considered valid for trend analysis. The script discusses the battery composition, with Tesla using larger cells in newer models, and how these batteries degrade over time. The focus is on the Model 3 Long Range, noting a significant drop in battery capacity by 50,000 miles, with a further decrease by 100,000 miles. The paragraph also highlights variations in degradation rates between batteries manufactured in different locations and years.

05:01

πŸ“‰ Battery Performance Trends in Tesla Models

The second paragraph delves into the performance trends of Tesla batteries, particularly focusing on the Model 3 Standard Range and noting a minimal capacity drop even at high mileages. It then contrasts this with the Model S and Model X, where a significant degradation is observed, especially in the Performance models. The analysis also touches on the Model Y, which shows similar degradation patterns to the Model 3. The paragraph concludes with a look at the original Model S 85D and 90D, highlighting the difference in degradation between two distinct groups of batteries, possibly due to the 'Battery Gate' or replacement batteries.

10:02

πŸš— Impact of Usage and Model on Battery Degradation

In the final paragraph, the script examines the degradation of the 75D battery, which shows remarkably flat degradation even at 100,000 miles. It also discusses the 100D and P100D models, noting that these batteries do not seem to have reached their intended capacity and degrade more significantly, especially in high-performance models. The summary suggests that the largest batteries in the most powerful cars degrade the most, likely due to the increased stress on the battery. The script concludes by emphasizing that most battery degradation occurs early on and levels off later, with the biggest batteries in performance models showing the most significant degradation.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Battery degradation

Battery degradation refers to the decline in a battery's capacity to hold a charge over time due to usage and aging. In the context of the video, it is the main theme, exploring how Tesla's various models experience this decline. The script discusses the percentage drop in kilowatt-hours for different models, such as a 6.5% drop for Model 3 batteries at 50,000 miles.

πŸ’‘Tesla API

The Tesla API is an application programming interface that allows for the retrieval of data from Tesla vehicles. The script mentions that the data on battery degradation was collected using the API, but also notes potential issues with absolute accuracy due to factors like battery management system calibration.

πŸ’‘Battery cells

Battery cells are the individual energy-storing units that, when combined, form a battery pack. The script explains that Tesla batteries are made up of many cells, with different models using different cell sizes, and how these cells degrade over time.

πŸ’‘Battery pack

A battery pack is the complete assembly of battery cells that powers an electric vehicle. The script describes how the battery packs in Tesla cars are generally located in the floor of the car and, in some cases, serve as a structural component.

πŸ’‘Model 3 Long Range

Model 3 Long Range is a specific variant of Tesla's Model 3 with a larger battery capacity, intended for longer distances between charges. The script provides data on the battery degradation of this model, noting a drop to about 69 kW hours by 50,000 miles.

πŸ’‘Battery capacity

Battery capacity is the amount of energy a battery can store, typically measured in kilowatt-hours (kWh). The script discusses the battery capacity of various Tesla models and how it diminishes as the car ages and accumulates mileage.

πŸ’‘Manufacturing variance

Manufacturing variance refers to differences in production processes or materials that can affect product quality or performance. The script identifies variances in battery degradation between batteries made in China and those made in Fremont, with the latter showing more degradation.

πŸ’‘Standard Range cars

Standard Range cars are Tesla models with a smaller battery capacity designed for shorter distances between charges. The script compares the battery degradation of these models to their Long Range counterparts, showing different rates of capacity loss.

πŸ’‘LFP batteries

LFP stands for Lithium Iron Phosphate, a type of battery chemistry known for its stability and longevity. The script mentions the introduction of LFP batteries in some Tesla models, which seem to exhibit lower degradation rates.

πŸ’‘Model S and Model X

Model S and Model X are two of Tesla's luxury electric vehicle models, with the latter being an SUV. The script discusses the battery degradation of these models post-facelift in 2021, noting a significant drop in battery capacity at 50,000 miles.

πŸ’‘Battery gate

Battery gate refers to a controversy or issue related to a car's battery performance not meeting expectations. The script mentions the original Model S 85D, which had two distinct cohorts of battery performance, possibly due to battery gate or replacement batteries.

Highlights

Tesla's battery degradation analysis covers various models, including Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model X.

Data collected from thousands of cars and data points, with acknowledgment of potential inaccuracies due to API usage.

Tesla's battery cells have evolved, with Model S and Model X still using the older size cells.

Model 3 long-range batteries showed an average 6.5% capacity drop by 50,000 miles and 9.5% by 100,000 miles.

2020 Model 3 batteries exhibit similar degradation patterns to earlier models.

2022 Model 3 batteries show two distinct cohorts with different degradation rates, possibly due to different battery manufacturers.

China-built LG Chem batteries in Model 3 show less degradation compared to Fremont-built Panasonic batteries.

Standard range cars show minimal battery capacity drop, with some maintaining over 90% capacity even at 120,000 miles.

2021 and 2022 standard range batteries introduce LFP chemistry with low degradation rates.

Performance models show a wide variance in battery capacity, possibly due to the use of the same batteries as long-range models.

Model Y long-range batteries show similar degradation patterns to Model 3, with early steeper degradation leveling off.

Model S and Model X from 2021 show significant degradation, especially the Plaid variant with an 11% drop at 50,000 miles.

Original Model S 85D shows two distinct battery cohorts, possibly due to battery gate or replacement batteries.

Model 90D batteries maintain a reasonable amount of capacity even after significant mileage.

Model 75D batteries show remarkably flat degradation, maintaining over 90% capacity even at 100,000 miles.

100D and P100D batteries do not reach the advertised capacity and show continued degradation beyond 50,000 miles.

The largest and most powerful batteries in Tesla cars tend to degrade more, likely due to the stress from high-performance demands.

Degradation patterns suggest that most capacity loss occurs early in the battery's life, with a leveling off later on.

Transcripts

play00:00

welcome to Tesla info and today we're

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going to look at battery degradation

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taking the data we've collected from

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thousands of cars and thousands and

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thousands of data points we'll add some

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bookmarks to the video so you can jump

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to the cars you're interested in and

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we're going to cover model 3 Model y

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Model S model X and even some of the

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older cars later on in the video it's

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worth noting that we've taken the data

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using the API and there are some issues

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with that in terms of absolute accuracy

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and whether the car BMS is calibrated or

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the cells are balanced however we feel

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that you know even though there might be

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some absolute accuracies on every single

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point the trend is still valid and we

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can see sort of what's going on over

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time so your batteries made up of lots

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and lots of cells and Tesla make bigger

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cells now than they used to or two

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different sizes Model S and model X

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still use the older size these are

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combined together to create modules and

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the modules are combined together to

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make a battery pack which sits generally

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in the floor of the car and in some

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cases is starting to become a Str a

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structural component of the car the

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first battery we're going to look at is

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a model 3 long range and part of the

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thing with Tesla is the battery has

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actually changed over the years

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including uh by factoring so we're just

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going to focus on 2018 to start with

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these batteries started with with around

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74 KW hours as we can see and by 50,000

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mil miles most of the cars are reporting

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on average a drop to about 69 kwatt

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hours so that's around a 6 and 1 12%

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drop by the time it's got to 100,000 mil

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that drop has only gone down to uh 67 KW

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hours so a 9.5 kwatt hour drop and a lot

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of people say that the car batteries

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actually lose most of their uh

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degradation happens in the first part of

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its life if we now take a look at cars

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built in 2020

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um we get pretty much exactly the same

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results what we see is the batteries

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start around 74 KW hours by the time

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they've hit around 50,000 Mi it's

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dropped to 69 KW hours so the first

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chunk of the depreciation has occurred

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and by the time it's hit 100,000

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miles it's last a couple more kilowatt

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hours but it's you know really started

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to level off as we can

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see to 2022 however we do start to see a

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diversion of the data and there aren't

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thousands of data points here so you

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know up to a point we need to be mindful

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of what we're looking at what we have

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however detected looking at this data is

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there seems to be two different cohorts

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of batteries some which have depreciated

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more than others some have dropped to

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about 73 While others only dropped to 76

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kilowatt hours and by 100 Kil 100,000

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miles is down to 70 and 74 and when we

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go and start looking at the uh models

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and where they've been built it seems

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that the China built LG Chen batteries

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have only dropping have only dropped

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about 6% whereas the Freemont Panasonic

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batteries are down by

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11% we can't we find that quite a

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significant variation certainly

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something that you deserves more looking

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into

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really if we switch to the standard

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range cars then we can see even more

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sort of like different cohorts of

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batteries uh linked to different years

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so we're just going to start with the

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early 2019 batteries

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first now there's quite a wide scatter

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on the data points here quite a big

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range from car to car um which is you

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know goes back to the point we made

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about you know the accuracy using the

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data but what we actually see is after

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there's you know only a 4% drop in the

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battery capacity by 50,000 miles there's

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virally no degradation that you can you

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can talk of you know even cars up to

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120,000 MI are still you know recording

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44 you know kilowatt hours and certainly

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by 100,000 it's still up around the 46

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kwatt

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Mark if we now jump to a later year so

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this time we're going to take a look at

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20121 um again we see the two different

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Co cohorts of data um but actually both

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cohorts are reasonably good and you know

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the 53 kilowatt is ones 10 to drop to 51

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by 50,000 Mi the 57 to 56 and the the

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higher range is actually the

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introduction of the lfp batteries that

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we see um initially from the China

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Factory either way both these batteries

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seem to Fair really well um with pretty

play04:47

low degradation at 50,000

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mil so what we'll do now is we'll switch

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to 2022 and we'll take a look at what

play04:58

that data looks like and it's pretty

play05:01

good it tends to start around 60

play05:03

61 um it does drop about 5% to 58 kwatt

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hours by 50,000 mil we haven't got any

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data at 100,000 miles um and even if we

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look at the 2023 batteries so these cars

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have been worked pretty hard again it's

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looking like it's losing about 5%

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initially and then it seems to sort of

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pretty much Plateau at that sort of

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level um going

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forwards

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we we've also gone and had a look at the

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performance models and we've actually

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got the three and wide performance

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models here and when you actually filter

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down and have a look at individual year

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um we're seeing a massive spread in the

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um the capacity of these batteries we've

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put up the long range in the top right

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hand corner to to sort of compare um and

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it's um it's really hard to draw any

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conclusions that there was a 6 s

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kilowatt hour spread between one car and

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another um you know if you go back to

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the 2020 values which we're seeing here

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uh some are down as low as 62 KW hours

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some are up still up at 72 K hours

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that's a 10 K

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spread what is probably worth noting

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about the performance batteries is they

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use the same us batteries usually the

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bt42 battery which we saw earlier as

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being worse than the LG chm

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batteries we're now just going to have a

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quick look at the model y um battery the

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long range to start with um going back

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and filtering and comparing it with the

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model 3 long range and and in reality

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we're getting very very similar results

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as you pretty much expect there doesn't

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seem to be anything about the the model

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y long range which is causing to have

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significantly different results to the

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uh model 3 equivalent um which I think

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is probably good news probably the most

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noticeable thing we can see is the fact

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on things like the 2022 model

play07:00

the early degradation seems to be a

play07:02

little steeper initially or quicker than

play07:05

the model 3 equivalent um but it seems

play07:08

to level off at the same level okay

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we're now going to take a look at the

play07:11

model S and model X fa lift from around

play07:14

2021 and actually that's not good it's

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overall it's an 11% drop at 50,000

play07:21

miles if we split those results now

play07:23

between the long range and the pled um

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we'll see the long range on the the

play07:29

model X at least um it seems to be

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leveling off around 50,000 Mi at around

play07:36

90 kwatt hours whereas if we switch to

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the plade uh it seems to just keep going

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down um you know 12% down at 50,000 Mi

play07:47

and even the ones at 60,000

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mil they're down to sort of 85 kilowatt

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hours it's almost 15% down which is a

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worry that said of course it's worth

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remembering that these are pretty small

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data sets you know there aren't that

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many data points there but you know you

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can see a definite Trend that's that's

play08:08

heading downwards and it's probably a

play08:10

reflection on the harder life the

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battery has to do um in a played car

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we're now going to step back in time a

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little and look at the original model S

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85d and for those who remember this was

play08:22

the battery gate car um and there seems

play08:25

to be two cohorts here um there's some

play08:28

cars that still seem to hang on to 71

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kwh hours of battery which is actually

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pretty good cuz these only had 7677 to

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start with and then there's a chunk that

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seem to be down to 61 kwatt hours um

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don't know whether this is battery gate

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whether this is replacement batteries

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who knows but there seems to be a marked

play08:47

difference between two different uh two

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different batteries going on

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here the next battery we're going to

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have a look at is the

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90d and almost exactly the same thing's

play08:58

Happening Here there are two cohorts of

play09:00

batteries um a lot are holding on to the

play09:03

high capacity of 73 KW there's a bunch

play09:06

at 63 kwatts um now the 90d was

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criticized originally for having a you

play09:12

quite a fast early degradation but you

play09:15

know at 50 or 100,000 miles it's still

play09:18

holding on to you know a reasonable

play09:21

amount more battery capacity than the

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85d although not the 5 Kow hours you

play09:26

might expect from the naming

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convention

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2 kwatt hours that's what five six miles

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um it may made a difference between

play09:36

getting to your destination or not I

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think there's not a lot to choose

play09:40

between the two and we'd be buying on

play09:41

condition uh on cars they

play09:44

sold next we're going to take a look at

play09:46

the

play09:47

75d um and this has been a quite a big

play09:51

seller for Tesla over the years

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primarily because it seems to be a good

play09:54

price point um and it's remarkably flat

play09:59

I mean it it it's never hit 75 kwatt

play10:01

hours um it's always started around the

play10:04

67 68 kwatt hour mark uh and we can see

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some spous spurious data points up

play10:10

around the 85 which we we presume are

play10:13

actually replacement batteries um but

play10:15

otherwise it is glacial the uh

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degradation on these batteries once it

play10:20

hits 50,000 mil it's down to 67 at

play10:23

100,000 mil it seems to only drop to 66

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kwatt hours on average which we think is

play10:28

a remark arable uh feet really and a

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very usable battery um for these

play10:38

cars finally we're going to go back and

play10:41

have a look at the 100 pack batteries in

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the 100d and the

play10:47

p100d pre the big facelift in around

play10:50

21 um and none of these seem to have

play10:54

reported battery capacity close to 100

play10:56

kwatt hours other than you know in very

play11:00

short bursts and we think these are

play11:01

probably the replacement batteries um

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which quickly degrade to around 92 93

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kwatt hours or at least they report that

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and at 50,000 Mi they're leveling out at

play11:12

90 kwatt hours and In fairness to them

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they don't lose an awful lot more over

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the next 50,000 miles down to you know

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an average of 88 kilowatt

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hours but they seem to be a long way off

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the the close to 100 kwatt hours that

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they were originally meant to have and I

play11:31

think this just reinforces the general

play11:33

point about Tesla batteries most of the

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degradation and certainly the reported

play11:38

degradation using these sort of tools

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happens pretty early on and that may

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just be the way it's measured is part of

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that you know Optimum temperatures and

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so on May mean they never really uh

play11:50

reveal their full capacity you know once

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they're installed in the car and out in

play11:54

the real

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world and then the degradation actually

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seems to level of quite a lot uh later

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on the worst batteries seem to be the

play12:03

biggest batteries and in the most

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powerful cars and so you know I think

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it's probably not rocket science to

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assume that those batteries are under

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more stress and certainly you know if

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you if you launching a PL model at 2

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seconds to 60 you can imagine that's

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putting quite a strain on the battery

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and that seems to uh be showing through

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in the numbers anyway hope that's been

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an interesting run through batteries and

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what seems to be happening to them um

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catch you next

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time

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