Nitish ने ली CM पद की शपथ, तेजस्वी कैसे कर सकते हैं 'Check Mate', सुनिए Sukesh का राजनीतिक विश्लेषण

Summary

The transcript discusses the recent political developments in Bihar, India regarding government formation. It analyzes the strategies of RJD and JD(U) and their legislative strength. The speaker highlights that Nitish Kumar has returned as CM with BJP's support, but RJD under Tejashwi Yadav is alleging betrayal. The speaker explains RJD's floor test strategy in the Assembly to try to topple the Nitish government. However, RJD lacks the numbers currently, so the speaker says their only option is to get JD(U) MLAs to abstain or defect during a potential floor test.

Takeaways

• 😀 Nitish Kumar has taken oath as Bihar CM again with BJP's support
• 😮 RJD claims Nitish betrayed them despite their support
• 🤔 RJD wants to portray itself as the victim
• 😯 RJD wants to try floor test to prove majority
• 😃 Speaker can be asked to disregard party whip
• 🧐 MLAs can inform Speaker they don't support govt
• 😕 RJD will target Nitish Kumar publicly
• 🤨 RJD will try to break JD(U) legislators
• 😟 In 2015, JD(U) won 71 seats out of 101 seats contested
• 😢 Nitish Kumar inducted Sumit Singh as minister to keep him in fold

Q & A

What is the current political situation in Bihar?

Nitish Kumar has again become the Chief Minister with support from BJP. The cabinet formation is almost done but portfolios have not yet been allocated.

What strategy does Tejashwi Yadav allege Nitish Kumar has played?

Tejashwi alleges that Nitish Kumar changed his strategy and went with BJP for his own benefit, while RJD supported him till the end to provide a stable government.

What are the seat numbers of the two alliances in the Bihar Assembly?

The NDA and RJD+ alliance have very close seat numbers with only a minor difference, making the numbers evenly poised.

What public posturing is Tejashwi Yadav trying to do?

Tejashwi is trying to publicly portray that while Nitish was tired after 17 years rule, RJD supported him for 17 months to implement their agenda in the last government.

What is the floor test strategy of RJD?

RJD's floor test strategy is to first get some MLAs to withdraw support to the government. Then bring a no confidence motion to remove the Speaker and test the numbers.

What was Nitish Kumar's original majority in 2005?

In 2005, when Nitish Kumar first formed government, his party JD(U) had a majority of 88 seats, about 30 more than BJP's 55 seats.

How did JD(U)'s seats change over successive elections?

JD(U) seats increased to 113 in 2010, reduced to 71 out of 101 seats contested in Grand Alliance in 2015, and further reduced to 43 in 2020.

Why was Sumit Singh made a minister?

Sumit Singh was made a minister to keep him on NDA's side as he had won independently. Each MLA was important for Nitish to increase numbers.

What are the options for RJD during a floor test?

RJD can get JD(U) MLAs to abstain or resign to reduce JD(U) numbers below majority. Else, they have to wait for defections from JD(U).

What message does Tejashwi want to give by saying 'the game is still on'?

This is a signal to unsettle MLAs that RJD has not given up and there may be attempts to destabilize the government.