5 Price Action Rules EVERY Trader NEEDS To Know

Thomas Wade
5 Jun 202231:16

Summary

TLDRThis video script delves into the critical role of price action rules in trading, emphasizing their effectiveness due to the consistent patterns formed by human behavior in the market. It debunks the reliance on indicators, advocating for a focus on 'naked price action' to understand market movements. The script outlines key rules, including the trendline rule, trading range rule, high probability setup rule, and signal bar rule, providing insights on how to identify and capitalize on trading opportunities while minimizing risk and avoiding common pitfalls.

Takeaways

  • 🧠 Understanding market patterns is crucial because they reflect unchanging human behavior, such as greed and fear, which influence market movements.
  • 📉 Retail traders often start with indicator-based strategies, which can be misleading and clutter the chart, detracting from the true price movement.
  • 📊 Focusing on raw, naked price action is essential for grasping how the market truly moves and for identifying non-random patterns.
  • 📉 The trendline rule states that after a trend line break, a new extreme is likely to form, followed by a correction or reversal, signaling potential trading opportunities.
  • 📈 In a downtrend, traders should look for short opportunities and wait for a new low before considering a trend reversal.
  • 🚫 Avoid counter-trend trading while a trendline is intact, as it often leads to losses and is against the price action rules.
  • 🔄 Price action is never alone and is always part of a pattern, such as a channel or a trading range, which can provide context for trading decisions.
  • 🔄 The trading range rule suggests that most breakouts from trading ranges will fail, and traders should look to fade breakouts rather than chase them.
  • 📈 High probability setups are identified by second entries in the direction of the trend, failed breakouts, or higher lows/lower highs confirmation setups.
  • 📊 The signal bar rule emphasizes the importance of entering trades with the right signal bar that confirms the market's direction and momentum.
  • 🛑 Patience is key in trading; waiting for high-quality setups at key entry points rather than chasing the market can lead to more consistent success.

Q & A

  • Why do markets continue to form the same patterns repeatedly?

    -Markets continue to form the same patterns because they reflect human behavior, particularly human greed and fear, which have remained consistent over time.

  • Why are most retail traders unaware of how price moves on the chart?

    -Most retail traders are unaware because they are often first introduced to information and strategies that misguide them, such as relying on indicator-based strategies which do not predict future performance effectively.

  • How do indicators on a chart typically affect a trader's understanding of price movement?

    -Indicators can clutter the chart, preventing traders from learning about the true movement of price and making it difficult to gain a proper understanding of price action.

  • What is the first price action rule discussed in the script, and what does it entail?

    -The first price action rule is the trendline rule, which states that after a trend line is broken, with candles closing outside the trend line, a new extreme is likely to be formed, followed by a correction phase or a possible reversal.

  • What is the significance of looking for patterns in price action trading?

    -Patterns are significant in price action trading because price action is never alone on a chart; it's always contained within some form of a pattern, which helps traders identify trends and potential trading opportunities.

  • What is the trading range rule, and how does it differ from trading breakouts?

    -The trading range rule suggests that most breakouts of trading ranges will fail, at least temporarily. It advises against trading breakouts in their initial phase and instead recommends buying low and selling high within the range, fading the breakout.

  • Why is it important to avoid trading in the middle of a trading range?

    -It's important to avoid trading in the middle of a trading range because the price gets too indecisive, leading to congestion and a higher likelihood of failed trades.

  • What is a high probability setup according to the high probability setup rule?

    -A high probability setup is a second entry at a key entry point with the direction of the trend. It is a failed second entry that goes against the current trend, failed breakouts, or higher lows/lower highs confirmation setups, combined with key entry points such as trend lines, support or resistance lines, or the exponential moving average.

  • What is the signal bar rule, and how does it affect entry decisions in trading?

    -The signal bar rule states that traders should only take longs above bullish bars and shorts below bearish bars. The signal bar must confirm the direction and momentum of the market, ensuring that entries are made with proper confirmation of the market's movement.

  • How can the price action rules help traders avoid common pitfalls in trading?

    -The price action rules help traders avoid common pitfalls by providing a framework to identify trends, key entry points, and high probability setups. They discourage counter-trend trading, picking tops and bottoms, and trading in the middle of congestion areas, thus increasing the likelihood of successful trades.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Understanding Price Action and Market Patterns

This paragraph emphasizes the significance of recognizing and adhering to price action rules in trading. It explains that market patterns are a reflection of consistent human behaviors such as greed and fear. The narrator critiques the common approach of retail traders who rely on indicators, which only show past performance and can clutter charts, hindering true price movement understanding. The paragraph introduces the 'trendline rule,' which suggests that after a trend line is broken, the market is likely to form a new extreme before a correction or reversal occurs. The importance of identifying patterns in price action is stressed, as it is not random and follows certain rules that can guide trading decisions.

05:01

📉 The Pitfalls of Counter-Trend Trading and Trading Ranges

The second paragraph delves into the dangers of counter-trend trading, especially for novice traders who might be tempted to pick tops and bottoms against a strong trend, leading to frustration and losses. The 'trendline rule' is again highlighted, urging traders to follow the trend until a clear reversal is confirmed. The 'trading range rule' is introduced, noting that most breakouts from trading ranges will initially fail and pull back, contrary to the common belief of many traders. The importance of market geometry and structure is underscored, with an example provided to illustrate how to identify bearish patterns without the need for indicators.

10:02

📊 Price Action Rules for Trading Success

This paragraph discusses the importance of the 'high probability setup rule' in trading, which involves identifying the right entry points to maximize the chances of a successful trade. It explains that the market tends to move in pairs, with two-legged pullbacks being a key indicator of potential reversals. The 'signal bar rule' is also introduced, which dictates that trades should be entered in the direction of strong bullish or bearish bars. The paragraph provides examples of how to combine these rules with key entry points such as trend lines, support or resistance lines, and the exponential moving average for effective trading strategies.

15:03

📈 Applying Price Action Rules in Trading Ranges

The fourth paragraph provides a detailed explanation of how to apply price action rules within trading ranges. It advises identifying the structure of the market, locating key support and resistance levels, and avoiding trading in the middle of a trading range where the market is indecisive. The paragraph emphasizes the importance of patience, waiting for high-quality setups, and fading breakouts according to the trading range rule. It also discusses the significance of trend lines within trading ranges and the preference for second entries with the trend and failed second entries against the trend.

20:05

📉 Price Action Rules for Uptrend and Downtrend Trading

The fifth paragraph outlines the specific price action rules for trading in uptrends and downtrends. It stresses the importance of identifying the market structure, following the trend, and avoiding counter-trend trading until a clear trend reversal is confirmed. The paragraph explains the process of identifying key entry points, high-priority setups, and the correct signal bars. It also advises against chasing the market and emphasizes the need for patience, especially when waiting for a proper pullback to occur after a new high or low has been established.

25:07

📈 Maximizing Profits with Price Action in Bullish Markets

In this paragraph, the focus is on using price action rules to maximize profits in bullish markets. It describes how to identify key entry points after new highs have been established and the importance of waiting for pullbacks to these points for second entry opportunities. The paragraph also discusses the concept of channel patterns and how to recognize high-quality setups with strong bullish bars and two-legged pullbacks. It advises against taking trades at the highs and stresses the importance of sticking with the trend and avoiding poor signal bars.

30:08

📉 Navigating Bearish Markets with Price Action Rules

The final paragraph provides guidance on navigating bearish markets using price action rules. It discusses the importance of recognizing bearish bias within a range-like structure and waiting for clear opportunities to short the market. The paragraph emphasizes avoiding trades in the middle of a trading range and waiting for confirmation of a downtrend with lower highs. It also explains how to identify high-probability short entries using the trend line and key entry points, and the importance of avoiding trades with poor signal bars, even if the context seems favorable.

📊 Price Action Rules for High Probability Trading

This concluding paragraph summarizes the key price action rules for achieving high probability trades. It reiterates the importance of sticking to the trend, waiting for price pullbacks to key entry points, and avoiding trades with poor signal bars. The paragraph also highlights the significance of recognizing patterns such as micro double bottoms and the importance of context and signal bar quality in making trading decisions. It concludes by wishing traders good luck and emphasizing the importance of following these rules to stay on the right side of the market.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Price Action

Price action refers to the movement of a financial instrument's price, reflecting the collective behavior of market participants driven by their emotions such as greed and fear. In the video, it is emphasized that understanding price action is crucial because it reveals patterns that repeat over time due to consistent human behavior in the markets. The script explains that focusing on price action without the clutter of technical indicators can lead to a better comprehension of market movements.

💡Trendline

A trendline is a straight line drawn on a price chart to connect the lows during an uptrend or the highs during a downtrend, serving as a visual tool to identify the direction of the market. The video script discusses the 'trendline rule', which posits that after a trendline is broken, the market is likely to form a new extreme before a reversal or correction occurs, indicating a continuation of the previous trend.

💡Reversal Pattern

A reversal pattern in technical analysis is a change from a prevailing trend to the opposite direction. The script mentions that after a new extreme is formed following a trendline break, traders should expect a reversal pattern, which could be a correction phase or a straight-up reversal, signaling a potential change in the market's direction.

💡Breakout

A breakout in trading occurs when the price of a financial instrument moves past a specific technical level, often a support or resistance level. The video script warns that most breakouts from trading ranges tend to fail, meaning the price often pulls back into the range after the breakout, which is a key insight for traders looking to fade breakouts rather than chase them.

💡Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are horizontal levels on a price chart where buying or selling pressure is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from moving beyond these levels. The script explains that identifying these levels is crucial for trading within a range, as they provide the boundaries within which the price oscillates and offer potential entry points for trades.

💡Trading Range

A trading range is a period of time in which a financial instrument's price moves in a horizontal path, oscillating between support and resistance levels. The video script highlights the 'trading range rule', which advises traders to buy low and sell high within the range and to avoid trading breakouts, as they often fail and result in a pullback to the range.

💡Counter-Trend Trading

Counter-trend trading involves making trades that go against the prevailing trend, often in anticipation of a reversal. The script strongly advises against counter-trend trading, as it is generally not favorable until a clear trend reversal is confirmed by the price action, which aligns with the 'trendline rule' discussed in the video.

💡High Probability Setup

A high probability setup in trading is a situation that has a higher likelihood of resulting in a profitable trade. The script introduces the 'high probability setup rule', which involves identifying second entries at key entry points with the direction of the trend or failed second entries against the trend, which are considered high-quality setups with increased chances of success.

💡Signal Bar

A signal bar is a price action candlestick pattern that provides a visual indication of the market's direction and momentum. The video script explains the 'signal bar rule', which states that traders should only enter trades with a proper signal bar that confirms the direction and momentum of the market, such as taking longs above bullish bars and shorts below bearish bars.

💡EMA (Exponential Moving Average)

The exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. In the script, the EMA is used as a supportive tool to identify key entry points for trades, rather than as a primary trading indicator. It helps in determining the overall bias of the market and is used in conjunction with other price action rules.

💡Two-Legged Pullback

A two-legged pullback is a price action pattern that occurs after a strong move in one direction, followed by a correction and then a second move in the original direction. The script mentions that the market often moves in pairs of twos, and recognizing a two-legged pullback can provide a high-quality setup for a trade, especially when it occurs at a key entry point or follows a trendline break.

Highlights

Markets reflect human behavior, particularly greed and fear, which is why they form recurring patterns.

Most retail traders are not aware of how price moves on the chart due to incorrect initial education on trading systems and indicators.

Indicators often clutter charts and prevent traders from understanding the true movement of price.

Focusing on raw, naked price action is key to understanding how price moves in the market.

The trendline rule states that after a trend line break, a new extreme is likely to be formed, followed by a correction or reversal.

Traders should look for patterns within price action as it is never alone and is always contained within a pattern.

A bearish structure is indicated by a downturn looking pattern and a triple confirmation of a downtrend.

After a channel break in a downtrend, traders should expect a re-test of the previous low before considering a trend change.

The trendline rule applies to both uptrends and downtrends, and it's crucial to wait for a new extreme before considering a trend reversal.

Counter-trend trading is risky and often leads to losses as markets are designed to make such entries appear favorable.

The trading range rule suggests that most breakouts from trading ranges will fail, at least temporarily.

Traders should avoid trading in the middle of trading ranges and look for opportunities at the support and resistance lines.

High probability setups are identified by second entries in the direction of the trend and failed second entries against the trend.

The high probability setup rule emphasizes the importance of entering trades at key entry points with a strong signal bar.

The signal bar rule dictates that traders should only take longs above bullish bars and shorts below bearish bars.

Price action rules are crucial for staying on the right side of the market and maximizing trade success probabilities.

Transcripts

play00:00

in this video we're going to talk about

play00:01

practical rules and why it is so

play00:03

important to have understanding of these

play00:05

rules

play00:07

why price action rules work it's simple

play00:09

it's because markets reflect a human

play00:11

behavior a human greed and fear and

play00:14

since the core human behavior hasn't

play00:16

changed and most likely will not change

play00:18

market will continue to move in the same

play00:21

way and will continue to form the same

play00:23

patterns again and again

play00:26

most retail traders are unaware of the

play00:28

fact how price actually moves on the

play00:30

chart and why is that it's because

play00:33

average trader gets first introduced to

play00:35

information that will do the complete

play00:37

opposite of what he should do to educate

play00:39

him most traders at first look for

play00:42

system that will do the work for them

play00:44

and they will look for indicator based

play00:46

strategies but as most traders already

play00:48

know this is a force errand and

play00:50

indicators don't work they only show

play00:52

past performance all these fancy

play00:53

indicators look great at first but the

play00:56

only thing these indicators do is they

play00:57

clutter your chart having all these

play00:59

indicators on a chart will stop you from

play01:01

learning about the true movement of

play01:03

price and it's going to be next to

play01:05

impossible to get the proper

play01:07

understanding about the price movement

play01:09

only when you start to focus on raw

play01:11

naked price action you will understand

play01:13

how price actually moves since markets

play01:16

are not random and there is a reason to

play01:18

how price action moves

play01:20

there are rules that will help us to

play01:21

stay on the right side of the market and

play01:23

the first rule is the trendline rule

play01:25

which says after break of a trend line

play01:28

which means that the candles will close

play01:30

outside of the trend line new extreme is

play01:33

going to be formed and after new extreme

play01:35

is formed we expect correction phase or

play01:38

possibly straight up reversal

play01:41

now we have a downturn looking structure

play01:43

on the chart so as price action traders

play01:45

you want to find a pattern because price

play01:47

action is never alone and naked on a

play01:49

chart and it's always contained

play01:51

by some form of a pattern you guys can

play01:54

see we have a nice bench down to working

play01:55

lower and we have a triple confirmation

play01:57

of this downtrend so at this point on

play01:59

the structure is bearish and trader is

play02:01

only looking for short opportunities

play02:04

notice what price created there was a

play02:06

break of this channel there are candles

play02:09

that close outside of this channel most

play02:11

traders will take this information and

play02:13

they will think that the trend is over

play02:15

and they will start counting trend

play02:16

trading they will start looking for

play02:18

buying opportunities but at this point

play02:20

on according to trendline rules we know

play02:23

that we cannot go along just yet this

play02:25

downtrend needs to get new low it needs

play02:28

to get a re-test of this previous low

play02:29

and notice what price created it created

play02:31

move to a new extreme and after new

play02:33

extreme was formed then we expect

play02:35

correction or possibly straight up

play02:37

reversal and price in this instance

play02:40

straight up reverse and this is the

play02:42

uptrend now when you're safe to be

play02:44

looking for buying opportunities so this

play02:46

is the rule number one when you're

play02:47

following the trendline you're only

play02:49

looking for longs after you get a proven

play02:51

trend in opposite direction and after

play02:53

you have a break of a channel you expect

play02:54

new extreme to be formed same thing

play02:57

will apply for the shortened channels as

play02:59

well notice as there's a downtrend

play03:01

working lower there are shortened up

play03:03

trends in between and these uptrends at

play03:06

the same time have a break

play03:08

and re-test of a new extreme or at least

play03:10

attempt to create new extreme breaking

play03:11

new high only in this instance there is

play03:13

a break no new extreme form but that's

play03:16

because the downtrend is just too strong

play03:18

but you expect the same thing to happen

play03:20

even on a micro level even for these

play03:22

corrections after a break of up trend

play03:23

you expect new extreme to be formed and

play03:25

then you know that this uptrend is over

play03:27

so this is the trendline rule polish

play03:28

option working higher

play03:30

break of the channel

play03:32

and the trendline rule says that after

play03:34

break new extreme is most likely going

play03:36

to be formed and price created new high

play03:38

and this high is higher than the high

play03:41

inside of this channel so the trendline

play03:43

rule was fulfilled after that press

play03:45

created a shortened downtrend which also

play03:48

had a break move to a new extreme and

play03:50

then price indicated correction phase so

play03:53

after you have a break in your extreme

play03:54

and you have a reversal pattern you can

play03:56

start looking for shorts but once this

play03:58

downtrend played out because this was

play03:59

just a shortened pattern the correction

play04:01

phase for this overall initial uptrend

play04:03

came into play so this is how you follow

play04:05

the training rule when price breaks the

play04:07

trend line don't start counting trend

play04:09

trading just yet

play04:10

expect continuation of the previous

play04:13

trend

play04:14

counter trend trading while trend line

play04:16

is in play is against the price session

play04:19

rules and most of the time you will get

play04:21

burned after correction

play04:23

trend can resume or reverse meaning

play04:25

after is a break of a channel new

play04:27

extreme form and there is a correction

play04:29

phase

play04:30

if the bias is strong enough there can

play04:32

be a larger pattern and trend may resume

play04:35

or after that correction the new trend

play04:37

may start in the opposite direction the

play04:38

trend may reverse we have a nicely

play04:41

fitting option working higher multiple

play04:43

confirmation indicating to me that this

play04:46

channel is valid

play04:47

so i'm following the trendline rule i'm

play04:49

only focusing on long opportunities

play04:52

i'm not looking for shorts even when i

play04:54

have a break of this channel just

play04:56

because we have a break of this channel

play04:57

that doesn't indicate reversal that's

play04:59

against the trendline rule and that's

play05:01

against the price session rule i expect

play05:03

for price to create new high price

play05:06

created new high form a double top which

play05:09

is close enough to be considered as new

play05:11

high and after that price slowly

play05:13

consolidated and there was eventually

play05:15

downtrend after that but only after you

play05:18

get a break a new high the trendline

play05:19

rule is fulfilled and then you can start

play05:22

acting accordingly down to working lower

play05:25

beautifully fitting channel this is why

play05:27

market geometry is a real thing and this

play05:29

is how you can understand that the

play05:31

structure is bearish you don't need any

play05:33

indicator all you can need is the simple

play05:35

naked chart naked candlesticks and you

play05:37

can get the understanding what the price

play05:39

is going to do price close outside of

play05:42

this channel indicated break this is not

play05:44

the time to buy the market just yet

play05:46

price created

play05:48

big move to new low to a new extreme and

play05:51

from this point on traders are safe to

play05:53

at least play with the idea of possibly

play05:56

buying the market and eventually going

play05:59

long with train run rule correlates the

play06:01

second price section rule that says

play06:03

don't count a trend trade a lot of

play06:05

beginner traders when they're watching

play06:06

the strong trend go they feel that the

play06:09

trend cannot go any further and they

play06:11

will start to pick tops and bottoms and

play06:14

this lot of times lead to never ending

play06:16

frustration and to a lot of multiple

play06:18

losing streaks doesn't matter how good

play06:21

the signal bar looks how good the setup

play06:23

looks if the trend is in play under any

play06:26

circumstances you cannot counter trend

play06:28

trade just yet you will use the

play06:30

trendline rule to identify the trend to

play06:33

follow the trend and if you cannot find

play06:35

the perfect trend line you will still

play06:37

follow the overall bias only when you

play06:39

get a trend improve in opposite

play06:41

direction

play06:43

that's when you can start looking for

play06:45

entries in that trend but under any

play06:47

circumstances you cannot pick tops you

play06:49

cannot big bottoms and you cannot

play06:50

counter trend probabilities are just not

play06:53

in your favor and most traders are

play06:55

losing their money trying to pick tops

play06:57

and bottoms markets are designed to make

play07:00

counter-trend entries look favorable and

play07:02

there are designed to make with trend

play07:04

pullbacks to look sketchy for that

play07:07

reason a lot of traders are attempting

play07:09

to buy the bottom in strong downtrends

play07:11

but most reversal attempts in trends

play07:14

will fail these rallies to the upside

play07:17

are just reversal attempts and most of

play07:19

them will fail there against the overall

play07:21

trend when you are not sure if the trend

play07:23

ended or not you follow the overall bias

play07:26

and even if you are struggling to find a

play07:27

proper trend line you are sticking with

play07:29

the overall bias and you are not

play07:30

counting trading don't sell the uptrend

play07:33

even if long traps occur

play07:35

sometimes there can be a good long setup

play07:38

good buying opportunity in a bullish

play07:39

structure and a bullish trend behavior

play07:41

may be wrong the trade may be a little

play07:42

bit of a congested which is another rule

play07:44

we're going to talk about there may be a

play07:46

shortened trend line that is in play

play07:47

that needs to play out remember the

play07:49

trend line rule it goes even for the

play07:50

short term trends as well you cannot

play07:52

sell the long trap even if you are

play07:54

confident that the buyers are trapped

play07:56

because the trend is still in play and

play07:57

you're still going against the trend and

play07:59

arts are not in your side you just let

play08:02

these long traps play out and you're

play08:04

still sticking with the trend you're

play08:05

still following the trend trend is your

play08:07

friend this thing has been around for a

play08:08

long time there's a reason why and this

play08:10

rule goes for shortened channels as well

play08:13

even if there is a small channel and the

play08:15

structure is not this big because right

play08:16

now i have an example of a quite a

play08:18

strong bullish uptrend even if this

play08:20

uptrend is minimal you still don't want

play08:22

to count and trade unless you have a

play08:23

break of a trendline in new extreme form

play08:26

this one is a big one the trading range

play08:27

rule the most important thing to

play08:28

understand about trading range rule is

play08:30

that most breakouts of trading ranges

play08:32

will fail but we see it all on the

play08:34

internet beginner traders are trading

play08:36

breakouts majority of traders are trying

play08:39

to trade breakouts and they keep losing

play08:41

money because most breakouts of trading

play08:43

ranges will fail at least temporarily

play08:46

there can be a pullback and the breakout

play08:48

may succeed eventually but if you are

play08:50

trading the breakout you want to take it

play08:51

on the breakout pullback setup you don't

play08:54

want to trade the breakout in its

play08:55

breakout phase because most breakouts of

play08:57

training ranges will pull back into

play08:59

training range and the breakout will

play09:01

fail

play09:02

these breakouts are working just enough

play09:04

to keep the majority traders trying but

play09:07

in the long term this is not the proven

play09:09

strategy to approach the market and it's

play09:11

against price action rule now when we

play09:13

are watching training range we're

play09:14

observing the health of a trading range

play09:16

we want to see if there is a bullish

play09:17

imbalance or bearish imbalance now

play09:20

trading range rule also says not only

play09:22

most breakouts will fail but we want to

play09:24

buy low

play09:25

and we want to sell high you want to do

play09:27

the opposite but the common sense is

play09:29

telling you congestion is just a small

play09:32

pattern of a trading range and you want

play09:34

to avoid trading these congestions

play09:37

that's a price session rule trading

play09:39

range rule because congestion is just a

play09:40

microliter trading range and the price

play09:43

gets too indecisive there and you want

play09:44

to stay away from these trades price is

play09:46

swinging up and down up and down we as

play09:48

price action traders need to identify

play09:50

the support identify the resistance bars

play09:52

are never alone on the chart there's

play09:54

always some form of a pattern remember

play09:56

price action reflects human behavior and

play09:59

this behavior always results into price

play10:02

action patterns price former double top

play10:04

and we have a break below support but

play10:06

notice the breakout ended up failing why

play10:10

because most breakouts of trading ranges

play10:12

will fail price broke above the

play10:14

resistance and what ended up happening

play10:17

breakout fail again and price pull back

play10:19

into a trading range this is how you

play10:21

approach trading ranges and this is the

play10:23

trading range rule that you want to

play10:25

follow you're looking for opportunities

play10:27

off the bottom

play10:28

off the top and you're trying to fade

play10:30

the breakout you're trading them against

play10:32

the direction of a breakout if breakout

play10:35

breaks to the downside you want to look

play10:36

for buy and if breakout breaks to the

play10:38

upside you want to look for sale another

play10:39

trading range structure huge breakout to

play10:42

the upside that is looking very bullish

play10:44

a lot of traders rely on momentum but

play10:46

the breakout snap back into trading

play10:49

range another breakout right here price

play10:51

pull back into range

play10:53

another breakout and price pull back

play10:55

into range again

play10:57

most breakouts of trading ranges will

play10:59

fail most beginner traders trade

play11:01

breakout they like the momentum they see

play11:03

so many bullish bars breaking up because

play11:06

a lot of times trading ranges are boring

play11:08

markets they're slow and traders just

play11:09

cannot deal with this they're too

play11:11

anxious to take the trade and once they

play11:13

see price breaking out they will start

play11:15

buying but what they're doing realizing

play11:17

they're just taking other side of the

play11:18

professional orders which they're trying

play11:20

to sell because if i want to sell i want

play11:22

to sell as high as i can so i want to

play11:25

sell i need somebody to take the other

play11:27

side of my order people are buying i'm

play11:29

selling it will result into market

play11:31

pulling back into trading range like

play11:33

this another beautiful failed breakout

play11:34

scenario because price will just pull

play11:37

back into train range after breakout 90

play11:40

of these breakouts will fail some will

play11:42

eventually work there is no denying that

play11:44

but you cannot try to look for the one

play11:46

that will eventually work and there are

play11:48

instances including price session will

play11:50

help you understand

play11:51

which breakout is going to work and

play11:52

which fell such as bullish or bearish

play11:55

imbalance most breakouts will fail

play11:57

even in small trading ranges this right

play12:00

here this small consolidation is a

play12:02

trading range structure just like we saw

play12:04

in the examples earlier just on a small

play12:07

micro frame there is a support there is

play12:09

a resistance there's just indecision

play12:11

there is no clear direction price broke

play12:14

to the downside strongly this is a

play12:16

failed breakout and price pull back into

play12:18

train range notice we traded up into

play12:20

this trading range so you expect for

play12:22

price to eventually break to the upside

play12:24

and even when there was a breakout to

play12:25

the upside notice price pull back first

play12:28

because the first breakout will fail at

play12:30

least temporarily and this is the

play12:31

breakout pullback but now you know that

play12:34

you want to go long after price pull

play12:35

back and now you're safe to look for

play12:38

longs but most breakouts will fail even

play12:39

from these tiny consolidations and you

play12:41

want to stay away from trading in the

play12:43

middle of these tiny little

play12:45

consolidations that's against the rule

play12:47

we just talked about three price action

play12:49

rules that mainly has to do with the

play12:50

structure and the bias of the market but

play12:53

is there a rule that will help us

play12:54

identify

play12:56

proper place to enter yes there is and

play12:58

it's called the high probability setup

play13:01

rule

play13:02

when you train your eyes to see the

play13:03

price movement you will realize that

play13:05

market moves in pairs of twos market is

play13:08

not just pointing straight up or

play13:09

straight down no these would be reshape

play13:11

reversals and they are not common there

play13:13

are small pullbacks in between and these

play13:16

are two legged pullbacks remember price

play13:18

reflects human behavior what high

play13:21

priority setup rule does it will tell us

play13:24

when to enter

play13:26

and when we put odds on our side that

play13:28

the trade has high likelihood of

play13:30

succeeding so what is a high quality

play13:32

setup high priority setup is a second

play13:34

entry at key entry point with the

play13:36

direction of a trend it is a failed

play13:38

second entry that goes against the

play13:40

current trend

play13:42

failed breakouts or higher lows lower

play13:45

highest confirmation setups now these

play13:46

setups don't mean anything on their own

play13:49

if we want to take a high priority setup

play13:51

we need to combine it with the key entry

play13:54

point this is the place on the chart

play13:56

where high quality setup can appear now

play13:58

key entry point is a trend line

play14:00

support or resistance line

play14:02

and exponential moving average now i'm

play14:05

aware the exponential moving average is

play14:07

a indicator but we use this indicator

play14:10

only as a supportive tool we are not

play14:12

relying on this blindly this is very

play14:15

useful tool that can help you identify

play14:18

the proper key entry point and can tell

play14:20

you information about the structure this

play14:22

is what the high quality setups look

play14:24

like

play14:25

notice we have a very structure so what

play14:27

we have to do we have to draw the

play14:29

channel we have a trendline working over

play14:31

notice we have a break and a new extreme

play14:34

perfectly following the trend line rule

play14:35

i mentioned that price likes to move in

play14:37

pairs of twos and this is what it looks

play14:39

like we have a first leg correction

play14:42

second leg and this is the key and trip

play14:44

when you guys can see the trend line

play14:46

support or resistance line or this blue

play14:48

line 21 bar exponential moving average

play14:50

this is the two-legged pullback so we

play14:53

have a downturn working lower

play14:54

price is working to the upside we have a

play14:56

shortened option that had to break a new

play14:58

extreme remember the trend and you keep

play14:59

drawing it even for the short term

play15:01

corrections so you know that the option

play15:03

played out and price created first

play15:04

attempt to sell

play15:06

second bullish leg up and the second

play15:08

attempt to sell it is off to two key

play15:11

entry points not only the trend line but

play15:14

the 21 bar exponential moving as well

play15:16

and this is the place where the odds of

play15:19

this trade succeeding are highly in your

play15:22

favor so you guys can see two like a

play15:24

pullback second entry short at the key

play15:26

entry point option working higher break

play15:28

at a new extreme

play15:29

first trend line break you're following

play15:31

the trendline rule you expect to get a

play15:32

new extreme so you're still thinking

play15:34

about selling you're not content trading

play15:36

at this point on there's a two legged

play15:37

pullback second entry short and resulted

play15:41

in the big move to new york stream this

play15:43

time you're below ema you're at the

play15:45

expense moving average even though

play15:46

you're not coming off the trend line

play15:48

you're still following the rule because

play15:49

you're combining the trendline rule with

play15:51

the high quality setup rule i also

play15:52

talked about a failed second entry that

play15:55

goes against the trend but it's fairly

play15:57

simple

play15:58

when we have a bullish structure working

play16:00

to the upside we're not concentrating

play16:02

we're following the trendline rule we're

play16:04

looking for second entry longs two

play16:05

legged pullbacks at the key entry points

play16:07

but we can also take a felt to like a

play16:10

pullback to the downside felt second

play16:12

entry short because the trend is to the

play16:15

upside it's not to the downside so any

play16:17

second entry short means nothing and it

play16:19

means that it's going to most likely

play16:21

fail and we have a second entry show

play16:23

right here new low first century short

play16:25

second entry short and we have a second

play16:27

entry short failure this is the felt

play16:28

second entry short against the overall

play16:30

trend your stop loss goes one thing

play16:32

below this single bar and would have

play16:34

resulted in winning trade same scenario

play16:35

right here price create a new low first

play16:38

century short pullback second entry

play16:40

short so this is a failed second entry

play16:42

short

play16:43

also at the same time it is a second

play16:44

entry long first leg pull back second

play16:47

leg first central long second intro so

play16:49

the high priority setup rule says that

play16:51

you're only taking these setups that

play16:54

have higher chance of succeeding you're

play16:57

not interested in taking setups that are

play16:59

not confirming the key entry points that

play17:02

are far away from ema from the trend

play17:03

line and there are not variations of a

play17:05

two-legged pullbacks we have a bunch of

play17:08

entries right here but you're not

play17:09

interested in taking these entries

play17:11

chasing the market you're not interested

play17:13

in selling the market high quality setup

play17:15

is when price pulls back to key entry

play17:18

points this is where a lot of smart

play17:20

traders are starting to buy on a high

play17:22

probability setup the fifth price action

play17:25

rule that you need to follow is the

play17:27

signal bar rule

play17:28

which means you only want to take longs

play17:32

above bullish bars and you only want to

play17:34

take shorts below bearish bars you only

play17:37

want to enter with the proper signal bar

play17:39

signal bar must confirm the direction

play17:42

and the momentum of the market

play17:45

these are a few examples of a good

play17:47

bullish bars that you want to go long

play17:49

above and these are just a few examples

play17:51

of good bearish bars that you want to

play17:52

sell below you never want to sell below

play17:55

these bars that you never want to buy

play17:57

above these bars you need to combine the

play18:00

high priority setup rule with the signal

play18:02

bar rule so you can maximize the

play18:04

probabilities of trait succeeding of

play18:07

course

play18:08

stronger the context the signal bar is

play18:11

less

play18:12

important sometimes the context may be

play18:14

just so strong where you can afford to

play18:17

take a slightly less ideal signal bar

play18:20

and you're still following the rules but

play18:22

for the most part you want to stick to

play18:24

this rule you want to follow a good

play18:26

signal bar let's now take a look how to

play18:28

use these rules in markets let's talk

play18:30

about a price action rules in trading

play18:32

range structures when i'm trading

play18:34

trading ranges there are a couple

play18:36

key points that i have to go through in

play18:38

my mind when i'm trying to identify a

play18:41

high quality setups and these are just a

play18:43

few points that quickly flash through my

play18:46

mind number one i try to identify the

play18:48

structure it is an uptrend or is a

play18:50

downtrend or it's a trading range i want

play18:52

to locate key levels if i know that it's

play18:54

a trading range i want to find a support

play18:57

and resistance line because market likes

play19:00

to oscillate in between these lines and

play19:01

if i want to follow the train range rule

play19:03

which means i want to buy low sell high

play19:05

and fade the breakouts i need to

play19:06

identify my support and resistance

play19:08

correctly i also want to locate trend

play19:11

lines i want to locate the shortened

play19:13

trend lines because there are trends

play19:15

working even inside of a trading range

play19:18

trendline rules still apply even inside

play19:21

of the trading range for the most part

play19:24

i'm careful trading in the middle

play19:25

trading range i want to stay away from

play19:27

congestion that's very important rule i

play19:29

want to look for setups to fade the

play19:31

breakout following the trading range

play19:33

rule buy low sell high

play19:35

i want to be patient don't want to chase

play19:37

entries in case i miss the trade if i

play19:39

miss a trade i need to wait for another

play19:42

high quality setup to appear i cannot

play19:44

just jump the gun and risk taking entry

play19:46

there is not a high probability i cannot

play19:47

trade a breakout i cannot take first

play19:49

entries i cannot concentrate

play19:51

that will not result in long-term

play19:53

consistent success i'm looking for

play19:55

entries at exponential moving average

play19:57

i'm looking for good signal bars if i'm

play19:59

about to enter and i'm looking for

play20:01

second entries with the trend and failed

play20:03

second entries against the trend because

play20:05

like i said there are trends working

play20:06

even inside of trading ranges so when

play20:08

i'm looking at the trading range like

play20:09

this what i have to do i need to

play20:11

identify my key levels and i need to

play20:14

identify my shortened trend lines

play20:15

because you guys can see there's uptrend

play20:17

break two legs to a new stream dungeon

play20:20

break new low and you guys can see the

play20:22

trend line rule playing out perfectly

play20:23

after each new break there is a new

play20:25

extreme and then reversal option working

play20:28

higher little break new extreme so at

play20:29

this point on i expect for price to go

play20:32

down but at this point on we are in the

play20:33

middle of trading range so i'm just

play20:35

sitting patiently i'm not doing anything

play20:37

notice price created

play20:39

last lag during your extreme and

play20:40

eventually trade it down so i keep

play20:42

drawing my shortened channels i keep

play20:45

following the trendline we have a break

play20:47

new stream form which tells me that the

play20:49

downtrend played out and notice we broke

play20:52

below the trading range and most

play20:54

breakouts of training ranges will fail

play20:56

so i'm looking for opportunity to trade

play20:59

back into train range i'm following the

play21:01

trendline rule i'm following the train

play21:03

range rule i'm following the high

play21:04

quality setup rule but i don't have a

play21:05

great signal bar so i'm just waiting

play21:07

patiently price indeed pull back into

play21:10

trading range i need to draw the

play21:12

shortened channels at this point on

play21:15

i have a strong bullish uptrend and i'm

play21:17

waiting if i get a good setup at the

play21:19

exponential moving average at the key

play21:21

entry point because i'm most likely not

play21:23

going to get good entries off of this

play21:25

channel because it is too tight and it

play21:26

will be too far away from the

play21:28

expenditure moving average notice price

play21:30

is strongly continuing to the upside

play21:32

we bounce off the resistance but i'm not

play21:35

selling just yet that would be against

play21:37

the trend i don't want a country train

play21:39

just yet we have a 20 bullish bars

play21:42

consecutive working higher only bench

play21:44

bar was this one right here but you can

play21:45

classify this as a bullish bar as well

play21:47

because it has gigantic pulley stim at

play21:50

the bottom so i expect according to

play21:52

trend line rule to get new extreme and

play21:54

notice price get a new high

play21:56

first century long pullback second entry

play21:58

long is about to form where at the

play22:01

important key entry point even though

play22:03

the signal bar is not the greatest the

play22:05

context is so strong that after 20

play22:07

consecutive bullish bars i'm going to

play22:09

get new extreme and this is a second

play22:11

entry long and then price created new

play22:13

low

play22:14

first century short felt second entry

play22:16

short this is a failed second entry

play22:18

short that goes against the overall

play22:20

trend it is once again off the key entry

play22:22

point

play22:23

signal bar is great and i still need to

play22:24

get new extreme i'm not concentrating

play22:26

just yet and if i miss the second entry

play22:28

long i cannot go long

play22:30

all the way up to here no my scalp was

play22:32

already made and i need to wait for

play22:33

proper pullback again felt second entry

play22:35

short worked new high was formed and

play22:37

according to trendline rule we now

play22:39

expect correction or straight up

play22:41

reversal but i'm gonna combine the

play22:42

trendline rule with the trading range

play22:44

rule and most breakouts will fail so i

play22:47

can take this failed breakout as a high

play22:49

probability setup and i can expect for

play22:51

price to pull back into training range

play22:53

at the same time still following the

play22:55

shortened trendline rule so these are

play22:58

the rules that are going through my mind

play23:00

when i'm trading at trading range

play23:01

identifying key levels sticking to

play23:03

shortened channels for the most part

play23:04

avoiding trading in the middle avoiding

play23:06

congestions i'm still following trend

play23:09

line rule with the key entry point

play23:11

setups with the high probability setups

play23:13

and i'm trying to fade the breakouts

play23:14

price session rules for the uptrend i

play23:16

still need to identify what is the

play23:18

structure i'm still trying to follow the

play23:21

trend i'm not looking to counter trend

play23:23

trend just yet following the trendline

play23:25

rule identifying the key entry points

play23:27

identifying the high priority setups not

play23:29

trying to jump the gun in case i miss a

play23:31

trade i'm not entering at the very highs

play23:34

of the move i want to take the pullbacks

play23:37

i'm trying to stay away from congestions

play23:39

i'm drawing my shortened trend lines for

play23:41

bearish corrections because i want to

play23:42

see the burst corrections play out so i

play23:44

can take along opportunities and i try

play23:46

to identify good signal bar

play23:49

after new high is reached buying is on

play23:51

hold for short period of time until we

play23:53

get more confirmation and if price keeps

play23:55

creating multiple new extremes that's

play23:57

the indication that there is a probably

play24:00

new bigger channel in play which is

play24:03

typical for strong uptrends

play24:05

so when i'm looking at the structure

play24:06

like this i have a break but i see price

play24:09

created new extreme another new extreme

play24:11

and another new extreme we just keep

play24:13

pushing higher price is failing to close

play24:15

below ema this is indicating to me that

play24:18

we are still in a bullish bias structure

play24:21

so i'm still looking for long

play24:22

opportunities i cannot tell just yet i

play24:24

will need to see the reversal pattern

play24:25

below ema or proven downtrend for me to

play24:27

just sell i'm staying away from these

play24:29

congestions so at this point on i'm

play24:31

still thinking long but i cannot just

play24:33

buy at the top of the move like that

play24:34

it's far from ema and price can pull

play24:36

back i want to see price pulling back

play24:39

this is where smart traders are buying

play24:40

this is time for me to capitalize on a

play24:43

discount in the market and price create

play24:45

a new high first century long i'm not

play24:47

interested in taking a long entry here

play24:49

because it's just a first entry

play24:51

and price created we tickle over here

play24:53

and created a second entry long we have

play24:56

a little inside bar here but this is the

play24:58

proper second entry long right here so

play25:01

there's a two legged pullback at the key

play25:03

entry point under bullish structure

play25:05

great signal bar this is a high quality

play25:06

setup and this is the entry that i want

play25:08

to take after i take this entry i can

play25:10

hold the runner but i cannot take

play25:12

entries at these highs we're now far

play25:14

away from key entry point and at this

play25:16

point on since press key is pushing

play25:18

higher there's a probably a different

play25:20

pattern there's a spike and a channel

play25:22

pattern which is typical when the first

play25:23

leg is steep and then the channel

play25:25

flattens the second line flattens now we

play25:27

have a bike in a channel pattern and

play25:29

notice price created new phone first

play25:32

century short second entry short but i'm

play25:34

not taking this trade because it is far

play25:36

away from ema and it's far away from the

play25:38

trend line i'm still patient here and

play25:40

i'm just watching market go without me

play25:41

preferably i'm still holding the runner

play25:43

and letting this portion on the market

play25:45

run so i can capitalize and lacking

play25:46

profits without me getting angsty that i

play25:49

am missing a big move price is finally

play25:51

pulling back to my key entry point to

play25:53

the ema in the form of a new high first

play25:55

century long second inch long with

play25:57

two-legged pullback

play25:58

big bullish bar following the signal bar

play26:01

rule second inch along in a strong

play26:03

bullish structure

play26:04

all rules apply you're in the shortened

play26:06

downtrend to break a new extreme so this

play26:08

is a high priority setup followed by a

play26:10

high low confirmation of a two-legged

play26:11

pullback a new low form first century

play26:14

short second entry short that goes

play26:16

against the trend failure off two key

play26:19

entry points great signal bar still

play26:20

sticking with the trend and at this

play26:22

point on once again i'm not chasing

play26:24

entries up here i'm only interested in

play26:26

the high quality setups notice this is

play26:29

the point where price is creating these

play26:31

big moves up and without the knowledge

play26:33

of price session you're wondering why

play26:35

price is turning up from these points

play26:38

what's so magical about these points the

play26:39

price will always bounce here but it's

play26:41

because there's a key entry point it's

play26:42

because there's a two like a pullback

play26:44

and it's because all other price action

play26:46

rules are being met price session rules

play26:48

for downtrend are the same as for

play26:50

uptrend just vice versa i'm still

play26:54

following the same rule but i'm looking

play26:56

for short opportunities i see a somewhat

play26:59

range-like structure but with the

play27:01

bearish bias

play27:02

highs are still lower than the previous

play27:04

highs and the lows are still also lower

play27:08

and lower

play27:09

so we have a range structure right here

play27:10

but with bearish bias so at this point

play27:12

i'm not particularly looking for longs

play27:14

i'm just waiting patiently for a good

play27:16

opportunity to appear notice what is

play27:19

happening next

play27:20

price is continuing working sideways

play27:22

price four menu low and created a two

play27:24

legged pullback first century short

play27:26

pullback second entry short can i take

play27:28

this entry well i don't really want to

play27:30

take this entry why because it's getting

play27:32

a little bit stacked we have multiple

play27:34

bars just working next to each other

play27:36

showing in decision this is not showing

play27:37

me any momentum and we close above ema

play27:40

if i want to go short i preferably want

play27:42

to sell below ema and we are in the

play27:43

middle of this training range as well so

play27:45

this is not particularly the perfect

play27:46

area i want to sell however i can still

play27:49

see the low being lower than this and

play27:51

then this there's a possible downtrend

play27:53

working lower notice what form next

play27:56

there was a lower high

play27:57

confirmation setup of this second entry

play27:59

short not only that price now confirmed

play28:02

the momentum and pushed below ema so now

play28:06

this is better entry lower high after

play28:08

second entry short bill ema confirmation

play28:10

setup and it's according to rules price

play28:13

is failing to reach the resistance is

play28:14

staying below and the possible downtrend

play28:16

is now coming into fruition it can also

play28:19

be treated as a small breakout pullback

play28:21

of the micro congestion right here

play28:24

because these bars are just smaller

play28:25

congestion working next to each other at

play28:27

this point on structure is clear

play28:30

bearish downtrend i can identify the

play28:32

stronger downtrend it fits nicely off

play28:34

the lows and as the price is pushing

play28:36

lower we have multiple setups either

play28:39

first entries or whatever setups they're

play28:42

just far away from exponential moving

play28:43

average i'm not interested i'm not

play28:45

interested in buying the market it seems

play28:47

the price moved too far down we're way

play28:50

overdone it's time to pick a nice signal

play28:52

bar to pull back that is not how you're

play28:54

gonna maximize the probabilities on your

play28:57

side you only want to stick with the

play28:58

direction of a trend and this trend line

play29:00

is still in play there was a new low

play29:02

form first century short second entry

play29:04

short tool like a pullback but signal

play29:06

bar is doji horrible and waiting

play29:08

patiently price created another second

play29:11

entry short why am i calling this

play29:12

another second entry short because we

play29:14

have here what looks like almost to be a

play29:17

micro double bottom and micro double

play29:19

bottoms reset the count

play29:21

so technically i can treat it as a first

play29:23

lag second leg first entry short second

play29:26

entry short this right here right now

play29:28

has a much better signal bar it is at

play29:30

the key entry point and this is the

play29:31

proper entry

play29:33

price form at lower high confirmed the

play29:35

two like a pullback but the signal bar

play29:37

is horrible so even though context is

play29:39

perfect here and i can take signal bar

play29:41

is not great lower highs are supposed to

play29:43

have good signal bars there are

play29:45

confirmation setups so this is how

play29:47

you're using price session rules you're

play29:48

still sticking with the trend and you

play29:49

want to see price pull back to key entry

play29:51

point another numeral form another

play29:54

two-legged pullback where atrium played

play29:55

with the breaking new high ema keeps

play29:57

holding price key entry point second

play29:59

entry short great signal bar high

play30:01

probably the setup the scalp was made

play30:04

price pushed higher

play30:05

confirmed the key entry point so you're

play30:08

still inside this channel press form a

play30:10

lower high

play30:11

off this key entry point you can

play30:13

actually consider taking this entry off

play30:16

the trend line but if you want to wait

play30:17

for sure entry to get the confirmation

play30:19

you can wait for a lower height it will

play30:21

confirm this bounce off the key entry

play30:24

point and it's actually first century

play30:26

short second entry short so this is a

play30:28

great entry as well and price not only

play30:30

formula or high it formed even felt

play30:32

second entry long below ema in a strong

play30:35

downtrend you're coming off the trend

play30:36

line and the second entry long that goes

play30:38

against the trend is a still high

play30:40

quality setup after that notice price is

play30:43

losing momentum first break of a channel

play30:45

you expect new extreme and this are the

play30:48

rules

play30:49

for a high probability setup if the

play30:52

signal bar is bad like on this entry

play30:54

right here i'm not interested this is a

play30:56

horrible doji i really want to see a

play30:58

great signal bar if context is good i

play31:01

can have signal bot it is not perfect

play31:03

but the signal bar still has to be

play31:05

somewhat decent and this pure doji is

play31:08

not what i want to sell below these are

play31:10

the price session rules that you need to

play31:12

know and these rules will keep you on

play31:13

the right side of the market good luck

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
Price ActionTrading RulesMarket BehaviorHuman GreedFear FactorTechnical AnalysisTrendline StrategyRetail TraderIndicator PitfallsTrading PatternsNaked Chart