🚨BREAKING: Trump to FLOOD the Stock Market With Money

The Traveling Trader
11 Jan 202611:52

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker discusses the bullish trends in the stock market, highlighting the S&P 500's rise and the Trump administration's initiatives to boost liquidity ahead of the midterms. With the return of quantitative easing in 2026, the speaker explores opportunities in various sectors, including mortgage-backed securities and AI stocks. He also covers key economic events like CPI and unemployment data, and potential risks such as geopolitical tensions with Iran and rising oil prices. Despite warnings from some analysts, the speaker remains generally optimistic about market performance in 2026.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The S&P 500 is approaching 7,000, with a bullish market outlook fueled by initiatives from the Trump administration to increase liquidity ahead of the midterm elections.
  • 😀 Stock market breadth is improving, with more than just the MAG 7 stocks rising, a trend often signaling continued bullishness for up to a year.
  • 😀 The S&P 500 is exhibiting a volatility contraction pattern, where higher lows are forming, which is generally a bullish sign.
  • 😀 The Federal Reserve is expected to resume quantitative easing in 2026, which will further increase liquidity in the market.
  • 😀 The upcoming economic reports include CPI (January 13), PPI, core retail sales (January 14), and unemployment claims (January 15), with a potential for market-moving surprises.
  • 😀 Trump’s initiatives like buying $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities aim to reduce mortgage rates and make housing more affordable. However, the actual impact remains uncertain.
  • 😀 The tax reforms for 2026 will give Americans an additional $1,000 tax rebate, along with other benefits like tax-deductible autoloan interest and no tax on tips or overtime for seniors.
  • 😀 Despite some bearish indicators like Bank of America’s extreme sentiment readings, a market correction is expected, especially at the tail end of Q1 or just after.
  • 😀 Geopolitical tensions, such as the escalation with Iran, could affect the market, with a high probability (60%) of U.S. intervention by June 30, 2026.
  • 😀 Oil prices could spike due to potential OPEC production cuts or interventions in Iran and Venezuela, making energy stocks a critical area to monitor.
  • 😀 As AI stocks lose momentum, diversifying into undervalued mega-cap stocks like Apple and Netflix presents an opportunity, with Apple showing strong technical support and Netflix showing a buy signal at lower prices.
  • 😀 Traders should monitor energy stocks and AI-driven energy sectors for mid-term opportunities, with key stocks like Olo and NextEra Energy poised for a potential breakout.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of the S&P 500 reaching an all-time high and nearing 7,000?

    -The S&P 500 reaching an all-time high and approaching 7,000 indicates strong market performance, reflecting investor confidence. This is especially important because market breadth is improving, with more stocks participating in the rally, not just the 'MAG 7' (the seven largest tech stocks). It suggests sustained bullishness for the market in the near term, potentially lasting for a year or more.

  • What is a volatility contraction pattern and why is it important in this context?

    -A volatility contraction pattern, coined by Mark Minervini, occurs when a stock or index forms a series of higher lows, creating a flag-like formation. This pattern signals a potential breakout, often leading to significant price movement. The S&P 500 is currently displaying this pattern, which is seen as a bullish indicator in the market.

  • How will quantitative easing in 2026 affect the stock market?

    -Quantitative easing (QE), which the Fed is set to reintroduce in 2026, involves the central bank purchasing assets to increase liquidity in the financial system. This could boost the stock market by lowering interest rates and increasing money flow, but there are risks of inflation if it goes unchecked. QE is expected to provide support to the market in 2026, contributing to a bullish outlook.

  • What role do CPI and unemployment claims play in the market outlook for this week?

    -CPI (Consumer Price Index) and unemployment claims are key economic indicators that can significantly impact market sentiment. CPI reflects inflation trends, and a higher-than-expected CPI could signal rising inflation, which could lead to market volatility. Unemployment claims give insight into labor market strength, and worse-than-expected data could cause market corrections.

  • What are the implications of the U.S. purchasing $200 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS)?

    -The purchase of $200 billion in MBS is aimed at lowering mortgage rates, making housing more affordable for Americans. While this could provide some relief to the housing market, the scale of the purchase (representing about 2-3% of the total MBS market) may have a significant but moderate impact on mortgage rates.

  • Why does the speaker doubt the feasibility of capping interest rates on credit cards at 10%?

    -The speaker is skeptical about the proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%, as this would require significant changes in the financial system and could disrupt the business models of credit card companies. Moreover, companies like Mastercard and Visa primarily earn money from processing fees, not interest rates, so the cap may not affect them significantly.

  • What does the speaker think about the potential for a market correction in 2026?

    -The speaker anticipates a potential market correction in the first quarter of 2026, either toward the end of Q1 or shortly after. This projection is based on macroeconomic data like inflation or unemployment numbers, as well as geopolitical risks such as escalating tensions with Iran.

  • What geopolitical risks could impact the stock market in 2026?

    -The speaker identifies the potential escalation with Iran as a major geopolitical risk. Increased tensions or U.S. intervention in Iran could trigger market volatility, especially if it leads to disruptions in global oil supply. Additionally, OPEC's response to U.S. control of Venezuela could also impact oil prices and the broader market.

  • How does the speaker view the AI market, particularly in relation to companies like OpenAI and Google?

    -The speaker suggests that the AI market, especially with OpenAI, is reaching a saturation point as Google’s Gemini AI gains market share, now accounting for nearly 22% of AI traffic. As the AI boom slows, the speaker looks for opportunities to diversify investments, especially in sectors that might see renewed interest in 2026.

  • What stock does the speaker believe will be a major winner in 2026, and why?

    -The speaker is bullish on Novo Nordisk (NVO), particularly after the approval of its oral WGO pill and its partnership with Amazon for distribution. The stock has already risen 20% in a month, and the speaker plans to continue buying on pullbacks, seeing it as one of the biggest gainers in 2026.

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Related Tags
Stock Market2026 OutlookTrump AdministrationCPI DataQuantitative EasingBullish TrendsVisa StocksAI OpportunitiesEnergy MarketUS PoliticsDay Trading