September Market Warning | My $160K Move Into 2 Stocks (Options With Ryan)

Summary

In this video, the creator provides a detailed market update and portfolio review, highlighting recent trades and options strategies. With the VTranscript summary generationIX spiking above 15 and inflation remaining steady, opportunities are emerging for covered calls and cash-secured puts. The portfolio saw a $30K contribution, bringing it to $1.221 million, with notable activity in HIMS, Meta, and Nvidia. Short-term market projections anticipate minor pullbacks, while long-term targets suggest potential gains. Viewers are guided through premium collection, stock assignments, and risk management strategies, emphasizing that the content is educational and results may vary.

Takeaways

• 📉 The market experienced a minor sell-off and the VIX spiked above 15, signaling increased volatility.
• 💰 The portfolio received a $30K capital contribution, bringing its total value to $1.221 million.
• 📊 August returns were approximately $34K, representing a 3% monthly gain, with Tesla showing a minor loss offset by covered call premiums.
• 👥 Options Trading University now has 330 clients sharing their results and inspirations.
• 📈 Core inflation remains steady at 2.9%, and the end of the de minimis exemption may temporarily increase prices for goods under $800.
• 🗓 Upcoming economic events include the US trade deficit on Thursday and jobless claims/unemployment rate on Friday, potentially causing short-term market volatility.
• 🔮 Short-term QQQ projections indicate potential downside between 559–551, with a longer-term target around 590 within the next 3–4 weeks.
• 💵 Cash allocation strategy: 17% in cash, using VIX spikes as an opportunity to buy dips and sell covered calls for income.
• 🏦 Key stock moves: HIMS (800 shares assigned at $50, sold covered calls at $51), Meta (100 shares assigned at $745, covered calls around $780–$790), Nvidia (re-entered 170 cash-secured puts, targeting $200 year-end).
• 📌 Overall strategy focuses on income generation through covered calls and cash-secured puts, buying dips, and leveraging market volatility, with results varying based on risk tolerance and market conditions.

Q & A

What was the total value of the portfolio after the recent capital contribution?

The portfolio value increased to $1.221 million after a $30K capital contribution.

What was the portfolio's performance in August?

The portfolio gained approximately $34K in August, representing a 3% return.

Why did the market experience a small sell-off recently?

The sell-off was influenced by the end of the $800 duty-free exemption and slight inflation concerns, leading to increased short-term market volatility.

What are the expected market movements for QQQ in the short term?

QQQ is projected to have a short-term downside between 559 and 551, with a possible extended pullback to 544, followed by a potential bounce and longer-term target of 590.

How did the VIX behave and what does it indicate?

The VIX spiked above 15, indicating increased market volatility and providing potential buying opportunities.

What strategy was used for HIMS shares?

800 shares of HIMS were assigned at $50 each, and 8 covered calls were sold at the $51 strike for 14 days. Additionally, 7 September 26 $40 puts were sold to collect $1,100 in premiums.

What is the plan for Meta shares and covered calls?

100 Meta shares were assigned at $745. Covered calls will be sold around the $780–$790 strike to collect premiums while awaiting share appreciation, with a bullish target in the mid-$800s by year-end.

How did the portfolio adjust its Nvidia positions?

All previous cash-secured puts at the $170 strike were closed, collecting ~$4K. A new position was entered with 7 September 26 $170 puts, collecting ~$3,130 in premiums and offering a ~7.5% discount on the shares.

What is the expected impact of the upcoming US economic data?

The US trade deficit, initial jobless claims, and unemployment rate reports could cause market volatility, with potential short-term pullbacks, but may increase odds of a September rate cut, which would support market growth.

Why does the speaker emphasize that this is not financial advice?

Because the content is meant for educational purposes and results vary depending on individual account size, risk tolerance, and market conditions.

What overall options strategy is the speaker using?

The strategy involves generating income through covered calls and cash-secured puts, adjusting position sizes based on volatility, and regularly collecting premiums while managing potential assignments.

How much cash is the portfolio currently holding and why?

The portfolio holds about 17% in cash to take advantage of buying opportunities during periods of increased volatility.