Daily forecast for 21st June. Block busters are #chambel #vedl #aarti

Summary

In this video, the speaker discusses a strategy for identifying market trends and capturing momentum, highlighting a significant 20% move in Chumble. They emphasize the importance of understanding time cycles and price elements to predict market movements, using Chumble as a case study. The speaker also introduces a simple method for trend analysis, advocating for emotional detachment from the market and sharing insights on how to trade effectively using time-based and price-based signals. They conclude with a reminder to practice and consult financial advisors before making investment decisions.

Takeaways

• 📅 The speaker predicts a sideways market movement for Nifty on the 26th of the year 2024, but instead observes a significant 20% move in the stock 'Chumble'.
• 📊 The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding time elements and price elements in trading, along with identifying patterns to catch market momentum.
• 📉 A simple strategy is introduced for trading, which involves using time cycles and trend lines without emotional involvement in the market.
• 📈 The speaker shares a specific example of trading 'Chumble' by buying above a certain price level with a predefined stop loss, highlighting the importance of sticking to the trade plan.
• 🔢 The concept of 'time cycle' is explained with a specific date's high and low being valid for a year, suggesting a method to predict market movements based on historical data.
• 📝 The speaker demonstrates how to connect recent highs and lows to predict trend changes, using the example of 'Chumble' and a 237 bar cycle.
• 📉 The importance of not letting emotions drive trading decisions is stressed, and the speaker shares their experience of exiting positions and managing risk.
• 📊 The speaker discusses the use of 'Fortune signals' in 5-minute charts for trading decisions, indicating a method to enter and exit trades based on specific signals.
• 📈 A detailed explanation is provided on how to identify potential trades using a number system that focuses on the difference between two numerical indicators.
• 📅 The speaker mentions specific dates as 'Mega dates' for certain stocks, suggesting these dates are critical for significant market movements.
• 🚀 The speaker concludes by advising viewers to practice mind management to trade without emotions and to use simple time cycles effectively for capturing market momentum.

Q & A

What was the speaker's prediction for Nifty on the 26th of 2024?

The speaker predicted a sideways move for Nifty due to certain calculations, but the prediction did not come true as they had to exit an option trade twice based on timing with a stop loss of 12 points.

What was the significant event that occurred with 'Chumble' as mentioned in the script?

Chumble experienced a phenomenal move of 20%, which was not only limited to Chumble but also affected other fertilizer companies, indicating a broader market trend.

What is the speaker's approach to teaching trading strategies?

The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the time element, adding the price element, and recognizing patterns in trading. They advocate for simple methods and maintaining emotional detachment from the market trends.

What is the 'time cycle' mentioned by the speaker, and how is it used in trading?

The time cycle is an advanced trading concept taught by the speaker, which involves identifying significant dates for stocks and using the high and low prices of those dates for a year to make trading decisions.

How does the speaker suggest traders should react to the market trend?

The speaker suggests that traders should be with the trend without any emotion, which is considered the billion-dollar question in the market. They stress the importance of being able to manage one's emotions while trading.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Sideways Market and Simple Strategy Explained

The speaker starts by discussing the market movement on June 26, 2024, particularly focusing on the Nifty index's sideways movement and a stop loss hit. They then highlight a significant 20% movement in Chumble and other fertilizer companies. The speaker introduces a simple strategy to capture such momentum without needing complex methods. Key elements include understanding time and price patterns, and how to trade with the trend without emotions. An example is provided with Chumble, explaining a significant date, high, and low points, and how these can be used to predict market trends.

05:01

🔍 Detailed Analysis of Chumble Stock Movement

Continuing from the previous discussion, the speaker delves into Chumble's stock, explaining an advanced time cycle technique to predict market moves. They illustrate a method to connect recent highs and lows and how the difference between these points indicates trend changes. The speaker emphasizes the importance of marking high and low points and observing candle closures to decide entry points and stop-loss levels. They explain how Chumble's stock followed this method, resulting in significant gains. The speaker also touches on how the 14th of June was a critical date for Chumble, reinforcing the importance of understanding time cycles.

10:03

🚀 Capturing Momentum and Tomorrow’s Market Predictions

The speaker shifts focus to practical trading techniques using Fortune signals in a 5-minute timeframe. They explain why Chumble was on their radar due to narrow price differences and time elements. Detailed observations of market behavior on specific dates are discussed, showing how understanding time and price elements led to successful trades. They also touch upon predictions for the upcoming market movements, highlighting a combination date on June 21, discussing inside bar patterns in Nifty and Bank Nifty, and sharing specific stock picks like Ry Industries and Chumble. The speaker expresses confidence in their strategy while advising caution and thorough analysis before making trading decisions.

Keywords

💡Sideways Move

A 'sideways move' in the context of the video refers to a situation in the stock market where the price of a security or index moves horizontally over a period of time, indicating no significant upward or downward trend. The speaker mentions that despite predictions of a sideways move in Nifty due to certain calculations, a significant move occurred in a different stock, illustrating the unpredictability of the market.

💡Stop Loss

A 'stop loss' is a tool used in trading to limit an investor's loss on a position and to exit the market when the price of a security reaches a certain point. In the script, the speaker mentions that their stop loss of 12 points was hit on an option, indicating that the market moved against their position, triggering the stop loss and closing the trade to prevent further losses.

💡Momentum

In trading, 'momentum' refers to the rate of change of an asset's price. A stock with high momentum is experiencing rapid price movement, either up or down. The speaker discusses a strategy to catch stocks with high momentum, such as the 20% move in 'chumble' (possibly a mispronunciation or shorthand for a stock or sector), emphasizing the importance of identifying and capitalizing on these swift market changes.

💡Time Element

The 'time element' in the context of the video is related to the timing of trades and market movements. The speaker mentions a specific date, the 14th, as a 'big date' for a particular stock, suggesting that certain dates can be significant for predicting market movements. This concept is part of a broader strategy to time trades effectively based on historical patterns and cycles.

💡Price Element

The 'price element' pertains to the price levels at which trades are executed or decisions are made. The speaker discusses the importance of understanding price levels in conjunction with the time element, using the difference between a stock's high and low as a basis for predicting trend changes and making trading decisions.

💡Pattern

A 'pattern' in the video refers to recognizable shapes or trends in the price movements of stocks or indices. The speaker talks about identifying and confirming patterns as a part of their trading strategy, suggesting that patterns can provide insights into potential future price movements and can be used to time trades.

💡Trend

A 'trend' in trading is the general direction in which prices are moving. The speaker emphasizes the importance of being 'with the trend' without emotion, meaning that traders should follow the direction of the market rather than letting personal feelings influence their decisions. This is crucial for capturing significant market moves.

💡Mega Date

The term 'mega date' is used by the speaker to denote a particularly significant date for a stock or market, based on their analysis or strategy. The 14th of June is referred to as a 'mega date' for 'chumble,' indicating that it was expected to be a day of significant price movement, which is part of the speaker's time cycle analysis.

💡Fortune Signals

'Fortune Signals' appears to be a specific trading tool or indicator mentioned by the speaker. It is used to identify buy or sell opportunities in the market, as illustrated by the speaker's reference to a buy signal given for a stock on the 5-minute time frame, which led to a profitable trade.

💡Inside Bar Pattern

An 'inside bar pattern' is a technical analysis term referring to a candlestick pattern where a smaller candle is completely contained within the previous larger candle's range. The speaker mentions this pattern in the context of Nifty and Bank Nifty, suggesting its use as a signal for potential market direction.

💡Seasonality

In the video, 'seasonality' refers to the tendency of certain stocks or sectors to perform well at certain times of the year. The speaker mentions that they have identified stocks for the upcoming month of July based on seasonality, indicating that some stocks may have predictable performance patterns related to the time of year.

Highlights

The date 26, 2024, and the time around 8:30 PM were identified as significant for market analysis.

A sideways move in Nifty was predicted based on certain calculations, but it did not materialize.

A 20% phenomenal move in Chumble was observed, along with a strong performance in fertilizer companies.

Introduction of a simple strategy to catch market momentum without the need for complex courses.

Emphasis on the importance of understanding the time element and price element in trading.

The concept of being with the trend without emotion is highlighted as crucial for market success.

A specific date, the 14th, is identified as a 'big date' for Chumble with actionable trading levels provided.

The use of a time cycle strategy is discussed, with the date high and low being valid for a year.

A method to predict trend changes every 237 bars using historical data is introduced.

The importance of marking highs and lows for trading decisions is explained.

A detailed example of trading Chumble using a specific date and price action is provided.

The use of Fortune Signals and the number system for trading decisions is discussed.

Transcripts

hi friends good evening today it is 26

2024 and the time is roughly around 8:30

and clearly mentioned that today it's

going to be a sideways move uh in Nifty

uh because of certain calculation

exactly nothing happened and we tried

twice based on the timing but our stop

loss of 12 points got hited an option

but the phenomenal move happened in

chumble what a move today of 20% not

only chumble uh everything rocked all

the fertilizers companies came IAL

companies were literally literally

rocking and today I will teach you one

simple strategy on how to catch all

these you know momentum I used to do

this in my introduction webinar uh for

my people uh I will show you today very

simple see you don't need big Gan uh you

know course and all to make money simple

simple Gan methods will give you wonders

we'll do wonders actually what you need

to understand is after understanding the

time element then add the price element

then the pattern once the pattern is

confirmed you can go with it okay you

can go with it that is what you need to

need you need to know and how to be with

the trender without any emotion is what

needed many people doesn't teach this

they'll only say you know time cycle is

there time cycle is there but how to be

with the trend without any emotion is

the billion dollar question when it

comes to Market anybody can find time

cycle anybody can find time cycle people

those who don't know anything about the

Market also they can also come with the

time cycle but how to be with the trend

without any emotion is the biggest

question to capture this kind of big

move in the market so now let's go and

see that first we will go to

chamble so we clearly mentioned that

14th is a very big date for

chumble and the high is 437 low is 426

buy Above 437 stop loss 426 and be with

the trade this is the master date for uh

you know chal and this date high and low

is valid for an year this date high and

low is valid for an year okay so now

this is first thing which is a very

Advanced you know time cycle which I

teach in my course but if I go to the

simple if I go to the simple

thing uh yeah this is very simple

simply take the recent

high and connect with the recent

low for example if I if I do that I go

to cyclic line connect this ey and

connect this

low so I Mark the high and I Mark the

low and if you take the difference

between these

two it is 237 bars

237 bars so it says that every 237 bars

from here there will be a trend change

nothing but history repeats itself

history repeats itself so now if I go

and check that 237

bar if I go and put that

here so I got the exact this date which

is the 227 bar so now how to trade this

very simple Mark the high

and mark the

low that's all so now what happened none

of the candle closed

below it closed above it gave a

retracement take a entry stop loss is

roughly around 30 rupees from here and

the market went up exactly this was the

fourth low uh where the market fell very

badly 13% and it exactly touched that

low of that candle which is

334 and from there the move started and

obviously this is the Mega day which is

14th June which is 14th June because I

told my I tell my guys that uh if you go

to chamble

chumble uh one second yeah tomorrow

chumble big

day tomorrow chamble big day because of

this massive massive massive date this

is the massive massive date so now after

this you got a phenomenal move uh you

know in chumble yesterday we bought with

6 rupees stoploss and today it is

rewarded us so even if you do this you

can simply after predicting the time you

can simply use your trend line method

whatever method you want to use you can

use or you can use even if you want you

know uh uh this one trend line or

whatever uh you know rounding pattern

you can use do whatever you want to use

but this is the time element this is the

time element which will you know have a

say and this is the miracle date for

jumble and it has given a phenomenal

move so now this is in Daily so now

let's go to 5

minutes so once you understood the time

element now we need to enter and to stay

with the market so now if you go here

and if you click my fortune signals in 5

minutes it has given a buy and why

chamble was in our radar why chamble was

in our radar always understand this so

now this is the number system see once

you understood the time element we need

to understand the price element the

price element is

here why price element when why this

talk to this month because whenever the

difference between this two number is

narrow it will come in our radar to

trade it will come on our radar to trade

so that is why we normally say that the

stocks to be concentrated from the

top this is the sixth stock which we

need to concentrate this is the sixth

stock which we need to concentrate based

on time based on price and based on

other method if you go here chumble it

is having 26 combination for this

month 26 combination of for the month so

uh you know chumble based on the time

element based on the mega time element

and based on the price where you know

the difference is between only one rupe

and it will give you phenomenal

phenomenal move in that particular

counter all these we can identify one

month before and to for July month we

already have a stock to trade July month

we already have a stock to trade and we

already identified 12 11 bullish

counters in the two bullish counters are

going to give a phenomenal move based on

the seasonality so now once you

understood this simply go to Fortune

signals it has given a G by

year it has given a G by year on 5th

June on 5th June and it went and touched

that

number rejected came down took the

support here at the blue again went up

then once the number crossed once the

number crossed there is no looking back

in 5 minutes time frame so there is no

gel here only on the gel you need to

exit but there is no gel here and it has

given given you phenomenal move and

yesterday last we took the position

yesterday uh somewhere

here and it has given a massive massive

move today so the number has to converge

to the core the time has to come once

the time comes it gives explosion even

in 1 minute time frame or if you go to

one day time frame this is the one day

time frame so last time if you go

here this G it gave a buy here at 280

and it went up came down touch the blue

here where you need to buy and this is

we call it as a s up when all the three

combines together the move will start

and it started again it gave a magical

candle and today it is went like a

rocket and even in 1 minute time frame

if you take uh

positional 1 minute time

frame Okay so the bike came here

at the bike came here at uh 430 and

after that there is no even if you see

this candle the red color candle none of

the candle closed below none of the

candle closed to Below in 1 minute time

frame and again it went up went up went

up all that happened and again

today you know if you go here uh this

this one there is no cell

here and this was the cell G cell came

here but again none of the candle

closed below

this so what you need to do once any

candle closes above take the retracement

stop loss below this candle so if you

take the stop loss uh it is roughly

around uh uh you know uh 1 and A2 rupees

for 1 and A2 rupees it has given you

roughly around 60 rupees this is where

we entered yesterday this is where we

entered Yesterday by putting a stop loss

of 6 rupees by taking some other

consideration and uh today it has

rewarded us like anything so buy Above

This candle stop- loss below this candle

and enjoy the profit because this is a

fake sell any candle doesn't close below

this candle low it is called fake sell

it is nothing but the Trap will happen

from here and you got a phenomenal move

today and it went like a

rocket after

that it went like rocket after that in 1

minute time frame no sell after that so

this is how you need to capture the

momentum I can show 10,000 stocks like

this anyway not a problem let's go to

tomorrow uh

PBT okay so again uh you know that it's

a combination date uh 20 and uh 21 and

today we got a inside bar pattern today

we got a inside bar pattern in Nifty and

Bank Nifty Bank Nifty is looking little

okay but Nifty is literally literally

struggling so tomorrow again is know is

a solar date uh which is people call it

as a b Gan date so use it wisely first

15 minutes high and low will do the

magic in Nifty and Bank Nifty and again

Nifty is not able to cross this number

Bank Nifty is doing extremely well

extremely well and today our pick was Ry

Industries

what a move today in arti Industries and

chumble as well as VL chamble as well as

VL okay so inside bar pattern use it

wisely in the index and uh coming to the

numbers nothing to worry about it

nothing to worry about it and uh let's

see whether uh Nifty is going to touch

this level tomorrow t this level

tomorrow and again you know break below

this break below this there will be a

pain so let's watch maybe break below

this it may even come and try to touch

this number okay Bank Nifty nothing to

worry about it and as I already told you

that we are waiting to see another uh

this

target for tomorrow which is the last

Target last Target for tomorrow last

Target for tomorrow and uh as I already

told you that I'm holding one stock big

quantity for uh 21st and today also it

closed exactly at my price so there was

no loss but I don't want to exit that

stock I want to give one more day

tomorrow let's see if if it gives money

then it's a good money otherwise no

problem I'll I'll lose roughly around

75,000 to you know 1 lakh that's not a

problem because last year the same time

same price action uh you know same uh

time cycle gave roughly around 38 lakhs

profit with a stop- loss of 2 lakhs

let's see fingers crossed for tomorrow

for that particular counter let's see

what it's going to do tomorrow okay

thanks a lot uh nothing more D in this

video again saying I'm not a c

registered investment adviser so kindly

do your homework or consult your

financial advices before taking any

financial decision don't think about you

know very big about you know Gan course

you know Advanced course and all simple

simple time cycle will do wonders we'll

do wonders you need to know how to be

with the trend to capture the time cycle

that is what you need to practice more

and more and more and that is what uh

for that you know you need mind

management and that is what we do in our

mind management technique uh you know uh

more than three four sessions in a month

where you can manage without any emotion

and you can sit with the uh you know

stock to capture that momentum today I

exited I know two Lots at the when it

tested I think 540 holding only one lot

for tomorrow let's see what it's going

to do tomorrow okay see you bye