Ethereum ETF Countdown🚀Altcoin Technical Analysis w/ @investingbroz

Paul Barron Network
21 Jun 202427:32

Summary

TLDRIn this episode, Paul Barron discusses token analysis, focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum, and their market trends. Tim Warren from Investing Bros joins to talk about the potential bull market timelines, the impact of institutional investors, and the political landscape on crypto. They also delve into the Ethereum vs. Solana debate, exploring the investment potential of both. The episode also touches on AI investments, particularly Nvidia, and blockchain projects like Avalanche and Polygon. They conclude with insights into stablecoins and market strategies for retail investors.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The discussion suggests a potential top of the bull market for Bitcoin and Ethereum between 12 to 18 months out, aligning with the traditional four-year cycle in the crypto market.
  • 🗓️ Tim Warren from Investing Bros anticipates a lot of tops to play out between August to October, indicating a possible peak in the market during that period.
  • 🔄 There's a possibility of a super cycle where the traditional four-year cycle might be disrupted, and the market could continue to climb without a significant pullback.
  • 💡 The political landscape could significantly influence the crypto market, with changes in administration potentially spurring innovation and affecting crypto regulations.
  • 📊 Retail investors are becoming more significant in the market, with many choosing to stay invested due to experiences from previous market fluctuations and rewards for continued investment.
  • 🏦 Institutional investors are increasingly participating in the crypto market, which could lead to less volatility and potentially milder bear markets compared to previous cycles.
  • 🚀 Ethereum is considered to have significant growth potential, with some predicting it could outperform Bitcoin in terms of returns in the upcoming bull market.
  • 🤔 The conversation ponders whether Ethereum is currently outperforming Bitcoin, suggesting that historical patterns may indicate a trend where Ethereum takes the lead.
  • 💰 There is a bullish outlook for Ethereum, with potential price targets set significantly higher than the current market value, suggesting substantial growth is expected.
  • 📉 Despite the overall optimism, there's an acknowledgment that Ethereum could experience a pullback to around $32, which would represent a significant but manageable correction.
  • 🔮 The script also touches on other cryptocurrencies like Solana and Render, discussing their potential in the context of the growing interest in AI and cloud computing technologies.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the video script?

    -The main topic of the video script is token analysis, focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies, their market performance, potential future trends, and the impact of institutional investors.

  • What does Tim Warren from Investing Bros suggest about the timeline for Bitcoin's market top?

    -Tim Warren suggests that the timeline for Bitcoin's market top could be between 12 to 18 months out, aligning with the four-year cycle of the cryptocurrency market.

  • What factors might cause a deviation from the typical four-year cycle for Bitcoin's market top?

    -Factors such as changes in the political landscape, new frameworks for crypto regulations, and the potential for innovation to kick up could cause a deviation from the typical four-year cycle.

  • How does the script describe the current state of retail investors in the cryptocurrency market?

    -The script describes retail investors as being more cautious and informed than in the past, having learned from previous market cycles and being more inclined to stay invested despite market volatility.

  • What is the potential impact of a political shift on the cryptocurrency market according to the discussion?

    -A political shift could lead to a new framework for how crypto is viewed, potentially spurring innovation and affecting the market positively, which might lead to a super cycle for cryptocurrencies.

  • What are the thoughts on Ethereum's potential to outperform Bitcoin in the future?

    -The script suggests that Ethereum might have the potential to outperform Bitcoin, especially considering its current market cap and the possibility of institutional adoption, but it also acknowledges that Bitcoin remains a safer long-term investment.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Crypto Market Analysis and Predictions

In this segment, Paul Bar and Tim Warren from Investing Bros discuss the current state of the crypto market, focusing on Bitcoin and Ethereum. They analyze the counterbalancing dynamics between the two and consider factors such as Google Trend searches indicating low public interest in crypto, suggesting a potential market peak could be 12 to 18 months away, aligning with the four-year cycle theory. They also touch on the possibility of a super cycle and the impact of political changes on crypto innovation. The conversation shifts to retail investors' growing interest and influence in the market, hinting at a potential shift in market dynamics for the upcoming cycle.

05:01

🤔 Evaluating Ethereum's Potential Over Bitcoin

The speakers explore the diverging paths of long-term holders on Ethereum compared to Bitcoin, noting a similar situation in 2017 that led to Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin. They debate whether Ethereum is currently positioned to outperform Bitcoin, with Tim suggesting Ethereum could offer higher returns based on market cap growth. The discussion includes an analysis of Ethereum's historical performance, its potential to reach new highs, and the impact of institutional adoption on market volatility. Tim forecasts significant gains for Ethereum in the next bull market, even considering potential pullbacks.

10:04

💼 Institutional Impact on Cryptocurrency Volatility

This paragraph delves into the influence of institutional investors on the crypto market, suggesting that their involvement could lead to less volatility and more moderate market pullbacks compared to historical trends. The conversation highlights the potential for Ethereum to see less dramatic downturns, possibly only pulling back 50% in a bear market, which would be a significant change from previous cycles. The focus is on the maturing of the market and the adoption of cryptocurrencies by institutions, which could lead to a more stable investment landscape.

15:05

🔄 Market Dynamics of Bitcoin and Ethereum

The discussion continues with an analysis of the current market dynamics between Bitcoin and Ethereum. The speakers consider whether Ethereum is leading the market or if it's still following Bitcoin's trends. They examine various charts and indicators to determine potential support levels and future price movements for both assets. The conversation also considers the impact of stablecoins and regulatory changes in the EU on the crypto market, suggesting that these factors could lead to significant shifts in the coming months.

20:06

🚀 Exploring Solana and Other Crypto Investments

The speakers compare Ethereum with Solana as investment opportunities, discussing the potential for Solana to offer significant returns despite current market conditions. They analyze Solana's chart, identifying strong support levels and the potential for a bullish reversal. The conversation also touches on the broader implications of institutional capital flows, the potential impact of ETFs, and the role of meme coins in the market. The speakers express optimism for Solana's future, despite short-term challenges.

25:07

💡 AI and Blockchain Innovations in the Market

In this segment, the focus shifts to the potential of AI and blockchain technologies, particularly the rise of Nvidia as a major player in the AI space. The speakers discuss the historical performance of Nvidia and its potential for future growth, driven by advancements in AI. They also touch on other blockchain projects like Render, which has a strong relationship with Nvidia, and the potential impact of these technologies on the crypto market. The conversation highlights the importance of innovation and the right timing for these projects to succeed.

🔗 Partnerships and Developments in Blockchain

The final paragraph covers various developments in the blockchain space, including Avalanche's expansion and partnerships, the growth of USD on the TON blockchain, and the delisting of certain tokens on exchanges like Uphold in favor of USDC and other stablecoins. The speakers also mention upcoming interviews and events, suggesting that there is a lot to look forward to in the crypto and blockchain industry. They encourage viewers to stay informed and engaged with the market, highlighting the importance of being part of the community.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Token Analysis

Token analysis refers to the examination and evaluation of different cryptocurrency tokens to understand their performance, potential, and market dynamics. In the video, token analysis is the central theme, with the hosts discussing various tokens' performance in the market, their potential for growth, and factors that could influence their value. For example, they analyze Bitcoin and Ethereum, discussing how they are counterbalancing each other in the market.

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is the first and most well-known cryptocurrency, often serving as a benchmark for the performance of other digital assets. In the script, Bitcoin is frequently mentioned as a point of comparison for other tokens. The discussion includes its market behavior, its potential peak in the bull market cycle, and how it interacts with other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum.

💡Ethereum

Ethereum is a decentralized platform that runs smart contracts and has its own cryptocurrency, Ether. It is second only to Bitcoin in terms of market capitalization. The video script discusses Ethereum's potential to outperform Bitcoin, its market trends, and the possibility of institutional investors influencing its growth.

💡Bull Market

A bull market is a period of time in which financial markets are characterized by rising prices, typically associated with positive sentiment and investor confidence. The script refers to the bull market cycle, discussing the potential timeline for the peak of this cycle and how it might affect various cryptocurrencies.

💡Retail Investors

Retail investors are individual investors who buy and sell securities for their personal accounts, as opposed to institutional investors. The script mentions the changing role of retail investors, who are now more engaged and cautious in the market, potentially influencing the market dynamics and the adoption of cryptocurrencies.

💡Institution Investors

Institutional investors are organizations such as pension funds, mutual funds, banks, or insurance companies that have a significant impact on the market due to the size of their investments. The video discusses the growing involvement of institutional investors in the cryptocurrency market and how their long-term perspective could affect market volatility and token prices.

💡Market Cap

Market capitalization is the total market value of a company's outstanding shares or, in the context of cryptocurrencies, the total value of a token or coin in circulation. The script uses market cap as a metric to compare the potential growth and value of different cryptocurrencies, particularly Ethereum and Bitcoin.

💡ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)

ETFs are investment funds that are traded on stock exchanges, similar to individual stocks. In the script, the mention of potential ETFs for cryptocurrencies like Ethereum suggests a growing mainstream acceptance and the potential for increased investment and stability in the crypto market.

💡Stablecoins

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to minimize price volatility by being pegged to a stable asset, such as the U.S. dollar. The script discusses the regulatory changes around stablecoins in the EU and their potential impact on the market, indicating a growing interest and investment in this area of cryptocurrency.

💡Solana

Solana is a high-performance blockchain platform that supports decentralized applications and cryptocurrencies. In the video, Solana is compared with Ethereum in terms of investment potential and market performance, highlighting its rapid growth and the possibility of it becoming a preferred platform for new projects.

💡Render

Render, in the context of the video, refers to a blockchain project focused on cloud computing and AI. The script discusses Render's potential as an investment, its relationship with Nvidia, and how it might benefit from the growing interest in AI and cloud computing technologies.

Highlights

Token analysis with a trader discussing various cryptocurrencies.

Discussion on Bitcoin and Ethereum's market behavior and their counterbalancing effects.

Tim Warren from Investing Bros joins the conversation to share insights on the crypto market.

Potential timeline for the top of the bull market in Bitcoin, estimated between 12 to 18 months out.

Analysis of the political landscape's impact on crypto innovation and market dynamics.

Retail investors' changing role and behavior in the current crypto market.

Institutions' growing involvement in the crypto market and its effects on market volatility.

Ethereum's potential to outperform Bitcoin in the long term, based on market cap growth.

Technical analysis of Ethereum's trading chart, indicating a possible position for outperforming Bitcoin.

Stablecoins and the impact of their legal framework in the EU on the crypto market.

The possibility of an Ethereum ETF and its potential influence on the crypto market.

Comparison between Ethereum and Solana as investment options in the current market.

Solana's market position and potential for significant growth despite recent fluctuations.

The importance of institutional adoption for the future of Ethereum and its market cap.

Nvidia's potential as an investment in the context of AI and technology stocks.

Render token's position in the cloud compute and AI market, and its relationship with Nvidia.

Avalanche's strategic moves in partnerships and subnet development.

Binance's growth metrics and the addition of USD on the platform.

The shift in stablecoin preferences towards USDC and the Euro stablecoin in the EU.

Upcoming interviews and events in the crypto space to watch for.

Transcripts

play00:02

[Music]

play00:07

all right so let today let's dive into

play00:09

some token analysis we'll take a look at

play00:11

a whole slew of these with one of our

play00:13

Traders I think you guys are going to

play00:15

love it my name is Paul bar welcome back

play00:16

in the tech path let's get into a couple

play00:18

of topics today I want to first kind of

play00:20

lead off with Bitcoin some things that

play00:23

have been happening in the market a lot

play00:24

of people looking at Bitcoin and

play00:25

ethereum the way they're kind of

play00:27

counterbalancing each other and how are

play00:29

they playing out so I wanted to bring in

play00:31

of course Mr Tim Warren coming in from

play00:33

investing Bros great to have you Tim

play00:35

great to be here thanks for having me

play00:37

Paul hey let's let's take a look at a

play00:39

couple of things uh Jason Pano he's

play00:42

coming in saying hey consolidation phase

play00:44

now before we might see a top here he's

play00:47

also kind of extending this out first he

play00:50

he bases this off a little bit on Google

play00:52

Trend search we we showed this a little

play00:54

bit uh earlier this week very low for

play00:56

crypto right now but we are see starting

play00:59

to see some times he's thinking that

play01:01

this still could be anywhere between 12

play01:02

to 18 months out maybe what are your

play01:05

thoughts in terms of timeline here on

play01:07

bitcoin right

play01:08

now 12 to 18 months in terms of before

play01:11

the top of the bull market or yeah top

play01:12

of the bull market yep yeah I I I agree

play01:15

100% that that stays intact with the

play01:18

four-year cycle I I've been preparing

play01:20

the investing Bros audience for more

play01:22

than likely a lot of tops to come into

play01:24

play between August to October area you

play01:28

kind of have a window of two two and a

play01:30

half months that could be that top so I

play01:32

think at the moment that puts us what

play01:33

the 14 to 15 months um right there in

play01:36

the middle of that 12 Day 18 um but

play01:39

again I I also know there's a lot of

play01:41

scenarios that could play out I'm sure

play01:42

you know this too Paul have the same

play01:44

opinion uh there are things that could

play01:46

play out that could cause a super cycle

play01:49

where we don't have the fouryear cycle

play01:51

price continues to climb up after but

play01:53

there's so many ifs and thens in that

play01:55

statement for now it's the most likely

play01:57

outcome is the fouryear cycle stays

play01:58

intact and get some form of a top and

play02:01

then a more dramatic pullback Sometime

play02:03

Late summer early fall yeah I think the

play02:06

the one area that we're watching the

play02:08

most is obviously the political

play02:09

landscape because if we do see a shift

play02:11

in administration and there's a whole

play02:13

new framework of how maybe crypto is

play02:15

being looked at we could see Innovation

play02:18

start to really kick up which obviously

play02:19

would uh address it especially with two

play02:22

ETFs potentially going to be on the

play02:23

ground by that time with an eth ETF and

play02:26

so on I want to go to a clip real quick

play02:28

because this was an interesting clip

play02:30

around retail investors because retail

play02:32

has notoriously been late to the party

play02:35

may not necessarily be the case now let

play02:36

me play this clip for you have you

play02:38

sensed a difference from where the

play02:40

retail investor is sort of respected now

play02:43

absolutely and I think a lot of that has

play02:45

to do with time right our bare markets

play02:47

are shorter our bull markets are pretty

play02:49

aggressive they've seen the stock market

play02:51

Fall during the pandemic and then climb

play02:53

right back when the FED florid interest

play02:55

rates a lot of these people went through

play02:57

that in 2008 2009 they're used to that

play02:59

sort of moral lack of moral hazard being

play03:01

there so they want to stay invested and

play03:03

they've been rewarded for doing it they

play03:05

worry about concentration they worry

play03:06

about inflation they worry about all

play03:08

these things the walls of worry are very

play03:09

high but if you just kept worrying and

play03:11

didn't invest you've missed one of the

play03:12

greatest bull markets in generation so I

play03:14

don't think they want to miss out and

play03:16

they've seen this before a few times so

play03:18

even if they're a little bit trepid and

play03:20

a little bit worried about things that

play03:21

could happen they don't want to be not

play03:24

invested so the point being right there

play03:26

is that uh maybe this cycle the retail

play03:30

investor very optimistic going into

play03:33

especially this back half and if we do

play03:35

get you know a political play that could

play03:38

be positive for crypto could this be

play03:40

enough to move the markets back to your

play03:42

point into a super cycle what are your

play03:45

thoughts yeah I I think something to

play03:47

keep in mind is everything up until this

play03:49

bull market has been mostly retail

play03:53

investors and then smart individuals who

play03:55

saw the vision long term and said you

play03:56

know what we're going to be a part of it

play03:58

but in the in the bull market 2021 I

play04:00

actually made a video yesterday talking

play04:02

about this that was institutions were in

play04:05

crypto people act like this is the first

play04:07

time they in they were in crypto they

play04:09

were suppressing it they were fuding it

play04:11

they were trying to drive people away

play04:12

from it but this cycle they're the ones

play04:15

adding to it and so where the fouryear

play04:17

cycle came into play based off of smart

play04:19

individuals and Retail investors knowing

play04:21

the best times to get in and out or the

play04:23

retail invest is really not knowing the

play04:24

best times now institutions coming in it

play04:27

it changes the ball game because they

play04:30

are looking for those long-term

play04:31

pullbacks I I've told people while I

play04:32

still believe we will see bare markets

play04:34

and bull markets I think the days of

play04:36

Bitcoin dropping 70 to 90% are done I I

play04:40

would actually not be surprised if the

play04:41

severity of the bare market for Bitcoin

play04:44

only pulls back 50% and that's still GNA

play04:46

be pretty big for a lot of institutional

play04:48

investors who are used to stocks and the

play04:50

S&P 500 and so on and so forth but uh

play04:52

the more mature we get and the more

play04:54

adoption that institution get gets in

play04:57

the less volatility which means both

play05:00

less explosive moves to the upside but

play05:02

also less dramatic pullbacks as well

play05:06

yeah that's a big statement because if

play05:07

you think and and believe that a lot

play05:10

which a lot of people were kind of

play05:11

pointing to whether you think about Tom

play05:12

Lee or you look at some other analysts

play05:14

right now pointing to like 150 to 200

play05:17

potentially as a high I mean still if

play05:19

you saw a 50% pullback that would still

play05:22

almost be 2x from where we are today

play05:24

trading at around 62 63 so uh a lot of

play05:28

factors playing into that I want to jump

play05:29

to eth because eth is one that we've

play05:32

been watching quite a bit here and uh

play05:35

when you look at this trading view chart

play05:37

here this is the diverging Paths of

play05:40

long-term holders on ethereum and the

play05:43

last time that we really saw this occur

play05:45

which is what we're seeing occur right

play05:47

now let me kind of maybe zoom in on this

play05:49

a little bit for you guys you can kind

play05:51

of see this long-term hold this is the

play05:52

eth in the light blue dark blue there uh

play05:55

Bitcoin but the last time we really saw

play05:58

this was all the way back here in 2017

play06:01

where eth started outperforming Bitcoin

play06:03

so our question in our research team has

play06:05

been I want to get your opinion is

play06:08

ethereum maybe in a position right now

play06:11

you know from a position of

play06:13

outperforming an asset is it now in a

play06:16

position where it's outperforming

play06:17

Bitcoin what are your

play06:19

thoughts oh good question is it

play06:21

outperforming Bitcoin I mean what's the

play06:23

definition of outperforming Bitcoin if

play06:25

we're just talking about full-blown

play06:26

market cap uh growing talk

play06:30

I put $100,000 or $10,000 or 1,000

play06:33

what's going to give me a better G yeah

play06:36

ethereum and I I don't even think it's

play06:38

close I I think let's say let's say

play06:40

investors were to decide right now they

play06:41

have $100,000 to choose one of them

play06:44

$100,000 into Bitcoin to the top of the

play06:46

bull market in 2025 we're probably

play06:48

talking about a 100 turning into

play06:50

somewhere between 200 to 300,000 would

play06:53

be my best guess versus ethereum I think

play06:55

low case 500,000 better case somewhere

play06:58

closer to 600 to 800 I think there's a I

play07:01

think there's a five to eight potential

play07:03

X left for ethereum so more than double

play07:07

the gains that you'd get in Bitcoin when

play07:09

you look at that if you look at the

play07:10

chart if you would bring your eth chart

play07:12

up uh Tim and you and let's say go to

play07:14

the monthly and I want to kind of look

play07:17

at the performance of eth over time does

play07:20

it look like it is in a position where

play07:23

it essentially has if you kind of

play07:25

compare this to bitcoin does that not

play07:28

look like a high performance chart I

play07:31

mean even with the the draw down even

play07:33

though the draw down was considerably

play07:35

less than what we saw in almost

play07:37

everything is eth maybe the long-term

play07:40

asset play

play07:42

here yeah I I think in terms of if you

play07:45

want to make more money long term I

play07:47

think ethereum at least at least for the

play07:49

next 10 to 15 years I would not be

play07:52

surprised to see ethereum constantly

play07:54

have better bull markets than Bitcoin

play07:56

but we got to remember it's still

play07:58

dramatically behind in terms of market

play08:00

cap so if anyone's wondering about the

play08:02

flipping the grand flipping we're never

play08:03

going to see ethereum token one token be

play08:06

more valuable than one Bitcoin token

play08:07

just the simple tokenomics of it all but

play08:10

market cap I I think there will be a day

play08:12

and age where we might flirt with the

play08:15

concept of ethereum flipping the Bitcoin

play08:18

market cap but long term I think Bitcoin

play08:19

is the grander play but again for

play08:21

investment purposes uh this is a very

play08:23

very bullish chart one of the things I I

play08:25

I've said earlier I think that I think

play08:26

ethereum probably is getting between 18

play08:29

to 20 K from its current position right

play08:31

now I think there's a chance right now

play08:33

at 3500 there's a chance ethereum drops

play08:34

to 32 before the Bulls come back in full

play08:37

force but we're talking about still big

play08:39

big gains just for this bull market and

play08:42

this is I hope people understand this is

play08:44

the beginning stages of institution

play08:47

institutional adoption it will get get

play08:49

even more grandiose by the next five

play08:51

years we talk about 2030 don't be

play08:54

surprised if we are discussing

play08:56

potentially a 50 60 I think 70 is a

play09:00

little out of the equation but maybe

play09:01

$770,000 ethereum uh and we're talking

play09:04

about trillions and trillions of dollars

play09:06

coming in the market cap again for for

play09:08

investing purposes long term do I want

play09:11

to am I gonna make more money in Bitcoin

play09:12

or ethereum easy ethereum uh I still

play09:15

believe in divers diversification but I

play09:18

I don't think there's much a debate to

play09:19

be had about who's gonna make more money

play09:21

ethereum holders Bitcoin holders all

play09:23

right so I'm going to I'm going to kind

play09:24

of back that up just so we can kind of

play09:26

get you know some additional analyst to

play09:28

look at if you look at Matt Hogan he

play09:31

comes in and hits on it very similar to

play09:33

what you're saying there eth Tail wins

play09:35

uh significant new demand this obviously

play09:37

with the ETF constrain Supply limit to

play09:39

zero net insuance uh improve regulatory

play09:42

Clarity that will be the case radically

play09:44

improve throughput obviously we know and

play09:47

we've seen significant improved on uh ux

play09:49

thank you I I agree base institutional

play09:52

adoption cycle timing macro conditions

play09:55

Fed rate Cuts election possibly huge

play09:58

catalyst so all these are things very

play10:00

very bullish uh for a good setup for eth

play10:03

even even if eth does pull back down to

play10:05

32 my question is do you think eth can

play10:09

pull back to in a bearish case under 3K

play10:12

or are you right now holding that 32

play10:14

line it it can uh I'll go back and I'll

play10:18

I'll take a look show you guys what I'm

play10:19

seeing on the charts for now 32 is my

play10:22

level of saying hey this is a very

play10:24

reasonable and well- explained pullback

play10:27

if you start to pull up different

play10:28

indicators uh here actually not even

play10:30

going to find it on on my Lux AO

play10:32

indicator uh we have some strong support

play10:34

here on 3300 there is a level down here

play10:37

a very key order Block in play at 2900

play10:40

uh but one of my big factors let's see

play10:41

here maybe it was the weekly chart and

play10:43

there's a different chart as well yeah

play10:44

we have a stop loss here at 3200 we also

play10:47

if we go to High block capital and I go

play10:49

to ethereum instead of Bitcoin here this

play10:51

is a liquidation chart meaning uh for

play10:54

anyone who's trading and looking to try

play10:55

to get rid of a lot of big positions

play10:57

they're going to be looking at this

play10:58

chart and see a lot of liquidity sitting

play11:01

right here at 3000 uh you never see if I

play11:04

were to go back over the charts and

play11:05

let's just kind of put a line right here

play11:06

at 3,000 you never see the price go

play11:09

right to that exact level of high

play11:11

liquidity right you you would always see

play11:13

it Go below uh there was more I think

play11:15

the other one is if I go to the daily

play11:17

chart I think the 32 is coming from the

play11:18

daily chart of Li liquidations unless

play11:21

things updated there we go great fat

play11:22

amount of liquidity down here at 32 so

play11:24

that's a very easy easy pick them to get

play11:27

there but you can see Heavy liquidity

play11:29

down here as well um My Philosophy right

play11:32

now and again everything still follows

play11:34

Bitcoin but I still have Bitcoin

play11:36

potentially dropping here on the daily

play11:38

chart I still have Bitcoin with a very

play11:41

strong level of support right in the

play11:43

range of

play11:45

61,000 613 there's a lot of things there

play11:48

there's a pullback still from current

play11:50

price action of roughly three to four%

play11:53

so kind of using that same mindset

play11:55

ethereum could have a little bit larger

play11:57

of a pullback that's where I'm kind of

play11:59

getting getting more of this range of

play12:00

saying 32 since there is liquidity at

play12:02

that level uh that's still an 8%

play12:04

pullback from current prices but it's

play12:06

manageable coming down all the way to 29

play12:08

we're talking about a 16% pullback on

play12:10

ethereum that happens in my opinion if

play12:14

Bitcoin does not hold 61 and all of a

play12:16

sudden we're talking about 55,000 if

play12:18

Bitcoin pulls back upwards of 12% then

play12:21

ethereum easily could do 16 but I don't

play12:25

foresee that happening that's not what

play12:26

I'm predicting at this point I'm looking

play12:28

for more more purchasing power for

play12:30

ethereum around 3200 for Bitcoin around

play12:33

613 615 area uh and so until things

play12:36

change and give me a different reason uh

play12:38

to think differently that is kind of my

play12:40

assumption for both of those assets at

play12:42

this point okay with that being the case

play12:44

uh especially around Bitcoin and

play12:46

ethereum trading on on say a Bitcoin eth

play12:48

chart would you say that Bitcoin is

play12:50

still leading the market leading eth out

play12:53

into the market or do you feel like eth

play12:55

maybe is now in its own range of growth

play12:59

yeah yeah I mean so traditionally it's

play13:01

not yet time for the full-blown uh eth

play13:05

cycle if I if I do show you uh the eth

play13:08

over Bitcoin chart in the last week

play13:11

ethereum is leading but from a zoomed

play13:13

out perspective here let me get rid of a

play13:14

couple of these things it's been a

play13:15

minute since I looked at this chart um

play13:17

okay come on now chart get with the

play13:19

program there we go we're still not in a

play13:22

bullish Trend here right so we might be

play13:24

bullish from this bottom back here on

play13:26

May 18th and we might even be bullish in

play13:28

the last seven days but you zoom back

play13:30

out to September of 2022 we're still

play13:33

setting lower highs and lower lows I

play13:35

think in reality what we're going to

play13:36

want to see is ethereum over Bitcoin

play13:38

probably get above this 061 level then

play13:42

we can have a discussion about ethereum

play13:43

leading the charge I don't think that

play13:46

that happens however until closer to

play13:49

August or September we could even keep

play13:51

going bullish and you can make the

play13:52

statement hey guys ethereum is doing

play13:54

better than Bitcoin even right now but

play13:57

to kind of have a very good conference

play13:59

and feel strongly that we're no longer

play14:01

in the Bitcoin part of the cycle but

play14:03

we're in the ethereum leading cycle I

play14:05

would say let's get this pairing above

play14:07

06 and let's set a higher high rather

play14:10

than still being in a lower high Trend

play14:12

so essentially you've got the two assets

play14:14

trading very closely in terms of

play14:16

likelihood in terms of performance um

play14:19

going into that all right well I can you

play14:21

know I can accept that in looking at it

play14:23

I'm in agreement I think with eth on a

play14:25

long-term play and definitely in terms

play14:27

of Market corrections as we start to see

play14:29

that I'm a little interested in to see

play14:31

how much of Market correction we will

play14:33

see on bitcoin as the market starts to

play14:35

explore eth and all the things that we

play14:37

kind of mentioned there with Hogan's

play14:39

tweet uh so a lot a lot happening uh

play14:42

another thing coming in of course stable

play14:44

coins and MAA getting ready to uh jump

play14:46

loose here in the EU let me zoom in on

play14:48

that uh everybody's getting ready to

play14:51

start seeing stable coins in action in a

play14:53

legal way which means we could see an

play14:56

explosion around usdc obviously that

play14:58

would change change things quite a bit

play15:00

cuz that's an erc20 uh token so there's

play15:03

an opportunity there I think again just

play15:04

for more uh position on that that

play15:07

rolling into also salana because this is

play15:09

kind of the the question I have next is

play15:12

now let's play eth versus salana because

play15:14

we've looked at kind of the scenario

play15:16

you've got uh salana now potentially

play15:19

getting an ETF coming in and of course

play15:22

coinbase would be this is coming in from

play15:24

the 3 IQ Corp but the point being is

play15:26

that we could see something happen like

play15:29

this with salana is salana in a position

play15:32

right now if you were trying to go that

play15:34

same investment strategy with an eth

play15:36

versus salana on that same 100K 10K or

play15:40

1K what route would you take right now

play15:42

based on Solana's chart yeah so so

play15:45

here's what I will say before I go to

play15:47

the Chart I feel confident uh in saying

play15:50

that ethereum will be a better

play15:52

investment than Bitcoin when it comes to

play15:54

will salana be a better investment in

play15:56

ethereum while I am still confident I'm

play15:58

less confident in that statement than I

play16:00

am in ethereum beating out Bitcoin just

play16:03

because I I see Bitcoin ethereum as your

play16:05

safest least valuable but safest choices

play16:08

for investing Solana's got such a great

play16:11

upside but there are scenarios that

play16:13

could play out in the next again 14 15

play16:15

months that for some reason it its

play16:17

bullishness gets kind of crushed but I

play16:20

don't perceive that happening in fact

play16:22

what I'm looking at right now it's it's

play16:23

another one of these I'm on the weekly

play16:24

chart right now so when you see each

play16:26

candle we're representing seven days uh

play16:28

for for the last month and some change

play16:31

Solana has been falling compared to

play16:33

ethereum but there's some major support

play16:36

happening right now most of this is

play16:38

actually uh due to a lot of the mean

play16:40

coins that kind of boosted salana so

play16:42

heavily during this time period they're

play16:44

cooling off so Salon is cooling off a

play16:46

little bit but we're getting very close

play16:47

to a level on the weekly chart a very

play16:50

strong support in both this smart Trail

play16:52

and a large order block on the daily

play16:54

chart the sell orders that we were under

play16:56

have hit their most aggressive

play16:58

takeprofit and when you start to look at

play17:00

oscillators uh I'm not saying we're

play17:02

about to reverse today in fact we could

play17:04

keep in this level for maybe the next

play17:05

couple of weeks but a lot of signs of

play17:08

oversold Solana over ethereum and and I

play17:11

I've said this before I was actually

play17:13

having a conversation with somebody the

play17:14

other day uh about Solana's future and

play17:18

they were saying oh yeah the meme

play17:19

season's over Solana's done I'm like is

play17:21

that where we got to where we thought

play17:22

Solana was only about meme coins yeah

play17:25

because that's not how I've perceived it

play17:26

that was one added benefit of Solana

play17:28

yeah but you can have a lot of problems

play17:30

there's still Solana I would still say

play17:32

at this point is the easiest fastest and

play17:35

most admissible blockchain to build

play17:37

something on so a lot of Institutions uh

play17:40

maybe not the high microsofts and apples

play17:42

and those but a lot of companies and

play17:44

businesses worldwide will choose Solana

play17:47

I still see Solana jumping over ,ll

play17:50

potentially going up towards 1600 so

play17:52

we're talking about more like instead of

play17:54

ethereum's 5 to 7x I think there's a

play17:57

good chance at closer to a 10 to 12x 12

play18:00

to 15x left in salana if things play out

play18:03

correctly well that's a big uh that's a

play18:05

big one of course salana been very

play18:06

bullish up to this point you know

play18:08

obviously we'll see things start to play

play18:10

out this summer and as they go into you

play18:13

know their their conference season that

play18:15

starts to reveal a lot of new projects

play18:17

especially if we get some regulation uh

play18:19

Clarity couple other things that are

play18:21

happening I wanted to kind of play this

play18:23

in and this is just showing ETFs and you

play18:26

know their uh their outflows but but

play18:29

also the potential of these outflows

play18:32

maybe going somewhere if you think about

play18:35

where could an outflow from Bitcoin be

play18:37

going if if you think about

play18:38

institutional capital I want to play a

play18:40

clip because maybe just maybe things are

play18:43

flowing into things like Nvidia take a

play18:45

look at this got it and they want to put

play18:48

it in the the the riskiest so when you

play18:50

when you read risky for this group is

play18:52

that Nvidia or is that someplace else

play18:55

well we asked them you know uh what

play18:57

areas of the stock market you think in

play18:58

bubbles right now and AI stocks and tech

play19:01

stocks they think are in bubbles so I

play19:02

would consider that a little bit risky

play19:04

when you look at valuations you can't

play19:05

ignore the fact that they're pretty high

play19:07

it's a little bit risky these are not

play19:09

necessarily GameStop buyers and AMC

play19:11

buyers these buy these uh investors buy

play19:13

big stocks they've held on to them to a

play19:15

long for a long time Nvidia Apple

play19:17

Microsoft we ask them the stocks you

play19:19

would buy and hold for the next decade

play19:20

Nvidia Apple Microsoft MH all right so

play19:24

that being the case maybe is the reason

play19:27

that we haven't seen Bitcoin really is

play19:28

starting to move up with this

play19:30

institutional Capital saying Hey listen

play19:32

we're going to pull some off the table

play19:33

we're going to revert into something

play19:35

like an Nvidia move which is an AI play

play19:38

do you think there's any potential for

play19:40

nvidia's chart to continue to look so

play19:42

positive going

play19:44

forward yeah I mean Nvidia chart sitting

play19:47

at an all-time high currently is g to

play19:50

give that's why when people talk about

play19:52

uh bubbles uh I'll go and pull that up

play19:54

when people talk about bubbles yeah

play19:55

anytime you get into price discovery

play19:57

mode and you're see a level you've never

play19:59

seen before there's always going to be

play20:01

the naysayers that say Hey this time to

play20:03

correct but uh we've seen in video I

play20:06

mean Nvidia was supposed to correct for

play20:08

a long long time in fact even right in

play20:09

here around 2021 you know 67% that's

play20:14

really not even as bad as the majority

play20:15

of crypto that was actually a less

play20:17

pullback than even Bitcoin I I I

play20:20

actually have a target for NVIDIA still

play20:22

climbing higher potentially ranging up

play20:24

here closer to 353 to 663 why cuz AI has

play20:29

always been something that the world's

play20:30

been interested in everyone probably

play20:32

grew up watching movies about robots

play20:34

taking over the world but for the first

play20:36

time in really all of history the last

play20:39

I'd say three to five years AI is taking

play20:43

a form that we we only dreamed in the

play20:45

past of actually being possible right so

play20:48

you can try to fade you can try to to

play20:49

try to sell against it but the AI we're

play20:52

not even close to scratching the surface

play20:54

of what AI is actually capable of doing

play20:56

we're just getting started and nid is

play20:58

one I'm I'm just not in anywhere close

play21:01

to a situation of get betting against

play21:03

until I see a much weaker economy and

play21:06

maybe saying hey yeah even I it's one of

play21:08

the Paul like even when the economy goes

play21:10

weak guess what people and businesses

play21:12

are going to look for because it's too

play21:14

expensive to hire people how can I get

play21:16

AI to keep doing this so yeah I'm not

play21:19

saying there'll be no pullbacks

play21:20

whatsoever but don't be surprised if we

play21:22

don't see a prolonged bare market for

play21:24

NVIDIA and AI stocks for a long time

play21:27

which means that I would agree with that

play21:29

to a certain extent obviously we've seen

play21:31

you know Cycles like this happen with

play21:33

the birth of the internet and obviously

play21:35

the growth that we saw within that and

play21:36

all the the Technologies they got a

play21:38

chance to stack on top of that mobile

play21:40

social and even blockchain let's move

play21:42

over to blockchain and I want to hit

play21:44

this last uh token with you and that is

play21:46

render because that's going to be the

play21:47

equivalent uh in term whether you think

play21:50

near protocol or you like render you

play21:52

know from a standpoint of cloud compute

play21:54

possibly AIG GPU plays on this render

play21:58

what is your position on render because

play21:59

it's been a little bit wobbly in terms

play22:01

of current price where do you like this

play22:04

one yeah it's it's not been performing

play22:07

well here more recently uh anyone who's

play22:10

looking at the chart like this is

play22:12

probably getting a little tired of

play22:14

render they probably are tired of people

play22:15

promoting it talking about how great

play22:17

it's going to be I I feel it I see it

play22:19

every single day but I I always tell

play22:21

people before you judge something too

play22:24

harshly zoom out just look at how things

play22:27

have performed in history and this is a

play22:29

very exposive chart and then you look at

play22:32

things where we did set a lower high

play22:34

right here but we've set a lot of

play22:35

support if I zoom back in here a lot of

play22:37

support the Bulls in a Zone uh between

play22:40

the prices of roughly

play22:42

696 down here I would say even to about

play22:45

647 very strong level of support of

play22:48

course right now I think that render

play22:49

could come back down into this area as

play22:51

well but this is this is what we would

play22:53

call in ta we're creating a nice strong

play22:56

shelf and right now as long as there's

play22:58

not a bullish Catalyst to send prices

play23:00

higher whales and long-term holders are

play23:03

using every excuse in the book to

play23:04

accumulate as much as they can right

play23:06

here at $6.7 area because they know the

play23:10

long-term value don't be surprised like

play23:12

the rest of the market if we have a

play23:13

couple more days of bearish pressure

play23:16

maybe a week or a little bit longer than

play23:17

that but to say that the bull market is

play23:20

over you're you're not taking into

play23:22

account all of the momentum that has

play23:24

already come into the space despite the

play23:26

fact that we're not even close to really

play23:28

seeing what render's truly poent what

play23:30

true potential is and and the reason I'm

play23:32

big on render over some others I still

play23:34

like near I still like what ASI about to

play23:36

be but render has a special relationship

play23:39

with Nvidia Nvidia has a relationship

play23:41

with a lot of different coins but it

play23:42

seems like Nvidia talks about render

play23:44

quite frequently so render is not just

play23:46

going to be a great AI play for crypto

play23:48

holders but institutional investors or

play23:51

you know traditional stockholders who

play23:53

are looking to dabble in AI are going to

play23:54

constantly hear render render render

play23:57

render render and that's a big reason to

play23:59

stay long-term bullish on it even if the

play24:01

price in the last couple of months has

play24:03

been

play24:03

frustrating well and I think the the

play24:05

thing that you you have to consider here

play24:07

is if you are a believer in Cloud

play24:10

compute and the potential here for AI

play24:12

then and even if you're looking at

play24:15

diversification whether you like near

play24:16

protocol or you do want to jump on

play24:18

render I think the key here is is that

play24:19

this is just the beginning we're going

play24:21

to see so much in terms of innovation

play24:24

and both these projects are in the right

play24:26

spot at the right time so all that being

play24:28

very good hey Tim if anybody wants to

play24:31

catch Tim of course catch him in over at

play24:33

investing Bros on his YouTube channel

play24:34

we'll make sure to leave a link down uh

play24:36

in the description but thanks again for

play24:38

stopping in today we appreciate it

play24:40

awesome thank you for having me Paul you

play24:41

bet all right so guys we'll get into a

play24:44

couple other uh tokens one other thing I

play24:46

wanted to hit on and we did a video on

play24:48

this with Avalanche

play24:49

yesterday and one of the things is this

play24:52

uh topic right here kabi is now building

play24:55

uh a blockchain so Avalanche starting to

play24:57

take uh

play24:58

I think some very interesting steps in

play25:01

terms of Partnerships and where these

play25:03

subnets are going and John Woo there was

play25:05

a video uh clip that we put into that

play25:07

video if you had a chance to go back and

play25:09

watch it go check it out but there's a a

play25:10

clip towards the end of John wo talking

play25:13

about you know this um subnet season

play25:16

there's a lot of opportunity I think in

play25:17

terms of timing with Avalanche so be on

play25:19

the lookout for Avalanche a little bit

play25:22

uh closer to the fall that's going to be

play25:24

what we're going to we are going to try

play25:25

to get John wo to talk about this a

play25:27

little bit in the next few weeks so be

play25:28

on the lookout for that uh interview

play25:30

because it is coming other uh news out

play25:33

there of course is polygon and Ronin

play25:36

Rona Network now jumping in uh on

play25:38

polygon which this could be interesting

play25:40

on how this partnership might line up

play25:42

and and also two powerhouses from the

play25:44

previous Bull Run so this also could

play25:46

play into some very interesting things

play25:48

others that we're watching right now

play25:50

here of course is binance adding USD on

play25:53

ton and ton of course is the big one

play25:56

that uh we've talked a little bit about

play25:57

here on the show actually I think we did

play25:59

an analysis last week with Tim but this

play26:02

of course gets into some pretty

play26:03

interesting uh chain metrics now pretty

play26:06

much showing a ridiculous growth but the

play26:08

transaction volume has gone from 5 to 10

play26:11

billion so older account also climbing

play26:13

from like 2.9 Million to 32 million in a

play26:17

year so 10x that's a pretty big

play26:19

statement uh without that and then of

play26:21

course you've got some other things

play26:22

happening out there in the EU and that

play26:25

of course is you know exchanges like

play26:27

uphold guess what what they're doing

play26:28

they're delisting some of those uh

play26:31

tokens or some of the stable coins and

play26:33

moving into guess what usdc the Euro

play26:37

stable coin and then even PayPal's uh

play26:39

stable coin PUSD so be on the lookout

play26:41

for that those are some things that

play26:43

we'll continue to uh track on uh you

play26:46

guys if for in terms of uh additional

play26:48

videos we've got some big uh interviews

play26:50

coming up next week and the following so

play26:53

be on the lookout for those if you're

play26:55

not in the diamond circle make sure and

play26:57

get in right now all you have to do is

play26:59

click the link down below it'll get you

play27:01

into the diamond Circle we got a lot of

play27:03

things happening over there including uh

play27:05

some really cool airdrops available to

play27:07

our members so check that out just click

play27:09

the airdrop thing drop your wallets in

play27:11

there we've got Bas uh or an eth wallet

play27:13

and a Salo wallet either one will work

play27:16

and you'll be part of that when we do

play27:18

our airdrop uh snapshots and of course

play27:20

if you're not following me on X do that

play27:22

it's just at Paul Baron we'll catch you

play27:23

next time right here on Tech paath

play27:28

[Music]

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
Crypto AnalysisBitcoin TrendsEthereum GrowthBlockchain TechMarket PredictionsInvestment StrategiesTech PathInnovation ImpactRegulatory ClarityInstitutional Adoption