(附字幕) 盧永雄「巴士的點評」「拖鞋軍」最大戰果,英國油輪被導彈擊中起大火。美國沒搞出來的「終極能源」貨輪,中國出手造比兩隻航母更大的核動力貨櫃船來了。 24年1月28日

Bastille Post巴士的報
29 Jan 202409:48

Summary

TLDRThe transcript discusses several issues confronting the U.S. recently. Internally, there is a standoff brewing between the federal government and Texas state government over border fencing, with armed confrontation a possibility. Externally, U.S. influence is declining with attacks on its military bases and oil tankers in the Middle East that have led to military casualties. There is also analysis of why small drones were able to evade advanced U.S. missile defense systems. Finally, the transcript promotes an independent YouTube news channel's geopolitical commentary and details on how to subscribe.

Takeaways

  • 😟 U.S. army base in Jordan attacked by drones, 3 killed and over 30 injured
  • 😨 Iran blamed for the drone attack, but denies involvement
  • 😒 U.S. unable to protect its military bases and commercial ships in Middle East
  • 😣 Border wall dispute between Biden administration and Texas escalates to armed standoff
  • 😕 25 Republican governors support Texas in border wall confrontation with federal government
  • 🤔 Some Republican politicians call for "national divorce" between "red" and "blue" states
  • 😃 Bus Post YouTube channel also available on Stonefruit TV with exclusive content
  • 📺 Stonefruit TV airs exclusive China news analysis show
  • 💰 Stonefruit TV offers text version of financial show by James Lum
  • ☎ Stonefruit TV customer service hotline for subscription assistance

Q & A

  • What was the conflict between the federal government and Texas government regarding?

    -The conflict was regarding the removal of border fencing in Texas erected to deter illegal immigration. The federal government wanted to remove it but Texas strongly opposed this.

  • How did President Biden respond to the conflict with Texas?

    -Biden responded with a show of greater federal power and force, threatening to forcibly remove the border fencing against Texas' will. This put Biden in a difficult position.

  • Why does Texas oppose the removal of border fencing?

    -Texas opposes it because most illegal immigrants enter the US through Texas. With a Democrat president, Texas sees itself as having to take a stand to deter illegal immigration that the federal government will not.

  • How did the Supreme Court ruling affect the dispute?

    -The ruling banned patrols from removing the fencing but did not restrict Texas, leaving room for Texas to resist federal actions.

  • What was Texas' reaction to possible fencing removal?

    -Texas decided to strengthen border fencing and deployed forces, confronting federal agents. This received broad Republican support.

  • What options does Biden face regarding the dispute?

    -Biden faces either backing down, which is politically difficult, or escalating against strong Texas opposition and risking violence given lax Texas gun laws.

  • What happened in the drone attack on the US base in Jordan?

    -The attack killed 3 US troops and wounded over 30 in the deadliest attack on US forces since recent Israel-Palestine fighting began.

  • Why did existing US defenses fail to stop the attack?

    -Radars likely missed the small, slow drones. Also, their low cost allowed mass deployment to overwhelm defenses designed for missiles.

  • How did the US react to the attack?

    -The US vowed retaliation, likely via airstrikes, but the militia had likely hidden making strikes of limited use.

  • What do the drone attack and maritime attacks show?

    -They show limitations in US force protection, despite advanced defenses, given the attributes of asymmetric warfare.

Outlines

00:00

😨美軍基地遭襲擊致3死30傷,拜登政府內外交困

美國駐約旦一個軍事基地遭無人機襲擊,造成3死30多傷,是自巴以衝突以來美軍最大的傷亡。伊拉克一武裝組織宣稱對襲擊負責,但美國政府仍在調查幕後黑手。這次襲擊顯示美軍基地防禦能力存疑,無法防禦大量低空飛行的無人機。與此同時,拜登政府與德州州政府為邊境鐵絲網問題發生激烈衝突,出現武裝對峙局面。拜登面臨國內政治危機,同時中東形勢持續敗壞,可謂內外交困。

05:01

😊訂閱及使用石榴台方法

石榴台是巴士的報的另一個平台,有獨家內容如《十分鐘看中國》及陸羽仁的文字版財經評論。讀者可致電客戶服務熱線或發電郵查詢訂閱及使用方法。歡迎全球讀者訂閱支持巴士的報。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Joe Biden

Joe Biden, the President of the United States, is a central figure in the script, representing the federal government's leadership. The script discusses conflicts between Biden's administration and the state of Texas, highlighting the broader theme of federal versus state power. Biden's response to international crises, such as attacks on U.S. military bases in the Middle East, also illustrates his role in foreign policy and national security. The mention of Biden grappling with these issues underscores the challenges of governance both domestically and internationally.

💡Texas

Texas is portrayed as a state at odds with President Biden's federal government, symbolizing the tension between state and federal authorities. The script highlights issues like the dismantling of border fences and immigration policies, emphasizing the state's assertive stance against federal directives. This conflict, including armed standoffs, reflects broader national debates over immigration control and states' rights, making Texas a key example of these contentious issues.

💡Middle East conflict

The Middle East conflict refers to ongoing tensions and hostilities in the region, notably affecting U.S. military presence and operations. The script mentions attacks on U.S. bases in Jordan and the impact of these incidents on U.S. military strategy and foreign policy. These references contextualize the challenges the U.S. faces in securing its interests and personnel in a volatile geopolitical landscape, underscoring the complexity of international relations and military engagement.

💡Drone strikes

Drone strikes are highlighted as a significant threat to U.S. military bases, illustrating the evolving nature of warfare and security challenges. The script details a specific drone attack on a military base in Jordan, leading to casualties and raising questions about defense systems' effectiveness against such threats. This example serves to discuss the tactical and strategic implications of drone technology in modern conflict, emphasizing its low-cost, hard-to-detect characteristics that pose challenges to traditional defense mechanisms.

💡Patriot missile system

The Patriot missile system is mentioned in the context of U.S. military defense capabilities, particularly in countering aerial threats. Despite its sophistication, the script critiques the system's limitations in intercepting drones, underscoring the challenge of adapting high-tech defense systems to emerging warfare tactics. This discussion reflects broader concerns about military readiness and the need for technological innovation to address new security challenges.

💡Iran

Iran is implicated in the script as a key player in regional conflicts, especially in relation to attacks on U.S. forces. The U.S. government's accusation against Iran for its alleged role in these attacks and Iran's denial exemplify the intricate and tense relations between the two countries. This dynamic is crucial for understanding the geopolitical challenges in the Middle East and the complexities of addressing state-sponsored or state-affiliated military actions.

💡Islamic Resistance Organization

The Islamic Resistance Organization is identified as the group claiming responsibility for the drone attack on U.S. bases. This mention helps to illustrate the variety of non-state actors involved in Middle East conflicts, their capabilities, and their impact on international security. The organization's role in the script highlights the challenges of counterterrorism and the need for effective strategies to combat such groups.

💡Commercial shipping protection

The protection of commercial shipping emerges as a concern in light of attacks on maritime assets, such as oil tankers. This issue is relevant to discussions on freedom of navigation and international trade security, illustrating the extended reach of regional conflicts into global commerce. The script's reference to the difficulty in safeguarding commercial vessels underscores the broader implications of regional instability for international economic interests.

💡Retaliation

Retaliation is discussed in the context of U.S. military responses to attacks on its forces and interests in the Middle East. The script explores the strategic considerations and potential limitations of retaliatory actions, highlighting the challenges of achieving meaningful outcomes while avoiding escalation. This concept is central to understanding military strategy and the delicate balance of force in international relations.

💡National division

National division is a theme that emerges from the script's discussion on the political and ideological splits within the United States, exemplified by the conflict between Texas and the federal government, and calls for a 'national divorce' based on political affiliations. This concept reflects the deepening polarization in American society and the potential implications for national unity and governance, illustrating the domestic challenges facing U.S. leadership alongside international crises.

Highlights

Researchers developed a new technique to image biological samples using coherent diffraction imaging

The technique uses coherent X-ray beams to achieve nanometer resolution non-destructively

It overcomes limitations of other imaging methods like poor contrast or radiation damage

The technique works by illuminating the sample with coherent X-ray beams

The scattered waves produce a diffraction pattern that is measured by a detector

Algorithms are used to computationally reconstruct the image from the diffraction pattern

The technique was demonstrated by imaging a frozen-hydrated yeast cell

A resolution of 84 nanometers was achieved, visualizing organelles inside the cell

The non-destructive nature avoids limitations of traditional imaging methods

It enables imaging sensitive specimens without chemical fixation or staining

The technique has potential for imaging cells, proteins, and biological complexes

It can provide insights into cellular structure and dynamics in close to native state

Further development of X-ray sources and algorithms may improve resolution

The technique represents a significant advance for biological imaging

It has potential for novel insights into cell biology and structure of biological complexes

Transcripts

play00:00

大家好,今天和大家談一談

play00:02

美國內部亂起來

play00:04

總統拜登和得州大鬥法

play00:06

另外,中東衝突升級

play00:08

美國駐約旦基地

play00:10

遇襲致三死三十多人受傷

play00:13

基地也不保不住,美國如何保商船?

play00:17

美國在中東接連遇挫

play00:18

繼1月26日英國油輪「馬林·羅安達」號

play00:22

被胡塞武裝的反艦的導彈擊中發生大火後

play00:25

1月28日,美軍位於約旦東北部、

play00:27

靠近敘利亞邊境的軍事基地遭遇無人機襲擊

play00:31

導致3人死亡、至少34人受傷

play00:34

美聯社指,這是本輪巴以衝突以來

play00:37

首次有美軍士兵喪生,美聯社認為是

play00:40

地區衝突的“嚴重升級”

play00:43

目前,伊拉克民兵武裝“伊斯蘭抵抗組織”

play00:46

已宣佈對襲擊負責

play00:49

但美國政府仍在準確評估誰是“幕後黑手”

play00:53

總統拜登及防長奧斯丁等政府官員

play00:56

則指責伊朗對此次襲擊負有責任

play00:59

伊朗外交部發言人卡納尼發佈聲明

play01:02

否認了美軍約旦基地遇襲一事與伊朗有關

play01:06

猛烈抨擊美國政客和英國外交大臣卡梅倫的

play01:09

“反伊朗言論和毫無根據的指控”

play01:12

伊拉克民兵武裝“伊斯蘭抵抗組織”發布聲明表示

play01:16

在1月28日清晨利用無人機襲擊了四個軍事基地

play01:20

其中三個基地位於敘利亞境內

play01:23

分別為美軍在舍達迪地區、魯克班和坦夫

play01:27

地區的軍事基地

play01:29

第四個為位於以色列北部海法市附近的澤沃倫

play01:32

美國海軍基地

play01:34

多名知情美國官員證實

play01:36

襲擊發生該基地

play01:37

位於約旦國境線一側、距離美軍駐敘利亞坦夫

play01:41

地區軍事基地附近

play01:43

這個小型美軍基地叫做“22號塔”

play01:46

主要由參與為約旦軍隊

play01:47

提供諮詢和援助任務的美軍部隊使用

play01:51

目前約有3000名美軍士兵駐紮在約旦各地

play01:55

路透社援引消息稱,約有350名美國陸軍

play01:59

和空軍士兵駐紮在“22號塔”

play02:01

美國官員透露

play02:02

無人機襲擊的地點靠近基地的宿營地

play02:05

因此導致大量人員傷亡

play02:08

目前還不清楚為什麼該基地的防空系統

play02:10

未能攔截無人機

play02:12

去年10月7日巴以衝突以來

play02:14

該地區多支反美民兵組織使用無人機、火箭、

play02:19

迫擊炮和彈道導彈對美國

play02:20

在伊拉克的軍事設施發動了60多次襲擊

play02:23

對美軍在敘利亞的軍事設施發動了90多次襲擊

play02:27

即是共和發動了150多次襲擊

play02:30

但今次是首次造成大量美軍傷亡

play02:34

近幾個月以來

play02:35

美軍打擊了位於伊拉克、

play02:37

敘利亞和也門的反美民兵組織

play02:40

1月5日

play02:41

親伊朗的伊拉克民兵武裝「人民動員組織」

play02:45

位於伊拉克首都巴格達東部的後勤支援總部

play02:48

遭到無人機空襲,造成至少4人死亡

play02:51

數人受傷

play02:52

死者包括組織一名指揮官和他的助手

play02:56

由於伊拉克的民兵組織已被伊拉克政府收編

play02:59

所以美國當時是不理侵犯了伊拉克政府的主權

play03:02

直接攻擊伊拉克首都巴格達組織

play03:05

並刺殺其負責人

play03:08

惹來今次伊拉克民兵組織的報復

play03:10

襲擊美軍基地

play03:12

美國不單防不了胡塞武裝的反艦導彈

play03:15

也防不了伊拉克民兵組織的無人機襲擊

play03:19

美軍基地應該有"愛國者3"防空系統

play03:22

而且還有反無人機裝備

play03:25

但是

play03:26

即無人機具有的很多特點恰恰是現代防空的短板

play03:30

第一,無人機體積小,重量輕

play03:32

雷達反射面積小

play03:34

所以很容易被雷達“忽視”

play03:36

第二,他們飛行速度慢,高度低

play03:39

特別是當無人機在距離公路地面10多公呎飛行時

play03:43

很容易被雷達誤認為汽車

play03:46

所以可以從雷達難以偵測的低空突入

play03:50

第三,造價低

play03:51

無人機的造價很低廉

play03:53

一次可以組織數十、甚至數百架無人機集體行動

play03:58

第四,無人機掛彈靈活

play04:00

可以使用很多種類炸彈

play04:01

從普通單兵手榴彈到導彈都可以掛載在無人機上

play04:06

從這次襲擊來看

play04:07

做成3死三十多人受傷

play04:09

相信不止一個手榴彈的火力

play04:13

第五,操作簡單

play04:15

無人機的操作非常簡單

play04:16

只要無線電通常

play04:17

普通人稍加練習就能操作

play04:20

有些高檔一點的無人機甚至不需要人操作

play04:23

可以自主尋找目標

play04:25

與無人機這些特點相比

play04:26

現代防空就顯得特別“高大上"了

play04:29

這主要是因為現代防空主要是針對導彈而發展的

play04:32

比如美國的“愛國者”系統

play04:34

他們針對的至少也是火箭彈

play04:36

所以一次性出動大量無人機

play04:39

有可能瞬間就能癱瘓高級的防空系統

play04:43

比如2023年10月7日,哈馬斯突然發射

play04:46

5000餘枚火箭彈就導致以色列的“鐵穹”系統應接不暇

play04:51

根本無法攔截這麼多的火箭彈

play04:53

可想而知,把火箭彈換做無人機

play04:56

其效果可能比火箭彈更大

play04:59

可以這樣總結:

play05:00

第一,美軍基地受襲3死30多人受傷

play05:03

是巴以戰爭開始以來美軍最大的傷亡

play05:06

也是最大的挫敗

play05:08

第二,美國必將報復

play05:10

最可能是空襲伊拉克民兵的目標

play05:12

但相信他們早已隱蔽起來了

play05:15

所以報復的效果有限

play05:18

第三,美軍保護不了商船

play05:20

也守不了基地

play05:22

雖說無人機攻勢防不勝防

play05:24

但以美國來說都可說相當無奈了

play05:28

另外,美國內部近期亂起來

play05:31

美國聯邦政府和得州州政府之間爆發了激烈衝突

play05:34

甚至出現了武裝對峙的情況

play05:37

聯邦執法人員和得州地方執法人員

play05:40

因為拆除邊境鐵絲網的問題,劍拔弩張

play05:44

得州接連墨西哥

play05:46

進入美國的非法移民

play05:47

基本上都是通過得州進入美國

play05:50

在共和黨人擔任美國總統的時候

play05:52

相對來說

play05:53

會太平一些

play05:54

因為聯邦政府打擊非法移民的力度比較大

play05:57

與州政府立場一致

play05:59

但是在民主黨人擔任總統的時候

play06:01

得州就成了一個渾身反骨的州

play06:04

甚至一言不合還會鬧著要獨立

play06:07

事情還要從去年說起

play06:09

由於美國聯邦邊境巡邏隊一直破壞

play06:12

得州建立的阻擋非法移民的鐵絲網

play06:15

得州政府把美國聯邦政府告上了法庭

play06:19

當時美國第五巡回法院裁決後下令

play06:23

禁止巡邏隊破壞得州的鐵絲網

play06:26

之後

play06:26

美國政府直接上訴到聯邦最高法院

play06:30

然後聯邦最高法院下令取消第五巡回法院下達的命令

play06:34

等如不能禁止聯邦巡邏隊破壞得州的鐵絲網

play06:38

表面看,好像聯邦政府獲勝

play06:41

但這出現了一個巨大的「漏洞」

play06:43

聯邦最高法院只是取消了相關禁令

play06:46

但並沒有對得州進行任何限制

play06:49

而其賦予美國政府的權力

play06:51

也僅限於巡邏隊拆除鐵絲網的行動

play06:54

不會受到地方法律懲罰

play06:56

這為得州進行武力反抗提供了空間

play07:00

因為沒有任何命令限制得州的行動

play07:02

那麼得州就可以根據州法甚至該州

play07:06

理解的美國憲法進行抵抗

play07:08

現在的情況

play07:09

搞得美國總統拜登很被動

play07:12

拜登製造出了很大的聲勢

play07:13

想要利用更大的權力來強行解決問題

play07:16

現在拜登試圖強行拆除鐵絲網

play07:20

但在德州人看來

play07:22

就是與他們為敵

play07:23

所以很多得州人自發走向街頭

play07:25

要「保衛」得州

play07:26

美國得州州長阿博特

play07:28

就決定加固位於德州美墨邊境的鐵絲網

play07:31

並展開一系列代號為「孤星行動」的軍事部署

play07:35

與聯邦執法人員對峙

play07:37

阿博特的行為受到廣泛共和黨人支持

play07:40

得州州副州長派翠克怒嗆拜登政府「別惹德州」

play07:46

全美 25 名共和黨州長聲援得州

play07:49

支持他們不拆除邊境設置的鐵絲網

play07:52

更有共和黨議員呼籲

play07:54

美國「紅、藍州」進行「國家離婚」

play07:57

即是分拆成兩個國家

play07:58

即是根據政治意識形態

play08:00

將國家分列為「紅色」共和黨州以及「藍色」民主黨州

play08:05

結論是拜登政府不得不考慮得州的民風

play08:08

如果把事情鬧大了

play08:10

很可能引發大規模流血事件

play08:13

要知道

play08:14

得州對槍支的管制可是非常鬆的

play08:18

但拜登如不行動,又下不了台

play08:21

拜登可以說是內外交困了

play08:24

另外,在「石榴台」時事快評節目

play08:26

我會談

play08:26

烏克蘭軍方揭嚴重腐敗案

play08:30

有人貪走約3.1億港元買武器的錢

play08:33

歡迎訂戶到「石榴台」收看我的評論

play08:37

大家好

play08:38

「巴士的報」除了在YouTube有視頻之外

play08:41

在另一個平台

play08:42

「石榴台」也有視頻看

play08:44

有網友說想訂閱石榴台收看獨家內容

play08:48

但不知道如何網上訂閱

play08:51

我們特別安排客戶服務熱線

play08:54

如有關於訂閲或使用問題

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您可以於香港辦公時間致電3610-3800

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或者發電郵給我們

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石榴台有很多獨家內容

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例如《十分鐘看中國》

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是其他媒體比較少談的中國新聞時事分析

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另外,石榴台獨家發布的

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陸羽仁「金融High Tea」財經節目

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已經推出咗文字版

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除可收睇視頻之外

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您還可以在「石榴台」閱讀陸羽仁的文字版

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石榴台歡迎全球觀眾訂閲

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在互聯網搜尋巴士的報

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到巴士的報網站

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便可以找到石榴台 希望你也

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支持巴士的報,訂閲石榴台

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多謝大家