⚠️ ¿Por qué TESLA está COLAPSANDO en bolsa? ⚠️ ¿Es una OPORTUNIDAD?

Memorias de Tiburón

11 Jun 202410:04

Summary

TLDRTesla's stock has dropped 60% since its peak in November 2021. Despite this, Tesla's business has grown and become more profitable. The video's analysis suggests the stock's high previous valuation, global economic factors, and rising competition have driven the decline. However, it argues that Tesla's current stock price may present a historical investment opportunity due to its development of new products, potential market expansion, and growth in complementary services and other business lines like solar energy and robotics. The summary concludes by asking viewers if they believe Tesla's current stock price is a good investment.

Takeaways

📉 Tesla's stock has fallen by 60% since its peak in November 2021, but Elon Musk's business is more profitable and developed than ever.
🏁 Tesla is a technology company as well as an electric vehicle manufacturer, leading the global market alongside Chinese company BYD.
🔍 The main reason for Tesla's stock decline is its overvaluation in 2021, with a P/E ratio reaching as high as 400, significantly higher than the market average of 17.
💸 High valuations were driven by a speculative frenzy, with investors buying Tesla stocks without thorough analysis, leading to a bubble.
🌐 The 2022 economic downturn, including the war in Ukraine and supply chain issues, has affected consumer demand for high-end electric vehicles like Tesla's.
📈 Rising interest rates have made borrowing more expensive, which has led to a decrease in purchases of big-ticket items, impacting Tesla's sales.
🛠️ Tesla has had to cut car prices aggressively to combat falling demand and increased competition, especially from efficient Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers.
🇨🇳 Chinese companies are taking market share from Tesla, both in China and Europe, and are expanding into less developed markets with strong government support.
💼 Elon Musk has asked the U.S. to impose more tariffs to protect the American automotive industry from Chinese competition.
🚀 Despite current challenges, Tesla's stock could be a historic investment opportunity due to its cyclical demand, development of new products, and potential for international expansion.
🌟 Tesla is also innovating in other areas such as solar panels, energy storage systems, and robotics, which could diversify and strengthen its business in the long term.

Q & A

What is the current situation of Tesla's stock performance as of the video's edit date?
-As of the video's edit date, Tesla's stock has been declining, with a drop of 60% since its peak in November 2021. The stock might have fallen even further by the time the viewer watches the video.
Why might Tesla's stock price continue to fall despite the company's growth and development?
-Tesla's stock price might continue to fall due to its previous high valuation, market conditions, and various external factors such as inflation, interest rate hikes, and increased competition in the electric vehicle market.
What is the Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) and why is it significant in evaluating Tesla's stock price?
-The P/E Ratio is a valuation metric that compares a company's net earnings to its market capitalization. It is significant because a higher P/E indicates a more expensive stock, while a lower P/E suggests a cheaper stock. Tesla's P/E reached 400 at its peak, which is considered very high compared to the market average.
What were the main reasons behind Tesla's stock price peak in November 2021?
-Tesla's stock price peak was driven by a 'fever' where many investors wanted to own Tesla shares, leading to inflated prices and a P/E ratio of 400. This was partly due to the assumption of continued spectacular growth over many years.
How did the economic conditions in 2022 affect Tesla's growth and stock price?
-The 2022 economic conditions, including the war in Ukraine, supply chain bottlenecks, and inflation due to excessive money printing during COVID, led to higher interest rates. This resulted in reduced consumer spending on high-end cars like Tesla's, affecting demand and stock price.
What is Tesla's strategy in response to the reduced demand for electric vehicles?
-Tesla has started to aggressively reduce the prices of its cars to counter the reduced demand. This strategy is also aimed at challenging traditional car manufacturers and cheap electric vehicles from the Far East.
Why is the competition from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers a threat to Tesla?
-Chinese manufacturers are competitive with cutting-edge technology and are supported by the Chinese government with subsidies, allowing them to flood the market with affordable electric vehicles. This increased competition is challenging Tesla's market share.
What are some of the reasons for optimism despite Tesla's current challenges?
-Reasons for optimism include the cyclical nature of car demand, the potential for Tesla's stock to be undervalued after its price drop, the development of new products like the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi, and Tesla's expansion into new markets.
What is Tesla's approach to diversifying its business beyond electric vehicles?
-Tesla is diversifying its business by offering complementary services such as Autopilot and its Supercharger network, as well as developing products in solar energy, home battery storage systems, and exploring the field of robotics with the Optimus robot and the Dojo supercomputer.
How does Tesla's recent job cut and focus on efficiency reflect on its business strategy?
-Tesla's decision to lay off 10% of its workforce and focus on efficiency is part of its strategy to streamline operations and improve margins, addressing the inefficiencies that arose during its rapid growth phase.
What is the potential impact of Tesla's new products and services on its future growth?
-Tesla's new products like the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi, as well as services like Autopilot and its Supercharger network, could significantly boost its sales and revenue, especially if they achieve widespread adoption and licensing to third-party brands.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Tesla's Stock Decline and Market Valuation

The script discusses the significant drop in Tesla's stock price since its peak in November 2021, with a potential for an even greater decline by the time the viewer watches the video. Despite this, Elon Musk's business is more profitable and developed than ever. The script poses the question of whether this is the end for Tesla or a historic investment opportunity. It explains that Tesla, a leader in electric vehicles alongside Chinese company BYD, is more of a technology company than a car manufacturer. The stock price drop is attributed to its past high valuation, with the script explaining the use of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios to determine if a stock is overvalued or undervalued. Tesla's P/E ratio reached 400 at its peak, which is considered excessive compared to the market average of 17. The script also mentions that Tesla's valuation bubble was not justified by its sales, and that the company was overvalued more than the sum of the top nine car manufacturers in the world at the time.

05:00

🚗 Challenges and Opportunities for Tesla

This paragraph delves into the challenges Tesla faces, including increased competition from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, particularly in China and Europe. It discusses how these competitors, supported by the Chinese government, pose a significant threat to Tesla due to their competitive pricing and advanced technology. The script also covers Tesla's response to these challenges, such as aggressive price reductions to maintain market share and compete with cheaper electric vehicles. Additionally, it touches on Tesla's efforts to streamline operations by laying off 10% of its workforce to improve efficiency and margins. Despite these issues, the script suggests that the current drop in Tesla's stock price could be a historic investment opportunity, considering the company's potential for growth and innovation in new products like the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi, as well as its expansion into new markets and the development of complementary services and energy storage solutions.

10:00

👋 Closing Remarks and Future Outlook

The final paragraph serves as a closing to the video, with a brief farewell to the viewers until the next video installment. It does not contain substantial information about Tesla's business or stock performance but rather signals the end of the discussion and looks forward to future content.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Tesla

Tesla is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company known for its innovative approach to electric cars, solar energy, and battery products. In the video, it is discussed as a company whose stock has experienced a significant drop, yet it remains a leader in the electric vehicle market alongside Chinese company BYD.

💡Stock valuation

Stock valuation refers to the process of determining the worth of a company's stock. The video discusses the use of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a common valuation measure, to assess whether Tesla's stock was overvalued at its peak in 2021. The P/E ratio is mentioned as a key indicator of a stock's value relative to its earnings.

💡Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)

The P/E Ratio is a financial metric used to evaluate a company's stock price in relation to its earnings. The video explains that a high P/E ratio, such as Tesla's 400 at its peak, indicates that a stock is expensive compared to the broader market average of 17, suggesting that Tesla's stock was in a bubble territory.

💡Stock bubble

A stock bubble refers to a situation where the price of a stock or the market in general becomes inflated due to excessive enthusiasm or speculation. The video mentions that Tesla's stock was in a bubble, with investors paying inflated prices for the shares, which was not justified by the company's sales at the time.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, purchasing power is falling. The video discusses how global inflation, exacerbated by the economic response to the COVID-19 pandemic, led to higher interest rates, which in turn affected consumer spending and Tesla's demand for its cars.

💡Interest rates

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money and are set by central banks. The video explains that when interest rates rise, borrowing becomes more expensive, leading to a decrease in consumer spending on big-ticket items like cars, which negatively impacted Tesla's sales.

💡Competition

Competition refers to the rivalry among firms or entities striving for the same objective. The video highlights the increasing competition Tesla faces from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, which are gaining market share both domestically and internationally, posing a significant challenge to Tesla's dominance.

💡Cybertruck

Cybertruck is an all-electric pickup truck developed by Tesla. The video mentions it as one of the new products in development by Tesla, indicating the company's innovation and expansion into new vehicle segments.

💡Tesla Semi

Tesla Semi is an electric battery-powered semi-truck developed by Tesla for the trucking industry. The video refers to it as another new product in Tesla's lineup, showcasing the company's efforts to electrify the transportation sector beyond passenger vehicles.

💡Model 2

Model 2 is a rumored upcoming affordable electric vehicle from Tesla, aiming to be the world's best-selling car with a price point of $25,000. The video suggests that this new model could significantly boost Tesla's sales and market reach.

💡Energy storage

Energy storage involves the capture of energy produced at one time for use at a different time. The video discusses Tesla's involvement in this sector through products like the Powerwall, Powerpack, and Megapack, which are part of the company's broader clean energy solutions.

💡Optimus

Optimus is a humanoid robot being developed by Tesla, aiming to revolutionize human-robot interaction. The video mentions it as an example of Tesla's innovation in robotics and artificial intelligence, indicating the company's diverse technological ambitions.

💡Doyo

Doyo is a supercomputer developed by Tesla for training machine learning models more efficiently. The video highlights it as part of Tesla's advancements in artificial intelligence, showing the company's commitment to cutting-edge technology.

Highlights

Tesla's stock has fallen by 60% since its peak in November 2021, but Elon Musk's business is more profitable and developed than ever.

Tesla, a leader in electric vehicles, is more of a technology company than just a car manufacturer.

The main reason behind Tesla's stock decline is its high valuation in 2021, which led to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 400 at its peak.

The average market PE ratio is 17, indicating Tesla's stock was in a bubble territory during its peak valuation.

Tesla's stock was overvalued compared to the sum of the world's top nine car manufacturers, despite not justifying its sales.

In 2022, geopolitical issues, supply chain bottlenecks, and economic repercussions from excessive money printing during COVID-19 led to inflation and higher interest rates.

Higher interest rates led to reduced consumer spending on high-end cars like Tesla, affecting demand.

Tesla's aggressive price cuts on its cars aim to challenge traditional car manufacturers and cheap electric vehicles from the Far East.

Chinese electric vehicle companies, backed by the government, pose a significant competitive threat to Tesla with their quality-price ratio.

Elon Musk has called for higher tariffs to protect the US automotive industry from Chinese competition.

Tesla had to lay off 10% of its workforce to improve efficiency and margins amid growth challenges.

Despite setbacks, Tesla's stock price may present a historical investment opportunity due to its temporary challenges.

Most issues affecting Tesla's stock are short-term, and the company is working on new products like the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi.

Tesla is also developing the Model 2, an affordable electric car aimed at becoming the world's best-selling vehicle.

Tesla has significant room for international expansion, which could boost car sales.

The company can leverage its growing fleet of electric cars to offer complementary services like Autopilot and its Supercharger network.

Tesla's energy storage products like Powerwall, Powerpack, and Megapack already account for around 10% of the company's total revenue.

Tesla is innovating in robotics with the Optimus humanoid robot and in AI with the Dojo supercomputer for efficient machine learning model training.