Total KIA REVEALED - But It is NOT That Simple - Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update

Summary

The video script discusses sensitive military matters, focusing on the significant losses of the Vagner PMC in Ukraine, with over 20,000 records of deceased fighters between January and August 2023. It delves into the financial implications, the recruitment of African fighters, and the comparison of losses between Russian and Ukrainian forces. The script also covers the strategic importance of the Battle of Bakhmut, the use of unmanned vehicles, and the current state of various front lines, highlighting the challenges and the need for a more in-depth analysis of the situation.

Takeaways

• 📊 The script discusses sensitive topics including losses and claims in the ongoing conflict, with a focus on the damage to an S-57 in Russia and the confirmation of a second one being damaged.
• 🔍 It provides an in-depth analysis of the Vagner PMC's losses in Ukraine, including details from documents obtained by the BBC Russian service, which list payments to the relatives of deceased fighters.
• 💵 The documents reveal that over 20,000 Vagner PMC fighters were killed between January and August 2023, with the PMC spending over 108 billion rubles (1.2 billion USD) on payments to relatives.
• 👥 The majority of the fighters killed were reportedly prisoners, highlighting the use of prison recruits in the conflict, with 87% of the deceased being prisoners rather than original PMC members.
• 🗺️ The script also reviews the situation on various fronts, including changes and movements along the front line, with some areas experiencing shifts and others remaining stagnant.
• 📉 There is mention of a report by Media Zone that estimates 54,000 Russian casualties, a number that could be significantly lower than the actual figure, with Ukraine claiming a much higher number of 520,000.
• 🌐 The discussion includes the analysis of open-source data to estimate losses on both sides, with the UA Losses project providing a comparison of Ukrainian and Russian armed forces' losses.
• 📈 The script touches on the strategic aspects of the conflict, such as the purpose of the Battle of Bakhmut being to inflict casualties on the opposing side, with claims of 50,000 to 70,000 AFU casualties by the Russian side.
• 📝 It mentions the Ukrainian MOD's report of intensified Russian efforts to recruit fighters from African countries, offering financial incentives and the promise of a Russian passport.
• 🚁 The script includes claims of Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully striking Russian S-400 and S-300 air defense systems, though visual confirmation is pending.
• 🛰️ There is a mention of potential use of older Soviet-era vehicles in new ways, such as remote-controlled tanks or as VBIEDs (Vehicle-Borne IEDs), indicating innovative tactics on the battlefield.

Q & A

What is the main topic discussed in the video script?

The main topic discussed in the video script is the analysis of military losses, particularly focusing on the Vagner PMC's losses in Ukraine, the conflict's impact on both Russian and Ukrainian forces, and the strategic movements along the front lines.

What does the script mention about the Vagner PMC's financial spending on payments to the relatives of deceased fighters?

The script mentions that Vagner PMC spent over 108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on payments to the relatives of deceased fighters, excluding most salaries and injury compensation, between January 22 and August 2023.

How many records of killed fighters does the document obtained by Mediaone BBC Russian service contain?

The document contains over 20,000 records of those killed.

What was the percentage of Vagner PMC fighters that were prisoners according to the script?

According to the script, almost 90% of the Vagner PMC fighters were prisoners.

What does the script suggest about the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces?

The script suggests that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have also suffered significant losses, with some sources estimating the number of killed to be around 51,000 to 54,000, though this number could be subject to variation.

What is the significance of the number 195,000 mentioned in the script?

The number 195,000 refers to the total number of men reported to have been killed during the Battle of Bakhmut, including both prisoners and professional fighters from Vagner PMC.

What does the script indicate about the recruitment of foreign fighters by Russia?

The script indicates that Russia has intensified its attempts to recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine, particularly focusing on Central African countries, offering a sign-up bonus and monthly pay, along with the promise of a Russian passport.

What is the reported issue with Russia's air defense systems as mentioned in the script?

The script mentions that Russia's air defense systems are having problems, especially in protecting air bases with high-end equipment, and there have been incidents of slow-moving drones getting into airfields with modern planes.

What is the script's commentary on the situation in the northern front of Ukraine?

The script suggests that the situation in the northern front is not indicative of a major offensive by Ukraine, but rather a one-way fire mission, with the focus on hitting airfields and air defense systems.

What does the script reveal about the internal issues within the Ukrainian military?

The script reveals internal issues such as lack of coordination, inexperienced soldiers fleeing, and inadequate defenses, which have led to significant losses and the quick collapse of certain front lines.

Outlines

00:00

📊 Analysis of PMC Wagner's Casualties and Financial Implications

This paragraph delves into the financial and human costs of PMC Wagner's operations in Ukraine. It discusses the recent revelation of documents detailing payments made to the families of deceased fighters, amounting to over 20,000 records between January and August 2023. The expenditures are substantial, with over 108 billion rubles spent on such payments, excluding salaries and injury compensation. The paragraph also touches on the high percentage of prisoners among the PMC's ranks, the high casualty rates, and the comparison of these figures with claims made by both Russian and Ukrainian forces. It highlights the significant financial compensation offered to the families of fallen soldiers, which may incentivize recruitment despite the risks.

05:02

🔢 Detailed Breakdown of PMC Wagner's Battle Losses and Financial Compensation

The second paragraph provides a detailed examination of the losses sustained by PMC Wagner during the Battle of Bakhmut, emphasizing the disparity in losses between prisoners and regular mercenaries. It outlines the financial compensation structure, where relatives of deceased fighters receive a substantial sum as stipulated by contract. The paragraph also discusses the Battle of Bakhmut's timeline, the number of personnel killed, and the daily average of casualties. It further explores the claims of Ukrainian MOD regarding the number of Russian casualties and compares them with the numbers reported by Media Zone and BBC, noting the potential discrepancies and the complexity of verifying such figures.

10:02

🌐 Examination of Ukrainian and Russian Casualty Reports

This paragraph scrutinizes the reported casualty figures from both Ukrainian and Russian sources, highlighting the challenges in verifying the authenticity of these numbers. It discusses the UA Losses project, which estimates Ukrainian losses based on open-source data, and compares these with the Russian casualty figures. The paragraph also considers the potential underreporting of Ukrainian soldier deaths near Bakhmut and the implications of these findings. Additionally, it touches on the involvement of other units in the battle alongside PMC Wagner and the broader context of the conflict.

15:04

💡 Discussion on the Recruitment of Foreign Fighters and Strategic Shifts

The fourth paragraph shifts focus to the recruitment of foreign fighters by Russia, particularly from Central African countries, as a response to significant battlefield losses. It outlines the financial incentives offered to attract recruits and the potential impact on Russia's domestic situation. The paragraph also discusses the strategic implications of these recruitment efforts, including the possibility of avoiding further mobilizations within Russia and the potential for a global recruitment campaign to sustain offensive activities.

20:04

🗺️ Geopolitical Analysis of Military Movements and Frontline Changes

This paragraph provides an in-depth analysis of military movements and changes along the frontline, with a focus on the strategic significance of various regions. It discusses the potential reasons behind the movements, such as drawing troops away from key areas to weaken defenses. The paragraph also examines specific incidents, such as the Sumy strike, and evaluates their impact on the overall military situation. It includes insights from on-the-ground sources and considers the implications of these movements for the broader conflict.

25:04

🛡️ Assessment of Military Tactics and Preparedness in the Ongoing Conflict

The sixth paragraph offers a critical assessment of military tactics and preparedness, highlighting instances of incompetence and the resulting losses. It discusses the lack of coordination between units, the failure of defenses, and the consequences of poor planning. The paragraph also addresses the public release of information regarding these issues, emphasizing the need for accountability and the importance of learning from these events to prevent future losses.

Keywords

💡Vagner PMC

Vagner PMC refers to the private military company known as the Wagner Group, often associated with Russia. In the video, it is mentioned in the context of significant losses sustained by the group during the conflict in Ukraine, with documents revealing payments to the relatives of deceased fighters, indicating the scale of their involvement and casualties.

💡Buck Moot

Buck Moot, also known as Bakhmut, is a city in Ukraine that has been a focal point of conflict. The video discusses the intense fighting there, referred to as the 'Buck Moot meat grinder,' highlighting the high casualty rates and the strategic importance of the area in the ongoing conflict.

💡Casualty figures

Casualty figures represent the number of military personnel killed, wounded, or missing in action. The video script discusses various sources reporting on the number of Russian casualties, including estimates from Media Zone and BBC, and emphasizes the difficulty in verifying the exact numbers due to the sensitive nature of the information.

💡Dog tags

Dog tags are identification tags worn by military personnel, typically containing personal information. In the context of the video, the script mentions a numbering system for dog tags that allowed for the estimation of the number of prisoners who went to war and the subsequent casualties, underscoring the use of such identifiers in tracking and accounting for military losses.

💡Mercenaries

Mercenaries are individuals who fight for a foreign country or group for monetary gain rather than political or ideological reasons. The video discusses the composition of Vagner PMC, differentiating between prisoners recruited into service and professional mercenaries, and the impact this has on the dynamics of the conflict.

💡Combat payments

Combat payments refer to the monetary compensation made to the families of deceased fighters or to the fighters themselves for participating in combat operations. The script mentions payments of over 108 billion rubles by Vagner PMC to the relatives of fallen fighters, illustrating the financial incentives involved in such private military engagements.

💡Recruitment of Africans

The video script reports on efforts by Russia to recruit fighters from African countries like Rwanda, Burundi, Congo, and Uganda to bolster their forces in Ukraine. This recruitment drive is said to offer significant financial incentives and the promise of a Russian passport, indicating a strategy to replace battlefield losses.

💡Air defense systems

Air defense systems are military equipment designed to detect, track, and destroy enemy aircraft and missiles. The script discusses issues with Russian air defense, particularly in protecting air bases, and mentions successful strikes on such systems by Ukrainian forces, highlighting the importance of air defense in modern warfare.

💡Front line

The front line refers to the boundary or line along which opposing military forces are engaged in direct combat. The video script provides updates on various front lines in Ukraine, including changes and movements, emphasizing the dynamic nature of the conflict and the strategic importance of different areas.

💡Deep State

In the context of the video, 'Deep State' likely refers to a source or entity that provides detailed analysis or reports on the conflict, often with a focus on uncovering underlying issues or narratives not immediately apparent in mainstream reporting. The script cites 'Deep State' in discussing the breakdown of Ukrainian defensive lines and the associated problems.

💡S-57

The S-57, presumably a reference to the Su-57, is a fifth-generation Russian fighter jet. The script mentions damage to an S-57, suggesting an incident at an airfield and discussing the potential implications and the response to such an event, which underscores the significance of advanced military hardware in the conflict.

Highlights

Discussion of sensitive topics including losses, claims, and confirmations related to the S57 incident in Russia.

Analysis of clearer images from the S57 incident and confirmation of a second one being damaged.

Examination of media Zone BBC's methods for estimating Russian war casualties, with a current estimate of 54,000 killed.

Contrasting Ukraine's claim of 520,000 Russian casualties with media Zone BBC's figures.

Revelation of Vagner PMC's documents detailing payments to relatives of deceased fighters, indicating over 20,000 records of those killed.

The significant financial expenditure by Vagner PMC, amounting to over 108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on payments to the deceased's families.

Insights into the recruitment of prisoners by Vagner PMC, with 87% of the fighters being prisoners rather than professional PMC members.

Daily losses of over 200 men for Vagner PMC during the Battle of Bakhmut, highlighting the intensity of the conflict.

Comparison of the losses between Vagner PMC and the Armed Forces of Ukraine, suggesting a close number but with potential discrepancies.

Reports of Russia's attempts to recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine, with financial incentives and promises of a Russian passport.

Discussion on the use of older Soviet-era vehicles by Russia, possibly as remote-controlled tanks or VBIEDs.

Analysis of the front line stagnation and the potential for new tactics involving unmanned vehicles.

Claims of the Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully striking Russian S400 and S300 air defense systems in Crimea.

Reports of issues within the Ukrainian military, including unit rotations, lack of coordination, and fleeing soldiers.

Evidence of the Ukrainian military's internal critique of its own defensive failures and the need for accountability.

Updates on the condition of an S57 reportedly damaged, with speculation on the extent of the damage.

Consideration of the implications of slow-moving drones penetrating Russian air defenses and the potential for improvement.

Transcripts

G Legends I hope that you're having a

fantastic day and so far a fantastic

week now today as always we have a lot

to go over and some very sensitive

things to go over as well as we're going

to be talking about losses some claims

some confirmations and all of this as

well we will look at more and clearer

images that have come out of that s57

that has been damaged or destroyed in

Russia and then confirmation of a second

one being damaged as well off Russian

sources we'll talk at length about that

we need to look at some footage of some

strikes and also some like unmanned

vehicles and of course we'll look at the

maps and I've been sent some information

off someone on the ground talking about

movements and how they see things and

what is happening all up and down the

front line as we do have some changes

and some areas not changing of which we

thought would be but where I want to

start is the article that's come out

today and little bits and pieces getting

quoted but like we go over here we go

over everything because it is very

complex Nuance need to be added but

we're going to go over the article

talking about Vagner PMC losses in

Ukraine and there are some interesting

bits in this and also losses that are

being as well reported from Ukraine too

and we'll compare all this we'll talk at

length about it now if you want to come

and join the discussion over this and

more uh come and join the telegram

anyway let's start then right here now

we talk about media Zone BBC a lot as

well what they do they go through these

orbitar social media posts all these

different uh ways to try and crack down

how many Russians have actually been

killed in the war now I'll show you this

later as well but this is their most

recent one is about

54,000 have actually been killed now

they do say and it's worth saying that

not there's a lot of Mia and as well not

every thing is going to be publicly

available too so this number they do say

could be dramatically lower than what it

uh than what they say but we need to

remind you that as well Ukraine on the

on the 10th so uh yesterday is claiming

that this number is

520,000 some 10 times more greater than

this but let's look over what has

happened today mediaone BBC Russian

service have obtained access to part of

Vagner pmc's documents that describe

payments of relatives of deceased

Fighters they contain over 20,000

records of those killed between Jane 22

and August 2023 now you'll know Vagner

mostly from the Battle of buck moot

during this period the PMC spent over

108 billion rubles or 1.2 billion USD on

such payments excluding most salaries

and injury compensation this is a hell

of a lot of money we're confident these

documents are genuine we cross reference

them with our list of the deceased most

Fighters died in the buck mut meat

grinder remember both Russia and Ukraine

were claiming that they were killing so

many of the enemy that this is why they

are holding in Buck Moot and way said of

the time I don't think either side is

lying I think both sides are telling the

truth but the losses are massive over

195,000 men 17,000 of them were

prisoners pardoned by Vladimir Putin now

we spoke to a couple of guys working

around that area and they were telling

us at the time in an interview that went

viral and people hated it whatever that

a lot of the guys are killing are not

your um pre Vagner PMC Fighters yes

they've got the badges on but these guys

have been recruited from prison whatever

sent in and then the more professionals

are coming through and this shows us

that 87% almost 90% were prisoners here

not the original Vagner PMC and what

they were being used for the original

better guys with ex backgrounds in the

military what we used for like

operations either behind the line or

deep in once they' figured out where the

machine guns and stuff were firing with

then the prisoners so that goes right

into what we reported at the time

on the bloodiest days PMC lost over 200

men per day with a maximum of 213

significantly less than being than what

was being reported at the time thanks to

the numbering system for dog tags we

were able to establish how many

prisoners in total went to war for

prosan at least 48,000 4,380 were

identified uh their prisons so 37% of

these who went were killed according to

my numbers that I'm looking at in this

but we will add a few more things as we

then go

and the late Yi progan he said some

20,000 troops from Russia's Wagner

mercenary were killed in the months long

battle for control now what it's looking

like and we know progan ended up being

killed that this number that he says

being confirmed by this today now a year

on is looking pretty bloody close now

let's continue on here the document came

into possession recorded the

dispersement of money to relative of

deceased V Fighters This data both

prisoners and regular mercenaries so

this is what we're talking about that

the prisoners took far far larger uh

numbers of losses than the regular

mercenaries here with of course a lot

more experience and how that was being

used in the fight Fe deceased we know

the dog tag number full name call sign

date of death uh and two amounts now the

first usually smaller likely pertain to

salary errors at the time of death while

the second was made 5 million rubbles or

$55,000 payment stipulated in the

contract with Vagner PMC for death in

combat this is a hell of a lot of money

in anywhere to be honest but especially

in Russia this is a lot a lot of money

and this is why you know people may

really be you know inclined to go and

join something like this at the time

that's a lot a lot of money

significantly less than May than maybe

it was being then reported now we'll go

over a few things at the end of the date

of Battle of buck mood was also disputed

prosan claimed that Vagner took control

of May 20 Ukraine acknowledge is

captured 10 days later that was when the

whole bmot hold thing was going on we

decided to take the day Vagner lost one

person in June the 6th so basically in

the middle thus the battle back lasted

327 days during this time Vagner lost

19547 Personnel killed 177,000 of whom

were prisoners and 2,000 were free

mercenaries so about this then 60 uh

sorry about 60 per day were then getting

killed so

let's roll back then to a day of which

just any random day and have a look here

now what we do need to say is people are

getting killed all up and down the front

line yes the hardest fighting was in

Buck mot but the fighting was everywhere

so then let's skip to then the 7th of

March now this is from the Ukrainian mod

liquidated Personnel saying

1,60 now we come to the 7th of March

here by their numbers remember this is

just Vagner this is just in Buck mot at

the time but the there was

204 men killed now remember this area is

going to have the most losses but yes

there's going to be others up and down

the front line that this number here

looks like we would say it looks

exaggerated or it looks to include

wounded as well in the front line which

is what we probably think this most

likely is but you can go and have a look

over this full article if you would like

but average of 60 but increases and

decreases here and you can see these

graphs and you can draw along this at to

see

where it was and this is the key dates

of losses and the men that you can see

but you can see significantly less than

maybe was being reported at the time

through this and I'll let you guys go

through that if you would then wish but

we need to look at we've looked at some

losses we need to look over some other

losses as I there's an article in here I

haven't actually found that an interview

with dolgov progan explained the point

of the Buckman M grinder was to kill as

many Ukrainian soldiers as possible this

was the same uh point given by the

Ukrainian command as well to kill as

many Russians as possible the ratio is

um is as this is from prosan we

destroyed 50,000 AFU FS approximately

it's difficult to calculate this

precisely 50 to 70,000 have injuries

from the AFU I have three times fewer

killed which lines up typically to

wounded to killed is about three times

maybe 3.2 approximately half of many

wounded so this is a then a Russian

claim here but we want to look at this

the anonymous UA losses project talles

Ukraine losses based on open source data

we've already used their data to compare

the losses of the

Armed Force of Ukraine and the Russian

armed forces the time we the we verified

the database and deemed it genuine so

they're saying this the UA loss project

works on the same Principle as media own

BBC's tally of losses searching for

publicly available obituaries it is not

correct to compare the full database of

losses and obituaries but there are no

other sources of information AFU losses

in the public domain there are none

other there maybe some comments here and

there but other than that no so let's

actually let's then look at this so

this is Media Zone BBC that have put

this together of this four uh 54,000

Russians killed in Ukraine but then

let's have a look at this one of then UA

losses that they have deemed genuine now

I can't speak for how genuine this is

but media Zone BBC is deeming this

genuine that they're saying deaths

recorded here at

51,2 45 and as you can see these numbers

are within a few thousand of each other

now again these numbers could be

significantly different to what he's

looking on here some are claiming

upwards of 10 times different I've seen

claims by other Russian sources claiming

this number should have another bloody

zero in it but again the the claims here

but these are confirmed may be

significantly different but how much

different are like let's say they both

have the same amount of um of like

difference well this paint a problem

with Russia with a much larger

population and what we're been taught

about these Grinders so this is very

interesting but again I can't speak to

how genuine these numbers are will we

ever get real proper numbers God I

really don't know but I thought that was

very very interesting to then look at

here now the UA losses killing bakut

4,800 bakut whose death is unknown 630

the total killed on all fronts in this

period for UA losses was 6 so you can

see significantly less in these areas

which is typical of a defending Force

but it is very very interesting to look

at those numbers it is unlikely that

uoss sees only 10% of aites which means

there are no 50,000 Ukrainian soldiers

killed near Buck mut so again what

they're saying is is putting back to

what prosan said here that there's

unlikely UK only sees 10% so that it's

saying that pran's claim here unlike his

claim of his own was overestimated which

um blah blah it should also be taken

into account that not only Vagner

participated in the battle bmud but

armor units and they also suffered

losses that's something very interesting

in this two this is focusing on Vagner

we know vdv we know other units were

there probably didn't get hit as hard as

Wagner but still very interesting to

then look at this now let's look at that

last one here the 108 billion this is

rubles in death money according to

contracts uh Fighters relatives would

received 5 billion rubles

$55,000 plus 3 300,000 R sorry 3,300 for

a funeral or that could be not taken and

taken for a funeral by Vagner itself uh

prus lists information of last salary

payments for some Fighters that could

amount up to $166,000 we know that some

of these more professional fighters here

like your career Vagner guys were paid

very well we know this for a fact this

could like these salaries were high even

on Western standards that's why a lot of

people went across to poach out of other

units as well but this is very

interesting a lot higher than a lot

expected and we know Money Talks

regardless in the world UK mod then put

out this today 28th of May Ukraine

defense intelligence the GU reported

that Russia has intensified attempts to

recruit Africans to fight in Ukraine

particular these recruitments focus on

Central African countries of Randa

Burundi Congo and Uganda Russian

reportedly offering a sign up bonus of

$2,000 monthly pay of 2200 and the

promise of a Russian passport remember

these is large numbers when we take into

account you know other areas the globe

this recruitment campaign is likely to

replace Russian Battlefield losses which

are significant and to sustain offensive

activity in multiple axes across the

front with Russia's finite pool of

convict recruitment likely culminated

Russia is likely expanding its

recruitment across the global South to

avoid additional mobilizations within

Russia itself as well as being

domestically unpopular for Russian

President Putin and Russian government

the previous mobilization for war

resulted in record labor shortage and

exodus of skilled workers doctors it

professionals but you got to remember

these pools this money this say Vagner

PMC of $50,000 if you're killed this

will entice a hell a hell of a lot of

people and I thought these were very

interesting especially when we compare

these losses here now that this is not

painting a great picture but again we we

don't know but they in their own thing

said that it is unlikely that UA losses

only sees 10% so it may be you know

closer to that figure so again with

losses it's going to take a lot of time

but again this is you know information

that can't be ignored coming out now

let's have a look what do you guys want

to see you want to do maps or aircraft

or let's look at strikes this will be a

lot lot quicker so uh there are claims

of general staff reported at night

Ukrainian Armed Forces successfully

Struck One Russian S400 uh near here as

well as two s3000s in here this is down

in Crimea there are fires graphs showing

this fires but no visual confirmation

yet that those were hit but we do know

Russian air defense is having some

problems especially protecting things

like air bases with your high-end level

stuff there now this video this could be

fake this be very easy to fake but also

could be real it could be [ __ ] easy

to do as well that we do see then this

here looks like a remote control then

t72 tank and I actually reckon we'll see

more and more of this as we know one

thing Russia's got lots of are older

vehicles Soviet era stuff could these be

used to get into positions or to take

men out of things maybe not to drive

around and Fire stuff but used as even

something like a VB IED I don't know

it's very interesting to say I think

we'll see more and more of that as we

know the front line for a long time now

has been very very stagnant now we will

go over the map some information I've

been sent so here we have Ukraine the

capital of keev of course the red areas

occupied since 22 the purple since 2014

the green areas Russia has been at one

point and has either been pushed out of

all withdraw some are you need to know

is H belgrad Sumi KK and some claims and

some pushes and stuff around here but

let's look at what I was then sent uh

I'd still go with my original

perceptions uh that hariv is a sideline

to pull troops from elsewhere to weaken

the defense of shiv y so to pull Russian

sold s pull Ukrainian soldiers from

chasa up into here and what we have seen

is this front line has basically stopped

if not Russia sorry Ukraine is making

some ground in here but in the same time

the first areas of chasar did start

falling so that is off someone I know

their trusted guy after this I'm sure

will interview with me and you guys will

like this but then I asked for like well

can you share with me as far as open so

this is over just got in absolutely

bollocked a local area is getting a lot

of coverage but the reality is it's

nothing in terms of what anyone would

call an offensive the sum Chen strike

was not much more than a one-way fire

mission so this is talking about up in

the north as home Village is empty of

people and still held by Ukraine as of

now this is about 15 hours old sh and

after it it is their focus Russia by

there strategically the strik scen of

late airfields air defense systems and

the movements of ad is more telling uh

to what is being shaped so what is being

shaped in the battlefield for Ukraine as

far as hitting airfields hitting air

defense systems as well we know shaping

of Battlefield then both ways in this

but it's interesting to talk about up in

the north was not much more than a

oneway fire mission and getting a lot of

coverage is nothing what terms of of an

offensive that talking about in har

world to try and draw troops now again

someone trusted who's there working have

met there um so let's look at the North

and then look at some other maps and

some GE locations as well so sui oblast

in here and it's we come down into this

rivka and this is where then we know

there was some level of Crossing I know

zinsky said it's under control there's

no one's here but again we know there

was something if not fires but then we

have some gated stuff as well so gated

to just here this accent I think library

or something the building here let's see

no it may not tell me but anyway

official building here we then actually

have a jaoc photograph so if we have

there we're talking to thear down in

here we have a photograph of this now we

were speaking of this certain group prev

this and we see this now one thing I

will say looking at gear you can see

things like active air defense with uh

the mounts onto helmets these these

lights these lights are not cheap I

forgot what brand they are we I I didn't

buy one of these cuz it was too bloody

expensive when I was in the military

better plate carriers can- on weapons at

weapon that these are probably better

trained or better kitted out troops than

your average guy you need to look at

things like these better boots things

little bits and I think they're lowers

little bits and pieces like that it

tells a lot about who crossed what they

may be doing there as well so yeah we

need to take more into account of just

then this now we'll talk about some

other areas before we go into some so no

changes around involved chance we know a

lot of claims of what Ukraine is doing

here holding in place to wear down the

Russians or pushing them back or

whatever but well we just don't know

according to my friend it it's not a

main area of effort he's still to draw

away and you know that's more where I

believe and then we see shivar that we

did see this advancement into the center

of shashar over the last couple of days

and now we see out from ivanovski we

then see then this change here then

today as well now we'll push down now

I'm actually going to just skip this

area we'll come back to it no changes

down through M Ina CR RKA these areas

but urani we then see a Russian change

here pushing back into ground of which

they lost during Ukraine's 23 counter

offensive and we get this video pop up

here of a Russian fla flag being other I

said flag a Russian flag being flown in

Star mski now this is then gated to

then here so Northern outskirts between

these two roads which is basically where

then if you look at here where the grz a

so right about here probably should have

been pushed up a little bit more on the

red there but we know some change here

that Russia did have then a level of

advancement here as well then we have

the Noel reports map in here then

showing this now he's showing very

similar maybe some more well definitely

some more around urani here as well if

we look at where this Waterway is

running so it is interesting to see the

changes in maps moving through here but

still similar we know there was

definitely a Russian advancement then on

this front now we're going to do a bit

of reading on deep state has been

calling some stuff out so we come into

then aiva now we can see omansky there's

a Russian Northern push here now this is

putting a lot of pressure in whatever

defenses are going to be in here we may

see this area of open ground then

further close up in here depending on

those Ive as well as out from Sol a

western push from Russia here as well

you as you can see this puts a lot of

pressure you don't need to be a military

minded person to see the pressure this

would put on here expanding said area

now we need to talk about this sort of

OT atne front up in here and deep state

has done a right up on this and I

thought this was very interesting and

we'll go over it now this is actually

showing you a little bit further back so

this is osar and this is osar just here

so it's showing these orig

defensive lines through here areas like

stov Bachi areas like this so stov Bachi

stov bchi here now I'm going to leave

this one up I'm going to disappear and

then let's read through what then deep

States so Ukrainian source with you know

into the mod as was said um collect

information about difficult events in

April this year screenshot shows the

allocation of the 115th defensive line

so purple let's start with the

background the Brigade replaced the 2 OB

uh om R sorry and the 71 o EBR the

rotation took place on March this and

already on the 29th brigades left the

site during January March the positions

were actively strengthened and were

handed over in Fairly good condition

this confirmed by the fighters of

various battalions of the 115th uh there

were joint shifts in two days there was

absolutely no fault of the predecessors

so there was a shift there new guys

moved in on the right was the 47th uh

and on their left was the

btg of the 20 third including the dowes

which had been the least involved in

recent month that precisely why they did

not go with the main force of the 23rd

the false thesis was thrown into the

mass media and that the 47th allegedly

passed the lane to the 115th and during

the transfer the enemy broke through the

defense this is not true it seems that

some officer through his connections

decided to shift the blame to mura the

fighters the 115th themselves claim that

the 47th in the form of Bradley and the

23rd in the form of artillery mortars

constantly helped when the enemy stormed

them but how this happened is unknown

since there was no interaction in other

cases even within the Brigade as uh as

an example one battalion um constantly

fired at two bat um because it thought

the enemy was there now let's move on to

the chronology so there's obviously some

massive connection issues in here of

exactly what happened as we saw this

fell these defensive lines and units

here very quickly now the first problem

started with the first and third

battalions approximately April on the

left at the Direction H Junction sorry

and the 23rd on a farm here sat here

commanded by the former deputy people of

viru this unit fled endangering the

flank of the Third Battalion so it was a

unit then flee out of here um actions

were taken to restore positions by the

soldiers of the 115th but the support of

the tank that fired one time there was

no reconnaissance and planning of

assault actions on the map the result

was the seventh company which carried

out these actions lost many soldiers

wounded and lost combat capability so

this was a mess of Defense in here it

wasn't properly repaired and the

rotation of guys didn't obviously work

in here as well and that combin arms to

combine with artillery and tanks and

whatever that restore here tank that

fired one time on the morning of April

1st Russians attacked the positions

between the railways Bama andich with

the forces of infant one infantry two

tanks and these uh the the enemy broke

through the junction between the first

and second battal the main part of the

OS boys killed or captured in the

evening the boxes with the landing party

went to the Garden company T and broke

through the flank of the second

Battalion which stood above stov and did

not leave its position so then we need

to look at this the second Battalion

above stapo didn't then leave so above

stapo in here so stapo above in here now

hope hope you keep it along but the

fible companies which were sitting in

the St so realwood um simply ran away or

went into failure as they consisted of

re units and limited use 15 units of the

enemy sat in the landmark all day

neither artillery or kamakazi could do

anything to them the forces of means and

support of the Third Battalion also fled

although the fighters of the Battalion

itself continue to whole part of here

until replaced so we know inexperienced

soldiers have been fleeing in here and

we're hearing some more of this coming

out as well platoon Commander second

Battalion with five soldiers went to dig

in single-handedly to stop their

advancement their fate is still unknown

on April 10th Vanguard of podar was at

here D the anir occurred the entire rear

of the second Battalion in one of the

conversations about the situation left

of the Battalion phrase who knows where

the first Battalion happened the enemy

was already at the substation of os and

occupied part of the private sector

Russians were already in the high-rise

buildings near the factory and shot cars

and tried to drive through the crossing

the defense of O actually did not take

place the trenches around the village

are not H sorry the trenches around the

village are only a parody and they were

not suitable for defense the 115th did

not plan to defend it of course Scouts

in the otu and attacking aircraft of an

unknown unit visited the village but the

village was mostly empty the absence of

significant destruction as of April 22nd

is confirmation the bulk of the artill

strikes have already been carried out by

the Defense Forces to stop enemy Advance

interesting are the numbers of losses

and one of the battalions where the dead

X and the missing are 24 times the bulk

of the latter actually died so you can

see the problems that are arising then

in this conclusion fighters of thebr and

the first line accept the battle and tri

to save the situation while significant

part was captured or Die the brigades

reserves were not ready and there was no

interactual preparation of battles was

also at low level failure the front

unjustified losses theault previous

submissions is absent and the neighbors

are minimal the entire Village ofy was

lost with minimal fighting and its

defenses were not ready and there was no

one to defend it the fighters of the

first line are probably stood the last

stood to the last of course the Brigade

could not worthily confront a stronger

and more numerous enemy to task this

public is to shed a light on those

events showing who is uh and in this

situation the administrative resources

in form of a brigade page will by no

means save because there must be

responsibility for the lives so that it

never happens again people will say this

is this is Ukraine releasing this

themselves it is especially worth

considering that this is not the first

skeleton in the closet soes viani Sina

were also there incompetent and criminal

decisions will not be covered by dead

soldiers as the Brigade media tried to

do pouncing on our the Brigade Commander

was removed from his post in April and

now there is a change in person talking

about how this front fell back

incredibly quickly a lot of guys off

their lives due to incompetence and

things not being built up and by many

many people just ignoring this the most

Pro Ukrainian people just ignore this

happening and people getting killed

because of it if you call it out

apparently work for Putin it's [ __ ]

ridiculous and I think the propagandists

on these platforms need to bloody say

something yeah they need to be [ __ ]

called out too so we have a better

update of this image of this s57 being

reportedly damaged here now how much

damage again we have no idea you can see

then the painted one here but

interestingly of the s57 sitting out in

the open this is the only one with

anything sort of over it now is this a

drone cage is this the start of

something for um to put something over

this as far as a um cover we don't know

but probably a drone cage this would

have been the one that I would have gone

for and it has you know you can see that

these have slightly missed there doesn't

seem to be too much um [ __ ] sitting

around so we don't know how much damage

but it could be major due to just

shrapnel but again we don't really know

but how the [ __ ] these got in well

Russia has obviously a huge problem with

spag like anti-air guns to take out slow

moving drones that there's no excuse for

a slow moving drone to get into an

Airfield with your most modern planes at

it but we do know there's a lot more

success with high-end fast things rather

than slow this should be something that

could be fixed I think I don't know

anyway new photos here this is from F

bomber in order to get up uh in order

not to get up twice I will say that two

s7s were damaged the second received

minor damage uh which will repaired on

the spot I've already written about the

first one they will not think whether

they expedient to restore it or not as

aircraft is really a prototype and it's

a little use for combat operations these

aircraft these are still not in like

full production capacity as well because

a lot of countries pulled out of these

too we know that there still somewhat of

a prototype we don't know how involved

they actually are of the three uavs that

attacked the aerodome all three flew for

what reasons the air defense did not

work I will not right the major deal

with the reasons of how it happened

anyway the arcs above the aircraft are

an unfinished hanger which I don't know

when they started building it and then

abandon it uh just like many other

airfields perhaps the same thr shelters

that accelerated Pace began to build in

2021 not done so wait for the next

arrival stck up and shell casings and

fake specialists in advance so obviously

calling out that there are major major

being had there and we can see there's

major problems all up and down front

line and I'm glad deep State actually

call out what actually happened here and

the major major problems and can this be

fixed on other than areas actually we

missed a small tiny movement in klish

kka just as I was zooming out there

Legends I hope that you're having a

fantastic day I hope you're looking

after yourself I'll speak to you very

very soon if you'd like to support me

links down below but I'll see you

tomorrow thank you bye-bye