"HUGE NEWS! The Next Leg of Silver's Explosive Breakout Will Shatter All Records" - Peter Schiff

Finance Log
26 May 202413:20

Summary

TLDREconomic commentator Peter Schiff discusses the recent surge in gold and silver prices, emphasizing the potential of silver as an investment. Despite a downturn, Schiff maintains optimism, particularly for silver, which has shown resilience above $30. He attributes the differing trajectories of gold and silver prices to central banks' buying behavior, highlighting that while central banks hold significant amounts of gold, they do not buy silver, making its market more volatile. Schiff advises investors to capitalize on the current pullback as an opportunity to buy both metals, especially silver, as he believes the real bull market for these precious metals is just beginning.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“‰ Silver has been lagging behind gold but is now showing signs of catching up, with the speaker recommending his audience to buy silver before it jumps ahead.
  • πŸ“ˆ Gold has recently seen a significant drop from its high of $2450 to $2377, with support levels moving from $2200 to possibly $2300, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
  • πŸ’° Silver surged to almost $32.50, its highest since 2013, before retreating, showing resilience above $30 and strong buyer interest, suggesting potential for further gains.
  • 🏦 Central banks have been major purchasers of gold, holding over 35,700 metric tons, which has played a crucial role in stabilizing gold prices, unlike silver which is driven more by public and investor demand.
  • πŸ” The difference in buying behavior between gold and silver is significant, with central banks not buying silver, leading to more volatile price movements compared to gold.
  • πŸ“Š Silver's relative strength index (RSI) indicates strong buyer interest, suggesting potential for further gains, a point highlighted by economic commentator Peter Schiff.
  • πŸ’‘ Peter Schiff has long advocated for silver, describing it as a 'coiled spring ready to explode,' and sees the recent breakout in silver prices as a strong buying opportunity.
  • πŸ“‰ There has been a two-day correction in the price of silver and gold following a breakout and move to new highs, which the speaker sees as an opportunity to buy both metals, particularly silver.
  • πŸ’Ό Inflation in the US in 2022 has remained above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with economists linking the price spike to global factors such as supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
  • πŸ’Ό Peter Schiff offers a distinct perspective on inflation, asserting that it stems from the government's money supply expansion rather than genuine economic growth.
  • πŸ’° Schiff recommends investing in precious metals like gold and silver to safeguard against inflation and currency devaluation, advising investors to capitalize on buying opportunities.

Q & A

  • Why has silver been lagging behind gold in terms of price increase?

    -Silver has been lagging behind gold because central banks, which are major purchasers of gold, have not been buying silver. The silver market is driven more by public and investor demand, leading to more volatile price movements compared to gold.

  • What was the highest price of gold mentioned in the script, and what was the support level for gold?

    -The highest price of gold mentioned was $2,450. The support level for gold was initially $2,200 but is now estimated to be around $2,300, possibly a little higher.

  • What was the highest price of silver reached in the script, and how does it compare to historical prices?

    -The highest price of silver reached was $32.50, which is the highest it has been since 2013. Prior to the surge, silver had not traded above $30 since 2013.

  • What is the significance of the relative strength index (RSI) for silver mentioned in the script?

    -The RSI for silver indicates strong buyer interest, suggesting potential for further gains in silver's price.

  • Why does Peter Schiff recommend investing in precious metals like gold and silver?

    -Peter Schiff recommends investing in precious metals to safeguard against inflation and currency devaluation. He believes that the rally in gold and silver prices is the beginning of a larger trend.

  • What is the role of central banks in stabilizing gold prices according to the script?

    -Central banks have been major purchasers of gold, holding over 35,700 metric tons, which is about 1/5 of all the gold ever mined. This accumulation has played a crucial role in stabilizing gold prices by offsetting retail selling pressures, such as outflows from gold ETFs.

  • How does Peter Schiff interpret the recent breakout in silver prices?

    -Peter Schiff interprets the recent breakout in silver prices as a strong buying opportunity, indicating that silver is poised for significant gains.

  • What does Peter Schiff suggest is the underlying cause of inflation?

    -Peter Schiff suggests that the underlying cause of inflation is the government's expansion of the money supply, not genuine economic growth or productivity improvements.

  • What advice does Peter Schiff give regarding buying gold and silver?

    -Peter Schiff advises investors to capitalize on buying opportunities for gold and silver, suggesting that any pullback in price is an opportunity to buy, as he believes the big movement into these precious metals is underway.

  • What is the current market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's rate cut according to the script?

    -The current market sentiment has traders now expecting the first Fed rate cut in September instead of June, reflecting the Fed's cautious approach.

  • How does the script suggest traders should approach the silver market?

    -The script suggests that traders should closely monitor upcoming economic indicators and Fed statements for additional insights into the timing of any policy changes and consider silver as a safe asset due to its market dynamics.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“ˆ Silver and Gold Market Analysis

This paragraph discusses the recent market trends of silver and gold, highlighting silver's potential to lead over gold after lagging behind. The speaker emphasizes the opportunity to buy silver, especially after it surged to its highest since 2013, reaching almost $32.50. Gold's price is noted to be around $70 off its peak, with support levels moving higher. The speaker also touches on the differing buying behaviors of central banks, which heavily influence gold prices through their purchases, while silver is more driven by public and investor demand. This difference contributes to silver's more volatile price movements. Economic commentator Peter Schiff is mentioned for his long-standing advocacy for silver and his interpretation of its recent price breakout as a strong buying opportunity.

05:02

πŸ’‘ Investment Opportunities Amidst Market Corrections

The speaker focuses on the two-day correction in the prices of silver and gold following their recent breakout and new highs. Silver, which had reached as high as $32.50, experienced a substantial pullback to around $30.73. The speaker suggests that $30 might now serve as support for silver, similar to how $2,000 became support for gold after it was breached. The speaker reiterates the opportunity to buy both metals, particularly silver, following the correction. The paragraph also discusses the surge in US inflation in 2022, which coincided with the nation's post-pandemic recovery, and the various factors contributing to this inflation. Peter Schiff offers a perspective that inflation is caused by the government's money supply expansion rather than genuine economic growth, and recommends investing in precious metals to safeguard against inflation and currency devaluation.

10:03

🌐 Economic Growth, Inflation, and the Role of Productivity

This paragraph delves into the relationship between economic growth, inflation, and productivity. The speaker challenges the notion that economic growth inherently leads to rising prices, arguing instead that inflation stems from the government's expansion of the money supply. Productivity improvements can help mitigate price increases but do not address the root cause of inflation. The speaker asserts that the government uses productivity gains to mask the inflation they create, thereby robbing the public of potential price reductions. The recent rally in gold and silver prices is viewed as the beginning of a larger trend, with the speaker advising investors to capitalize on buying opportunities during pullbacks. The paragraph concludes with a reminder of the ongoing geopolitical and financial uncertainties that support the long-term outlook for silver, and the expectation of the first Fed rate cut in September.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Silver

Silver is a precious metal known for its value and industrial applications. In the video's context, silver is presented as an investment opportunity that has been lagging behind gold but is expected to surge in value. The script mentions that silver had a significant price increase, reaching its highest point since 2013, and is recommended as a purchase before it potentially jumps ahead of gold.

πŸ’‘Gold

Gold is another precious metal, often considered a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. The video discusses gold's price movements, noting that it reached a record high and is being compared with silver as an investment. Gold's price stability, partly due to central bank purchases, is contrasted with the more volatile silver market.

πŸ’‘Precious Metals

Precious metals refer to rare, naturally occurring metallic elements that have a high economic value. In the video, precious metals, specifically gold and silver, are the focus of investment advice. The script suggests that these metals are opportunities for investors, especially during economic downturns or periods of inflation.

πŸ’‘Price Support

Price support in financial terms refers to a price level where an asset tends to find buying interest and thus stabilizes or starts to rise. The video mentions that the support for gold is moving higher, suggesting that it is becoming a more attractive buy at certain price levels. For silver, the support level is suggested to be around $30, indicating a potential floor for its price.

πŸ’‘Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of an asset. In the script, RSI for silver indicates strong buyer interest, suggesting that there is potential for the price of silver to increase further.

πŸ’‘Central Banks

Central banks are the controlling entities of a country's monetary policy and are often responsible for issuing currency. The video script highlights that central banks have been major purchasers of gold, which has contributed to stabilizing its price. However, they do not buy silver, which is suggested as a reason for silver's more volatile market dynamics.

πŸ’‘Gold ETFs

Gold ETFs, or Exchange Traded Funds, are investment funds that are traded on stock exchanges and track the price of gold. The script mentions that gold ETFs have experienced outflows, indicating that investors have been selling their gold holdings despite rising prices, which is a factor affecting the gold market.

πŸ’‘Inflation

Inflation refers to the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, purchasing power is falling. The video discusses how inflation in the US reached multi-decade highs and how it is linked to various global factors. Peter Schiff, an economic commentator in the video, argues that inflation is caused by the government's expansion of the money supply rather than economic growth.

πŸ’‘Economic Growth

Economic growth is the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time. The video challenges the common belief that economic growth leads to inflation, instead suggesting that true economic growth should result in lower prices. The script uses this concept to critique the government's monetary policy and its impact on inflation.

πŸ’‘Money Supply

Money supply refers to the total amount of money available in an economy at a particular point in time. In the video, Peter Schiff asserts that inflation stems from the expansion of the money supply by the government. He recommends investing in precious metals like gold and silver as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.

πŸ’‘Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the Fed, is the central banking system of the United States. It plays a key role in setting monetary policy, including interest rates, which can influence inflation and economic growth. The video mentions the Fed's target inflation rate and discusses how traders are now expecting the first Fed rate cut, reflecting changes in monetary policy expectations.

Highlights

Silver could potentially lead gold as it has been lagging behind and is suggested as a good investment before it jumps ahead.

Gold is currently trading around $2377, with support levels moving higher from 2200 to approximately 2300.

Opportunity identified to buy both metals, with a particular emphasis on silver.

Gold dropped over 4% from its recent peak, while silver retreated from an 11-year high.

Silver's RSI indicates strong buyer interest, suggesting potential for further gains.

Central banks have been major purchasers of gold, holding over 35,700 metric tons.

Gold ETFs have experienced 11 consecutive months of outflows, indicating selling by US and European investors.

Central banks do not buy silver, making its market dynamics more driven by public and investor demand.

Peter Schiff has long advocated for silver, describing it as a coiled spring ready to explode in value.

Schiff interprets the recent breakout in silver prices as a strong buying opportunity.

US inflation in 2022 saw multi-decade highs, remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Economists link the price spike to global factors such as supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

Peter Schiff asserts that inflation stems from the government's money supply expansion.

Schiff recommends investing in precious metals like gold and silver to safeguard against inflation.

Market sentiment has shifted with traders now expecting the first Fed rate cut in September instead of June.

Central banks holding more gold than silver contributes to silver being perceived as a safe asset.

Transcripts

play00:00

silver could lead gold and so it's been

play00:03

lagging and so I wanted my audience to

play00:05

buy it before it it jumped ahead gold is

play00:08

now about $70 off the high of 2450 it's

play00:12

at

play00:13

2377 I think the support in gold is

play00:17

moving higher so it was 2200 now it's

play00:20

probably 2300 maybe even a little better

play00:24

so I don't I don't think you're going to

play00:26

get much bigger pullbacks than what

play00:28

we've just seen in the last couple days

play00:30

but I wanted to reiterate that this is

play00:33

an opportunity to buy both Metals but in

play00:37

particular silver this week precious

play00:40

metals faced a downturn with gold

play00:42

dropping over 4% from its recent Peak

play00:45

and silver retreating from an 11-year

play00:47

High silver surged Rising almost $2

play00:50

daily to $31 its highest since 2013 and

play00:54

spiking to

play00:56

$32.50 by Sunday night gold also saw

play00:59

gains hitting a record high above

play01:02

$2,454 on Sunday and Monday settling at

play01:06

2,438 .50 per ounce by Monday's close

play01:11

silver settled at $ 32.4 to6 per ounce

play01:16

its highest since January

play01:18

2013 despite the dip analysts maintain

play01:21

optimism particularly for silver which

play01:24

has shown resilience above $30 Silver's

play01:27

relative strength index RSI indicates

play01:30

strong buyer interest suggesting

play01:32

potential for further gains economic

play01:35

commentator Peter Schiff highlights a

play01:37

significant factor contributing to the

play01:39

differing trajectories of gold and

play01:41

silver prices the buying behavior of

play01:44

central banks central banks have been

play01:47

major purchasers of gold collectively

play01:49

holding over

play01:52

35,7 metric tons constituting about 1/5

play01:56

of all the gold ever mined this

play01:59

substantial accumulation of gold by

play02:01

central banks has played a crucial role

play02:03

in stabilizing gold prices particularly

play02:06

by offsetting retail selling pressures

play02:09

notably gold exchange traded funds ETFs

play02:12

have experienced 11 consecutive months

play02:15

of outflows indicating that investors in

play02:17

the US and Europe have been selling off

play02:19

their gold Holdings even as the price of

play02:22

gold has risen the consistent purchasing

play02:24

by central banks has effectively

play02:26

counterbalanced this retail selling

play02:29

maintaining strong demand for gold and

play02:31

supporting its price in contrast central

play02:34

banks do not buy silver which means the

play02:36

silver market dynamics are driven more

play02:38

by public and investor demand this

play02:41

difference is crucial in understanding

play02:43

why Silver's price movements can be more

play02:45

volatile compared to Gold shiff has long

play02:48

advocated for silver forecasting it

play02:50

would eventually surge in value and

play02:52

describing it as a coiled spring ready

play02:54

to explode he interprets the recent

play02:57

breakout in silver prices as a strong

play02:59

buying opportunity indicating that

play03:01

silver is poised for significant gains

play03:04

we will present clips from Peter

play03:05

schiff's interview but before we do if

play03:08

you want more videos like this please

play03:10

hit the Subscribe button and turn on the

play03:12

notification Bell for more updates thank

play03:14

you and enjoy the video silver and gold

play03:17

had a big move up particularly silver

play03:19

silver really broke out it was up almost

play03:23

$2 I think on the day and it didn't just

play03:27

close above 30 which was a level that

play03:29

silver had not traded

play03:31

above uh since

play03:33

2013 but we got we closed above 31 on

play03:37

that day and in fact on Sunday night we

play03:42

spiked again and we got as high as

play03:46

$32.50 in the price of silver gold which

play03:50

did not set a record high on that Friday

play03:54

set a new record high on Sunday night

play03:58

and then another new record high on

play04:01

Monday I've been telling people that

play04:03

they should buy more silver than gold

play04:06

because gold kept going up and silver

play04:08

wasn't and I guess that the reason for

play04:12

that was that central banks were the

play04:15

primary buyers of gold and that they

play04:17

weren't buying silver and since the

play04:20

general public has been selling in fact

play04:24

we've had 11 consecutive monthly

play04:27

outflows out of gold ETF FS indicating

play04:31

that investors in the US also in Europe

play04:35

have been selling even though the price

play04:37

has been rising so somebody must be

play04:39

buying enough gold to offset all this

play04:42

retail investor selling and a lot of

play04:45

that is central banks and they don't buy

play04:47

silver they don't have room for silver

play04:49

they're buying gold and so I thought

play04:51

that silver was kind of getting left out

play04:54

but that eventually like a coiled spring

play04:56

it would explode and I kept saying buy

play04:59

silver buy silver it's got to go up

play05:01

there's no way Gold's going to keep

play05:03

rising and it's going to leave silver

play05:05

behind in fact I know that in a real

play05:08

bull market which I believe we're in

play05:11

silver could lead gold and so it's been

play05:14

lagging and so I wanted my audience to

play05:17

buy it before it it jumped ahead well

play05:19

now it had that breakout and so I did

play05:21

that special video on Thursday to alert

play05:26

people to this breakout to get them to

play05:28

go and buy some silver on that breakout

play05:32

well the reason I'm doing this video

play05:34

today is we've had a nice two-day

play05:38

correction in price following that

play05:41

breakout and move to New highs most of

play05:44

the decline was today although we had

play05:46

some of the decline yesterday so I

play05:48

mentioned that silver got all the way up

play05:52

to

play05:54

$32.50 which is still low it's not like

play05:56

that's a high price it's just the

play05:57

highest it's been since 203 13 but as

play06:00

I'm recording this uh podcast on

play06:03

Wednesday night silver is back down at

play06:08

$373 so that's a pretty substantial

play06:11

pullback about a dollar what 80 or so

play06:15

from the 3250 that it traded at mon for

play06:18

on

play06:19

Monday and if 30 is now the support

play06:22

which I think it is now that doesn't

play06:24

mean it can't silver can't go below 30

play06:27

but I think 30 is to Silver what 2,000

play06:30

was to Gold once we broke above 2,000

play06:33

2,000 became support and yes every once

play06:37

in a while we dipped below 2,000 but we

play06:39

never stayed below it for long and it

play06:41

quickly came back so I don't know if

play06:44

silver is going to go back below 30,000

play06:47

I mean 30 it might go below 30 but I

play06:50

don't think it'll stay below 30 for very

play06:52

long and at

play06:55

$306 that's close enough to 30 not to

play06:58

worry about it

play07:00

I would buy it on gold gold is now about

play07:04

$70 off the high of 2450 it's a

play07:08

2377 I think the support in gold is

play07:11

moving higher so it was 2200 now it's

play07:15

probably 2300 maybe even a little better

play07:19

so I don't I don't think you're going to

play07:21

get much bigger pullbacks than what

play07:23

we've just seen in the last couple days

play07:25

but I wanted to reiterate that this is

play07:28

an opportunity to buy both Metals but in

play07:32

particular silver the surge in US

play07:34

inflation in 2022 coinciding with the

play07:37

nation's postco recovery saw

play07:39

multi-decade highs inflation remained

play07:42

above the Federal Reserve 2% Target

play07:44

despite a subsequent decline economists

play07:47

link the price spike to Global factors

play07:49

like pandemic induced supply chain

play07:51

disruptions and geopolitical tensions

play07:54

such as rising oil prices though part of

play07:57

this trend US inflation has existed

play07:59

hibited resilience persisting at

play08:01

elevated levels some economists credit

play08:04

the robust US Labor Market suggesting

play08:06

strong labor demand has boosted wages

play08:08

and consumer spending others attribute

play08:11

persistent inflation to aggressive

play08:13

fiscal stimulus from both the Biden and

play08:15

Trump

play08:16

administrations Peter Schiff offers a

play08:19

distinct perspective on inflation

play08:21

asserting that genuine economic growth

play08:23

doesn't inherently lead to Rising prices

play08:26

instead he contends that inflation stems

play08:28

from the government's money supply

play08:30

expansion while productivity

play08:32

improvements may help mitigate price

play08:34

increases they fail to address the

play08:36

underlying cause of inflation in

play08:39

response to these insights shiff

play08:40

recommends investing in precious metals

play08:42

like gold and silver to safeguard

play08:44

against inflation and currency

play08:46

devaluation he interprets the recent

play08:49

rally in gold and silver prices as the

play08:51

beginning of a larger Trend advising

play08:53

investors to capitalize on buying

play08:55

opportunities we have inflation because

play08:57

we're doing so well right because we

play08:59

have such a good economy you know we got

play09:02

to put up with this pesky inflation you

play09:05

know not only doesn't economic growth

play09:09

cause inflation it actually helps hide

play09:13

the inflation caused by the government

play09:17

because when an economy is truly growing

play09:19

and producing more stuff prices go down

play09:23

now the government can take advantage of

play09:26

that by creating inflation that prevents

play09:29

prices from going down maybe they stay

play09:32

the same or they go up a little bit the

play09:35

public doesn't realize how they've been

play09:37

robbed because how do you know how much

play09:40

PL prices would have fallen if the

play09:43

government didn't create inflation you

play09:45

don't there's no way of knowing so the

play09:47

government is able to take away a

play09:49

benefit that you never realize that you

play09:50

were about to receive so you don't know

play09:53

what you lost because you never had it

play09:56

in the first place so the government

play09:57

takes advantage of that they know hey we

play10:00

have capitalism that is lowering prices

play10:02

let's Rob the public of these price cuts

play10:05

by creating inflation and they won't

play10:07

even know that there is any inflation

play10:09

because you know we've defined it as

play10:11

prices going up now prices are going up

play10:13

2% or more because if it's just 2% well

play10:17

it's no big deal because that's our

play10:18

Target we want 2% inflation but if

play10:21

prices were supposed to fall by 5% the

play10:25

government gets away with 7% inflation

play10:27

and they claim everything is great so

play10:31

productivity can hide inflation but it

play10:35

never creates inflation but that's what

play10:38

the FED said in these minutes they're

play10:40

thinking oh maybe the economy can grow

play10:42

faster without causing inflation no

play10:45

there is no speed true economic growth

play10:49

can can be as fast as it wants to be and

play10:53

you're never going to have to worry

play10:55

about Rising prices they say the economy

play10:57

is really good and they were worried

play10:59

about oh well you know uh we might get

play11:02

inflation maybe we won't right it's a

play11:04

it's they're saying maybe we don't have

play11:06

to worry even though we have this great

play11:07

economy we don't have to worry about

play11:09

this great economy causing

play11:11

inflation uh because of the productivity

play11:14

enhancements that are going to um

play11:18

diminish that inflation

play11:21

but those productivity enhancements

play11:24

don't diminish the inflation they just

play11:27

diminish the price increase inrees the

play11:30

inflation is the expansion of the money

play11:32

supply and the government's going to

play11:34

keep expanding the money supply because

play11:36

they got no choice I mean they have a

play11:38

choice they just have no politically

play11:40

viable choice so they're going to keep

play11:42

on creating inflation and that means

play11:44

they're going to keep on robbing from

play11:46

the public any benefits that might

play11:49

otherwise have come their way through

play11:52

increases in productivity and that is

play11:54

the economic reality that's why this

play11:58

gold and silver rally is just getting

play12:01

started and you want to buy any

play12:04

opportunity any pullback and I again I

play12:07

think they're going to be short and

play12:09

shallow because the real money the big

play12:13

movement into gold and silver is

play12:15

underway despite a recent mild pullback

play12:18

ongoing geopolitical and financial

play12:21

uncertainties support the long-term

play12:23

outlook for silver market sentiment has

play12:26

shifted with Traders now expecting the

play12:28

First Fed rate cut in September instead

play12:30

of June reflecting the fed's cautious

play12:33

approach Traders should closely monitor

play12:35

upcoming economic indicators and fed

play12:37

statements for additional insights into

play12:39

the timing of any policy changes

play12:42

Additionally the fact that central banks

play12:44

hold more gold than silver contributes

play12:46

to Silver being perceived as a safe

play12:48

asset share your thoughts on Peter's

play12:50

prediction in the comment section below

play12:52

also ensure you like this video

play12:54

subscribe to the channel and turn on

play12:55

post notifications for more videos like

play12:58

this until next time time

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Gold PricesSilver PricesMarket TrendsInvestment AdvicePrecious MetalsCentral BanksInflation ImpactEconomic GrowthPeter SchiffETFs