Stock Market Crash 2025 | आखिर कब तक मुश्किल में रहेगा बाजार

Summary

The speaker reflects on the current state of the stock market, comparing it to a movie where 'the night' represents difficult times, and 'morning' signifies hope. Despite recent downturns, especially in mid-cap and small-cap stocks, the speaker emphasizes the inevitability of recovery. They explain how investor sentiment has been affected, with a particular focus on the bubble in mid and small-cap stocks that has recently burst. The discussion highlights the struggles of portfolio investors and the ongoing challenges faced by the market, while hinting at potential stability in the future.

Takeaways

• 😀 The speaker discusses the market mood for Friday, with a focus on investor sentiment and upcoming market trends.
• 😀 The speaker refers to an earlier conversation about their view on the market, mentioning that they had the same outlook at 8 AM and 9 AM.
• 😀 There was a mention of news potentially triggering buying opportunities, which could manifest later in the week or the following Monday.
• 😀 The speaker references a movie and relates it to the current market situation, suggesting that while the market may seem dark now, a turnaround will eventually come.
• 😀 Despite Nifty's small decline (down by just 2 points), the market week was painful for investors, particularly in mid-cap and small-cap stocks.
• 😀 Mid-cap stocks fell by around 4%, and small-cap stocks saw a 5% decline, contributing to the painful week for investors.
• 😀 The speaker emphasizes that the pain of the week was felt more by investors, as opposed to traders, due to the broader market declines.
• 😀 The market has witnessed significant selling by foreign institutional investors (FII), with sales exceeding ₹7000 crore in the cash market, creating a bearish atmosphere.
• 😀 Mid-cap and small-cap stocks are underperforming because a bubble formed in these segments, and now that bubble is bursting due to deteriorating sentiment.
• 😀 Despite the market's poor performance, the speaker notes that the mid-cap and small-cap sectors had a strong rally for the past three years, leading to inflated valuations.
• 😀 Although the market is oversold, the speaker cautions that stability is not yet apparent, and any attempt to time a bottom is unlikely to yield benefits immediately.

Q & A

What is the current sentiment in the market according to the speaker?

The speaker expresses a gloomy and uncertain market sentiment, likening it to the dark before the morning. The market is experiencing a downturn, particularly in mid and small-cap stocks.

Why does the speaker describe this week as painful for investors?

The speaker describes this week as painful due to the significant losses in mid and small-cap stocks, with small-cap stocks falling by 5% and mid-cap by 4%, causing distress among investors.

What is the impact of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) on the market?

FIIs are continuing to sell off their holdings, adding pressure to the market. Their selling actions have been significant, with over ₹7,000 crore in cash market sales, which worsens investor sentiment.

What has caused the recent downfall of mid-cap and small-cap stocks?

The downfall of mid-cap and small-cap stocks is attributed to the bursting of a bubble that formed due to rapid and unchecked growth over the past three years. The market is now correcting itself.

How does the speaker view the correction in the market?

The speaker acknowledges that the correction is painful but sees it as a natural part of the market cycle. While the market is volatile and oversold, recovery may come once stability sets in.

What does the speaker mean by 'when the night is darkest'?

The phrase 'when the night is darkest' is used to convey the idea that the market is at its lowest point, but this does not mean that the market will stay this way forever. There is hope for recovery, but the timing is uncertain.

Why does the speaker recommend caution for investors in the current market?

The speaker suggests caution because the market, especially small-cap and mid-cap sectors, is experiencing significant volatility. Premature investments in these sectors could be unwise until signs of stability appear.

What was the trend in small-cap stocks in December, and how has it changed recently?

In December, small-cap stocks hit an all-time high, but the trend has reversed recently as investor sentiment soured and the bubble in the small-cap sector began to burst.

Why does the speaker mention that small-cap and mid-cap stocks 'don't ask for water when they fall'?

This phrase is used to emphasize the severity of the decline in small-cap and mid-cap stocks, indicating that when these stocks fall, they do so sharply without any immediate signs of recovery, which adds to the sense of instability.

Is the market completely oversold according to the speaker, and what does that mean?

Yes, the speaker believes the market is oversold, which means that stocks have been sold off too aggressively and are now undervalued. This may indicate that there will be a point where the market stabilizes and begins to recover.