Oktober Masih Kemarau, Hujan Diprediksi Turun November

Kompas.com

6 Oct 202303:02

Summary

TLDRBMKG forecasts that Indonesia's dry season will last until the end of October 2023, with rainfall expected to begin in November. The transition from the dry to rainy season is delayed due to the ongoing El Niño phenomenon, which is expected to end by March 2024. This year’s dry season is drier than usual, making it the most intense in the past three years. The public is advised to avoid activities that could trigger fires during the remaining dry period, while anticipating the gradual return of rainfall from November.

Takeaways

😀 BMKG predicts that the dry season in Indonesia will continue until the end of October 2023, peaking in September.
😀 Satellite data shows that the transition from the dry season to the rainy season will likely happen in November 2023.
😀 The head of BMKG, Dwi Korita Karna, stated that the El Niño phenomenon, which causes drought, is expected to end by March 2024.
😀 The onset of the rainy season in November 2023 is expected to alleviate the effects of El Niño, gradually ending the drought conditions.
😀 Despite the drought continuing through October, BMKG advises the public to avoid activities that could trigger fires.
😀 Satellite data indicates that rainfall has not yet occurred in October, with the peak of the dry season expected to last until the end of the month.
😀 The monsoon winds from Asia are expected to bring rain to Indonesia starting in November 2023.
😀 The El Niño effect will be swept away by the rains, helping to mitigate the prolonged dry conditions by the start of November.
😀 Some areas in Indonesia may experience rainfall before November, but most regions will see a shift to the rainy season starting in November.
😀 The dry season in 2023 is more intense compared to the past three years, with the 2020 dry season being relatively normal when compared to the average climate data from 1991-2020.

Q & A

What is the forecast for Indonesia's dry season in 2023?
-The dry season in Indonesia is expected to continue until the end of October 2023, after reaching its peak in September 2023.
When is the transition from the dry season to the rainy season expected to occur?
-The transition from the dry season to the rainy season is expected to take place in November 2023.
What role does El Niño play in the current weather patterns in Indonesia?
-El Niño, which is a phenomenon of ocean water warming that triggers drought, is influencing the prolonged dry season in 2023. It is expected to end around March 2024.
Why is the dry season of 2023 particularly drier than previous years?
-The dry season of 2023 is drier than the previous three years due to the combined effect of El Niño and other climatic factors, making it more extreme compared to the average climate of 1991 to 2020.
How does the monsoon wind affect the weather in Indonesia?
-Monsoon winds entering Asia will likely lead to rainfall in Indonesia starting in November 2023, marking the end of the dry season.
What does BMKG advise the public to do during the ongoing drought?
-BMKG advises the public not to engage in activities that could trigger fires, as the risk is heightened during the ongoing dry season.
When is the expected end of the drought in Indonesia?
-The drought in Indonesia is expected to end gradually, with most areas experiencing rainfall starting in November 2023, as the El Niño effect is alleviated by the onset of the rainy season.
How does the current weather pattern compare to the usual rainy season in September?
-Typically, Indonesia starts seeing rain in September, but in 2023, the country continued to experience the dry season throughout that month, which is unusual.
What are the main causes of the drought in Indonesia this year?
-The drought in Indonesia in 2023 is primarily caused by El Niño and other weather patterns that are making the dry season more severe than usual.
What does the BMKG predict for the rainy season in Indonesia after November?
-The BMKG predicts that after November 2023, the rainy season will begin to take over, gradually ending the dry season and improving the situation caused by the drought.