Bitcoin Update: BULLISH breakout but BRACE yourself for a BITCOIN CRASH!

Cheeky Crypto
19 May 202416:53

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Nick from Chy Crypto discusses Bitcoin's current price action and future predictions. He analyzes the potential for a breakout based on the 50-day simple moving average, targeting a profit range indicated by a yellow box on the chart. Nick also references Elliot Wave Theory to predict a three-wave move upwards, with a target range of $69,700 to $72,200. Despite the overbought daily momentum indicator, he suggests there's more room for an upside before a probable reversal. He also considers the impact of external factors like the Federal Reserve's decisions on market volatility. The video concludes with a cautious outlook, suggesting a potential correction to the downside, aligning with smart money concepts and Elliot Wave Theory.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ˜€ Nick, from chy crypto, discusses Bitcoin's current price action and future predictions.
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ The video focuses on a potential breakout or breakdown in Bitcoin's price, using moving averages as technical indicators.
  • ๐Ÿ’ก Nick suggests a good entry point and a tight stop loss under the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š The daily time frame shows Bitcoin in a profit with a risk-reward ratio of about 3.52, indicating a positive outlook.
  • ๐Ÿ“š Elliot Wave Theory is used to analyze the three-wave pattern, suggesting a potential upside movement.
  • ๐Ÿš€ The breakout above the 50-day SMA and EMA indicates a bullish trend, with a target range of $69,700 to $72,200.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Despite being overbought on the daily momentum indicator, the market could still experience an upside before a reversal.
  • ๐Ÿ’น The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, suggesting a macro bullish trend but also potential volatility due to market makers.
  • ๐ŸŒ External factors like the Federal Reserve's actions and the US Dollar Index (DXY) can influence Bitcoin's price significantly.
  • ๐Ÿ“ Smart Money Concepts and volume profile analysis suggest filling fair value gaps, hinting at a possible price correction to the downside.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฎ The video concludes with the anticipation of a correction to the downside, aligning with the 200-day exponential moving average and fair value gaps.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the video by chy crypto?

    -The main topic of discussion in the video is the current state and future price action of Bitcoin.

  • What is the significance of the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in the video?

    -The 50 SMA and EMA are significant technical indicators used to identify potential entry points for trades and to set stop losses in the Bitcoin market.

  • What is the target range indicated by the speaker for Bitcoin's price movement?

    -The target range indicated for Bitcoin's price movement is between $69,700 and $72,200.

  • What is the profit-risk ratio mentioned in the video for the current Bitcoin trade?

    -The profit-risk ratio mentioned for the current Bitcoin trade is approximately 3.52.

  • How does the speaker approach Elliot Wave Theory in the context of Bitcoin's price action?

    -The speaker uses Elliot Wave Theory to analyze Bitcoin's price action, specifically looking for a three-wave pattern to predict future movements, while acknowledging that the accuracy of the theory depends on the analyst's ability to correctly apply it.

  • What is the speaker's view on the current momentum indicator for Bitcoin?

    -The speaker notes that the momentum indicator is heavily overbought on the daily time frame, suggesting a higher probability of a market reversal.

  • What is the role of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the speaker's analysis?

    -The RSI is used to assess the overall bullish or bearish momentum on a macro scale. However, the speaker mentions it's less useful for predicting price action in the current continuation pattern.

  • What is the significance of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in the speaker's analysis?

    -The 200-day EMA is considered a key support level and a trend filter in the speaker's analysis, suggesting that it is an important area to watch for potential price reversals.

  • What does the speaker suggest about the potential future price action of Bitcoin based on Smart Money Concepts?

    -The speaker suggests that based on Smart Money Concepts, there is a high probability of Bitcoin's price filling out fair value gaps, which aligns with the idea of a three-wave corrective pattern to the downside.

  • What is the speaker's strategy for trading Bitcoin based on the current analysis?

    -The speaker's strategy involves either going long if there is a clean breakout to new all-time highs or shorting the market if there is rejection at the trend line and the expected price range of $69,000 to $72,000.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ“ˆ Bitcoin Price Action and Elliott Wave Theory Analysis

In this segment, Nick from chy crypto discusses the current state of Bitcoin, focusing on price action and potential future trends. He emphasizes the importance of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) as key indicators for trading breakouts or breakdowns. Nick outlines a trading strategy with a target range indicated by a yellow box on the chart and a risk-reward ratio of 3.52. He also touches on the concept of a relief rally and the application of Elliott Wave Theory, noting that while the theory can be accurate, its success depends on correct application andๅˆ†ๆžๅธˆ (analyst) interpretation. The video suggests that Bitcoin has met minimum expectations based on a three-wave move and is approaching a downward trend line, aligning with a targeted price range of $69,700 to $72,200.

05:00

๐Ÿšฆ Potential Market Reversal and Continuation Patterns

Nick continues by discussing the possibility of a market reversal, as indicated by the stochastic RSI being in an overbought condition. He references Elliott Wave Theory's suggestion of more upside progression before a reversal. However, he also notes the likelihood of increased volatility and the role of market makers in extracting liquidity during continuation patterns. The discussion includes the importance of the 200-day exponential moving average as a trend filter and potential support level. Nick also considers the impact of external factors, such as actions by the US Federal Reserve, on market volatility. He concludes by stating that while the macro outlook remains bullish, traders should be prepared for potential short-term corrections and volatility.

10:02

๐Ÿ“Š Analyzing Volume Profiles and Market Liquidity

In this part, Nick examines volume profiles and liquidity in the Bitcoin market. He notes the presence of significant liquidity at lower price ranges, which could be a concern for market stability. He discusses how market makers might capitalize on areas with high liquidity and the potential for extreme volatility due to external economic factors. Nick also highlights the importance of being mindful of fair value gaps and the alignment of smart money concepts with Elliott Wave Theory in anticipating a correction to the downside. He emphasizes the high probability, though not a guarantee, of filling out these gaps and the importance of considering real-world economic indicators when trading.

15:03

๐Ÿ” Weekly Time Frame Analysis and Market Sentiment

Nick shifts the analysis to the weekly time frame, noting that Bitcoin is trading above the Gann Channel, which is a positive sign. He points out that the market has not tested the support levels of the 50-week exponential moving average and the 50-week simple moving average since October 2023. The video suggests that any downside move will likely coincide with these support levels. He also discusses the lack of volume in certain price ranges on the weekly chart, indicating potential areas where price action might fill out liquidity gaps. Nick concludes by inviting viewers to share their thoughts in the comments and to engage with the crypto community for further insights.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กBitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates without a central bank or single administrator. It was the first cryptocurrency and remains the most well-known and widely used. In the video, the speaker discusses Bitcoin's price action and future market trends, using it as the primary subject for analysis.

๐Ÿ’กPrice Action

Price action refers to the movement of an asset's price over time, reflecting the aggregate of all market participants' decisions. In the context of the video, the speaker is analyzing Bitcoin's price action to predict where the cryptocurrency might be heading, discussing factors such as support and resistance levels.

๐Ÿ’กSimple Moving Average (SMA)

A Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a technical indicator that calculates the average price of an asset over a certain number of periods. In the video, the speaker mentions the 50-day SMA as a key level for Bitcoin's price, suggesting that a close above this average could signal a bullish trend.

๐Ÿ’กExponential Moving Average (EMA)

An Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is similar to a SMA but gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new data. The speaker in the video discusses both the 50-day SMA and EMA as tools for identifying potential breakouts in Bitcoin's price.

๐Ÿ’กRisk-Reward Ratio

The risk-reward ratio is a comparison of the potential loss and potential gain of a trade. It helps traders manage risk by ensuring that the potential gain outweighs the potential loss. The video mentions a risk-reward ratio of 3.52, indicating a favorable trade setup for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ’กElliot Wave Theory

Elliot Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that suggests market prices move in repetitive cycles, or 'waves'. The speaker uses this theory to analyze Bitcoin's price movements, suggesting a three-wave pattern that could indicate future price direction.

๐Ÿ’กStochastic RSI

Stochastic RSI is a momentum indicator that compares a particular closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain period. It is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. The video mentions the Stochastic RSI being heavily overbought, suggesting a potential reversal in Bitcoin's price.

๐Ÿ’กDivergence Indicator

A divergence indicator is used to spot a lack of confirmation in price movements by comparing two different technical indicators. In the video, the speaker turns on a divergence indicator to assess the trend and potential reversals in Bitcoin's price action.

๐Ÿ’กRelative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The video refers to the RSI being above the 50 level, indicating a bullish sentiment for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ’กVolume Profile

A volume profile is a graphical representation of trading volume at different price levels. It helps traders understand where most of the trading activity is occurring. The speaker in the video discusses the volume profile to highlight areas of high liquidity and potential price reversal zones for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ’กSmart Money Concepts

Smart Money Concepts refer to strategies and analysis techniques used by experienced or professional traders to gain an edge in the market. In the video, the speaker uses this concept to discuss the potential for Bitcoin's price to fill in 'fair value gaps' and to predict future price movements.

๐Ÿ’กGannian Channel

The Gannian Channel is a technical analysis tool that consists of a set of parallel lines that traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels. The video mentions the Gannian Channel turning red, indicating a potential area for value accumulation and dollar-cost averaging for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ’กDXY

The DXY, or U.S. Dollar Index, is a measure of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. It can influence the price of assets like Bitcoin, as changes in the value of the dollar can affect demand for cryptocurrencies. The speaker mentions the potential impact of the DXY on Bitcoin's price due to macroeconomic factors.

Highlights

Discussion on Bitcoin's price action and future trends.

Use of technical analysis with 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for potential breakouts.

Profit-risk ratio of 3.52 for Bitcoin trades, indicating a favorable position.

Relief rally and three-wave pattern analysis using Elliot Wave Theory.

Importance of correctly applying Elliot Wave Theory to avoid high failure rates.

Target range for Bitcoin set between $69,700 to $72,200 based on analysis.

Momentum indicator showing Bitcoin as overbought on the daily time frame.

Expectation of a reversal in the market due to overbought conditions.

Analysis of stochastic RSI and its implications for potential market movements.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating a bullish macro trend despite current volatility.

Potential for market makers to extract liquidity during continuation patterns.

Analysis of volume profiles and their impact on Bitcoin's price stability.

Smart Money Concepts suggesting a correction to the downside to fill fair value gaps.

Importance of the 200-day exponential moving average as a trend filter and support level.

Potential impact of external factors like the FED and CPI data on Bitcoin's price.

Identification of fair value gaps on the weekly time frame that may be filled.

Garian Channel analysis indicating a good buying opportunity for Bitcoin.

Weekly time frame analysis suggesting a possible correction coinciding with moving average tests.

Transcripts

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good morning you cheeky Bunch today we

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are discussing what's going on with

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Bitcoin discussing the price action and

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where I think things are heading let's

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see if we can smash up that like button

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up towards 500 likes guys really do

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appreciate that if you are new to the

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channel welcome this is chy crypto my

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name is Nick and we are discussing a

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Bitcoin subscribe if you want to stay up

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to date with more content from the

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channel let's jump right down into

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today's video BTC paired up with usdt

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we're on the one day binance chart and

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things are progressing quite nicely so

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following on from the previous videos we

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had that idea um for a breakout right so

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we're talking about if we were to get a

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Clos position above our um 50

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exponential moving average 50 uh simple

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moving average so the simple moving

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average being the yellow line here what

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we do is we'd be looking for a good

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entry a tight stop loss underneath the

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50 simple moving average and we're

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targeting out that slightly higher range

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as indicated in the yellow box this is

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looking pretty healthy right now right

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so we can see here we're in good profit

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the risk reward ratio is about 3.52 and

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it's looking pretty good on the daily

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time frame right um so all looking good

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from that kind of idea that we're

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talking about how we like to trade

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breakouts or breakdowns uh there's two

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different ways that we could have looked

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at this the exponential moving average

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breakout uh which is the blue line down

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here with a tight stop loss underneath

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and again still targeting out that

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higher range would have been a greater

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risk World ratio but you wouldn't have

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had confirmation it would have been

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5.63 and of course we had the one for

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the simple moving average the one that I

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probably would have taken here so

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knowing this and knowing our Target is

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still 69,7 to

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72,2 uh we're in a pretty good spot

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right there's still some potential for a

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bit of a move to the upside now this is

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a relief rally that we've been

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discussing for a while it's a three-wave

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pattern uh Elliot W theory of course is

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very accurate if you do it correctly if

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you do not draw it correctly uh on a

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highly liquid market like Bitcoin then

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unfortunately it does have a tendency to

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fail its failure rates are not due to

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its um properties as an analytical uh at

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all its failure rate is due to the

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analyst right so you're never going to

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get it right 100% of the time and

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because you can obviously see lots of

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different patterns and potential

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patterns inside the candlesticks and

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obviously there's lots of rules to kind

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of think about when it comes to Elway

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Theory I I'm looking at this as a

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three-wave move to the upside and so far

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it's playing out incredibly well as per

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the rules of Elliot way Theory as I've

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said many times before Elway theory is

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absolute it always fits you can try back

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testing it and it has a 100% fit rate

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because it is designed to do that and

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you have to identify the correct pattern

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for what is happening in the future

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right that's the difficulty and that's

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why so many people draw it incorrectly

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they allow for their bias to come in and

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they don't actually allow for the rules

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of absolute to actually filter through

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okay so knowing the Elliot way theory is

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looking pretty good we obviously had the

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breakouts of the 50 uh daily SMA the 50

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uh exponential moving average the EMA

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here everything's kind of looking quite

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nice to head up towards our downward

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trend line which is this upper area we

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hit this area on the 14th of March and

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on the 8th of April and I think we're

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going to come right in line with our

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targeted range here on this trend line

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so 69,7 to

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72,2 200 or

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72167 to be more exact now with this

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move to the upside it's worth noting our

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minimum expectations have already been

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met we don't have to go up higher um but

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that is the area that Elliot way Theory

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tells us is the most likely okay so we

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have already br broken the previous

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swing High over here on the 6th of May

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okay so by going higher than this area

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we have already met the minimum

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expectations and have already kind of

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met those minimum expectations of a

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three wve move right it can just fall

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short of its expected and typical range

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which is up here between that 69 and

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$72,000 right so that's kind of where I

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think things are heading now taking a

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look at the momentum indicator we're

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already heavily overbought on The Daily

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time frame but we can still be here for

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a little bit longer we don't have to

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remove uh move all the way down to

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oversold just because we're up here um

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but we are of course reaching those

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upper areas at the moment we are of

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course up there at

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99.32 100 of course is Max um and uh

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yeah we will see reversals here now we

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can be up here for quite some time I

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mean for example in this particular case

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over here it's the 9th of February we

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didn't see major movements until the

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17th of February right and that was on

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this move to this higher side if we take

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a look at where actual moves up here we

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could see that this is actually the 29th

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of January through until the 16th of

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February right we started this move on

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the 14th of May it's currently the 19th

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of May so we're a little bit way through

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it right obviously at the same time we

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can come straight way back down right we

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can be up here and then all of a sudden

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just drop all the way down this is

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because the stochastic RSI does not give

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you an indication to price movement it's

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only showing you whether or not there is

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momentum behind the price action and at

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the moment with momentum indicator being

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overbought the way that it is it shows

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us that there's the potential now a

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higher probability that the market is

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going to reverse right it's likely to

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move down now Elway Theory tells us that

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we have a little bit more progression to

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the upside and I think that's really

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where we are likely to see this thing go

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a little bit further to the upside

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before we get that reversal to the

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downside but we are looking for a

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reversal okay

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nonetheless now if we come back into our

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stochastic RS turn them off and turn on

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the Divergence indicator this yellow

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line is the relative Index right and

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this is good for Trend unfortunately

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we're not in a trend at the moment we're

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in a continuation pattern so the

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relative strength index isn't going to

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give you a huge amount of advantage in

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trying to predict where the price action

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is going but it is above the 50 level so

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again on a macro scale we are still

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bullish and I agree with that but we are

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still in that continuation pattern

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meaning that we are likely still to see

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more volatility with market makers

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basically extracting a lot of liquidity

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out of the market I don't think we're

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done just yet as much as I would love us

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to just kind of go up into new alltime

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highs and be done with all of these

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moves to the downside I suspect the

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market makers have other things planned

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and so we should be very mindful that

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this Market is all about extracting

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liquidity during these continuation

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patterns they're not ready to pump it up

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after seeing such significant surges to

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the upside at the moment and there's

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huge opportunity in all of that of

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course now if we go ahead and

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um back into our price chart here on our

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uh daily time frame you can see that my

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expectation is to test that lower trend

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TR line that lower trend line will be in

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line with our 200 day exponential moving

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average which is currently sat at

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53,8 36 and I know some people will

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disagree with me thinking that that's

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just not likely to happen um but I do

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see this as a three-wave corrective

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pattern taking us down towards our 200

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day exponential moving average and this

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continuation pattern this bullish flag

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however you want to look at it will then

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actually continue to set the lower highs

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and the lower lows before we get that

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break to the upside the importance of

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the 200 day exponential moving average

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cannot be ignored now it's possible that

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we can ignore it for a little bit longer

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when we did over here for example in

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January of 2024 but for the most part

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this is an area that's usually a very

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key for finding support right you might

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come down briefly then rally up from it

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right the 200 day exponential moving

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average is your Trend filter it's

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critically important that we don't

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ignore this that we do need to find

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support on this level so I'm hoping that

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you know we don't have to come down all

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this way way but I suspect we probably

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will and we have this idea of a

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three-wave corrective pattern and the

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reason for that is that Elliot way

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Theory tells us that we're not in a

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trend to the upside here um simply

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because we were in a three-wave pattern

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right we haven't actually got any clear

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breaks above 1.618 on the Fibonacci

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extension scale indicating that

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unfortunately things are not what they

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might seem I know a lot of retail

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investors who look at a lot of other

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indicators and they be saying yeah we're

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bullish we're bullish we're bullish but

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on our daily time frame although are

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bullish on these macros we have to

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expect more volatility because we

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haven't seen the right structures the

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right candle patterns to say that we are

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likely to get that next clean break to

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the upside where was my where would my

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thoughts and opinions change on this

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well a new alltime high would definitely

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do that um not a guarantee but I think

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it would set the the idea and the stage

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for those 1.618 impulsive trigger points

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to get hit um so that's kind of what

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we're going to be looking for here we're

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going to be looking for a clean break

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above our trend line into new all-time

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highs if we see that we'll go long we'll

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tight stop loss and we'll Target out

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probably towards $8 $2,000 something to

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that effect to start with and probably

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put a trailing stop to just follow the

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price action as it moves up because we

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go into price Discovery at that point

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but if we do not see that then and we

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actually get rejection here on our trend

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line and from our expected range between

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69 and 72 well the obvious thing there

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to do of course is to short the market

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tight stop loss above our previous swing

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high for security reasons and of course

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we t Target down towards that 200 day

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exponential moving average right again

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risk World ratio about 5.98 this means

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that it doesn't really matter what the

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price action does right all we're really

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doing here is saying okay we're going to

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break out we're going to go long and if

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we get rejected we're going to short the

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market right and we're going to make

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money either way we don't really want to

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be kind of you know just saying oh we

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can only go long we're bullish we're

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bullish it's clear breakout the

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sentiment bullish that stuff isn't

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inside the data the data is very clear

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to us we do not have a clean breakout

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here where we have the idea of a

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structure that is impulsive and is in a

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trend upwards okay but if we get a

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breakout that changes and so if we have

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the breakout we can go long if we don't

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get the breakout then we can go short

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and we can make money okay this is

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important that we understand we just

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want to trade against the sentiment to a

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degree and we want to make sure that

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we're on the right side of the argument

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now market makers are great at this

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because they have significant control

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over the markets right not just Bitcoin

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but also the altcoin market everything

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moving in tandem is not a coincidence

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right and so when you find the liquidity

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in the market things start to make a

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little bit more sense if we take a look

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at our volume profiles from the vpvr now

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this is obviously only taking into

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consideration the candles that you see

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in the chart at the

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moment if I zoom out of this just a

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little bit and get some more candles in

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you can start to see that there isn't a

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lot of volume here in relation to the

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historical price movements a lot of the

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volume is down here at this lower range

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and this is a huge concern because

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there's a lot of liquid liquidity in and

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around these lower areas okay market

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makers know this market makers are going

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to be looking at those areas and

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wondering whether or not they can H can

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actually push the price down there now

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I'm don't think they're going to be that

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extreme but if we were to see something

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crazy from the uh the US government or

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more specifically the FED um then we

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might see you know some extreme

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volatility that does you know create

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some imbalances in the say the dxy the

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Dixie in relation to all assets right

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because everything that's paired up

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against usdt usdt of course is stable

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against USD and of course if we see any

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price fluctuations with the Dix or any

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um any adjustments or fluctuations with

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the Dixie due to say Fred interest rates

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and things like all the things that we

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talk about with our members down in our

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Discord server then we are likely to see

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extreme volatility which our market

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makers will capitalize on so we need to

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be aware of those things now we don't

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talk about them very often in these

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videos on the public side of things

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simply because uh we talk about it quite

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bit for our members in our amas and that

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kind of stuff and as you can see down

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here at $442,000 there is a lot of

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liquidity to be seen so be very mindful

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of where the previous volumes were uh

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obviously you can take a look at the

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shorts the Longs all that kind of good

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data uh and see where that kind of stuff

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lies as well from a smart money Concepts

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point of view we're still in bullish

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pattern on The Daily time frame we're

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not concerned about any of those things

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all of that is looking very healthy and

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very good um so yeah for the most part

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smart money Concepts is fine the are of

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course still Pockets here of fair value

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gaps that haven't been filled so we're

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going to be mindful about those um you

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know basically all these green areas

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that you see on the chart here these are

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showing you where there was a lack of

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liquidity and price likes to come back

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down and fill those out for example

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there's a pocket right over here and if

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I pull this across you can see that

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price came down and filled that pocket

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where there wasn't liquidity before the

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market put liquidity okay and so there's

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a few areas on this move to the upside

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most recently where again there's

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pockets of illiquidity as in the market

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didn't have liquidity so the price has

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to go up higher to find the sellers and

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so forth right and so as we can see here

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there's going to be a reversal more

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likely to fill out those areas there's

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also one down at this lower range

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between 51 and 54,000 it's not a

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coincidence that this is also where our

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lower trend line is also where our 200

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day exponential moving averages and also

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the area of a three-wave correction that

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we like in my opinion to see this means

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that we fill out all the fair value gaps

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that you can see here from a smart money

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Concepts point of view so whether you

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are a fan of Elliot way Theory whether

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you think it's absolute garbage maybe

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you're a fan of smart money Concepts

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smart money Concepts is also aligned to

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the idea that we still have this

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correction to the downside we're in a

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still in a bullish structure on a macro

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scale none of that has changed but there

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are some fair value gaps that typically

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do get filled out it's not a guarantee

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they have a high probability of getting

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filled out though so just bear in mind

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that there's nothing as a guarantee in

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this space but there's a high

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probability that we do see these moves

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to the downside edit way Theory smart

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money Concepts um are turning us even

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the trend lines with the lower low lower

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highs and lower lows they are all

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telling us that we are likely to see

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more continuation of this pattern then

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of course we factor in the real world uh

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what's going on with the FED over in the

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US the CPI data all of these things are

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going to have an impact the Dixie will

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have its role to play whilst the demand

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is low which it is um and once demand

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comes in the Dixie has less impact on

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the price action so just bear that in

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mind sometimes the dxy will go one way

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and Bitcoin will just simply follow it

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right and that is due to a significant

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demand shift okay um so all in all it's

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looking pretty good on the daily time

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frame and I'll turn some upart money

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Concepts off here for now as well if we

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throw on the Garian channel on The Daily

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time frame you did turn red indicating

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that this is a an area where we want to

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be dollar cost averaging because value

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is now there um for kind of purchasing

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up but we are above the the midband um

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we are not above the higher band in

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terms of these simple moving averages

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that you see within the Garian Channel

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okay very interesting stuff roll us up

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into the weekly again you can see a nice

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weekly candle here um for BTC uh still

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heading out towards our targeted range

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of 69 to 72 before we move on down the

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move to the downside will coincide in my

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opinion with the 50 weekly exponential

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moving average and the 50 weekly simple

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moving averages right which were last

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tested over here in October of 2023 and

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found as support as you can kind of see

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we haven't tested these supports of the

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exponential moving average or simple

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moving average since 2023 on the weekly

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time frame the Garian channel is looking

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uh pretty good as well we are heavily

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above the Garian channel on the weekly

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time frame this is indicating a Prett

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good healthy stuff since we saw this

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kind of breakout clean breakout really

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in October of

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2023 again all around when we found

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support on the 50 exponential weekly

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average

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um so all in all that's looking pretty

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good as well through on the vpvr you can

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see that the volumes are significantly

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lower there's Pockets where there's just

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simply isn't any volume on this weekly

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time frame and you can kind of see that

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right in there between 53 and

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$57,000 and that's why we see these

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bigger candles in the market here smart

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money Concepts will align if I throw

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that on as well you can see right here

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where there's a pocket where um the vpvr

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is showing no volume on the weekly time

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frame it also happens to be where

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there's a fair value gap on smart money

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Concepts again all an indication that

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there is a lack of liquidity at certain

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price ranges and we are likely to get

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that field out and it's not a

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coincidence once again that these are

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the areas on the weekly time frame where

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we can quite clearly see that there's a

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lack of liquidity between 53,000 and

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58,000 this particular area happens to

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be right in line with the three-wave

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corrective pattern on Elliot wave theory

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right in line with the 200 day

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exponential moving average everything is

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kind of showing us that this is an area

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where we're likely to see the price

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action go now we hope that that's not

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the case we hope for the breakout

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because we want to be bullish on the

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market but the data is quite clear to me

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that we need to be very mindful that

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there is a correction to the downside to

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come now guys you can let me know your

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thoughts and opinions in the comments

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down below and if you haven't done so

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already smash that like button and check

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out this video where we discuss what's

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going on in the crypto space

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