Dampak Kebijakan Pemerintah Naikkan PPn 12% - Sindo Sore 02/12

Summary

The video discusses the proposed increase in VAT (PPN) to 12% in Indonesia, which is seen as a potential policy blunder by economists and legal experts. They argue that it could negatively impact the economy, especially small and medium businesses, and increase public distrust. The policy might lead to a shrinkage in national GDP and a rise in the informal economy as many businesses may avoid registration to evade taxes. Additionally, concerns are raised about the lack of public participation in the policy-making process, with critics pointing to the unfairness and lack of dialogue in the formulation of such crucial decisions.

Takeaways

• 😀 The proposed increase in VAT to 12% is viewed as a policy blunder by economists and legal experts, as it is seen as harmful to the economy.
• 😀 The increase in VAT is expected to shrink the economy and erode public trust in the government's policies.
• 😀 Experts warn that the VAT hike will negatively impact small and medium-sized businesses, leading to a decrease in national GDP.
• 😀 The government's VAT increase is likely to encourage more informal businesses, as entrepreneurs may choose to avoid registration to evade taxes.
• 😀 A rise in the number of informal businesses will further reduce the overall tax base, undermining the government's revenue collection.
• 😀 There is criticism of the government's policymaking process, with accusations of minimal public participation and a lack of meaningful dialogue or socialization of the policy.
• 😀 Public participation in the creation of laws has been described as inadequate, leading to a lack of trust and increasing suspicion among the public.
• 😀 The government’s handling of the VAT policy has faced criticism for not being transparent, with no public hearings or consultations on its potential impact.
• 😀 There is a split within the government itself on the VAT increase, with the finance minister supporting it, while the head of the National Economic Council suggests it may be postponed.
• 😀 Experts argue that the policy's external effects will disproportionately harm lower-income communities and may worsen economic inequality.

Q & A

What is the primary concern regarding the Indonesian government's plan to increase the PPN to 12%?

The primary concern is that the increase in PPN will create economic challenges, including shrinking the economy, reducing public trust, and causing negative impacts on small and medium-sized enterprises.

How might the PPN increase impact the formal and informal economy in Indonesia?

The PPN increase could lead to more businesses operating informally to avoid taxes, thus strengthening the shadow economy and reducing overall tax revenue for the government.

What effect is the PPN increase expected to have on the national GDP?

The PPN increase is expected to contribute to a reduction in the national GDP, which will be felt most significantly by the smaller segments of the population.

What does Wahyu di Askar, the public policy director, say about the impact of the PPN increase?

Wahyu di Askar states that the PPN increase will likely push negative externalities onto the middle and lower classes, thereby harming economic stability and contributing to a decline in the national economy.

Why do critics believe that the government’s policy-making process is flawed?

Critics argue that the policy-making process lacks public participation, fairness, and transparency, which leads to a lack of trust and increased public suspicion.

What is the position of the Indonesian Legal Aid Foundation (YLBHI) on the government's policy-making process?

The YLBHI believes that the government’s approach to creating policies through legislation has violated numerous regulations due to insufficient public involvement, making the process unfair and lacking meaningful participation.

What does the head of the National Economic Council think about the PPN policy?

The head of the National Economic Council suggests that the policy should be postponed to address the potential negative consequences.

How does the government’s internal disagreement affect the implementation of the PPN increase?

The internal disagreement among government officials, with the finance minister supporting the increase and the National Economic Council chair advocating for a delay, highlights a lack of consensus and raises questions about the policy's stability.

What are some potential consequences for businesses if the PPN increase is implemented?

Businesses may face higher costs, reduced profit margins, and an incentive to operate informally to avoid paying taxes, which could lead to a decrease in tax compliance.

How might the public’s perception of the government be affected by the PPN policy?

The public's perception of the government could become more negative due to the lack of transparency and public involvement in the decision-making process, leading to greater skepticism and distrust.