The End of Work? AGI Will Make UBI a Necessity (Universal Basic Income)

TheAIGRID
11 May 202421:43

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the potential necessity of Universal Basic Income (UBI) in a future dominated by Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). As automation increases, the traditional labor economy may be disrupted, leading to job displacement and a need for a social safety net. UBI, characterized by regular, unconditional cash payments from the government to all citizens, could be a solution to poverty and economic disparity. However, the script also raises concerns about the potential for inflation, funding challenges, and the possibility of government-issued programmable money with restrictions. It concludes with the assertion that while UBI might be necessary, it must be implemented thoughtfully to avoid creating a dystopian society.

Takeaways

  • πŸ€– **AGI Impact**: The rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is expected to significantly disrupt labor markets, potentially leading to a need for Universal Basic Income (UBI) to support displaced workers.
  • πŸ’΅ **UBI Definition**: UBI is a social welfare policy that provides all citizens with a regular, unconditional cash payment from the government, regardless of their income or employment status.
  • πŸ“ˆ **Economic Shift**: AGI could lead to a post-labor economy where the cost of labor drops to zero, fundamentally changing the basis of capitalism and the value humans derive from their work.
  • πŸš€ **AI Advancements**: AI leaders like Demis Hassabis and Sam Altman acknowledge the difficulty in predicting the role of money in a post-AGI world, where advanced AI systems may displace human workers.
  • πŸ’Ό **Job Displacement**: There's a growing concern that as AI becomes more prevalent, jobs will be lost and not sufficiently replaced, leading to an increase in unemployment and a need for UBI.
  • 🌐 **Global Support**: Influential figures like Elon Musk support the idea of UBI, suggesting that at some point, no job may be needed as AI could perform all tasks.
  • πŸ“Š **Wealth Inequality**: The wealth gap may widen with AGI, as those who own the technology reap the majority of the economic benefits, leaving a larger portion of the population without economic agency.
  • πŸ’” **Social Mobility Concerns**: The fear exists that without intervention, the ability for individuals to improve their economic status may diminish in a world where AGI outperforms human capabilities.
  • πŸ’” **Poverty Eradication**: UBI is seen as a potential tool to eradicate poverty, especially for those who fall through the cracks of society and are unable to escape due to circumstances beyond their control.
  • πŸ›’ **Inflation Risks**: There are concerns that UBI could lead to inflation through increased demand for goods and services, labor supply reduction, and currency depreciation from financing UBI.
  • πŸ’‘ **Programmable Money**: The implementation of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) could facilitate a form of UBI that is programmable, allowing for specific spending incentives and potentially mitigating inflationary effects.

Q & A

  • What is Universal Basic Income (UBI)?

    -Universal Basic Income is a social welfare policy that provides all citizens or residents of a country with a regular, unconditional cash payment from the government, regardless of their income or employment status.

  • Why is UBI becoming an increasingly discussed topic with the rise of AGI?

    -As AGI could potentially reduce the cost of labor to zero, it may lead to job displacement and a shift away from a labor-based economy. UBI is seen as a potential solution to provide a safety net and maintain economic stability in such a scenario.

  • How could AGI affect the role of money in the economy?

    -If AGI leads to a situation where labor is no longer the primary source of economic value, it becomes challenging to predict how money will function, as traditional capitalism is based on the exchange of labor for income.

  • What are the potential issues with implementing UBI?

    -Potential issues include inflation, where increased demand for goods and services could drive up prices, labor supply reduction as people may choose to work less, and the financial burden on governments to fund such a program.

  • How might inflation affect the implementation of UBI?

    -Inflation could erode the purchasing power of the UBI payments, making them less effective as a safety net. Additionally, if the government funds UBI by printing more money, it could lead to currency depreciation and increased cost of living.

  • What is the concept of a 'robo tax'?

    -A 'robo tax' is a proposed tax on companies that use automation and AI, with the revenue potentially used to fund social programs like UBI. The idea is to redistribute the wealth generated by advanced technologies.

  • How could programmable central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) be used to implement UBI?

    -Programmable CBDCs could allow governments to impose restrictions on how the UBI funds are spent, such as limiting the expenditure to certain goods or services, or within a certain time frame.

  • What are the potential downsides of using programmable CBDCs for UBI?

    -The downsides include a loss of financial freedom, as the government could control exactly how and where the money is spent. There's also the risk of government surveillance and the potential for manipulation of the economy in favor of certain industries.

  • Why might some people argue against UBI?

    -Critics might argue that UBI could disincentivize work, be financially unsustainable, or lead to a lack of social mobility if the wealth gap widens significantly due to the increasing dominance of AI and technology in the economy.

  • How could the increasing wealth gap exacerbate the need for UBI?

    -As the wealth gap widens, with a few individuals or companies controlling most of the economic value through AI, the majority of the population may find it harder to achieve economic stability and social mobility, increasing the need for a UBI to maintain a baseline standard of living.

  • What is the potential impact of UBI on poverty and social safety nets?

    -If properly implemented, UBI could help eradicate poverty by providing a stable income floor. However, if not managed well, it could also lead to a dystopian scenario where people still fall through the cracks and the government's social safety net proves insufficient.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ€– The Emergence of AGI and Universal Basic Income (UBI)

This paragraph discusses the rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and its potential impact on the job market, leading to a growing discourse around the necessity of a Universal Basic Income (UBI). UBI is described as a social welfare policy providing regular, unconditional cash payments to all citizens, regardless of income or employment status. The potential for job displacement due to advanced AI systems is highlighted, with the acknowledgment that while UBI might not be necessary immediately, it could become essential as AGI progresses, especially considering the current trend of jobs not being replaced at the same rate as they are lost.

05:01

🌐 The Future of Work and Eradicating Poverty with UBI

The second paragraph explores the future where AI could potentially perform any task, leading to a non-labor based economy and mass unemployment. The need for UBI to eradicate poverty is emphasized, with examples of people falling through societal cracks and the working poor highlighted. The paragraph also touches on personal anecdotes and the harsh reality faced by individuals struggling with unemployment benefits and societal judgment. The potential increase in UBI's necessity due to automation and AGI is discussed, alongside the opinions of influential figures like Elon Musk.

10:01

πŸ’° Funding UBI: Challenges and Inflationary Concerns

This section delves into the potential issues surrounding the implementation of UBI, including the risk of inflation. It explains how increased money supply could lead to higher prices and labor supply reduction, as people might choose to work less if their basic needs are met by UBI. The financing of UBI is questioned, with suggestions that profits from AI-driven companies could be taxed to fund it. However, concerns are raised about companies avoiding such 'robo taxes,' and the potential for programmable central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) to control how and where UBI funds are spent is also discussed.

15:02

πŸ” Programmable Money and Its Impact on UBI Distribution

The fourth paragraph focuses on the concept of programmable money, specifically CBDCs, as a potential method for distributing UBI. It outlines how these could be programmed to expire or only be spent in certain areas, influencing spending habits and potentially offsetting issues like inflation. The paragraph also raises concerns about the loss of spending freedom and the possibility of governments controlling economic outcomes through such programmable currencies. The challenges of government oversight and the risk of people falling through the cracks are also highlighted.

20:05

πŸ“ˆ Economic Agency and the Digital Divide in a Post-AGI World

The final paragraph discusses the impact of AGI on personal economic agency and the potential widening wealth gap. It raises concerns about the diminishing opportunities for social mobility as AGI systems surpass human capabilities in the workforce. The paragraph ponders how individuals can increase their income in a world where companies may no longer require human labor, and the potential dystopian future if UBI isn't properly implemented. It concludes with the speaker's belief in the near-necessity of UBI and the caution that it must be managed well to avoid negative consequences.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)

AGI refers to highly autonomous systems that can outperform humans at most economically valuable work. In the video, it's discussed as a driving factor for potential job displacement and the need for Universal Basic Income (UBI), as it could lead to a world where human labor is less economically valuable.

πŸ’‘Universal Basic Income (UBI)

UBI is a social welfare policy that provides regular, unconditional cash payments to all citizens or residents from the government. The video discusses UBI as a potential solution to poverty and job displacement due to AGI, emphasizing its role in providing a minimum income floor to cover basic needs.

πŸ’‘Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. The video mentions inflation as a potential risk associated with UBI, where increased demand for goods and services due to UBI payments could lead to higher prices.

πŸ’‘Labor Supply Reduction

This concept refers to a decrease in the number of people willing to work at the current wage rate. The video discusses how UBI might lead to a labor supply reduction if people choose to work less or not at all once their basic needs are met by UBI payments.

πŸ’‘Currency Depreciation

Currency depreciation is a decrease in the value of a currency, often related to increased money supply. In the context of the video, it is mentioned as a possible consequence of financing UBI through large-scale government borrowing or money printing, which could lead to inflation.

πŸ’‘Robo Tax

A hypothetical tax on robots and automated systems, where the revenue generated would be used to fund social programs like UBI. The video discusses the concept as a potential funding mechanism for UBI, where taxes on companies using AGI could redistribute wealth to support those displaced by automation.

πŸ’‘Programmable Money

This refers to digital currencies, such as Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), which can have built-in rules and restrictions. The video suggests that programmable money could be a method for implementing UBI, allowing for direct control over how and where the funds are spent, potentially reducing misuse.

πŸ’‘Wealth Gap

The wealth gap describes the disparity in the distribution of income or wealth among different social groups. The video argues that the wealth gap is likely to widen with the rise of AGI, as those who own the technology will benefit disproportionately, increasing the need for UBI to maintain social stability.

πŸ’‘Social Mobility

Social mobility refers to the ability of individuals to improve their social status within their lifetime. The video discusses the potential decline in social mobility in a post-AGI world, where economic opportunities are reduced, making it harder for individuals to improve their income and status.

πŸ’‘Capitalism

Capitalism is an economic system based on private ownership of the means of production and their operation for profit. The video touches on how the basis of capitalism, which is labor, could be undermined by AGI, leading to a shift in economic value and necessitating a reevaluation of social welfare policies like UBI.

πŸ’‘Digital ID

A digital ID is a unique electronic identifier that can be used to verify identity online. The video briefly mentions the potential for a digital ID to facilitate the distribution and management of UBI payments, particularly in the context of programmable money and CBDCs.

Highlights

Universal Basic Income (UBI) is a social welfare policy that provides regular, unconditional cash payments to all citizens or residents.

UBI is intended to cover basic needs and is paid in addition to any other income sources.

The rise of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could lead to a decrease in the cost of labor, potentially making human labor obsolete.

Investing in AGI-related companies like OpenAI is considered high-risk, with the understanding that the role of money in a post-AGI world is uncertain.

AI leaders predict a future where AGI could displace human workers, necessitating a UBI to support those without jobs.

Elon Musk suggests that in a future with advanced AI, jobs may become optional for personal satisfaction rather than necessity.

The current trend in AI is causing job displacement without sufficient replacement jobs, leading to increased unemployment.

UBI could be necessary to eradicate poverty as automation increases and job opportunities decrease.

There's a concern that UBI could lead to inflation through increased demand for goods and services.

Funding for UBI could potentially come from taxes on companies that profit immensely from AI, though these companies may resist.

Programmable central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) could be used to implement UBI with specific spending restrictions.

The wealth gap may widen with AGI, concentrating economic power and increasing the need for UBI.

The middle class is being squeezed, and without intervention, this trend could exacerbate the need for UBI.

The potential lack of economic agency for individuals in a post-AGI world underscores the necessity for UBI.

New industries may emerge with AGI, but the economic landscape will shift significantly, possibly requiring new policies.

If not implemented correctly, UBI could contribute to a dystopian future where certain groups are left behind.

The discussion around UBI is crucial as society moves towards a future potentially dominated by AGI and automation.

Transcripts

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so with the rise of AGI there has been a

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lot of discussion with universal basic

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income and the potential need for a

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universal basic income now if you don't

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know what Universal basic income is it's

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basically a social welfare policy that

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involves providing all citizens or

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residents of a country with a regular

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unconditional cash payment from the

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government regardless of their income or

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employment status and there are several

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key features of Ubi so essentially it's

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a regular cash payment which is probably

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monthly or annual to all individuals in

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a community or a country and it's always

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paid without any conditions or

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requirements like means testing work

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requirements or other

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eligibility criteria it is paid to

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individuals rather than households it is

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intended to provide a minimum income

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flaw or Baseline to cover basic needs it

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is paid in addition to any other income

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from employment or other sources and it

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is universal meaning it is provided to

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anyone in the given population not just

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targeted groups now that is a quick

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definition of Ubi so it can set the tone

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for what to understand what we are going

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to talk about going forward and Ubi is

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something that is going to be

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increasingly more discussed as

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automation becomes more rampant now the

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reason I've decided to discuss AI is

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because something that is constant and

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something that you may have not realized

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is that an Open ai's document where they

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are accepting investment they State a

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few things and there's one sentence or I

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guess you could say three words that

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really kind of stood out to me the first

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time I read this and this is a suitable

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video for me to add this so they say

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that investing in open eye is a

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high-risk investment investors could

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lose their capital and not see any

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return it's wise to see any investment

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in open eye as the spirit of a donation

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with the understanding that it may be

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difficult and here's where we get to the

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interesting part it says it may

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difficult to know what role money will

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play in a post AGI world so something

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that we've seen time and time again is

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that the majority of AI leaders like

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people like Demis aabis people like Sam

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Alman have clearly stated that it's

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quite difficult to understand what role

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money is going to play in a post AGI

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world because if AGI is what it says it

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is it means that the cost of Labor is

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going to drop to zero which means that

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you know we run on a labor economy this

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is going to be a post AGI World which

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means that we move into a post AGI slost

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labor economy which means things are

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very very different and the reason this

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is going to be very very different is

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because humans have always deived their

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value from their kind of Labor and it's

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basically just the basis of capitalism

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you do something you get paid for it if

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you are a nurse you help patients you

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get paid if you're a doctor you diagnose

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people you get paid if you're a coder

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you code you get paid depending on your

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cognitive ability essentially if you're

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cognitive labor you know if you're a

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Tradesman it's usually physical labor

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but the point is is that if you have

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some kind of Labor that's how you have

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your economic value but it's quite

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difficult to understand how money works

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because we're going to be moving into a

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post AGI world so the thing is is that I

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would argue that because we're moving

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towards AGI and some would argue that

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open a already internally achieved it

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just not with the skill some sort of Ubi

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is going to be needed because the job

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losses are going to happen sooner or

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later we know that there are Advanced AI

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systems coming and we know that these

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Advanced AI systems are always going to

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displace workers unfortunately but at

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least we know this now which means that

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there in future we do know that there's

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going to be disproportionately

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continuing levels of people that find

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themselves without jobs and careers as

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these kinds of tools get released and

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the problem with current AI Trends is

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that the jobs aren't replacing the ones

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that are lost which means that

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increasingly we're seeing more people

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out of a job now this means that Ubi is

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probably in the future going to be

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needed now it might not be needed right

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now some people might find you at work

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they might transition to other careers

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but when we do have agentic services in

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2027 2028 and we have a real ramp up in

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terms of technology and companies using

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these Services rather than actually

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employing people I would argue that yes

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some sort of Ubi might be needed and

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there's going to be a wider increase and

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a wider demand for this because a lot of

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people who have lost their jobs might

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not be able to find new ones and of

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course Elon Musk also Champions this

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claim he says it's hard to say exactly

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what that moment is but there will come

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a point where no job is needed mus

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continued speaking alongside British

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prime minister Ry sunak you can have a

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job if you wanted to have a job personal

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satisfaction but the AI would be able to

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do everything and whilst that does seem

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like sci-fi it isn't completely sci-fi

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because it is completely possible with

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the future advancement in AI that could

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lead to an incredible level of AI

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ability where it could really just do

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absolutely anything which means that

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we're going to be in an incredible

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position where the economy no longer

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runs on our labor and essentially we're

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all going to be out of work now of

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course I think that AI could be doing

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everything and I'm going to be making

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another video not sure if it's released

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yet on why I on why I think the flip

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side is also very important on what

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human made jobs will be there but I do

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think that you know this is going to be

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the future Trend and I think it's

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important to pay attention to this so I

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think one of the key reasons that Ubi is

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going to be needed is because it's going

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to need to eradicate poverty okay and

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there are two key Concepts to this okay

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I don't think that you know and I'm not

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arguing for communism or anything like

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that but I do see how some people live

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and it is honestly atrocious how some

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people are left to fall through the

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cracks I've seen some people in certain

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situations that have literally just been

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let down by society and it truly is

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astonishing to how people can fall

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through the cracks to no fault of their

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own they're just bored in a bad

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neighborhood their family is just like

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already on drugs their family is just in

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and out of the system they're literally

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just in and out of care and they've

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never really had a good shot at life

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because their entire environment has of

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course you know placed them in

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unfortunate circumstances and whilst yes

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these are Fringe cases I think that if

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we're moving this fast in society I

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don't think we should allow certain

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people to fall through the cracks there

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should definitely be some kind of you

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know social safety nets to at least

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share the abundance that is going to be

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there now of course some people could

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argue that yes you need to pull yourself

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up by the bootstraps but environment

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plays a lot into to how our future

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success is impacted more than you do

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think and there is even this concept

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where people are actually actively

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working but they're still trapped in a

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cycle of poverty so this is something

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that I can completely empathize with

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because I do not come from a wealthy

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background at all however I did start a

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business a couple of years ago and I'm

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now doing okay for myself I'm not in

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poverty anymore but it is something that

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I realize that not everyone is able to

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escape due to several issues issues that

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like I said before are no fault of their

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own and this is going to be further

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exacerbated due to AGI and due to

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automation when people are going not to

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be able to anymore get back into certain

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careers and industries that they were

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once seniors in so essentially this

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person you could see they were evicted

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and the Working Poor is a concept of

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people who are working but are still

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poor so I'm going to show you guys this

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article cuz it is truly kind of

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heartbreaking but I think we're going to

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see more and more of these stories that

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are going to lead us more and more

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towards the conversation of Ubi so

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essentially this person talks about

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something that I guarantee most people

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are experiencing and it's the rising

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cost of food transport and utilities

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means that the meager amount of money

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I've been able to stretch to cover my

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Necessities isn't covering them anymore

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so this one was truly it was truly a

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tough read Because I can completely

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understand how this person was doing so

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essentially 16 years ago this person was

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on their protest to about teaching award

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negotiations and then they unfortunately

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broke their leg the teachers union ended

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up paying their wage and then you know

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she was having an okay life but her ill

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health forced her to return to her home

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country and then she applied to many

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different jobs and wasn't able to get

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anything and was stuck on unemployment

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benefits and the problem is is that

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there are also mental health issues too

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that nobody talks about you know she

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says there are many issues that have

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chipped away at my sense of self-worth

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and made my life even harder because a

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lot of people do describe people that

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are on unemployment benefits as being

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lazy people say they're just scaming off

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taxpayers money when that couldn't be

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further from the case a lot of the times

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these people do have to apply for

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certain jobs every week to be even

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qualified for those benefits and a lot

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of the times they are just unable to

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gain work because their background just

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isn't sufficient for them to get a new

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job you can see that this person said my

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job provider worsen my depression and

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comments on social media about lazy dull

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budgers reduce my self-esteem and

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increase my resentment and anger and now

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the increasing rising cost of food

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transport and utilities means that the

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me amount of money they've been given

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just you know hasn't covered their

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situation and this is something that I

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think is going to continue right now it

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isn't something that is that bad because

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we do have an economy that you know

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shifts and it rotates and it evolves but

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what happens when we start to see large

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portions of the economy being automated

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by these kinds of systems where they are

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adopted I think we're going to see more

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and more people start to fall through

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the Cs and we're going to start to see

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these kinds of things because this isn't

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going to be good for the economy at all

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if large parts of the economy are

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automated we're definitely going to need

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to use Ubi because we won't have a large

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portion of the economy working so

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they're going to need to have that money

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to be able to buy goods and services to

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keep the economy going around now one of

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the problems with Ubi is of course

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inflation this is something that has

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been discussed before but I guess we

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could relate this to something that

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happened recently but first i'm going to

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talk about inflation so the problem is

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is that Ubi could lead to inflation

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through several mechanisms and if you

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don't understand what inflation is it's

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basically if you print more of the money

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the money becomes less valuable okay

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just think of it simple supply and

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demand if there's more something it's

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simply less valuable so when people

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receive the Ubi payments their

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purchasing power increases lead to

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leading to higher consumption which is

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good and the surgeon in demand can out

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Shi the supply of goods and services

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which is going to result in demand P

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inflation where prices rise because the

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demand is greater than Supply so we have

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essentially demandable inflation which

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is due to you know Ubi then of course we

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have Labor Supply reduction so if the

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Ubi payments are sufficient to cover

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basic living expenses some individuals

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might choose to work less or not at all

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and this could lead to even more labor

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shortages in certain sectors

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particularly low wages jobs and then

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employers may have to then increase

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wages to attract workers leading to

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higher production costs which are often

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passed on to customers in the form of

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higher prices and of course you know

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currency depreciation financing Ubi

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could involve large scale government

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borrowing or printing of money which we

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saw recently and if this is not offset

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by spending cuts or increased taxes this

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is going to lead to an devaluation of

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the currency causing imported goods to

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be more expensive thereby contributing

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towards inflation and there are many

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different more things but we did see

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this during covid with the stimulus

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checks and basically in 2020 the cares

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act in March 2020 provided a one-time

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economic impairment payment of up to

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$1,200 per adult and $500 per child

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qualifying under 17 and this was

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something that helped out but the

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problem is is that they printed so much

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money that the dollar some people are

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arguing it's now worthless and that's

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what's contributing to this cost of

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living crisis while the wages are

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stagnating um and whilst yes it is good

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you kind of have to manage everything

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because everything affects everything in

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the economy and I'm not going to say I'm

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going to do a better job than the US

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government but um inflation is is is not

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great now essentially of course there's

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inflation which could threaten how Ubi

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is implemented but I think there is also

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the funding for Ubi because some people

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are talk about okay if we don't want to

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you know print money how on Earth are we

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going to fund it so some people are

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arguing that once these giant companies

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manage to capture all of the world's

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economic value or at least 10 to 5 to 3%

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of the world's economic value which is

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trillions and trillions of dollars those

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trillions and trillions of dollars could

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be used to pay for it so it says

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companies like open AI could make

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Unthinkable profits from successful AI

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will they share the wealth so this is

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something that I've spoken about before

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but essentially if you have a company

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that doesn't really use any people and

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everyone kind of needs that company then

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some people are saying that there's

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going to be a robo tax in which

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effectively those taxes are

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redistributed to the economies where it

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is being used the most and then that's

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how those economies can benefit from it

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now I think there's also another way and

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I do think that WiFi profits are pretty

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good but I would argue that companies

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are probably going to fight this to the

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death a problem with a robo taxing is

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that companies already evade taxes in

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crazy ways some of the biggest

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corporations literally don't pay any tax

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they've got companies in the Cayman

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Islands they've got companies in Ireland

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Apple has all of this Shady stuff that

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they do so I think whilst yes this is

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very very I guess you could say

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idealistic it largely I don't think it's

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going to work because companies want to

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give money back to their investors and

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they want to just keep keep shooting up

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their stock price so they can make their

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profits even higher so if they can find

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any kind of loophole to avoid this I can

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guarantee you they're going to

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completely do this and they're going to

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avoid that Robo tax okay so then we have

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of course here programmable money and I

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would argue that this is probably the

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most likely scenario in which Ubi is

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going to happen however this isn't going

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to be as good as you think now I'm not

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stating any conspiracy theories or

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anything like that because of course

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nobody knows what the future is going to

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be like but CBD

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can be good and they can be bad because

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these essentially crypto that are issued

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by a central bank so the Federal Reserve

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can give you money now anyone can use

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crypto anyone knows what crypto is it's

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just like money it's just like on the

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blockchain but the problem is is that

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programmable money can come with certain

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restrictions for example I'm not stating

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that this is what they're going to do

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but it is possible in the future because

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it's programmable and they're able to do

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this and I'm going to explain why this

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is how Ubi is probably going to be

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implemented remember before how we spoke

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about how Ubi and inflation um these

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things kind of go hand in hand and that

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you know there's all this you know labor

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Supply reduction cost pull inflation all

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these kind of you know cost push

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inflation um currency depreciation all

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of these kind of things which aren't

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good that could kind of be offset by

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programming the cbdc so what they could

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have is they could have incentives to

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get people to spend more so they could

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have you know $1,000 or $500 or $200 a

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week that expires and can only be spent

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in certain areas and the reason that I

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think this is probably going to happen

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is because if the government wants

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people to spend more money in a certain

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area they could literally just program

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the money so that it literally is spent

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in that area and I know whilst that does

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sound crazy if you do do research on it

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you can see that programmable money

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programmable cbdcs are likely going to

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be coming in the future the Federal

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Reserve is working on them all of the

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major companies and major world

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economies are going to be working on

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them and I think that's fundamentally

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going to change our economy in the next

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20 years because if we do need Ubi it's

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going to be easily available you're

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going to be able to easily onboard

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people there's of course going to be a

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digital ID rolling out sometime in the

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future and if you're able to program the

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money you're able to effectively

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distributed equally and you're able to

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understand exactly where it goes so I

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think that this is probably going to be

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how it's invested but of course this

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does have its stipulations because

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programming money I guess you could say

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there's an element of Freedom that isn't

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there because if the government can

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control exactly how you spend that money

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then I guess they could you know control

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how certain companies benefit what

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industries are booming what industries

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aren't I mean there's all sorts of

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different things going on there but I do

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think that this is definitely going to

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be one of the ways that Ubi is probably

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going to be distributed now I would also

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argue that Ubi could not happen because

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sometimes governments don't always look

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after you and many people do fall

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through the cracks and the problem is is

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that with governments is that they

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basically just do the bare minimum you

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know some countries you know what we

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often see is that we see that the rich

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are living in these you know luxury

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highrises whilst you know not far often

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we see that there are homeless people

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nearby it's this very almost dystopian

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kind of city and society that we're

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already living in and I mean how crazy

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is it going to look in the future when

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this situation gets even worse are there

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going to be people that are just left

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behind because the government didn't

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create a social safety init and the one

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that they did create just wasn't enough

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and so some people have just been left

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behind I mean it's already happening now

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what's to say it's not going to get even

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worse so I've put here that governments

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don't always look after you because they

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literally don't they literally just do

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the bare minimum and we know that this

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capitalist Society can be very very very

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unforgiving and the problem is is that

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an increasing Trend that we're seeing is

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that the middle class is currently

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getting crushed an increasing trend is

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that we've seen that the middle class is

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not making as much money and the upper

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income is just steadily increasing and

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the lower incomes haven't changed at all

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so it's important to pay attention to

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these Trends and I think a large

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scenario of Ubi reason why it's probably

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going to happen is because the wealth

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Gap is likely to widen okay if we think

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about how Society is right now right now

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things are not too bad okay but here's

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why things could get worse if we take a

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look at how Society is right now I mean

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you probably should have Sam here and

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Microsoft here but if we look at who

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owns the current AI infrastructure who

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owns the tech and who is set to benefit

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the most from AI you know and AGI it's

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the big Tech players okay once

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everything is automated you have to

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understand humans lose their economical

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value and they don't really have as much

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agency which means that these

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billionaires are going to be capturing

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the majority of the economical value

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which means that their net worths are

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probably going to Skyrocket

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exponentially and the average person

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They Don't Really own AI which means

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that they can't profit from it or

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benefit from it as much as these guys

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can now I'm not hating on them of course

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they've created a company they benefit

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this is the system that we exist in but

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what this means is that the wealth Gap

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just simply widens and then there's that

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concentration of power so that is going

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to be something that of course is going

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to be discussed with Ubi and when you

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have only a handful of people that have

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billions or even trillions of dollars it

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argues that is there going to be a

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really real need for Ubi because the

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problem and the need for Ubi is as well

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is as I've said as these guys own the AI

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and as AGI is going to be pretty much

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able to do anything most people won't

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have a job as Elon Musk said the problem

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with that is that there won't be any

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social Mobility whilst yes some careers

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will still exist you'll still be able to

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improve think about it like this okay so

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right now if you want to improve your

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life you can study hard you can get

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better grades you can get to a better

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University you can get a better job you

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can you know make yourself better in the

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interviews you can get better experience

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but the problem is is that in the future

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an AGI level system will likely surpass

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you in all categories it will be faster

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than you it can work for 24 hours it can

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remember everything and it can do

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anything you can do on a computer but

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better so you have to ask yourself how

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in that digital world can you increase

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your income in a way that you can

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surpass a company needing you because

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previously companies need people in

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order to increase their company's value

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but what happens when companies no

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longer need people they just need an AGI

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system it's going to be pretty hard to

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beat out an AGI system especially when

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it's cheaper than you can run for 24

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hours doesn't need sick pay isn't going

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to complain there's going to be no

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lawsuits I mean it's going to be pretty

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incredible in a few years okay and I

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think this probably will happen in the

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next 15 years but how do you improve and

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how do you gain economic agency in this

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Society that's why a lot of people as

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stating that yes you're going to need

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some AGI because if there's no economic

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agency then there's literally no way for

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you to earn an income and I do think

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there will be some industries of course

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there's going to be new Industries and

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stuff like that but I think that it's

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going to be a lot harder than it is now

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so there's definitely going to be some

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policies and stuff that will need to be

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implemented because as the trends we've

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seen Ubi is something that I think is

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almost certainly going to be needed

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because we're moving towards a post AGI

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world and that means the current

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economic landscape is about to change

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and shift in a way we haven't seen

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before so what are your opinions on Ubi

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I think it's almost necessary but I

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think that if it isn't done right it

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could definitely be a dystopia

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unfortunately

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Related Tags
AGI ImpactUBI DebateAI AutomationLabor MarketEconomic ShiftSocial WelfareFuture TrendsTech DisruptionInflation RiskWealth GapDigital Economy