Satoshi's BTC, Hong Kong ETFs, Uniswap vs. The SEC, WMT & More!
Summary
TLDRThe video script features a dynamic discussion on the world of cryptocurrency, with a focus on the potential challenges faced by Uniswap in the face of SEC scrutiny. The speakers express optimism for Uniswap's resilience, citing strong community support and legal complexities surrounding the case. The conversation delves into the significance of Bitcoin for permissionless finance and the advantages of stablecoins in facilitating efficient and cost-effective payments. It also touches on the speculative potential of various cryptocurrencies like NEAR and Sui, considering market dynamics and technological innovations. The discussion further explores the impact of Chinese ETFs on the crypto market, the philosophical implications of Satoshi Nakamoto's potential return, and personal anecdotes about adopting blockchain technology and the benefits of fasting for mental clarity. The engaging dialogue provides insights into the crypto industry's legal, technological, and cultural landscape.
Takeaways
- 📉 The discussion suggests that Uniswap may thrive despite potential SEC actions, given the strong community support and legal challenges in defining the platform's status and actions.
- 💡 The guest expresses confidence in the longevity of permissionless finance technologies like Bitcoin for wealth storage and stablecoins for efficient payments.
- 🚀 Both hosts share a bullish outlook on cryptocurrencies like NEAR and SUI, considering their strong fundamentals and potential for growth, despite uncertainties about market cycles.
- 💻 The conversation highlights the importance of developer experience and the potential impact of projects like Sui and Aptos that focus on making blockchain development more accessible.
- 🌐 The speakers debate the concept of 'Sell in May and go away,' discussing its historical basis and questioning its relevance to modern cryptocurrency markets.
- 📲 There is enthusiasm for blockchain-based mobile network providers like World Mobile, with a willingness to switch from traditional providers for the benefits of blockchain technology.
- 🏦 A comparison is made between Chinese and US ETF models, with the potential for the more efficient 'in-kind' model used in China to influence future US ETF structures.
- 🤔 A hypothetical scenario is explored where Satoshi Nakamoto reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin, which could significantly impact the market and raise numerous questions.
- 🎉 There's a light-hearted discussion about the dream of owning a Lamborghini as a symbol of success, tempered by practical considerations and the realities of daily use.
- 🍽 The host shares personal health and fitness tips, including fasting, reduced carbohydrate intake, and a focus on weight training and paddle sports for improved mental acuity and physical fitness.
Q & A
What is the general sentiment towards Uniswap in the crypto community?
-The crypto community is strongly behind Uniswap, viewing it as a beloved actor in the space. The community perceives the SEC's action against Uniswap as an egregious move, rallying support for the platform.
What is the Wells notice in the context of the SEC?
-A Wells notice is typically a precursor to the SEC potentially suing a crypto company or any other entity. It is a formal notification that the SEC intends to file a civil action against the recipient of the notice.
How does the legal system view the technology behind Uniswap?
-The legal system is challenged to define Uniswap's technology, which is seen as a piece of code facilitating transactions rather than a broker. This distinction is crucial as it affects the legal grounds for the SEC to pursue action against Uniswap.
What is the significance of the 'in kind' versus 'in cash' model for ETFs?
-The 'in kind' model allows for the direct exchange of the underlying asset, like Bitcoin, for shares in an ETF, and vice versa. The 'in cash' model involves selling the asset for cash first, then using that cash to issue shares. The 'in kind' model is more efficient, cost-effective, and preferred by investors, but it has faced regulatory hurdles in the US.
How does the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy apply to the current cryptocurrency market?
-The 'Sell in May and go away' strategy is historically based on the performance of stock markets, suggesting that it's better to sell in May and return in November. Its applicability to crypto is uncertain, as the cryptocurrency market has shown different dynamics and may not follow the same patterns as traditional markets.
What are the implications if Satoshi Nakamoto were to sell all their BTC?
-If Satoshi Nakamoto were to sell all their BTC, it would represent a significant supply shock to the market, likely causing a substantial drop in Bitcoin's price in the short term. However, the long-term impact would depend on market demand and the ability to absorb the additional supply.
Why is the development experience important for blockchain projects?
-The development experience is crucial because it affects the ease with which developers can build applications on a blockchain. A better development experience can attract more developers, leading to more innovation and adoption of the blockchain platform.
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What is the potential impact of Chinese ETFs on the US ETF market?
-The launch of Chinese ETFs could potentially influence the US market by demonstrating the efficiency of the 'in kind' model. This might encourage US ETF providers to push for similar structures, which could lead to more efficient and cost-effective ETFs in the US.
How does the concept of modular blockchains differ from monolithic blockchains?
-Modular blockchains focus on specialization, where different blockchains handle different aspects of the system, such as data availability or execution. This contrasts with monolithic blockchains, which aim to integrate all functions into a single blockchain. Modular blockchains can potentially offer greater scalability and flexibility.
What are the key factors driving the adoption of blockchain-based mobile network providers?
-Factors driving adoption include the potential for lower costs, better service, and the ability to leverage existing infrastructure. Additionally, the support for blockchain technology and the desire for more decentralized and transparent services are key motivators for users to switch to blockchain-based mobile network providers.
What is the current stance of the People's Republic of China on cryptocurrency investments?
-The Chinese government has stringent regulations on cryptocurrency investments and has not fully embraced crypto. Capital flow from China to other markets, including Hong Kong for crypto investments, is controlled and not easily permissionless, reflecting the government's concerns over capital controls and financial stability.
Outlines
🚀 Crypto Q&A Session Kickoff
The video begins with a warm welcome to a crypto Q&A session. The host, Nick, is joined by a returning guest, Guy, who is a popular figure among the audience. They express gratitude to the viewers for their engagement and questions. The first question addresses the potential legal challenges faced by Uniswap from the SEC. While some believe Uniswap may not survive, Guy offers a detailed analysis, suggesting that Uniswap will not only survive but thrive. He discusses the Wells notice, the legal basis for SEC actions, and the broader community support for Uniswap. He also touches on the technical aspects of whether Uniswap can be considered a broker and the implications of the SEC's potential view of crypto assets as securities.
🤔 Analyzing the SEC's Approach and Crypto's Future
The discussion continues with an analysis of the SEC's strategy, particularly focusing on its head of enforcement, Geria Greywell. The speakers consider the SEC's decision to target Uniswap and the broader implications for the crypto community. They also discuss the importance of Bitcoin for permissionless finance and the utility of stablecoins for efficient payments. The narrative contrasts the traditional banking system's slow and costly international transfers with the speed and low cost of crypto transactions. The segment concludes with a mention of Stripe's renewed interest in crypto integration, highlighting the growing relevance of crypto payments.
💡 Permissionless Finance and Its Impact
The speakers delve into their personal experiences with crypto, emphasizing the convenience of permissionless finance. They discuss the ease of swapping coins without the need for account verification or KYC processes, facilitated by platforms like Uniswap. The conversation also explores the potential longevity of various crypto use cases, including the remittance market's shift towards crypto, which could render traditional financial services obsolete. A promotional segment for Coin Bureau's deals page follows, offering discounts and promotions in the crypto space.
📈 Speculating on the Growth of NEAR and SUI
The Q&A addresses a question about the potential for NEAR and SUI to increase in value by 10 times. The speakers, who disclose their holdings in both cryptocurrencies, express optimism about the projects' futures. They discuss the technical merits of each, the market cap challenges for achieving a 10x increase, and the importance of community support and strong legal backing. The segment also touches on the potential impact of new supply releases on market dynamics and the importance of developer experience in driving adoption.
🌐 Layer One Blockchains and Their Specialization
The conversation shifts to the Layer One (L1) blockchain narrative and its potential to drive growth during the current bull run. The speakers debate the merits of various L1 blockchains, including Solana, NEAR, and Avalanche, each with its unique focus and use cases. They discuss the challenges of a crowded L1 space and the importance of specialization. The speakers also explore the concept of modular blockchains, which could offer scalability without compromising security or decentralization, and the potential impact of such technology on the future of L1 blockchains.
🏦 Sell in May and Go Away: An Investor Tradition
The speakers examine the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy, a historical trading pattern suggesting that stocks perform better outside of the May to September period. They discuss the origins of this strategy in the UK and its potential relevance in today's markets. The conversation also considers the impact of this strategy on crypto investments, the changing correlation between stocks and crypto, and the influence of risk-on and risk-off investor behavior. The speakers acknowledge that while past performance is not indicative of future results, certain market patterns may still hold sway.
📱 Blockchain-Based Mobile Networks
The Q&A explores the idea of switching to a blockchain-based mobile network provider like World Mobile. The speakers express a willingness to pay a premium for such services, citing the importance of supporting blockchain technology and the potential benefits of decentralized networks. They discuss the need for equal or better performance compared to traditional providers and the possibility of leveraging partner networks for coverage.
🏗️ Chinese ETFs and Their Global Impact
The speakers discuss the upcoming launch of Chinese ETFs in Hong Kong and the potential impact on global markets. They compare the in-kind and in-cash models for ETFs, highlighting the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of the in-kind model, which is more commonly used and preferred by investors. The conversation touches on the potential for these ETFs to influence SEC policies in the US and the broader implications for crypto adoption and investment.
🤔 Hypothetical Scenario: Satoshi's Return
The speakers contemplate a hypothetical scenario where Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin holdings. They discuss the potential market impact, suggesting that it would initially be negative due to the sudden increase in supply. However, they also reflect on the mystery surrounding Satoshi's identity and the strength it lends to Bitcoin's narrative as a decentralized currency without a central figurehead.
🏎️ When Lambo? A Crypto Community Stereotype
The conversation lightens up with a discussion about the 'When Lambo?' question, a humorous stereotype within the crypto community that reflects the aspirational wealth associated with successful cryptocurrency investments. The speakers discuss their personal views on luxury purchases and the practicality of owning a Lamborghini, balancing the desire for such status symbols with the realities of everyday use and personal priorities.
🍽️ Health and Fitness: A Crypto Influencer's Journey
The final segment shares personal insights into the speaker's health and fitness journey, including weight loss, dietary changes, and exercise routines. The speaker discusses the benefits of fasting, a reduction in carbohydrate intake, and the importance of mental clarity. The conversation concludes with a light-hearted acknowledgment of the challenges faced on fasting days and the overall positive impact on well-being.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Uniswap
💡Wells Notice
💡Securities
💡Crypto Community
💡Stablecoins
💡Bitcoin
💡Layer 1 (L1)
💡Modularity in Blockchain
💡ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)
💡Risk-On and Risk-Off
💡Satoshi Nakamoto
Highlights
The discussion begins with the question of whether Uniswap will survive potential SEC scrutiny, with the guest expressing optimism that Uniswap will thrive.
The guest references a Wells notice sent to Uniswap, which is often a precursor to legal action by the SEC.
The analysis suggests that Uniswap has strong community support and legal backing, which could help them navigate potential SEC actions.
The conversation touches on the legal complexities surrounding whether Uniswap is offering unregistered securities.
The guest recommends a podcast interview with Laura Shin for further insights into the legal challenges facing Uniswap.
The discussion explores the possibility of the SEC viewing the Uniswap airdrop as an unregistered security offering.
The guest expresses confidence in Uniswap's ability to handle legal challenges, citing their strong legal team and financial resources.
The conversation shifts to the personal use of cryptocurrency, with the guest favoring Bitcoin for wealth storage and stablecoins for payments.
The guest criticizes traditional banking systems for their slow and expensive international transfer processes.
The advantages of permissionless finance and decentralized applications (DApps) are highlighted, particularly for their ease of use and low fees.
The topic of the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy is discussed in the context of both traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The guest expresses a willingness to switch to a blockchain-based mobile network provider, should the service quality be comparable.
The discussion addresses the upcoming launch of Chinese cryptocurrency ETFs and their potential impact on the market.
The guest contemplates the scenario where Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin holdings.
The conversation concludes with a discussion on the guest's personal diet and fitness regimen, including fasting and exercise habits.
The guest shares his thoughts on the practicality of owning a Lamborghini, considering the weather conditions and traffic in Dubai.
Transcripts
GM guys and welcome to another episode
of crypto Q&A and as you can see back by
po leand I've got the man the myth the
legend guy back on with us guy welcome
back man it's been a minute thanks Nick
yes it has I I don't see where this
popular demand is coming from but if you
if you say so I'll no no definitely I
see all the fans I read all the comments
like where is guy we need him back here
with us want him to answer our questions
yeah cool guys so thank you of course
for submitting your questions um we've
got quite a lot to cover today so we'll
be diving right in um and uh guy you
want to kick off man yeah man um so the
first question is from TK 98 will Unis
swap survive the SEC the dreaded SEC
will they survive H I don't think
they'll survive I think they will Thrive
okay I think they'll Thrive I think that
yeah going worry there yeah no to be
honest I think that um a lot of the
analysis I've seen post and obviously if
you guys don't know what's happened uni
swap about two weeks ago they got the
wells notice the wells notice is usually
the precursor to the ACC potentially
suing a crypto or a a company um and
this in about 80% of the time it happens
so obviously this was the the point of
the matter is and some the analysis I've
seen post this is that they couldn't
have gone after a better actor in the
space like unisoft is red they loved the
crypto Community is strongly behind them
uh the even the mainstream press uh and
uh narrative after this is kind of like
these are you know crypto developers
they're struggling to try and find their
way in a very archaic legal system and
they they fight in the good fight for
crypto so the whole narrative and
obviously all the crypto uh you know
lobbyists and all the crypto companies
and the crypto Community is behind Unis
swap y because it is a quite an
egregious action by the ACC but aside
from the narrative and stuff it's the
question around the legal grounds with
which they have to go the SEC has to go
after them and there's quite a few
podcasts I me I'll recommend one from
Laura Shin about a week ago Where She
interviewed a lawyer about this but in
terms of what the acc's case they've got
and obviously they're trying to bring
what they assume they will try and bring
is the question around whether Unis swop
is offering or broker in unregistered
Securities right and they're not naming
the Securities they're just naming they
making the same assumption they did with
the coinbase lawsuit back in 2022 watch
which is that all these they're not
going to name the particular assets or
crypto assets but they're taken the the
line that all of these are crypto
Securities um but the problem is that in
the this the the dismissal suit for the
acc's case against coinbase the judge
explicitly stated that coinbase wallet
which is kind of akin to it
non-custodial uh technology that people
can use to facilitate transactions they
can actually push their own transactions
it's not like it can't be seen as any
sort of broker it's just a piece of
technology it's a code so there in judg
has actually stated that so that's one
thing that SEC is going to have trouble
trying to prove unistop is nothing more
than a piece of code that facilitates a
transfer they're not Ro rooting the
orders themselves they're not um they're
not helping to determine where it goes
so they're not a broker they can't be
viewed as a broker yeah and then there's
also the question they think about
potentially um the SEC could look at the
uni airdrop as some sort of a yeah yeah
an unregistered an unregistered security
offering yeah um and but even in that
case it's very difficult because I I
part of the analysis is that they'll try
and look at a previous example where in
Old Securities Law where if a company
off free stock it's an incentive for
people to increase the value of the
stock um by holding it but even in this
case that's if that on that case it was
based on the assumption that there were
stocks which are actual Securities
defined as Securities in this case
they're not defined as security so you
know I think that um it's it's going to
have a very tough time the the SEC to
take to take on Unis swap I think that
they kind of expected it was coming
there was always these concerns that it
was going to come this is why the unop
if you recall even two years or three
years ago they restricted certain stock
based tokens they took it off their
platform at least the front end um but
yeah I think that the SEC is going to
have a tough time here Unis swop is uh
got a lot of the community behind him
they've got the they've got um strong I
assume a very big legal team that's
going to help them out with this
resourced well resourced they're very
profitable profitable exactly and
they've got um they've got back big
investors a6s he's a big investor um so
yeah I mean it's it's unfortunate that
the SEC wants to go after you know the
good actors in the space the ones that
are actually coming to them asking for
clarity yeah when you when you consider
all the all the other entities the SEC
could have gone after and could secure a
much easier win against I won't I won't
name any names but you know some of them
would be fairly obvious to view like
when you consider what the SEC could
have gone after and they go after Unis
swap it's just it's Madness but as we've
pointed out you know we did um we did
the video on uh is ether security yeah
because obviously uh the SEC is also
sort of nosing around uh elements of
ethereum's ecosystem and as we said you
know it's not Gary gendler um who's the
main villain in all this it's geria
Greywell the sec's head of enforcement
who from what we could tell doesn't
really understand crypto no um so maybe
that explains why they've gone for UNIS
swap you know he just it's sort of the
most the only one that he's probably
aware of that the SEC hasn't already
sued I I think it's also kind of like
the the organizations that seem to get
sued are the ones that are actually
proactively going there asking for
clarity so it's crazy isn't it it's like
it's almost like it it reminds the SEC
that they're there and they're just sort
of lashing out knock on the door knock
on the door God you know know can you
please give us Clarity please give us
Clarity no we're going to give you a
Wells notice you know um but yeah the
sec's taken on a bit more than they can
shoot I mean they're not only facing
unisoft now they've also do did you did
you hear about that story about that um
bag there was this oh yeah um I forget
the name I forget the name of the
company but they're sort of Proactiv
they're Pro proactively suing them um
and I saw a headline as well last just
this just this morning consensus
consensus is also going after them so
they've rarely bit up for more than they
can shoe um and not so I mean yeah like
the SEC The Crusade against crypto they
don't have the public on their side I
don't think I mean I don't know who they
actually maybe they've got some banks
who usually you know Rota IND door to
the secm banks uh but and maybe it's
because if you think in unit is like a
top down and Gary Gensler still wants to
appear strong on crypto maybe he still
has his eyes on the treasury spot um but
um yeah I think that the long answer to
the question is uniso is they couldn't
have taken on a more forbidden opponent
uh you know so yeah I think uh no
they're not going they're going to have
a tough time the ACC yeah yeah yeah and
of course it's going to be very
difficult for the SEC or anyone else to
restrict access to Unis swap I mean I
guess you can try and restrict access to
the front end yeah but like the front
end is just the front end you know the
the protocol itself is is immutable yeah
exactly so and they can always host it
on ipfs there's other ways of doing this
so as a permissionless protocol there
are many ways and people can use it um
same thing like tornado cach like you
know I mean they even sanctioned but
people could still use it so yeah that's
the that's the beauty of permissionless
protocols yeah cool good question next
one is from by danne and he's asking all
speculation aside what crypto Tech do
you actually use the most and believe in
its longevity that's a good question um
I think probably the one that I the one
that I use the most or the one that has
the most of my mind share as well is
Bitcoin because it's you know it's
permissionless Finance um as we've
seeing with this uh recent business with
Samurai wallet you know the the the the
ability to hold your own money outside
of a bank uh outside of anyone else's
control is is getting more and more
important by the day at the moment so I
use Bitcoin you know kind of if you like
kind of every day for for storing wealth
um that's my principal means of saving
obviously it's a very volatile means of
saving but it's worked pretty well for
me so far so there's that um I use
stable coins for payments a lot I find I
I just think the idea of paying I had to
do an international bank transfer the
other day it took hours and they charged
me
£10 and you get lost yeah and when I
think I could have sent that amount in
stable coins in minutes for pennies I
just thought this is this is ridiculous
how much longer can this last but the
vested interests of the banking system
are pretty strong so it will last for a
long time but yeah I think those I think
those two for me are you know they're
the clearest and they're the simplest
the the idea of being able to move
potentially millions of of dollars but
you know in my case a few hundred or a
few thousand but the idea of being able
to move money across the world
peer-to-peer and pay minimal fees I
think is it's still extraordinary even
15 years after Bitcoin was invented so
that's that's too for me yeah 100% and
that was one of the reasons why I ever
got into crypto is the knowing that it's
like actually trying to do International
transfers one a great example because
you know just think about how the Swift
banking system works you know first of
all you got to get the routing numbers
right the Swift number right some
countes don't AR fully plugged into
Swift properly it takes two or 3 days
you have to send and wish and hope and a
prayer that it's going to get there you
have to send and hope that the
intermediary banks are going to get it
it's not going to get returned they're
not going to have issues with the
particular reference you've used so yeah
payments is a massive one for crypto um
and I think that um you know it's
actually interesting you see that stripe
is now going to offer crypto integration
again so payment is becoming a big thing
again a big narrative but it's one of
those things that I definitely use most
often is like payments for crypto andits
and especially from the fact they being
permissionless um and also defi like if
you think about it the idea that you can
actually if you want to swap a coin I
don't have to go through the rig logging
onto an account on Exchange going and
doing kyc all that kind of stuff not
because I have anything to hide not
because I have a problem with kyc I've
got many Exchange accounts but just the
notion that hey I want to swap the
school I want to swap quickly I want to
go and do it through a quick exchange
swap on Unis swap or on Trader Joe or on
you know radium or any sort of defi
decks it's it's a great it's just such a
great feeling and also just like you
know that you know that you can do it
anytime and it's it's this
permissionless Finance which um I think
is one of the biggest uh and most the
longevity I believe in that um I guess
one more thing and this is interesting
is like the longevity of uh potential
other crypto use cases that we don't
particularly lose on The Daily but that
could have longevity and another one
that I've seen a lot about is deepen
obviously um uh so that's another one
but I don't personally use it we'll come
back to that with some other questions
but uh yeah definitely payments defi
permissionless Finance that's always
going to have a need and a use case and
especially if you've been exposed and
have to deal with the traditional
Financial system in cross border or when
you have it been debanked all that kind
of stuff crypto is the future so yeah
one day hopefully not too far away
people will people will say did you
really used to have to pay 10% to remit
money to Africa did you really used to
have to pay X number of dollars or X
number of pounds or whatever to make
just to transfer your own money um and
it will be like yeah it's really stuck
around we'll view it as archaic as we
did and look at how people did a trade
100 years ago right you know so yeah
remittance companies will soon be like
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[Music]
yeah okay so uh SM mukit asks do you
think both Nia and sui will go 10x from
this point I should before I say before
either of us say anything I should say
that I hold SE and near and Su yeah um
do you hold either of those I do I do
hold both yeah I hold both so we both
can be completely impartial here in the
sense that that we uh both hold them so
we can give a good um you know impartial
view on it in terms of um uh so here's
the question obviously it's like what
does he do you mean what in what time
frame yeah because obviously um 10x from
this point yes I do think so I mean if
you think crypto is the future crypto is
always going to be there unless you
think crypto is going to zero I think
these these projects are strong projects
and they will 10x now um will come back
now the question is in the cycle I think
that's a bit difficult especially where
we are in the cycle now let me just stay
obviously why we we both hold the
projects I'm bullish on it obviously I'm
bullish on near Because by the way we
actually got an interview um that justed
with Ilia the Ilia the founder of and
CEO of Nia which is on the clips you can
view that and we also recently did a
year update video but I'm bullish on
year because obviously the tech is
amazing they got a good play they got a
good narrative in the AI space now
because IIA is one of the founders of
you know this paper and obviously the
tech is great Dynamic resharding night
shade the consensus mechanism but in
terms of whether you think that the uh
the price could 10x uh is toomics right
and we've got about a billion dollar a
billion total outstanding near right so
and it's already it's at 17 in terms of
market cap so in order to 10x that's
quite a quite a jump in terms of the
market cap right now so we're going to
need a lot of buying pressure in the
crypto in general in terms of liquidity
to come in to push an alquin like that
to in its market cap by 10x right now so
that's near in terms of sui um you'd
think okay probably potentially has more
potential to reach the 10x because it's
at 61 in terms of market cap rankings um
but and but the problem with that is
that uh sui has only about 133% of the
supply outstanding yeah yeah there's
still a lot to unlock a 10x on the
market cap doesn't equate to I mean a
10x in the market cap doesn't equate to
a 10x on price because the and that's a
large Supply outstanding and by the way
in about a few days they're going to be
um the series B run is going to start
having a vesting out right about 6% of
the supply admittedly it's over a long I
think it's two years vest out so it
shouldn't have that much of an impact
but that will obviously impact on the
circula supply coming onto the market
which obviously will could push up the
market cap but it necess in terms of
price you'd need a lot more buy even
more so than in the near space on the
near case for example so you know I'm
and the I'm bullish on both projects
obviously I hold them uh sui as well
we've also done we did a video
Discord AMA was one of the founders and
he was super smart guy and I think that
Su as well as on this whole move
narrative with the move programming
language that one of the guys developed
move itself is actually one of the
co-founders of sui um and uh you know I
think it's an L1 and al1 it's highly
performing developers love it the the um
actual development company M lab has
raised a lot of money so I'm bullish on
them from a tech perspective and I do
hold both of them and I think that they
can definitely increase in value in this
bull run but 10x I think uh is is a bit
uh is a bit more of an ask I think we'll
need to see like real uh real Euphoria
in the market real sort of euphoric
speculation for them to 10x um but yeah
it's we're supposed to call it s I
should s that's how Adon e um when J
interviewed him swe that's how he
referred to it so yeah we need to be we
need to respect if if that's what the
boss says um uh so yes so S I think I
think I I was bullish on sweet
especially because I think they they
seem to be really pitching towards web 2
as in getting web 2 companies and
entities on board in and into web 3 and
I think that's a potentially you know
huge growth Vector I'm not sure to what
extent other layer ones are doing that
um and obviously uh you know sweet like
Aptos which is another very well-backed
alt L1 um they obviously have a lot of
expertise from Facebook DM yeah the DM
and I think that your point around the
web to on boarding is easier with
project like because um obviously uh the
programming language is very very easy
and this is what we've heard from devs
as well uh it's that a lot easier to
build on the likes of to build with move
and and onu um we actually have a su Dev
in our in our members Discord don't we
um who is uh who's very knowledgeable
about this sort of thing and says that
building on Suite is is is really good
and uh when you consider that uh founder
of salana himself said that building on
salana is like like chewing glass yeah
you know the the I think the developer
experience is something that's that's
underrated because that you know if you
don't have a good developer experience
you're not going to have as much
development so yeah one thing I do
though in terms of can potentially
challenge the likes ofu and Aptos in
terms of this question around move and
EAS ease of using the programming
language is other Solutions which are
leveraging movement the move the the
language uh to be able to use them
within other protocols and stuff and one
of these obviously is movement Labs um
and they recently just completed their a
35 million raise we invested in as well
um and they developing this uh you know
move B modular move based blockchains uh
to leverage move and and other projects
can use it so it can make easier for
development on their blockchain so
that's also something that could
potentially be a challenge to these l1s
yeah cool and um speaking of uh l1s uh
we've got Sven d and he's asking will
layer one narrative work this bull run
as well that is a good question l1's all
alt l1s were a big narrative last time
around and obviously salana sort of led
the charge there and kind of still is
really isn't it yeah and I guess you
could say that this time around perhaps
salana you know last time it was
ethereum Killers like salana this time
around there's a lot of talk around
salana Killers yeah like for instance s
Aptos um there's another one as well
that's gone out of my head say say um so
there's lot so yeah there's definitely
room for that narrative but I think the
L1 space is becoming increasingly
congested now that's right um and it's
about F I think for l1's it's about
focusing on a particular narrative and I
think those that capture a particular
narrative will do well so salana seems
to be focusing very much well salana has
got sort of multifocus doesn't it but it
seems to be kind of honing in on
payments obviously you talked about this
usdc integration recently um salana has
long been big for stable coins mean
coins as well and now and also uh deep
in near on the other hand is kind of
going after AI Avalanche is kind of
targeting gaming gaming r as well yeah
rwa yeah so um I think picking picking
winners from this crop of l1s is going
to be harder yeah um I don't plan on
adding adding any other l1s to my
portfolio
um s and near were my kind of last last
Buys in that and I think be and even
after that you know you then get into
the uh talk around kind of uh modular or
monolithic which is now becoming a thing
um modular this idea of kind of uh you
know making it basically less
complicated you know sort of taking
different elements out and it's more
sort of plug and play so you have a
rather than have a blockchain that kind
of does everything yeah you have a
blockchain that does does one thing and
then it leverages other blockchains for
various things like for instance
leveraging Celestia for data
availability or what it might be so that
kind of further complicates it as well
are you going to go for a a monolithic
blockchain like
salana uh which could be you know which
could now be seen as sort of yesterday's
news or is you're going to chase a
modular play like Celestia yeah no I
totally agree with you I think that um
actually um the modular play is the one
to focus on for this for the rest of the
cycle um because I think that um we've
always been thinking about the whole Tri
scalability trima you know and that's
what's always been played in or one of
the big you know conundrums that a
blockchain and L1 will face it's like
how do you go without impacting on
security uh
decentralization um you know the
security decentralization what was the
third one um scalability scalability of
course yeah so those three parts of the
trma those three legs of the chair um
and um yeah if you can't go with one
without compromising on the other what
cool about modularity is that you can
use these protocols can actually
function and hone and refine their you
know the different Stacks you've got the
execution layer you got the the data
availability the settlement and all
these layers basically they can refine
the layers and and actually work on the
best tech for that particular layer and
then other blockchains and other
builders and D developers can leverage
different uh protocols to be able to
build the best and most and highly
performant deps so don't have to
compromise on any one of the three parts
of the scalability tri
and I think that there's a lot of
projects that are focused on that right
now you know not just celesty but like
lava Network I just mentioned movement
uh this idea that you can use these plug
and play and think about it a good
analogy is um that I've seen is uh think
about like ruction plants right you know
like you one production plant like
producing they produce the whole car
right every single component in the car
whereas now and and with like think
about like airb how they produce an
aircraft right all of these different
plants bring in different components the
guys will specialize on the Wings in
Spain and the guys will specialize in
the engines in the UK and the wheels
will be developed in Germany and these
production plants will specialize in
very specific components that make up
piece of engineering feat that will you
know is the Airbus aircraft so you can
do the view the same way as blockchains
right and um do we have to have these
separate l1s that are all competing to
try and produce the latest highly
performing consensus mechanism and brag
about their TPS when you can just
leverage different technologies that
focus on different uh parts of the stack
so yeah I'm bullish on modularity yeah
just do just basically doing one thing
and doing it really well rather than
trying to do specializ yeah the whole
Adam Smith you know the uh uh the
specialization of Labor the the the
history of capitalism is refined now
down to crypto currency blockchains as
well I'm glad you used Airbus as an
example there rather than bow B exactly
I which is probably a good example of
why where things can go bad as well you
know if you're Outsourcing too much yeah
okay next question is from Arnold Thomas
78 sell in May and go away question mark
yeah that's interesting um this is
obviously something that comes from
tradire it's been a um it's also called
the Halloween effect in the terms of you
know crypto starts doing very well after
November um and it's actually research
on this it goes back centuries in the
17th century UK the concept of Sal Salin
May and go away basically Traders in the
city of London would sell their stocks
in May because and then they'd go to
Countryside for their summer Retreats
because they can't actually in those
days obviously you can't know what
you're not trading the stocks you can't
view the stocks you can't manage them
whilst you're away from the stock
exchange so they would go to their
country homes and they' come back it was
actually called sell in May and go away
and come back in s lias day and
obviously s lias is like one of these
horse races that happened around
September time oh yeah oh the oh yeah
yeah yeah is it the St Le St Leeder
something maybe I'm pronounced but yeah
St lers or St leas essentially so that
was the history of it and it's it's it
goes back many years um and the question
now is of it's also there have been many
studies done and does this actually work
is this the case in trafi and stocks and
stuff and it's more pronounced in Europe
but even in the US um you know they've
done they did studies from 1990 uh the
returns you'd see from uh May to
September about 2% on average and from
November to you know April about 7% so
statistically significant um of course
the question then comes down to how much
of this is actual obviously there's no
point there's no there not the same
drivers as they did in England back in
the day it's obviously this notion of
self-fulfilling prophecies people think
about it and they do it yeah now it's a
thing and also there's been past
performance is not indicator of future
returns and there's been many examples
where in summer you've had crazy rallies
2020 is a good example as well um now
that's just the history of it when it
comes to stocks and obviously you
obviously I assume you're interested in
it from a perspective of crypto we are
after all a a crypto ch and then there
just this just comes back to the
question of um do stocks follow do
crypto follow stocks does crypto follow
stocks and what's the correlation like
and is it a risk on or a risk wor asset
um and you know I think that more
recently I'm I'm iring on to the side
that the investor class in
cryptocurrency kind of bipoc where
you've got some investors who focused on
it from a risk wolf perspective a hedge
um to financial instability in terms of
what happened recently last year when
you had for instance the banking crisis
people ready toward Bitcoin in crypto
and correlation in cryptocurrency assets
to stocks has been coming down more
recently this year so I think that um
the my view is that there's going to
these two investor classes are going to
kind of like compete in the next few
months in terms of those who looking for
liquidity need to be risk on are going
to allocate a bit Bitcoin and crypto
potentially through ETFs in their risk
on buet and those who exist in the risk
off category like I need a hedge that's
akin to Gold that's going to be that can
protect me from for instance uh
geopolitical instability High inflation
that kind of stuff uh so the answer to
your question is I I think that in
stocks you may see it play out
potentially if the people still have
this View and especially now the stocks
have sold off they may continue
liquidity is not in fed pivot is delayed
out but I don't know if necessarily it's
going to have the same the similar
impact on crypto because of all the
factors I just mentioned around risk on
and risk off yeah yeah I suppose I
suppose what's what would be interesting
to see now now that we now that the ETFs
the spot ETFs seem to have brought in
like a new class of if you like trafy
yeah investment trafy Capital into
crypto yeah will they behave with those
ETF stocks like they behave with regular
stocks you know so will we see a
sell-off from the ETFs will we see
outflows which will obviously exct
result in in in the market taking a
downturn and of course there's been
there's been lots of talk in the last
sort of few weeks and months hasn't
there about a potential liquidity crisis
yeah around May anyway because of you
know M things like the emptying of the
or or the refilling I should say of the
TGA so um I think you know perhaps if
those two combined you know if if if
those tradire investors looked ahead and
thought well probably best to have some
liquidity ahead of a liquidity crisis um
so it's definitely something to
definitely something to keep an eye on
yeah I think that um yeah for sure it's
going to be very specific factors at
play this time that could definitely
reinforce this notion of May being a bad
month um in both crypto and stocks um
but yeah um in yeah so but but whether
it's something to focus on his in the
future and use it as a benchmark to
invest sell everything in May well you
could miss out in a good ready like we
saw in 2020 Etc so yeah if in doubt
hoddle yeah if in doubt H if in doubt
hoddle let the let the Trad five people
let to me revert to mean exactly just go
go away to your country home in England
don't look at your crypto portfolio
don't open coin market cap and just come
back in in November just going to chill
in the country for a few mons we'll be
fine we'll take care of it and if it's
completely crashed go back
spend the spend the winter there just
spend as long as you need to in the
country until everything's fine again
cool okay so next question is from
zlot Z and he's asking would you change
your current mobile network provider to
a blockchain uh based one like WM which
I assume is World mobile yeah yeah
interesting would I yeah hell hell yeah
okay hell yeah um I I mean I know this
is I know things like World mob uh
projects like World mobile are already
operating in quite a number of places
Zanzibar notably but also the US uh
parts of Asia Pakistan I think world
mobile has a big uh footprint there um I
do actually own some WMT now so I should
say that um but yeah I would definitely
use I mean I think um I did look into to
using helium back when I was in London
yeah um that was back when there was a
hardware crisis because we had Supply
chains all smed up because of Co and it
was impossible to get your hands on one
of these hotspot devices uh which was
kind of frustrating but yeah I would I
would definitely you know if if a plan
became if a plan became available I
would and I would be willing to pay you
know a little bit more than I would from
one of the big networks because that
would be my next question it's like and
this is a question of where the
indifference curved lives in the sense
that how much more would you be willing
to pay for a crypto or blockchainbased
mobile network over your current one and
how much more would you be to sacrifice
in terms of this is just a hypothetical
potential
coverage I mean I would it would it
would definitely have to work like I
wouldn't pay more for something that
didn't work as well okay so the
performance would have to be equal but I
would be willing to pay more as a you
know as an advocate for blockchain I
would be willing to pay more if I was
getting the same or dare say better
service yeah that's that's for sure um
perhaps I'd be willing to pay a bit less
if the service wasn't so great but I
mean you know connectivity is so
important now if you can't get it it's
almost like you know if you're if you're
someone like if you're someone like us
you know who's used who's used to these
sort of things in life being unconnected
is just disaster imagine how crazy it
will be if your your pursuit of adopting
blockchain technology is the reason that
you can't check coin market cap because
you don't have Network it's like God
damn it that would be that would be the
most painful iron yeah it would be yeah
yeah I think I would as well I think
that also in um you mentioned World
mobile obviously there's helium and you
mentioned helium as well they've
released um in the US $20 plan trial
period in Miami which is much better
than some of the other providers so you
know definitely in that case not only
doesn't make sense from a financial
perspective but um and there's also they
pay backup if you in another place you
can it leverages the T-Mobile network
yeah so you're not going to be out
without coverage um so yeah if they had
the opportunity if any of these mobile
network providers provide a solution
here in Dubai and as long as the
coverage is as good and you can use it
in other places and they have partner
networks that they're able to leverage
their their networks as well and their
infrastructure then I would for sure I
think it's one of these things you want
to be able to use it and we need to be
advocates for it with all these deepen
projects yeah cool okay uh next question
is from think CD Chinese Inc I'm glad
this is going to you Chinese in kind
creation versus US Cash creates ETF
models who wins long-term and why thank
goodness we've got our Trad F no it's um
so I guess it's important to um the back
story here obviously if you guys don't
know already there's going to be Chinese
ETFs in Hong Kong are going to be
launching in about about three ETF
providers are launching ETFs on Tuesday
this week right okay um and uh there's
they've competing very much on fees like
some of the fees are lower than the US
equivalent in terms of what they're
offering to their investors and it's
been highly promoted in Hong Kong and
there there was a lot of excitement
about this now we covered this a bit in
in last week's Q&A um and that's the
question of I it's definitely not going
to be as much of an uh impact on the
markets as the US were no way the
liquidity will just won't be there even
if Chinese investors can invest through
it in a permission stock conect thing um
they are not going to have the same
amount of demand as the US however
having said that the point the question
more specifically uh is the way in which
these ETFs work and it's very different
from the US now just explaining what in
kind and in and cash models or in cash
creates in kind Redemption and issuance
model is when the asset itself is used
to buy the shares so in this case
Bitcoin in shares come out you can take
your Bitcoin to the ETF provider you get
shares out of it you redeem your shares
you get Bitcoin back right right the US
they the SEC was vehemently against that
you know the the issues themselves want
it but the US was vly against it and the
SEC was vly against it and so they've
had to go for the cash model which is a
lot many steps and I actually did a post
on this on coin.com which I'll link to
Below in terms of how convoluted the
incash version is because they have to
there's an extra step you have to go and
you have to have a cash custodian and
you have to go and have you you go and
put the Bitcoin in they have to sell it
for cash use the cash then go and issue
the shares the AP and and the market
makers on the equity side as well as the
stock as as the crypto side have to go
and there's multiple layers to it and
obviously that adds to fees right so it
becomes a more expensive product and
it's inefficient and the issuers don't
like it either
and then there's also the question of
tracking error which is a big thing for
ETFs right um and um in this I'll refer
to a recent bitm uh blog post that
looked at uh other ETFs uh the in kind
versus the incash um and for for one at
least 70% or so of AUM on ETFs is in
kind right so it's like it's it's that's
what's normally the norm in terms of the
most valuable ETFs and then in terms of
tracking error there is substantial
tracking error for the cash equivalent
ones right so obviously it's inefficient
for the investors they're not getting
the fullon exposure as they want and you
have this tracking era which adds to
costs um so it's an an efficient product
now it will be interesting obviously the
in kind will wi long term because it has
been proven to do the case and you've
got if you've got tracking era for so
long you're not going to want to invest
in a product that's always going to and
if you have an equivalent that's an in
kind version you're going to want to
invest in that because it's can be more
efficient and cost more cost effective
um but yeah it'll be interesting to see
how plays out it will be interesting to
see if uh these particular products are
able if there's studies done to see how
the ETFs in Hong Kong are better able to
track the price of Bitcoin uh whether
this will uh potentially Force the hand
of the SEC um whether the ETF providers
in the US will use it as a reason to go
back to the ACC being like look this is
makes no sense look at these ETFs in
Hong Kong they're perfectly efficient
there's no questions of concerns about K
about money laundering or kyc because
that's one of the concerns the SEC had
they perfectly functioning these are top
tier providers so I think it will win in
the long term um and I think that this
could potentially be a reason for the uh
for these ETF providers in the US to use
it to as an excuse to go back to the ACC
and get in kind Redemption versions in
the US so you think you think the Hong
Kong spot ETFs could actually be bullish
more because of the model they use
rather than any sort of inflows they're
likely to see they could actually could
actually change the way that the spot
ETFs in the US are run yeah I think that
um and that's because of the fact that
although Hong Kong many people are
making this assumption oh Chinese
investors can get it exposure to bitcoin
through an ETF now it's not easy
permissionless Capital flow from China
to Hong Kong it's permission the the CCP
decides what goes in and out now of of
course it is bullish if the CCP does
actually pivot and say we love crypto
you can invest in crypto and then
they'll have an opportunity to easily
send funds to Hong Kong through the
stock connect program the through the
Shanghai stock exchange but um there gcp
doesn't you know they don't seem to be
doing that right now and of course
they're worried about Capital flows
they're worried about people getting too
crazy speculatively with these assets
which is why even on the stock side of
it some of these ETFs um you know but
just to give an example back to what we
said last year week in the Q&A in terms
of like how crazy Chinese investors
could be potentially if they had the
opportunity to invest in ETFs like this
is uh there was a uh gold based ETF that
was traded in in Hong Kong that
basically dep pegged to the premium of
30% because people were in China were so
badly wanted to get exposure to Gold
through this you know easy liquid form
in a stock and um that uses a precursor
potentially could we see that on the
Bitcoin side but again it comes down to
actual flows and it comes down to what
will be allowed from whether you think
the eccp will more likely to allow
people to get access to bitcoin through
stock connect than gold yeah so it's so
it it it's so fascinating uh the whole
kind of Chinese crypto scene in general
Chinese they're crazy for it they love
it and I think they I think they I think
they understand it on a more fundamental
level the many many uh investors in the
developed world and yet you know this
this kind of weird situation where it's
not banned but it's you know there are
strictures in place there are you know
fairly strident regulations it's not
very easy to use um but yeah but at the
same time there's just this huge
potential pool of capital yeah I think
it's also a situation of the the reason
I'm slightly bullish on it for the
longer term is I think that the CC the
cont man command and control economies
and and governments like the Chinese uh
as long as they can control things
they're happy with it so that' far
rather people were able to buy crypto
through a through a a pro a system they
can control and View and monitor right
and they can you know also permission so
if you like you know fits into their
whole social credit kind of thing as
well so the point of the matter there is
as opposed to permission of the stuff
right you can people can easily send
crypto across borders and evade the
capital controls of China which is they
mainly worried about Capital controls
Capital flood yeah yeah cool next
question is from uh 19 Dario 886 and
this is actually a very cool
thought-provoking question and he says
hypothetically if satosi reappeared
would they be able to sell all their BTC
oh yeah that's a great
so I guess well I guess if Satoshi were
to unmask themselves um the only way
that they could prove that they were
Satoshi would be to access the one
million odd BTC that are sitting in that
Genesis wallet and all they'd need to do
would be to move one sat yeah exactly
and like so far no one has managed to do
this and obviously there's a whole
Rabbit Hole you can go down there but
yeah it's a great question because if
they were able to move one sa from that
wallet suddenly bitcoin's Supply yeah
has grown by 1 million so this would be
huge and it would almost C well it would
tank the price because suddenly all this
new suppli is hi in the market now I I
think in the short term it would be very
bad for bitcoin's Price very bad but I
think in the long term it I think the
demand is there to absorb those 1
million BTC but it certainly would be a
a a bad Supply shock in the short term
um so would they be able to sell I mean
I guess they they would but they would
have to you know they would have to
accept that they would be selling at a
you know a much lower price just because
all of a sudden that BTC is accessible
um and obviously that's before you get
into all the implications of like well
hang on a sec who is this person like
you know it would be um I so I think
really Satoshi if if they are still
alive um I think they're in a tricky
situation really because if they were to
if they were to reappear and prove their
existence by moving you know by
accessing this wallet there'd be so many
questions I'm not sure even all that
money would be would be worth it you
thought a lot about this guys this the
reason you haven't touched the coins in
your Genesis one well no comment um but
yeah I think it is it is fascinating
because like you know this is the this
is the crazy thing or one of the many
crazy things about Bitcoin is that you
know not only is it so welld designed
but it also had this kind of perfect
ending if you like you know the story or
or that chapter of the story with with
the Creator just disappearing yeah and
leaving so many unanswered questions but
like that is part of bitcoin's strength
that is part of why Bitcoin is so you
know is is not going anywhere because
there is no Creator every other
cryptocurrency no matter how
decentralized it claims to be or to be
there was always going to be a vitalic
figure an a figure whoever Bitcoin no so
um but yeah they they would be able to
sell it but the they would have to
accept that the price would tank I mean
I'm not going to give it I I I can't
even imagine how much it would tank to
but I I yeah I totally agree with your
your thesis and I think that um I prefer
really like whoever he is wherever he is
I do hope he's still alive I do hope he
never does reappear and show himself
just because of the of it right the
whole notion of this Creator you know
it's a figure and there we are all
Satoshi right that's a cool you know we
are all part of this network that you
know there is no essential part person
and could be wherever he is will live on
which is a great you know narrative for
crypto and Bitcoin itself yeah yeah if
if if he she they are still alive I hope
there was another wallet with plenty of
BTC and that they're that they're living
the high life from that on enjoying yeah
okay Stephan uh after that very
philosophical question Stephan cougal
weighs in with the with the goes even
deeper and says when Lambo and if which
Lambo which lamb do you know do you know
think so okay when Lambo well fine maybe
early 2025 perhaps I mean I don't know
man yeah it's like first in the b in the
bare market last year it was uh yeah
Will Lambo and now it's like will Lambo
and now it's like yeah when Lambo and
then the the decision on what kind of
Lambo I'm looking at on my screen is
also Vol you know to go to who on the
markets are up it's like an SVS type
stuff from the event Doors where it
comes down then it's like a 10-year-old
in galor or something so okay so you you
know some models about I'm I'm I'm I'm
just enjoying
looking done some d r on on Lambos um we
are in Dubai happy be you know um but
yeah to be honest at the end of the day
um although I would be cool to own a
Lambo I suppose you know um it's
practically I would I just don't have I
don't have a car yet I use my I live
right near the office I and I would I
don't know if I'll ever need to use it
because I'm only probably on the
weekends uh and I don't it's just quick
and easy for me to travel but scooter
traffic is a bit of a problem especially
in this area so practically as much as
like I want to you know get it and think
about it and you know flexing in a Lambo
problem is is like you know when am I
going to use it the practicalities of it
um you know but you you'd use a Lambo
you definitely Nick would defin Nick is
100% going to get there is a parking
spot you know we have with my name there
it's just waiting for it to be next
we've got two parking spots at this
office my Toyota is in one of them the
other one is waiting to be filled by
Nick's Lamborghini conistor but to be
fair your your your Toyota fared pretty
well last week it saved you in a few
occasions with regards to the weather I
mean you picked up our videographer when
we needed in here and you we managed to
get us a token 2049 without having to
worry about cab liquid you know lack of
cabs because of their situation so that
Lambo couldn't do that so there were a
lot of flooded Lambos don't want a low
riding car when it rains yeah yeah
exactly okay final question and this is
the real important question this is
where the real Alpha is whole been
building building up to guys and that is
from Neil 945 and he's asking guy what
is the new diet looking super lean man N
Neil 945 is actually my ALT account um
yeah uh I have lost a bit of weight um
well I uh fewer carbs I haven't been
drinking this year I mean I don't drink
much anyway no no booze this year I did
have a couple of beers last weekend but
that was it um and I fast once a week so
Mondays I don't eat oh I don't eat from
Sunday evening to Tuesday Morning which
means Mondays which were let's face it
tough enough are even tougher days when
you guys have to do the news right yeah
there's a we know in the office now to
be very careful around G on Mondays
because that's when you usually
screaming coming from the office like
it's just a and a irritable mood but
yeah I think fasting is definitely you
know a hack a health hack like I should
actually try it like but I'm just I feel
uh especially with building muscle on
the kind of stuff like the notion of not
getting my protein in the day my daily
my daily allowance of protein kind of
scares me but I I think it's important
um because for mental acurity as well
right f is very important mental
accurity yeah I do think it makes me
sharper even when I'm not thinking about
food which is quite a lot so there we
are that's it um more uh also less
cardio more weights more oh okay okay
which seems to helps is good for cool
and pedal that's a pedal and pedal lots
of paddle yeah lots of very competitive
paddle very comp cool guys thank you
very much for your questions this is
great um as you know if you guys want to
um submit them you know what to do we've
got our Instagram link to below um and
uh you can put them there and we'll try
and come to as many of them as we can at
the end of the week um this is great guy
thanks for coming back man good to be
back good to be back and hopefully we'll
see you next week then again soon thanks
guys cheers guys
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