Satoshi's BTC, Hong Kong ETFs, Uniswap vs. The SEC, WMT & More!

Coin Bureau Clips
28 Apr 202446:59

Summary

TLDRThe video script features a dynamic discussion on the world of cryptocurrency, with a focus on the potential challenges faced by Uniswap in the face of SEC scrutiny. The speakers express optimism for Uniswap's resilience, citing strong community support and legal complexities surrounding the case. The conversation delves into the significance of Bitcoin for permissionless finance and the advantages of stablecoins in facilitating efficient and cost-effective payments. It also touches on the speculative potential of various cryptocurrencies like NEAR and Sui, considering market dynamics and technological innovations. The discussion further explores the impact of Chinese ETFs on the crypto market, the philosophical implications of Satoshi Nakamoto's potential return, and personal anecdotes about adopting blockchain technology and the benefits of fasting for mental clarity. The engaging dialogue provides insights into the crypto industry's legal, technological, and cultural landscape.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The discussion suggests that Uniswap may thrive despite potential SEC actions, given the strong community support and legal challenges in defining the platform's status and actions.
  • 💡 The guest expresses confidence in the longevity of permissionless finance technologies like Bitcoin for wealth storage and stablecoins for efficient payments.
  • 🚀 Both hosts share a bullish outlook on cryptocurrencies like NEAR and SUI, considering their strong fundamentals and potential for growth, despite uncertainties about market cycles.
  • 💻 The conversation highlights the importance of developer experience and the potential impact of projects like Sui and Aptos that focus on making blockchain development more accessible.
  • 🌐 The speakers debate the concept of 'Sell in May and go away,' discussing its historical basis and questioning its relevance to modern cryptocurrency markets.
  • 📲 There is enthusiasm for blockchain-based mobile network providers like World Mobile, with a willingness to switch from traditional providers for the benefits of blockchain technology.
  • 🏦 A comparison is made between Chinese and US ETF models, with the potential for the more efficient 'in-kind' model used in China to influence future US ETF structures.
  • 🤔 A hypothetical scenario is explored where Satoshi Nakamoto reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin, which could significantly impact the market and raise numerous questions.
  • 🎉 There's a light-hearted discussion about the dream of owning a Lamborghini as a symbol of success, tempered by practical considerations and the realities of daily use.
  • 🍽 The host shares personal health and fitness tips, including fasting, reduced carbohydrate intake, and a focus on weight training and paddle sports for improved mental acuity and physical fitness.

Q & A

  • What is the general sentiment towards Uniswap in the crypto community?

    -The crypto community is strongly behind Uniswap, viewing it as a beloved actor in the space. The community perceives the SEC's action against Uniswap as an egregious move, rallying support for the platform.

  • What is the Wells notice in the context of the SEC?

    -A Wells notice is typically a precursor to the SEC potentially suing a crypto company or any other entity. It is a formal notification that the SEC intends to file a civil action against the recipient of the notice.

  • How does the legal system view the technology behind Uniswap?

    -The legal system is challenged to define Uniswap's technology, which is seen as a piece of code facilitating transactions rather than a broker. This distinction is crucial as it affects the legal grounds for the SEC to pursue action against Uniswap.

  • What is the significance of the 'in kind' versus 'in cash' model for ETFs?

    -The 'in kind' model allows for the direct exchange of the underlying asset, like Bitcoin, for shares in an ETF, and vice versa. The 'in cash' model involves selling the asset for cash first, then using that cash to issue shares. The 'in kind' model is more efficient, cost-effective, and preferred by investors, but it has faced regulatory hurdles in the US.

  • How does the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy apply to the current cryptocurrency market?

    -The 'Sell in May and go away' strategy is historically based on the performance of stock markets, suggesting that it's better to sell in May and return in November. Its applicability to crypto is uncertain, as the cryptocurrency market has shown different dynamics and may not follow the same patterns as traditional markets.

  • What are the implications if Satoshi Nakamoto were to sell all their BTC?

    -If Satoshi Nakamoto were to sell all their BTC, it would represent a significant supply shock to the market, likely causing a substantial drop in Bitcoin's price in the short term. However, the long-term impact would depend on market demand and the ability to absorb the additional supply.

  • Why is the development experience important for blockchain projects?

    -The development experience is crucial because it affects the ease with which developers can build applications on a blockchain. A better development experience can attract more developers, leading to more innovation and adoption of the blockchain platform.

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  • What is the potential impact of Chinese ETFs on the US ETF market?

    -The launch of Chinese ETFs could potentially influence the US market by demonstrating the efficiency of the 'in kind' model. This might encourage US ETF providers to push for similar structures, which could lead to more efficient and cost-effective ETFs in the US.

  • How does the concept of modular blockchains differ from monolithic blockchains?

    -Modular blockchains focus on specialization, where different blockchains handle different aspects of the system, such as data availability or execution. This contrasts with monolithic blockchains, which aim to integrate all functions into a single blockchain. Modular blockchains can potentially offer greater scalability and flexibility.

  • What are the key factors driving the adoption of blockchain-based mobile network providers?

    -Factors driving adoption include the potential for lower costs, better service, and the ability to leverage existing infrastructure. Additionally, the support for blockchain technology and the desire for more decentralized and transparent services are key motivators for users to switch to blockchain-based mobile network providers.

  • What is the current stance of the People's Republic of China on cryptocurrency investments?

    -The Chinese government has stringent regulations on cryptocurrency investments and has not fully embraced crypto. Capital flow from China to other markets, including Hong Kong for crypto investments, is controlled and not easily permissionless, reflecting the government's concerns over capital controls and financial stability.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 Crypto Q&A Session Kickoff

The video begins with a warm welcome to a crypto Q&A session. The host, Nick, is joined by a returning guest, Guy, who is a popular figure among the audience. They express gratitude to the viewers for their engagement and questions. The first question addresses the potential legal challenges faced by Uniswap from the SEC. While some believe Uniswap may not survive, Guy offers a detailed analysis, suggesting that Uniswap will not only survive but thrive. He discusses the Wells notice, the legal basis for SEC actions, and the broader community support for Uniswap. He also touches on the technical aspects of whether Uniswap can be considered a broker and the implications of the SEC's potential view of crypto assets as securities.

05:02

🤔 Analyzing the SEC's Approach and Crypto's Future

The discussion continues with an analysis of the SEC's strategy, particularly focusing on its head of enforcement, Geria Greywell. The speakers consider the SEC's decision to target Uniswap and the broader implications for the crypto community. They also discuss the importance of Bitcoin for permissionless finance and the utility of stablecoins for efficient payments. The narrative contrasts the traditional banking system's slow and costly international transfers with the speed and low cost of crypto transactions. The segment concludes with a mention of Stripe's renewed interest in crypto integration, highlighting the growing relevance of crypto payments.

10:03

💡 Permissionless Finance and Its Impact

The speakers delve into their personal experiences with crypto, emphasizing the convenience of permissionless finance. They discuss the ease of swapping coins without the need for account verification or KYC processes, facilitated by platforms like Uniswap. The conversation also explores the potential longevity of various crypto use cases, including the remittance market's shift towards crypto, which could render traditional financial services obsolete. A promotional segment for Coin Bureau's deals page follows, offering discounts and promotions in the crypto space.

15:04

📈 Speculating on the Growth of NEAR and SUI

The Q&A addresses a question about the potential for NEAR and SUI to increase in value by 10 times. The speakers, who disclose their holdings in both cryptocurrencies, express optimism about the projects' futures. They discuss the technical merits of each, the market cap challenges for achieving a 10x increase, and the importance of community support and strong legal backing. The segment also touches on the potential impact of new supply releases on market dynamics and the importance of developer experience in driving adoption.

20:05

🌐 Layer One Blockchains and Their Specialization

The conversation shifts to the Layer One (L1) blockchain narrative and its potential to drive growth during the current bull run. The speakers debate the merits of various L1 blockchains, including Solana, NEAR, and Avalanche, each with its unique focus and use cases. They discuss the challenges of a crowded L1 space and the importance of specialization. The speakers also explore the concept of modular blockchains, which could offer scalability without compromising security or decentralization, and the potential impact of such technology on the future of L1 blockchains.

25:07

🏦 Sell in May and Go Away: An Investor Tradition

The speakers examine the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy, a historical trading pattern suggesting that stocks perform better outside of the May to September period. They discuss the origins of this strategy in the UK and its potential relevance in today's markets. The conversation also considers the impact of this strategy on crypto investments, the changing correlation between stocks and crypto, and the influence of risk-on and risk-off investor behavior. The speakers acknowledge that while past performance is not indicative of future results, certain market patterns may still hold sway.

30:08

📱 Blockchain-Based Mobile Networks

The Q&A explores the idea of switching to a blockchain-based mobile network provider like World Mobile. The speakers express a willingness to pay a premium for such services, citing the importance of supporting blockchain technology and the potential benefits of decentralized networks. They discuss the need for equal or better performance compared to traditional providers and the possibility of leveraging partner networks for coverage.

35:09

🏗️ Chinese ETFs and Their Global Impact

The speakers discuss the upcoming launch of Chinese ETFs in Hong Kong and the potential impact on global markets. They compare the in-kind and in-cash models for ETFs, highlighting the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of the in-kind model, which is more commonly used and preferred by investors. The conversation touches on the potential for these ETFs to influence SEC policies in the US and the broader implications for crypto adoption and investment.

40:09

🤔 Hypothetical Scenario: Satoshi's Return

The speakers contemplate a hypothetical scenario where Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin holdings. They discuss the potential market impact, suggesting that it would initially be negative due to the sudden increase in supply. However, they also reflect on the mystery surrounding Satoshi's identity and the strength it lends to Bitcoin's narrative as a decentralized currency without a central figurehead.

45:14

🏎️ When Lambo? A Crypto Community Stereotype

The conversation lightens up with a discussion about the 'When Lambo?' question, a humorous stereotype within the crypto community that reflects the aspirational wealth associated with successful cryptocurrency investments. The speakers discuss their personal views on luxury purchases and the practicality of owning a Lamborghini, balancing the desire for such status symbols with the realities of everyday use and personal priorities.

🍽️ Health and Fitness: A Crypto Influencer's Journey

The final segment shares personal insights into the speaker's health and fitness journey, including weight loss, dietary changes, and exercise routines. The speaker discusses the benefits of fasting, a reduction in carbohydrate intake, and the importance of mental clarity. The conversation concludes with a light-hearted acknowledgment of the challenges faced on fasting days and the overall positive impact on well-being.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Uniswap

Uniswap is a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange (DEX) that allows users to swap various cryptocurrencies without the need for a central authority. In the video, it is discussed in the context of potential legal challenges from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), highlighting the community support and legal complexities involved in such a case.

💡Wells Notice

A Wells Notice is a formal indication that the SEC is considering taking enforcement action against a party. It is mentioned in the script as a precursor to the SEC potentially suing a crypto company, with Uniswap having recently received one, indicating a significant moment for the company and the crypto community.

💡Securities

Securities in a financial context are tradable financial assets such as stocks, bonds, and options. The term is relevant to the video as it discusses whether the assets traded on Uniswap are considered unregistered securities, which could have legal implications and is a point of contention in the SEC's case against Uniswap.

💡Crypto Community

The crypto community refers to the collective group of individuals, developers, investors, and companies that are involved with or support cryptocurrencies. In the video, the presenter mentions that the crypto community is strongly behind Uniswap, indicating a unified front against potential regulatory actions.

💡Stablecoins

Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain a stable value, often pegged to a stable asset like the U.S. dollar. They are discussed in the context of their use for payments, highlighting their efficiency and low-cost transactions compared to traditional banking systems.

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is the first and most well-known cryptocurrency, often seen as a store of value or digital gold. In the video, it is mentioned as the primary means of saving for the speaker, emphasizing its importance in the world of cryptocurrencies and its use for wealth storage despite its volatility.

💡Layer 1 (L1)

In the context of blockchain technology, Layer 1 refers to the base protocol or blockchain network itself, which serves as the foundation for applications and transactions. The video discusses various L1 blockchains and their potential to grow or '10x' in value, reflecting on their technology and market position.

💡Modularity in Blockchain

Modularity in blockchain refers to the design approach where different components or layers of the blockchain system are developed and optimized independently. This concept is brought up when discussing the future of blockchain technology, suggesting that focusing on specific functionalities within a blockchain can lead to better performance and innovation.

💡ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)

An ETF is an investment fund that is traded on stock exchanges, much like individual stocks. The video discusses the launch of Chinese ETFs that track Bitcoin and the different operational models they use, such as in-kind and in-cash creations, which can impact efficiency and investor returns.

💡Risk-On and Risk-Off

Risk-on and risk-off are terms used to describe market sentiment and investment behavior. A risk-on approach involves investing in assets that are expected to perform well in times of economic growth, while risk-off refers to moving investments to safer assets during economic uncertainty. The video explores how these concepts may affect investment in cryptocurrencies.

💡Satoshi Nakamoto

Satoshi Nakamoto is the pseudonym of the person or group of people who created Bitcoin. The video poses a hypothetical question about what would happen if Satoshi were to reappear and sell their Bitcoin, discussing the potential impact on the market and the significance of Satoshi's continued anonymity for the Bitcoin narrative.

Highlights

The discussion begins with the question of whether Uniswap will survive potential SEC scrutiny, with the guest expressing optimism that Uniswap will thrive.

The guest references a Wells notice sent to Uniswap, which is often a precursor to legal action by the SEC.

The analysis suggests that Uniswap has strong community support and legal backing, which could help them navigate potential SEC actions.

The conversation touches on the legal complexities surrounding whether Uniswap is offering unregistered securities.

The guest recommends a podcast interview with Laura Shin for further insights into the legal challenges facing Uniswap.

The discussion explores the possibility of the SEC viewing the Uniswap airdrop as an unregistered security offering.

The guest expresses confidence in Uniswap's ability to handle legal challenges, citing their strong legal team and financial resources.

The conversation shifts to the personal use of cryptocurrency, with the guest favoring Bitcoin for wealth storage and stablecoins for payments.

The guest criticizes traditional banking systems for their slow and expensive international transfer processes.

The advantages of permissionless finance and decentralized applications (DApps) are highlighted, particularly for their ease of use and low fees.

The topic of the 'Sell in May and go away' strategy is discussed in the context of both traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies.

The guest expresses a willingness to switch to a blockchain-based mobile network provider, should the service quality be comparable.

The discussion addresses the upcoming launch of Chinese cryptocurrency ETFs and their potential impact on the market.

The guest contemplates the scenario where Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, reappears and attempts to sell their Bitcoin holdings.

The conversation concludes with a discussion on the guest's personal diet and fitness regimen, including fasting and exercise habits.

The guest shares his thoughts on the practicality of owning a Lamborghini, considering the weather conditions and traffic in Dubai.

Transcripts

play00:00

GM guys and welcome to another episode

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of crypto Q&A and as you can see back by

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po leand I've got the man the myth the

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legend guy back on with us guy welcome

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back man it's been a minute thanks Nick

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yes it has I I don't see where this

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popular demand is coming from but if you

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if you say so I'll no no definitely I

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see all the fans I read all the comments

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like where is guy we need him back here

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with us want him to answer our questions

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yeah cool guys so thank you of course

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for submitting your questions um we've

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got quite a lot to cover today so we'll

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be diving right in um and uh guy you

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want to kick off man yeah man um so the

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first question is from TK 98 will Unis

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swap survive the SEC the dreaded SEC

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will they survive H I don't think

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they'll survive I think they will Thrive

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okay I think they'll Thrive I think that

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yeah going worry there yeah no to be

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honest I think that um a lot of the

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analysis I've seen post and obviously if

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you guys don't know what's happened uni

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swap about two weeks ago they got the

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wells notice the wells notice is usually

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the precursor to the ACC potentially

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suing a crypto or a a company um and

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this in about 80% of the time it happens

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so obviously this was the the point of

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the matter is and some the analysis I've

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seen post this is that they couldn't

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have gone after a better actor in the

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space like unisoft is red they loved the

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crypto Community is strongly behind them

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uh the even the mainstream press uh and

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uh narrative after this is kind of like

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these are you know crypto developers

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they're struggling to try and find their

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way in a very archaic legal system and

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they they fight in the good fight for

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crypto so the whole narrative and

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obviously all the crypto uh you know

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lobbyists and all the crypto companies

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and the crypto Community is behind Unis

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swap y because it is a quite an

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egregious action by the ACC but aside

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from the narrative and stuff it's the

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question around the legal grounds with

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which they have to go the SEC has to go

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after them and there's quite a few

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podcasts I me I'll recommend one from

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Laura Shin about a week ago Where She

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interviewed a lawyer about this but in

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terms of what the acc's case they've got

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and obviously they're trying to bring

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what they assume they will try and bring

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is the question around whether Unis swop

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is offering or broker in unregistered

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Securities right and they're not naming

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the Securities they're just naming they

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making the same assumption they did with

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the coinbase lawsuit back in 2022 watch

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which is that all these they're not

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going to name the particular assets or

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crypto assets but they're taken the the

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line that all of these are crypto

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Securities um but the problem is that in

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the this the the dismissal suit for the

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acc's case against coinbase the judge

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explicitly stated that coinbase wallet

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which is kind of akin to it

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non-custodial uh technology that people

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can use to facilitate transactions they

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can actually push their own transactions

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it's not like it can't be seen as any

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sort of broker it's just a piece of

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technology it's a code so there in judg

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has actually stated that so that's one

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thing that SEC is going to have trouble

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trying to prove unistop is nothing more

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than a piece of code that facilitates a

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transfer they're not Ro rooting the

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orders themselves they're not um they're

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not helping to determine where it goes

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so they're not a broker they can't be

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viewed as a broker yeah and then there's

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also the question they think about

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potentially um the SEC could look at the

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uni airdrop as some sort of a yeah yeah

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an unregistered an unregistered security

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offering yeah um and but even in that

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case it's very difficult because I I

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part of the analysis is that they'll try

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and look at a previous example where in

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Old Securities Law where if a company

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off free stock it's an incentive for

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people to increase the value of the

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stock um by holding it but even in this

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case that's if that on that case it was

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based on the assumption that there were

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stocks which are actual Securities

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defined as Securities in this case

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they're not defined as security so you

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know I think that um it's it's going to

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have a very tough time the the SEC to

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take to take on Unis swap I think that

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they kind of expected it was coming

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there was always these concerns that it

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was going to come this is why the unop

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if you recall even two years or three

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years ago they restricted certain stock

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based tokens they took it off their

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platform at least the front end um but

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yeah I think that the SEC is going to

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have a tough time here Unis swop is uh

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got a lot of the community behind him

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they've got the they've got um strong I

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assume a very big legal team that's

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going to help them out with this

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resourced well resourced they're very

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profitable profitable exactly and

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they've got um they've got back big

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investors a6s he's a big investor um so

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yeah I mean it's it's unfortunate that

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the SEC wants to go after you know the

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good actors in the space the ones that

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are actually coming to them asking for

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clarity yeah when you when you consider

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all the all the other entities the SEC

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could have gone after and could secure a

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much easier win against I won't I won't

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name any names but you know some of them

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would be fairly obvious to view like

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when you consider what the SEC could

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have gone after and they go after Unis

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swap it's just it's Madness but as we've

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pointed out you know we did um we did

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the video on uh is ether security yeah

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because obviously uh the SEC is also

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sort of nosing around uh elements of

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ethereum's ecosystem and as we said you

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know it's not Gary gendler um who's the

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main villain in all this it's geria

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Greywell the sec's head of enforcement

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who from what we could tell doesn't

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really understand crypto no um so maybe

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that explains why they've gone for UNIS

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swap you know he just it's sort of the

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most the only one that he's probably

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aware of that the SEC hasn't already

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sued I I think it's also kind of like

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the the organizations that seem to get

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sued are the ones that are actually

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proactively going there asking for

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clarity so it's crazy isn't it it's like

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it's almost like it it reminds the SEC

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that they're there and they're just sort

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of lashing out knock on the door knock

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on the door God you know know can you

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please give us Clarity please give us

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Clarity no we're going to give you a

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Wells notice you know um but yeah the

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sec's taken on a bit more than they can

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shoot I mean they're not only facing

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unisoft now they've also do did you did

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you hear about that story about that um

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bag there was this oh yeah um I forget

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the name I forget the name of the

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company but they're sort of Proactiv

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they're Pro proactively suing them um

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and I saw a headline as well last just

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this just this morning consensus

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consensus is also going after them so

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they've rarely bit up for more than they

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can shoe um and not so I mean yeah like

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the SEC The Crusade against crypto they

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don't have the public on their side I

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don't think I mean I don't know who they

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actually maybe they've got some banks

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who usually you know Rota IND door to

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the secm banks uh but and maybe it's

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because if you think in unit is like a

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top down and Gary Gensler still wants to

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appear strong on crypto maybe he still

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has his eyes on the treasury spot um but

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um yeah I think that the long answer to

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the question is uniso is they couldn't

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have taken on a more forbidden opponent

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uh you know so yeah I think uh no

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they're not going they're going to have

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a tough time the ACC yeah yeah yeah and

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of course it's going to be very

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difficult for the SEC or anyone else to

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restrict access to Unis swap I mean I

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guess you can try and restrict access to

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the front end yeah but like the front

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end is just the front end you know the

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the protocol itself is is immutable yeah

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exactly so and they can always host it

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on ipfs there's other ways of doing this

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so as a permissionless protocol there

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are many ways and people can use it um

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same thing like tornado cach like you

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know I mean they even sanctioned but

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people could still use it so yeah that's

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the that's the beauty of permissionless

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protocols yeah cool good question next

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one is from by danne and he's asking all

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speculation aside what crypto Tech do

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you actually use the most and believe in

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its longevity that's a good question um

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I think probably the one that I the one

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that I use the most or the one that has

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the most of my mind share as well is

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Bitcoin because it's you know it's

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permissionless Finance um as we've

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seeing with this uh recent business with

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Samurai wallet you know the the the the

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ability to hold your own money outside

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of a bank uh outside of anyone else's

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control is is getting more and more

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important by the day at the moment so I

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use Bitcoin you know kind of if you like

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kind of every day for for storing wealth

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um that's my principal means of saving

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obviously it's a very volatile means of

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saving but it's worked pretty well for

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me so far so there's that um I use

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stable coins for payments a lot I find I

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I just think the idea of paying I had to

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do an international bank transfer the

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other day it took hours and they charged

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me

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£10 and you get lost yeah and when I

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think I could have sent that amount in

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stable coins in minutes for pennies I

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just thought this is this is ridiculous

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how much longer can this last but the

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vested interests of the banking system

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are pretty strong so it will last for a

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long time but yeah I think those I think

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those two for me are you know they're

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the clearest and they're the simplest

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the the idea of being able to move

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potentially millions of of dollars but

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you know in my case a few hundred or a

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few thousand but the idea of being able

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to move money across the world

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peer-to-peer and pay minimal fees I

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think is it's still extraordinary even

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15 years after Bitcoin was invented so

play09:13

that's that's too for me yeah 100% and

play09:15

that was one of the reasons why I ever

play09:17

got into crypto is the knowing that it's

play09:20

like actually trying to do International

play09:21

transfers one a great example because

play09:23

you know just think about how the Swift

play09:25

banking system works you know first of

play09:26

all you got to get the routing numbers

play09:27

right the Swift number right some

play09:29

countes don't AR fully plugged into

play09:30

Swift properly it takes two or 3 days

play09:33

you have to send and wish and hope and a

play09:34

prayer that it's going to get there you

play09:35

have to send and hope that the

play09:36

intermediary banks are going to get it

play09:38

it's not going to get returned they're

play09:39

not going to have issues with the

play09:40

particular reference you've used so yeah

play09:43

payments is a massive one for crypto um

play09:45

and I think that um you know it's

play09:46

actually interesting you see that stripe

play09:49

is now going to offer crypto integration

play09:51

again so payment is becoming a big thing

play09:53

again a big narrative but it's one of

play09:54

those things that I definitely use most

play09:56

often is like payments for crypto andits

play09:58

and especially from the fact they being

play10:00

permissionless um and also defi like if

play10:02

you think about it the idea that you can

play10:04

actually if you want to swap a coin I

play10:06

don't have to go through the rig logging

play10:08

onto an account on Exchange going and

play10:10

doing kyc all that kind of stuff not

play10:11

because I have anything to hide not

play10:13

because I have a problem with kyc I've

play10:14

got many Exchange accounts but just the

play10:16

notion that hey I want to swap the

play10:17

school I want to swap quickly I want to

play10:19

go and do it through a quick exchange

play10:21

swap on Unis swap or on Trader Joe or on

play10:25

you know radium or any sort of defi

play10:27

decks it's it's a great it's just such a

play10:29

great feeling and also just like you

play10:31

know that you know that you can do it

play10:33

anytime and it's it's this

play10:35

permissionless Finance which um I think

play10:37

is one of the biggest uh and most the

play10:40

longevity I believe in that um I guess

play10:42

one more thing and this is interesting

play10:43

is like the longevity of uh potential

play10:46

other crypto use cases that we don't

play10:49

particularly lose on The Daily but that

play10:51

could have longevity and another one

play10:52

that I've seen a lot about is deepen

play10:54

obviously um uh so that's another one

play10:57

but I don't personally use it we'll come

play10:58

back to that with some other questions

play11:00

but uh yeah definitely payments defi

play11:02

permissionless Finance that's always

play11:04

going to have a need and a use case and

play11:05

especially if you've been exposed and

play11:07

have to deal with the traditional

play11:08

Financial system in cross border or when

play11:11

you have it been debanked all that kind

play11:12

of stuff crypto is the future so yeah

play11:15

one day hopefully not too far away

play11:18

people will people will say did you

play11:20

really used to have to pay 10% to remit

play11:23

money to Africa did you really used to

play11:25

have to pay X number of dollars or X

play11:27

number of pounds or whatever to make

play11:29

just to transfer your own money um and

play11:32

it will be like yeah it's really stuck

play11:34

around we'll view it as archaic as we

play11:37

did and look at how people did a trade

play11:39

100 years ago right you know so yeah

play11:41

remittance companies will soon be like

play11:44

blacksmiths are you ready for

play11:47

deals are you ready for trading fee

play11:51

discounts are you ready to save some

play11:55

money if the answer is yes then you're

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[Music]

play13:04

yeah okay so uh SM mukit asks do you

play13:09

think both Nia and sui will go 10x from

play13:14

this point I should before I say before

play13:17

either of us say anything I should say

play13:18

that I hold SE and near and Su yeah um

play13:23

do you hold either of those I do I do

play13:24

hold both yeah I hold both so we both

play13:27

can be completely impartial here in the

play13:28

sense that that we uh both hold them so

play13:31

we can give a good um you know impartial

play13:33

view on it in terms of um uh so here's

play13:37

the question obviously it's like what

play13:38

does he do you mean what in what time

play13:40

frame yeah because obviously um 10x from

play13:43

this point yes I do think so I mean if

play13:45

you think crypto is the future crypto is

play13:46

always going to be there unless you

play13:48

think crypto is going to zero I think

play13:49

these these projects are strong projects

play13:51

and they will 10x now um will come back

play13:54

now the question is in the cycle I think

play13:57

that's a bit difficult especially where

play13:59

we are in the cycle now let me just stay

play14:01

obviously why we we both hold the

play14:02

projects I'm bullish on it obviously I'm

play14:04

bullish on near Because by the way we

play14:06

actually got an interview um that justed

play14:08

with Ilia the Ilia the founder of and

play14:11

CEO of Nia which is on the clips you can

play14:13

view that and we also recently did a

play14:15

year update video but I'm bullish on

play14:17

year because obviously the tech is

play14:18

amazing they got a good play they got a

play14:20

good narrative in the AI space now

play14:21

because IIA is one of the founders of

play14:23

you know this paper and obviously the

play14:25

tech is great Dynamic resharding night

play14:27

shade the consensus mechanism but in

play14:29

terms of whether you think that the uh

play14:31

the price could 10x uh is toomics right

play14:34

and we've got about a billion dollar a

play14:37

billion total outstanding near right so

play14:40

and it's already it's at 17 in terms of

play14:42

market cap so in order to 10x that's

play14:45

quite a quite a jump in terms of the

play14:46

market cap right now so we're going to

play14:49

need a lot of buying pressure in the

play14:50

crypto in general in terms of liquidity

play14:51

to come in to push an alquin like that

play14:54

to in its market cap by 10x right now so

play14:57

that's near in terms of sui um you'd

play15:00

think okay probably potentially has more

play15:02

potential to reach the 10x because it's

play15:04

at 61 in terms of market cap rankings um

play15:08

but and but the problem with that is

play15:10

that uh sui has only about 133% of the

play15:13

supply outstanding yeah yeah there's

play15:15

still a lot to unlock a 10x on the

play15:17

market cap doesn't equate to I mean a

play15:19

10x in the market cap doesn't equate to

play15:21

a 10x on price because the and that's a

play15:23

large Supply outstanding and by the way

play15:25

in about a few days they're going to be

play15:27

um the series B run is going to start

play15:29

having a vesting out right about 6% of

play15:32

the supply admittedly it's over a long I

play15:34

think it's two years vest out so it

play15:36

shouldn't have that much of an impact

play15:38

but that will obviously impact on the

play15:39

circula supply coming onto the market

play15:41

which obviously will could push up the

play15:43

market cap but it necess in terms of

play15:46

price you'd need a lot more buy even

play15:47

more so than in the near space on the

play15:49

near case for example so you know I'm

play15:53

and the I'm bullish on both projects

play15:54

obviously I hold them uh sui as well

play15:56

we've also done we did a video

play15:59

Discord AMA was one of the founders and

play16:01

he was super smart guy and I think that

play16:03

Su as well as on this whole move

play16:05

narrative with the move programming

play16:06

language that one of the guys developed

play16:08

move itself is actually one of the

play16:10

co-founders of sui um and uh you know I

play16:13

think it's an L1 and al1 it's highly

play16:15

performing developers love it the the um

play16:17

actual development company M lab has

play16:19

raised a lot of money so I'm bullish on

play16:21

them from a tech perspective and I do

play16:23

hold both of them and I think that they

play16:24

can definitely increase in value in this

play16:26

bull run but 10x I think uh is is a bit

play16:29

uh is a bit more of an ask I think we'll

play16:31

need to see like real uh real Euphoria

play16:35

in the market real sort of euphoric

play16:37

speculation for them to 10x um but yeah

play16:40

it's we're supposed to call it s I

play16:42

should s that's how Adon e um when J

play16:46

interviewed him swe that's how he

play16:47

referred to it so yeah we need to be we

play16:50

need to respect if if that's what the

play16:53

boss says um uh so yes so S I think I

play16:57

think I I was bullish on sweet

play16:59

especially because I think they they

play17:02

seem to be really pitching towards web 2

play17:04

as in getting web 2 companies and

play17:07

entities on board in and into web 3 and

play17:10

I think that's a potentially you know

play17:12

huge growth Vector I'm not sure to what

play17:14

extent other layer ones are doing that

play17:17

um and obviously uh you know sweet like

play17:20

Aptos which is another very well-backed

play17:22

alt L1 um they obviously have a lot of

play17:25

expertise from Facebook DM yeah the DM

play17:30

and I think that your point around the

play17:31

web to on boarding is easier with

play17:34

project like because um obviously uh the

play17:37

programming language is very very easy

play17:39

and this is what we've heard from devs

play17:41

as well uh it's that a lot easier to

play17:43

build on the likes of to build with move

play17:45

and and onu um we actually have a su Dev

play17:48

in our in our members Discord don't we

play17:50

um who is uh who's very knowledgeable

play17:52

about this sort of thing and says that

play17:53

building on Suite is is is really good

play17:55

and uh when you consider that uh founder

play17:59

of salana himself said that building on

play18:01

salana is like like chewing glass yeah

play18:04

you know the the I think the developer

play18:06

experience is something that's that's

play18:08

underrated because that you know if you

play18:10

don't have a good developer experience

play18:11

you're not going to have as much

play18:12

development so yeah one thing I do

play18:14

though in terms of can potentially

play18:16

challenge the likes ofu and Aptos in

play18:18

terms of this question around move and

play18:20

EAS ease of using the programming

play18:21

language is other Solutions which are

play18:24

leveraging movement the move the the

play18:26

language uh to be able to use them

play18:28

within other protocols and stuff and one

play18:30

of these obviously is movement Labs um

play18:33

and they recently just completed their a

play18:34

35 million raise we invested in as well

play18:37

um and they developing this uh you know

play18:39

move B modular move based blockchains uh

play18:42

to leverage move and and other projects

play18:44

can use it so it can make easier for

play18:46

development on their blockchain so

play18:48

that's also something that could

play18:49

potentially be a challenge to these l1s

play18:51

yeah cool and um speaking of uh l1s uh

play18:56

we've got Sven d and he's asking will

play19:00

layer one narrative work this bull run

play19:03

as well that is a good question l1's all

play19:08

alt l1s were a big narrative last time

play19:11

around and obviously salana sort of led

play19:13

the charge there and kind of still is

play19:15

really isn't it yeah and I guess you

play19:16

could say that this time around perhaps

play19:19

salana you know last time it was

play19:21

ethereum Killers like salana this time

play19:23

around there's a lot of talk around

play19:24

salana Killers yeah like for instance s

play19:27

Aptos um there's another one as well

play19:30

that's gone out of my head say say um so

play19:33

there's lot so yeah there's definitely

play19:35

room for that narrative but I think the

play19:37

L1 space is becoming increasingly

play19:40

congested now that's right um and it's

play19:43

about F I think for l1's it's about

play19:45

focusing on a particular narrative and I

play19:47

think those that capture a particular

play19:50

narrative will do well so salana seems

play19:52

to be focusing very much well salana has

play19:55

got sort of multifocus doesn't it but it

play19:56

seems to be kind of honing in on

play19:58

payments obviously you talked about this

play20:00

usdc integration recently um salana has

play20:03

long been big for stable coins mean

play20:05

coins as well and now and also uh deep

play20:08

in near on the other hand is kind of

play20:10

going after AI Avalanche is kind of

play20:12

targeting gaming gaming r as well yeah

play20:15

rwa yeah so um I think picking picking

play20:20

winners from this crop of l1s is going

play20:22

to be harder yeah um I don't plan on

play20:25

adding adding any other l1s to my

play20:28

portfolio

play20:29

um s and near were my kind of last last

play20:32

Buys in that and I think be and even

play20:35

after that you know you then get into

play20:37

the uh talk around kind of uh modular or

play20:40

monolithic which is now becoming a thing

play20:43

um modular this idea of kind of uh you

play20:47

know making it basically less

play20:49

complicated you know sort of taking

play20:50

different elements out and it's more

play20:52

sort of plug and play so you have a

play20:54

rather than have a blockchain that kind

play20:55

of does everything yeah you have a

play20:57

blockchain that does does one thing and

play20:59

then it leverages other blockchains for

play21:01

various things like for instance

play21:02

leveraging Celestia for data

play21:04

availability or what it might be so that

play21:07

kind of further complicates it as well

play21:08

are you going to go for a a monolithic

play21:11

blockchain like

play21:12

salana uh which could be you know which

play21:14

could now be seen as sort of yesterday's

play21:17

news or is you're going to chase a

play21:18

modular play like Celestia yeah no I

play21:21

totally agree with you I think that um

play21:23

actually um the modular play is the one

play21:25

to focus on for this for the rest of the

play21:27

cycle um because I think that um we've

play21:30

always been thinking about the whole Tri

play21:31

scalability trima you know and that's

play21:34

what's always been played in or one of

play21:35

the big you know conundrums that a

play21:37

blockchain and L1 will face it's like

play21:39

how do you go without impacting on

play21:41

security uh

play21:43

decentralization um you know the

play21:45

security decentralization what was the

play21:47

third one um scalability scalability of

play21:49

course yeah so those three parts of the

play21:51

trma those three legs of the chair um

play21:54

and um yeah if you can't go with one

play21:56

without compromising on the other what

play21:58

cool about modularity is that you can

play22:00

use these protocols can actually

play22:02

function and hone and refine their you

play22:06

know the different Stacks you've got the

play22:07

execution layer you got the the data

play22:09

availability the settlement and all

play22:11

these layers basically they can refine

play22:13

the layers and and actually work on the

play22:15

best tech for that particular layer and

play22:16

then other blockchains and other

play22:18

builders and D developers can leverage

play22:20

different uh protocols to be able to

play22:22

build the best and most and highly

play22:23

performant deps so don't have to

play22:25

compromise on any one of the three parts

play22:27

of the scalability tri

play22:29

and I think that there's a lot of

play22:30

projects that are focused on that right

play22:31

now you know not just celesty but like

play22:33

lava Network I just mentioned movement

play22:35

uh this idea that you can use these plug

play22:37

and play and think about it a good

play22:39

analogy is um that I've seen is uh think

play22:41

about like ruction plants right you know

play22:43

like you one production plant like

play22:46

producing they produce the whole car

play22:48

right every single component in the car

play22:50

whereas now and and with like think

play22:52

about like airb how they produce an

play22:54

aircraft right all of these different

play22:55

plants bring in different components the

play22:57

guys will specialize on the Wings in

play22:59

Spain and the guys will specialize in

play23:01

the engines in the UK and the wheels

play23:02

will be developed in Germany and these

play23:04

production plants will specialize in

play23:06

very specific components that make up

play23:09

piece of engineering feat that will you

play23:11

know is the Airbus aircraft so you can

play23:13

do the view the same way as blockchains

play23:15

right and um do we have to have these

play23:17

separate l1s that are all competing to

play23:19

try and produce the latest highly

play23:20

performing consensus mechanism and brag

play23:23

about their TPS when you can just

play23:25

leverage different technologies that

play23:27

focus on different uh parts of the stack

play23:29

so yeah I'm bullish on modularity yeah

play23:31

just do just basically doing one thing

play23:33

and doing it really well rather than

play23:35

trying to do specializ yeah the whole

play23:37

Adam Smith you know the uh uh the

play23:39

specialization of Labor the the the

play23:41

history of capitalism is refined now

play23:43

down to crypto currency blockchains as

play23:45

well I'm glad you used Airbus as an

play23:48

example there rather than bow B exactly

play23:50

I which is probably a good example of

play23:52

why where things can go bad as well you

play23:53

know if you're Outsourcing too much yeah

play23:56

okay next question is from Arnold Thomas

play24:00

78 sell in May and go away question mark

play24:04

yeah that's interesting um this is

play24:06

obviously something that comes from

play24:07

tradire it's been a um it's also called

play24:09

the Halloween effect in the terms of you

play24:11

know crypto starts doing very well after

play24:13

November um and it's actually research

play24:16

on this it goes back centuries in the

play24:18

17th century UK the concept of Sal Salin

play24:22

May and go away basically Traders in the

play24:24

city of London would sell their stocks

play24:26

in May because and then they'd go to

play24:28

Countryside for their summer Retreats

play24:30

because they can't actually in those

play24:32

days obviously you can't know what

play24:33

you're not trading the stocks you can't

play24:34

view the stocks you can't manage them

play24:36

whilst you're away from the stock

play24:37

exchange so they would go to their

play24:39

country homes and they' come back it was

play24:41

actually called sell in May and go away

play24:44

and come back in s lias day and

play24:46

obviously s lias is like one of these

play24:47

horse races that happened around

play24:49

September time oh yeah oh the oh yeah

play24:52

yeah yeah is it the St Le St Leeder

play24:54

something maybe I'm pronounced but yeah

play24:56

St lers or St leas essentially so that

play24:58

was the history of it and it's it's it

play25:01

goes back many years um and the question

play25:03

now is of it's also there have been many

play25:05

studies done and does this actually work

play25:06

is this the case in trafi and stocks and

play25:09

stuff and it's more pronounced in Europe

play25:11

but even in the US um you know they've

play25:13

done they did studies from 1990 uh the

play25:16

returns you'd see from uh May to

play25:18

September about 2% on average and from

play25:21

November to you know April about 7% so

play25:24

statistically significant um of course

play25:27

the question then comes down to how much

play25:28

of this is actual obviously there's no

play25:30

point there's no there not the same

play25:32

drivers as they did in England back in

play25:33

the day it's obviously this notion of

play25:35

self-fulfilling prophecies people think

play25:37

about it and they do it yeah now it's a

play25:39

thing and also there's been past

play25:41

performance is not indicator of future

play25:43

returns and there's been many examples

play25:45

where in summer you've had crazy rallies

play25:47

2020 is a good example as well um now

play25:50

that's just the history of it when it

play25:51

comes to stocks and obviously you

play25:53

obviously I assume you're interested in

play25:55

it from a perspective of crypto we are

play25:56

after all a a crypto ch and then there

play25:59

just this just comes back to the

play26:00

question of um do stocks follow do

play26:03

crypto follow stocks does crypto follow

play26:05

stocks and what's the correlation like

play26:06

and is it a risk on or a risk wor asset

play26:09

um and you know I think that more

play26:11

recently I'm I'm iring on to the side

play26:14

that the investor class in

play26:15

cryptocurrency kind of bipoc where

play26:17

you've got some investors who focused on

play26:19

it from a risk wolf perspective a hedge

play26:22

um to financial instability in terms of

play26:24

what happened recently last year when

play26:25

you had for instance the banking crisis

play26:27

people ready toward Bitcoin in crypto

play26:29

and correlation in cryptocurrency assets

play26:31

to stocks has been coming down more

play26:33

recently this year so I think that um

play26:36

the my view is that there's going to

play26:39

these two investor classes are going to

play26:40

kind of like compete in the next few

play26:42

months in terms of those who looking for

play26:44

liquidity need to be risk on are going

play26:46

to allocate a bit Bitcoin and crypto

play26:48

potentially through ETFs in their risk

play26:50

on buet and those who exist in the risk

play26:52

off category like I need a hedge that's

play26:54

akin to Gold that's going to be that can

play26:56

protect me from for instance uh

play26:58

geopolitical instability High inflation

play27:00

that kind of stuff uh so the answer to

play27:03

your question is I I think that in

play27:04

stocks you may see it play out

play27:05

potentially if the people still have

play27:07

this View and especially now the stocks

play27:09

have sold off they may continue

play27:11

liquidity is not in fed pivot is delayed

play27:13

out but I don't know if necessarily it's

play27:15

going to have the same the similar

play27:17

impact on crypto because of all the

play27:18

factors I just mentioned around risk on

play27:20

and risk off yeah yeah I suppose I

play27:22

suppose what's what would be interesting

play27:24

to see now now that we now that the ETFs

play27:27

the spot ETFs seem to have brought in

play27:29

like a new class of if you like trafy

play27:31

yeah investment trafy Capital into

play27:33

crypto yeah will they behave with those

play27:36

ETF stocks like they behave with regular

play27:39

stocks you know so will we see a

play27:40

sell-off from the ETFs will we see

play27:42

outflows which will obviously exct

play27:43

result in in in the market taking a

play27:45

downturn and of course there's been

play27:47

there's been lots of talk in the last

play27:49

sort of few weeks and months hasn't

play27:51

there about a potential liquidity crisis

play27:53

yeah around May anyway because of you

play27:55

know M things like the emptying of the

play27:58

or or the refilling I should say of the

play28:00

TGA so um I think you know perhaps if

play28:04

those two combined you know if if if

play28:06

those tradire investors looked ahead and

play28:08

thought well probably best to have some

play28:09

liquidity ahead of a liquidity crisis um

play28:12

so it's definitely something to

play28:14

definitely something to keep an eye on

play28:16

yeah I think that um yeah for sure it's

play28:17

going to be very specific factors at

play28:19

play this time that could definitely

play28:22

reinforce this notion of May being a bad

play28:24

month um in both crypto and stocks um

play28:28

but yeah um in yeah so but but whether

play28:30

it's something to focus on his in the

play28:32

future and use it as a benchmark to

play28:33

invest sell everything in May well you

play28:35

could miss out in a good ready like we

play28:36

saw in 2020 Etc so yeah if in doubt

play28:39

hoddle yeah if in doubt H if in doubt

play28:41

hoddle let the let the Trad five people

play28:43

let to me revert to mean exactly just go

play28:47

go away to your country home in England

play28:48

don't look at your crypto portfolio

play28:50

don't open coin market cap and just come

play28:52

back in in November just going to chill

play28:53

in the country for a few mons we'll be

play28:55

fine we'll take care of it and if it's

play28:56

completely crashed go back

play28:58

spend the spend the winter there just

play29:01

spend as long as you need to in the

play29:02

country until everything's fine again

play29:04

cool okay so next question is from

play29:08

zlot Z and he's asking would you change

play29:12

your current mobile network provider to

play29:14

a blockchain uh based one like WM which

play29:18

I assume is World mobile yeah yeah

play29:21

interesting would I yeah hell hell yeah

play29:23

okay hell yeah um I I mean I know this

play29:26

is I know things like World mob uh

play29:28

projects like World mobile are already

play29:30

operating in quite a number of places

play29:32

Zanzibar notably but also the US uh

play29:35

parts of Asia Pakistan I think world

play29:37

mobile has a big uh footprint there um I

play29:40

do actually own some WMT now so I should

play29:43

say that um but yeah I would definitely

play29:45

use I mean I think um I did look into to

play29:47

using helium back when I was in London

play29:50

yeah um that was back when there was a

play29:53

hardware crisis because we had Supply

play29:54

chains all smed up because of Co and it

play29:57

was impossible to get your hands on one

play29:58

of these hotspot devices uh which was

play30:01

kind of frustrating but yeah I would I

play30:03

would definitely you know if if a plan

play30:05

became if a plan became available I

play30:07

would and I would be willing to pay you

play30:09

know a little bit more than I would from

play30:12

one of the big networks because that

play30:13

would be my next question it's like and

play30:15

this is a question of where the

play30:16

indifference curved lives in the sense

play30:18

that how much more would you be willing

play30:20

to pay for a crypto or blockchainbased

play30:23

mobile network over your current one and

play30:26

how much more would you be to sacrifice

play30:29

in terms of this is just a hypothetical

play30:31

potential

play30:33

coverage I mean I would it would it

play30:36

would definitely have to work like I

play30:37

wouldn't pay more for something that

play30:39

didn't work as well okay so the

play30:41

performance would have to be equal but I

play30:43

would be willing to pay more as a you

play30:46

know as an advocate for blockchain I

play30:47

would be willing to pay more if I was

play30:49

getting the same or dare say better

play30:51

service yeah that's that's for sure um

play30:55

perhaps I'd be willing to pay a bit less

play30:58

if the service wasn't so great but I

play30:59

mean you know connectivity is so

play31:02

important now if you can't get it it's

play31:04

almost like you know if you're if you're

play31:07

someone like if you're someone like us

play31:09

you know who's used who's used to these

play31:11

sort of things in life being unconnected

play31:13

is just disaster imagine how crazy it

play31:15

will be if your your pursuit of adopting

play31:19

blockchain technology is the reason that

play31:21

you can't check coin market cap because

play31:23

you don't have Network it's like God

play31:25

damn it that would be that would be the

play31:26

most painful iron yeah it would be yeah

play31:29

yeah I think I would as well I think

play31:30

that also in um you mentioned World

play31:32

mobile obviously there's helium and you

play31:33

mentioned helium as well they've

play31:35

released um in the US $20 plan trial

play31:38

period in Miami which is much better

play31:40

than some of the other providers so you

play31:42

know definitely in that case not only

play31:44

doesn't make sense from a financial

play31:45

perspective but um and there's also they

play31:47

pay backup if you in another place you

play31:49

can it leverages the T-Mobile network

play31:51

yeah so you're not going to be out

play31:53

without coverage um so yeah if they had

play31:54

the opportunity if any of these mobile

play31:57

network providers provide a solution

play31:59

here in Dubai and as long as the

play32:00

coverage is as good and you can use it

play32:02

in other places and they have partner

play32:03

networks that they're able to leverage

play32:05

their their networks as well and their

play32:07

infrastructure then I would for sure I

play32:09

think it's one of these things you want

play32:10

to be able to use it and we need to be

play32:12

advocates for it with all these deepen

play32:14

projects yeah cool okay uh next question

play32:17

is from think CD Chinese Inc I'm glad

play32:21

this is going to you Chinese in kind

play32:23

creation versus US Cash creates ETF

play32:27

models who wins long-term and why thank

play32:29

goodness we've got our Trad F no it's um

play32:33

so I guess it's important to um the back

play32:36

story here obviously if you guys don't

play32:38

know already there's going to be Chinese

play32:40

ETFs in Hong Kong are going to be

play32:42

launching in about about three ETF

play32:44

providers are launching ETFs on Tuesday

play32:46

this week right okay um and uh there's

play32:49

they've competing very much on fees like

play32:51

some of the fees are lower than the US

play32:53

equivalent in terms of what they're

play32:54

offering to their investors and it's

play32:55

been highly promoted in Hong Kong and

play32:57

there there was a lot of excitement

play32:58

about this now we covered this a bit in

play33:01

in last week's Q&A um and that's the

play33:03

question of I it's definitely not going

play33:04

to be as much of an uh impact on the

play33:06

markets as the US were no way the

play33:08

liquidity will just won't be there even

play33:10

if Chinese investors can invest through

play33:12

it in a permission stock conect thing um

play33:15

they are not going to have the same

play33:16

amount of demand as the US however

play33:19

having said that the point the question

play33:22

more specifically uh is the way in which

play33:24

these ETFs work and it's very different

play33:27

from the US now just explaining what in

play33:29

kind and in and cash models or in cash

play33:31

creates in kind Redemption and issuance

play33:33

model is when the asset itself is used

play33:36

to buy the shares so in this case

play33:37

Bitcoin in shares come out you can take

play33:39

your Bitcoin to the ETF provider you get

play33:41

shares out of it you redeem your shares

play33:43

you get Bitcoin back right right the US

play33:46

they the SEC was vehemently against that

play33:48

you know the the issues themselves want

play33:50

it but the US was vly against it and the

play33:53

SEC was vly against it and so they've

play33:55

had to go for the cash model which is a

play33:57

lot many steps and I actually did a post

play33:59

on this on coin.com which I'll link to

play34:01

Below in terms of how convoluted the

play34:03

incash version is because they have to

play34:05

there's an extra step you have to go and

play34:07

you have to have a cash custodian and

play34:08

you have to go and have you you go and

play34:10

put the Bitcoin in they have to sell it

play34:11

for cash use the cash then go and issue

play34:13

the shares the AP and and the market

play34:15

makers on the equity side as well as the

play34:17

stock as as the crypto side have to go

play34:19

and there's multiple layers to it and

play34:21

obviously that adds to fees right so it

play34:23

becomes a more expensive product and

play34:25

it's inefficient and the issuers don't

play34:27

like it either

play34:28

and then there's also the question of

play34:29

tracking error which is a big thing for

play34:31

ETFs right um and um in this I'll refer

play34:35

to a recent bitm uh blog post that

play34:38

looked at uh other ETFs uh the in kind

play34:41

versus the incash um and for for one at

play34:44

least 70% or so of AUM on ETFs is in

play34:47

kind right so it's like it's it's that's

play34:50

what's normally the norm in terms of the

play34:52

most valuable ETFs and then in terms of

play34:54

tracking error there is substantial

play34:55

tracking error for the cash equivalent

play34:57

ones right so obviously it's inefficient

play35:00

for the investors they're not getting

play35:01

the fullon exposure as they want and you

play35:04

have this tracking era which adds to

play35:06

costs um so it's an an efficient product

play35:09

now it will be interesting obviously the

play35:11

in kind will wi long term because it has

play35:13

been proven to do the case and you've

play35:14

got if you've got tracking era for so

play35:15

long you're not going to want to invest

play35:17

in a product that's always going to and

play35:18

if you have an equivalent that's an in

play35:19

kind version you're going to want to

play35:21

invest in that because it's can be more

play35:22

efficient and cost more cost effective

play35:25

um but yeah it'll be interesting to see

play35:27

how plays out it will be interesting to

play35:28

see if uh these particular products are

play35:30

able if there's studies done to see how

play35:32

the ETFs in Hong Kong are better able to

play35:34

track the price of Bitcoin uh whether

play35:37

this will uh potentially Force the hand

play35:38

of the SEC um whether the ETF providers

play35:41

in the US will use it as a reason to go

play35:43

back to the ACC being like look this is

play35:45

makes no sense look at these ETFs in

play35:47

Hong Kong they're perfectly efficient

play35:48

there's no questions of concerns about K

play35:51

about money laundering or kyc because

play35:53

that's one of the concerns the SEC had

play35:55

they perfectly functioning these are top

play35:56

tier providers so I think it will win in

play35:58

the long term um and I think that this

play36:00

could potentially be a reason for the uh

play36:02

for these ETF providers in the US to use

play36:04

it to as an excuse to go back to the ACC

play36:07

and get in kind Redemption versions in

play36:10

the US so you think you think the Hong

play36:13

Kong spot ETFs could actually be bullish

play36:17

more because of the model they use

play36:20

rather than any sort of inflows they're

play36:22

likely to see they could actually could

play36:24

actually change the way that the spot

play36:25

ETFs in the US are run yeah I think that

play36:28

um and that's because of the fact that

play36:30

although Hong Kong many people are

play36:31

making this assumption oh Chinese

play36:33

investors can get it exposure to bitcoin

play36:35

through an ETF now it's not easy

play36:38

permissionless Capital flow from China

play36:39

to Hong Kong it's permission the the CCP

play36:42

decides what goes in and out now of of

play36:44

course it is bullish if the CCP does

play36:46

actually pivot and say we love crypto

play36:48

you can invest in crypto and then

play36:49

they'll have an opportunity to easily

play36:51

send funds to Hong Kong through the

play36:53

stock connect program the through the

play36:55

Shanghai stock exchange but um there gcp

play36:58

doesn't you know they don't seem to be

play36:59

doing that right now and of course

play37:00

they're worried about Capital flows

play37:02

they're worried about people getting too

play37:03

crazy speculatively with these assets

play37:06

which is why even on the stock side of

play37:07

it some of these ETFs um you know but

play37:10

just to give an example back to what we

play37:11

said last year week in the Q&A in terms

play37:14

of like how crazy Chinese investors

play37:15

could be potentially if they had the

play37:17

opportunity to invest in ETFs like this

play37:19

is uh there was a uh gold based ETF that

play37:23

was traded in in Hong Kong that

play37:25

basically dep pegged to the premium of

play37:27

30% because people were in China were so

play37:30

badly wanted to get exposure to Gold

play37:32

through this you know easy liquid form

play37:33

in a stock and um that uses a precursor

play37:37

potentially could we see that on the

play37:38

Bitcoin side but again it comes down to

play37:40

actual flows and it comes down to what

play37:42

will be allowed from whether you think

play37:44

the eccp will more likely to allow

play37:46

people to get access to bitcoin through

play37:48

stock connect than gold yeah so it's so

play37:52

it it it's so fascinating uh the whole

play37:55

kind of Chinese crypto scene in general

play37:58

Chinese they're crazy for it they love

play38:00

it and I think they I think they I think

play38:02

they understand it on a more fundamental

play38:04

level the many many uh investors in the

play38:08

developed world and yet you know this

play38:10

this kind of weird situation where it's

play38:13

not banned but it's you know there are

play38:15

strictures in place there are you know

play38:18

fairly strident regulations it's not

play38:19

very easy to use um but yeah but at the

play38:23

same time there's just this huge

play38:25

potential pool of capital yeah I think

play38:27

it's also a situation of the the reason

play38:30

I'm slightly bullish on it for the

play38:31

longer term is I think that the CC the

play38:35

cont man command and control economies

play38:37

and and governments like the Chinese uh

play38:40

as long as they can control things

play38:43

they're happy with it so that' far

play38:44

rather people were able to buy crypto

play38:47

through a through a a pro a system they

play38:51

can control and View and monitor right

play38:53

and they can you know also permission so

play38:55

if you like you know fits into their

play38:56

whole social credit kind of thing as

play38:58

well so the point of the matter there is

play39:00

as opposed to permission of the stuff

play39:02

right you can people can easily send

play39:03

crypto across borders and evade the

play39:05

capital controls of China which is they

play39:08

mainly worried about Capital controls

play39:09

Capital flood yeah yeah cool next

play39:11

question is from uh 19 Dario 886 and

play39:15

this is actually a very cool

play39:17

thought-provoking question and he says

play39:19

hypothetically if satosi reappeared

play39:22

would they be able to sell all their BTC

play39:26

oh yeah that's a great

play39:28

so I guess well I guess if Satoshi were

play39:32

to unmask themselves um the only way

play39:35

that they could prove that they were

play39:37

Satoshi would be to access the one

play39:40

million odd BTC that are sitting in that

play39:43

Genesis wallet and all they'd need to do

play39:46

would be to move one sat yeah exactly

play39:48

and like so far no one has managed to do

play39:51

this and obviously there's a whole

play39:52

Rabbit Hole you can go down there but

play39:54

yeah it's a great question because if

play39:57

they were able to move one sa from that

play39:59

wallet suddenly bitcoin's Supply yeah

play40:03

has grown by 1 million so this would be

play40:06

huge and it would almost C well it would

play40:09

tank the price because suddenly all this

play40:11

new suppli is hi in the market now I I

play40:13

think in the short term it would be very

play40:15

bad for bitcoin's Price very bad but I

play40:17

think in the long term it I think the

play40:19

demand is there to absorb those 1

play40:22

million BTC but it certainly would be a

play40:24

a a bad Supply shock in the short term

play40:28

um so would they be able to sell I mean

play40:31

I guess they they would but they would

play40:34

have to you know they would have to

play40:36

accept that they would be selling at a

play40:39

you know a much lower price just because

play40:42

all of a sudden that BTC is accessible

play40:45

um and obviously that's before you get

play40:47

into all the implications of like well

play40:50

hang on a sec who is this person like

play40:52

you know it would be um I so I think

play40:54

really Satoshi if if they are still

play40:58

alive um I think they're in a tricky

play41:01

situation really because if they were to

play41:03

if they were to reappear and prove their

play41:06

existence by moving you know by

play41:07

accessing this wallet there'd be so many

play41:09

questions I'm not sure even all that

play41:11

money would be would be worth it you

play41:13

thought a lot about this guys this the

play41:15

reason you haven't touched the coins in

play41:16

your Genesis one well no comment um but

play41:20

yeah I think it is it is fascinating

play41:22

because like you know this is the this

play41:24

is the crazy thing or one of the many

play41:26

crazy things about Bitcoin is that you

play41:29

know not only is it so welld designed

play41:31

but it also had this kind of perfect

play41:34

ending if you like you know the story or

play41:36

or that chapter of the story with with

play41:38

the Creator just disappearing yeah and

play41:41

leaving so many unanswered questions but

play41:43

like that is part of bitcoin's strength

play41:45

that is part of why Bitcoin is so you

play41:48

know is is not going anywhere because

play41:50

there is no Creator every other

play41:54

cryptocurrency no matter how

play41:55

decentralized it claims to be or to be

play41:58

there was always going to be a vitalic

play42:00

figure an a figure whoever Bitcoin no so

play42:04

um but yeah they they would be able to

play42:07

sell it but the they would have to

play42:09

accept that the price would tank I mean

play42:11

I'm not going to give it I I I can't

play42:13

even imagine how much it would tank to

play42:15

but I I yeah I totally agree with your

play42:17

your thesis and I think that um I prefer

play42:20

really like whoever he is wherever he is

play42:22

I do hope he's still alive I do hope he

play42:24

never does reappear and show himself

play42:26

just because of the of it right the

play42:27

whole notion of this Creator you know

play42:30

it's a figure and there we are all

play42:31

Satoshi right that's a cool you know we

play42:33

are all part of this network that you

play42:35

know there is no essential part person

play42:37

and could be wherever he is will live on

play42:40

which is a great you know narrative for

play42:41

crypto and Bitcoin itself yeah yeah if

play42:44

if if he she they are still alive I hope

play42:47

there was another wallet with plenty of

play42:49

BTC and that they're that they're living

play42:51

the high life from that on enjoying yeah

play42:54

okay Stephan uh after that very

play42:56

philosophical question Stephan cougal

play42:58

weighs in with the with the goes even

play43:00

deeper and says when Lambo and if which

play43:03

Lambo which lamb do you know do you know

play43:05

think so okay when Lambo well fine maybe

play43:09

early 2025 perhaps I mean I don't know

play43:12

man yeah it's like first in the b in the

play43:14

bare market last year it was uh yeah

play43:16

Will Lambo and now it's like will Lambo

play43:19

and now it's like yeah when Lambo and

play43:21

then the the decision on what kind of

play43:23

Lambo I'm looking at on my screen is

play43:25

also Vol you know to go to who on the

play43:27

markets are up it's like an SVS type

play43:29

stuff from the event Doors where it

play43:30

comes down then it's like a 10-year-old

play43:31

in galor or something so okay so you you

play43:34

know some models about I'm I'm I'm I'm

play43:36

just enjoying

play43:38

looking done some d r on on Lambos um we

play43:43

are in Dubai happy be you know um but

play43:45

yeah to be honest at the end of the day

play43:47

um although I would be cool to own a

play43:49

Lambo I suppose you know um it's

play43:52

practically I would I just don't have I

play43:53

don't have a car yet I use my I live

play43:55

right near the office I and I would I

play43:57

don't know if I'll ever need to use it

play43:58

because I'm only probably on the

play44:00

weekends uh and I don't it's just quick

play44:02

and easy for me to travel but scooter

play44:04

traffic is a bit of a problem especially

play44:05

in this area so practically as much as

play44:07

like I want to you know get it and think

play44:10

about it and you know flexing in a Lambo

play44:12

problem is is like you know when am I

play44:13

going to use it the practicalities of it

play44:15

um you know but you you'd use a Lambo

play44:18

you definitely Nick would defin Nick is

play44:20

100% going to get there is a parking

play44:22

spot you know we have with my name there

play44:24

it's just waiting for it to be next

play44:27

we've got two parking spots at this

play44:28

office my Toyota is in one of them the

play44:31

other one is waiting to be filled by

play44:33

Nick's Lamborghini conistor but to be

play44:36

fair your your your Toyota fared pretty

play44:39

well last week it saved you in a few

play44:40

occasions with regards to the weather I

play44:42

mean you picked up our videographer when

play44:44

we needed in here and you we managed to

play44:46

get us a token 2049 without having to

play44:49

worry about cab liquid you know lack of

play44:51

cabs because of their situation so that

play44:54

Lambo couldn't do that so there were a

play44:55

lot of flooded Lambos don't want a low

play44:57

riding car when it rains yeah yeah

play45:00

exactly okay final question and this is

play45:03

the real important question this is

play45:04

where the real Alpha is whole been

play45:06

building building up to guys and that is

play45:08

from Neil 945 and he's asking guy what

play45:13

is the new diet looking super lean man N

play45:17

Neil 945 is actually my ALT account um

play45:21

yeah uh I have lost a bit of weight um

play45:24

well I uh fewer carbs I haven't been

play45:27

drinking this year I mean I don't drink

play45:29

much anyway no no booze this year I did

play45:32

have a couple of beers last weekend but

play45:33

that was it um and I fast once a week so

play45:38

Mondays I don't eat oh I don't eat from

play45:40

Sunday evening to Tuesday Morning which

play45:43

means Mondays which were let's face it

play45:45

tough enough are even tougher days when

play45:47

you guys have to do the news right yeah

play45:49

there's a we know in the office now to

play45:50

be very careful around G on Mondays

play45:52

because that's when you usually

play45:54

screaming coming from the office like

play45:55

it's just a and a irritable mood but

play45:57

yeah I think fasting is definitely you

play46:00

know a hack a health hack like I should

play46:02

actually try it like but I'm just I feel

play46:04

uh especially with building muscle on

play46:07

the kind of stuff like the notion of not

play46:08

getting my protein in the day my daily

play46:10

my daily allowance of protein kind of

play46:12

scares me but I I think it's important

play46:14

um because for mental acurity as well

play46:16

right f is very important mental

play46:18

accurity yeah I do think it makes me

play46:20

sharper even when I'm not thinking about

play46:22

food which is quite a lot so there we

play46:24

are that's it um more uh also less

play46:27

cardio more weights more oh okay okay

play46:30

which seems to helps is good for cool

play46:33

and pedal that's a pedal and pedal lots

play46:35

of paddle yeah lots of very competitive

play46:37

paddle very comp cool guys thank you

play46:39

very much for your questions this is

play46:40

great um as you know if you guys want to

play46:42

um submit them you know what to do we've

play46:44

got our Instagram link to below um and

play46:47

uh you can put them there and we'll try

play46:48

and come to as many of them as we can at

play46:50

the end of the week um this is great guy

play46:52

thanks for coming back man good to be

play46:53

back good to be back and hopefully we'll

play46:55

see you next week then again soon thanks

play46:57

guys cheers guys

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