Broncos vs Saints Best NFL Bets, Picks & Predictions | Week 7 TNF

OddsShopper Sports Betting
17 Oct 202409:59

Summary

TLDRIn this episode of Thursday Night Football, host Dave Lochran dives into the matchup between the Broncos and Saints, highlighting the numerous injuries affecting both teams. With a low total of 37 points and Denver favored by 2.5 points, Lochran predicts a conservative, low-scoring game. He emphasizes the strengths of both defenses and suggests the possibility of a Saints money line bet. Additionally, he offers prop bets, including rushing yards for Jal Mofler and a parlay involving Alvin Kamara and Bonick's interceptions. With promotional opportunities on Bet365, viewers are encouraged to engage with the community for betting insights.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ˜€ Embrace the challenges of Thursday Night Football; it's often messy but can be entertaining.
  • ๐Ÿˆ The game features a low total of 37 points, with the Broncos favored by 2.5 points against the Saints.
  • ๐Ÿค• Both teams are facing significant injuries, especially the Saints, who will be without key players like Chris Olave and Derek Carr.
  • ๐Ÿ” The Broncos' defense is expected to perform well, despite missing all-pro corner Patrick Surtain.
  • ๐Ÿšจ Spencer Rattler is making his first prime-time start as quarterback for the Saints under tough conditions.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ The Saints' offense struggles with injuries, leaving limited viable pass-catching options aside from Alvin Kamara.
  • ๐Ÿค” Despite recent struggles, the Saints' defense is still ranked high in interceptions and forced fumbles.
  • ๐Ÿ”„ Expect a conservative game plan from both teams, focusing on ball control and avoiding turnovers.
  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prop bet suggestion: Jal Moffitt over 22.5 rushing yards is seen as a promising opportunity given the Saints' defense struggles.
  • ๐ŸŽ‰ A parlay bet is suggested, combining Alvin Kamara's rushing attempts, Bonick throwing an interception, and over 1.5 field goals made.

Q & A

  • What is the overall tone of the game discussed in the transcript?

    -The tone of the game is described as 'gross' and 'ugly,' reflecting the expected low-quality play and struggles of both teams due to injuries.

  • Which key players are expected to be out for the Saints?

    -Chris Olave, Derek Carr, and both starting and backup centers are expected to be out for the Saints.

  • How does the Broncos' defense factor into the game analysis?

    -Despite missing All-Pro corner Patrick Surtain, the Broncos' defense is considered opportunistic and expected to perform well against the Saints' decimated offense.

  • What betting strategy does the speaker suggest regarding the total points?

    -The speaker suggests betting on the under 37.5 points due to the expected conservative play and low-scoring nature of the game.

  • Why does the speaker lean towards the Saints' moneyline?

    -The speaker believes that in an ugly game, a single turnover by the Broncos' quarterback could lead to an upset, making the Saints' moneyline at +136 appealing.

  • What is the significance of the defensive statistics mentioned?

    -Both teams rank high in red zone efficiency, indicating that while they may allow yardage, they can prevent scoring in critical situations, contributing to the expected low score.

  • What player prop bet does the speaker highlight for the upcoming game?

    -The speaker highlights a prop bet on Julio McGloin for over 22.5 rushing yards, capitalizing on the Saints' struggles against rushing defenses.

  • What recent successful bets are referenced in the discussion?

    -The speaker references successful bets on Bree Hall's 50+ receiving yards and a prop for Debo Samuel involving 100+ combined rushing and receiving yards.

  • How does the speaker suggest engaging with the betting community?

    -The speaker encourages viewers to join the Discord community for notifications and discussions about prop bets, enhancing the betting experience.

  • What parlay options does the speaker propose?

    -The proposed parlay includes Alvin Kamara for 15+ rushing attempts, B. Nicks to throw an interception, and over 1.5 field goals made, offering value at plus odds.

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Transcripts

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NFL AnalysisBroncosSaintsBetting TipsInjury ReportGame PreviewFootball StrategyWeeknight SportsDefensive FocusPlayer Props