Massive Bitcoin Miner Predicts Big Bull Market!

Anthony Pompliano
24 Apr 202433:05

Summary

TLDRThe discussion revolves around the impact of ETFs on institutional investment in Bitcoin miners, highlighting the potential for a new bull cycle driven by institutional capital. Adam talks about the strategic implications of the upcoming Bitcoin halving, the profitability of mining operations, and the balance of selling versus holding Bitcoin. The conversation also touches on challenges like regulatory changes, competition, and market volatility. Adam shares insights on managing debt, operational efficiencies, and the importance of transparent reporting to attract institutional investors. The overall focus is on navigating the complexities of the crypto mining industry and leveraging opportunities for growth and innovation.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ Institutional investors are increasingly interested in Bitcoin miners as a leveraged way to invest in Bitcoin, especially with the advent of ETFs, which they view as a catalyst for the next bull cycle.
  • πŸ’‘ Bitcoin miners benefit from higher Bitcoin prices, but the upcoming halving event could lead to a situation where many miners become only marginally profitable, potentially extending the industry's adjustment period.
  • πŸ’Ό The company's transparency in posting daily Bitcoin mined and operational details appeals to institutional investors who seek a clear understanding of the business's performance.
  • πŸ’Ή The company's strategy is focused on selling mined Bitcoin daily to operate profitably and fund growth, despite the potential for missing out on Bitcoin's upside.
  • πŸ› οΈ Core Scientific has a competitive advantage in hash rate utilization due to its experienced team and custom software, which contributes to higher efficiency and profitability.
  • πŸ’Ώ The company is strategically positioned with flexible infrastructure that can be converted to traditional compute as the market demands, presenting a significant opportunity post-halving.
  • πŸ’΄ Capital allocation is a key focus, with the company maintaining a balance of debt and equity to manage leverage effectively and maximize growth opportunities.
  • πŸ”„ The company is prepared for industry changes, such as the shift to more traditional compute and the potential for hardware refreshes post-halving, aiming to consolidate hash rate among top players.
  • ⚑ The importance of power cost and infrastructure maintenance cannot be overstated, as they are critical to the long-term sustainability and profitability of mining operations.
  • 🌐 The company is exploring site selection with a focus on low-cost power and the potential for intermittency, moving towards smaller, more modular, and lights-out facilities for better margins.
  • πŸ“‰ Despite the challenges faced during bankruptcy, the company emerged stronger with a loyal investor base and a clear vision for growth, focusing on efficiency and capitalizing on market opportunities.

Q & A

  • What is the trend that started in December that is influencing institutional investors to look at Bitcoin miners?

    -The trend is the anticipation of the ETF launch. Institutional investors recognize the ETF was coming and are seeking alternative ways to capitalize on the ETF launch. Bitcoin miners offer a leveraged way to invest in Bitcoin, potentially providing a multiple on the U.S. dollars invested.

  • How does the Bitcoin ETF potentially impact the next Bull cycle for Bitcoin miners?

    -The Bitcoin ETF could act as a mechanism to allow more institutional and retail investors access to the Bitcoin market. If this happens, it might lead to a different and potentially higher Bull Run than what has been seen in the past.

  • What is the impact of the Bitcoin runup prior to the halving on the profitability of miners post-halving?

    -The Bitcoin runup prior to the halving creates a situation where many machines on the network will still be profitable post-halving. This is different from previous halvings (like in 2020 and 2016), where a more rapid process of mining company failures was observed.

  • What are the factors that could affect the future of Bitcoin mining businesses?

    -Factors include regulatory changes, approval of other ETFs that might draw institutional attention away from Bitcoin mining, and the potential influx of institutional capital into mining which could increase competition.

  • How does Core Scientific provide transparency to institutional investors?

    -Core Scientific posts its daily Bitcoin mined every single day, allowing investors to understand how the business is performing in real time. This transparency is beneficial for institutional investors who seek clarity on the company's operations and financials.

  • What is Core Scientific's current stance on holding or selling mined Bitcoin?

    -Core Scientific is currently selling its mined Bitcoin on a daily basis. The focus is on operating profitably and using the proceeds to drive additional growth into the company.

  • What is the strategy behind Core Scientific's decision to sell mined Bitcoin rather than holding onto it?

    -The strategy is driven by a focus on operational profitability and growth. Holding onto Bitcoin would mean forgoing the opportunity to invest in growth opportunities and infrastructure development, which could ultimately be more beneficial for shareholders.

  • What factors contribute to Core Scientific's better margins compared to competitors?

    -Factors include having one of the best hash rate utilizations in the industry, a team with significant operating experience, and a custom-built software stack that increases machine efficiency and longevity.

  • How did Core Scientific manage to grow so quickly before going into bankruptcy?

    -Core Scientific achieved aggressive growth by building the largest infrastructure footprint and the best designs in the industry. This was supported by raising capital in a market that rewarded such growth strategies.

  • What was the outcome of Core Scientific's bankruptcy process, and how did it affect the company's capital structure?

    -The bankruptcy process allowed Core Scientific to eliminate over $400 million in debt and extend the maturities of its debt, adding optionality to the capital structure. This made the structure more suitable for a Bitcoin mining business.

  • What is the long-term vision for Core Scientific in the next 5 to 10 years?

    -The long-term vision is to solidify Core Scientific's position as a digital infrastructure company that attacks new and emerging forms of compute. The company aims to have a mix of high-performance computing, Bitcoin mining, and other types of compute, preparing for the next Bitcoin halving in 2028.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“ˆ Institutional Investment in Bitcoin Mining and ETF Impact

The paragraph discusses the increasing interest from institutional investors in Bitcoin miners, especially with the advent of the ETF. It highlights the trend where institutional investors see Bitcoin miners as a leveraged play on Bitcoin, offering a multiple return on investment compared to direct Bitcoin purchases. The conversation also touches on the potential for a new bull cycle for Bitcoin miners driven by institutional investments, as opposed to retail which has traditionally driven such cycles. The impact of high Bitcoin prices and the upcoming halving event on mining profitability is also explored, with insights into how these factors might affect the mining industry post-halving.

05:00

πŸ’Ή Capital Structure and Strategy in Bitcoin Mining

This paragraph delves into the financial strategies of Bitcoin mining companies, particularly focusing on debt and equity. It outlines the various financial instruments used by miners, such as convertible notes, term loans, and warrants, and how these are appealing to institutional investors. The discussion also covers the ideal debt levels for miners in different market conditions and the risks associated with short-term debt in a volatile market. Additionally, the strategy around selling mined Bitcoin and the importance of operational efficiency and software innovation are highlighted, emphasizing the company's focus on profitability and growth.

10:03

πŸ”„ Core Scientific's Journey Through Growth and Bankruptcy

The speaker recounts Core Scientific's rapid growth and subsequent bankruptcy, detailing the aggressive expansion strategy that led to the company's leadership position in the industry. It explains the factors that contributed to the bankruptcy, including increasing network hash rates, falling Bitcoin prices, and the impact of the war in Ukraine on power prices. The narrative continues with the company's restructuring process, which eliminated significant debt and improved the capital structure, positioning Core Scientific for a stronger future. The paragraph also addresses the challenges of maintaining talent and shifting the company's focus during bankruptcy and the successful outcome of the process.

15:04

🌐 Core Scientific's Services and Future Vision

This paragraph introduces Core Scientific as a leading public Bitcoin mining company and hosting solution provider in North America. It discusses the company's specialization in efficient, large-scale computation and its recent contract with Corweave, an AI Cloud compute leader. The company's activities include earning Bitcoin for their account and offering hosting services to other large-scale Bitcoin mining customers. The focus is on providing up to 16 megawatts of data center capacity with their own substantial fleet of miners. The paragraph also outlines the company's future vision, emphasizing the importance of nimble infrastructure and the ability to adapt to the highest-value compute opportunities leading up to and beyond 2028.

20:05

πŸš€ Post-Halving Opportunities and Hash Rate Consolidation

The paragraph discusses the opportunities that arise post-Bitcoin halving for companies like Core Scientific, which can capitalize on the challenges faced by smaller, less profitable miners. It explores the potential for acquiring newer, more efficient mining machines and the strategy behind selling mined Bitcoin daily to focus on company growth. The importance of hash rate utilization as a key differentiator for mining companies is highlighted, with Core Scientific boasting higher utilization rates than competitors. The discussion also touches on the future of mining infrastructure, emphasizing the move towards smaller, more modular sites with lower power costs and the 'lights out' approach to operations.

25:05

πŸ”Œ Power Costs and Site Selection in Mining Operations

This paragraph focuses on the critical factors of power costs and site selection for mining operations. It emphasizes the search for locations that offer lower power costs, even if it means accepting some level of intermittency. The concept of an efficient frontier in terms of uptime versus power cost is introduced, and the importance of maintaining infrastructure for long-term reliability is discussed. The speaker also talks about the company's experience post-bankruptcy, highlighting the loyalty and support from its investor base as a pleasant surprise. The paragraph concludes with contact information for the company and a positive note on the Bitcoin investor day event.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin miners are entities that contribute to the process of verifying transactions on the Bitcoin network and adding them to the blockchain. They do this by solving complex mathematical problems, which requires significant computational power. In the context of the video, Bitcoin miners are seen as a leveraged way for institutional investors to invest in Bitcoin, offering a multiple on the US dollars invested in the miner, as opposed to buying Bitcoin directly.

πŸ’‘ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund)

An ETF is a type of investment fund and exchange-traded product, with shares that are tradeable on a stock exchange. ETFs are designed to track the performance of the underlying asset, such as stocks, bonds, or a commodity like gold. In the video, the anticipation of a Bitcoin ETF is mentioned as a catalyst for institutional investors to explore Bitcoin miners as an investment opportunity.

πŸ’‘Leverage

Leverage in finance refers to the use of borrowed capital to increase the potential return of an investment. A leveraged investment amplifies both potential gains and losses. In the video, investing in Bitcoin miners is described as a leveraged way to play on Bitcoin, meaning that the investment can yield higher returns (or losses) relative to the investment made.

πŸ’‘Hash Rate

Hash rate in the context of Bitcoin mining refers to the computing power used by miners to validate transactions on the blockchain. A higher hash rate means more transactions can be processed, and the miner has a better chance of adding a new block to the blockchain, thus earning rewards. The video discusses the importance of hash rate utilization, which is a measure of how efficiently a miner is using its hash rate to mine Bitcoin.

πŸ’‘Debt Financing

Debt financing involves raising funds by taking on debt, which must be repaid with interest. In the video, the company's use of debt financing is discussed, including various instruments such as convertible notes, term loans, and warrants. The company's approach to managing debt is highlighted as a key strategy for navigating market volatility and growing the business.

πŸ’‘Chapter 11

Chapter 11 is a section of the United States Bankruptcy Code that allows a business to restructure its debts while continuing to operate. In the video, the company's CEO discusses going through a Chapter 11 process, which involved eliminating debt and restructuring the capital structure to emerge stronger and better positioned for growth.

πŸ’‘Hedging

Hedging is a risk management strategy that involves taking an investment position to offset potential losses in a different investment. In the context of the video, hedging could refer to strategies used by Bitcoin miners to protect against the volatility of Bitcoin's price. The company's strategy involves selling mined Bitcoin daily to focus on profitability and growth.

πŸ’‘Power Costs

Power costs refer to the expenses incurred for the electricity needed to power Bitcoin mining operations. Since mining requires significant computational power, the cost of electricity is a major factor in the profitability of mining. The video emphasizes the importance of securing low-cost power as a competitive advantage for Bitcoin miners.

πŸ’‘Transparency

Transparency in a business context means being open and clear about operations, performance, and financials. In the video, the company's commitment to transparency is highlighted as a way to build trust with institutional investors. This includes posting daily Bitcoin mining figures and providing insights into operational efficiencies.

πŸ’‘Capital Allocation

Capital allocation refers to how a company distributes its financial resources, such as investment in infrastructure, debt repayment, or acquisitions. The video discusses the importance of strategic capital allocation for Bitcoin miners, focusing on areas like power cost management, infrastructure maintenance, and leveraging software for operational efficiency.

πŸ’‘Lights Out Facilities

Lights out facilities are highly automated data centers or industrial sites that require minimal human intervention to operate. In the video, the company's future focus on lights out facilities is mentioned as a way to improve operational efficiency, uptime, and margins by reducing the need for on-site staff and leveraging software for maintenance and repairs.

Highlights

Institutional investors are increasingly interested in Bitcoin miners as a leveraged way to invest in Bitcoin, especially with the introduction of the ETF.

Bitcoin miners represent an alternative investment opportunity for institutional investors looking to gain exposure to Bitcoin beyond direct purchase.

The launch of the ETF is seen as a catalyst that could potentially initiate the next bull cycle for Bitcoin miners.

The Bitcoin price run-up prior to the ETF launch is creating a situation where many mining machines will remain profitable post-launch, unlike previous scenarios in 2020 and 2016.

Core Scientific, a leading Bitcoin mining company, is focusing on operational efficiency and transparency to attract institutional investors.

Core Scientific posts daily Bitcoin mining updates, providing real-time insights into the company's performance.

The company has a diverse range of publicly traded instruments, including debt and equity, appealing to various institutional investment strategies.

Core Scientific's capital structure includes long-term debt, which is considered optimal for the industry's volatility.

The company is strategically selling mined Bitcoin daily to focus on profitability and growth, despite market volatility.

Core Scientific has better margins than competitors due to high hash rate utilization and efficient operations.

The company went through bankruptcy in 2022 but emerged stronger, eliminating over $400 million in debt and restructuring its capital.

Core Scientific is shifting its focus from aggressive growth to efficiency and operational excellence post-bankruptcy.

The company is looking to convert existing facilities into traditional compute infrastructure, capitalizing on the next wave of technology.

Core Scientific is well-positioned to take advantage of market opportunities post the Bitcoin halving event in 2024.

The company is anticipating a more drawn-out process post-halving, with many miners remaining online for an extended period due to marginal profitability.

Regulatory changes and the approval of additional ETFs could significantly impact the Bitcoin mining industry and investment strategies.

Core Scientific's long-term vision includes a diversified approach to compute services, including Bitcoin mining, AI, and high-performance computing.

The company emphasizes the importance of hash rate utilization as a key performance metric, which is higher for Core Scientific than its competitors.

Site selection for new mining facilities is prioritized based on low power costs and the potential for operational efficiency.

Transcripts

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more institutional investors are looking

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at Bitcoin miners because of the ETF

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that's a trend that we've seen really

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since starting in December where more

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institutional investors recognize the

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ETF was coming and we're trying to find

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other ways to play the ETF launch you

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know Bitcoin miners represent a

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leveraged way to play on bitcoin because

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you're investing in a Bitcoin minor in

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order to get a multiple on the US

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dollars that you're investing in a minor

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versus just buying Bitcoin and so that's

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really one catalst is I think

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institutional investors actually could

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present kind of the next Bull cycle for

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Bitcoin miners whereas retail is

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generally driven that in the

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[Music]

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past all right guys bang bang I've got

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Adam here with me Adam I thought a great

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place to start this conversation is the

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Bitcoin miners obviously like when

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bitcoin's price goes up we've seen

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Bitcoin go very high it hit new all-time

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high but it happened before the having

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and the Bitcoin having I think a lot of

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people question is this good or bad for

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the minor so how do you think about

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these two kind of inputs into you know

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the next C six month or so we have a

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high bitcoin price before the having and

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then we have the having coming and so

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how are you guys thinking about your

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business today yeah I think one of the

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big questions is is the ETF the the

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mechanism for Bitcoin to go even more uh

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parabolic posst having in a way where

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it's allowing more institutional

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investors more retail investors access

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to the market if that's the case then we

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might see a much different Bull Run than

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we've even seen in the past where we

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actually see it go higher than we

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expected but the Bitcoin runup prior to

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the having is actually creating a very

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interesting situation post having where

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a lot of the machines on the network

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today are still going to be profitable

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post having that's much different than

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2020 it's much different than 2016 and

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so as we look forward post having you

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know we're looking at a POS we're

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looking at a point where a lot of miners

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are going to be marginally profitable

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and they're going to stay online for

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kind of three to six months so I think

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we're going to see a much more drawn out

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process and instead of seeing what we

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saw in 2022 where we saw a much more

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sped up process in terms of crypto

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mining or Bitcoin mining companies and

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and having failures you know that's

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going to take a little bit longer and we

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might not actually see it until

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2025 and are there things that would

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affect how you view this whether it is

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regulatory like kind of external shock

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uh could there be um other ETFs that are

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approved that like draw institutional

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attention away does the ETF open up the

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floodgates for institutional Capital uh

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to kind of plow into Mining and so you

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have more competition like how are you

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just thinking about like other things

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that could happen in the industry

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outside of just this having moment yeah

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I think right now really what we're

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seeing is just the fact that more

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institutional investors are looking at

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Bitcoin miners because of the ETF that's

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a trend that we've seen really since

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starting in December where more

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institutional investors recognized the

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ETF was coming and we're trying to find

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other ways to play the ETF launch you

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know Bitcoin miners represent a

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leveraged way to play on bitcoin because

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you're investing in a Bitcoin minor in

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order to get a a multiple on the US

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dollars that you're investing in a minor

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versus just buying Bitcoin and so that's

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really one catalyst is I think

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institutional investors actually could

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present kind of the next Bull cycle for

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Bitcoin miners whereas retail has

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generally driven that in the past and

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the only institutional leadership you

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see really amongst Bitcoin miners today

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is mostly passive funds I think you're

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going to see a lot more large active

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funds taking positions especially as

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these institutions get a lot smarter on

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our economics really for the first time

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those are the questions we're getting

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from institutional investors explain

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your economics explain your power costs

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explain your minor Fleet explain your

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facilities explain your advantage we

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never heard that before how does the

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evaluation change in conversations as

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they're having it with you like if they

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know where your wallets are they should

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be able to see how many Bitcoin that

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you're actually mining uh if they know

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how you're treating that if you're

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selling it all if you're keeping it all

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um do they have like more insight into

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what the revenue in a quarter is going

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to be for a Bitcoin minor that maybe

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they would say you know in a Facebook or

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Amazon or or anywhere else well we're

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incredibly transparent on this point so

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we actually post our daily bitcoin's

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mind every single day um you know we we

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like the fact that people can understand

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how our business performing and they can

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judge us in real time uh they can also

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see the effects of weather events and

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when we have to curtail and so all of

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those factors I think are really good

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for institutional investors who are

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seeking greater transparency you know

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initially this was driven towards giving

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the masses you know access to more

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information information about the

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company but now it's institutional

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investors that are saying yeah if you're

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not doing that it's a problem because we

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want to know how you're doing other

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companies have similar uh type I would

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say information out in the market

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whether because they're running their

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own pool but it's very difficult to know

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what some of the other miners are mining

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on any given day and as you're talking

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to these institutions what are they

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looking to do are are they interested in

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investing with debt are they interested

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uh at just buying the stock and kind of

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equity capital

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um and then how do you guys on the flip

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side of that think about equity and debt

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to help fuel the business yeah so today

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um we have about $600 million in debt

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and we have a number of different

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instruments uh that are all publicly

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traded and so we have a a wider range of

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institutional conversations and I would

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say most minors in this Spas have you

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know we have convertible notes we have

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term loans um and we have also we have

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warrants on the equity side as well as

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our common equity and so we have about

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six publicly traded instruments and so

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institutional investors find that

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fascinating they love the fact that they

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can be trading different instruments in

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a Bitcoin mining company you know as

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we're thinking about going forward I

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would say over the long term having

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about one turn of debt in this type of

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industry is probably the right thing in

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a nonvolatile environment because then

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if you get into a downside scenario you

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know let's say you're two turns or two

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and a half turns in in a deeply down in

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a deep downturn but then in a bull case

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you're you're at a half turn um I think

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there is a place for leverage in in this

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industry you know the industry is

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historically been funded through Equity

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we've seen some players take on debt uh

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minor equipment debt was the uh was

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definitely a uh a pretty dangerous uh

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instrument for companies to take on I

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would say short-term advertising debt in

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this industry is you know that's a

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dangerous place to be because you have

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very short-dated fixed US dollar

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payments and you're sitting you're

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you're mining a volatile uh commodity

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and so it can create flow scenarios uh

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that are very tight and so for us you

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know we're in a very good situation our

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debts mostly four and fiveyear debt uh

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and we have a lot of optionality in the

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capital structure I think that's really

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key you know convertible notes are

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really interesting for miners um you

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know you're seeing it being used heavily

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by micro strategy obviously if Bitcoin

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outperforms you have a chance to Del and

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that's that's a great place to be and

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when you think about the strategy around

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do you hold the Bitcoin or do you sell

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the Bitcoin you're mentioning like

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you're mining Bitcoin you're telling

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everyone here's how much Bitcoin that

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we've mined uh but then you've got this

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like volatile commodity as you call it

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um you have fixed cash payments both in

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debt and expenses and so what is the

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strategy like do you try to time the

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market do you hedge do you sell

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immediately what are you

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thinking yeah I mean for us right now we

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are currently selling our Bitcoin uh on

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a daily basis you know what we're really

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focused on is operating extraordinarily

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profitably you know we're the best

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Bitcoin miner out there from uh a number

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of different angles and we're one of the

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largest Bitcoin miners as well uh we've

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actually LED number of Bitcoins mined

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since 2021 we're leading again in 2024

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so you know for us we're really focused

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on driving additional growth into the

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company other companies have really

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focused on diluting shareholders to pay

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for cost of Revenue to pay for their

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Opex so they can put Bitcoin on balance

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sheet essentially that's shareholders

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buying Bitcoin at a massive premium um

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you know you could say that's a similar

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situation with people buying micro

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strategy but that you're buying into a

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leverage portfolio of bitco

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in the micro strategy situation for

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miners you're just funding operating

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expenses so that the minor can hold

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Bitcoin you know for us if we're going

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to continue to grow this business we

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have a massive growth portfolio of

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facilities ahead of us of partially

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developed infrastructure and we have a

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lot of Ambitions and if we want to

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achieve those Ambitions uh we just can't

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be sitting on a significant amount of

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Bitcoin because there's an opportunity

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cost to that and it's going to come at

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the expensive our

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shareholders now what is the counter

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argument that you like most with you is

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it just like hey if Bitcoin goes up then

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we're giving up upside but really as a

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public company as a fiduciary you're

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trying to manage the downside and and

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kind of the Bitcoin volatility

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absolutely managing the downside this

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business is about time and Market you

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know as a mining company you're playing

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for the three months of year four months

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a year where bitcoin price outpaces hash

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rate rowth so that's when mining

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economics expand rapidly and you have to

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be alive for those types of bull market

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Cycles because that's when you're making

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significant outside returns uh um so

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really that's you know that's our Focus

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right now and the other part is we have

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better margins than all of our

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competitors uh at scale and many of our

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and many of the companies that are

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operating smaller as well so for us

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we're experiencing a much larger upside

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going forward as bitcoin price expands

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than our competitors are so from our

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perspective we don't need to put Bitcoin

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on balance sheet to experience the

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upside of a Bitcoin bull market what

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what drives the kind of better margins

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for you guys

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lower power costs and better operation

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so you know for us it's having the best

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hash rate utilization or one of the best

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hash rate utilizations in the industry

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so that requires significant operating

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experience our team's run by mostly X

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traditional data center folks so they

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know what it means actually have very

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high uptime uh the other part is

play09:48

software you know we had to build our

play09:50

own software stack we were the First

play09:51

Institutional minor in North America

play09:53

first one to 100 first one to 500 first

play09:55

one to 700 megawatts we to solve a lot

play09:57

of problems before people knew that they

play09:59

were problems and so for us it was build

play10:03

software that makes our machines more

play10:04

efficient build software that allows our

play10:06

machines to run longer all of those

play10:08

things contribute to a much higher hash

play10:10

rate utilization than others and then

play10:13

talk a little bit about uh core um grew

play10:16

very quickly went to bankruptcy has that

play10:19

emerged and it's a public company again

play10:21

and I think a lot of folks uh not only

play10:23

one part of the story either they know

play10:24

the fast growth they don't even know

play10:25

about the bankruptcy uh they know about

play10:26

the bankruptcy but they don't know about

play10:28

the before and after so like just kind

play10:29

of like walk us through how did the

play10:31

company grow so quickly uh and then why

play10:33

did it go into bankruptcy and is that

play10:34

actually a risk for some of the other

play10:36

miners that they need to try to avoid

play10:38

yeah let's go back to 2021 B you know

play10:41

every public mining company was raising

play10:42

a specific amount of capital and the

play10:44

market was rewarding aggressive growth

play10:47

we achieved the most aggressive growth

play10:49

strategy in the industry we built the

play10:51

largest infrastructure footprint uh and

play10:53

really the best designs in the industry

play10:55

which are allowing us to achieve these

play10:56

high hash rate utilizations now we went

play10:59

public in January of 2022 uh we already

play11:02

had a significant debt load on on the

play11:04

company and so as we went through 2022

play11:07

Network cash rate was increasing bitcoin

play11:09

price was decreasing and we had the war

play11:11

in Ukraine which jacked up power prices

play11:13

due to the Natural Gas Spike and so all

play11:16

of those things contributed to negative

play11:18

lever free cash flow which is

play11:20

essentially your free cash flow after

play11:21

you pay for debt and so we went we filed

play11:24

for chapter 11 in December of

play11:26

2022 um in 2023 we went through a

play11:29

13-month process starting in December

play11:31

ending in January of 2024 uh I joined

play11:34

the company actually in the middle of

play11:36

the chapter 11 process so in April of

play11:38

2023 um and we are able to eliminate

play11:42

over $400 million in debt the main part

play11:45

of it was we were actually able to

play11:47

extend the maturities and include

play11:48

optionality in the capital structure so

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I talked about that earlier optionality

play11:52

in a capital structure is incredibly

play11:54

important so for us we have if our stock

play11:58

performs well we have a we have a

play11:59

warrant that is a cash exercise warrant

play12:01

that brings in $670 million into the

play12:04

business which more than covers double

play12:07

covers our non-convertible debt then our

play12:10

convertible debt has a mandatory

play12:12

conversion feature so between those two

play12:14

instruments we can be debt free and so

play12:17

that's really a highlight of going

play12:19

through that process was just actually

play12:21

making the structure of our debt proper

play12:23

for a Bitcoin mining business because

play12:25

there is a structure that works and it

play12:27

includes long maturity and it includes

play12:30

optionality in the capital

play12:31

structure and talk a little bit as to

play12:34

like you're coming in how much of the

play12:36

team turns over in that situation both

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executive team and then also kind of U

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you know the employee base and like how

play12:44

do you change the business is it all

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just literally like Financial

play12:47

engineering and and balance sheet and

play12:49

debt and kind of the things people would

play12:51

assume are happening at bankruptcy or

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are there also things that uh either

play12:54

culturally or or kind of with the

play12:56

employee base that you've got to do to

play12:57

to Really make sure you're in a good

play12:58

position to come out of

play12:59

bankruptcy yeah bankruptcies can be

play13:01

extraordinarily challenging for

play13:03

companies um I would say when I joined

play13:06

the company you know we we had the best

play13:08

operations team in the industry

play13:10

obviously you need to have the best

play13:11

construction operation software team to

play13:13

actually build all of that

play13:15

infrastructure at scale and build it

play13:17

that quickly so I came in to a I would

play13:20

say the most Talent talented team in our

play13:22

industry and so it was really about

play13:25

Shifting the focus of that team really

play13:28

from hyper aggressive growth so let's

play13:30

focus on drilling into efficiency and

play13:33

making our operations the best they can

play13:34

possibly be because we knew we were

play13:36

going to be on the plane field at some

play13:38

point in the near future uh it ended up

play13:40

taking you know another seven months to

play13:42

get back on the playe field to being a

play13:43

public company again but it was really

play13:44

about that shift in Focus but you know

play13:46

absolutely there's challenges going

play13:48

through a chapter 11 process you know

play13:50

it's a challenges with uh managing

play13:51

Talent challenges with uh I would say

play13:54

retaining top performers you know

play13:56

luckily everyone understood where we

play13:58

were taking this company and when you

play14:00

have a vision for the business and

play14:01

you're executing on it people want to be

play14:04

there people want to be a part of you

play14:06

know a huge success story and we we

play14:09

offer that of course scientific you know

play14:10

we are a huge success story here having

play14:13

the most successful chapter 11 process

play14:15

in terms of equ recovery um and then

play14:18

also we we maintained the largest

play14:20

Bitcoin mining company in 2023 from

play14:22

bitcoin's mind perspective at a time

play14:24

when we had both hands tied behind our

play14:25

back and everyone thought we were a

play14:26

punching bag turns out you we came out

play14:29

we're fighting even harder in 2024 we're

play14:31

still minding more Bitcoins than

play14:32

everyone else and what are some of the

play14:35

challenges that you all look moving

play14:37

forward in terms of um you have this

play14:40

having event uh there's obviously like

play14:42

always the capital markets but it almost

play14:44

feels like maybe the last two years were

play14:46

head wins and now you guys are starting

play14:48

to get some Tailwinds um what are the

play14:51

obstacles left or what are the friction

play14:52

points that you you know you guys walk

play14:54

into the Ops every day say hey we got to

play14:55

solve these things or put ourselves in a

play14:56

good position today's episode has

play14:58

brought to you to you by core scientific

play15:00

they are one of the largest public

play15:01

Bitcoin mining companies and hosting

play15:03

Solutions in North America they

play15:05

specialize in transforming energy into

play15:07

high value compute with exceptional

play15:09

efficiency at scale and recently

play15:11

announced a contract with cor wee a

play15:13

leader in AI Cloud compute to provide up

play15:16

to 16 megawatt of Data Center capacity

play15:19

with a substantial Fleet of their own

play15:20

miners core scientific not only earns

play15:23

Bitcoin for their own account but also

play15:25

provides hosting services for

play15:26

large-scale Bitcoin mining customers

play15:28

operating out of seven data centers in

play15:30

Georgia Kentucky North Carolina North

play15:32

Dakota and Texas you can learn more

play15:35

about core scientific by visiting cor

play15:37

scientific.com that's cor scientific.com

play15:41

go check them out

play15:43

today yeah so we announced a a deal with

play15:46

cor weave actually on or on an HPC deal

play15:50

you know that's something that we're

play15:52

trying to solve over the course of 2024

play15:54

so we've identified over 300 megawatts

play15:56

in our existing portfolio that could be

play15:58

converted

play15:59

so you talk about the next big challenge

play16:01

you know that's the next big challenge

play16:03

in in our in our company right now and

play16:05

it's not a challenge as much as it's a

play16:06

massive opportunity and everyone's

play16:08

really excited about executing on it and

play16:11

so I would say having is definitely a

play16:12

challenge from the Bitcoin mining side I

play16:14

think that presents an opportunity for

play16:16

us to buy a lot of machines post having

play16:19

you know there's going to be a lot of

play16:20

challenged mining companies out there

play16:22

you know going back to an earlier Point

play16:24

2024 is going to be a challenging year

play16:26

for a number of minors who are only

play16:27

marginally profitable and they're going

play16:29

to have to find ways to raise Capital

play16:30

the smaller they are the more challenges

play16:32

they're going to have in raising capital

play16:34

and so for us it's the opportunity to

play16:36

refresh more machines post having that's

play16:38

an huge upside for us as a business and

play16:41

then part two is the opportunity to go

play16:43

execute on over 300 megawatts of

play16:45

conversion of existing facilities into

play16:47

more traditional

play16:49

compute and

play16:52

when those pieces of Hardware are coming

play16:55

to Market it seems like every like two

play16:57

years maybe you know 3 years

play16:59

um I think miners have gotten their

play17:01

heads around you know how often they

play17:03

need to uh kind of update the hardware

play17:06

but now there's companies like uh

play17:07

aradine and a few others that uh allow

play17:10

for you either more granular controls or

play17:13

you know different types of um clocking

play17:16

and like all these like very intricate

play17:17

things how much of the focus here is

play17:20

like we got to get cheap power we got to

play17:21

be good at operating we got to have the

play17:23

latest version of the hardware versus

play17:25

there's like a technical component of if

play17:27

we really optimize software we can eek

play17:30

out extra profit and it's almost like a

play17:31

tech company that's building

play17:33

infrastructure versus it's an

play17:35

infrastructure company that has some

play17:36

technology how do you view it yeah I

play17:38

mean for us we had to solve a lot of

play17:40

issues that other folks didn't know they

play17:41

had to solve and so we built software to

play17:43

manage that not only keeping the

play17:46

machines up longer and more efficiently

play17:49

but also figuring out ways to overclock

play17:51

machines during the night time or

play17:53

underclock machines when mining

play17:55

economics demand that to generate

play17:57

greater profitability we built all that

play17:59

stuff ourselves and so when we evaluate

play18:02

new machines we always come at it from

play18:04

the eye of are we paying for the value

play18:06

that we've already

play18:07

created I think what's interesting is

play18:10

2025 is the year of democratizing hash

play18:13

rate and what I mean by that is there

play18:15

are a number of Manufacturers coming to

play18:17

Market they're going to start Mass

play18:19

producing at the end of 2024 in 2025

play18:21

they'll start hitting their stride in

play18:23

terms of being able to build a large

play18:25

number of machines and they're going to

play18:27

change their pricing model from we've

play18:29

seen in the past and so what we've seen

play18:30

in the past is Roi pricing essentially

play18:33

pricing machines on a return on

play18:35

investment from about 12 to 14 months

play18:37

depending on what your economics are and

play18:40

that's what we saw in 2021 we saw

play18:42

pricing go up to $80 a terahash now

play18:45

going forward that's going to be much

play18:47

more challenging to raise prices that

play18:48

high when there are a number of

play18:50

Manufacturers who are going to price it

play18:51

on a Cost Plus model essentially a cost

play18:53

or a cost of added to the manufacturing

play18:58

cost

play18:59

and so that's really going to change the

play19:01

Outlook in 2025 for capex for mining

play19:04

companies and also who we're going to be

play19:07

buying from and where the machines are

play19:08

going to be sourced from and so I think

play19:10

that's a huge you know I would call it

play19:12

the the major theme of 2025 versus how

play19:15

much hash rate is going to be in the

play19:16

network because all of that's going to

play19:19

be determined by market economics the

play19:20

Bitcoin network is selfhealing and it

play19:23

always has been and that's never going

play19:25

to go away um so that's going to make

play19:28

2025 really interesting

play19:29

year and as we're watching Core built

play19:34

what is like the long-term Vision here I

play19:36

I see a lot of miners now talking about

play19:37

artificial intelligence I see you know

play19:40

all these different kind of uh shiny

play19:42

things that people could go do how do

play19:44

you all think about the business over

play19:45

the next you know called five to 10

play19:46

years maybe two to three Bitcoin uh

play19:49

having Cycles yeah I mean right now

play19:51

we're hyperfocused on 2028 you know the

play19:54

good part is we have the most Nimble

play19:55

infrastructure in the industry we built

play19:57

it our facilities like a traditional

play19:59

Data Center and so we have an much

play20:01

easier time actually making conversions

play20:04

we also looked at a lot of our

play20:06

facilities from the perspective of being

play20:08

data centers when they are initially

play20:10

purchased and so for us it's about

play20:12

having Nimble infrastructure the ability

play20:14

to execute on the highest opportunity

play20:16

the highest value of compute we possibly

play20:18

can and do that over the next three

play20:21

years so that we're prepared for 2028

play20:24

and so that we can solidify how much or

play20:27

I should say we want to solidify that

play20:30

each of our facilities for Bitcoin

play20:31

mining are going to be profitable at the

play20:33

next having which is something that a

play20:35

lot of folks can't say today you know

play20:36

we're seing a lot of deals get done from

play20:38

for facilities that have very high power

play20:40

prices so that companies that have

play20:42

overcommitted on machines can just bring

play20:44

machines online you know that's not our

play20:46

game you know we're at our core we are a

play20:49

digital infrastructure company that

play20:51

attacks new and emerging forms of

play20:54

compute so that's what we're targeting

play20:56

in 2028 have a healthy mix

play20:59

of HPC Bitcoin mining and whatever other

play21:03

types of compute are going to emerge

play21:05

over the course of the next few years

play21:07

which we have an outstanding design team

play21:09

we we have an outstanding construction

play21:11

team we have an outstanding operations

play21:13

team so from our perspectively kind of

play21:14

tick all the boxes for the major uh the

play21:17

major companies whether it's GPU as a

play21:19

service whether it's traditional AI

play21:21

companies all of those companies know

play21:23

that they can rely on us to provide them

play21:25

the best infrastructure they can

play21:26

possibly access now

play21:29

I've seen you comment about picking up

play21:31

cheap Hardware from other companies that

play21:34

uh struggle post having is this a

play21:37

industry where even with you focus on

play21:39

2028 like the big guys get bigger as

play21:44

mining gets harder and the

play21:58

machines going forward they haven't

play22:00

really started that flywheel of just

play22:02

being able to constantly refresh

play22:04

machines in infrastructure that they've

play22:06

already built you know we're at that

play22:07

point today and so if you take our

play22:10

existing facility you can essentially

play22:12

think about all right if we're operating

play22:14

you know about 18.9 x Ash today if we

play22:17

convert all of our machines to the

play22:19

newest generation machine you know we

play22:21

could almost double that number and so

play22:24

that's what we're starting to see is

play22:26

really just that exponential growth of

play22:27

hash rate

play22:29

and that's okay because as efficiency

play22:31

gets better for each of the machine that

play22:33

means the break even hash price lowers

play22:37

for each new generation of machine which

play22:39

means you can generate the same amount

play22:41

of gross profit even at a lower hash

play22:43

price on a newer and more efficient

play22:45

machine and so you're absolutely right

play22:47

we're going to see a lot of I would call

play22:49

it hashrate consolidation amongst a few

play22:51

of the top players but we represent such

play22:54

a small portion of the overall Network

play22:56

all public Bitcoin miners today are only

play22:57

about 20% of the network so there's

play22:59

still a massive amount of

play23:00

decentralization going on all over the

play23:03

world one of the data points that I saw

play23:05

online uh when I was kind of looking at

play23:07

a bunch of the minors that I found

play23:09

really interesting is um there was a

play23:12

chart and you all had more hash rate

play23:16

than

play23:17

Marathon or I'm sorry they uh Marathon

play23:20

had more hash rate than you but you all

play23:23

had more Bitcoin produced in February

play23:25

than them and it comes down to this idea

play23:28

of minor utilization and I'm not picking

play23:31

on Marathon or or you know anything but

play23:33

just like explain minor utilization and

play23:36

like how that ends up impacting the

play23:38

business and like how volatile is that

play23:40

number for each company over

play23:42

time yeah so we actually post a good

play23:44

chart in our earnings deck so it's hash

play23:47

rate utilization is the metric that a

play23:49

lot of people have become focused on so

play23:51

that means for every ex aash we have

play23:53

running for core scientific we're

play23:56

generating about 10 more Bitcoin per

play23:58

energized ex ahash than our competitors

play24:01

now some of our competitors have

play24:03

actually I would say gamed their numbers

play24:05

a little bit by not actually telling the

play24:06

market how many machines they have

play24:08

running so they have a lot of machines

play24:10

on the ground they hot swap them for us

play24:12

we tell the market exactly how many

play24:14

machines we own and our hatch rate

play24:16

utilization still beats out all of our

play24:19

scaled competitors and so from our

play24:21

perspective it's a you know it's a huge

play24:23

metric that we we really hang our hat on

play24:25

because we don't have to have as much

play24:26

xash online as some of our competitors

play24:29

and we can still mine more Bitcoin than

play24:31

them goes down to a really talented

play24:32

operations team really talented software

play24:34

team and so that's definitely a metric

play24:36

that is in Focus right now you see it on

play24:39

Twitter constantly right I don't know if

play24:40

you've seen it but I would say the

play24:42

retail crowd is really sted to focus on

play24:44

this metric because it it's about

play24:46

long-term longevity of our business like

play24:48

if you can actually get better hash rate

play24:50

utilization than a competitor that means

play24:53

you're generating a better return on

play24:54

your

play24:55

machines and as we start to watch you

play24:59

guys expand site selection obviously

play25:01

becomes a pretty important uh detail

play25:03

what goes into

play25:04

that you know right now we're we have

play25:07

372 megawatts of partially developed

play25:09

infrastructure at two of our sites so

play25:11

that I would say is less of a Focus

play25:13

right now but we are continuously

play25:15

running searches for new sites really on

play25:18

the cost uh cost of power side that's

play25:21

probably the biggest focus and finding

play25:23

areas that can provide lower power cost

play25:26

in exchange for intermittency so what I

play25:28

mean by that is essentially exchanging

play25:30

uptime for a lower power cost there's an

play25:34

efficient Frontier of where you want to

play25:36

fall on that curve but you can you're

play25:38

generally willing to accept lower

play25:41

downtime or lower uptime in certain

play25:43

situations for lower power cost and so

play25:45

we're constantly valuing those both

play25:47

domestically and internationally right

play25:49

now because you know the next generation

play25:51

of our facilities are going to be more

play25:54

focused on lights out facilities a lot

play25:56

of people don't talk about those but

play25:58

essentially run them like you know where

play26:00

the data center industry is moving which

play26:01

is have less people involved have less

play26:03

people touching them because usually you

play26:05

get better uh you get better uptime out

play26:08

of your machines and we can solve a lot

play26:10

of the issues through through our

play26:11

software stack so that's what we're

play26:13

focused on in the future it's building

play26:15

out facilities in very lowcost power

play26:17

centers that are essentially lights out

play26:20

they need people to only go to those

play26:21

facilities you know once or twice a week

play26:23

to maybe exchange out some machines um

play26:26

but we already have those processes

play26:27

nailed centralized repair centers um we

play26:31

have an amazing parts inventory or

play26:33

centralized parts inventory Warehouse we

play26:36

have all these systems already in place

play26:38

to manage this and so for us you know

play26:40

that's the future right it's smaller

play26:43

sites that are focused on lights out

play26:45

grabbing better margins because if you

play26:47

have lower power costs you have lower

play26:50

facility level operating costs you're

play26:52

going to have better margin profile and

play26:54

we can already manage a large number of

play26:56

facilities we have seven facilities

play26:57

today easily blow that number out to 25

play27:00

50 facilities when you have no problem

play27:02

managing it but that's really where the

play27:04

industry is going to start moving to

play27:06

it's going to start moving away from

play27:07

some of these Mega sites and start

play27:09

moving towards some of these smaller

play27:11

more modular sites that provide a lot

play27:13

more optionality but you need to have

play27:15

the right operations team you need to

play27:16

have the right software stack otherwise

play27:18

you're going to really struggle to

play27:19

manage that

play27:20

infrastructure and as you kind of um

play27:24

view bitcoin's price going up what would

play27:26

change your guys mind on not selling the

play27:27

Bitcoin

play27:29

yeah so right now we're contractually

play27:32

obligated according to our debt

play27:33

covenants to or certain debt covenants

play27:36

to sell our Bitcoin now if Bitcoin

play27:38

really begins to perform well and we're

play27:40

able to start paying down some of that

play27:41

debt you know that will provide an

play27:43

opportunity for us to be much more

play27:45

opportunistic I would say holding

play27:47

Bitcoin on balance sheet will require a

play27:50

I would say a more liquid hedging market

play27:52

for Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining more

play27:54

directly once that occurs Bitcoin is

play27:57

going to a much more viable commodity to

play28:01

hold in your balance sheet or on your

play28:02

balance sheet because soon you're going

play28:05

to be running this very similar to a

play28:06

trading desk where you're going to be

play28:08

trading like a traditional Commodities

play28:10

company would and so that's definitely a

play28:13

place where you're actually going to

play28:14

start having cash on balance or Bitcoin

play28:16

on balance sheet against some of your

play28:18

hedge positions but right now it's like

play28:20

we walked into 2023 expecting to mine

play28:22

between 13 and 14,000 Bitcoin that's a

play28:25

massive amount of Bitcoin exposure to

play28:27

have and really I would say the the

play28:30

accounting change that we've seen for if

play28:33

bitcoin price increases you can take put

play28:35

that on your income statement you know

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some of that is just noise and a lot of

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investors already recognize that so I

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would say our Focus continue to execute

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on growth continue to have the right mix

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of cash on balance sheet versus paying

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down debt and continue to grow the

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company and so Bitcoin on balance sheet

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is great for some companies who have who

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have large huddles and I would say we

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would start holding coin on balance

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sheet after we uh start to clear some of

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that debt and utilize it for hedging

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purposes and what are the things that

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maybe the average investor who's looking

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at these mining companies um what are

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the things that they usually don't ask

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you or uh the things that they don't

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care about that you're like as a person

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who thinks about Capital allocation

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these are the things when I look at a

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minor that I really really pay attention

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to that maybe should be more

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important yeah I mean we talked about

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utilization but that's kind of coming in

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Vogue now um I would say it's really all

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in cost of power and what's the

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flexibility and the power rates you know

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everyone puts their headline number in

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their deck well what's the what's the

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power rate that you were charged that's

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not standardized today I think in the

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future companies are going to have to

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present a standardized metric for

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presenting price of Bitcoin and then I I

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think the next part is really related to

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what does your infrastructure look like

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because a lot of people who have built

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infrastructure in the past haven't been

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performing proper maintenance on their

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facilities it's been a big focus of us

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is actually ensuring that these

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facilities can operate for tens of years

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and so we've been performing significant

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maintenance over time so we never incur

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these major outages that's a huge risk

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you're seeing it today with some of the

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other large mining companies who have

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facilities go out and their Bitcoin

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production is low for sometimes months

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at a time because they can't get the

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facility operational again you know

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that's a place a lot of ERS haven't

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focused on in the past but they

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absolutely need to because

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infrastructure is a high capex item and

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so if you're not maintaining that

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infrastructure it can present massive

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risks just a few years down the road

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after you've completed it got it um and

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then lastly like you joined during the

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bankruptcy you're out of the bankruptcy

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what's been the biggest surprise as CEO

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of a company that's kind of gone through

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this uh this wild ride and now has the

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Tailwind rather than the

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headwind I would say it's the uh it's

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the investor base you know people stuck

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with us through the chapter 11 process

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you know obviously a lot of people were

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upset by it um but we came out a

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stronger company I think a lot of people

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recognize that we got the best Equity

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recovery for Equity investors in history

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in terms of percent of the company

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received and so I would say we have a

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lot of loyal fans out there and you know

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I'm very thankful for all of them

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because they supported us in our darkest

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times and now they're supporting us as

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we've uh We've reemerged and we've

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continued to absolutely pound the table

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uh with all of our competitors and being

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the biggest mining company even as we

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weren't able to grow through our chapter

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11 process so I think a lot of people

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recognize that and they've stayed loyal

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to us and I think you know that's been

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the biggest surprise for me a lot of uh

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a lot of friendly notes from a lot of

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investors out there which I really

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appreciate that's okay they eventually

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all come around right no they are

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friendly that's what I'm saying yeah

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yeah yeah they'll be just fine um

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awesome where can we send people find

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you on the internet or find out more

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about core yeah uh on Twitter adamore

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sullivan1 uh core uncore scientific um

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you know those are probably the the two

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best places to find us on is on uh on

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Twitter it's where we're the most active

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awesome Adam thank you so much for doing

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this and I also appreciate you coming uh

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to our our recent Bitcoin investor day

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people really really enjoyed your

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comments and uh I think that the having

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specifically has uh some folks

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questioning is this positive or negative

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and and to hear your enthusiasm uh is I

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think somewhat calming to them so I

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appreciate your insights I think people

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really learn a lot from this we

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definitely do it again in the future

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yeah and I I'll give a quick pitch for

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your the Bitcoin investor day amazing

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conference um the the enthusiasm was

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flowing out of the facility um it's an

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absolutely amazing event there's a lot

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of people there A lot of really

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important people there too uh so it was

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great to be able just to rub shoulders

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to some of those folks uh walking

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throughout the conference so a great

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event I I I uh I did not compensate you

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to say that but I appreciate it very

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much all right we'll do it again in the

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future sounds great appreciate it

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