Disney are in Trouble: The 4 Huge Problems

TLDR Business
13 Aug 202313:58

Summary

TLDR华特迪士尼公司最新公布的第三季度财报显示,公司在电影、电视、流媒体和主题公园四大业务板块的表现参差不齐。传统电视业务面临持续下滑,尽管ESPN的广告收入有所增长,但订阅收入减少和体育节目成本上升导致整体收入下降。电影方面,迪士尼的最新电影表现不佳,未能达到预期,导致2023年成为自2014年以来迪士尼首次没有电影票房过亿的年份。流媒体业务虽然亏损减少,但自2019年推出以来已累计亏损11亿美元,用户基数也有所下降。相比之下,主题公园业务表现亮眼,盈利能力上升11%,尽管佛罗里达迪士尼世界游客数量下降,但加州迪士尼乐园的游客数量有所增加。总体来看,尽管迪士尼在某些领域面临挑战,但仍有亮点,特别是在主题公园业务上。

Takeaways

  • 📉 迪士尼公司第三季度财报结果喜忧参半,主要关注四个关键领域:电影、电视、流媒体和公园。
  • 📺 传统电视业务面临挑战,迪士尼拥有的频道如ABC、FX、国家地理和ESPN等收入下降,主要受广告销售下降、ESPN订阅费减少和体育节目成本上升的影响。
  • 🏟️ ESPN尽管广告收入上升10%,但有线电视订阅收入减少,面临来自苹果和亚马逊等竞争者的竞争压力,迪士尼可能考虑出售部分业务。
  • 🎬 电影业务表现不佳,包括《印第安纳·琼斯》和《小美人鱼》等最新电影未能达到预期,迪士尼需要找到观众真正想看的电影。
  • 📊 尽管电影票房收入下降,迪士尼在电影行业仍然占据主导地位,2023年迄今为止的收入超过其他主要电影公司。
  • 📉 Disney+流媒体业务本季度亏损5.12亿美元,自2019年推出以来累计亏损11亿美元,迪士尼计划提高订阅费用并打击密码共享行为。
  • 🎢 公园业务是迪士尼的一个亮点,盈利能力上升了11%,尽管佛罗里达的迪士尼世界游客数量下降,但加利福尼亚的迪士尼乐园游客数量有所增加。
  • 🚢 迪士尼邮轮业务已基本满负荷运营,表明疫情限制放松后,人们对旅游的兴趣增加。
  • 🌐 迪士尼的总体营收同比增长3.8%,但由于未达到投资者预期,财报发布后股价下跌。
  • 🌟 尽管面临挑战,迪士尼在电影行业的成功案例如《阿凡达》和《冰雪奇缘》显示了其潜力。
  • 🎉 玩具制造商美泰计划通过其电影宇宙(包括《Uno》动作片、《Hot Wheels》剧情片等)来模仿迪士尼的成功。

Q & A

  • 华特迪士尼公司在2023年第三季度的财报中提到了哪四个关键业务领域?

    -华特迪士尼公司在2023年第三季度的财报中提到了四个关键业务领域:电影、电视、流媒体和公园。

  • 迪士尼CEO Bob Iger认为哪些业务领域将推动公司未来的增长?

    -Bob Iger认为电影工作室、主题公园和流媒体是将推动公司未来增长的三个业务领域。

  • 迪士尼的传统电视业务目前面临哪些挑战?

    -迪士尼的传统电视业务面临的挑战包括收视率下降、广告销售减少、ESPN订阅者支付降低以及体育节目制作成本增加。

  • 迪士尼的最新电影《印第安纳·琼斯》和《蚁人与黄蜂女:量子狂潮》的表现如何?

    -《印第安纳·琼斯》未能达到之前作品的预期,《蚁人与黄蜂女:量子狂潮》是漫威电影中罕见的在院线上映期间亏损数千万美元的电影。

  • 迪士尼的流媒体服务Disney+在2023年的表现如何?

    -Disney+在2023年的表现不佳,该季度亏损了5.12亿美元,虽然比预期的少,但自2019年推出以来,流媒体业务已经让迪士尼亏损了11亿美元。

  • 迪士尼公园部门在2023年的表现有什么亮点?

    -迪士尼公园部门在2023年的表现相对较好,盈利能力上升了11%,这部分得益于上海和香港的公园重新开放并达到满负荷运营。

  • 迪士尼在电影行业的整体表现如何?

    -尽管面临挑战,迪士尼在2023年的电影行业仍然占据主导地位,迄今为止已经从其电影中获得了约34亿美元的收入,超过了其他主要电影制片厂。

  • 迪士尼的流媒体服务Disney+面临的主要问题是什么?

    -Disney+面临的主要问题包括持续的财务亏损、用户基数下降、以及对主要特许经营权的过度开发。

  • 迪士尼的股价在过去一年中的表现如何?

    -迪士尼的股价在过去一年中下降了19%,并且在第三季度财报发布后,由于收入低于投资者预期,股价再次下跌。

  • 迪士尼CEO Bob Iger是否考虑出售ESPN的部分业务?

    -Bob Iger并没有打算出售整个ESPN业务,但他可能愿意出售部分业务,特别是与NFL、NBA或MLB等体育联盟可能的交易。

  • 迪士尼在电影制作上采取了什么样的策略,为什么这会带来挑战?

    -迪士尼在电影制作上采取了“大帐篷柱”策略,即在所有项目上投入巨额预算,依赖于在票房上轻松赚取数十亿美元来覆盖这些预算。然而,由于创意受到批评、口味变化、中国市场的减少以及俄罗斯市场的完全丧失,这种策略变得越来越难以维持。

  • 迪士尼的公园部门在国内外的表现有何不同?

    -迪士尼的公园部门在国外,如上海和香港的公园重新开放并达到满负荷运营,带来了显著的增长。而在美国国内,佛罗里达州的迪士尼世界游客数量下降,而加利福尼亚州的迪士尼乐园则看到了游客数量的增长。

Outlines

00:00

📈 迪士尼公司第三季度财报分析

迪士尼公司在本周三公布了其第三季度的财报,结果显示在电影、电视、流媒体和公园等四个关键领域的收益表现参差不齐。CEO Bob Iger 在财报电话会议上提出,电影制片厂、主题公园和流媒体将是公司未来增长的驱动力。然而,传统电视业务,包括ABC、FX、国家地理和ESPN等频道,正面临收视率和广告收入的下降。迪士尼将电视业务评为E级,认为尽管ESPN的广告收入有所上升,但整体电视业务仍面临挑战。

05:02

🎬 迪士尼电影部门的挑战

迪士尼的电影部门也面临挑战,最近的电影如《印第安纳·琼斯》、《蚁人与黄蜂女:量子狂潮》、《小美人鱼》、《皮克斯的元素》和《鬼屋魔影》等均未达到预期的票房成绩。尽管迪士尼的电影部门在2023年迄今为止的收入仍然领先于其他主要电影制片厂,但与前几年相比,票房收入的下降和高昂的制作预算使得迪士尼需要重新考虑其电影策略。迪士尼的电影部门被评为C级,表明尽管存在挑战,但仍有潜力。

10:02

📉 Disney+ 流媒体服务的困境

Disney+ 流媒体服务曾被视为公司的救星,但最新一季财报显示,流媒体业务亏损5.12亿美元,虽然比预期少,但自2019年推出以来已累计亏损11亿美元。订阅用户数量也有所下降,特别是在印度市场。为了解决这些问题,迪士尼宣布提高订阅价格,并计划打击密码共享行为。Disney+ 的评级为D级,表明尽管有潜力,但目前仍面临财务亏损和内容策略上的挑战。

🎢 迪士尼乐园部门的亮点

与媒体和娱乐部门的下滑相比,迪士尼的公园部门显示出了增长,盈利能力上升了11%。这一增长部分归因于上海和香港的公园重新开放。迪士尼邮轮业务已基本满负荷运营,而美国本土的迪士尼世界和加州的迪士尼乐园则呈现出不同的趋势。尽管佛罗里达州的迪士尼世界游客数量有所下降,加州的迪士尼乐园却看到了游客数量的增长。迪士尼乐园部门被评为B+级,是迪士尼目前表现最好的部门。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡迪士尼公司

迪士尼公司是一家全球知名的多元化娱乐公司,以电影、电视、主题公园和流媒体服务为主要业务。在视频中,迪士尼公司的Q3财报是讨论的焦点,其业绩好坏直接关系到公司的未来发展和投资者的信心。

💡Q3财报

Q3财报指的是公司第三季度的财务报告,它反映了公司在过去三个月内的财务状况和经营成果。视频中提到迪士尼的Q3财报结果参差不齐,这对公司的股价和市场评价有直接影响。

💡流媒体服务

流媒体服务是指通过互联网提供的各种媒体内容的即时传输服务,如迪士尼的Disney+。视频中提到,尽管Disney+曾被视为公司的救星,但最近的财报显示其亏损情况,对公司的整体财务状况构成了压力。

💡主题公园

主题公园是迪士尼公司的重要组成部分,提供以迪士尼角色和故事为主题的娱乐体验。视频中提到,与媒体和娱乐部门的下滑不同,迪士尼的主题公园部门近期显示出了盈利增长。

💡电影业务

电影业务涉及电影的制作、发行和销售。视频中讨论了迪士尼最近的电影表现不佳,例如《印第安纳·琼斯》和《小美人鱼》等,这影响了公司的电影业务收入。

💡ESPN

ESPN是迪士尼旗下的一个体育电视网,以转播体育赛事和提供体育新闻而闻名。视频中提到,尽管ESPN的广告收入有所增长,但有线电视用户减少和体育转播权的竞争加剧给其业务带来了挑战。

💡线性电视

线性电视是指传统的电视节目播出方式,观众需要按照固定的时间表观看节目。视频中提到,随着人们观看习惯的改变,线性电视的收视率正在下降,这对迪士尼的传统电视业务产生了负面影响。

💡广告销售

广告销售是媒体公司通过出售广告位来获得收入的一种方式。视频中指出,迪士尼的电视业务受到广告销售下降的影响,这与全球广告市场的变化和观众观看习惯的转变有关。

💡股票价格

股票价格是公司股份在股票市场上的交易价格。视频中提到,由于迪士尼的Q3财报未达到投资者预期,公司的股票价格出现了下跌。

💡内容创作者

内容创作者是指制作和发布媒体内容的个人或团队。视频中提到了Nebula流媒体服务和其他创作者,强调了内容创作者在提供高质量、独家视频内容方面的重要性。

💡投资回报

投资回报通常指投资者从投资中获得的利润或亏损。在讨论迪士尼的电影业务时,视频中提到了高预算电影需要通过高票房来回收成本,这涉及到投资回报的概念。

Highlights

华特迪士尼公司报告了其第三季度的收益,结果喜忧参半。

迪士尼的收益报告中,有四个关键领域值得关注:电影、电视、流媒体和公园。

CEO Bob Iger 预测,电影制片厂、主题公园和流媒体将是推动公司未来增长的三个领域。

传统电视业务,包括ABC、FX、国家地理和ESPN等频道,正面临挑战,收入下降23%。

ESPN的广告收入增长了10%,但有线电视订阅收入正在减少。

迪士尼考虑出售ESPN的部分业务,并与赌博运营商Penn Entertainment合作推出ESPN品牌的体育博彩。

迪士尼的电影部门面临挑战,最近的电影表现未达到预期,2023年可能成为自2014年以来迪士尼首次没有电影票房超过十亿美元的一年。

尽管电影部门面临挑战,迪士尼在2023年的电影票房收入仍然超过了其他主要电影制片厂。

迪士尼+流媒体服务在本季度亏损了5.12亿美元,但亏损幅度小于预期。

迪士尼+的订阅用户基础在上个季度下降了1%,尤其是在印度市场。

为了解决流媒体服务的问题,迪士尼宣布提高订阅价格,并打击密码共享行为。

迪士尼公园部门与媒体和娱乐部门不同,近年来实际上看到了盈利能力的增长,本季度增长了11%。

迪士尼的邮轮业务现在基本满负荷运营,而佛罗里达的迪士尼世界和加利福尼亚的迪士尼乐园的游客人数则有增有减。

尽管迪士尼公园部门面临一些挑战,但它仍然是迪士尼最强大的部门之一。

迪士尼的整体收益在上个季度同比增长了3.8%,但由于未达到投资者预期,公司股价在收益电话会议后下跌。

尽管电影工作室面临挑战,但最近《芭比》等电影的成功表明,电影行业仍有希望。

Mattel计划通过其电影宇宙(包括《行动队:抢劫》、《热血风火轮》等电影)成为新的迪士尼。

Nebula是一个由众多创作者共同构建的流媒体服务,提供无广告和独家视频内容。

Transcripts

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this video was brought to you by nebula

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on Wednesday the Walt Disney Company

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reported its Q3 earnings and the results

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were mixed at best when it comes to

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Disney's earnings there are four key

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verticals worth looking at Movies TV

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streaming and Parks so in this video

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Let's dive into Disney's earnings report

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where I rank Disney on each of these

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four verticals and more importantly

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discuss what all of this tells us about

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the beleaguered media Giant and if

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there's any chance that they could

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return to their former glory

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during Disney's latest earnings call CEO

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Bob Iger remarked that there were three

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areas of the business that he predicted

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would drive the company's future growth

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film studios theme parks and streaming

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that leaves traditional television where

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iger's career actually began as a sort

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of unloved fourth child so how about we

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start there when it comes to traditional

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TV Disney currently owns a handful of

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channels collected under the remarkably

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drab title Disney General entertainment

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content these include ABC FX National

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Geographic and Cable Sports giant ESPN

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which doesn't technically fall into this

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business unit and is 20 owned by Hearst

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but we'll get on to that in a moment now

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if you come there's no surprise to

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anyone that these core channels are

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struggling right now TV is in a

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Perpetual state of Decline and Disney is

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no exception the latest earning report

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showed that TV pulled in 1.9 billion

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dollars in quarterly operating income

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which sounds good but is down 23 from

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the same quarter last year with Disney

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blaming this drop on three factors

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advertising sales lower payments from

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ESPN subscribers and higher Sports

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programming costs now lower advertising

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sales especially on ABC does make some

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sense after all fewer and fewer people

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are actually tuning in to linear TV but

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it goes deeper than just declining

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viewership because not only are there

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fewer eyeballs to sell to advertisers

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but advertisers are also looking to pay

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less without seeing a broader slowdown

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in the advertising Market worldwide

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group M and Magna both revise down their

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predictions for advertising expecting

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Global ad Revenue to only Rise by 5.9

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and 4.8 percent in the next year now

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that does mean that they're still

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expecting advertising spend to go up

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globally by about five percent but when

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you take into account inflation and the

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fact that a smaller percentage of these

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dollars are actually being directed to

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TV advertising you can see why Disney is

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so glum about traditional TV ESPN is an

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exception here though their advertising

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revenue is up 10 but that doesn't mean

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that they're perfect either remember

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just a moment ago I said that IGA blamed

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the division's decline largely on ESPN

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ESPN's major profit driver has always

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been cable subscriptions but as people

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cut the cord faster than ever this

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revenue is drying up add to that

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additional competition for sports rights

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with both apple and Amazon buying up

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broadcasting rights for major events and

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you've got less money coming in from

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cable and more money going out to

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acquire these rights now ESPN has been a

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major Revenue driver for Disney for

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years now but Igor is supposedly

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considering selling off part of this

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business as I said earlier it's already

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only 80 owned by Disney and while Iger

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did make it clear that he doesn't want

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to sell off the business altogether it

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does seem that he might be willing to

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sell off parts of the business

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potentially to the NFL MBA or MLB which

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have all met with Disney recently maybe

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more telling though is the announcement

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from the middle of the week when ESPN

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revealed that they'd be partnering with

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gambling operator pen entertainment to

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launch an ESPN branded Sportsbook

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unsurprisingly family friendly of Disney

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has been reluctant to get into the

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gambling industry for a while so it's

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telling that they're now considering it

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for the first time on balance then I

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give Disney's TV business an e-grade it

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has got some potential especially ESPN

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but just Cashing Out might be the best

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thing to do here let's move on to movies

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where the picture isn't that much Rosier

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with their latest slate of releases

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falling pretty flat oh that includes

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movies like Indiana Jones and the dial

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of Destiny Marvel's Ant-Man and the WASP

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Quantum Mania The Little Mermaid Pixar's

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Elemental and the Haunted Mansion now of

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these Indiana Jones failed to meet the

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expectations of previous releases

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Ant-Man was a rare Marvel movie to lose

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tens of millions during its theatrical

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Run The Little Mermaid failed to make a

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splash falling dramatically short of

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expectations

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Elemental failed to capture the Pixar

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spark and the Haunted Mansion while

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newly released is also struggling to

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build up much hype not helped by strikes

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impacting its promotion cycle which

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combined offers Disney a chilling

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challenge to find a movie that people

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actually want to watch now IGA does

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still seem more optimistic about this

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area of the business than TV with him

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pointing out recent successes like

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Avatar and Frozen remarking that Disney

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has had a tremendous run over the past

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decade while still recognizing that the

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performance of our recent films has

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definitely been disappointing and we

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don't take that lightly he's not wrong

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either unless something miraculous

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happens in the back half of this year

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2023 will be the first year since 2014

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where Disney failed to make a billion

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dollars from any movie a particularly

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Stark drop from 2022 which saw billion

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dollar hits including black panther

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doctor strange and the third highest

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grossing movie of all time Avatar 2. and

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not making it to a billion dollars is a

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big issue for Disney a studio which

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variety describes as following an all

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tent pole all of the time strategy with

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Disney dropping huge budgets on

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basically all of their projects they

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relied on the fact that they could

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easily pull in billions at the box

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office to cover these budgets however

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with many criticizing the creativity of

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Disney's projects with changing tastes

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reducing China's appetite and with

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Russia totally cut out of the system

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it's not as easy to recoup these costs

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as it once was now to be fair this

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shouldn't be overstated these movies

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might all be considered flops to some

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extent or another but Disney does still

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somewhat dominate the movie industry

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Disney has pulled in about 3.4 billion

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dollars from its movies in 2023 thus far

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beating out every other major Studio

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even beating out universal who released

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the highest grossing individual film

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this year the Mario movie they've also

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earned more than Paramount and Warner

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Brothers combined although bad data

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doesn't yet include the barberheimer

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phenomenon so these figures are subject

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to change

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all in all then Disney is still a force

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to be reckoned with when it comes to

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cinema but with declining box office

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figures and huge budgets Disney is

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either going to need to cut back or come

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up with a new strategy to monetize these

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movies I'm giving Disney's film Division

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A C grade speaking of new strategies

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Disney plus was long hailed as the

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savior of the company especially during

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covid when the company's rapid growth

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led to widespread investor Acclaim but

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things have changed a little bit since

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then I'm not going to go into too much

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detail here because we're working on a

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separate video about the issues with

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Disney plus and whether it's secretly

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killing the company which you should

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subscribe and ring the bell to be

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notified about but here's the trdr

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summary this quarter streaming lost

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Disney 512 million dollars which is bad

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but admittedly 32 less than forecasted

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and is significantly less than the 1.06

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billion which they in the same quarter

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of 2022. all in all though that means

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that the streaming business has lost

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Disney 11 billion dollars since it was

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launched in 2019 which is pretty

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impressive Disney subscriber base also

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fell by one percent in the last quarter

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although a large chunk of that is due to

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a 24 decline in India after Disney lost

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the rights to stream Indian Premier

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League cricket now a 24 drop is

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obviously not great especially in a

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market where Disney has put a lot of

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investment but generally they make less

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profit from Indian subscribers than

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other countries so it's not necessarily

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a huge profit issue especially as

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domestic subscribers stayed flat and

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other International markets actually saw

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growth regardless in an attempt to fix

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these issues Disney announced that

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they'd be increasing the cost of

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subscriptions with these new prices now

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double what they charged when the

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service launched and IGA has also said

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that much like Netflix the company will

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also be clamping down on password

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sharing I'll save my full analysis for

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that other video but for now I'm going

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to give them a d tier streaming does

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have potential for Disney but with it

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losing money quarter after a quarter and

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burning out major franchises it's hard

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to justify anything higher than that

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right now finally we have a bit of a

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bright spot here Disney's Parks division

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unlike the company's media and

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entertainment unit which we've been

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discussing thus far and is facing

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precipitous decline over recent years

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Parks actually saw profitability Rise by

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11 this quarter now calm down a little

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bit because much of this came from

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overseas for instance Disney's parks in

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Shanghai were closed due to covid

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restrictions for most of last year and

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Hong Kong was also impacted by covert

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travel in 2022 so merely the fact that

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these parks are back open and at

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capacity does explain quite a lot of

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this huge growth that's not to say that

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there isn't some success here Disney's

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Cruise Line for instance is now

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basically operating at full capacity

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although that too could be put down to

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pandemic driven pressures lifting and

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people being more willing to get on Big

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gross plague boats once again

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domestically the story is also mixed

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attendance at florida-based Disney World

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actually declined this quarter while

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California's Disneyland did see an

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uptick in attendance Florida also

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suffered on the back of the Park's

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disastrous Galactic Cruiser Hotel a

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two-day Star Wars experience which cost

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guests about five thousand dollars

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perhaps unsurprisingly despite the

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billion dollars that Disney spent on the

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project that price tag was simply too

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high for many people with the park

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forced to shutter the project after only

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about a year and a half now tons of

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YouTube channels have analyzed this to

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death but the TR is that this was super

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costly for the park and with its

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demolition now being written down for

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tax purposes we're seeing this hit in

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Florida's profitability all in all the

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parks division is still pretty strong

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and while a lot of core fans are

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complaining about the parks at the

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moment it seems the general punters are

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still showing up and making this

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Disney's highest tier division I'm

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giving it a B plus all in all then

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Disney isn't in the greatest State while

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its overall revenue from the last

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quarter grew by 3.8 percent year over

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year mostly thanks to Parks it still

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came in below investor expectations

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resulting in a stock drop after the

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earnings call which marks yet another

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drop for the company which has already

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seen a 19 drop in share price over the

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last year but that being said not every

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movie studio is struggling this much

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with recent successes from Oppenheimer

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and to a greater extent Barbie showing

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that there is hope for the industry

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especially in theaters in fact we made a

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whole video outlining the success of

play12:19

Barbie's marketing campaign and how it

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helped the movie become the 40th highest

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grossing film of all time already we

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also made another video about Mattel's

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plans to capture lies on this success

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and become the new Disney via their

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Mattel Cinematic Universe which is set

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to include an action Heist Uno movie an

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emotional and gritty Hot Wheels film as

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well as films for big gym boglins and

play12:46

even chatty Kathy and Betsy wetsy so if

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you want to watch that full separate

play12:51

video where we talk about the MCU not

play12:54

that one then check it out over on

play12:56

nebula

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that's the streaming service that we

play12:59

built with a bunch of other creators and

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where we upload exclusive videos like

play13:04

this one and the Toyota daily

play13:06

discussions where our team talk about

play13:08

important topics from the endless coups

play13:11

in the Sahel region a Twitter Rebrand or

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the specifics of the war in Ukraine now

play13:16

the July writing team hosts these daily

play13:18

discussions most days diving deeper into

play13:21

the new stories we write about and

play13:23

unpacking the hidden details that they

play13:26

found fascinating but were either too

play13:28

long or too academic to make it into the

play13:31

final scripts if you want to check the

play13:33

series out then you can find the

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episodes exclusively on nebula the best

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news is that nebula is less than two

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pounds a month and provides you with

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ad-free and exclusive videos from tldr

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and a whole ton of other incredible

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