Пленные на борту Ил-76 — были или нет? Руслан Левиев

Summary

Russian-language transcript analyzes information and theories about a recent plane crash incident.

Takeaways

• ✈️ The conversation revolves around the downing of an IL-76 aircraft, with discussions on possible culprits based on available information.
• 🔮 Analysis of video and wreckage evidence suggests the plane was hit by a missile, indicated by the damaged fuselage resembling a sieve from missile shrapnel.
• 🛩 Both sides of the conflict had the technical capability to shoot down the plane, with past incidents of friendly fire noted.
• 📢 The script compares the situation to MH17, noting initial reports and retractions, hinting at similarities in information dissemination.
• 💬 Statements from both sides are analyzed, with no clear admission or denial about the downing, leaving room for speculation.
• 🛩 Speculation about the presence of prisoners on board is based on indirect hints from official statements and lack of direct evidence.
• 🔬 The possibility of carrying prisoners on military flights is discussed, with personal accounts suggesting it's not uncommon.
• 🚨 The conversation touches on the complexities of military communication and the potential for tragic errors due to miscommunication.
• 📖 Lists of passengers and their verification are discussed, with some names confirmed as prisoners, adding to the mystery.
• 💁‍♂️ The interview concludes with reflections on the challenges of discerning truth in wartime, emphasizing the prevalence of misinformation.

Q & A

What information do we have available to determine who shot down the IL-76 plane?

At this point, we only have limited information to determine who shot down the plane. We know it was shot down based on video showing smoke trails from a missile. Both Russia and Ukraine have the technical capability to shoot down a plane in this area.

Did the Ukrainian side directly claim responsibility for shooting down the plane?

No, the Ukrainian side did not directly claim responsibility. However, statements from their General Staff and intelligence agency suggest they were involved in downing planes transporting missiles in this region.

Were there prisoners of war on board the IL-76 plane?

It's unclear, but comments from the Ukrainian side imply there may have been POWs aboard. They mentioned the plane may have been transporting prisoners without notifying them to avoid the airspace.

Why were there no bodies visible in videos of the crash site?

The large explosion and fire likely incinerated many of the bodies. Reports say remains were scattered over 1.5-2 km, much more area than shown in the videos.

How common is it to transport prisoners of war by plane?

Initially seen as unusual, but Ukrainian POWs confirmed they had been transported by IL-76 planes to Russia while in captivity. So it seems to be a common practice.

Could this have been an accidental shootdown?

Yes, quite possible. Miscommunication between Ukrainian air defense and those coordinating the prisoner exchange could have led to the shootdown.

What do we know about the flight path before the crash?

The videos only show the crash, not the full flight path before. The plane could have been circling or waiting for landing clearance, so the westward path alone is inconclusive.

Were there enough guards accompanying 65 POWs?

Unclear, reports vary. But with handcuffed and hooded POWs, a few guards on board plus at each airport could be sufficient.

Can the passenger manifest be verified?

Partially. Many names match confirmed POWs. One name was on a previous exchange list. No definitive disproof yet.

What theories did the Russian side suggest about the crash?

Suggestions it was shot down by Ukrainian S-300 missiles or was a military transport plane, but no evidence shown to support those theories.