Mark The Calander, Dan Ives Says This Dirt-Cheap Stock Will Surpass Nvidia In 1 Year Max. Get In Now

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27 Sept 202410:04

Summary

TLDRTesla is poised for significant growth as it expands into AI, with its highly anticipated Robo taxi service set to disrupt the ride-hailing industry. Analysts predict Tesla's AI push, including its FSD program and cortex supercomputer, could unlock a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity. Despite stock underperformance in 2024, positive Q2 results and advancements in AI position Tesla for a strong finish, with the potential for a short squeeze and increased demand as interest rates drop.

Takeaways

  • πŸš— Tesla's conversations are shifting from traditional metrics like deliveries and price cuts to AI advancements and the potential of FSD (Full Self-Driving).
  • 🌟 FSD is considered a significant use case for AI and could be the biggest form of AI penetration for Tesla's install base, which is expected to grow to 10 million vehicles.
  • πŸš– Tesla is anticipated to unveil its 'hyper cab', a revolutionary autonomous ride-sharing vehicle, which could be a game-changer for the company.
  • πŸš€ The Robo taxi service is expected to disrupt the ride-hailing industry by offering a more affordable and efficient alternative without the need for human drivers.
  • πŸ’Ή Analysts predict that Tesla's Robo taxi service could represent an $8 to 10 trillion global revenue opportunity if it captures a significant market share.
  • πŸ’» Tesla's investment in AI is aggressive, with plans to spend $10 billion on AI-related expenditures in 2024 alone, highlighting its commitment to leading the AI revolution.
  • πŸ”‹ Tesla's supercomputer cluster, Cortex, is powered by Nvidia's advanced chips, which will be crucial for training neural networks for autonomous driving.
  • πŸ“ˆ Despite challenges, Tesla's core EV business remains strong, with the company reclaiming its position as the global EV market leader in 2024.
  • πŸ“Š Tesla's financials are stabilizing, with improved operating margins and a record $30 billion in cash reserves, providing a strong foundation for future investments.
  • πŸ“‰ Tesla's stock performance has been underwhelming in 2024, partly due to valuation adjustments, declining operating margins, and leadership changes, but there are signs of stabilization and potential for improvement.
  • πŸ“ˆ Interest rate cuts could boost Tesla's stock performance, as lower rates make it easier for consumers to finance electric vehicles, and Tesla is one of the most shorted stocks, creating potential for a short squeeze.

Q & A

  • What is the current focus of discussions about Tesla?

    -The discussions about Tesla have shifted from traditional topics like deliveries, unit sales, and price cuts in China to the company's advancements in AI, particularly its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the upcoming Robo taxi service.

  • What is the projected timeline for Tesla's vehicle fleet size?

    -Tesla currently has around 6 million vehicles on the road and is expected to grow to 8 million next year, with a potential to reach up to 10 million vehicles in the future.

  • What is the significance of Tesla's Robo taxi service?

    -The Robo taxi service is anticipated to be a disruptive innovation in the ride-hailing industry by eliminating the need for human drivers, which could significantly reduce operating costs and make Tesla a dominant player in the autonomous ride-sharing market.

  • How does Tesla's AI push align with its financial performance?

    -Tesla's aggressive investment in AI and its focus on FSD and Robo taxis are seen as long-term strategies that could transform the company into a leader in autonomous technology, potentially unlocking multi-trillion-dollar opportunities and boosting its stock price.

  • What is the role of Tesla's supercomputer cluster Cortex in its AI strategy?

    -The Cortex supercomputer cluster, powered by Nvidia's H100 and H200 chips, is crucial for Tesla's full self-driving program as it can handle the vast amounts of data needed to train neural networks for autonomous driving.

  • What is the potential global revenue opportunity for Tesla's Robo taxi service according to Kathy Wood?

    -Kathy Wood predicts that Tesla's Robo taxi service represents an $8 to 10 trillion global revenue opportunity, suggesting that if Tesla captures just 50% of the global autonomous ride-sharing market, it could become a massive revenue driver.

  • How has Tesla's EV business performed in 2024?

    -In 2024, Tesla reclaimed its position as the leader in the global EV market after briefly losing it to BYD in 2023. In Q2 2024, Tesla delivered 443,000 EVs, driven by strong demand in markets like China.

  • What financial milestone did Tesla achieve in Q2 2024?

    -Tesla surpassed $30 billion in cash reserves for the first time in Q2 2024, which allows the company to weather economic uncertainties and invest heavily in its AI and energy businesses.

  • What are the reasons behind Tesla's stock underperformance in 2024?

    -Tesla's stock underperformance in 2024 is attributed to factors such as valuation adjustments, declining operating margins due to increased competition and aggressive pricing strategies, and leadership changes that have rattled some investors.

  • What is the potential impact of interest rate cuts on Tesla's stock performance?

    -Interest rate cuts could reignite Tesla's stock performance as they make it easier for consumers to finance big-ticket items like electric vehicles, increasing demand and potentially leading to a short squeeze due to Tesla being one of the most shorted stocks on Wall Street.

  • How does the upcoming Robo taxi event fit into Tesla's broader strategy?

    -The upcoming Robo taxi event is seen as the beginning of Tesla's broader strategy to transition into an AI company, which could create new high-margin revenue streams and accelerate Tesla's earnings growth, significantly boosting its stock price.

Outlines

00:00

πŸš— Tesla's AI and Robo-Taxi Future

The first paragraph discusses Tesla's focus on AI and its upcoming Robo-taxi service. It highlights the company's shift from just being an electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer to becoming an AI powerhouse. The anticipated Robo-taxi service, set to be unveiled on October 10th, 2024, aims to disrupt the ride-hailing industry by removing the need for human drivers, thereby reducing costs. Tesla's potential to grow its Full Self-Driving (FSD) program and its investment in AI, including the development of the Cortex supercomputer, are seen as key to its future success. Analysts like Dan Ives are optimistic about Tesla's future, predicting significant growth and revenue opportunities, especially if Tesla can capture a substantial share of the global autonomous ride-sharing market.

05:00

πŸ“ˆ Tesla's Financial Performance and Market Position

The second paragraph covers Tesla's financial performance, including its operating margins and cash reserves. It notes a decline in margins in Q2 2024 but suggests stabilization and future improvement as interest rates decrease. The paragraph also discusses Tesla's strategy to prioritize sales volume over short-term margins and the impact of leadership changes, such as the departure of CFO Zach Kirkhorn. Despite these challenges, Tesla's stock is seen as attractive for long-term investors due to its correction from overvaluation. The company's energy division is also highlighted as a growing revenue stream. The paragraph concludes by suggesting that Tesla's stock performance could improve with anticipated interest rate cuts and the upcoming Robo-taxi event.

10:01

🌟 Tesla's AI-Driven Growth Prospects

The third paragraph is a brief conclusion that reiterates the importance of Tesla's AI-driven growth prospects. It emphasizes the potential for Tesla to unlock significant value through its AI initiatives, particularly with the upcoming Robo-taxi service, which could represent a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity. The paragraph serves as a reminder for investors not to overlook the transformative potential of Tesla's AI strategy.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Robo taxi

Robo taxi refers to autonomous vehicles designed to operate without a human driver, providing taxi-like services. In the context of the video, Tesla is expected to unveil its 'hyper cab', a revolutionary autonomous ride-sharing vehicle, which could disrupt the ride-hailing industry by eliminating the need for human drivers and significantly reducing operating costs.

πŸ’‘FSD (Full Self-Driving)

FSD stands for Full Self-Driving, a feature that enables a vehicle to operate autonomously. The video discusses Tesla's FSD as a key technology behind the Robo taxi service, indicating that Tesla's success in deploying fully autonomous vehicles at scale could fundamentally shift its business model towards AI services.

πŸ’‘AI (Artificial Intelligence)

AI refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. The video highlights Tesla's potential as an AI powerhouse, with its aggressive push into AI-driven products, specifically the Robo taxi service, positioning it as a significant player in the AI revolution.

πŸ’‘EV (Electric Vehicle)

EV stands for Electric Vehicle, which is a vehicle that uses electric motors and batteries instead of internal combustion engines. The video mentions Tesla as a leader in the global EV market, emphasizing its core business remains strong while it also focuses on AI advancements.

πŸ’‘Cortex Supercomputer

The Cortex Supercomputer is Tesla's recently unveiled supercomputer cluster, powered by NVIDIA's H100 and H200 chips. It is crucial for Tesla's full self-driving program as it can handle the vast amounts of data needed to train neural networks, illustrating Tesla's commitment to developing cutting-edge technology in AI.

πŸ’‘Revenue Streams

Revenue streams refer to the different sources through which a company generates income. The video discusses how Tesla's AI-driven shift, specifically the Robo taxi service, will create new high-margin revenue streams that could significantly boost profitability.

πŸ’‘Market Valuation

Market valuation is the estimate of a company's total worth, often calculated by multiplying the current market price of a single share by the number of shares outstanding. The video mentions Tesla's market valuation, discussing how its stock has underperformed in 2024 and how the anticipated interest rate cuts could reignite its stock performance.

πŸ’‘Interest Rates

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money and the return on investment. The video suggests that as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, Tesla's margins will improve, leading to increased demand for EVs, particularly in price-sensitive markets.

πŸ’‘Cash Reserves

Cash reserves refer to the cash a company holds in reserve to meet its financial obligations. The video notes that Tesla surpassed $30 billion in cash reserves in Q2 2024, allowing it to weather economic uncertainties and invest heavily in its AI and energy businesses.

πŸ’‘Short Squeeze

A short squeeze occurs when a stock's price increases sharply, forcing short sellers to buy shares to cover their positions, which in turn drives the price even higher. The video mentions that Tesla is one of the most shorted stocks on Wall Street, creating the potential for a short squeeze if interest rate cuts drive the stock higher.

πŸ’‘Disruptive Technology

Disruptive technology refers to an innovation that creates a new market and value network, eventually disrupting an existing market and displacing established technologies. The video positions Tesla's Robo taxi service as a disruptive technology in the ride-hailing industry.

Highlights

Tesla's conversations are shifting from deliveries and price cuts to their AI and Robo-taxi services.

Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is seen as a major use case for AI, with a potential for significant market penetration.

Tesla's install base is expected to grow from 6 million to 10 million vehicles, indicating a large potential market for FSD.

Dan Ives, a tech analyst, offers a bullish outlook on Tesla's future, seeing it as more than just an electric vehicle company.

Tesla's push into AI-driven products, like the Robo-taxi service, is a key event for investors.

Tesla's Robo-taxi service, expected to be unveiled on October 10th, 2024, is seen as a revolutionary development.

The Cybercat and Robo-taxi project aim to disrupt the ride-hailing industry by removing the need for human drivers.

Tesla's Robo-taxi fleet could become a dominant player in the ride-sharing market, offering a more efficient alternative.

Kathy Wood predicts Tesla's Robo-taxi service could represent an $8 to 10 trillion global revenue opportunity.

Tesla's investment in AI was evident during the Q2 2024 earnings call, where AI was mentioned 24 times.

Tesla's supercomputer cluster Cortex, powered by Nvidia's H100 and H200 chips, supports its AI and autonomous driving ambitions.

Tesla plans to spend $10 billion on AI-related expenditures in 2024, showing a strong commitment to technology development.

The success of Tesla's FSD program is crucial for the company's long-term growth and the backbone of the Robo-taxi service.

Tesla reclaimed its position as the leader in the global EV market in 2024, delivering 443,000 vehicles in Q2.

Tesla's financials showed stabilization in Q2 2024, with a 6.3% decline in operating margins from the previous year.

Tesla surpassed $30 billion in cash reserves in Q2 2024, providing a war chest to invest in AI and energy businesses.

Tesla's energy division is hitting record revenues, gross profits, and total deployment hours, diversifying its revenue streams.

Tesla's stock underperformance in 2024 is attributed to valuation adjustments, declining operating margins, and leadership changes.

Tesla's anticipated interest rate cuts could reignite stock performance and create a potential short squeeze.

Tesla's future is hinged on its transition into an AI company, with investments in FSD, Robo-taxis, and the Cortex supercomputer.

The upcoming Robo-taxi event is seen as the beginning of a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity for Tesla in AI.

Transcripts

play00:00

90% of my Tesla conversations the last

play00:02

few months it's not on deliveries not on

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units not on price Cuts in China which

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have slowed down it's about Robo you

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know we'll be at robot tax today but

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it's about robot tax today disruptive

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and ultim what I view is like FSD being

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the biggest form or you could argue use

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case of AI FSD

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what what could that ultimately be

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toward

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penetration for Tesla inst stall base 6

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million Vehicles today ultimately will

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be 8 million next year and ultimately up

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to 10

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million what could penetration be on FSD

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it's a key event for investors to kind

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of like how should I look at Tesla going

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forward Tesla is at a pivotal moment and

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Dan IES a well-known Tech analyst offers

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a bullish outlook on the company's

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future his insights bolstered by data

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and Analysis pay a picture of Tesla as

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much more than just an electric vehicle

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company Tesla's potential as an AI

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Powerhouse coupled with its leadership

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in Eves sets the stage for significant

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growth in the coming years Central to

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IV's bullish thesis is Tesla's imited

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push into AI driven products

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specifically the highly anticipated Robo

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taxi service on October 10th 2024 Tesla

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is expected to unveil its hyper cab a

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revolutionary autonomous ride sharing

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vehicle Alon musk himself has called

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this the most significant moment for

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Tesla since the unveiling of the model 3

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in

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2016 signaling that Tesla is on the

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brink of something

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transformative the Cybercat and Robo

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taxi project aim to disrupt the ride

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hailing industry by eliminating the need

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for human drivers significantly reducing

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operating costs while traditional ride

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sharing services like like uber and Lyft

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struggle with the costs of drivers

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Tesla's Robo taxi Fleet could emerge as

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a dominant player in this space offering

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a more affordable and efficient

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alternative GP Morgan cautions that it

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may take a few years for Tesla to profit

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from this endeavor but the long-term

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upside is undeniable Kathy Wood a noted

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Tesla bull has even predicted that

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Tesla's Robo taxi service represents at

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$8 to10 trillion Global Revenue opport

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if Tesla captures just 50% of the global

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autonomous ride sharing Market it could

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become a massive Revenue driver pushing

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Tesla far beyond its current

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valuation this transformation according

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to IES repositions Tesla from being

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perceived solely as an EV manufacturer

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to being a significant player in AI

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unlocking multi-trillion dollar

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opportunity another pillar supporting

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I's bullish stance is Tesla's aggressive

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investment in in AI in the Q2 2024

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earnings call AI was mentioned 24 times

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indicating the company's laser focus on

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harnessing the power of artificial

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intelligence Tesla recently unveiled its

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supercomputer cluster cortex which is

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powered by nvidia's h100 and h200 chips

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reinforcing its commitment to Leading

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the AI Revolution Tesla plans to spend

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$10 billion on AI related expenditures

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in 2024 alone which demonstrates its

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commitment to developing cuttingedge

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technology and autonomous driving

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Robotics and energy

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optimization the cortex supercomputer

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will be crucial for Tesla's full

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self-driving program as it can handle

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the vast amounts of data needed to train

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neural networks the success of the FSD

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program is essential for Tesla's

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long-term growth as it represents one of

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the core Technologies behind Robo taxis

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if Tesla succeeds in deploying fully of

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homus vehicles at scale its business

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model will fundamentally shift toward AI

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Services creating new high margin

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revenue streams that could significantly

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boost profitability while Tesla's focus

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on AI is important its core EV business

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remains strong Tesla reclaimed its

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Throne as the leader in the global EV

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Market in 2024 after briefly losing it

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to buad in

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2023 in q22 2024 Tesla delivered

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443,000 do driven by strong demand in

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markets like China where Tesla sold

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63,000 EVS in August 2024 alone a 37%

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increase from July B Tesla's closest

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competitor delivered 426,000

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of concern for some investors as they

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have declined 6.3% in Q2 2024 down 33%

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from the previous

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year however this is an improvement from

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the 5.5% margin seen in q1 2024

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signaling stabilization in its

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financials IES believes that as the

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Federal Reserve Cuts interest rates

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Tesla's margins will improve further

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especially as financing costs for

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consumers become more favorable

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leading to increased demand for EVS

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Tesla also achieved a significant

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milestone in Q2 2024 by surpassing $30

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billion in cash reserves for the first

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time this war chess allows Tesla to

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weather economic uncertainties and

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invest heavily in its Ai and energy

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businesses both of which are expected to

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be key growth drivers in the future

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Tesla's energy division continues to hit

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record revenues gross profits and total

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de wat hours deployed further

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diversifying the company's revenue

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streams despite these bullish prospects

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Tesla stock has underperformed in 2024

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and Ives acknowledges the reasons behind

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this several factors are contributing to

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Tesla's current stock performance number

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one valuation

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adjustments Tesla was notoriously

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overvalued in previous years with a p

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ratio of over 1,100 Q4

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2020 as of 2024 the PE Ratio has dropped

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to a more reasonable 63 following a

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pullback in the stock I believes this

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correction was necessary and healthy as

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it makes the stock more attractive for

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long-term investors number two declining

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operating margins Tesla has faced

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pricing pressure due to increased

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competition and its own aggressive price

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cuts to stimulate demand the EV space is

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becoming more crowded and Tesla's

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willingness to sacrifice short-term

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margins in favor of increased sales has

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worried some

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investors however IES points out that

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Tesla's margins are stabilizing and will

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likely improve as interest rates come

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down number three leadership changes the

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departure of key Executives particularly

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CFO Zack Korn has also rattled some

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investors Korn played a significant role

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in managing Tesla's Financial zance

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period of rapid growth and his exit has

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raised questions about leadership

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stability however Ives remains confident

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in Tesla's leadership under Elon Musk

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despite concerns about musk being spread

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thin across multiple

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Ventures one of the key catalysts that

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eyes believes could reignite Tesla's

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stock performance is the anticipated

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interest rate Cuts Tesla like other

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consumer sensitive stocks thrives at a

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low interest rate environment because

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consumers find it easier to finance Big

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Ticket items like electric vehicles

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recent CPI data suggests that core

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inflation is trending toward the Federal

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reserve's target of 2% increasing the

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likelihood of rate Cuts in the near

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future lower interest rates would boost

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consumer demand for Tesla's Vehicles

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particularly in price sensitive

play08:47

markets this combined with the upcoming

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robotaxi event and Tesla's advancements

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in AI positions the company for a strong

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finish in

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2024 IES ALS also highlights that Tesla

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is one of the most shorted stocks on

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Wall Street with over 78 million shares

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sold short which creates the potential

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for a short squeeze if interest fre Cuts

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Drive the stock

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higher for IES Tesla's future hinges on

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its ability to successfully transition

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into an AI company the company's

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investments in FSD Robo taxes and its

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cortex super computer signal a broader

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strategy that could transform the

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company into a leader in autonomous Tech

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technology this AI driven shift will

play09:32

create new high margin revenue streams

play09:34

that could accelerate Tesla's earnings

play09:36

growth and boost its stock price

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significantly odds believes that Tesla's

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focus on AI is its most exciting growth

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driver while the EV business remains

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strong and Tesla continues to dominate

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that market it is the AI Revolution that

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will unlock the next chapter of growth

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for the company the upcoming robotaxi

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event is just the beginning of what

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could be aim multi-trillion dollar

play10:00

opportunity for Tesla one that investors

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should not overlook

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