新总理李强，他的能力如何，会成为最弱势的总理么？

Summary

在第14届全国人民代表大会第一次全体会议的第四次会议上，李强成功当选为国务院新任总理。不同于习近平和韩正前一日的全票通过，李强的选举结果显示出三票反对和八票弃权，形成鲜明对比。分析认为，这种选举结果的设计展示了一种聪明的策略，即使存在反对票也不会影响选举结果，反而能减少外界对全票通过的质疑。李强的教育背景和他与习近平的密切关系，以及他在经济发展和改革开放上的立场，被认为是他能够在政治生涯中快速上升的关键因素。此外，李强面临的挑战、他的经济政策方向以及对待外资的态度也在视频中进行了深入讨论，展现了一个面向市场经济、注重法制建设和推动私营企业发展的未来政策愿景。

Takeaways

• 🗓️ 李强于3月11日，在第14届全国人民代表大会第一次会议的第四次会议上，被选为新一任国务院总理。
• 🗳️ 与习近平、韩正和王沪宁等人的选举相比，李强的选举结果有所不同，出现了三票反对和八票弃权，形成了与前一天全票通过的鲜明对比。
• 📚 许多人对李强的教育水平持有疑虑，因为他17岁开始工作，并且在恢复高考后才进入宁波的一所学校学习农业机械，但李强的实践经验和能力被认为更为重要。
• 🌟 李强与习近平的密切关系为他的政治生涯带来了巨大推动，他曾在浙江、江苏和上海等地担任要职，这些地区的私营经济发达，政府官员相对开放。
• 🏭 李强成功将特斯拉的第一个海外超级工厂引入上海，展示了他作为政府官员服务资本家、推动经济发展的能力。
• 📈 在就任国务院总理后的首次新闻发布会上，李强强调了经济发展的重要性，并承诺将继续推进改革开放和支持私营企业的发展。
• 🌍 尽管对美国的态度较为温和，李强未就台湾问题发表具体言论，显示出作为总理，他在某些政策上的发言权可能有限。
• 📉 李强提到了“人才红利”来替代传统的人口红利，这指出了中国面临的人口挑战及其对经济的潜在影响。
• 💼 尽管李强被视为习近平的亲信，能够在关键时刻影响决策，但他作为国务院总理的独立性和影响力仍有待观察。
• 🔍 专家认为，长远看，无论是经济发展还是改革开放，都需要法治和法律体系的保障，这对于私营企业和市场实体尤为重要。

Q & A

李强在哪一天被选为国务院新总理？

李强在3月11日的第14届全国人民代表大会第一次会议的第四次会议上被成功选举为国务院新总理。

李强的选举与习近平和韩正的选举有何不同？

李强的选举结果出现了三票反对和八票弃权，与前一天习近平和韩正被一致选举的情况形成了鲜明对比。

国家人大代表投票时的程序有哪些特点？

近年来的改革下，投票时候候选人的名字已经提前印在纸上。如果支持候选人，则无需书写任何内容。如果要反对或弃权，需要站起来前往设有的秘密投票站进行投票。

李强的教育背景和早年经历如何？

李强17岁开始工作，最初在一个灌溉站工作。后来在恢复高考后，他到宁波的一所学校学习农业机械。

李强与习近平的关系是如何建立的？

李强在担任省委秘书长期间，与当时调任浙江省委书记的习近平相遇，并获得了习近平的高度赏识。

李强在担任上海市委书记期间有哪些显著成就？

李强成功引进特斯拉建立其在上海的第一个海外超级工厂，并且在他的领导下，上海的政府“一站式”服务条件得到显著改善，成为全国排名第一。

为什么特斯拉的超级工厂选择在上海建立？

李强为特斯拉提供了一系列政策绿灯，包括土地、贷款利率优惠等，成功将特斯拉的第一个海外超级工厂吸引到上海。

李强在总理的新闻发布会上强调了哪些内容？

李强强调了坚持改革开放，促进经济发展，支持私营企业的发展，以及提出“人才红利”概念。

李强如何看待中美关系？

李强在新闻发布会上表示，中美有共同的利益，不可能也不应该脱钩，脱钩对双方都不利。

李强成为国务院总理后可能面临的挑战有哪些？

李强需要在保持经济增长和推动改革开放的同时，应对人口红利减少带来的挑战，以及如何在习近平领导下，保持自己政策的独立性和有效性。

Outlines

00:00

🗳 李强当选国务院总理的背后

2023年3月11日，李强在第十四届全国人大一次会议第四次全体会议上成功当选为国务院总理。他的当选虽不出意外，但其选举过程中的得票情况与前一天习近平、韩正和王沪宁的全票通过形成鲜明对比，李强获得的三票反对和八票弃权反映出选举机制的微妙变化。文章通过对比强调了在众多赞成票中存在反对票和弃权票的重要性，认为这种情况更能反映出代表们的真实意愿，而不是一面倒的全票通过，同时也指出了国内选举改革的一些新变化，如提前印制的候选人名单和秘密投票的过程，这些改变引发了对选举自由度的进一步思考。

05:02

🎓 李强的背景和能力

李强的教育背景和早期工作经历常被外界用来质疑他的能力，但文章指出，个人能力并不直接与学历成正比。通过回顾李强的职业生涯，强调了他的工作背景和与习近平的密切合作对他能力的证明。李强在江浙沪三省的领导经验，尤其是在上海引进特斯拉超级工厂的成功案例，展示了他的政府服务意识和对市场经济的开放态度。这些成就不仅证明了他超越学历的能力，也反映了他作为领导者的远见和执行力。

10:04

🚗 特斯拉在上海的成功故事

李强在担任上海市委书记期间，成功引进了特斯拉的第一个海外超级工厂，这一成就被看作是李强领导能力的重要体现。在面对中国加入WTO时对外资汽车企业设立的限制、中美贸易战背景下，李强能够为特斯拉创造独资企业的条件，并确保其享受国民待遇，展现了他的卓越谈判技巧和政策制定能力。通过为特斯拉提供政策绿灯和快速建厂，李强不仅推动了上海及中国新能源汽车产业的发展，也加强了中国作为全球经济重要组成部分的地位。

15:04

📈 李强的经济发展理念

就任国务院总理后，李强在首次新闻发布会上强调了经济发展和改革开放的重要性，表明其将继续推动私营经济发展和市场经济。他提到了江浙沪地区在市场经济方面的开放态度和积极反馈，说明了教育背景在评估政府官员时的相对不重要性。李强的讲话反映了他对经济发展的深刻理解，以及作为国务院总理面临的挑战和未来方向。同时，他对中美关系的温和态度和对台湾问题的审慎表达，展现了其作为一个秘书出身的领导者的谨慎和智慧。

20:07

🔍 李强面临的挑战和前景

文章最后探讨了李强作为新任总理面临的一系列挑战，包括人口红利的消失、疫情管理的争议，以及他在政治体系中的地位。特别提到了李强在取消“动态清零”政策中的关键作用，这显示了他在党内的影响力及与习近平的密切关系。尽管存在疑虑，李强对经济发展和改革开放的承诺展现了他对中国未来发展的积极展望。文章以对法治和市场经济体制建设的期望结束，暗示了李强的领导下可能对中国经济和社会带来的正面影响。

Keywords

💡李强

李强是本视频讨论的主要人物，成功当选为中国国务院新任总理。视频中提到他的背景、教育和职业生涯，以及与习近平的关系。李强的选举和他的职业生涯展示了他的政治上升和他对中国未来经济政策可能的影响。视频中强调了他的市场经济理念和对外开放的态度，以及他如何通过吸引特斯拉到上海等行动支持私营企业和外资。

💡改革开放

改革开放是中国自1978年以来持续进行的一系列政策，旨在引入市场经济机制和对外开放。视频中提到李强承诺继续推进改革开放，特别是通过改善营商环境、保护企业权益和促进私营经济发展。这反映了中国政府希望通过进一步的改革和开放来刺激经济增长和现代化。

💡市场经济

市场经济是一种经济体制，其中资源配置主要通过市场机制（如供需关系）决定，而不是中央计划。视频中讨论了李强对市场经济的支持，特别是他在担任上海市委书记期间，通过引进特斯拉等外资企业以及优化营商环境来促进市场经济和私营部门的发展。

💡私营企业

私营企业指的是非政府所有或控制的企业，通常由个人或商业实体拥有和运营。视频强调李强对私营企业的支持，认为这是经济发展的关键部分。他提倡平等对待所有所有制类型的企业，并承诺保护企业家的权利和利益，这表明了对私营经济的重视和扶持。

💡人大

人大即全国人民代表大会，是中国最高国家权力机关。视频提到李强在第十四届全国人大第一次会议上被选为国务院总理。这个过程展示了中国政治体制的运作方式，以及人大在国家政治生活中的重要角色。

💡经济发展

经济发展是指一个国家或地区经济增长和财富增加的过程。视频中，李强的讲话和政策主张强调了经济发展的重要性，特别是通过改善营商环境、促进私营企业和外资进入等手段来实现经济发展。

💡外资

外资指的是外国投资者在一个国家经济中的投资。视频中讨论了李强如何成功吸引外资，特别是引进特斯拉到上海建立超级工厂的案例，这展示了他支持对外开放和利用外资推动经济发展的态度。

💡特斯拉

特斯拉是一个美国电动汽车和清洁能源公司。视频中提到，李强在任上海市委书记期间，成功引入特斯拉在上海建立其首个海外超级工厂，这被视为对外开放和吸引外资的成功案例，展示了他促进市场经济和技术创新的努力。

💡人才红利

人才红利指的是高技能人才对经济发展的贡献，特别是在人口红利减弱的情况下。视频中提到，尽管中国面临人口老龄化，但李强提出通过提升人才质量和技能来实现经济增长，强调了人才对于创新和经济发展的重要性。

💡营商环境

营商环境是指一个地区或国家进行商业活动的便利程度。视频中强调了李强致力于改善营商环境，如他在上海推动的政府服务一体化，以及他对改善全国营商环境的承诺，表明了促进经济发展和吸引投资的意图。

💡中美关系

中美关系指的是中国和美国之间的双边关系。视频中提到，李强在其政策和讲话中对待中美关系的态度较为温和，强调中国和美国有共同利益，反对脱钩论调，这反映了中国在当前国际环境下寻求稳定和合作的外交策略。

Highlights

李强在第十四届全国人民代表大会第一次会议的第四次会议上被选为国务院新总理

李强的选举与习近平和韩正前一天的选举不同，他获得了三票反对和八票弃权

国家人民代表大会的选举已经改革，投票时候候选人名字已经预先打印在纸上

李强教育水平不是特别高，他17岁开始工作，最初在一个灌溉站工作

李强与习近平的相遇，习近平非常赏识他

李强是中国唯一一个在江苏、浙江和上海这三个最富有的省份担任过最高领导的高级官员

李强成功引进特斯拉到上海，并建立了特斯拉的第一家海外超级工厂

李强在上海的政策为特斯拉提供了一系列的政策绿灯，包括土地、贷款利率和帮助招聘员工

上海市政府与特斯拉的合作是一个双赢的情况

作为国务院总理，李强的新闻发布会上强调了经济发展和坚定不移地坚持改革开放的道路

李强提出了与美国关系相对温和的看法，强调中美有共同利益，不能脱钩

李强没有直接谈论台湾问题，表明他在这一敏感问题上持谨慎态度

李强可能会在某些关键决策过程中比前任李克强扮演更大的角色

李强的总理任期意味着习近平已经全面进入他自己的治理时代

李强在推动经济发展和改革开放方面的立场，展示了他作为一个服务型政府的态度和定位

长期来看，确保私营经济的发展和外资在中国的投资环境，最重要的还是法律环境的建设

Transcripts

"Please take the oath"

"I swear"

"To be loyal to the Constitution of the People's Republic of China"

On March 11th, at the 4th meeting of the 1st plenary session

of the 14th National People's Congress

Li Qiang was successfully elected as the new Premier of the State Council

"To be loyal to the people and fulfill my duties"

This phrase is a bit awkward to read

On the 4th meeting of the 1st plenary session of the 14th National People's Congress

this is how it is said, we just read it like this

"A prosperous, democratic, civilized, harmonious, and beautiful socialist modernized strong country"

"Struggle hard"

"The oath taker, Li Qiang"

It should be said that it was not surprising that Li Qiang was elected as Premier of the State Council

at this session of the National People's Congress

However, there are still some points worth noting

First and foremost, the most important point is

Li Qiang's election on March 11th

which differed from the election of Xi Jinping and Han Zheng the day before

This is because Xi Jinping, Han Zheng, and Wang Huning

had a common characteristic during their elections a few days ago

They were elected unanimously

There were neither opposing votes nor abstentions

Throughout the entire day of the election process

only the Vice Chairman of the National People's Congress, Li Hongzhong

received one opposing vote

Everyone else received only affirmative votes

But Li Qiang's election as Premier of the State Council is different

There were three votes against and eight abstentions

It formed a sharp contrast with the previous day

But I think this is smart

What's the point of having so many in favor votes

Even if there were actually some votes against, it wouldn't really shake the election results

Could it really make you lose? No

But making it all 2,952 votes in favor, 0 votes against, and 0 abstentions

doesn't make people think your election behavior

is unanimously endorsed by all 2,952 delegates

On the contrary, what feeling does it give people?

It makes people feel that no delegate dared to vote against it on the spot

Of course, this may indeed be the case

Because the National People's Congress elections have also been reformed in recent years

When voting, the names of the candidates on this paper

have been printed in advance

For example, Xi Jinping, candidate for president

and Wang Huning, candidate for chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, are already written down

That is to say, if you approve of this candidate

you don't need to write anything

I heard that in recent sessions, people don't even provide the pen

You can just cast your vote

But if you want to vote against or abstain

you have to stand up from your seat

and go to the front where there is a secret ballot station

After you have finished filling out, you cast your vote

But think about it

have you seen the scene of voting?

Basically, everyone comes out of their seats

in order and goes to vote here

who dares to go to that secret ballot station to vote?

That is very eye-catching, who dares?

As soon as he goes, everyone will know

This person went to vote against Chairman Xi Jinping

the armed police are standing next to him

They won't catch him on the spot

but they will definitely deal with him later

so no one dares to vote against on the spot

But even if no one dares to vote against on the spot

they should not make it seem like no one dares to vote against

Isn't your propaganda strategy should be like that

although no one dares to vote against us

we want people to feel

that everyone voted according to their true will?

That's clever

Besides, what does it matter if there are even thirty or fifty votes against us?

When Jiang Zemin was elected President after the reform and opening up

there were dozens of votes against him

Jiang Zemin ruled for ten years without any problems

When Hu Jintao was elected, there were also votes against him

Why does Xi Jinping have to have no votes against him at all?

This is not clever or wise

It just shows the true fear in the governance process

through these votes

It does not reflect broad public support

Instead, it gives the impression that no one dared to vote against him on the spot

The Central Propaganda Department should study it carefully

Don't show the true fierce face of the Party

Although the operation logic behind the power is very fierce and cruel

on the surface, it still needs to

give people the feeling of peace

That's what is truly clever

Take a good look at "Wang's News Talk" which will improve your professional skills

Especially the leaders of the Central Propaganda Department

Let's get back on topic

Today we're going to talk about the new Premier Li Qiang

Before Li Qiang took office

many people in the outside world predicted

that he would be the Premier this time

So there have been quite a few analyses of him

Many people believe that Li Qiang has a low level of education

Because he started working at the age of 17

and initially worked in an irrigation station

Later, after the resumption of the college entrance examination, he attended a school in Ningbo to study agricultural machinery

It can be said that his educational background is not particularly good

So many people say that he lacks ability and is a lackey

But I don't agree

Education level

is just a very important reference condition

for a person in the early stages of their career

during our selection and evaluation process

But after a person has reached a certain level of achievement

their education level becomes less important

For example, Steve Jobs dropped out of college

and founded Apple

Can you say he lacked ability

You can't say that

Academic qualifications

are an important reference condition in the process of selecting talents in large quantities

But, speaking specifically about individuals, academic qualifications are not really important

Some people who can do great things may not have high academic qualifications

Let me give you the simplest example

Mao Zedong did not attend any famous universities

he was a librarian at Peking University

Chen Duxiu was a university professor, and a professor at Peking University

who do you think is more capable?

Let's put aside who is more cunning

Who is more capable?

I think Mao Zedong is more capable

Although his academic qualifications were not impressive, his abilities were relatively strong

Academic qualifications and abilities are not directly proportional

I have looked at Li Qiang's resume

He has some background

Li Qiang was born in a farmer's family in Rui'an, Zhejiang Province

After graduating from university, he started working as the secretary of the Youth League

Later, he became the secretary of the Wenzhou Municipal Party Committee

He also became the Secretary-General of the Provincial Government

Finally, he became the Secretary-General of the Provincial Party Committee

then he coincidentally met Xi Jinping

At that time, Xi Jinping was transferred from the governor of Fujian

to become the Provincial Party Secretary of Zhejiang

It is said that Xi Jinping appreciated him very much

Li Qiang comes from a background of working as a secretary

People who have worked as secretaries have a particular trait

they are good at guessing the leader's intentions

They also have high emotional intelligence

They do not seek credit for themselves when working with leaders

and they still do things well

There have been reports that

Li Qiang used to work until late at night

in the Provincial Party building

Sometimes when Xi Jinping worked late and

he would often see Li Qiang still working

So he has a great appreciation for Li Qiang himself

Later, Xi Jinping became the Secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, and then a member of the Political Bureau in Beijing

In 2012, he became the top leader

The first thing he did

was to transfer Li Qiang from the position of deputy secretary of the provincial committee to become the governor of Zhejiang Province

After serving as governor for three years, he was then transferred to become the Secretary of the Jiangsu Provincial Committee

After serving for some time in Jiangsu Province

he was then transferred to become the Secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee

Li Qiang became the only high-level official in China

who has served as the top leader of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai

which are the three wealthiest provinces in China

These three provinces are relatively unique, they all have a common feature

The private economy is relatively developed, and government officials are relatively open

Li Qiang served in Shanghai for a total of 5 years

During his time in Shanghai, he accomplished two things

The first thing was that

the working conditions of the government's "one-stop-shop" in Shanghai were relatively poor

Since all parts of the country are promoting the integration of government departments and the public

such as when I returned to China last year to do business in Luoyang

the city of Luoyang had built a "citizen home"

All windows where citizens need to deal with government departments are located in one building

So, one building can handle all the window office systems

This is being promoted all over the country

Some can even be done online

with one window handling all government-related work

This is called 'integrated office'

When Li Qiang took office

Shanghai was reportedly ranked only 15th in this area

within a year of his leadership, it became the top in the country

Shanghai's public service level is indeed relatively high compared to other regions across the country

This is the first thing I want to say

The second thing is that he successfully brought Tesla to Shanghai

and built Tesla's first overseas super factory in Shanghai

This was not an easy feat

because when Tesla was ambitiously expanding into foreign markets

the first place it looked was China

because China is the super factory of the world

known as the 'economic monster'

because of its foreign investment

and important enterprise services

which are unparalleled in the world in terms of conditions

So you see Airbus

including Samsung, and almost all major companies in the world

will set up factories in China

The Chinese government is the best in serving capitalists

That's why Tesla also wanted to build the first super factory in China

At that time, there were many competitions from all over the country for Tesla's super factory

Guangzhou even approved and designated the land

Suzhou, Tianjin, and Beijing all wanted to bring Tesla to their place

A super factory of Tesla can produce at least 500,000 vehicles a year

and it will drive the development of the entire new energy industry

So many local governments want to invite Tesla to come

However, there is an obstacle

Tesla has made two requests

The first request is that they must be an independent sole proprietorship, they cannot have a joint venture with China

The second request is that they must enjoy national treatment

Both are not easy

The first one is an independent sole proprietorship

When China joined the WTO, there was a negotiation condition for the automotive industry

All foreign-funded manufacturers in the Chinese market

must have a joint venture with Chinese automakers

This is the first one

The second one is that the shareholding ratio must not exceed 50%

But Tesla is different, and it requires sole proprietorship

At this time, the China-US trade war was happening

Trump was challenging China every day

At that time, China was asked to further open its market

Trump's reason was that

forcing foreign-funded companies to have joint ventures with Chinese automakers in the Chinese auto market was unreasonable

Musk also complained online every day, saying

"US cars entering the Chinese market are subject to a 25% tariff"

"while Chinese cars entering the US market are subject to only a 2.5% tariff"

"No US factory has a shareholding ratio of more than 50% in China"

"while China already has six fully-owned automotive enterprises in the US"

It's unequal and unfair

So the two sides were at an impasse

Finally, the attitude of the Chinese government softened

So, two windows were opened in the issue of shareholding ratio

in the entire automobile industry

One is that new energy vehicles can be exempted from the 50% shareholding ratio restriction

The other is for special vehicles

So, the window of policies has opened

The remaining issue is about national treatment

National treatment refers to China's subsidy programs for the new energy vehicle industry in some countries

When ordinary consumers buy cars

there are subsidies for buying domestic new energy vehicles

Tesla also requested subsidies for buying Tesla

Later, both of these issues were resolved

After both were resolved

it is not easy for local governments to compete with Tesla's location selection

Li Qiang happened to be in charge of Shanghai at the time

He created a series of policy green lights for Tesla's groundbreaking in Shanghai

Firstly, the land

As everyone knows, land is precious in Shanghai

The area occupied by the construction of a super factory is very large

The Shanghai municipal government approved a total of 800,000 square meters of land

for Tesla at a price of about 1,100 yuan per square meter

This area is as big as 2,100 basketball courts

Land in Shanghai is very expensive

At 1,100 yuan per square meter, it's like giving it away for free

The total price of the land is less than 1 billion yuan

That's the first thing

Second, Tesla was given a very favorable loan rate

The annual interest rate is 3.9%

In other words, Tesla doesn't need to invest a single cent

The Shanghai government is loaning it the money

Then they gave it the land and helped them build the factory

After the factory was built, they even helped them recruit workers

Then Tesla can start working

But the Shanghai government also has several requests

The first one is that

Tesla must invest more than 14 billion yuan in the next five years

The second is that after the end of 2023

the annual tax paid to the Shanghai government cannot be less than 2.3 billion yuan

Third, the localization rate of Tesla's super factory in China

cannot be less than 100% within three years

Tesla agreed to all of this, it's a gambling agreement

If the agreement cannot be implemented

the Shanghai Municipal Government has the right to take back the land given to Tesla's super factory

It should be said that cooperation is a win-win situation

The Shanghai Municipal Government gave Tesla the green light all the way

Every time Tesla's CEO, Elon Musk, came to Shanghai

Li Qiang, the mayor of Shanghai, met with him

Even during the pandemic when Musk couldn't come, he had video conferences with Li Qiang

whether it's the opening ceremony or the product launch ceremony

are attended by high-ranking officials from the Shanghai Municipal Government every time

Moreover, a miracle was created during the entire construction process

It started on January 7, 2019

and the first complete vehicle was produced on December 30, 2019

In less than 12 months, a super factory was built and the first car was produced

This speed is sometimes referred to as "Shanghai Speed"

It's also been called "Tesla Speed"

But it's definitely not "Tesla Speed"

because Tesla has built a second super factory overseas, in Germany

You can see how long it took from start to finish for the first vehicle to be produced there

For Musk, it was extremely difficult

because after construction was completed, environmental groups sued him every day

and production couldn't begin

However, with a single order from the Chinese government, all these things cease to exist

Therefore, Shanghai left a deep impression on Musk

From the Tesla story in Shanghai

you can see that Li Qiang, as a person

Firstly, he still adheres to the attitude and position of a service-oriented government

which emphasizes economic development as the center

and how to serve capitalists well

By serving capitalists well, GDP increases

Employment and tax revenues also increase

The lives of ordinary people improve as well

Secondly, in the process of serving capital

we must embrace the market economy and carry out reform and opening-up

Why do government officials in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai have a more open-minded attitude towards marketization?

It is because they have received positive feedback

in the process of marketization

The better the market economy performs

the richer the government becomes and the more prosperous the people become

This is the current situation

So for government officials in the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai areas

when it comes to evaluating them, educational background is not really that important

I have gone to Jiangsu to conduct interviews

and I have also done many interviews in Zhejiang

When Wenzhou in Zhejiang province was implementing the reform of car ownership, I also went there to do a special interview

I have also had contact with government officials throughout Zhejiang and Jiangsu

The general feeling is that they are more open-minded, and indeed their abilities are relatively strong

This is my own feeling

So, after Li Qiang took office as Premier

what are his ideas and what challenges does he have for the next five years?

Today, Li Qiang, for the first time in his capacity as Premier of the State Council

accepted an interview with Chinese and foreign media reporters

Let's analyze through this press conference

what plans Li Qiang has in his future administration team

as Prime Minister in this position

First of all, the press conference today

had some interesting questions from the journalists

Basically, they were all from domestic media

As you can see, no mainstream Western media was present

including CNN, AP, or the Wall Street Journal

Even Japanese media like NHK and Kyodo News did not have the opportunity

Apart from CCTV, Xinhua News Agency, People's Daily, The Paper, and Phoenix TV

only these domestic media were present

Foreign media mainly had three representatives

There was one from the United States, a professional media outlet

specializing in finance

The other two were quite interesting

One was from the "People's Opinion" newspaper in Uzbekistan

I checked it out and it seems to be from that place in Uzbekistan

It's controlled by the government department and very pro-China

On their website, there's an option to choose Chinese language

There's another one called "Sino-Arab TV"

This "Sino-Arab TV" is quite interesting

The headquarters of "Sino-Arab TV" is in Dubai, but it's actually run by Chinese investment

It cooperates with the royal family of the United Arab Emirates

I guess the entire thing is run by Chinese capital in the background

And its operation center is in China

So, on the surface, it seems like a foreign media outlet

it's a fake foreign media outlet controlled by the Chinese government

By having them ask sharp questions, they can control the situation

So, as you can see from today's press conference

all the questions were arranged in advance

But during the entire questioning process

Li Qiang had a few highlights

Firstly, he didn't use a script or prepare notes throughout

Overall, his responses were relatively calm and honest

He said some memorable phrases

"In the historical process of achieving the second centenary goal"

"I believe that we must"

"Adhere to the reform and opening up"

"Further build a market-oriented, rule-of-law-based, and internationalized business environment"

"Treat enterprises of all ownership types equally"

"Protect the property rights of enterprises and the rights and interests of entrepreneurs according to law"

"Promote fair competition among various market entities"

"Support the development and growth of private enterprises"

"Speaking of this"

"I was reminded of the 1980s and 1990s"

"In my hometowns of Zhejiang and Jiangsu"

"when developing individual private economy and township enterprises"

"the Four Thousand Spirit was proposed and established"

"It means: traveling through thousands of mountains and rivers, trying thousands of ways and means"

"Saying thousands of words, enduring thousands of hardships"

The core content of this press conference covers two points

The first is to boost the economy

The second is to unwaveringly adhere to the path of reform and opening up

He added a caveat at the beginning, saying that the core of everything was for the benefit of the people

This is all just rhetoric

What he really wanted to convey were these two points

Economic development is the most important content of this government

In order to achieve this economic goal

he talked about supporting the private economy with two "unwavering" principles

He also encouraged the private economy to develop together in various areas

Relations with the US are relatively moderate

Qin Gang could say some slightly tougher words

Saying that the era of not hitting back is over

He didn't even repeat this statement

He only said, "I won't say those things"

"But China and the US have common interests and cannot be decoupled"

"Decoupling is unrealistic and not good for either side"

So relatively speaking, he spoke in a mild manner

He didn't even speak about the Taiwan issue

He only talked about a general, principled measure

Secretaries need to have a clever mind

All these things are under the leadership of the General Secretary

As the premier of the State Council, he has no control over Taiwan policy

So he won't easily speak on this issue

Overall, it's nothing special

But actually, there are many problems that are illusions

For example, the issue of demographic dividend

He mentioned a concept called "talent dividend"

But there is a difference between talent dividend and demographic dividend

In recent years, people have also referred to it

as an "engineer dividend"

But when we talk about demographic dividend, there are two meanings

The first is that the population itself is a source of labor

that can be continuously supplied to the market

But on the other hand, there is a more important point to the demographic dividend

It is also a demand

Because with talent, demand is created

The interaction between demand and supply forms a mutual driving force, which leads to economic growth

But if the population significantly decreases

the demand decreases

the things produced may no longer be needed

the demographic dividend is not just about labor as an asset

When answering questions, Li Qiang only emphasized the asset of labor itself

The upgrading and replacement of the economy were not discussed in terms of demographic dividend

The challenges faced by the entire economy

after the demand part declines were not discussed

Secondly, regarding the aspect of the epidemic

A so-called correct discourse was used

We made the right decision at the right time

I understand that as a premier of the State Council, he must say so

The last question is whether Li Qiang will become the weakest premier

Because some people say, look at Xi Jinping, who now has absolute power

There is no binding power that can constrain him

And Li Qiang comes from a background as a secretary

He has not had much of his own achievements

In front of Xi Jinping, he must surely be insignificant

So what kind of presence will this premier of the State Council have in the future?

What kind of independent decisions can he make?

It may not be certain

As we all know, when Li Qiang was in charge of Shanghai

he faced the lockdown in April last year

At that time, Sun Chunlan represented the State Council coming to Shanghai and demanded that the city be locked down

Li Qiang did not directly oppose Sun Chunlan

the information I received was that Li Qiang did not want to lock down Shanghai at the beginning

but after Sun Chunlan took charge in Shanghai

when she demanded the lockdown, he obeyed

this led to a human tragedy in Shanghai for about two months

From this perspective, Li Qiang was not a particularly principled person

He may not have approved of the lockdown in his heart

but Sun Chunlan represented the State Council to command the epidemic prevention situation

he obeyed her

If he had been like this all the time after becoming Prime Minister

he would not have had much presence

take a look at the article reported by Reuters recently

It talks about Li Qiang's crucial role in the

cancellation of China's "zero-tolerance" policy

Why is this so?

Because after the "20th Party Congress" in October

Li Qiang became the leader of the new coronavirus epidemic prevention group

He reported directly to the Political Bureau Standing Committee

Later, the "20 Measures" that everyone knows were formulated

When the "20 Measures" were first formulated, Xi Jinping was still somewhat wavering

And at this critical moment, Li Qiang persisted in his approach

It's just that Shijiazhuang wanted to implement the so-called opening policy

Later, during the entire process of opening up

the policy that was initially formulated still had to insist on retaining nucleic acid testing

Li Qiang insisted that it was unnecessary

So this report said that Li Qiang actually played

a crucial role when dynamic zeroing was canceled

After this article was reported

some people questioned the credibility of this article

But no matter what

Li Qiang indeed had a say in Xi Jinping's decision-making process

The reason why this "say" is different from Li Keqiang's is that

Li Qiang is actually Xi's person

while Xi did not trust Li Keqiang

Xi had set up various small groups outside the State Council

they sidelined Li Keqiang

Li Qiang, being Xi's man, is trusted by him

So there is no need for Xi to sideline or guard against Li Qiang

Secondly, because Li Qiang is one of his own

Instead, at critical moments, Xi can listen to some things Li Qiang says to him

This is a characteristic of an authoritarian system

This is because policy changes are not institutional, but rather decided by individuals

If Xi trusts someone, he can listen to what they say

If he doesn't trust someone, even if what they say is correct, it will be wrong

This is a characteristic of an authoritarian system

Li Qiang actually has gained high trust and recognition from Xi Jinping

he may actually play a larger role than Li Keqiang

in some critical decision-making processes

Li Qiang becoming premier means something

It means that Xi Jinping has officially entered his own era of comprehensive governance

If over the past ten years, Li Keqiang was not his preferred premier of the State Council

then the current Li Qiang team should be completely composed of his own people

In the next 5 to 10 years

a team like Li Qiang's may completely execute

Xi Jinping's policies and directions of governance

From Li Qiang's current press conference

including his current interviews with reporters

the ideas expressed suggest that

he is more inclined to focus on economic development

while improving the quality of economic construction in the process

At the same time, he will continue to promote reform and opening up

dispelling doubts about the uncertainty of the development of China's

economy for private enterprises, including foreign investment, during the two years of the pandemic

As to whether he can achieve this, we do not know

In the long run, in order to ensure the development of the private economy

and to guarantee the investment environment of foreign capital in China

the most important thing is still the construction of the legal environment

The government must abide by the law

Only then can private enterprises, including foreign-invested enterprises, truly obtain legal protection

In China, this does not really exist

But it is undeniable that in the short term

if government officials relatively respect the market economy and market entities

these market-oriented private enterprises, including foreign-invested enterprises

can indeed achieve some development during certain periods

will Li Qiang's team lead the entire Chinese economy

to further development in the next 5 years?

Let time prove all of this

As analysts and observers, let us wait and see

Okay, that's all for today. Thank you, everyone

英文字幕：毛豆腐

"Li Qiang has risen from a vice-ministerial level to become the Premier of the State Council in just ten years, and his career can be described as smooth sailing. This is thanks to his encounter with Xi Jinping back then. However, due to his long-term work in the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai regions, he has a strong market sense and an open mindset"

"Because of the strong trust relationship between him and Xi Jinping, Li Qiang will actually play a stronger role in important decision-making. This is something that Li Keqiang finds difficult to achieve. The logic of an authoritarian society is that policy shifts are not based on the system, but on specific individuals"

"In the long run, whether it is economic development or reform and opening up, the guarantee of its system is based on law and the legal system. However, the experiences of the past three years have proved that under the current system, it is difficult to have reliable institutional protection for private enterprises and market entities. Even if Li Qiang is willing to develop the economy and adhere to reform and opening up, it is still doubtful whether his policies can be implemented in the long term"