СЗЧ. Сколько человек ушло за 2,5 года и ПОЧЕМУ ДАЛЬШЕ БУДЕТ БОЛЬШЕ?

Summary

The video discusses the growing issue of military personnel deserting their posts in Ukraine, with a particular focus on self-willed departures (SZCh). It explores the rising numbers of soldiers leaving their units, the psychological impact of failed military campaigns, and widespread disillusionment with the government's handling of the war. It highlights how many soldiers, coerced into service, are increasingly abandoning their posts. The speaker delves into the government's response, including a law that reduces penalties for such actions, while also criticizing corruption and inefficiency within the military and the state's mismanagement of resources, leading to increased desertion and distrust.

Takeaways

• 😀 The script discusses the issue of soldiers going AWOL (absent without leave) in Ukraine, a topic that is not widely covered by the government.
• 😀 AWOL is not the same as desertion; desertion occurs during active combat, while AWOL refers to soldiers leaving their base or training facilities.
• 😀 AWOL cases in Ukraine have been steadily increasing, with 9,000 cases in 2022, 21,000 in 2023, and 37,000 reported in the first seven months of 2024.
• 😀 There is a discrepancy in the statistics, as cases are counted multiple times if soldiers repeatedly go AWOL, similar to how travel statistics are counted for individuals who leave and return multiple times.
• 😀 A law has been passed in Ukraine to reduce penalties for soldiers who go AWOL for the first time if they express a desire to continue their service.
• 😀 In 2022, many soldiers joined the Ukrainian army out of a sense of patriotism and belief in victory, but the morale began to decline as reality set in.
• 😀 Some soldiers, especially those who had been abroad for years, returned to fight but were faced with disillusionment due to the ongoing struggles of the army.
• 😀 Corruption within the Ukrainian government, such as mismanagement of resources, fuel shortages, and humanitarian aid theft, has eroded public trust and increased dissatisfaction among soldiers.
• 😀 The failure of the counteroffensive in 2023 and the losses suffered by the Ukrainian military further contributed to a decline in morale and the increase in AWOL cases.
• 😀 The script highlights the fact that people who are conscripted or forced into military service are less motivated to fight, often resorting to going AWOL in an attempt to escape the war.

Q & A

What does SZZ (Самовільне залишення частини) refer to in the script?

SZZ refers to the self-imposed absence of soldiers from their military unit or training, not to be confused with desertion, which involves leaving the frontline during combat.

How does the script differentiate between SZZ and desertion?

SZZ involves leaving the unit or training without permission, while desertion is more serious and occurs when a soldier leaves during active combat or a combat zone.

What is the main issue highlighted by the expert in the video regarding the increase in SZZ cases?

The main issue highlighted is the significant increase in the number of soldiers leaving their posts in Ukraine, with a steep rise in SZZ cases reported in recent years, especially in 2024.

What are the statistics presented about the rise in SZZ cases in Ukraine?

In 2024, approximately 37,000 soldiers went AWOL in the first seven months, compared to 21,000 in 2023 and 9,000 in 2022, with the actual number likely being much higher.

Why are there more cases of SZZ in Ukraine in recent months?

The increase in SZZ cases is due to several factors, including disillusionment with the war effort, the perceived failure of military leadership, and a growing mistrust in the government.

What legislative change did the Ukrainian government make regarding SZZ?

The Ukrainian government passed a law reducing the penalties for soldiers who go AWOL for the first time. If a soldier expresses a desire to continue their service, they may be relieved of criminal responsibility.

What is the significance of the government’s decision to reduce the penalties for SZZ?

This decision aims to manage the increasing cases of SZZ by offering a 'second chance' for soldiers who may want to return to service, possibly in a different unit, which could help mitigate morale issues within the army.

What psychological impact is mentioned regarding the rise in SZZ cases?

The psychological impact includes growing dissatisfaction among soldiers and civilians, with many losing faith in the war’s objectives and the leadership, which leads to more soldiers fleeing military service.

What does the expert claim about the trust of soldiers in the Ukrainian government?

The expert claims that many soldiers and civilians are losing trust in the Ukrainian government, citing corruption, inadequate supplies, and the government's failure to unify the nation despite wartime rhetoric.

How does the script suggest that SZZ will continue to increase?

The script suggests that SZZ will continue to rise due to the ongoing disillusionment with the war and the government's actions, as well as the increasing number of conscripts who are forced into service unwillingly.